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Cost of Capital - India Survey
Cost of Capital - India Survey
India survey
2017
2 | India cost of capital survey
Contents
Findings
1. Cost of equity in India 06
2. Basis of estimating cost of equity 08
+& Gl`]j\ak[gmfl]\[Yk`Ögo <;>!hYjYe]l]jk 10
4. Cost of capital in an international context 12
5. Start-ups 13
About the survey 14
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][gfgeq&9egf_l`]egklka_faÕ[Yflg^l`]k][`Yf_]kakl`]j]\m[lagf
g^gn]j*((ZYkakhgaflkafafl]j]kljYl]k$\jan]fZq^Yddaf_afÖYlagfgfl`]
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Navin Vohra hd]Yk]\lghj]k]fll`]k][gf\]\alagfg^l`]Af\aY;gklg^[YhalYd$Af\aY
Head – Valuation and Business survey. The survey encapsulates the responses of 135 respondents from
Modelling Services [gjhgjYl]Af\aY$khj]Y\Y[jgkk\a^^]j]flk][lgjkYf\kar]k&L`]kmjn]q
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Services India has remained constant since the last survey. As the cost of equity is
Ernst & Young LLP Y[geZafYlagfg^Yjakc%^j]]jYl]Yf\Yjakchj]eame ^mjl`]j[gehjakaf_
g^YeYjc]ljakchj]eame$YZ]lY^Y[lgjYf\YfYdh`Y^Y[lgj!$Yf\Ykl`]
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and value-creation activities. This is a small step in our quest to deliver
exceptional client service.
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16.8
17.0% 15.4 15.5 15.9
16.0% 15.0 15.1 15.3 15.4
14.1 14.5
15.0% 13.6 13.7 13.7 13.9
14.0%
13.0%
12.0%
11.0%
10.0%
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Industry
. | India cost of capital survey
Trends in cost of equity :Yk]\gfl`]j]khgfk]kYkk`gofaf[`Yjl,$l`]na]o^gjl`]
f]pl)0Ç*,egfl`kYdkgk]]eklg^gddgoYkaeadYjlj]f\$oal`
About half of the respondents believed that their cost of equity the cost of capital largely expected to remain the same. About a
has remained the same in the past 18–24 months. About 15% quarter of the respondents expected it to decrease by <2% and
of the respondents noted an increase of <2% in their cost of about 14% expected the rate to go up by <2%.
equity and nearly an equal proportion felt it has decreased by
4* j]^]j[`Yjl+!&Alakafl]j]klaf_lgfgl]l`Yll`]eYbgjalqg^
Chart 4 - Movement in cost of equity
the respondents considered their cost of equity to have either over the next 18-24 months
remained the same or increased despite policy changes that
have resulted in a reduction in interest rates. 1% Increase by <2%
1%
Increase by 2%-4%
9k\ak[mkk]\]Yjda]j$l`akaf\a[Yl]kl`Yl[gehYfa]kY\bmkl]\
14% Increase by 4%-6%
l`]ajeYjc]ljakchj]eamegj[gehYfq%kh][aÕ[jakchj]eame
24% Increase by >6%
so that their overall cost of capital captures their assessment 9%
g^jakc&L`akYdkg]eh`Ykar]k[gehYfa]kÌY^ÕfalqlgYf Remain same
3%
gj_YfarYlagfYd`mj\d]jYl]Ykghhgk]\lgjYl]kl`YlYj]^gjemdY% Decrease by <2%
1%
based.
Decrease by 2%-4%
Decrease by 4%-6%
Chart 3 - Movement in cost of equity 47%
over the past three years Decrease by >6%
Any other trend
1%
6% Increase by <2%
Increase by 2%-4%
14%
Increase by 4%-6%
16%
10% Increase by >6%
Remained same
4%
1% Decrease by <2%
20%
18
Responses*(%)
15 15
15% 12
9
10%
4
5% 2 2
0%
Alpha factors
Size of company/ project Stage of development /
gestation period
Stake under consideration
Distressed situation All of the above
Company/project speciÕc None of the above
risk factors
Conservativeness / Any other factor
Aggressiveness of projections
*Multiple answer options could be selected
8 | India cost of capital survey
How much is this alpha
adjustment?
More than three-fourths of the respondents considered an
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50%
45% 43
40% 36
35%
30%
25%
20% 15
15%
10% 5
5% 1
0%
Adjustment in discount rate (%)
Enterprise vs. equity level Chart 9 - Use of DCF for valuation analysis
discounting
As a primary tool
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22% 18% In combination with
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other methods like
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transaction
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multiples
kmjn]q]\\ak[gmfll`][Yk`ÖgokYll`]]fl]jhjak]d]n]d&Af
k][lgjkkm[`Yk:>KAYf\afkmjYf[]$dg_akla[k$Yf\hgo]jYf\ Only for
mladala]k$Yld]Ykl--j]khgf\]flk\ak[gmfll`][Yk`ÖgokYll`] 60% benchmarking
equity level. purposes
Chart 11 - Terminal value methodology Chart 12 - Long-term stable growth rate applied
to compute terminal value
40%
9% 37
Gordon Growth 35%
Perpetuity Model
30% 27
44% Exit Multiple
Responses (%)
Method 25%
47%
Others 20%
15%
10 10
10% 7
6
5% 3
0%
Terminal value is an estimate of the potential value that can
0%-2% 2%-4% 5% 6% 7% 8% >8%
be generated by the company/project once it operates at
Terminal growth rate (%)
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or perpetuity value accounts for a large part of the overall
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How does India’s cost of capital Chart 13 - Difference in discount rate, for investing
in India vis-a-vis investment in developed countries
compare with that of developed
35%
countries? 30% 29%
Responses (%) 26%
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15%
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10%
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About one-third of the respondents considered this difference
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None 0%-2% 2%-4% 4%-7% >7% Others
the 2%—4% range. The overall average differential in the cost
of capital for investing in India vs. other developed countries is Difference in discount rate
v, j]^]j[`Yjl)+!&
Source: www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/datasets/ctryprem.xls
(updated as at 05 January 2017)
Target/ investee country India Other
—Ashish Basil
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Yj]Y[lmYddqYhhda]\afl`]j]Ydogjd\&L`akkmjn]qoYk cost of capital/equity. As an improvement over the 2014 edition
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This survey is an exhaustive study on the prevailing industry telecommunications.
practices of estimating cost of capital for valuing companies
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considerations that determine the cost of capital in India and to
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methodologies and industry practices over the last three years.
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