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Madhan Main Final
Madhan Main Final
Madhan Main Final
INTRODUCTION
Though the mutual fund industry in India is relatively new, it has grown
rapidly influencing various sectors of the financial market and the national
economy. Till 1987, the Unit Trust of India (UTI) was the only mutual fund in
India. The industry witnessed an unprecedented level of growth with the
entry of public sector mutual funds, sponsored by nationalized banks and
insurance companies, in 1987. The mutual fund activity attained momentum
in 1993 with the opening up of the industry to private sector fund operators.
MUTUAL FUND
DEFINITION
CONCEPTS
CAPITAL MARKET
STOCK MARKET
Stock market indices are numbers that measure the general movement
of the market. They represent the entire market or segments thereof.
BSE SENSEX
NSE NIFTY
A load fund is one that charges a percentage of NAV for entry or exit.
The investors should take the loads into consideration while making
investment as these affect their yields/returns. A no load fund is one that
does not charge for entry or exit.
ADVANTAGES OF MUTUAL FUNDS FOR INVESTORS
REDUCED RISK
DIVERSIFICATION OF PORTFOLIO
AUTOMATIC REINVESTMENT
LIQUIDITY OF INVESTMENT
SAVING HABIT
Mutual funds encourage saving and investment habit among the public
at large. In India, the saving habit is very important for development of
economy.
TAX SHELTER
SAFETY OF FUNDS
There are two types of mutual funds are available. These are
a. OPEN-ENDED FUND/SCHEME
b. INCOME/DEBT ORIENTED
The aim of balanced fund is to provide both growth and regular income
as such funds invest both in equities and fixed income securities in the
proportion indicated ion the document. These funds are also affected
because of fluctuations in share prices in the stock market.
These funds are also income funds and their aim is to provide easy
liquidity, preservation of capital and moderate income. These schemes invest
exclusively in safer short-term instruments such as Treasury Bills, Certificates
of Deposit, Commercial Paper and Inter-Bank Call Money, Government
Securities, etc. Returns on the scheme fluctuate much less compared to
other funds.
e. GILT FUNDS
f. INDEX FUNDS
Index funds replicate the portfolio of a particular index such as the BSE
Sensitive Index, S&P CNX Nifty, etc. These schemes invest in the securities
in the same weightage comprising of an index. Net Asset Value (NAV) of
such schemes would rise or fall in accordance with the rise or fall in index,
through not exactly by the same percentage due to some factors known as
“tracking error” in technical terms.
There are also exchange traded index funds launched by the mutual
funds, which are traded on the stock exchanges.
g. SECTOR SPECIFIC FUNDS
These schemes offer tax rebates to the investor under the provision of
the income tax act, 1961 as the government offer tax incentives for invest in
specified avenues, (e.g.) Equity linked Savings Schemes (ELSS). Pension
schemes launched by the mutual funds also offer tax benefits.
i. LEVERAGE FUND
It was also known as borrowed funds; these are used to increase the
size of value of portfolio and benefit to members by gains arising out of
excess of gains over cost of borrowed funds. Such mutual funds invest in
risky investments and indulge in speculative trading.
j. HEDGE FUNDS
Floats MF finds
Asset management Manages fund as per
Company SEBI guidelines and
AMC agreement
Provides necessary
Custodian Custodian services
Provides banking
Bankers Services
Provide registrar
Registrars and services and act as
Transfer agents transfer agents
The Sponsor for a mutual fund can be any person who, acting alone or
in combination with another corporate body, establishes the mutual fund and
gets it registered with SEBI. The sponsor is required to contribute at least
40% of the minimum net worth (Rs.10 crore) of the Asset Management
Company (AMC). He must have a sound track record and a reputation for
fairness and integrity in all his business transactions.
BOARD OF TRUSTEES
In India the MF industry started with the setting up of UTI in 1964 and
the same was the only player in the segment till 1987. The Government of
India allowed Public Sector Bank and Financial Institutions to set up MF’s in
1987. As a result, leading public sector banks viz, SBI, Canara bank, Punjab
National bank, Bank of India and Insurance companies such as LIC, GIC, etc.,
entered this new segment. In 1993 the Indian private institutions were
allowed to set up MF were the first entrants respectively into this field after
liberalization.
Starting with an asset base of Rs.0.25 billion in 1964, the industry has
grown at a compounded average growth rate of 26.34% to its current size of
Rs.1130 billion. Of the total 31 players, 11 are in the public sector including
UTI, 758 schemes offered by all the Funds, of which around 120 are close-
ended and the remaining are open-ended. Several innovative schemes, viz
income, growth, balanced, money market, gilt, tax saving, sector specific, etc
have been designed to suit the needs of the different types of investors. In
India the activities of this fast growing industry is regulated by the norms of
Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI).
Until 1987, UTI was the only financial institution in the mutual fund
industry. The first and most popular product launched by UTI was unit 64.
UTI launched a reinvestment plan in 1966-67 and another popular scheme,
Unit Linked Insurance Plan (ULIP) was launched in 1971. By the end of June
1987 the unit capital of UTI was worth Rs.3, 72611 crore and investable funds
totaled over Rs.4.563 crore, while unit holding accounts amounted to 29.79
lakhs.
This period was marked by the entry of Non-UTI public Sector Mutual
Funds into the market, which brought in a degree of competition. With the
opening up of the economy, many public sector financial institutions
established mutual funds in India. However, the mutual funds industry
remained the exclusive domain of the public sector in this period.
The first Non-UTI Mutual Fund – SBI Mutual Fund – was launched by
State Bank of India in November 1987. In 1990 the registration of mutual
funds with SEBI was mandatory. The guidelines were revised and the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (Mutual Funds) regulations, 1993,
came into effect on 20, January 1993. Rules for the formation, administration
and management of mutual funds in India were clearly laid down. The
regulations made the formation of Asset Management Company (AMC) and
the listing of close-ended schemes compulsory. With a view to protecting
investors’ rights, disclosure norms were also tightened.
A new era in the mutual funds industry began in 1993 with the entry of
private sector funds, which posed serious competition to the existing public
sector funds. Private sector funds have distinct operational advantages, such
as the following:
The first private sector mutual fund to launch a scheme was the
Madras-based Kothari Pioneer Mutual Fund. It was launched the open-ended
Prima Fund in November 1993.
MILESTONES IN THE JOURNEY OF MUTUAL FUNDS IN INDIA
YEAR MILESTONES
1991 Stock market gets into bull frenzy. Overheated markets crash
as the magnitude of the of the stock market scam unfolds.
1993 Mutual funds book heavy losses. And allowing Private sector
participation in mutual funds.
1999 Budget announces further concessions and the Bull Run for
mutual funds’ begin all over again.
The most important trend in the mutual fund industry is the aggressive
expansion of the foreign-owned mutual fund companies and the decline of the
companies floated by nationalized banks and smaller private sector players.
Private players have been largely dependent upon big customers and have
generally failed to get retail. Many nationalized banks got into the mutual fund
business in the early nineties prevailing then. These banks did not really
understand the mutual fund business and they just viewed it as another kind
of banking activity. Few hired specialized staff and generally chose to transfer
staff from the parent organizations. The performance of most of the schemes
floated by these funds was not good. Some schemes had offered guaranteed
returns and their parent organizations had to bail out these Asset
Management Company (AMC) by paying large amounts of money as the
difference between the guaranteed and actual returns. The service levels
were also very poor. Most of these Asset Management Company’s (AMC)
have not been able to retain staff, float new schemes etc. and it is doubtful
whether, barring a few exceptions, they have serious plans of continuing the
activity in a major way. The experience of some of the Asset Management
Company (AMC) floated by private sector Indian companies was also very
similar. The quickly realized that the Asset Management Company (AMC)
business is a business, which makes money in the long term and requires
deep-pocketed support in the intermediate years. Some have sold out to
foreign owned companies, some have merged with others and there is
general restructuring going on.
The foreign owned companies have deep pockets and have come in
here with the expectation of a long haul. They can be credited with
introducing many new practices such as new product innovation, sharp
improvement in service standards and disclosure, usage of technology, broker
education and support etc. In fact, they have forced the industry to upgrade
itself and service levels of organizations like UTI have improved dramatically
in the last few years in response to the competition provided by them. Those
directly associated with the fund management industry like distributors,
registrars and transfer agents and even the regulators have become more
mature and responsible. Considering the changing trend in the capital
market, the funds have shifted their focus to the recession-free sector like
Pharma, FMCG etc. Mutual funds are now also competing with commercial
banks in the race to retain investor’s savings and corporate float money.
Recent figures indicate that mutual fund assets went up by only 17%. It is just
that mutual funds are going to change the way banks do business in the
future.
1.2 STATEMENT OF PROBLEM
Many Medias had stated that market sentiment in BSE and NSE had
made an improvement only because of mutual funds. But this might not be
true. Since many factors might have contributed to the better sentiment like
transaction from Indian financial institutions, better economic indicator and
other political factors. To capture this issue, the researcher had undertaken
the present study to bring out the relevant facts by titling “A STUDY ON
IMPACT OF MUTUAL FUNDS IN INDIAN STOCK MARKET”.
1.3 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
This study also helps to understand the movement of BSE Sensex and
S&P CNX Nifty which is considered as the important indicator of the Indian
stock market. As an investor one could identify the reasons behind the
volatility in the Indian stock market. But this might not be a helping tool in
selecting a stock. Further research can be done on the mutual fund with the
help of daily data on mutual fund and its impact on market capitalization,
volatility.
1.5 LIMITAITONS OF THE STUDY
The study points out the trends in mutual funds as factors which
have a relationship with benchmark index and testing and the inter
relationship is on the further side of scope of the study.
The study considered the trends in mutual funds from January 2000
to July 2004.
The study considered only the monthly closing price of the SENSEX
and S&P CNX NIFTY.
Out of the variables, the study has not considered the variables
other than those mentioned in the methodology.
CHAPTER II
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Dulari Pancholi1 in his study, “The Benefits of Hybrid Mutual Funds”, for
this purpose of the study he collected data form Morningstar for the period
1998-2002 and representative hedge fund data was obtained from Evaluation
Associates Hedge Fund Indices and CISDM Alternative Investment Database.
These funds were examined and classified into Return Enhancers, risk
Reducers, Total Diversifiers, Pure diversifiers and Return Modifiers based on
their correlation with an equal weighted stock (S&P 500) and bond (Lehman
US Government/Credit bond index) [schneeweis and Spurgin, 2000].
Classification was made primarily as:
Return Enhancer: High return and High correlation with the existing
stock/bond portfolio.
Risk Reducer: Lower return and Low correlation with the existing
stock/bond portfolio.
Total Diversifier: High return and low correlation with the existing
stock/bond portfolio.
1
DULARI PANCHOLI (2003), “The Benefits Of Hybrid Mutual Funds”,
Submitted to Isenberg School of Management, University of Massachusetts.
This classification was than used to create an equal weighted index for
all the return enhancer, return modifiers and risk reducer funds in the sample
to study their risk-return performance and to examine the types of
diversification benefits that could be extracted by inclusion of these funds in
existing portfolios. To analyze factor sensitivity for each fund, monthly returns
of the fund were regressed on monthly returns of the factor.
2
SARAVANAMBIGA DEVI. S (2002), “A Study on The Perception of
Investors Towards UTI”, Dissertation submitted to Master of Philosophy,
Bharathiar University, Coimbatore.
4. To identify the factors which influence the investors for the
selection of UTI scheme.
For this purpose of the study she collected both primary and secondary
data relating to the progress of UTI. From the annual reports or UTI and
interviewed 50 UTI investors by judgment sampling method.
She used the statistical tools for analysis such as compound growth
rate, average rate, and coefficient of range. And to test the hypotheses
various non-parametric tests viz, chi-square test, kruskal-wallis, H-test,
Wilcoxon-mann-whitney ‘u’test and kolmogrov simirnov ‘n’ test cox and Stuart
test was used to evaluate the progress of UTI.
Finally, she concludes that UTI has to take necessary steps to retain
unit holders as will as to attract new invests by offering varies of schemes.
3
LUBOS PASTOR and ROBERT F. STAMBAUGH (2001), “Investing in
Equity Mutual Funds” submitted to the Rodney L. White Center for Financial
Research, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.
For this study they collected the data from the 1998 CRSP Survivor
Bias Free Mutual Fund Database. They took an initial sample of 2,609
domestic equity mutual funds. They exclude multiple share classes for the
same fund as well as funds with only a year or less of available returns.
Finally they found that portfolios with maximum Sharpe ratios from a
universe of 503 no-load equity mutual funds. The optimal portfolios are
substantially affected by prior beliefs about pricing and skill as well as by
including the information in non-benchmark assets. A pricing model is useful
to an investor seeking a high Sharpe ratio, even if the investor has less than
complete confidence in the model’s pricing accuracy and cannot invest
directly in the benchmarks. With investment in the benchmarks precluded,
even investors who believe completely in a pricing model and rule out the
possibility of manager skill can include active funds in their portfolios. The
fund universe offers no close substitutes for the benchmarks than passive
funds. We also find that the “hot-hand” portfolio of the previous year’s best-
performing funds does not appear in the portfolio of funds with the highest
Sharpe ratio, even when momentum is believed to the priced.
Richard K. Lyons et al4 in their study, “Mutual Fund in Emerging
Markets: An Overview” International mutual funds are key contributors to the
globalization of financial markets and one of the main sources of capital flows
to emerging economies. First, they describe their relative size, asset
allocation, and country allocation.
The data collected form the World Bank and the Bank for International
Settlements (BIS), the Securities and Exchange commission (SEC), the
Investment Company Institute, Morningstar, Emerging market Funds
Research, frank Russell, AMG Data services, Lipper analytical Services, and
State Street Bank have partial information on institutional investors.
Second, at the same time that mutual funds in many cases have
experienced growth, Asian and Latin American funds were the ones achieving
4
RICHARD K. LYONS et al (2001), “Mutual Fund In Emerging Markets: An
Overview”, World Economic Review, 15:2, Pp.315-340.
the fastest growth. Their size remains small, however, when compared to
domestic U.S. funds and global funds.
Third, when investing abroad, U.S. Mutual funds invest mostly in equity
rather than bonds. Funds in the global category mainly invest in developed
nations (the U.S., Canada, Europe, and Japan).
Fourth, mutual fund investment was very responsive during the crises
of the 1990’s. The Mexican crisis mostly affected Latin America, while the
Asian and Russian crises had a large impact on Asian and Latin American
funds.
5
SITALAKSHMI RAMANAN (2000), “Performance Evaluation of Private
Sector Mutual Fund Growth Schemes”, Dissertation submitted to Master of
Philosophy, Bharathiar University, Coimbatore, India.
2. To analyze the impact of differ market indices on portfolio
returns of private sector growth schemes.
She collected the data from Sensex and BSE 100 from the BSE Official
Directory for 1996, 1997 and 1998. She calculated the returns on the basis of
month end net asset values published in Express Investment Week.
The tools for this analysis of evaluating the portfolio performance was
based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model which specifies that in equilibrium,
there is a linear relationship between return on a security and the risk
associated with it.
6
ROGER M. EDELEN et al (1999), “Transaction-cost Expenditures and the
Relative Performance of Mutual Funds”, Submitted to the Rodney L. White
Center for Financial Research, The Wharton School, University of
Pennsylvania.
Trading costs, like expense ratios, was negatively related to fund
returns and they found no evidence that on average trading costs was
recovered in higher gross fund returns.
They collected the data from the 1987 summer volume of Morningstar’s
Source book, they took a sample size of 165 funds, out of them 29 funds was
dropped because portfolio holdings data were not available. Four funds were
dropped because the funds held less than 50% of their assets in equity for the
entire sample period (1984-1991). They require a minimum of 50% of assets
in equity because their trading cost data was limited to equity securities. The
sample of 132 funds represents a variety of investment objectives. Using
CRSP mutual fund investment objective classifications, their sample was 25%
aggressive growth funds, 39% growth funds, 28% growth and income funds,
and 8% income funds. They used the correlation and regression as tools for
analysis.Finally, they found that the negative association between fund
returns and trading costs suggests that it pays to have fund managers who
mitigate the cost of such trades. The poor returns cause higher trading costs
because investors leave funds with poor returns which generate additional
trading costs.
7
ROBERT E. CUMBY and JACK D. GLEN (1999) in their study, “Evaluation
of Performance of International Mutual Fund”, The Journal of Finance, vol.
XLV, No. 2, June-99, Pp. 497-520.
They first use the security market line to evaluate fund performance. The
second used positive period weighting measure.
1. Whether the growth oriented Mutual Fund are earning higher returns
than the Benchmark returns (or market Portfolio/Index returns) in
terms of risk.
8
JAYADEV. M,(1996) ”Mutual Fund Performance: An Analysis of Monthly
Returns”, FINANCE INDIA, Vol. X, No. 1, March 1996, Pp. 73–84.
published in ‘The Economic Times’. ‘The Economic Times Ordinary Share
Price Index’ (ETOSHPI) is assumed as Market Index or the Benchmark.
From the above analysis, it can be noted that the two growth oriented
mutual funds have not performed better than their benchmark indicators.
Though Master Gain has performed better than the benchmark of its
systematic risk (volatility) but with respect to total risk the fund has not out
performed the Market Index.
9
WILLLIAM F.SHARPE (1996), “Mutual Fund Performance”, journal of
business, vol. 39, no. 1, Pp 138-199.
they inversely related with a rank correlation coefficient of 0.505. A high and
positive Sharpe ration is a sign of good performance. White a low and
negative ratio indicates inferior performance of fund.
10
GRINBLATT.M and TITMAN.S, (1994) “A Study of Monthly Mutual Fund
Returns and Performance Evaluation Technologies”, Journal of Financial and
Quantitative Analysis, vol.29, No.3, September 1994, Pp. 419 – 444.
11
SHOME, SUJAN (1994), “A Study of the Performance of Indian Mutual
Funds” unpublished study, Jhansi University.
Ramola12 in her study says that in India the concept of mutual fund has its
baptism in the form of the creation of UTI under the UTI Act 1964. The first
open-ended scheme was floated by UTI in 1964. However the original
concept different substantially form the shape and content of the present day
mutual fund schemes. The present day mutual fund schemes are close-
ended funds. They not only provide fixed income at regular intervals but also
have the benefits of capital appreciation at the end. These funds which are
earlier limited to UTI have new been given practical relevance and a large
number of mutual funds have recently been floated and many other are in the
process of being so.
Ippolito (1989) and Droms and Walker13 (1992), “Efficiency with costly
information: A study of mutual fund performance” examined the effects of
asset size, expense ratio, portfolio turnover, and load and no load status on
investment performance of domestic mutual funds. In both studies, it was
found that domestic mutual fund risk adjusted returns, net of fees and
expenses are comparable to returns to index funds. They found that portfolio
turnover is unrelated to fund performances.
14
ROY D HERRIKASAN AND MERTON, (1984) “Market Tuning Mutual Fund
Performance”, Journal of Business, vol.57, No.1, 1984, Pp.678 – 698.
CHAPTER III
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
RESEARCH DESIGN
The purpose of the study was to analyze the effect of Mutual Fund
transactions on the BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty as well as the statistical
estimation of the selected variables. The collection of data was time series
because the data was on monthly basis and was tested through statistical
application like correlation and multiple regression. Hence it was both
descriptive and analytical.
SOURCE OF DATA
The study was based on the secondary data. The required data had
been collected from the web site of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), National
Stock Exchange (NSE) and Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI).
PERIOD OF STUDY
For this study the data were collected for 4 years and 7 months and it
is a monthly data from January 2000 to July 2004.
CORRELATION
∑(X )( )
n
i − X Yi − Y
r= i =1
nσxσy
Where,
It was assumed that BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty was a function of
Mutual Fund purchasing and sales of Equity and Debt. Hence the model took
the form:
Y = b0 + b1 GP + b2 G + U
Y = b0 +b1 GPvt.S + b2 GPS + b3 GUTI + b4 RPvt.S + b5 RPS + b6
RUTI + U
Where
b0 = constant
GP = Gross Purchase of Equity and Debt Mutual Fund
GS = Gross Sales of Equity and Debt Mutual Fund
GPvt.S = Gross Private Sector
GPS = Gross Public Sector
GUTI = Gross UTI
RPvt.S = Redemption of Private Sector
RPS = Redemption of Public Sector
RUTI = Redemption of UTI
U = error term
SELECTION OF VARIABLES
The selected variables for the Correlation are Equity Gross Purchase
(EGP), Equity Gross Sales (EGS), Debt Gross Purchase (DGP), Debt Gross
Sales (DGS), Gross Private Sector (GPvt.S), Gross Public Sector (GPS),
Gross UTI Sector (GUTI), Redemption Private Sector (RPvt.S), Redemption
Public Sector (RPS), Redemption UTI Sector (RUTI), BSE Sensex and NSE
Nifty.
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
TABLE 4.1(1)
The table 4.1(1) revealed that the mutual fund Gross Purchase of
Equity was positively correlated significant with BSE Sensex having 31
percent. The relationship between Sensex and Gross Sales of equity Mutual
funds was having 23 percent relationship but found to be insignificant. This
positive correlation showed that whenever there was an increase or decrease
in the purchase behavior of Mutual fund, the Sensex also increased positively.
The Table 4.1(2) revealed that the mutual fund Gross Purchase of
Equity was positively correlated and significant with NSE Nifty having 79 per
cent relationship.
The relationship between Equity Gross Sales and NSE Nifty was
positively correlated and significant having 79 per cent. But the relationship
between Gross Purchase and Sales of Debt was negatively correlated having
7 per cent and 5 per cent respectively and it was found to insignificant.
TABLE 4.1(3)
The Table 4.1(3) showed that it was found that relationship between
the Sensex and Gross private sector mutual fund was negatively correlated
having 19 percent relationship but it was found to be insignificant.
The mutual funds Gross public sector was negatively correlated with
BSE Sensex having 17 percent relationship but it was found to be
insignificant.
The Mutual funds Gross UTI was positively correlated significant with
BSE Sensex having 39 percent. This positive correlation showed that
whenever there was an increase or decrease in the Gross UTI sector Mutual
funds, the Sensex also increased positively.
The table 4.1(4) showed that the Mutual Funds Gross private sector
was positively correlated with NSE Nifty having 3 percent relationship but it
was found to be insignificant. It was also found that relationship between Nifty
and a Gross public sector Mutual fund was positively correlated having 3
percent relationship but it was insignificant. .
It was also found that the Redemption UTI sector mutual fund was
found significantly correlated with NSE Nifty having 39 percent relationship.
The positive correlation showed that whenever there was an increase or
decrease in the Redemption UTI sector Mutual Funds, the Nifty also
increased positively.
MULTIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS
TABLE 4.2(1)
Dependent Coefficient of
R2 F
Variable b0 b1 b2 b3 b4
() – Standard Error
Coefficient of
Dependen
R2 F
t variable
b0 b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6
- - -
8.145 0.279* 0.06252 -0.129
Sensex 0.0348 0.0628 0.0832 0.314 3.512
(0.800) (0.068) (0.179) (0.097)
(0.147) (0.102) (0.115)
() – Standard Error
The above table revealed that the Sensex was dependent variable and
it was regressed on the independent variables such as Gross Public sector,
Gross Private sector, Gross UTI, Redemption Private Sector, Redemption
Public Sector and Redemption UTI. The table found that the coefficient of
determination represented by R2 was 31 percent and it explained that 31
percent of the variation in the Sensex could be explained by the selected
explanatory variables. Since the table value as F was less than the calculated
F value, it was found to be significant and this model represented as a
goodness of fit. Since the Gross UTI mutual fund was to be significant,
therefore for every one percent increase in the Gross UTI mutual fund, the
Sensex extended by 28 percent.
TABLE 4.2(3)
Coefficient of R2 F
Dependen
t variable
b0 b1 b2 b3 b4
() – Standard Error
The table, which was showed above, explains that Nifty of dependent
variable and it was regressed on the independent variable such as Equity
Gross Purchase, Equity Gross Sales, Debt Gross Purchase and Debt Gross
Sales. The analyze showed that coefficient of determination represented by
R2 was 73 percent and the model was explained that 73 percent of variation in
the Nifty could be explained by selected explanatory variables. It was found
that calculated value F was more than the table value at 5 percent level
significant and this model represented as a goodness of fit. The Equity Gross
Sales was found to be significant, there fore every one percent increase in
Gross sales of Equity, the Nifty increased by 22 percent. It was also found
that Debt Gross sales was significant, there fore every one percent decrease
in Debt Gross sales, the Nifty increased by 14 percent.
TABLE 4.2(4)
Coefficient of
Dependen
R2 F
t variable
b0 b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6
- - -
6.144 0.152* 0.01609 0.004984
NIFTY 0.0119 0.0458 0.00507 0.490 7.373
(0.344) (0.029) (0.077) (0.097)
(0.063) (0.044) (0.049)
() – Standard Error
The above equation showed that out of the variables, which were
regressed on, it was made clear, that only Gross UTI sector was found to be a
significant, therefore, for every one percent increase in Gross UTI sector the
Nifty extended by 15 percent.
CHAPTER V
FINDINGS
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
The study revealed that the mutual fund Gross Purchase of Equity was
positively correlated with BSE Sensex having 31 percent and NSE Nifty
having 79 percent. It was also found that Mutual funds Gross sales was
positively correlated with Nifty having 79 percent but the relationship between
Sensex and Gross Sales of mutual funds was having 23 percent relationship.
This positive correlation showed that whenever there was an increase or
decrease in the purchase behavior of Mutual fund, the Sensex and nifty also
increased positively.
The analysis showed that the Mutual Funds Gross private sector was
positively correlated with NSE Nifty having 3 percent relationship. It was also
found that the relationship between the Sensex and Gross private sector
mutual fund was negatively correlated having 19 percent relationship. The
mutual funds Gross public sector was negatively correlated with BSE Sensex
having 17 percent relationship. It was also found that relationship between
Nifty and a Gross public sector Mutual fund was positively correlated having 3
percent relationship.
The Mutual funds Gross UTI was positively correlated BSE Sensex and
NSE Nifty having 39 percent and 62 percent respectively. This positive
correlation showed that whenever there was an increased or decreased in the
Gross UTI sector Mutual funds, the Sensex and Nifty also increased
positively.
In this study, when Sensex was regressed on the Equity and Debt
purchase/sales respectively, the table value as F was less than the calculated
F value, it was found to be significant and presented a goodness of fit. Of the
variable, which was regressed on, it was made clear, that any mutual funds
Equity purchase was found to be significant, i.e., for every one percent
increase in the Gross Purchase of Equity, the Sensex increased by 49
percent.
The analysis revealed that the Sensex was dependent variable and it
was regressed on the independent variables such as Gross Public sector,
Gross Private sector, Gross UTI, Redemption Private Sector, Redemption
Public Sector and Redemption UTI. The table value as F was less than the
calculated F value, it was found to be significant and this model represented
as a goodness of fit. Since the Gross UTI mutual fund was to be significant,
therefore for every one percent increase in the Gross UTI mutual fund, the
Sensex extended by 28 percent.
In the year 2000 the equity gross purchase and sales was under
performed with Sensex but not against Nifty. The debt gross purchase was
out performed with Nifty but not against Sensex. The debt gross sales was
under performed with Sensex and performed well against Nifty.
In the year 2001 the equity gross purchase was under performed with
Sensex and Nifty. The equity gross sales were performed well against Nifty
but not against Sensex. The debt gross purchase was out performed against
Sensex and Nifty. The debt gross sales were under performed with Sensex
and performed well against Nifty.
In the year 2002 the equity gross purchase was under performed with
Sensex but not against with Nifty. The equity sales were performed well
against Nifty and it out performed against Sensex. The Debt gross purchase
was under performed against Sensex and performed well against Nifty. The
debt gross sales were out performed with Nifty but not against Sensex.
In the year 2003 the equity gross purchase and sales were under
performed with Sensex and performed well against Nifty. The debt gross
purchase was performed well against Sensex and Nifty but the debt gross
sales were performed well against Nifty but not against Sensex.
In the year 2004 up to July, equity gross purchase and sales were
under performed with Sensex and performed well against Nifty. The Debt
gross purchase and sales were under performed well against Sensex and
Nifty.
CONCLUSION
The analysis thus for made to show that equity Gross purchase of
mutual fund had a significant relationship on Sensex and Nifty. The Gross
sale of equity mutual fund had a significant relationship on Nifty. The Debt
gross purchase and sales of mutual fund had a significant relation with
Sensex. The gross UTI sector had a significant relationship on Sensex and
Nifty.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
www.amfi.com
www.bseindia.com
www.bestpapers.com
www.equitymaster.com
www.findarticles.com
www.finance.Wharton.upenn.edu\~rlwctr
www.indiainfoline.com
www.mutualfundsindia.com
www.nseindia.com
www.sebi.gov.in
www.venuscapital.com
LIST OF DATA
RESOURCE MOBILIZATION