Raging at China over coronavirus won't

help – scrutinising our own governments

might

He was once fearful of endangering the country’s deep economic relationship

with China, but the Australian prime minister, Scott Morrison, has now begun to
campaign for an international inquiry into the Covid-19 outbreak. The call comes
amid claims from the Trump administration that China covered up a laboratory
leak in Wuhan, or even released the novel coronavirus on purpose.

The tenor of debate in the United States gives an indication of the stakes. The Fox
News commentator Tucker Carlson – a favourite of the president – has
been drawing on reports in the Australian tabloid the Daily Telegraph of a
supposed secret dossier linking the outbreak to the Wuhan lab. “We are
squabbling about lockdowns … that is the debate in this country,” said Carlson.
“That is not the debate in China, why? Because they have bigger plans. By the
time this pandemic has played out, China plans to rule the world.”

The dossier has been contradicted by intelligence sources, who believe it was

based on freely available material and was most likely to have come from the US
to help Washington “[build] a counter-narrative and [apply] pressure to China”.

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Meanwhile, the scientific community says there is no evidence for the claim that

the virus originated in a Wuhan lab – even Morrison has poured cold water on
that particular idea. And a US intelligence community statement on the origins of
Covid-19 was agnostic. Whether they can resist pressure from the Trump
administration to produce a politically convenient narrative, as reported in the
New York Times, is an open question. But given that anti-Chinese sentiment so
evidently plays into ramping election rhetoric in the US, a blame-shifting
operation seems to be under way.

Even so, there is a good case for an inquiry. From the shameful cover-up of the
initial outbreak, such as the silencing of the heroic doctor Li Wenliang, to the
subsequent censorship, the disappearance of critics and sowing of
disinformation, there’s still a lot to learn. China has seen a litany of food and
agriculture scandals (amazingly, it is still not well understood why 16,000 pig
carcasses floated down the Huangpu river in 2013); its citizens certainly deserve
to know more about the role of intensified animal agriculture and environmental
destruction in propelling new pathogens into human population centres. Greater
understanding may help societies across the world to better rebuild economies
and improve public health and preparedness systems.

But US and Australian demands get us no closer to solving these problems in

China or anywhere else. International inquiries do happen (into Venezuela and
Myanmar, most recently), but great powers don’t play by the same rules as small
countries. China will not accept being singled out by such an inquiry, any more
than the US would have accepted a China-led inquiry into its role in sowing the
2008 global financial crisis. And even if it went ahead, China would likely give an
inquiry the same heed it gave a critical 2016 UN ruling on the South China Sea,
calling it “nothing more than a piece of waste paper”.

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Instead of spurring learning or action, this type of aggressive diplomacy will only
lead to the further emboldening of hardline nationalist and protectionist
narratives in Beijing, along with the escalating sabre-rattling that keeps us as far
as ever from the cooperation required to handle the pandemic and its aftermath.

Chinese elites may indeed be fearful of international pressure, with one

intelligence-linked thinktank warning of the global fallout from anti-Chinese
opprobrium. But punishing China will not improve international cooperation,
any more than it will bring freedom of speech, encourage China to share
information on future health crises, or improve supply-chain coordination on
medical supplies.
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After the outbreak, China banned eating wildlife and stepped up efforts to disrupt
the illegal wildlife trade. It can go much further, and next year it will rightly be
under scrutiny when it hosts the UN Convention on Biological Diversity talks in
Kunming – this aims to reduce the destruction of ecosystems and biodiversity,
which helps pathogens to pass between animals and people. In many other
negotiations – such as the Paris climate agreement, and debt relief for the world’s
poorest – the sheer size of its economy means China plays a critical role.

And while many Chinese citizens were initially furious about the government
cover-up, there is also a widespread assumption in the country that “accusations
from western governments are in bad faith” – as the academic Chenchen
Zhang put it. This has only grown in recent weeks, especially since these same
“international actors were silent” about China’s plight in late January and early
February.

Carlson may dislike Americans “squabbling about lockdowns”, but criticising

one’s government’s response is the right of citizens in open societies. Of course,
the Chinese government will silence its critics and engage in blame-shifting
rhetoric. It took brave, independent journalists in China to break the story of the
Covid-19 cover-up, despite fears of reprisals, and pressure from the authorities to
spread “positive energy” that hews to the official government line.

But in countries like the US, Australia and the UK, citizens have a choice. We can
scrutinise our governments and societies – for the glaring failures of the
pandemic response; the debasement of scientific inquiry and media freedom; the
politicisation of intelligence; attacks on the “dual loyalties” of ethnic Chinese – or
we can fall into line, direct our ire at the foreign enemy, and jettison the
possibility of progress into the grinding gears of a great power conflict.

• Sam Geall is executive director at China Dialogue and associate fellow at

Chatham House, a thinktank in London