The Tsupitero Newsletter is a daily Technical Analysis report by Miko S. Sayo.

The report is
divided into three parts:

1. A daily Technical Analysis report of the PSEi;

2. A comprehensive Technical Analysis report of the most active and volatile stock during the
day; and,
3. Recommended stocks for tsupita (short-term) trades, and, notes for Tsupiteros, which includes
the following: the top 10 stocks that foreign funds are buying and selling; the top 10 most active
stocks; the top 10 most volatile stocks; and, the top 10 gainers and losers for the day. These
statistics would exclude stocks that are illiquid.
The comprehensive Technical Analysis report of the most volatile and most active stock during
the day is divided between a Technical Analysis for Tsupiteros (short-term traders) and a
Technical Analysis for Position Traders. Each of these Technical Analyses will include such data
as its daily chart, support, resistance, trend, average true range, relative strength vs. the Phisix,
a discussion of the technical character of the stock and a recommendation. Included also in the
analysis of each of these stocks are other practical information such as the top three buying and
selling brokers for the past five days, the amount that these brokers bought and sold for the
past five days, the net foreign buying and/or selling for the past five days and the news or
rumor currently affecting the movement of the stock in the short-term.
With regards to the "Recommended stocks for Tsupita" section of the newsletter, I usually
choose around 3 stocks that are actually my best bets for a short-term trade or for a Tsupita.
With each stock recommendation, there is a short technical description of the stock as well as
my suggested trigger for buying the stock.

The cost of a one-month subscription to the Tsupitero newsletter is P1,000.00. To subscribe to

the Tsupitero newsletter, please email Miko at miko@tsupitero.com. One may pay by simply
making an over-the-counter deposit to the following bank account:

BPI Savings Account No. 3149-0491-25

Account Name – Michael S. Sayo

The Tsupitero newsletter will be emailed everyday on or before 9:00 in the evening.
 The PSEi (Jun 20, 2016)
Open – 7,632.10 High – 7,678.08 Low – 7,624.08 Close – 7,665.33 Value – P6,421,540,067
Foreign Buying – Foreign Selling –
Advances – 99 Declines – 97 Unchanged – 51
P3,241,637,318 P2,888,020,700
Still Continuing to Rally but Now Approaching Overbought Conditions

Charts are courtesy of Metastock

Short-term Traders/Tsupiteros: Medium-term/Position Traders:
Support – 7400 Support – 6940 / 7250
Resistance – 7800 Resistance – 8000
Trend – Sideways to Up Trend – Sideways to Up
ATR – 85pts. ATR – 240pts.
Recommendation – Hold / Take profits on
Recommendation – Take profits on strength
strength
The PSEi Index still continued to rally further today and was up by another 43 points by the close. The strong futures
market in the US was probably one of the reasons why our market continued to be strong today despite already trading at
overbought conditions. The latest survey in Britain indicates that less people are now willing to leave the clutches of the
European Union. The very much anticipated referendum in Britain takes place on Thursday. Foreign funds were net buyers
again today by P354 million. Of course, the higher that this market goes, the more vulnerable it will be to profit-taking
soon. On the other hand, the higher that this market goes, the more likely that the market will continue to trend up
eventually. Tsupiteros are still recommended to either just hold but place mental stops on the break below the 7600 level,
or, start taking profits on strength. As for Position-traders, you either take profits right now or you don’t. If prices climb
back up near 7800, the market will likely eventually trend up towards 8000, thus, in that case, I would suggest Position-
traders to hold off taking profits for now.
 Tsupitero Index

Dow Jones Industrial Average

 SSI Group, Inc. (SSI)
Open – 3.07 High – 3.30 Low – 3.07 Close – 3.23 Value – P121,594,130
Continuing to Rally Strongly but Now Approaching Resistances

After that news that SSI will lower its capex this year and shut down its non-performing stores, the stock just broke out of
its 2.66 to 2.82 consolidation and just catapulted to the upside. It continued to rally strongly today, even closing the day
near its highs, thus, indicating that prices may still continue to climb up further by tomorrow. However, as you can see in
the chart above, prices are now approaching resistances just above current levels – 3.40 to 3.45. I expect the bulls to start
hesitating by tomorrow as prices become overbought. Tsupiteros, who currently have positions in this stock, are now
recommended to either just hold but place mental stops on the break below the 3.10 level, or, start taking profits on
strength.

SSI Technical Analysis

Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
Tsupitero 3.00 / 3.10 3.40 to 3.45 Up 0.20 Hold / Take profits on strength
Position Trader 2.20 3.90 to 4.15 Sideways 0.30 Trade the range
SSI Top Buying and Selling Brokers
Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday
Jun 14, 2016 Jun 15, 2016 Jun 16, 2016 Jun 17, 2016 Jun 20, 2016
COL – 1.441M BPI – 0.759M Macquarie – 4.019M Papa – 10.598M Papa – 15.726M
FirstMetro – 0.300M Tower – 0.270M ATR – 2.798M Macquarie – 8.954M UBS – 9.612M
Buyers Belson – 0.135M Lucky – 0.161M Papa – 1.626M Goldstar – 4.948M BA – 9.367M
Solar – 0.135M AB Cap – 0.148M Angping – 1.175M Wealth – 2.695M Macquarie – 3.947M
PNB – 0.097M SB – 0.135 Citisec – 1.113M Citisec – 2.451M Wealth – 2.966M
Valueqst – 1.352M Wealth – 1.023M Wealth – 5.496M BDO – 6.776M SB – 6.950M
Accord – 0.494M COL – 0.491M FirstMetro – 3.215M A&A – 4.484M COL – 5.070M
Sellers AB Cap – 0.211M Meridian – 0.243M COL – 3.152M Valueqst – 4.312M A&A – 4.135M
BPI – 0.057M UPCC – 0.161M R Nubla – 1.183M RCBC – 3.860M Yu&Co – 3.522M
Ansaldo – 0.054M Accord – 0.089M BPI – 1.051M FirstMetro – 3.594M Angping – 3.055M
SSI Net Foreign Activity
Amount (219,620) 121,300 132,760 (335,730) 594,470
SSI News/Rumors
Clarification of news article, “SSI sets lower capex this year, to shut down stores”.
http://edge.pse.com.ph/openDiscViewer.do?edge_no=0a61dce6d495d69972785c150f4cd6d2#sthash.vEIamGMh.dpbs
• I removed EW from my list of recommendations below because it has begun to climb up already.
• I also removed UBP from my list of recommendations below because it might just continue to
consolidate for now.

Recommendations for Tsupiteros

Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
ACR 1.95 2.04 Sideways to Up 0.05 Buy as long as support holds
Comments: Hesitating at the 2.04 level but bullish as long as support holds.
Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
AGF 3.64 4.16 Sideways 0.20 Buy as long as support holds
Comments: Bullishly consolidating above 3.64. Possibly just resting before it trends up.
Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
CYBR 0.57 0.66 Up 0.05 Buy as long as support holds
Comments: Bullishly consolidating above 0.66. Possibly just resting before it cotinues to trend up.
Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
FNI 0.90 0.98 Sideways 0.04 Buy as long as support holds
Comments: Hesitating at the 0.98 level but bullish as long as support holds.
Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
ION 2.28 2.38 Sideways 0.05 Buy as long as support holds
Comments: Trying to hold above its support at 2.28. May begin to trend up if resistance breaks.

Technical Analysis of Selected Stocks

Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
CROWN 2.05 2.30 Down 0.12 Trade the range
Comments: Strong rally off its trough at 1.99. May continue to rally further.
Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
IDC 4.80 5.58 Up 0.70 Take profits
Comments: Encountering resistance at the 5.60 level. May correct back down or consolidate for now.
Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
MCP 2.97 3.60 Up 0.25 Hold
Comments: Continuing to trend up strongly. May continue to trend up still.
Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
NIKL 5.05 5.60 Up 0.25 Hold
Comments: Broke above its resistance at 5.04. May continue to trend up further.
Support Resistance Trend ATR Recommendation
PLC 1.09 1.25 Up 0.08 Hold
Comments: Held above its minor support at 1.09. May continue to climb up further.
 Today’s Notes for Tsupiteros
Stock Top Ten Net Foreign Buying Stock Top Ten Most Active Stock Top Ten Gainers
ALI P296,034,285 ALI P766,487,325 MCP 12.79%
URC P97,683,864 MBT P508,751,878 CROWN 8.50%
SM P81,861,150 MPI P398,518,725 BCOR 7.94%
MBT P76,392,406 GLO P373,563,350 SSI 7.67%
JFC P48,038,950 JGS P325,937,027 NIKL 6.81%
BDO P23,365,740 AC P287,268,140 RWM 6.18%
AEV P21,895,245 SMPH P248,781,450 ROCK 6.10%
DMC P20,856,390 URC P238,732,232 NI 3.70%
MPI P20,840,532 GTCAP P227,760,850 STI 3.51%
SMPH P11,766,115 BDO P199,049,471 VITA 3.41%
Stock Top Ten Net Foreign Selling Stock Top Ten Most Volatile Stock Top Ten Losers
MWC (P118,274,095) BCOR 20.63% LIB -4.24%
JGS (P86,964,580) MCP 12.79% X -3.61%
AC (P70,847,195) NI 10.74% ISM -3.13%
GLO (P21,086,320) IDC 10.00% ANI -3.08%
AGI (P18,218,974) SSI 10.00% ABSP -2.44%
DD (P14,342,867) CROWN 9.50% CEB -1.91%
RWM (P14,276,690) ATN 8.33% PGOLD -1.84%
RRHI (P14,097,808) ROCK 7.93% ABS -1.62%
PLC (P13,685,650) PLC 7.83% DNL -1.53%
ICT (P12,858,621) RWM 7.35% VLL -1.52%

Top Gainers and Losers since the Trough at 6941 on May 10, 2016
Gainers Losers
PXP 107.73% LIB -25.47%
IDC 65.89% IMP -22.22%
DD 53.61% ISM -17.11%
MCP 48.89% ATN -17.05%
PX 48.53% ATNB -13.79%
BLOOM 47.55% ABS -11.48%
ACR 43.57% ABSP -10.55%
PLC 38.82% ANI -10.00%
CYBR 36.26% EMP -9.65%
AGF 36.14% IS -8.45%
Important Notice - The Technical Analysis and Recommendation for Tsupiteros are meant to be used by
Traders who have a holding period of between one day and two weeks. The Technical Analysis and
Recommendation for Position Traders are meant to be used by Traders who have a holding period of between
two weeks and three months. Traders who have a holding period of more than three months are not advised to
use this newsletter.

Legend:
+ recommend to buy if resistance is taken out to the upside
* recommended stop
^ recommendation has changed from the previous day

Glossary of Terms:

1. Support - A historical price level at which falling prices have stopped falling and either moved sideways or
reversed direction; usually seen as a price chart pattern.

2. Resistance - A historical price level at which rising prices have stopped rising and either moved sideways or
reversed direction; usually seen as a price chart pattern.

3. Average True Range (ATR) – defined by Wilder to be the greatest of the following for each period:
• The distance from today’s high to today’s low
• The distance from yesterday’s close to today’s high
• The distance from yesterday’s close to today’s low
The Average True Range is simply the average of the true ranges over the past x periods (where x is specified
by the user). In this newsletter, the ATR is computed in percentage terms. The ATR for Tsupiteros is calculated
on a lookback period of 3 days, while the ATR for Position Traders is calculated on a lookback period of 3
weeks.

4. Trend - The general drift, tendency or bent of a set of statistical data as related to time.

Disclaimer – This document is published by Michael S. Sayo. The information in this document has been
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. Opinions
expressed are subject to change without notice. Any recommendation contained in this document does not have
regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee.
This document is for the information of the addressee only and it is not to be taken in substitution for the
exercise of judgment by the addressees, who should obtain separate legal or financial advice. Michael S. Sayo
accepts no liability for any direct or incidental loss arising from the use of this document or further
communication given in relation to this document. This document is not to be construed as an offer or a
solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. I may or may not hold the securities that I recommend in
this newsletter.

Author: Miko S. Sayo

Certified Financial Technician (CFTe)
Email: miko@tsupitero.com
Website: http://www.tsupitero.com