Colonial Origins of Comparative Development

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12/2/18

The colonial origins of


comparative
development
(Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson, 2001)

Luis E. García Westphalen, Ph.D.


Ph.D. in International Development

Research Question:

¡What are the fundamental causes


of the differences between per
capita income across countries?

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Literature Review: causes of


economic differences
1. Percentage of European
descendent population.
2. Ethnic Fragmentation.
3. Religion.
4. Geography, climate, natural
resources, soil quality (distance to
the equator),

Literature Review (Cont.)


5. Diseases (malaria, infant mortality,
life expectancy/span).
6. Colonizer (legal tradition).
7. Institutions have the biggest impact
in economic growth and, thus, in
economic differences.

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Literature Review:
Institutions
¡ Strong correlation between institutions
and economic development
(Property rights, Expropriation Risk Index).

¡ 50% of variation in per capita income is


consequence of different protection of
property rights.
¡ Is there a causal relationship? Is there
any biases?

Lit. Rev: Institutions and


Economic performance

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Hypothesis: What determines


different quality of institutions?
¡ Different colonizer strategy:
ØExtractive states vs. Neo-European states
(Representative institutions, Rule of Law,
Property rights).

¡ Decisive factor:
ØEuropean (colonizers) mortality.

¡ Importance of colonizer strategy:


ØInstitutional persistence.

Hypothesis: What determines the


differences in institutional quality?

(Potential) Settler
Settlement
Mortality

early institutions current Institutions

current
performance

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Methodology:
¡ Level of settlement in colonies?
ØMortality of colonizer soldiers (Curtin, 1989,
“Death by Migration) (s. XVII – XIX).
ØMortality of catholic priests during
colonization (s. XVII – XIX) (Records of the
Vatican).

¡ Quality of institutions?
ØExpropriation Risk Index (Political Risk
Services).

Findings
¡ Strong correlation between the colonizer
mortality index (CMI) and current
institutional quality index (Expropriation
Risk Index).
¡ CMI explains about 20% of variation in
the Expropriation Risk Index (IRE)
¡ Strong correlation between the CMI and
current levels of development.

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Findings: CMI & Economic


performance

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Findings: econometric
controls
¡ Geography (temperature, weather):
ØDo not have a significate impact on
economic development.

¡ Religion:
ØDo not have a significate impact on
economic development.

¡ Natural resources (soil quality):


ØDo not have a significate impact on
economic development.

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Findings: econometric
controls
¡ Life expectancy, infant mortality, and
malaria:
ØDo not have a significate impact on
economic development.
¡ European population:
ØDo not have a significate impact on
economic development.
¡ British colonies:
ØDoes have an impact on economic
development (but it is much less than the
colonizer strategy).

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Final remarks
¡ An institutional change can contribute
significantly to economic development.
¡ An institutional change is possible. For
example:
¡ Japan (Meiji Restoration)
¡ South Korea (1960’s)

¡ Institutional features (such as expropriation risk,


property rights enforcement, or rule of law)
could probably reflect an equilibrium outcome
related to some more fundamental
“institutions” (e.g., presidential vs.
parliamentary system).

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¡ End of presentation.

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