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Diplomacy and Decolonization: John Darwin
Diplomacy and Decolonization: John Darwin
JOHN DARWIN
As the Cold War recedes deeper into the past, it becomes easier to see that
the key event in the second half of the twentieth century has been the break-
up of colonial rule or semi-colonial domination across vast areas of Asia,
Africa, the Middle East and the Pacific. The confrontation between East and
West may have been decisive for the fate of Europe. But in much of the
extra-European world, the Cold War had a walk-on part in the larger drama
of decolonization, or can be seen realistically as only one element in the
struggle to save, seize or share out the domain of the Old Colonial Powers:
Britain, France, the Netherlands, Portugal and Belgium. As the chapters in
this book reveal, the shape of the world by the end of the twentieth century
and its astonishing proliferation of nation states, many of almost
microscopic size or resources, cannot be explained simply by invoking the
rise of the superpowers, the play of ideological conflict, or the irresistible
rise of anti-colonial nationalisms. Decolonization was not a pre-ordained
path, but a chaotic process on which accidents of timing and the variables
of regional or local politics exerted a crucial influence. Explaining it
requires (among other things) a careful reconstruction of the diplomacy
through which the colonial powers sought, but often failed, to safeguard the
substance of their imperial interests against the intrusion of other great
power influence (sometimes commercial, sometimes political), the
indifference or irritation of opinion at home and the hostility of their more
'extreme' opponents in colonial politics. As Jack Gallagher showed more
than 20 years ago, we will make little progress in unravelling its causes
unless we take seriously the complicated interplay between domestic,
colonial and international politics, and view cautiously the claims of any of
them to primacy.'
Here our first task is to think carefully about the meaning of decolonization
as a phase or process in world politics. Among anglophone writers (this is
mainly a vice anglais) the tendency has been to define decolonization so
6 INTERNATIONAL DIPLOMACY AND COLONIAL RETREAT
dangerously ill-equipped for the task of reasserting their colonial and semi-
colonial prerogatives. Yet for the most part they attempted to do so because
vital national interests still seemed at stake in faraway colonial provinces
and because, to an extent which is easily overlooked in hindsight, it was not
yet clear that the preconditions allowing Europe's domination-through-
colonialism had ceased to apply generally. To appreciate the task that faced
them, and the reasons for their confident assumption that the age of empire
was not yet over, we need first to examine the international foundations on
which Europe's imperialism had rested since the classic era of rivalry and
partition in the 1890s.
II
European colonialism has a long history but it was only in the later
nineteenth century that the European powers made their primacy effective
across most of the globe. The partitions of Africa, Southeast Asia and the
Pacific, the occupation of Egypt, the quasi-protectorate asserted over
Ottoman Turkey after 1878, the policy of spheres in China (already half-
chained by the unequal treaties of 1842 and 1858-60) Russia's conquest of
the Central Asian khanates: all these served notice that the world was now
a 'closed system' under the management of the European Powers and their
associates. In the Americas, the United States was treated as an honorary
member of the Imperial Club. In the whole of Afro-Asia only Japan had
preserved real independence and could stake a claim in the imperial future.
The most astonishing feature of this process was the amicability with
which the international share-out was conducted. Historians are fond of
evoking an atmosphere of cut-throat rivalry and, following Lenin, like to see
partition as the prelude to Armageddon in 1914. But despite the scale of the
territorial gains at stake, the popular excitement they sometimes aroused,
the extravagance of geopolitical prediction and the machinations of sub-
imperialists like Cecil Rhodes, Captain J. B. Marchand, Admiral Alexeiev
or Carl Peters, no two European powers went to war over an imperial
question between 1885 and 1914. The strains of competitive co-existence
were sometimes intense; but, revealingly, it was with their extra-European
associates that two of the Old Colonial Powers in Europe blundered into
war, in 1898 and 1904. During Britain's dangerous isolation during the
Second Anglo-Boer War (1899-1902), Russia, France and Germany
considered and rejected the option of a coalition to divide the spoils of
British expansion.7
All this suggests that a prime factor in the breakneck diplomacy of
partitions, spheres and claims was a recognition by European leaders that,
DIPLOMACY AND DECOLONIZATION 9
however seductive the colonial vista, it could not be allowed to unsettle the
European balance or threaten European peace. That consensus was made
possible by the conservatism of the most powerful European states: the
quiescence of pan-European ideologies of revolutionary change on the one
hand, or of notions of a 'holy alliance' against liberalism on the other. It was
powerfully reinforced by the knowledge of Britain's vast naval advantage in
the extra-European world. And whatever their national or cultural
differences within Europe, European elites held a shared belief in the
superiority of European civilization over all others, the imperative of the
'civilizing mission', the legitimacy of intervention in 'uncivilized' states
and the morality of colonial rule. Confronted by a serious anti-Western
challenge, like that of the Boxers, the Imperial Club (including Japan) was
even capable of joint action to repress it.
From this willingness to settle their colonial differences, grudging and
bad-tempered as it often was, Europeans derived several benefits, which
contributed to their global primacy. Partition by agreement meant that
colonial states did not have to be garrisoned against colonial neighbours.
Where European militarism proliferated in the extra-European world, it was
usually where partition was anticipated (as in China) or incomplete (as in
Central Asia). Elsewhere, under the doctrine of 'effective occupation',
colonial armies were lightly armed, or paramilitary forces were deployed
for internal 'pacification'. With little incentive to administer their remoter
provinces closely, colonial rulers had ample scope for collaborative
bargains. They built shoestring 'shallow states', whose running costs were
designed to make little impact on metropolitan budgets. Here was a formula
for imperialism without (domestic) tears. The practice of competitive co-
existence and ideological solidarity in the colonial world also ruled out great
power sponsorship of colonial and semi-colonial resistance movements or,
as Cubans and Filipinos discovered, ensured a smooth passage from one
form of imperial supervision to another. Indeed, there was little in
international politics to encourage the nationalist aspirations of colonial
peoples. The real issue was the practical limit of European control, not its
necessity or justification.8 The main task of imperial diplomacy was
managing the endemic disputes, which arose where the demarcation of
colonial domains had still to be finalized.
Of course, the international imperialism of the late nineteenth century,
however unlike the blood-soaked mercantilism of the previous century, was
no guarantee of a durable regime of co-operative primacy. Running through
it were three 'genetic' flaws. It depended ultimately upon the stability of
great power relations in Europe and on the skill with which ministers and
dynasts regulated social upheaval at home and in Europe's own semi-
10 INTERNATIONAL DIPLOMACY AND COLONIAL RETREAT
colonial zones in the Balkans. The end of peace in Europe, or even a drastic
shift in the relative weight of the European powers, was bound to ignite the
latent conflicts of the imperial world. Secondly, for all the heroic scale of
their cartographic diplomacy, the Europeans' partition of the world was
dangerously incomplete. They had divided where division was easy. But in
the Near East and East Asia, where their interests were least easily
reconciled, agreement had been elusive. Here competition and co-existence
were finely balanced9 and combustible elements abounded in local politics.
Finally, European primacy had flourished in a propitious economic climate:
European output had grown rapidly and a wide zone of free trade and
monetary stability (through the gold standard) had extended the
international economy. But if these conditions went into reverse,
collaboration between rival imperialists, as well as between colonial rulers
and ruled, was certain to become much harder.
Indeed, the First World War brutally exposed the defects in Europe's
claim to global paramountcy. Fighting between Europeans spread rapidly to
Africa and the Pacific. In the Near East and East Asia, where the pre-war
balance of imperial interests was particularly delicate, the status quo was
thrown into confusion by the intervention of local powers. In Europe itself,
total war wrecked the old diplomatic system and ended with the downfall of
the three dynastic empires. With the prospect of revolution in Europe in
1919, American endorsement of national self-determination, and the surge
of anti-European nationalism in Turkey, Egypt, the Arab Middle East, India
and China, the familiar landscape of imperial diplomacy disappeared. In
Britain, the main guardian of the old order, there were nightmare visions of
an unholy alliance between Soviet commissars and Asian nationalists.10 In
India, an embattled Viceroy categorized Gandhi as a Bolshevik. In East
Asia, the price of American support to restrain Japan seemed to be the
surrender of the treaty privileges on which British interests had depended
since the 1840s." To some anxious die-hards the end of empire was in
sight.12
But the colonial order did not implode and the crisis of empires passed.
In the Near East, Soviet diplomacy proved less seductive and Soviet power
more limited than had been feared.13 Arab, Egyptian and Indian
nationalisms were appeased and divided. Even in China, where the assault
on pre-war imperialism had gained most momentum, the alliance of
nationalism and communism collapsed by 1927. The enemies of the old
order had turned out to be weaker than they had seemed at the height of
revolutionary excitement in 1919-21.
In part, then, the slackening of anti-imperialism reflected the internal
divisions of the colonial and semi-colonial movements and the unbroken
DIPLOMACY AND DECOLONIZATION 11
military capability of the colonial powers. But there were deeper reasons for
the surprising durability of empires in an age of nationalism. With
remarkable success, colonial rulers were able to insulate their subject
populations from external political influence, even if they had to tolerate
some ideological 'contamination'. There was no white knight to break open
the prison house of colonial peoples. If colonial loyalty could not be taken
for granted, there was little danger that it would be transferred to a rival
great power patron. France and Britain emerged as victor powers. The most
restive members of the old Imperial Club had been dispossessed and their
imperial assets transferred or safely neutralized. The United States retreated
into its hemispheric preoccupations, except in East Asia where private
commercial interests briefly pursued a strategy of business imperialism in
partnership with Shidehara Japan. The international authority set up to
police the new world order of 1919 embodied by default the pre-eminence
of the great colonial powers. There was nothing in the mandate system
incompatible with the 'old diplomacy' of spheres and informal empire.
Even the League's watchdog on mandates was staffed with European
colonial 'experts'14 and tactfully relied on the self-reporting of mandatory
governments. Once the British and French had settled their differences in
the Near and Middle East, there was little scope for local powers (like
Turkey or Iran) to challenge their partition diplomacy. Even in East Asia
where British policy-makers feared encirclement by a tacit coalition of
Chinese nationalists, American financiers and Japanese zaibatsu, anti-
imperialism had succumbed to internal discord and economic turbulence by
1930, leaving the treaty structure largely intact.
The fly in the ointment was the Great Depression. Before 1914s a
buoyant world economy had eased the tensions of global partition. Britain's
adherence to free trade made the gargantuan scale of its empire more
palatable to industrial competitors. The prosperity brought by commodity
production made empire more acceptable to colonial elites. But after 1930
these props to imperial stability gave way. In Europe, depression helped to
trigger the Nazi revolution and its diplomatic sequel, the revisionist
partnership of Germany and Italy forged in 1936. In East Asia, the fragile
liberalism of the Shidehara period collapsed. Japanese anger at Western
criticism of their Manchurian policy was sharpened by resentment at the
protectionist imperialism practised by the British after 1932. The 'Greater
East Asia Co-prosperity Zone' was Japan's riposte to the tariff walls, trade
blocs and barter deals by which the Western powers secured their share of
shrinking world trade. The 'new order' for Asia eventually proclaimed in
1938" signalled the repudiation of Japan's former role as an ambivalent
associate of the Old Colonial Powers. Now Tokyo was committed to tearing
12 INTERNATIONAL DIPLOMACY AND COLONIAL RETREAT
down the colonial order across East and Southeast Asia. Meanwhile, for
colonial and semi-colonial peoples in Afro-Asia and the Americas, the
benefits of imperial collaboration were discredited by rural hardship and the
crash of markets.16
Thus between 1936 and 1939 the international colonial system of which
Britain and France were the principal guardians looked more and more
vulnerable to external attack and internal subversion. Of the world's great
powers only two remained in the Imperial Club. The five outside were
committed ideologically either to its destruction or to the drastic
reallocation of its benefits." Not surprisingly, in some parts of the colonial
and semi-colonial world, local opposition was encouraged by the prospect
of 'liberation' from without, or levered new concessions from jumpy rulers.
In the Middle East, where German and Italian influence was strongest, and
strategic anxieties greatest, the British and French made reluctant
concessions to Egyptian,'8 Syrian,19 Turkish20 and Palestinian21 demands.
Closer to home, the Chamberlain government abandoned its economic war
against Eamon de Valera, premier of the Irish Free State, and surrendered
the naval bases retained since the Anglo-Irish treaty of 1921. With the
Anglo-American trade agreement of 1938, London tried to ease the
commercial resentments of the great neutral whose resources would be
critical in any future war by lowering its imperial tariffs.22 Meanwhile, both
Britain and France searched fruitlessly for ways of defusing the antagonism
of their two European enemies, calculating that so long as Europe was at
peace the great archipelago of European colonialism would be safe enough
against internal revolt and even the threat from Japan.
This was not absurd. For all the symptoms of imperial unease in the
1930s, the growing regional dominance of Japan in East Asia, the nightmare
of a tripartite onslaught on Britain's overstrained imperial defences, and
Anglo-French humiliation over the Rhineland and Czechoslovakia, it would
be premature to conclude that by 1939 the seemingly rickety structure of
European imperialism was about to collapse. In India, where anti-
colonialism had mobilized most effectively, the prospect of real
independence still seemed infinitely remote on the eve of war. In Egypt and
Syria, the 1936 treaties (abortive in Syria's case) gripped them firmly to the
military infrastructure of their imperial 'allies'. However unsympathetic
they were to the imperialism of Britain and France and the lesser colonial
powers, it seemed unlikely that either the United States or the Soviet Union
would collaborate actively in their destruction with Germany, Italy or Japan.
And to many anti-colonial nationalists, the three 'have-not' powers seemed
to threaten forms of imperial domination even more brutal and exploitative
than those against which they were struggling. It was, after all, the decadent
DIPLOMACY AND DECOLONIZATION 13
Ill
wartime growth of political consciousness, their need to win more local co-
operation than before 1939, and the ideological shift, which their alliance
with the United States had required. Here, as elsewhere, they hoped that the
immediate post-war turbulence would give way to quieter times in which
the new global balance would permit imperial repair and renovation.
Indeed, the defeat of Germany and Japan, and American willingness to
assume the burden of containing the Soviet Union, seemed to offer a
precious respite in which to complete economic recovery at home and
political reconstruction in the colonies. Far from being daunted by the scale
of American power, bolder spirits in Britain and France, especially the
Labour Foreign Secretary Ernest Bevin, were confident that they could
exploit Soviet-American rivalry to build a new Europe that would keep
much of old Europe's influence in the outer world.26
Between 1945 and 1954 these hopes foundered on two great obstacles.
Firstly, they assumed that the colonial powers would be able to manipulate
the American colossus with exemplary finesse. Without American aid they
could not hope to revive their domestic economies or meet the costs of far-
flung colonial re-occupations. American policy and opinion had to be
persuaded that colonialism was the corollary of containment. At the same
time, American interference in or influence over their colonial or semi-
colonial spheres had to be resisted. Sometimes Washington might have to be
persuaded that defeating communism was less urgent than defending
colonialism. And once the Soviet threat had receded, America would be
expected to assume a more modest role among the Western Powers. But
assumptions like these took too little account of how American foreign
policy was made, and of the enormous growth of America's political,
commercial and cultural influence once Europe's dark age set in after June
1940. If America's military power had narrower limits in the decade after
1945 than is sometimes imagined, the expansion of American private
interests knew no such boundary. Only economic recovery and
modernization on a gargantuan scale would have enabled the Old Colonial
Powers to compete. Nor were they able to assert more independence in
world politics to even up their status with their transatlantic ally. The Soviet
threat, and their need for America's strategic guarantee, remained as great
as ever.
These factors would have been much less important had they enjoyed
greater success in reimposing their control in their old spheres or in carrying
through the necessary adjustments in their systems of colonial
collaboration. But the side-effects of war in Europe and Asia had drastically
destabilized many of their local alliances or, as in Southeast Asia, liquidated
the colonial infrastructure altogether. For the British, the consequence was
DIPLOMACY AND DECOLONIZATION 17
European imperialisms was the last to lose its confidence in the imperial
mission. On the great Padrao erected in Lisbon in 1960, Henry the
Navigator points south - towards Africa - the direction of Portugal's
destiny. More surprisingly, perhaps, the Portuguese were unaffected by the
defeats and reappraisals that dented imperial confidence elsewhere after
1945. For them the international consequences of the Second World War
were much less negative than for the grander empires. Despite the
ideological leanings of the Salazar regime and a colonial record for which
not even colonialists had a good word, the Portuguese escaped the righteous
anathema of President Roosevelt. Washington approved the restoration of
Portuguese rule in Timor, which had been occupied by the Japanese, despite
Lisbon's wartime neutrality. And after 1945 the Portuguese set about a
vigorous programme of colonial development swelling the number of white
settlers in its African territories of Angola and Mozambique from some
67,000 in 1940 to nearly 300,000 by I960.36
This success story was built on three favourable conditions.
Economically the war had been a bonanza for Portugal's colonial trade.
Angola's exports rose threefold between 1939 and 1946, and Mozambique's
by a similar factor.37 Portugal became not an impoverished dollar debtor like
Britain but an imperial nouveau riche with a large sterling balance. Except
for Timor, there was no burden of reconstruction, and no lost colonies where
authority had to be painfully reasserted. Geopolitically, far from a new
dependence upon the United States, Portugal's strategic assets now
commanded a handsome price. America's entry into the war and the
urgency of a short all-season air route to Europe and the Middle East had
made the Azores a vital staging post. When Portugal reluctantly provided a
separate American air base in October 1944 (previously they had used the
British base conceded earlier by Lisbon), Timor was part of the bargain.38
After the war, Mozambique's uranium39 and Portugal's potential value as a
maritime launching pad if a second Anglo-American liberation of Europe
became necessary reinforced Lisbon's claim on American goodwill. Finally,
unlike Britain and France, Portuguese opinion, in a closed society, was
much less susceptible to the ideology of self-determination; and in a poor
society with a peasant surplus, the economic utility of empire was less likely
to be questioned.
The Portuguese case shows that the shift towards a bipolar world was
not necessarily fatal even to an unrepentant imperialism that repudiated the
ultimate goal of colonial self-government. Under post-war conditions,
Portugal was in a uniquely favourable geopolitical niche. Shielded by
Spain at home, the Portuguese in Africa found their two largest territories
conveniently close to the last bastions of white power in South and central
DIPLOMACY AND DECOLONIZATION 21
Africa. But the lateness of Portugal's colonial retreat - delayed until 1975
- and the prolongation of white minority rule in Rhodesia (until 1980) and
South Africa (until 1994) is a sharp reminder that dismantling the colonial
order was far from easy where the power concerned was not susceptible to
financial or diplomatic pressure, was indifferent to any alternative path and
could rely on well-entrenched allies on the spot. Indeed, Portugal offers an
intriguing insight into how well international colonialism might have fared
even after the rise of American and Soviet power had the impact of the
Second World War on the Old Colonial Powers been less destructive than
it was.
IV
NOTES
1. J. A. Gallagher, The Decline, Revival and Fall of the British Empire (Cambridge, 1982).
2. Gerrit W. Gong, The 'Standard of Civilisation' in International Society (Oxford, 1984).
3. This concept was given classic expression in A. G. Hopkins, An Economic History of West
Africa (London, 1973).
DIPLOMACY AND DECOLONIZATION 23
30. Under British rule some 60-70,000 British troops (i.e. one third of the British army) were
stationed in India at Indian expense. There was also an Indian regular army of some 140,000
men.
31. The indispensable account of British interests and policy in Cyprus is now R. F. Holland,
Britain and the Revolt in Cyprus (Oxford, 1999).
32. Brötel, 'Indochina', 359.
33. Britain's fundamental economic interest, proclaimed the Radcliffe Committee on monetary
policy in 1959, still lay in complementary exchanges with the primary producing countries
of the Commonwealth. See J. Darwin, Britain and Decolonisation (London, 1988), 239.
34. Both Ghana and Malaya agreed to remain in the Sterling Area on independence and bank
their dollar earnings in London.
35. For an early account, P. Darby, British Defence Policy East of Suez (London, 1973); but see
below the chapter by John Subritzky.
36. Antonio José Telo, Economía e Império no Portugal Contemporânea (Lisbon, 1994), 267.
37. F. Rosas, Portugal entre a Paz e a Guerra 1939-1945 (Lisbon, 1995), 239-59, especially
242,246-7,251.
38. António Josée Telo, Os Açôres e o Controlo do Atlântico (Lisbon, 1993), 453.
39. Telo, Economía e Império, 261.
40. For a suggestive analysis of the Soviet Union's imperial politics, P. Roeder, 'Soviet
federalism and ethnic mobilisation', World Politics, 43 (1991), 196-232.