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    Skating Speed: A Statistical Approach To Modelling

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    Jason Meehan
    This document presents a statistical approach to modeling skating speed using off-ice metrics. It involves 3 phases: 1) identifying whether on-ice speed can be predicted from off-ice metrics, 2) analyzing whether off-ice metrics trend with skating speed over time, and 3) determining if improving off-ice metrics transfers to increased on-ice speed. Countermovement jump data from 42 hockey players was used to predict 30-meter skating times through linear regression with k-fold cross validation, achieving a prediction accuracy of 73% and error of 0.147 seconds.

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    Skating Speed: A Statistical Approach To Modelling

    Uploaded by

    Jason Meehan
    41 views13 pages
    This document presents a statistical approach to modeling skating speed using off-ice metrics. It involves 3 phases: 1) identifying whether on-ice speed can be predicted from off-ice metrics, 2) analyzing whether off-ice metrics trend with skating speed over time, and 3) determining if improving off-ice metrics transfers to increased on-ice speed. Countermovement jump data from 42 hockey players was used to predict 30-meter skating times through linear regression with k-fold cross validation, achieving a prediction accuracy of 73% and error of 0.147 seconds.

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    Bendus_Modelling Skating Speed 2020.05.09.

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    This document presents a statistical approach to modeling skating speed using off-ice metrics. It involves 3 phases: 1) identifying whether on-ice speed can be predicted from off-ice metrics, 2) analyzing whether off-ice metrics trend with skating speed over time, and 3) determining if improving off-ice metrics transfers to increased on-ice speed. Countermovement jump data from 42 hockey players was used to predict 30-meter skating times through linear regression with k-fold cross validation, achieving a prediction accuracy of 73% and error of 0.147 seconds.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    41 views13 pages

    Skating Speed: A Statistical Approach To Modelling

    Uploaded by

    Jason Meehan
    This document presents a statistical approach to modeling skating speed using off-ice metrics. It involves 3 phases: 1) identifying whether on-ice speed can be predicted from off-ice metrics, 2) analyzing whether off-ice metrics trend with skating speed over time, and 3) determining if improving off-ice metrics transfers to increased on-ice speed. Countermovement jump data from 42 hockey players was used to predict 30-meter skating times through linear regression with k-fold cross validation, achieving a prediction accuracy of 73% and error of 0.147 seconds.

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    of 13

    A Statistical Approach to

    Modelling Skating Speed

    Vicki Bendus, MSc, CSCS

    Lead Sport Performance Coach


    Hockey & Soccer
    Brock University

    Lead S&C Coach


    National Women’s Development Team
    Hockey Canada
    On Ice Assessments

    What is speed?

    Physical & Technical

    How is it produced?

    Game Analysis

    How is it used?
    PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3
    Identify & Hypothesize Longitudinal Trends Transfer of Training

    Can we predict on ice speed from off ice Do the off ice KPIs trend with skating Does improving the off ice KPIs
    metrics? speed? transfer to on ice speed?
    Mean SD Min Max

    N = 42 ICE 0-10m (s) 1.999 0.139 1.772 2.266

    ICE 20-30m (s) 1.188 0.089 1.042 1.380


    24 Men
    18 Women ICE 0-30m (s) 4.542 0.314 4.058 5.129

    Jump Height (m) 0.344 0.073 0.232 0.500


    How accurately can we predict 30m skating time from a CMJ test?
    CMJ Force−Time Trace
    3000

    2000
    Force (N)

    1000

    0
    1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5
    Time (s)
    BRAKING Trace PROPULSIVE ADDITIONAL
    CMJ Force−Time
    3000 Avg. Braking Force Avg. Propulsive Force Impulse Ratio
    Avg. Braking Power Avg. Propulsive Power Jump Height
    Avg. Braking Velocity Avg. Propulsive Velocity mRSI
    Avg. Relative Braking Force Avg. Relative Propulsive Force Stiffness
    Avg. Relative Braking Power Avg. Relative Propulsive Power System Weight
    Braking Impulse Peak Propulsive Force Takeoff Velocity
    Braking Net Impulse Peak Propulsive Power Time to Takeoff
    Braking Phase Peak Relative Propulsive Force
    Braking RFD Peak Relative Propulsive Power
    Peak Braking Force Positive Impulse
    Peak Relative Braking Force Positive Net Impulse *EXCLUDED
    2000 Peak Relative Braking Power Propulsive Impulse
    Propulsive Net Impulse Landing Metrics
    L / R Metrics
    Relative Braking Impulse
    Relative Braking Net Impulse Propulsive Phase
    Relative Propulsive Impulse
    Force (N)

    Relative Propulsive Net Impulse

    UNWEIGHTING 38 Initial Inputs


    Unweighting Phase

    1000

    0
    1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5
    Time (s)
    Training Data Testing Data

    Separate Create Test


    datasets model model

    Linear Regression

    Model LASSO

    K-fold Cross Validation


    BRAKING Trace PROPULSIVE ADDITIONAL
    CMJ Force−Time
    3000 Avg. Braking Force Avg. Propulsive Force Impulse Ratio
    Avg. Braking Power Avg. Propulsive Power Jump Height
    Avg. Braking Velocity Avg. Propulsive Velocity mRSI
    Avg. Relative Braking Force Avg. Relative Propulsive Force Stiffness
    Avg. Relative Braking Power Avg. Relative Propulsive Power System Weight
    Braking Impulse Peak Propulsive Force Takeoff Velocity
    Braking Net Impulse Peak Propulsive Power Time to Takeoff
    Braking Phase Peak Relative Propulsive Force
    Braking RFD Peak Relative Propulsive Power
    Peak Braking Force Positive Impulse
    Peak Relative Braking Force Positive Net Impulse *EXCLUDED
    2000 Peak Relative Braking Power Propulsive Impulse
    Propulsive Net Impulse Landing Metrics
    L / R Metrics
    Relative Braking Impulse
    Relative Braking Net Impulse Propulsive Phase
    Relative Propulsive Impulse
    Force (N)

    Relative Propulsive Net Impulse

    UNWEIGHTING 38 Initial Inputs


    Unweighting Phase

    1000

    0
    1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5
    Time (s)
    BRAKING Trace PROPULSIVE ADDITIONAL
    CMJ Force−Time
    3000 Avg. Braking Force Avg. Propulsive Force Impulse Ratio
    Avg. Braking Power Avg. Propulsive Power Jump Height
    Avg. Braking Velocity Avg. Propulsive Velocity mRSI
    Avg. Relative Braking Force Avg. Relative Propulsive Force Stiffness
    Avg. Relative Braking Power Avg. Relative Propulsive Power System Weight
    Braking Impulse Peak Propulsive Force Takeoff Velocity
    Braking Net Impulse Peak Propulsive Power Time to Takeoff
    Braking Phase Peak Relative Propulsive Force
    Braking RFD Peak Relative Propulsive Power
    Peak Braking Force Positive Impulse
    Peak Relative Braking Force Positive Net Impulse EXCLUDED
    2000 Peak Relative Braking Power Propulsive Impulse
    Relative Braking Impulse Propulsive Net Impulse
    Relative Braking Net Impulse Propulsive Phase
    Relative Propulsive Impulse
    Force (N)

    Relative Propulsive Net Impulse

    UNWEIGHTING 4 Final Inputs

    1000

    0
    1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5
    Time (s)
    Testing Data
    Predicted vs Actual: Linear Regression with k−Fold Cross Validation
    Predicted vs Actual Skate Times

    5.0
    (s)

    4.8
    Times
    Times (s)

    4.6
    Skate
    Actual Skate
    Actual

    4.4

    R2 = 73%
    Error = 0.147s
    4.2

    4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0


    Predicted Skate Times (s)
    Predicted Skate Times (s)
    Testing Data
    Model Coefficients Model Coefficients

    Propulsive Impulse Propulsive Impulse

    Propulsive Net Impulse Propulsive Net Impulse


    Input

    Impulse Ratio Impulse Ratio

    Takeoff Velocity Takeoff Velocity

    −0.20 −0.15 −0.10 −0.05 0.00


    Coefficient
    Coefficients
    APPLICATION
    &NEXT STEPS

    vickibendus@gmail.com

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