Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 42

STO CKS | FUNDS | I NVEST ME NT T RU STS | P E NS I ONS AND SAVI N GS

SHARES
VOL 19 / ISSUE 39 / 05 OCTOBER 2017 / £4.49

WE MAKE INVESTING EASIER


OUR T O P
STOCK PICKS
FOR 2017
10.7E %
GAIN
AVER AG
SO FAR

WILL EASYJET
BENEFIT FROM
RYANAIR AND
MONARCH WOES?

THE SIMPLE WAY


TO EXIT AN
INVESTMENT IF
SOMETHING GOES
WRONG

HOW TO INVEST IN
THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE
REVOLUT ON
The engineers, chemical firms and miners plugged into this fast growing industry
EDITOR’S VIEW

Happy birthday to the


new-look Shares
We’ve been a digital-only publication for a year but helping investors since 1999

I
ƚ͛ƐƟŵĞƚŽǁŝƐŚŚĂƉƉLJďŝƌƚŚĚĂLJƚŽ ƉĞŽƉůĞƉƵƫŶŐŵŽŶĞLJŝŶƚŚĞŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ
SharesĂƐĂŶŽŶůŝŶĞͲŽŶůLJƉƵďůŝĐĂƟŽŶ͘ ǀĞƌƐŝŽŶŽĨƚŚĞƚĂdžͲĞĸĐŝĞŶƚǁƌĂƉƉĞƌ
/ƚ͛ƐďĞĞŶĂLJĞĂƌƐŝŶĐĞǁĞƐƚŽƉƉĞĚ ŝŶƚŚĞƚĂdžLJĞĂƌĞŶĚŝŶŐϱƉƌŝůϮϬϭϳ͘/Ŷ
ƉƌŝŶƟŶŐƚŚĞŵĂŐĂnjŝŶĞĂŶĚƐǁŝƚĐŚĞĚƚŚĞ ĐŽŵƉĂƌŝƐŽŶ͕ƚŚĞŶƵŵďĞƌŽĨƐƚŽĐŬƐĂŶĚ
ĚŝŐŝƚĂůǁŽƌůĚ͘ ƐŚĂƌĞƐ/^ĂĐĐŽƵŶƚƐǁŝƚŚŵŽŶĞƚĂƌLJ
/͛ŵŚĂƉƉLJƚŽƐĂLJŝƚŚĂƐďĞĞŶĂ ŝŶŇŽǁƐǁĂƐůŽǁĞƌŝŶƚŚĞƉƌĞǀŝŽƵƐLJĞĂƌ
ǀĞƌLJƐƵĐĐĞƐƐĨƵůϭϮŵŽŶƚŚƐĂƐƌĞĂĚĞƌ ĂƚϮ͘ϱϯϵŵ͘
ŶƵŵďĞƌƐŚĂǀĞŐŽŶĞƵƉĂŶĚǁĞ͛ǀĞďĞĞŶ /ŶƚĞƌĞƐƟŶŐůLJ͕ƚŚĞƌĞǁĂƐƚŚĞƌĞǀĞƌƐĞ
ĂďůĞƚŽŚĞůƉĞǀĞŶŵŽƌĞƉĞŽƉůĞŝŵƉƌŽǀĞ ŽĨƚŚŝƐƚƌĞŶĚǁŝƚŚĐĂƐŚ/^ƐǁŚĞƌĞƚŚĞ
ƚŚĞŝƌŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐƐŬŝůůƐ͘ ŶƵŵďĞƌŽĨĂĐĐŽƵŶƚƐǁŝƚŚŶĞǁŵŽŶĞƚĂƌLJ
/ŚŽƉĞLJŽƵĞŶũŽLJƚŚĞĚŝŐŝƚĂů ƐƵďƐĐƌŝƉƟŽŶƐĨĞůůĨƌŽŵϭϬ͘ϭϭϴŵŝŶ
ƉƵďůŝĐĂƟŽŶĂŶĚƚŚĂƚŝƚĐŽŶƟŶƵĞƐƚŽŚĞůƉ ϮϬϭϱͬϭϲƚŽϴ͘ϰϴŵĂLJĞĂƌůĂƚĞƌ͘
LJŽƵƵŶĚĞƌƐƚĂŶĚƚŚĞǁŽƌůĚŽĨŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐ͖ĚĞŵLJƐƟĮĞƐ tŚĂƚƚŚŝƐƚĞůůƐŵĞŝƐƚŚĂƚŵŽƌĞƉĞŽƉůĞĂƌĞ
ƚŚĞƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚ͖ĂŶĚƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƐĂĐŽŶƟŶƵŽƵƐ ďĞŝŶŐĚƌĂǁŶƚŽƚŚĞƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚŝŶƐĞĂƌĐŚŽĨĂ
ƐƚƌĞĂŵŽĨŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐŝĚĞĂƐ͘ ŚŝŐŚĞƌƌĞƚƵƌŶŽŶƚŚĞŝƌŵŽŶĞLJĂƐƚŚĞƌĂƚĞƐŽŶĐĂƐŚ
ĂĐĐŽƵŶƚƐĐŽŶƟŶƵĞƚŽďĞƐŽƉŽŽƌ͘
ONGOING IMPROVEMENTS dŚĞŇŝƉƐŝĚĞŝƐƚŚĂƚĂŶŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞŝŶƉĞŽƉůĞƵƐŝŶŐ
KǀĞƌƚŚĞƉĂƐƚLJĞĂƌǁĞ͛ǀĞŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚŽƵƌĐŽǀĞƌĂŐĞŽĨ ƐƚŽĐŬƐĂŶĚƐŚĂƌĞƐ/^ƐĐŽƵůĚŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞƚŚĞƌŝƐŬƚŚĂƚ
ƚŚĞĨƵŶĚƐĂŶĚŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƚƌƵƐƚŵĂƌŬĞƚ͖ƐŚĂƌƉĞŶĞĚ ƉĞŽƉůĞƉƵƚŵŽŶĞLJŝŶƚŽƵŶƐƵŝƚĂďůĞŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƐĂƐ
ŽƵƌĨŽĐƵƐŽŶůŽŶŐĞƌͲƚĞƌŵŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐ͖ĂŶĚƐƚĞĚ ŵĂŶLJǁŝůůďĞƉŝĐŬŝŶŐƐƚŽĐŬƐŽƌĨƵŶĚƐĂƚƌĂŶĚŽŵ͘
ƚŚĞĚĂŝůLJĐŽŵŵĞŶƚĂƌLJǁĞƉƌŽǀŝĚĞŽŶĂƌĂŶŐĞŽĨ
ƐƵďũĞĐƚƐǀŝĂƚŚĞSharesǁĞďƐŝƚĞ͘ OUR ROLE AS EDUCATION PROVIDER
DĂŶLJŽĨLJŽƵŚĂǀĞĂůƌĞĂĚLJƚŽůĚƵƐǁŚŝĐŚ tĞƌĞĐŽŐŶŝƐĞĂƚSharesƚŚĂƚŵĂŶLJƉĞŽƉůĞƵƐŝŶŐ
ƉĂƌƚƐŽĨƚŚĞĚŝŐŝƚĂůŵĂŐĂnjŝŶĞĂŶĚǁĞďƐŝƚĞLJŽƵ ƐƚŽĐŬƐĂŶĚƐŚĂƌĞƐ/^ƐĂƌĞŶ͛ƚĞdžƉĞƌƚƐǁŚĞŶŝƚ
ůŝŬĞďĞƐƚ͕ĂƐǁĞůůĂƐƚŚĞĂƌĞĂƐŝŶǁŚŝĐŚǁĞĐŽƵůĚ ĐŽŵĞƐƚŽŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐ͘dŚĂƚ͛ƐǁŚLJǁĞƉůĂĐĞƐƵĐŚĂ
ĚŽďĞƩĞƌ͕ĂƐƉĞƌƚǁŽƌĞĂĚĞƌƐƵƌǀĞLJƐŽǀĞƌƚŚĞ ƐƚƌŽŶŐĞŵƉŚĂƐŝƐŽŶĞĚƵĐĂƟŽŶŝŶƚŚĞĚŝŐŝƚĂů
ƉĂƐƚĨĞǁŵŽŶƚŚƐ͘ ŵĂŐĂnjŝŶĞ͕ŚĞůƉŝŶŐďŽƚŚƚŚĞŝŶĞdžƉĞƌŝĞŶĐĞĚ
/ĨLJŽƵĚŝĚŶ͛ƚƉĂƌƟĐŝƉĂƚĞŝŶĂƌĞĂĚĞƌƐƵƌǀĞLJ͕ ĂŶĚƚŚĞŵŽƌĞƐĞĂƐŽŶĞĚŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌ͘
/͛ĚƐƟůůůŝŬĞƚŽŚĞĂƌLJŽƵƌƚŚŽƵŐŚƚƐŽŶŚŽǁǁĞ KƵƌƉƵƌƉŽƐĞŝƐƚŽƉƌŽǀŝĚĞŐƵŝĚĂŶĐĞǁŝƚŚ
ĐĂŶŵĂŬĞSharesĂŶĞǀĞŶďĞƩĞƌƌĞĂĚ͘ŵĂŝů ĐŚŽŽƐŝŶŐŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƐĂƐǁĞůůĂƐŵĂŶĂŐŝŶŐ
LJŽƵƌǀŝĞǁƐΛƐŚĂƌĞƐŵĂŐĂnjŝŶĞ͘ĐŽ͘ƵŬǁŝƚŚƚŚĞ ĂƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͖ďƵƚŶŽƚĞƚŚĂƚǁĞĚŽŶŽƚƉƌŽǀŝĚĞ
ƐƵďũĞĐƚůŝŶĞ͚ZĞĂĚĞƌĨĞĞĚďĂĐŬ͛ĂŶĚůĞƚŵĞŬŶŽǁ ŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚĂĚǀŝĐĞ͘
ǁŚŝĐŚƉĂƌƚƐŽĨƚŚĞŵĂŐĂnjŝŶĞĂŶĚǁĞďƐŝƚĞLJŽƵ /ĨLJŽƵ͛ƌĞŚƵŶŐƌLJĨŽƌŚĞůƉǁŝƚŚŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐ͕ǁŚLJ
ƌĞĂůůLJůŝŬĞĂŶĚĂƌĞĂƐLJŽƵ͛ĚůŝŬĞƵƐƚŽĐŽǀĞƌ ŶŽƚŚĞĂĚƚŽŽƵƌǁĞďƐŝƚĞĂŶĚůŽŽŬĂƚŽƵƌ
ŝŶŵŽƌĞĚĞƚĂŝů͕ŽƌƉĞƌŚĂƉƐĂĚĚŝĨǁĞĚŽŶ͛ƚ ƌŝĐŚĂƌĐŚŝǀĞŽĨŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚͲƌĞůĂƚĞĚĂƌƟĐůĞƐ
ĂůƌĞĂĚLJĐŽǀĞƌƚŚĞŵ͘ ǁŚĞƌĞǁĞŚĂǀĞŝƐƐƵĞƐŽĨƚŚĞǁĞĞŬůLJ
ŵĂŐĂnjŝŶĞŐŽŝŶŐďĂĐŬƚŽϮϬϬϰ͘
INVESTING IS GROWING /ǁŽƵůĚůŝŬĞƚŽƐĂLJƚŚĂŶŬLJŽƵĨŽƌ
IN POPULARITY ĐŽŶƟŶƵŝŶŐƚŽƌĞĂĚSharesĂŶĚŚĞƌĞ͛Ɛ
ZĞĐĞŶƚĮŐƵƌĞƐĨƌŽŵƚŚĞƚĂdžŵĂŶ͕ƚŚĞ ƚŽƚŚĞŶĞdžƚϭϮŵŽŶƚŚƐĂŶĚďĞLJŽŶĚ
,DZ͕ƐŚŽǁƚŚĂƚƐƚŽĐŬƐĂŶĚƐŚĂƌĞƐ/^Ɛ ĂƐLJŽƵƌƚƌƵƐƚĞĚƐŽƵƌĐĞŽĨŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐ
ĂƌĞŐƌŽǁŝŶŐŝŶƉŽƉƵůĂƌŝƚLJǁŝƚŚϮ͘ϱϴϵŵ ŝŶĨŽƌŵĂƟŽŶ͘;Ϳ

2 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


Invesco Perpetual Investment Trusts

Built on our legacy


of long-term expertise
0ĞƛÊũŽûĞìáĩšŽøÊáƍŽƍšÊŕĩƍ©‡ĞÊ©ĩĞâºÊĞŽ
in the patient, high conviction approach we
Ž‡ĉÊƜûŽø‡ČČĩƍšáƍкũµûĞ©ČƍºûĞìûĞƛÊũŽėÊĞŽ
trusts. Whether relatively new or over 125
ƟʇšũĩČºµʇ©øĩĞÊûũė‡Ğ‡ìʺƜûŽø‡ŽŽš‡©Žûƛʵ
ČĩĞìúŽÊšėšÊŽƍšĞũûĞėûкňšÊ‡ŽûĞ쇚‡ĞìÊ
Žø‡ŽŝũÊƝŁÊšŽČƟ©š‡áŽÊºŽĩũŽ‡ĞºŽøÊŽÊũŽĩáŽûėÊň

iøÊƛ‡ČƍÊĩáûĞƛÊũŽėÊĞŽũ‡Ğº‡ĞƟûĞ©ĩėÊ
ƜûČČåƍ©Žƍ‡ŽÊŃŽøûũė‡ƟŁ‡šŽČƟÊŽøÊšÊũƍČŽ
ĩáÊƝ©ø‡ĞìÊš‡ŽÊåƍ©Žƍ‡ŽûĩĞũń‡ĞºûĞƛÊũŽĩšũ
ė‡ƟĞĩŽìÊŽ‡©ĉŽøÊáƍČȇėĩƍĞŽûĞƛÊũŽÊºň

+ûкĩƍŽėĩšÊ‡Ž³
invescoperpetual.co.uk/investmenttrusts

For more information on our products, please refer to the relevant Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive document (AIFMD) and the latest Annual or Half-Yearly Financial Reports.
This information is available using the contact details shown. Invesco Perpetual is a business name of Invesco Fund Managers Limited. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
SH IT 1a
Contents INTERACTIVE
PAGES
CLICK ON PAGE
05 OCTOBER 2017 NUMBERS TO JUMP
TO THE RELEVANT
STORY

EDITOR’S VIEW
02 Happy birthday to
the new-look Shares
8
BIG NEWS
06 EasyJet could benefit
from Ryanair and
Monarch problems
BIG NEWS
07 Boost for
housebuilders and
real estate firms
BIG NEWS
08 Land of the GREAT IDEAS
rising dividends
2 11 Allergy Therapeutics
is really exciting
BIG NEWS
08 Our top picks of the GR EAT ID EAS U PDAT E
year continue to 12 We update our views
outperform on XP Power and
Imperial Brands
STORY IN NUMBERS
09 Shares in AIM U ND ER T HE B ONNET
superstar CVS are 14 Newly-listed retailer
up nearly 16-fold targets five-fold
since 2010 increase in sales
GREAT IDE AS FEAT U R E
10 Fill up on Greencore 16 How to use stop
while the market is losses to protect
feasting elsewhere your portfolio

securities, derivatives or positions with spread betting organisations that they


DISCLAIMER have an interest in should first clear their writing with the editor. If the editor
agrees that the reporter can write about the interest, it should be disclosed to

IMPORTANT
readers at the end of the story. Holdings by third parties including families, trusts,
self-select pension funds, self select ISAs and PEPs and nominee accounts are
included in such interests.
Shares publishes information and ideas which are of interest to investors. It
does not provide advice in relation to investments or any other financial matters. 2. Reporters will inform the editor on any occasion that they transact shares,
Comments published in Shares must not be relied upon by readers when they derivatives or spread betting positions. This will overcome situations when the
make their investment decisions. Investors who require advice should consult a interests they are considering might conflict with reports by other writers in the
properly qualified independent adviser. Shares, its staff and AJ Bell Media Limited magazine. This notification should be confirmed by e-mail.
do not, under any circumstances, accept liability for losses suffered by readers as
a result of their investment decisions. 3. Reporters are required to hold a full personal interest register. The whereabouts
of this register should be revealed to the editor.
Members of staff of Shares may hold shares in companies mentioned in the
magazine. This could create a conflict of interests. Where such a conflict exists it 4. A reporter should not have made a transaction of shares, derivatives or spread
will be disclosed. Shares adheres to a strict code of conduct for reporters, as betting positions for seven working days before the publication of an article that
set out below. mentions such interest. Reporters who have an interest in a company they have
written about should not transact the shares within seven working days after the
1. In keeping with the existing practice, reporters who intend to write about any on-sale date of the magazine.

4 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


Contents
MA I N FE ATURE MON E Y MATT ER S LARGER COMPANIES
20 How to invest in 32 How to switch to a 36 The power of
the electric vehicle stocks and shares ISA Ted Baker’s brand
revolution
MON E Y MAT T ER S SMALLER COMPANIES
MR M A RKE T  How much are YOU 37 Shares in Trinity
28 Are the rules for saving for retirement? could ‘triple in value’
UK listed company says broker
takeovers about to
get tougher?
20 SMALLER COMPANIES
38 S&U has smart
INVESTMENT TRUSTS approach to
30 Don’t allow fees motor finance
to become foes
WEEK AHEAD
40 Financial results and
ex-dividends over
the coming week
IND EX
41 Index of companies
and funds in this issue

36
WHO WE ARE
BROKER RATINGS EXPLAINED:
EDITOR: DEPUTY NEWS
Daniel EDITOR: EDITOR: We use traffic light symbols in the magazine to illustrate
Coatsworth Tom Sieber Steven Frazer broker views on stocks.
@SharesMagDan @SharesMagTom @SharesMagSteve

FUNDS AND REPORTER: JUNIOR REPORTER: CONTRIBUTORS Green means buy, Orange means hold, Red means sell.
INVESTMENT TRUSTS David Stevenson Lisa-Marie Janes Emily Perryman
EDITOR: @SharesMagDavid @SharesMagLisaMJ Tom Selby
James Crux The numbers refer to how many different brokers have
@SharesMagJames that rating.
PRODUCTION ADVERTISING MANAGING DIRECTOR
Mike Boydell
Eg: 4 2 1 means four brokers have buy ratings,
Head of Design Sales Executive
Rebecca Bodi Nick Frankland
two brokers have hold ratings and one broker has a sell
020 7378 4592 rating.
Designer nick.frankland@sharesmagazine.co.uk
Darren Rapley
The traffic light system gives an illustration of market views
Shares magazine is published weekly every Thursday (50 times per year) by AJ Bell Media Limited, but isn’t always a fully comprehensive list of ratings as some
49 Southwark Bridge Road, London, SE1 9HH. Company Registration No: 3733852.
banks/stockbrokers don’t publicly release this information.
All Shares material is copyright. Reproduction in whole or part is not permitted without written
permission from the editor.

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 5


BIG NEWS

EasyJet could benefit


from Ryanair and
Monarch problems
We explain why investors are racing to buy shares in the low cost airline

L ow-cost airline EasyJet (EZJ)ĐŽƵůĚďĞŶĞĮƚ


from the recent drama surrounding its rivals
Ryanair (RYA) and Monarch.
Ryanair has dominated the headlines over the
ƉĂƐƚĨĞǁǁĞĞŬƐĂŌĞƌĐĂŶĐĞůůŝŶŐƚŚŽƵƐĂŶĚƐŽĨŇŝŐŚƚƐ
due to an issue with pilots’ rosters. That’s caused
severe brand damage and could prompt travellers
to shun the airline near term.
The damage is not yet evident in its passenger
ƐƚĂƟƐƟĐƐĂƐƚŚĞůĂƚĞƐƚĮŐƵƌĞƐ;ϯKĐƚͿƐŚŽǁĂϭϬй
ŚŝŬĞŝŶĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌƐƚŽϭϭ͘ϴŵŝŶ^ĞƉƚĞŵďĞƌ͘
dŚĞh<͛ƐĮŌŚůĂƌŐĞƐƚĂŝƌůŝŶĞDŽŶĂƌĐŚǁĞŶƚ ,ŽǁĞǀĞƌ͕ŶŽƚĞǀĞƌLJŽŶĞŝƐŝŵƉƌĞƐƐĞĚ͘ĂŶĂĐĐŽƌĚ
ŝŶƚŽĂĚŵŝŶŝƐƚƌĂƟŽŶŽŶϮKĐƚŽďĞƌ͕ůĞĂĚŝŶŐƚŽƚŚĞ Genuity analyst Nigel Parson concedes that
ĐĂŶĐĞůůĂƟŽŶŽĨϯϬϬ͕ϬϬϬĨƵƚƵƌĞŬŝŶŐƐ͘dŚĂƚ ŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚĚŝŐŝƟƐĂƟŽŶƐŚŽƵůĚŝŵƉƌŽǀĞĞĸĐŝĞŶĐLJ
ĞīĞĐƟǀĞůLJĐƌĞĂƚĞƐĂŶŽƉƉŽƌƚƵŶŝƚLJĨŽƌŽƚŚĞƌĂŝƌůŝŶĞƐ ĂŶĚĐŽƐƚƌĞĚƵĐƟŽŶƐ͕ďƵƚŚĞĂƌŐƵĞƐƚŚĂƚƚŚĞ
ƚŽĐĂƉŝƚĂůŝƐĞŽŶƌĞĚƵĐĞĚĐŽŵƉĞƟƟŽŶ͘ ĐŽŵƉĂŶLJĨĂĐĞƐƐŽŵĞ͚ŚĂƌƐŚƌĞĂůŝƟĞƐ͛͘
EasyJet is widely expected to be among the ‘The problem for EasyJet is that passenger yields
airlines interested in acquiring assets from are under pressure and likely to remain so in the
DŽŶĂƌĐŚŽƵƚŽĨĂĚŵŝŶŝƐƚƌĂƟŽŶǁŝƚŚĂŝƌƉŽƌƚƐůŽƚƐ ŶĞĂƌƚĞƌŵ͕͛ƐĂLJƐWĂƌƐŽŶ͘
seen as one of the major prizes. ,ĞƐĂLJƐĐŽŵƉĞƟƟŽŶĂƚŵĂŶLJŽĨƚŚĞĂŝƌůŝŶĞ͛Ɛ
ďĂƐĞƐŚĂƐŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚůLJŝŶƌĞĐĞŶƚLJĞĂƌƐ
HOW HAS THE STOCK MARKET REACTED? ĂŶĚƚŚĂƚƚŚŝƐŝƐĞdžƉĞĐƚĞĚƚŽĐŽŶƟŶƵĞ͘
We’ve looked at how airline share prices ĞƐƉŝƚĞƚŚĞƌĞĐĞŶƚŇŝŐŚƚĐĂŶĐĞůůĂƟŽŶƐĂŶĚ
have moved over the past three weeks which ƌĞĚƵĐĞĚĐĂƉĂĐŝƚLJŐƌŽǁƚŚ͕WĂƌƐŽŶƌĞŝƚĞƌĂƚĞƐZLJĂŶĂŝƌ
ĞŶĐĂƉƐƵůĂƚĞƐƚŚĞĨƵůůƉĞƌŝŽĚŽĨŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJĚŝƐƌƵƉƟŽŶ͘ ĂƐŚŝƐƚŽƉĐŚŽŝĐĞĚƵĞƚŽŝƚƐ͚ĐŽƐƚďĂƐĞ͕ƐƵƉĞƌŝŽƌ
ZLJĂŶĂŝƌŝƐĚŽǁŶϲйƚŽΦϭϲ͘ϵϮ͕ĂƐLJ:ĞƚŝƐƵƉϲй margins and strong growth into primary and higher
ƚŽάϭϮ͘ϴϯ͕Wizz Air (WIZZ)ŝƐƵƉϰйƚŽάϯϬ͘ϭϬĂŶĚ LJŝĞůĚŝŶŐĂŝƌƉŽƌƚƐ͛͘;>D:Ϳ
ƌŝƟƐŚŝƌǁĂLJƐ͛ŽǁŶĞƌ/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƟŽŶĂůŽŶƐŽůŝĚĂƚĞĚ
ŝƌůŝŶĞƐ;/'ͿŝƐƵƉϭйƚŽϲϬϴƉ͘dŚĞŵĂƌŬĞƚŝƐĐůĞĂƌůLJ dŽƚĂůĂŝƌůŝŶĞƐƉĞŶĚŝƐƵƉďLJĂƉƉƌŽdžŝŵĂƚĞůLJϭйŽǀĞƌ
ƉƌŝĐŝŶŐŝŶĂŵŽƌĞĨĂǀŽƵƌĂďůĞƉŽƐŝƟŽŶĨŽƌĂƐLJ:Ğƚ͘ ƚŚĞůĂƐƚϭϮŵŽŶƚŚƐ͕ĂĐĐŽƌĚŝŶŐƚŽĂŶĂůLJƐŝƐďLJh^͘
͚ƌŝƟƐŚŝƌǁĂLJƐƐĞĞŵƐƚŽďĞĐĂƉƚƵƌŝŶŐŵŽƐƚŽĨ
BULL AND BEAR CASE ƚŚĞŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĂƐƐƉĞŶĚŝƐƵƉΕϱйLJĞĂƌͲŽǀĞƌͲLJĞĂƌ͕
h^ĂŶĂůLJƐƚ:ĂƌƌŽĚĂƐƚůĞƐĂLJƐĂƐLJ:ĞƚŝƐůŝŬĞůLJƚŽ ǁŚĞƌĞĂƐĂƐLJ:ĞƚĂŶĚZLJĂŶĂŝƌĂƌĞĚŽǁŶΕϲйĂŶĚ
ďĞŶĞĮƚĨƌŽŵZLJĂŶĂŝƌ͛ƐŝƐƐƵĞƐĂƐƚŚĞĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌďĂƐĞ ΕϭйƌĞƐƉĞĐƟǀĞůLJ;ůŝŬĞůLJĚƵĞƚŽƉƌŝĐŝŶŐͿ͘
ŽǀĞƌůĂƉƐŵŽƌĞǁŝƚŚZLJĂŶĂŝƌ͛ƐƚŚĂŶƌŝƟƐŚŝƌǁĂLJƐ͘
ĂƐƚůĞŝƐĂůƐŽĞŶĐŽƵƌĂŐĞĚďLJĂƐLJ:Ğƚ͛ƐƉůĂŶŶĞĚ ͚tĞĞdžƉĞĐƚƚŚĂƚƌŝƟƐŚŝƌǁĂLJƐĐŽŶƟŶƵĞƐƚŽ
ďĞŶĞĮƚĨƌŽŵĨĂƌĞŵŝdžďĞƚǁĞĞŶůŽŶŐŚĂƵůĂŶĚƐŚŽƌƚ
investment in a new cloud-based data hub that ŚĂƵůĂƐǁĞůůĂƐƉƌĞŵŝƵŵǀƐĞĐŽŶŽŵLJƉĂƐƐĞŶŐĞƌ
ƐŚŽƵůĚƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƉĞƌƐŽŶĂůŝƐĞĚŽīĞƌƐĂŶĚŝŶĨŽƌŵĂƟŽŶ ƐĞĂƚƐ͕͛ĐŽŶĐůƵĚĞƐƚŚĞŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚďĂŶŬ͘
to travellers.

6 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


BIG NEWS
BIG NEWS

Boost for housebuilders


and real estate firms
Help to Buy extended and two opportunities to back property investors’ plans

T he real estate space is grabbing


ŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐ͛ĂƩĞŶƟŽŶŽŶĐĞĂŐĂŝŶ͘
^ŚĂƌĞƐŝŶŚŽƵƐĞďƵŝůĚĞƌƐĂƌĞ
marching higher on the promise of
further state support for the sector
SOCIAL
CIVITAS
HOUSING
RAISING
dŚŝƐŝƐŝǀŝƚĂƐ͛ĮƌƐƚĨƵŶĚƌĂŝƐĞƐŝŶĐĞĂ
άϯϱϬŵŽǀĞƌƐƵďƐĐƌŝďĞĚ/WK;ŝŶŝƟĂůƉƵďůŝĐ
ŽīĞƌŝŶŐͿůĂƐƚEŽǀĞŵďĞƌ͘
dŽĂǀŽŝĚƚŚĞǀĂůƵĞŽĨŝƚƐĞdžŝƐƟŶŐ
ƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽďĞŝŶŐĚŝůƵƚĞĚƚŚĞŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ
and two real estate investment trusts
;Z/dƐͿŚĂǀĞĂŶŶŽƵŶĐĞĚƐƵďƐƚĂŶƟĂů £350M trust is raising the money through the
ŝƐƐƵĞŽĨƐŚĂƌĞƐǁŚŝĐŚǁŝůůƌĞĐĞŝǀĞĂ
fundraising plans. ĮdžĞĚƋƵĂƌƚĞƌůLJĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚŽĨϯйĂLJĞĂƌ͘
ŵŽŶŐƚŚĞŬĞLJĞĂƌůLJƚĂŬĞĂǁĂLJƐĨƌŽŵƚŚĞ dŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƐǁŝůůĐŽŶǀĞƌƚƚŽŽƌĚŝŶĂƌLJƐŚĂƌĞƐ
ŽŶƐĞƌǀĂƟǀĞƐ͛ĂŶŶƵĂůĐŽŶĨĞƌĞŶĐĞŝŶDĂŶĐŚĞƐƚĞƌ ĂŌĞƌĂLJĞĂƌŽƌǁŚĞŶϵϬйŽĨƚŚĞƉƌŽĐĞĞĚƐŚĂǀĞ
ǁĂƐĂάϭϬďŶĞdžƚĞŶƐŝŽŶƚŽƚŚĞ͚,ĞůƉƚŽƵLJ͛ ďĞĞŶŝŶǀĞƐƚĞĚ͘ƉƌŽƐƉĞĐƚƵƐĨŽƌƚŚĞŶĞǁŝƐƐƵĞŝƐ
programme as the party looks to win over ĞdžƉĞĐƚĞĚŝŶŵŝĚͲKĐƚŽďĞƌ͘
LJŽƵŶŐĞƌǀŽƚĞƌƐǁŚŽĂƌĞŝŶĐƌĞĂƐŝŶŐůLJŐƌĂǀŝƚĂƟŶŐ
towards Labour. KddKDͳhWWWZK,
ŵŽƌĞŵŽĚĞƐƚƐƵŵŝƐďĞŝŶŐƌĂŝƐĞĚďLJƌĞĂůĞƐƚĂƚĞ
&sKhZ,Kh^h/>Z/^/'t/EEZ investment trust AEW UK REIT (AEWU) which has
tĞǁƌŽƚĞĂďŽƵƚĂīŽƌĚĂďůĞŚŽŵĞƐƐƉĞĐŝĂůŝƐƚMJ ĂůƌĞĂĚLJƉƵďůŝƐŚĞĚĂƉƌŽƐƉĞĐƚƵƐŽŶŝƚƐάϰϬŵͲƚŽͲ
'ůĞĞƐŽŶ;'>Ϳ in last week’s issue of Shares;Ϯϴ^ĞƉ άϲϬŵŝƐƐƵĞ;Ϯϴ^ĞƉͿ͘
ϮϬϭϳͿ͕ŶŽƟŶŐƚǁŽƚŚŝƌĚƐŽĨŝƚƐĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌďĂƐĞŵĂĚĞ dŚĞZ/dŝŶǀĞƐƚƐŝŶĂƌĂŶŐĞŽĨĐŽŵŵĞƌĐŝĂů
ƵƐĞŽĨ,ĞůƉƚŽƵLJ͘/ƚŝƐƐĞĞŶƚŽďĞŽŶĞŽĨƚŚĞďŝŐŐĞƐƚ ƉƌŽƉĞƌƟĞƐĨƌŽŵŝŶĚƵƐƚƌŝĂůƵŶŝƚƐƚŽŽĸĐĞƐĂŶĚ
ďĞŶĞĮĐŝĂƌŝĞƐŽĨƚŚĞƐĐŚĞŵĞĞdžƚĞŶƐŝŽŶ͘ ƐŚŽƉƐ͘dŚĞĨŽĐƵƐŝƐŽŶƉƌŽƉĞƌƟĞƐŝŶĂƌĞĂƐǁŝƚŚ
^ŽĐŝĂůŚŽƵƐŝŶŐŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌŝǀŝƚĂƐ^ŽĐŝĂů,ŽƵƐŝŶŐ ŐŽŽĚƐƵƉƉůLJĂŶĚĚĞŵĂŶĚĚLJŶĂŵŝĐƐ͕ƚLJƉŝĐĂůůLJǁŝƚŚ
(CSH)ŚĂƐĂŶŶŽƵŶĐĞĚƉůĂŶƐ;Ϯϴ^ĞƉͿƚŽƌĂŝƐĞ tenants on shorter than average leases.
άϯϱϬŵƚŽŚĞůƉŝƚƚĂŬĞĂĚǀĂŶƚĂŐĞŽĨĂŶ AEW UK WŽƌƞŽůŝŽŵĂŶĂŐĞƌůĞdž^ŚŽƌƚƐĂLJƐƚŚĞƌĞ
ŝĚĞŶƟĮĞĚάϱϬϬŵŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƉŝƉĞůŝŶĞŝŶ
its space.
REIT RAISING ŝƐĂ͚ďŝŐƉŝƉĞůŝŶĞŽĨƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůĂƐƐĞƚƐ͛͘^ŚĞ
ĂĚĚƐŵŽƌĞůŝŵŝƚĞĚĚŝƌĞĐƚĐŽŵƉĞƟƟŽŶ
The investment trust is focused
ŽŶƉƌŽǀŝĚŝŶŐĂĐĐŽŵŵŽĚĂƟŽŶĨŽƌ
£40M TO in this part of the market means it is
ŶŽƚƚŽŽĚŝĸĐƵůƚƚŽĮŶĚŽƉƉŽƌƚƵŶŝƟĞƐ
ŝŶĚŝǀŝĚƵĂůƐǁŝƚŚƐƉĞĐŝĮĐŶĞĞĚƐ͕ƐƵĐŚ
ĂƐƚŚŽƐĞǁŝƚŚĚŝƐĂďŝůŝƟĞƐŽƌǁŚŝĐŚĂƌĞ
£60M ŽīĞƌŝŶŐƐƵĸĐŝĞŶƚůLJŐĞŶĞƌŽƵƐ
yields to underpin a promised yield from
coming out of prison. ƚŚĞZ/dŽĨϴй͘;d^Ϳ

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 7


GREAT IDEAS

Fill up on Greencore while the


market is feasting elsewhere
Shares in sandwiches-to-soups maker have been oversold

S hare price weakness at


sandwiches, salads and
chilled soups supplier
Greencore (GNC) presents a
tasty buying opportunity for
GREENCORE È BUY
(GNC:AIM) 184.6p
Stop loss: 147.7p
business across the pond.
WƌŽǀŝĚŝŶŐĂŐƌŽǁƚŚƉůĂƞŽƌŵ
ŽĨƌĞĂůƐĐĂůĞ͕WĞĂĐŽĐŬ
has strengthened the US
management team and gears
Market value: £1.28bn
growth and income seekers. Greencore into a trend towards
The convenience foods outsourced manufacturing
ŵĂŬĞƌ͛ƐŵĂƌŐŝŶƐĂŶĚĐĂƐŚŇŽǁƐ products for US convenience among US consumer packaged
have come under pressure in retail and food service leaders. goods giants.
recent years due to high levels ^ĞŶƟŵĞŶƚƚŽǁĂƌĚƐ'ƌĞĞŶĐŽƌĞ EƵŵŝƐ^ĞĐƵƌŝƟĞƐŚĂƐĂ͚ďƵLJ͛
of investment, yet Greencore is poor following the loss of ƌĂƟŶŐĂŶĚϯϬϬƉƉƌŝĐĞƚĂƌŐĞƚ
is a business with strong ŝƚƐ^ƚĂƌďƵĐŬƐĨƌŽnjĞŶƉƌŽĚƵĐƚƐ ĨŽƌ'ƌĞĞŶĐŽƌĞ͕ĞdžƉĞĐƟŶŐĂŶ
fundamentals entering a period ĐŽŶƚƌĂĐƚ͘ƉƌĞĐĂƵƟŽŶĂƌLJ increased focus on margin
of nourishing returns. product recall in the US has also ŐƌŽǁƚŚ͕ĐĂƐŚŐĞŶĞƌĂƟŽŶĂŶĚ
ǁĞŝŐŚĞĚŽŶƐĞŶƟŵĞŶƚ͘ improving returns going forward.
'Kͳ'K'ZKtd, Margins have been impacted For the year to September
Greencore is a leading provider ďLJŝŶƉƵƚĐŽƐƚĂŶĚǁĂŐĞŝŶŇĂƟŽŶ 2017 – the results are due
of food-to-go and grocery ŝŶƚŚĞh<͕ǁŚŝůĞĨƌĞĞĐĂƐŚŇŽǁ next month (28 Nov) – Numis
products, supplying own-label has been hampered by major forecasts improved pre-tax
products to all the major UK capital expenditure projects to ƉƌŽĮƚŽĨάϭϭϳ͘ϯŵ;ϮϬϭϲ͗
supermarkets. support growth. £85.9m) ahead of £147.4m and
Following December 2016’s άϭϲϯ͘ϯŵŝŶĮƐĐĂůϮϬϭϴĂŶĚϮϬϭϵ
άϱϵϰ͘ϯŵĂĐƋƵŝƐŝƟŽŶŽĨWĞĂĐŽĐŬ ZKsZzd/D ƌĞƐƉĞĐƟǀĞůLJ͘
Foods, Dublin-headquartered Why are we bullish on the stock? Based on forecast September
Greencore is now also a leading tĞůů͕'ƌĞĞŶĐŽƌĞ͛ƐĐŽŵƉĞƟƟǀĞ 2018 earnings per share of
manufacturer of consumer ƐƚƌĞŶŐƚŚƐĂŶĚŐƌŽǁƚŚƉŽƚĞŶƟĂů ϭϳ͘ϱƉ;ϮϬϭϳ͗ϭϱ͘ϵƉͿĂŶĚĂ
packaged goods for major are currently underappreciated ϲ͘ϭϴƉĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚ;ϮϬϭϳ͗ϱ͘ϱƉͿ͕
food brands in the US, among by the market. Greencore’s growth prospects
ƚŚĞŵ<ƌĂŌ,ĞŝŶnj͕ĂŶĚƉƌŽĚƵĐĞƐ Food-to-go is one of the are materially undervalued
fastest growing parts of the UK ŽŶĂWŽĨϭϬ͘ϱƟŵĞƐǁŝƚŚĂ
food industry, underpinned by nourishing yield of 3.3%. (JC)
changes in consumer behaviour.
Major projects to support BROKER SAYS: 10 0 0
new wins with key customers GREENCORE GROUP
ĂƌĞĞŶƚĞƌŝŶŐƚŚĞĮŶĂůƐƚĂŐĞƐŽĨ FTSE ALL SHARE
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream

300
delivery, meaning Greencore’s Rebased to first

280
ƐƉĞŶĚŝŶŐǁŝůůĨĂůů͕ĨƌĞĞĐĂƐŚŇŽǁ
260
should rise and debt levels can
240
be reduced.
220
&ƌŽnjĞŶďƌĞĂŬĨĂƐƚƐĂŶĚǁŝĐŚĞƐͲ
200
ƚŽͲĐŚŝůůĞĚŵĞĂůƐŵĂŬĞƌWĞĂĐŽĐŬ
180
has transformed Greencore’s 2016 2017

10 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


GREAT IDEAS

Allergy Therapeutics is
really exciting
The allergy specialist has an interesting pipeline and significant catalysts ahead

F or people who love the


warmer months, allergies
can really get you down,
whether it’s the constant
ƐŶĞĞnjŝŶŐ͕ƚŚĞŝƚĐŚLJĞLJĞƐŽƌƚŚĞ
ALLERGY
XXXX È BUY
THERAPEUTICS
(xxx) xxxp
Stop loss: 32.3p
(AGY:AIM) xxp
ƚŽƚŚĞE,^͘,ĂLJĨĞǀĞƌƐƵīĞƌĞƌƐ
ƉĂƌƟĐƵůĂƌůLJƐƚƌƵŐŐůĞǁŚĞŶƚƌĞĞ
pollen is at its worst between late
March and mid-May.
WYŝƌĐŚŝƐĂůƌĞĂĚLJďĞŝŶŐƐŽůĚ
Stop loss:
Market 25.8p
value: xxx
endlessly runny nose while ŝŶƵƌŽƉĞŽŶĂƌĞƐƚƌŝĐƚĞĚďĂƐŝƐ
ƐƉƌŝŶƟŶŐĨŽƌƚŚĞďƵƐ͘ Market cap: £254.8m but the company wants approval
One company trying to ĂĐƌŽƐƐƵƌŽƉĞŝŶϮϬϭϵƚŽĞdžƉĂŶĚ
ĞƌĂĚŝĐĂƚĞƚŚĞĨƌƵƐƚƌĂƟŶŐƐŝĚĞͲ its scope and boost sales.
ĞīĞĐƚƐŽĨĂůůĞƌŐŝĞƐŝƐAllergy an $8bn worldwide market ůůĞƌŐLJdŚĞƌĂƉĞƵƟĐƐŝƐ
dŚĞƌĂƉĞƵƟĐƐ;'z͗/DͿ, a opportunity. ĞdžƉĞĐƟŶŐƚŚĞWŚĂƐĞ///ƚƌŝĂůĚĂƚĂ
business which generated in the second half of 2018 and
£69.9m in revenue in the 12 /Z,WK>>EdZdDEd hopes to also use it for approval
months to 30 June 2017. ^ddKZ/s^>^/E in the US.
It sells proprietary and third hZKW /ĨůůĞƌŐLJdŚĞƌĂƉĞƵƟĐƐŝƐƚŚĞ
party products in nine major One of the key catalysts for the ĮƌƐƚƚŽůĂƵŶĐŚWYŝƌĐŚŝŶƚŚĞ
ƵƌŽƉĞĂŶĐŽƵŶƚƌŝĞƐĂŶĚǀŝĂ ĐŽŵƉĂŶLJŝƐWŚĂƐĞ///ƚƌŝĂůƌĞƐƵůƚƐ h^ďLJϮϬϮϮ͕^ƟĨĞůĂŶĂůLJƐƚ
ĚŝƐƚƌŝďƵƟŽŶĂŐƌĞĞŵĞŶƚƐŝŶĂŶ ĨŽƌŝƚƐWŽůůŝŶĞdžYƵĂƩƌŽ;WYͿ ŚƌŝƐƟĂŶ'ůĞŶŶŝĞĞƐƟŵĂƚĞƐ
ĂĚĚŝƟŽŶĂůϭϬĐŽƵŶƚƌŝĞƐ͘ Birch immunotherapy to treat $400m in peak sales with a 20%
Its pipeline of products in symptoms from birch pollen, to 25% market share.
clinical development includes which can cause hay fever. Another important step for
vaccines for grass, tree and Approximately one in four the company is to complete the
house dust mite. people in the UK are allergic to WŚĂƐĞ//ĚŽƐĞͲƌĂŶŐŝŶŐƐƚƵĚLJŽĨ
pollen from trees, according WY'ƌĂƐƐ͕ĂŶŝŶũĞĐƟŽŶƚŚĂƚĂŝŵƐ
WEhd>>Z'zDZ<d to cure grass pollen-induced
E͚ΨϴEDZ<d ĂůůĞƌŐŝĐƌŚŝŶŝƟƐ͕ǁŚŝĐŚĐĂƵƐĞƐ
KWWKZdhE/dz͛ ŝŶŇĂŵŵĂƟŽŶŽĨƚŚĞŝŶƐŝĚĞŽĨ
Allergies aren’t just associated the nose.
ǁŝƚŚƉĞŽƉůĞŐĞƫŶŐĐŽůĚͲůŝŬĞ Investors should appreciate
symptoms. Some allergic ƚŚĂƚƉŚĂƌŵĂĐĞƵƟĐĂůĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐ
ƌĞĂĐƟŽŶƐĐĂŶďĞůŝĨĞƚŚƌĞĂƚĞŶŝŶŐ spend a lot of money on product
such as anaphylaxis which can development, hence why Allergy
be triggered by certain foods dŚĞƌĂƉĞƵƟĐƐŝƐĨŽƌĞĐĂƐƚƚŽŚĂǀĞ
such as peanuts. ŶĞŐĂƟǀĞĨƌĞĞĐĂƐŚŇŽǁĨŽƌĂƚ
ůůĞƌŐLJdŚĞƌĂƉĞƵƟĐƐŚĂƐ least the next three years.
developed a vaccine called You should only invest in the
WŽůLJǀĂĐǁŚŝĐŚŝƚŚŽƉĞƐǁŝůůĐƵƌĞ ƐƚŽĐŬŝĨLJŽƵŚĂǀĞĂŶĂƉƉĞƟƚĞ
peanut allergies, although it is for risk and understand that any
ƐƟůůŝŶĞĂƌůLJƐƚĂŐĞƐŽĨƚĞƐƟŶŐ͘ gains will come in the form of
If the company is eventually a rising share price and that
successful with the trials, the dividends are unlikely for the
allergy specialist could tap foreseeable future. (LMJ)

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 11


GREAT IDEAS UPDATES

XP POWER IMPERIAL BRANDS


(XPP) £28.38 (IMB) £31.55
Gain to date: 17.7% Loss to date: 17.7%
Original entry point: Original entry point:
Buy at £24.11, 6 July 2017 Buy at £38.33, 27 April 2017
d,WKtZ^t/d,/E' tools designer has OUR BULLISH CALL on Imperial Brands (IMB) may
ƌĞƚƵƌŶĞĚƚŽƚŚĞĂĐƋƵŝƐŝƟŽŶƚƌĂŝůŶĞĂƌůLJƚǁŽLJĞĂƌƐ ďĞϭϳ͘ϳйŝŶƚŚĞƌĞĚ͕ďƵƚǁĞ͛ƌĞƐƚĂLJŝŶŐƉŽƐŝƟǀĞŽŶ
ĂŌĞƌŝƚƐůĂƐƚĨŽƌĂLJ͘dŚĞΨϮϯŵ;άϭϳŵͿƉƵƌĐŚĂƐĞŽĨ ƚŚĞƚŽďĂĐĐŽŵƵůƟŶĂƟŽŶĂůĨŽƌŝƚƐƌĞƐŝůŝĞŶƚĞĂƌŶŝŶŐƐ
h^ͲďĂƐĞĚƌĂĚŝŽĨƌĞƋƵĞŶĐLJ;Z&ͿƉŽǁĞƌƐƵƉƉůŝĞƐ ĂŶĚƌŽďƵƐƚĐĂƐŚŇŽǁƐ͕ǁŚŝĐŚƐƚĞŵĨƌŽŵƐƚƌŽŶŐ
ďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐŽŵĚĞůůŽŽŬƐůŝŬĞĂƐĞŶƐŝďůĞŵŽǀĞ͕ŝŶ brands such as ĂǀŝĚŽī, Gauloises Blondes and JPS
ŽƵƌǀŝĞǁ͘ ĐŝŐĂƌĞƩĞƐĂŶĚMontecristo cigars.
dŚĞĂĐƋƵŝƐŝƟŽŶŽƉĞŶƐƵƉĂŶĞǁŵĂƌŬĞƚƐĞŐŵĞŶƚ ^ĞŶƟŵĞŶƚƚŽǁĂƌĚƐƚŚĞάϯϬ͘ϮϱďŶĐĂƉŝƐƉƌĞƐĞŶƚůLJ
ĨŽƌXP Power (XPP)͕ǁŝƚŚƚLJƉŝĐĂůĂƉƉůŝĐĂƟŽŶƐŝŶ ƉŽŽƌ͘/ŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐĂƌĞĨƌĞƫŶŐŽǀĞƌƌĞŐƵůĂƚŽƌLJĐŚĂŶŐĞƐ
ƉůĂƐŵĂͲǁĞůĚŝŶŐĂŶĚďŽƚŚĚŝĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐĂŶĚŝŶĚƵĐƟŽŶ ŝŶƚŚĞh^ĂŶĚĂƌĞůĂƟǀĞůĂĐŬŽĨƉƌĞƐĞŶĐĞŝŶĐĞƌƚĂŝŶ
ŚĞĂƟŶŐ͘ EĞdžƚ'ĞŶĞƌĂƟŽŶWƌŽĚƵĐƚ;E'WͿƐĞŐŵĞŶƚƐ͘
ZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚŐƌŽƵƉĚŝƐŽŶƐĂLJƐƚŚĞŽŵĚĞů ƵƚŽƵƌĞŶƚŚƵƐŝĂƐŵŚĂƐďĞĞŶƌĞŝŶĨŽƌĐĞĚďLJ
ĂĐƋƵŝƐŝƟŽŶǁŝůůŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞyWWŽǁĞƌ͛ƐĞdžƉŽƐƵƌĞƚŽ ƌĞƐĞĂƌĐŚĨƌŽŵ/ŶǀĞƐƚĞĐ^ĞĐƵƌŝƟĞƐ͘dŚĞďƌŽŬĞƌ
ƚŚĞƐĞŵŝĐŽŶĚƵĐƚŽƌŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌŝŶŐŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJ͘/ƚƐĂLJƐ ŝƐĂďƵLJĞƌǁŝƚŚĂάϰϯ͘ϲϬƉƌŝĐĞƚĂƌŐĞƚǁŚŝĐŚ
ƚŚĞƌĞŝƐƐŽŵĞĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌŽǀĞƌůĂƉďĞƚǁĞĞŶyWĂŶĚ ŝŵƉůŝĞƐϯϴ͘ϮйƵƉƐŝĚĞĨŽƌŽŶĞŽĨŝƚƐƚŽƉĐŽŶƐƵŵĞƌ
ŽŵĚĞůďƵƚŶŽƉƌŽĚƵĐƚŽǀĞƌůĂƉ͘ ƐƚĂƉůĞƐƉŝĐŬƐ͘
ŽŵĚĞůǁŝůůĂĚĚĂďŽƵƚϴйƚŽyW͛ƐŐƌŽƵƉ /ŵƉĞƌŝĂů͛ƐƉƌĞͲĐůŽƐĞƚƌĂĚŝŶŐƵƉĚĂƚĞ;Ϯϴ^ĞƉͿ
ƌĞǀĞŶƵĞƐŝŶϮϬϭϴĂŶĚϮϬϭϵ͕ĂĐĐŽƌĚŝŶŐƚŽĨŽƌĞĐĂƐƚƐ ĐŽŶĮƌŵĞĚƚŚĞƚŽďĂĐĐŽƟƚĂŶŝƐŽŶƚƌĂĐŬƚŽŵĞĞƚĨƵůů
ĨƌŽŵŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚďĂŶŬ/ŶǀĞƐƚĞĐ͕ĂŶĚŵŝĚͲƐŝŶŐůĞ LJĞĂƌĞdžƉĞĐƚĂƟŽŶƐĂŶĚŝƐŐĞĂƌŝŶŐƵƉĨŽƌŶĞǁE'W
ĚŝŐŝƚƐƚŽĞĂƌŶŝŶŐƐ͘dŚĂƚŝŵƉůŝĞƐĞĂƌŶŝŶŐƐƉĞƌƐŚĂƌĞ ůĂƵŶĐŚĞƐŝŶĨƵůůLJĞĂƌϮϬϭϴ͘
ŽĨϭϰϰ͘ϰƉŶĞdžƚLJĞĂƌƚŽϯϭĞĐĞŵďĞƌϮϬϭϴ͕ƉƵƫŶŐ /ŶǀĞƐƚĞĐďĞůŝĞǀĞƐ͚ƚŚĞƐĞǁŝůůƌĞŵĂŝŶĨŽĐƵƐĞĚ
ƚŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƐŽŶĂĨŽƌǁĂƌĚƉƌŝĐĞƚŽĞĂƌŶŝŶŐƐŵƵůƟƉůĞ ŽŶĞͲǀĂƉŽƵƌĂŶĚƚŚĞblu brand, but the company
ŽĨϭϵ͘ϳ͘ could yet surprise with launches in other areas. We
^ŚĂƌĞƐŝŶƚŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJŚĂǀĞĞŶũŽLJĞĚĂĮƌŵƌƵŶ ƚŚŝŶŬ/ŵƉĞƌŝĂů͕ŝĨŝƚƐŽǁŝƐŚĞĚ͕ĐŽƵůĚůĂƵŶĐŚĂŚĞĂƚͲ
ƐŝŶĐĞŽƵƌŽƌŝŐŝŶĂůĨĞĂƚƵƌĞŝŶĞĂƌůLJ:ƵůLJ͕ĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚǁĞ not-burn product within one year and at an easily
ĂůƐŽƌĞŵŝŶĚƌĞĂĚĞƌƐŽĨƚŚĞƐƚŽĐŬ͛ƐĂƩƌĂĐƟǀĞϮ͘ϵй manageable cost.’
XP POWER (DI)
LJŝĞůĚŝŶŐĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚ /ŵƉĞƌŝĂůŝƐƌĞďŽƵŶĚŝŶŐĨƌŽŵƐĞǀĞƌĂůǁĞĂŬĞƌLJĞĂƌƐ
FTSE ALL SHARE ;ϮϬϭϴͿ͕ƉĂŝĚ IMPERIAL BRANDS as it migrated
3000 quarterly. ƐŵŽŬĞƌƐƚŽ
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream

Rebased to first
FTSE ALL SHARE
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream

2800 4600
2600 4400
Rebased to first
ĨĞǁĞƌ͕ƐƚƌŽŶŐĞƌ
2400 4200
4000
brands.
2200
2000 3800
1800 3600
1600 3400
1400 3200
2016 2017 3000
2016 2017

SHARES SAYS: È SHARES SAYS: È


Investec has again raised its target price which now Stay positive on the mega cap for its defensive
sits at £31.30. We expect more steady progress from characteristics, strong cash generation and
the shares. (SF) growing dividend. (JC)

BROKER SAYS: 3 0 0 BROKER SAYS: 2 0 0

12 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


We always want
to get closer.
Dunedin Income Growth Investment Trust
ISA and Share Plan
Identifying companies with the potential to deliver both
share price growth and attractive income demands
first-hand knowledge.

At Aberdeen, we insist on meeting every company in which


we invest, before we invest. Because we believe getting close
up to possible investments is the only way to try to unearth
the richest sources of return.
Please remember, the value of shares and the income from
them can go down as well as up and you may get back less
than the amount invested. No recommendation is made,
positive or otherwise, regarding the ISA and Share Plan.
The value of tax benefits depends on individual circumstances
and the favourable tax treatment for ISAs may not be maintained.
We recommend you seek financial advice prior to making
an investment decision.

Request a brochure: 0808 500 4000


dunedinincomegrowth.co.uk

Issued by Aberdeen Asset Managers Limited, 10 Queen’s Terrace, Aberdeen AB10 1YG, which is authorised and
regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK. Telephone calls may be recorded. aberdeen-asset.co.uk Please quote DIGIT SM 04
UNDER THE BONNET We explain what this company does

Newly-listed retailer
targets five-fold increase
in sales
Fast fashion womenswear seller Quiz has joined the stock market ahead of a
big growth push

G iven a UK consumer
slowdown, the inexorable
ĐŚĂŶŶĞůƐŚŝŌƚŽƚŚĞǁĞď
ĂŶĚĐƵƚͲƚŚƌŽĂƚĐŽŵƉĞƟƟŽŶ
amongst clothing retailers,
ŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐŝŶĂ͚ĨĂƐƚĨĂƐŚŝŽŶ͛
ǁŽŵĞŶƐǁĞĂƌŽƵƞŝƚĞŶŐĂŐĞĚŝŶ
a physical store roll-out might
not appeal to every investor.
So how has Quiz (QUIZ:AIM)
ŵĂŶĂŐĞĚƚŽĐĂƉƚƵƌĞŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐ͛
ŝŶƚĞƌĞƐƚĂŶĚƐƵĐĐĞƐƐĨƵůůLJũŽŝŶĞĚ ƐƚĂŶĚŽƵƚĨƌŽŵƚŚĞĐƌŽǁĚ͘ ŽĸĐĞƌ^ŚĞƌĂnjZĂŵnjĂŶ͘
the stock market (July 2017) ŝƐƟŶĐƟǀĞ͕ŐůĂŵŽƌŽƵƐŽǁŶͲ ͚tĞƟĐŬĂůůƚŚĞďŽdžĞƐŽĨƐŽĐŝĂů
ĚĞƐƉŝƚĞƚŚĞĚŝĸĐƵůƚďĂĐŬĚƌŽƉĨŽƌ brand lines are growing rapidly. ŵĞĚŝĂ͕ĨĂƐƚĨĂƐŚŝŽŶĂŶĚǀĂůƵĞ͘
the retail sector? To answer this ŶĚũƵƐƚůŝŬĞĨĂƐƚͲĨĂƐŚŝŽŶ tĞŚĂǀĞĂǀĞƌLJƐƚƌŽŶŐŽĐĐĂƐŝŽŶ
ƋƵĞƐƟŽŶ͕ůĞƚ͛ƐƚĂŬĞĂĐůŽƐĞƌůŽŽŬ ǁŝŶŶĞƌƐ^K^ĂŶĚŽŽŚŽŽ͕ ǁĞĂƌŽīĞƌʹƉƌŽŵƐ͕ǁĞĚĚŝŶŐƐ
at the business. Quiz boasts a burgeoning ĂŶĚŶŝŐŚƚƐŽƵƚʹĂŶĚĂƐƚƌŽŶŐ
Glasgow-headquartered ƐŽĐŝĂůŵĞĚŝĂĨŽůůŽǁŝŶŐĂŶĚŝƐ ĐĂƐƵĂůĚƌĞƐƐŽīĞƌ͘ŶĚƚŚĞYƵŝnj
Quiz is among a new breed ƐƵĐĐĞƐƐĨƵůůLJůĞǀĞƌĂŐŝŶŐĐĞůĞďƌŝƚLJbrand has got wide appeal. Go
ŽĨƵůƚƌĂͲĨĂƐƚĨĂƐŚŝŽŶďƌĂŶĚƐ ĂŶĚďůŽŐŐĞƌĐŽůůĂďŽƌĂƟŽŶƐƚŽ ŝŶƚŽŽƵƌƐƚŽƌĞƐĂŶĚLJŽƵ͛ůůƐĞĞ
ĚŝƐƌƵƉƟŶŐƚŚĞƌĞƚĂŝůŵĂƌŬĞƚ raise brand awareness and ƚŚƌĞĞŐĞŶĞƌĂƟŽŶƐŽĨǁŽŵĞŶ
place. Think ASOS (ASC:AIM) boost sales. ƐŚŽƉƉŝŶŐǁŝƚŚƵƐ͛͘
and Boohoo.com (BOO:AIM) Quiz constantly develops its
rather than Marks & Spencer PREVIOUS STRUGGLES own product lines, ensuring
(MKS) or Bonmarche (BON). The business went into the latest glamorous looks are
&ĂƐƚĨĂƐŚŝŽŶŝƐĞƐƐĞŶƟĂůůLJ ĂĚŵŝŶŝƐƚƌĂƟŽŶŝŶϮϬϬϵĂŌĞƌ available at value prices. Today,
retailers constantly producing struggling with high rental costs Quiz trades in 300-plus outlets
ŶĞǁĚĞƐŝŐŶƐƚŽĨĞĞĚĂŚƵŶŐƌLJ ĂŶĚĚŝĸĐƵůƚƚƌĂĚŝŶŐĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶƐ͘ ŐůŽďĂůůLJʹŝŶĐůƵĚŝŶŐƐƚĂŶĚĂůŽŶĞ
ŵĂƌŬĞƚĨŽƌǁŽŵĞŶƐǁĞĂƌ͘/ƚ dŚĞZĂŵnjĂŶĨĂŵŝůLJ;ǁŚŝĐŚ stores, concessions with the
ŝŶǀŽůǀĞƐĂŐƌĞĂƚĞƌŶƵŵďĞƌŽĨ ŝŶĐůƵĚĞƐƚŚĞĨŽƵŶĚĞƌĂŶĚ ůŝŬĞƐŽĨDebenhams (DEB)
orders being placed at the various directors) immediately ĂŶĚ,ŽƵƐĞŽĨ&ƌĂƐĞƌ͕ĨƌĂŶĐŚŝƐĞ
last minute, typically taking ďŽƵŐŚƚďĂĐŬƚŚĞŵĂũŽƌŝƚLJŽĨƚŚĞ stores, wholesale partners and
ŝŶƐƉŝƌĂƟŽŶĨƌŽŵǁŚĂƚĐĞůĞďƌŝƟĞƐ business. Eight years later Quiz ŝŶƚĞƌŶĂƟŽŶĂůŽŶůŝŶĞƉĂƌƚŶĞƌƐ
have been wearing. is in good health. including Zalando.
Quiz specialises in occasion ͚tĞƐĞĞŽƵƌƐĞůǀĞƐĂƐĂŶ KŶůŝŶĞŽŶůLJĂĐĐŽƵŶƚĞĚĨŽƌ
wear and dressy casual wear ŽŵŶŝͲĐŚĂŶŶĞůǀĞƌƐŝŽŶŽĨƚŚĞ ϭϯйŽĨůĂƐƚĮŶĂŶĐŝĂůLJĞĂƌ͛ƐƐĂůĞƐ
ƚŚĂƚŚĞůƉƐĨĞŵĂůĞƐ͕ŵĂŝŶůLJŝŶ online pure plays that are out but there is rapid growth in this
the 16-35 year old age bracket, ƚŚĞƌĞ͕͛ƐĂLJƐĐŚŝĞĨĐŽŵŵĞƌĐŝĂů channel.

14 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


UNDER THE BONNET
QUIZ’s product development cycle and fast-fashion supply chain model

Styles & trends


Fabric sourcing & Product Transport product Products allocated to
ŝŶĚĞŶƟĮĞĚΘ
sampling process manufacturing to QUIZ stores & online
developed

Source: Panmure Gordon/QUIZ

SPENDING MORE MONEY TEST AND REPEAT MODEL investors alike as progressive
ON MARKETING YƵŝnjŚĂƐĂĚƵƌĂďůĞĐŽŵƉĞƟƟǀĞ dividends are on the horizon.
:ƵůLJ͛ƐƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚůŝƐƟŶŐ ĂĚǀĂŶƚĂŐĞŽǀĞƌŵĂŶLJŽĨŝƚƐƉĞĞƌƐ ͚tĞ͛ǀĞĂůǁĂLJƐďĞĞŶĚĞďƚ
ƌĂŬĞĚŝŶάϵ͘ϰŵŽĨŶĞǁŵŽŶĞLJ thanks to the rapid speed by ĂǀĞƌƐĞŽǀĞƌƚŚĞLJĞĂƌƐ͕͛ƐĂLJƐ
ĂŌĞƌĨĞĞƐǁŚŝĐŚǁŝůůŚĞůƉYƵŝnj which it can produce items to ^ŚĞƌĂnjZĂŵnjĂŶ͚͘tĞ͛ǀĞĂůǁĂLJƐ
ŐƌŽǁŝƚƐŵĂƌŬĞƚƉŽƐŝƟŽŶĂƚ ŵĞĞƚƚŚĞůĂƚĞƐƚĨĂƐŚŝŽŶƚƌĞŶĚƐ͘ ǁĂŶƚĞĚƚŽďĞĂůĞĂŶ͕ĨĂƐƚͲŵŽǀŝŶŐ
ŚŽŵĞĂŶĚŽǀĞƌƐĞĂƐ͘/ƚƉůĂŶƐƚŽ /ƚƐƚĞƐƚĂŶĚƌĞƉĞĂƚŵŽĚĞůŝƐ ĐŽŵƉĂŶLJƚŚĂƚŝƐŇĞdžŝďůĞŝŶ
ƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚůLJŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞŵĂƌŬĞƟŶŐ ƐŝŵŝůĂƌƚŽŽŽ,ŽŽ͛ƐŝŶƚŚĂƚďŽƚŚ ĞǀĞƌLJĂƌĞĂ͛͘
spend to help accelerate companies do a small amount
sales growth. ŽĨŽƌĚĞƌƐƚŽŐĂƵŐĞĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌ dZ'd/E'&/sͳ&K>
dŚĞŐƌŽǁƚŚƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůŝƐ demand and they only proceed INCREASE IN SALES
ĂƌŐƵĂďůLJŚƵŐĞĂƐYƵŝnj͛ƐƐŚĂƌĞ ǁŝƚŚůĂƌŐĞŽƌĚĞƌƐĨŽƌƚŚĞŵŽƐƚ The company has outlined an
ŽĨƚŚĞάϳ͘ϯďŶh<ǁŽŵĞŶƐǁĞĂƌ ƐƵĐĐĞƐƐĨƵůŝƚĞŵƐ͘ ŝŶŝƟĂůĂŵďŝƟŽŶƚŽďƵŝůĚĂάϱϬϬŵн
value clothing sector alone is dŚŝƐŚĞůƉƐƚŽůŝŵŝƚƚŚĞƌŝƐŬŽĨ revenue brand in the medium
ƐƟůůƟŶLJ͘ having goods that are suddenly term and a global omni-channel
dŚĞάϮϮϬŵĐĂƉŚĂƐƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚ ŽƵƚŽĨĨĂƐŚŝŽŶĂŶĚĂǀŽŝĚŚĂǀŝŶŐ presence. To put that in context,
ŽŶůŝŶĞƉŽƚĞŶƟĂů͕ƌŝƐŝŶŐďƌĂŶĚ ůŽƚƐŽĨƵŶǁĂŶƚĞĚƐƚŽĐŬƚŚĂƚŚĂƐ YƵŝnjŐĞŶĞƌĂƚĞĚάϴϵ͘ϴŵƐĂůĞƐŝŶ
awareness, helped by the UK to be sold at a discount, thus the year to 31 March 2017.
store presence and increasing ŚƵƌƟŶŐƉƌŽĮƚŵĂƌŐŝŶƐ͘ Panmure Gordon analyst Peter
ŽŶůŝŶĞĂĐƟǀŝƚLJ͕ĂƐǁĞůůĂƐƚŚĞ Quiz achieves 62.7% gross ^ŵĞĚůĞLJĨŽƌĞĐĂƐƚƐƐĂůĞƐƚŽŚŝƚ
ǁĞůůͲŝŶǀĞƐƚĞĚŝŶĨƌĂƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞƚŽ ŵĂƌŐŝŶĂŶĚϵ͘ϭй/d;ĞĂƌŶŝŶŐƐ άϭϭϲ͘ϰŵŝŶƚŚĞLJĞĂƌƚŽDĂƌĐŚ
support planned growth. ďĞĨŽƌĞŝŶƚĞƌĞƐƚĂŶĚƚĂdžͿŵĂƌŐŝŶ͕ 2018 and £150.5m in the year
Physical stores are important according to stockbroker ĂŌĞƌ͘dŚĂƚƚƌĂŶƐůĂƚĞƐŝŶƚŽƉƌĞͲ
ƚŽYƵŝnj͛ƐŽŵŶŝͲĐŚĂŶŶĞůŵŽĚĞů͖ Panmure which has analysed a ƚĂdžƉƌŽĮƚŽĨάϭϬ͘ϯŵŝŶϮϬϭϴĂŶĚ
ŝƚĐƵƌƌĞŶƚůLJƚƌĂĚĞƐĨƌŽŵϲϳ ƌĂŶŐĞŽĨƌĞƚĂŝůĞƌƐ͛ůĂƚĞƐƚƌĞƉŽƌƚĞĚ άϭϮ͘ϲŵŝŶϮϬϭϵ͘
standalone UK stores and ĮŶĂŶĐŝĂůƌĞƐƵůƚƐ͘ The shares at 178p currently
ƚŚĞƌĞ͛ƐůŽŶŐƚĞƌŵƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůĨŽƌ /ŶĐŽŵƉĂƌŝƐŽŶ͕ŽŶůŝŶĞƌŝǀĂů ƚƌĂĚĞŽŶϮϳ͘ϴƟŵĞƐĨŽƌĞĐĂƐƚ
a disciplined rollout to 110-120 ^K^ŚĂƐϱϬйŐƌŽƐƐŵĂƌŐŝŶĂŶĚ ĞĂƌŶŝŶŐƐĨŽƌƚŚĞĐƵƌƌĞŶƚĮŶĂŶĐŝĂů
ůŽĐĂƟŽŶƐ͘ ϰ͘ϰй/dŵĂƌŐŝŶ͖ĂŶĚƉŚLJƐŝĐĂů LJĞĂƌ͘dŚĂƚ͛ƐĂŚŝŐŚƌĂƟŶŐƚŽƌĞŇĞĐƚ
Furthermore, it now has a store rival New Look has 51.3% ŝƚƐĨĂƐƚŐƌŽǁƚŚƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůďƵƚ
ŇĞdžŝďůĞƐƚŽƌĞĞƐƚĂƚĞĐĞŶƚƌĞĚ ŐƌŽƐƐŵĂƌŐŝŶĂŶĚϱ͘ϯй/d nowhere near the 70.5 PE (price
on short leases, which limits margin. ƚŽĞĂƌŶŝŶŐƐͿƌĂƟŽĨŽƌŽŽ,ŽŽĂŶĚ
exposure to costly upward ϳϴ͘ϲWƌĂƟŽĨŽƌ^K^͘
rent reviews. FUTURE DIVIDEND PAYER
^ŚĞƌĂnjZĂŵnjĂŶƐĂLJƐ͚͗dŚĞ YƵŝnjŝƐĐĂƐŚŐĞŶĞƌĂƟǀĞǁŝƚŚ SHARES SAYS:
ƐƚŽƌĞƐĂƌĞĂŶŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚƉĂƌƚŽĨ an ungeared balance sheet We acknowledge that retailers
the strategy but the main drivers which not only supports growth are very much out of favour with
ĂƌĞŽŶůŝŶĞĂŶĚŝŶƚĞƌŶĂƟŽŶĂů͛͘ ĂŵďŝƟŽŶƐďƵƚĂůƐŽƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƐ investors at present. That could
dŚĞůĂƩĞƌĐŚĂŶŶĞůƐĂƌĞ ƉƌŽƚĞĐƟŽŶƐŚŽƵůĚƚƌĂĚŝŶŐ weigh on Quiz’s share price near
ƉƌĞƐĞŶƚůLJŐĞŶĞƌĂƟŶŐĐŽŵƉŽƵŶĚ become tougher. term. However, longer term this
certainly looks like an interesting
annual growth rates north dŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ͛ƐƐŚĂƌĞƐŵĂLJ investment. (JC)
ŽĨϰϬй͘ interest income and growth

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 15


ŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚĂŶĚƐŽŵĞƚŚŝŶŐƚŚĂƚŝƐŵŝƐƵŶĚĞƌƐƚŽŽĚ IS THERE SUCH A THING AS A GUARANTEED
ďLJŵĂŶLJŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐ͘ STOP LOSS?
ƐĂŶĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͕ůĞƚ͛ƐƐĂLJLJŽƵďƵLJĂƐƚŽĐŬĂƚϭϱϬƉ KŶĞƐŽůƵƟŽŶƚŽƚŚŝƐƉƌŽďůĞŵŝƐƚŽƵƐĞĂ
ĂŶĚLJŽƵǁŽƵůĚůŝŬĞƚŽƐĞůůŝƚŝĨƚŚĞƉƌŝĐĞĚƌŽƉƐďLJ ͚ŐƵĂƌĂŶƚĞĞĚƐƚŽƉůŽƐƐ͛ǁŚŝĐŚŐĞƚƐLJŽƵŽƵƚŽĨƚŚĞ
ϭϬйĨƌŽŵƚŚĞƉŽŝŶƚŽĨƉƵƌĐŚĂƐĞ͘ ƚƌĂĚĞĂƚƚŚĞĚĞƐŝƌĞĚƉƌŝĐĞ͘
zŽƵŝƐƐƵĞĂƐƚŽƉůŽƐƐŽƌĚĞƌĂƚϭϱϬƉŵŝŶƵƐϭϬй͕ dŚŝƐĨĂĐŝůŝƚLJŝƐŽŶůLJĂǀĂŝůĂďůĞƚŽƉĞŽƉůĞƚƌĂĚŝŶŐ
ŽƌϭϯϱƉ͘/ĨƚŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƉƌŝĐĞƌĞĂĐŚĞƐϭϯϱƉ͕ƚŚĞƐƚŽƉ ƚŚĞŵĂƌŬĞƚƐǀŝĂĐŽŶƚƌĂĐƚƐĨŽƌĚŝīĞƌĞŶĐĞŽƌƐƉƌĞĂĚ
loss triggers a market order to sell the shares at the ďĞƫŶŐ͕ǁŚŝĐŚĂƌĞǀĞƌLJŚŝŐŚƌŝƐŬĂĐƟǀŝƟĞƐ͘dŽŐŝǀĞ
ŶĞdžƚĂǀĂŝůĂďůĞƉƌŝĐĞ͘ LJŽƵĂŶĞdžĂŵƉůĞŽĨƚŚĞĂƐƐŽĐŝĂƚĞĚĐŽƐƚƐ͕ƚƌĂĚŝŶŐ
DŽƐƚŵŝĚĂŶĚůĂƌŐĞƐƚŽĐŬƐĂƌĞůŝƋƵŝĚĞŶŽƵŐŚ ƉůĂƞŽƌŵƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƌ/'ƐĂLJƐŝƚĐŚĂƌŐĞƐϬ͘ϯйŽĨƚŚĞ
ƚŽĂǀŽŝĚĚĞůĂLJƐŝŶĮŶĚŝŶŐĂďƵLJĞƌĨŽƌLJŽƵƌ ƵŶĚĞƌůLJŝŶŐƚƌĂŶƐĂĐƟŽŶǀĂůƵĞŝŶŽƌĚĞƌƚŽŚĂǀĞĂ
ŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ͘DŽƐƚŽĨƚŚĞƟŵĞ͕ƚŚĞƚƌĂĚĞƐŚŽƵůĚďĞ ŐƵĂƌĂŶƚĞĞĚƐƚŽƉůŽƐƐ͘
ŝŶƐƚĂŶƚĂŶĞŽƵƐ͘^ŵĂůůĞƌĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐĐĂŶďĞŵŽƌĞ ŶŽƚŚĞƌŝƐƐƵĞŵĂLJďĞĂƐŚŽƌƚͲƚĞƌŵŵĂƌŬĞƚ
ŝůůŝƋƵŝĚƐŽLJŽƵŵĂLJĞŶĐŽƵŶƚĞƌƉĞƌŝŽĚƐǁŚĞŶLJŽƵ ƐŚĂŬĞͲŽƵƚƚƌŝŐŐĞƌŝŶŐLJŽƵƌƐƚŽƉůŽƐƐ͕ŽŶůLJĨŽƌƚŚĞ
ĐĂŶ͛ƚĞdžĞĐƵƚĞĂƐĞůůƚƌĂĚĞŽƌLJŽƵƌďƌŽŬĞƌĞŶĚƐƵƉ ƐŚĂƌĞƐƚŽƌĞĐŽǀĞƌLJŝŶƚŚĞƐƵďƐĞƋƵĞŶƚĚĂLJƐĂŶĚ
ƐĞůůŝŶŐƚŚĞƐƚŽĐŬĂƚĂůŽǁĞƌƚŚĂŶĚĞƐŝƌĞĚƉƌŝĐĞ͘ ǁĞĞŬƐ͘dŚĂƚůŽĐŬƐŝŶĂůŽƐƐƚŚĂƚŵŝŐŚƚŚĂǀĞďĞĞŶ
ƌŝĚĚĞŶŽƵƚŝŶƟŵĞ͘
THE PERILS OF PROFIT WARNINGS /dĐŽŶƐƵůƚĂŶĐLJFDM (FDM)ŝƐĂĐůĂƐƐŝĐĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͘
dŚĞŽƚŚĞƌŝƐƐƵĞƚŽĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌŝƐƚŚĂƚLJŽƵƌƐƚŽƉůŽƐƐ /ŶDĂƌĐŚϮϬϭϲ͕ǁĞŇĂŐŐĞĚƚŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƐĂƚ
ŵŝŐŚƚďĞƐĞƚĨĂƌŚŝŐŚĞƌƚŚĂŶƚŚĞƉƌŝĐĞĂƚǁŚŝĐŚĂ ϱϯϵ͘ϱƉ͘/Ŷ:ƵŶĞϮϬϭϲƚŚĞƌĞdžŝƚƌĞƐƵůƚƐƉĂƌŬĞĚ
ĐŽŵƉĂŶLJƐƚĂƌƚƐƚƌĂĚŝŶŐŽŶĂĚĂLJǁŚĞŶŝƚŝƐƐƵĞƐ ĂŵĂƐƐŝǀĞƐĞůůͲŽīŝŶƚŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƉƌŝĐĞ͕ĨĂůůŝŶŐ
ǀĞƌLJďĂĚŶĞǁƐ͘ ƚŽϰϯϮƉ͘
&ŽƌĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͕ƚŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJŝŶŽƵƌƉƌĞǀŝŽƵƐ ŶLJŽŶĞǁŚŽďŽƵŐŚƚ&DĂƚϱϯϵ͘ϱƉĂŶĚŚĂĚ
ĞdžĂŵƉůĞŝƐƐƵĞƐĂƉƌŽĮƚǁĂƌŶŝŶŐĂŶĚŝƚƐƐŚĂƌĞƐ ĂϭϬйƐƚŽƉůŽƐƐǁŽƵůĚŚĂǀĞŚĂĚĂƐĞůůŽƌĚĞƌ
ƉůƵŶŐĞϯϬйĂƚƚŚĞŵĂƌŬĞƚŽƉĞŶƚŽϭϬϱƉ͘zŽƵƌƐƚŽƉ ƚƌŝŐŐĞƌĞĚĂƚϰϴϱ͘ϱϱƉĂŶĚŵŝƐƐĞĚŽƵƚŽŶĂŶ
ůŽƐƐǁĂƐƐĞƚĂƚϭϯϱƉ͘ ŝŵƉƌĞƐƐŝǀĞĂŶĚƌĂƉŝĚƌĞĐŽǀĞƌLJ͘zĞƚŚĂůĨLJĞĂƌ
dŚĞĮƌƐƚŽƉƉŽƌƚƵŶŝƚLJLJŽƵƌďƌŽŬĞƌŚĂƐƚŽƐĞůůLJŽƵƌ ƌĞƐƵůƚƐŝŶ:ƵůLJďŽůƐƚĞƌĞĚĐŽŶĮĚĞŶĐĞĂŶĚƚŚĞ
ƐŚĂƌĞƐŝƐϭϬϱƉ͖ŚĞŶĐĞLJŽƵǁŝůůĞdžŝƚƚŚĞƚƌĂĚĞĂƚĂ ƌĞĐŽǀĞƌLJĂĐĐĞůĞƌĂƚĞĚ͕ƚŚĞƐƚŽĐŬŚŝƫŶŐϲϱϰƉďLJ
ůŽǁĞƌƚŚĂŶĚĞƐŝƌĞĚůĞǀĞů͘ ĞĂƌůLJƵŐƵƐƚ͘&DŚĂƐƐƵďƐĞƋƵĞŶƚůLJƌŝƐĞŶĨƵƌƚŚĞƌ͘

1100 FDM GROUP


1000 FTSE ALL SHARE Recovery rally is sharp and fast

900
800
700 Shares says to buy at 539.5p

600
500
400 Brexit sparks plunge

2015 2016 2017

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 17


Approximately 6,600 votes were cast by investors and financial
advisers for the best fund and investment trusts in a new set of
awards run by AJ Bell. We’re pleased to announce the winners.

“The AJ Bell Fund and Investment Trust (FIT) awards were born out of
an observation that there are an increasing number of people looking for
help and guidance when it comes to fund selection,’ says Andy Bell, chief
executive of AJ Bell.

‘Although past performance was not the primary focus, it is telling that the
portfolio of winners has doubled its money over the past five years. We
hope the winners list will be able to help people with their research and
encourage more people to engage in fund investing.’

CATEGORIES WINNERS 3 year 5 year Value of £1,000


annualised annualised invested 5 years
return return ago
UK Equity Liontrust Special Situations 12.55% 13.30% £1,867
Fund
European Equity Jupiter European Fund 19.51% 18.11% £2,298

North American Equity Schroder US Mid Cap Fund 19.34% 19.21% £2,407

Asian Equity Stewart Investors Asia Pacific 12.02% 12.12% £1,772


Leaders Fund
Japan Equity Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon PLC 32.62% 31.85% £3,984

Emerging Markets Equity JP Morgan Emerging Markets 14.77% 11.17% £1,698

Global Equity Fundsmith Equity Fund 25.20% 22.23% £2,782

UK Smaller Companies Standard Life UK Smaller 17.69% 17.60% £2,249


Companies Trust PLC
Commodoties/Resources BlackRock Gold and General 8.51% -3.37% £843
Fund
Technology/Biotech Polar Capital Global 28.27% 23.52% £2,875
Technology Fund
Property F&C Commercial Property 10.62% 12.95% £1,838
Trust
Bonds M&G Emerging Markets Bond 14.04% 9.78% £1,595
Fund
Income City of London Investment 8.33% 11.42% £1,717
Trust PLC
Ethical Kames Ethical Cautious 6.15% 9.09% £1,545
Managed Fund

Specialist First State Global Listed 17.79% 16.62% £2,158


Infrastructure Fund

Total return on £15,000 split equally across all funds: £31,628


HOW TO INVEST IN THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE

REVOLUT ON

ĚĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚƐŝŶƚŚĞǁŽƌůĚĨŽƌĂůŽŶŐƟŵĞ͘
/ŶƚŚŝƐĂƌƟĐůĞǁĞĚŝƐĐƵƐƐƚŚĞůŝŬĞůLJǁŝŶŶĞƌƐĂŶĚ
ůŽƐĞƌƐŽŶƚŚĞh<ƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚĨƌŽŵƚŚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐ
ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƌĞǀŽůƵƟŽŶ͕ĂƐǁĞůůĂƐůŽŽŬŝŶŐĂƚǁĂLJƐƚŽƉůĂLJ
ƚŚĞƐƉĂĐĞƚŚƌŽƵŐŚŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƚƌƵƐƚƐ͘

T
ŚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞ;sͿƌĞǀŽůƵƟŽŶŚĂƐŵŽǀĞĚ tĞǁŝůůůŽŽŬĂƚĂǁŝĚĞƌĂŶŐĞŽĨŝŶĚƵƐƚƌŝĞƐ͕ĨƌŽŵ
ƵƉĂŐĞĂƌŽǀĞƌƚŚĞƉĂƐƚĨĞǁŵŽŶƚŚƐĂƐƌŝƚĂŝŶ ĐĂƌƉĂƌƚƐƵƉƉůŝĞƌƐĂŶĚƐĞƌǀŝĐĞĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐƚŽŵŝŶĞƌƐ
ĂŶĚ&ƌĂŶĐĞĐŽŶĮƌŵƉůĂŶƐƚŽƉŚĂƐĞŽƵƚƚŚĞ ŚŽƉŝŶŐƚŽĚŝŐƵƉƚŚĞƌĂǁŵĂƚĞƌŝĂůƐŶĞĞĚĞĚƚŽ
ƐĂůĞŽĨĚŝĞƐĞůĂŶĚƉĞƚƌŽůĐĂƌƐďLJϮϬϰϬ͘ ƉŽǁĞƌĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞďĂƩĞƌŝĞƐ͘
ĂƌŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐƐƵĐŚĂƐsŽůǀŽĂŶĚ:ĂŐƵĂƌ
>ĂŶĚZŽǀĞƌĂƌĞĚĞǀĞůŽƉŝŶŐĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐŽƌŚLJďƌŝĚ WHY IS THE WORLD MOVING
ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐĂƐĨĂƐƚĂƐƚŚĞLJĐĂŶ͖ĂŶĚĞǀĞŶŶŽŶͲĐĂƌ TO ELECTRIC VEHICLES?
ĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐŝŶĐůƵĚŝŶŐǀĂĐƵƵŵĐůĞĂŶĞƌƐƉĞĐŝĂůŝƐƚ dŚĞƌĞĂƌĞƐĞǀĞƌĂůƌĞĂƐŽŶƐǁŚLJƚŚĞǁŽƌůĚŝƐƐŚŝŌŝŶŐ
LJƐŽŶĂƌĞŵŽǀŝŶŐŝŶƚŽƚŚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐƉĂĐĞ͘ ĨƌŽŵĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶĞŶŐŝŶĞƐƚŽĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͘
&ƵƌƚŚĞƌŵŽƌĞ͕ĂŝƌůŝŶĞEasyJet (EZJ)ŶŽǁƐĂLJƐŝƚĐŽƵůĚ &ŝƌƐƚ͕ŝƚŚĂƐďĞĞŶƉƌŽǀĞŶƚŚĂƚĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐĐĂŶ
ďĞŇLJŝŶŐĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐƉůĂŶĞƐǁŝƚŚŝŶĂĚĞĐĂĚĞ͘ ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂƐǁĞůůĂƐƚŚĞŝƌƉĞƚƌŽůĞƋƵŝǀĂůĞŶƚƐ͘>ŝƚŚŝƵŵͲ
dŚŝƐƌĂƉŝĚĂĐĐĞůĞƌĂƟŽŶŽĨĂĐƟǀŝƚLJƉƌĞƐĞŶƚƐ ŝŽŶďĂƩĞƌLJĐŽƐƚƐĂƌĞĨĂůůŝŶŐ͕ĂŶĚƚŚŝƐŚĂƐƉƌŽŵƉƚĞĚ
ĂŶŽƉƉŽƌƚƵŶŝƚLJĨŽƌŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐƚŽŚŝƚĐŚĂƌŝĚĞŽŶ ƚŚĞĐĂƌŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJƚŽďĞůŝĞǀĞƚŚĂƚĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐĐĂŶ
ŽŶĞŽĨƚŚĞďŝŐŐĞƐƚŝŶĚƵƐƚƌŝĂůĂŶĚƚĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐŝĐĂů ĞǀĞŶƚƵĂůůLJďĞĐŽŵĞĂīŽƌĚĂďůĞƚŽƚŚĞŵĂƐƐŵĂƌŬĞƚ͘

20 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


^ĞĐŽŶĚ͕ĂŶƟͲƉŽůůƵƟŽŶůĞŐŝƐůĂƟŽŶŝŶŵĂŶLJƉĂƌƚƐ ƉƌŽĚƵĐĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐŝƚLJ͕ƐŽƵƐŝŶŐƚŚĂƚƐŽƵƌĐĞƚŽƉŽǁĞƌ
ŽĨƚŚĞǁŽƌůĚŝƐĨŽƌĐŝŶŐƚŚĞĂƵƚŽŵŽƟǀĞŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJ ĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐŝƐĐůĞĂƌůLJĐŽƵŶƚĞƌŝŶƚƵŝƟǀĞĨƌŽŵĂŶ
ƚŽĐŚĂŶŐĞ͘ƵƌŽƉĞŝƐŝŶƚƌŽĚƵĐŝŶŐƐƚƌŝĐƚĞƌůŝŵŝƚƐŽŶ ĞŶǀŝƌŽŶŵĞŶƚĂůƉĞƌƐƉĞĐƟǀĞ͘
ĐĂƌďŽŶĚŝŽdžŝĚĞĞŵŝƐƐŝŽŶƐĨƌŽŵϮϬϮϭ͕ĨŽƌĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͘ zŽƵƚŚĞŶŚĂǀĞƚŽƚŚŝŶŬĂďŽƵƚŚŽǁǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐǁŝůů
͚ŝƌƋƵĂůŝƚLJĐŽŶĐĞƌŶƐŚĂǀĞďĞĞŶĂďŝŐĚƌŝǀĞƌĨƌŽŵ ďĞĐŚĂƌŐĞĚ͘ƚƉƌĞƐĞŶƚƚŚĞƌĞĂƌĞǀĞƌLJĨĞǁĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐ
ĂůĞŐŝƐůĂƟǀĞƉŽŝŶƚŽĨǀŝĞǁ͕͛ƐĂLJƐDĂƌĐƵƐ^ƚĞǁĂƌƚ͕ ƐƚĂƟŽŶƐĨŽƌĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐŝŶŵĂũŽƌĐŝƟĞƐ͕ůĞƚ
ŚĞĂĚŽĨĞŶĞƌŐLJŝŶƐŝŐŚƚƐĂƚEĂƟŽŶĂů'ƌŝĚ;E'͘Ϳ͘ ĂůŽŶĞƌƵƌĂůĂƌĞĂƐ͘&ŽƌĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͕ŚŝŶĂŚĂƐƐŽŵĞ
͚'ŽǀĞƌŶŵĞŶƚƐŚĂǀĞũƵŵƉĞĚŽŶƚŚĞďĂŶĚǁĂŐŽŶ͘ ĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐƐƚĂƟŽŶƐŝŶĐĂƌƉĂƌŬƐďƵƚŽŶůLJŝŶĂƐŵĂůů
dĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJǁĂƐƚĂŬŝŶŐƵƐƚŚĞƌĞĂŶLJǁĂLJ͛͘ ĨƌĂĐƟŽŶŽĨŝƚƐŽǀĞƌĂůůƉĂƌŬŝŶŐĨĂĐŝůŝƟĞƐ͘
>ŝŬĞĂŶLJƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚĚĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚ͕ƚŚĞƌĞĂƌĞĂ /ŶƚŚĞh<LJŽƵ͛ƌĞŵŽƌĞůŝŬĞůLJƚŽƐĞĞĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐ
ĨĞǁŶĞŐĂƟǀĞŝƐƐƵĞƐƚŽŽǀĞƌĐŽŵĞ͘zŽƵŚĂǀĞƚŽ ƉŽŝŶƚƐŽŶƐŽŵĞŽŶĞ͛ƐŚŽƵƐĞƚŚĂŶŝŶĐŝƚLJĐĞŶƚƌĞƐ͘
ƚŚŝŶŬĂďŽƵƚŚŽǁĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐŝƚLJŝƐŐĞŶĞƌĂƚĞĚŝŶŽƌĚĞƌ DŽƌĞŽŶƚŚĞĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐĚĞďĂƚĞůĂƚĞƌŝŶƚŚŝƐĂƌƟĐůĞ͘
ƚŽƉŽǁĞƌĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͘WĂƌƚƐŽĨƚŚĞǁŽƌůĚĂƌĞ &ŽƌŶŽǁ͕ůĞƚ͛ƐĚŝƐĐƵƐƐŚŽǁĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐŽŶƚŚĞh<
ŚĞĂǀŝůLJƌĞůŝĂŶƚŽŶĐŽĂůͲĮƌĞĚƉŽǁĞƌƐƚĂƟŽŶƐƚŽ ƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚĮƚŝŶƚŽƚŚĞĞƋƵĂƟŽŶ͘

OUR TOP BUYS TO PLAY THE ELECTRIC


VEHICLE THEME
UK-LISTED STOCKS AND INVESTMENT TRUSTS SWITCHING FROM ANŝŶƚĞƌŶĂůĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶ
ĞŶŐŝŶĞǀĞŚŝĐůĞƚŽĂŶĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƌĞĚƵĐĞƐ
AB Dynamics Testing systems for motor industry
ƚŚĞĐŽƐƚƉĞƌŵŝůĞďLJϱϱйĨƌŽŵΨϬ͘ϴϴƉĞƌŵŝůĞ
Bacanora Minerals Near-term lithium producer
ƚŽΨϬ͘ϰϬƉĞƌŵŝůĞĨŽƌƚŚĞŽǁŶĞƌŽĨƚŚĞǀĞŚŝĐůĞ͕
Glencore Aluminium, cobalt and nickel producer ĂĐĐŽƌĚŝŶŐƚŽƌĞƐĞĂƌĐŚŐƌŽƵƉĚŝƐŽŶ͘
Johnson Matthey Battery technology developer ͚'ŝǀĞŶƚŚĂƚĂůŵŽƐƚĂůůŽĨƚŚĞĚƌŝǀĞƐŵĂĚĞ
Scottish Mortgage Its second largest holding is electric ĂƌĞĚŽŶĞƐŽĨŽƌĂƉƵƌƉŽƐĞ͕ǁĞƚŚŝŶŬƚŚĂƚƚŚĞ
Investment Trust vehicle pioneer Tesla ĞĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐŽĨsƐĂƌĞůŝŬĞůLJƚŽǀĂƐƚůLJŽƵƚǁĞŝŐŚ
ĂŶLJůŝŶŐĞƌŝŶŐƉƌĞĨĞƌĞŶĐĞƐĨŽƌƚŚĞŽůĚƐƚLJůĞ
ŽĨǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐƌĞƐƵůƟŶŐŝŶĂŶĂůŵŽƐƚĐŽŵƉůĞƚĞ
OVERSEAS-LISTED STOCKS ĐŽŶǀĞƌƐŝŽŶŽĨƚŚĞŵĂƌŬĞƚŽŶĐĞsƐŚŝƚ
Infineon Large cap semiconductor manufacturer ĞĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐĐĂůĞĂŶĚƚŚĞƌŝŐŚƚŝŶĨƌĂƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞ
Technologies listed in Germany ŝƐŝŶƉůĂĐĞ͕͛ŝƚĂĚĚƐ͘
Albemarle Battery-grade lithium supplier listed
in the US

DO YOU THINK OF SLOW


MOVING MILK FLOATS THINK AGAIN.
AND GOLF BUGGIES WHEN TESLA’S MODEL S ELECTRIC
SOMEONE SAYS THE TERM VEHICLE CAN DO
‘ELECTRIC VEHICLE’? 0 TO 60 MILES PER HOUR
IN JUST
2.28 SECONDS

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 21


VEHICLE MANUFACTURERS
dŚĞƌĞĂƌĞŶŽǀĞŚŝĐůĞŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐŽŶƚŚĞh<
ƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚ͘h<ŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐǁŝůůŶĞĞĚƚŽďƵLJƐŚĂƌĞƐ
ŝŶŽǀĞƌƐĞĂƐͲůŝƐƚĞĚƐƚŽĐŬƐŝŶŽƌĚĞƌƚŽŚĂǀĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐ
ǀĞŚŝĐůĞŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐŝŶƚŚĞŝƌƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͘dŚĞ
ĂůƚĞƌŶĂƟǀĞŝƐƚŽďƵLJĂŶŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƚƌƵƐƚŽƌĨƵŶĚ
ǁŚŝĐŚŚĂƐƐƚĂŬĞƐŝŶƐŽŵĞŽĨƚŚĞƉůĂLJĞƌƐ͕ĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚ
LJŽƵǁŽƵůĚŚĂǀĞƚŽĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌƚŚĞŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌ;ƐͿ
ŵĂLJŽŶůLJďĞĂƐŵĂůůƉƌŽƉŽƌƟŽŶŽĨƚŚĞĨƵŶĚ͘
KƵƌƚŽƉƉŝĐŬŝŶƚŚŝƐƐŝƚƵĂƟŽŶŝƐƚŽďƵLJ^ĐŽƫƐŚ
DŽƌƚŐĂŐĞ/ŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚdƌƵƐƚ;^DdͿ͘/ƚƐƐĞĐŽŶĚ
ůĂƌŐĞƐƚŚŽůĚŝŶŐŝƐdĞƐůĂ͕ƚŚĞŵĞƌŝĐĂŶĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ
ǁŚŝĐŚŝƐĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌĞĚƚŽďĞŽŶĞŽĨƚŚĞƉŝŽŶĞĞƌƐŽĨ
ƚŚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJ͘
dĞƐůĂŚŽƉĞƐŝƚƐDŽĚĞůϯĐĂƌǁŝůůƉƵƐŚsƐŝŶƚŽ
ƚŚĞŵĂŝŶƐƚƌĞĂŵ͘DŽĚĞůϯŝƐĂůƌĞĂĚLJŽƵƚŝŶƚŚĞh^
;ŽŶĂƐŵĂůůƐĐĂůĞͿĂŶĚŝƐĞdžƉĞĐƚĞĚƚŽďĞƐŽůĚŝŶƚŚĞ ŽĨƚŚĞŝƌŐƌŽƐƐƉƌŽĮƚŝŶƐĞƌǀŝĐĞĂŶĚŵĂŝŶƚĞŶĂŶĐĞ͘
h<ĨƌŽŵϮϬϭϵ͘>ĂƚĞƌƚŚŝƐŵŽŶƚŚdĞƐůĂǁŝůůƵŶǀĞŝůĂŶ ůĞĂƌůLJƐƵĐŚĂŶŝŵƉĂĐƚŝƐŶŽƚŐŽŝŶŐƚŽďĞĨĞůƚŝŶ
ĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐŚĞĂǀLJͲĚƵƚLJŚĂƵůĂŐĞƚƌƵĐŬĐĂůůĞĚ^Ğŵŝ͘ ƚŚĞŶĞdžƚĨĞǁLJĞĂƌƐ͕ďƵƚǁĞďĞůŝĞǀĞƚŚĞŵĂƌŬĞƚǁŝůů
ĞǀĞŶƚƵĂůůLJƐƚĂƌƚƚŽƉƌŝĐĞŝŶĂƚŽƵŐŚĞƌĨƵƚƵƌĞĨŽƌŶŽŶͲ
VEHICLE PARTS AND ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐĂůĞƐŝŶĐŽŵĞĨŽƌĐĂƌĚĞĂůĞƌƐŚŝƉƐ͘
ASSOCIATED SERVICES
ůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐĂƌĞĨĂƌůĞƐƐĐŽŵƉůĞdžŵĞĐŚĂŶŝĐĂůůLJ THE ENGINEERS
ƚŚĂŶĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶĞŶŐŝŶĞǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͕ĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚ dǁŽƐƚŽĐŬƐĂůƌĞĂĚLJďĞŝŶŐƐĐƌƵƟŶŝƐĞĚďLJŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐ
ĞůĞĐƚƌŽŶŝĐĐŽŵƉůĞdžŝƚLJŝƐŚŝŐŚĞƌ͘/ŶĂŶƵƚƐŚĞůů͕ƚŚĞƌĞ ĨŽƌŚŽǁƚŚĞLJǁŝůůĂĚĂƉƚŝŶĂŶsǁŽƌůĚĂƌĞ
ĂƌĞĨĂƌĨĞǁĞƌďŝƚƐƚŽĚƌŝǀĞĂŶĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞ͘&Žƌ ĂƵƚŽŵŽďŝůĞĞŶŐŝŶĞĞƌƐGKN (GKN) ĂŶĚZŝĐĂƌĚŽ
ĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͕ŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚďĂŶŬh^ĐůĂŝŵƐƚŚĞƌĞĂƌĞ (RCDO)͘dŚĞĨŽƌŵĞƌƐƵƉƉůŝĞƐĚƌŝǀĞůŝŶĞƐƚŽĐĂƌ
ϮϰŵŽǀŝŶŐƉĂƌƚƐŝŶĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞŚĞǀLJŽůƚ͛Ɛ ŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐ͕ĞŶĂďůŝŶŐƉŽǁĞƌƚŽďĞĚĞůŝǀĞƌĞĚ
ƉŽǁĞƌƚƌĂŝŶǀĞƌƐƵƐϭϰϵŝŶƚŚĞst'ŽůĨ͘ ĨƌŽŵƚŚĞĞŶŐŝŶĞƚŽƚŚĞǁŚĞĞůƐ͘ZŝĐĂƌĚŽƵŶĚĞƌƚĂŬĞƐ
h^ĂůƐŽďĞůŝĞǀĞƐĂŶĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞůŝŬĞƚŚĞ ĂǁŝĚĞƌĂŶŐĞŽĨǁŽƌŬŝŶĐůƵĚŝŶŐĞŵŝƐƐŝŽŶƐƚĞƐƟŶŐ
ŚĞǀLJŽůƚĐŽƵůĚĂůŵŽƐƚďĞŵĂŝŶƚĞŶĂŶĐĞͲĨƌĞĞ͚͘EŽƚ ĨŽƌĐĂƌƐĂŶĚĞŶŐŝŶĞĚĞƐŝŐŶĂŶĚƚĞƐƟŶŐ͕ĂƐǁĞůůĂƐ
ŽŶůLJĚŽĨĞǁĞƌƉĂƌƚƐŶĞĞĚƚŽďĞƌĞƉůĂĐĞĚŽǀĞƌƚŚĞ ǁŽƌŬŝŶƚŚĞƌĂŝůĂŶĚǁĂƚĞƌƐĞĐƚŽƌƐ͘
ĐĂƌ͛ƐůŝĨĞ͕ŝƚĂůƐŽĚŽĞƐŶŽƚƌĞƋƵŝƌĞĂƌĞŐƵůĂƌĐŚĂŶŐĞ ^ŚĂƌĞƐŝŶZŝĐĂƌĚŽǁĞŶƚƚŚƌŽƵŐŚĂůĞŶŐƚŚLJǁĞĂŬ
ŽĨŇƵŝĚƐ͕ƐƵĐŚĂƐĞŶŐŝŶĞŽŝů͛͘ ƉĞƌŝŽĚĞĂƌůŝĞƌƚŚŝƐLJĞĂƌĂƐŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐƐƚĂƌƚĞĚƚŽ
dŚĂƚ͛ƐǀĞƌLJŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚ͘/ƚŝŵƉůŝĞƐĂƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚ ƋƵĞƐƟŽŶŝĨsƉŽƐĞĚĂůŽŶŐĞƌͲƚĞƌŵƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĂů
ƌĞĚƵĐƟŽŶŝŶƌĞǀĞŶƵĞĨŽƌĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐǁŚŝĐŚƉƌŽǀŝĚĞ ƚŚƌĞĂƚƚŽŝƚƐďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ͕ŐŝǀĞŶŚĞĂǀLJĞdžƉŽƐƵƌĞƚŽƚŚĞ
ƐƉĂƌĞƉĂƌƚƐŽƌŵĂŝŶƚĞŶĂŶĐĞƐĞƌǀŝĐĞƐ͘&ŽƌĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͕ ĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶĞŶŐŝŶĞ͘
ĐĂƌĚĞĂůĞƌƐŚŝƉƐƚLJƉŝĐĂůůLJŐĞŶĞƌĂƚĞŵŽƌĞƚŚĂŶϰϬй ZŝĐĂƌĚŽďĞůŝĞǀĞƐƚŚĂƚĨƵůůƐĐĂůĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĮĐĂƟŽŶǁŝůů
ŶŽƚŚĂƉƉĞŶďƵƚŝƚŝƐŶ͛ƚƐŝƫŶŐŽŶŝƚƐŚĂŶĚƐ͚͘dŚĞƌĞ
ŝƐĂůŽƚŽĨŝŶǀĞƐƚĞĚĐĂƉŝƚĂůŝŶĞŶŐŝŶĞƐĂƌŽƵŶĚƚŚĞ


ǁŽƌůĚ͕͛ƐĂLJƐZŝĐĂƌĚŽ͚͘ĂƌŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐƐƟůůŶĞĞĚ
ƚŽƉƌŽĚƵĐĞĞdžĐĞůůĞŶƚĞŶŐŝŶĞƐǁŝƚŚůŽǁĞŵŝƐƐŝŽŶƐ͘
INVESTMENT BANK UBS BELIEVES AN ƵƚŝŶĂǁŽƌƐƚĐĂƐĞƐĐĞŶĂƌŝŽǁĞǁŽƵůĚũƵƐƚĚŽs
ELECTRIC VEHICLE COULD ALMOST BE ĂŶĚŚLJďƌŝĚǁŽƌŬǁŚŝĐŚƌĞƉƌĞƐĞŶƚĞĚϭϳйŽĨŽƵƌ
MAINTENANCE-FREE. NOT ONLY DO FEWER ŽƌĚĞƌŝŶƚĂŬĞŝŶƚŚĞůĂƐƚĮŶĂŶĐŝĂůLJĞĂƌ͘
͚tĞ͛ǀĞĚŽŶĞsǁŽƌŬƐŝŶĐĞϮϬϬϬĂŶĚŚĂǀĞ
PARTS NEED TO BE REPLACED OVER THE CAR’S ŐƌŽǁŝŶŐĞdžƉĞƌƟƐĞ͕͛ĂĚĚƐƚŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ͚͘KŶƚŚĞ
LIFE, IT ALSO DOES NOT REQUIRE A REGULAR ŚLJĚƌŽŐĞŶƐŝĚĞ͕ǁĞĂƌĞǁŽƌŬŝŶŐǁŝƚŚdŽLJŽƚĂŽŶĂ
CHANGE OF FLUIDS, SUCH AS ENGINE OIL ŚLJĚƌŽŐĞŶƚƌƵĐŬĂŶĚǁĞĂůƐŽĚĞƐŝŐŶďĂƩĞƌLJƉĂĐŬƐ͛͘
ZŝĐĂƌĚŽƐĂLJƐŝƚŚĂƐďĞĞŶƚĂůŬŝŶŐƚŽƵŶŶĂŵĞĚ
ƉĂƌƟĞƐĂďŽƵƚƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůůLJďĞĐŽŵŝŶŐĂŶĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐ
ǀĞŚŝĐůĞďĂƩĞƌLJŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌ͘

22 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


SHOULD YOU BUY SHARES IN RICARDO?
/ŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚďĂŶŬĞƌĞŶďĞƌŐƌĂƚĞƐZŝĐĂƌĚŽĂƐ WHAT ABOUT HYDROGEN POWER?
Ă͚ƐĞůů͛ĂŶĚƐĂLJƐƚŚĞƌĞŝƐĂůŽƚǁƌŽŶŐǁŝƚŚƚŚĞ ŽŶ͛ƚǁƌŝƚĞŽīŚLJĚƌŽŐĞŶƉŽǁĞƌĂƐĂŶĂůƚĞƌŶĂƟǀĞ
ďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐďĞLJŽŶĚƚŚĞsŵĂƌŬĞƚƚŚƌĞĂƚŝŶĐůƵĚŝŶŐ ƉŽǁĞƌƐŽƵƌĐĞ͘tŚŝůĞŝƚŵĂLJďĞŐĞƫŶŐƐŝĚĞůŝŶĞĚ
ĚĞƚĞƌŝŽƌĂƟŶŐĐĂƐŚŐĞŶĞƌĂƟŽŶ͘/ŶĐŽŶƚƌĂƐƚ͕ ŝŶƚĞƌŵƐŽĨƉƵďůŝĐŝƚLJǀĞƌƐƵƐĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͕
ŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚďĂŶŬ>ŝďĞƌƵŵƚĂŬĞƐĂĚŝīĞƌĞŶƚ ĚĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚƐĂƌĞƐƟůůŽŶŐŽŝŶŐƐƵĐŚĂƐŝŶƚŚĞďƵƐ
ǀŝĞǁ͕ƐĂLJŝŶŐ͚ĂƵƚŽĞǀŽůƵƟŽŶŝƐŵŽƌĞŽƉƉŽƌƚƵŶŝƚLJ ŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJ͘/dDWŽǁĞƌ;/dD͗/DͿŝƐƚŚĞǁĂLJĨŽƌh<
ƚŚĂŶƚŚƌĞĂƚ͛ĨŽƌZŝĐĂƌĚŽĂŶĚƚŚĂƚŝƚƐƐŚĂƌĞƐĂƌĞ ŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐƚŽƉůĂLJƚŚĞŚLJĚƌŽŐĞŶƉŽǁĞƌƐĞĐƚŽƌ͘
ǁŽƌƚŚďƵLJŝŶŐ͘
͚WƌŽũĞĐƟŽŶƐƐƵŐŐĞƐƚƚŚĂƚϯϬйŽĨĂůůŶĞǁƉĂƐƐĞŶŐĞƌ
ĐĂƌƐǁŝůůŚĂǀĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐƉŽǁĞƌƚƌĂŝŶƐďLJϮϬϮϱ;ŚLJďƌŝĚƐ
ĂŶĚsƐͿ͕͛ƐĂLJƐ>ŝďĞƌƵŵĂŶĂůLJƐƚĞŶŽƵƌŶĞ͚͘ZŝĐĂƌĚŽ ĚŽĞƐŶ͛ƚĐŚĂŶŐĞŚŽǁŝƚƐƌŽďŽƚƐǁŽƌŬĂƐƚŚĞLJƐŝƚŽŶ
ŚĂƐƐĞĐƵƌĞĚĂĚŝǀĞƌƐŝĮĞĚƌĂŶŐĞŽĨƉƌŽŐƌĂŵŵĞƐ ƚŚĞƐƚĞĞƌŝŶŐǁŚĞĞů͕ŶŽƚƚŚĞĞŶŐŝŶĞ͘
ŝŶǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐLJƐƚĞŵƐ͕ŚLJďƌŝĚĂŶĚĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐƐLJƐƚĞŵƐ͕ ͚ůŽƚŽĨĐĂƌĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐĂƌĞƚƌLJŝŶŐƚŽĂĚĂƉƚ
ĂĚǀĂŶĐĞĚĚƌŝǀĞůŝŶĞ͕ĂŶĚŝŶƚŚĞĐŽƌĞƉŽǁĞƌƚƌĂŝŶ ƚŚĞŝƌĂƌĐŚŝƚĞĐƚƵƌĞƚŽĂĐĐĞůĞƌĂƚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞ
ĂƌĞĂƐ͕ĨŽĐƵƐĞĚŽŶďŽƚŚŶĞǁĂŶĚĞdžŝƐƟŶŐƉƌŽĚƵĐƚ ĚĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚ͕͛ƐĂLJƐĐŚŝĞĨĞdžĞĐƵƟǀĞdŝŵZŽŐĞƌƐ͘
ƵƉŐƌĂĚĞƐƚŽŚĞůƉůŽǁĞƌKϮĂŶĚEKϮĞŵŝƐƐŝŽŶƐ͛͘ ͚dŚĞLJĂƌĞĚŽŝŶŐĂůŽƚŽĨĐŚĂƐƐŝƐĚĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚǁŚŝĐŚ
ƐĨŽƌ'<E͕h^ĞƐƟŵĂƚĞƐƚŚĂƚϭϱйƚŽϮϬйŽĨŝƚƐ ĚƌŝǀĞƐŝŶƉĂƌƚǁŚĂƚǁĞĚŽ͘
ƉƌŽĮƚƐƚŽĚĂLJĐŽƵůĚďĞĂƚƌŝƐŬŝŶĂŶĂůůͲŚLJďƌŝĚͬĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐ ͚tĞĂƌĞƐĞĞŝŶŐŵŽƌĞǀŝƌƚƵĂůƐŝŵƵůĂƚĞĚ
ǁŽƌůĚ͘'<EŝƐĂĚĂƉƟŶŐ͕ŶŽŶĞƚŚĞůĞƐƐ͕ŝŶĐůƵĚŝŶŐƚŚĞ ĚĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚĂŶĚůĞƐƐƉƌŽƚŽƚLJƉŝŶŐ͕͛ĂĚĚƐZŽŐĞƌƐ͘
ƌĞĐĞŶƚůĂƵŶĐŚŽĨĂŶĂĚǀĂŶĐĞĚĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐĚƌŝǀĞůŝŶĞ dŚĂƚƐŚŽƵůĚŶ͛ƚďĞĂƉƌŽďůĞŵĨŽƌLJŶĂŵŝĐƐ
ǁŚŝĐŚŝƚĐůĂŝŵƐǁŝůůĚĞůŝǀĞƌ͚ƵŶƌŝǀĂůůĞĚĐĂƉĂďŝůŝƟĞƐ͛ ďĞĐĂƵƐĞŝƚŚĂƐƌĞĐĞŶƚůLJĚĞǀĞůŽƉĞĚĂĚǀĂŶĐĞĚ
ĨŽƌƚŚĞŶĞdžƚŐĞŶĞƌĂƟŽŶŽĨĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͘ ĚƌŝǀŝŶŐƐŝŵƵůĂƚŽƌƐƉƌŽĚƵĐĞĚŝŶƉĂƌƚŶĞƌƐŚŝƉǁŝƚŚ
tŝůůŝĂŵƐ&ϭ͘dŚĞƐĞĞŶĂďůĞĂƵƚŽŵŽƟǀĞĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌƐ
GOOD NEWS FOR AB DYNAMICS ƚŽƵŶĚĞƌƚĂŬĞǀĞŚŝĐůĞĚLJŶĂŵŝĐƐŵŽĚĞůůŝŶŐĂŶĚ
KŶĞůĞƐƐĞƌŬŶŽǁŶĞŶŐŝŶĞĞƌĂůƌĞĂĚLJďĞŶĞĮƟŶŐ ĞǀĂůƵĂƟŽŶŽĨ^;ĚƌŝǀĞƌĂƐƐŝƐƚĂŶĐĞͿƚĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJ͘
ĨƌŽŵƚŚĞĂĚǀĞŶƚŽĨĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞĚĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚŝƐ ŽƚŚLJŶĂŵŝĐƐĂŶĚZŝĐĂƌĚŽŵĂŬĞƚŚĞƉŽŝŶƚ
LJŶĂŵŝĐƐ;W͗/DͿǁŚŝĐŚƵŶĚĞƌƚĂŬĞƐƚƌĂĐŬ ƚŚĂƚĐĂƌŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐĂƌĞƐƟůůƐƉĞŶĚŝŶŐĂůŽƚŽĨ
ƚƌŝĂůƐĨŽƌǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐƚĞĞƌŝŶŐĂŶĚƐƵƐƉĞŶƐŝŽŶ͕ĂƐǁĞůů ŵŽŶĞLJŽŶĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶĞŶŐŝŶĞǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐĂŶĚƚŚĂƚ
ĂƐƉƌŽǀŝĚŝŶŐĚƌŝǀŝŶŐƌŽďŽƚƐLJƐƚĞŵƐƚŽƚĞƐƚǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ ƉĂƌƚŽĨƚŚĞŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJŝƐŶŽƚŐŽŝŶŐƚŽĚŝƐĂƉƉĞĂƌ
ŝŶĐƌĂƐŚƐĐĞŶĂƌŝŽƐ͘^ǁŝƚĐŚŝŶŐƚŽĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ ŽǀĞƌŶŝŐŚƚ͘

RICARDO HAS SECURED A DIVERSIFIED RANGE OF


PROGRAMMES IN VEHICLE SYSTEMS, HYBRID AND
ELECTRIC SYSTEMS, ADVANCED DRIVELINE, AND IN
THE CORE POWERTRAIN AREAS, FOCUSED ON BOTH
NEW AND EXISTING PRODUCT UPGRADES TO HELP
LOWER CO2 AND NO2 EMISSIONS.

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 23


THE CHEMICAL COMPANY POWER TRANSMISSION
&d^ϭϬϬĐŚĞŵŝĐĂůƐŐŝĂŶƚ:ŽŚŶƐŽŶDĂƩŚĞLJ AND CHARGING
(JMAT) ƐĂǁŝƚƐƐŚĂƌĞƉƌŝĐĞũƵŵƉďĂĐŬƚŽůŝĨĞůĂƐƚ KŶĞŽĨƚŚĞŬĞLJĐŚĂůůĞŶŐĞƐƚŽŝŶĐƌĞĂƐŝŶŐ
ŵŽŶƚŚĂŌĞƌĞdžƉůĂŝŶŝŶŐŚŽǁŝƚŚŽƉĞƐƚŽĐƌĂĐŬƚŚĞ ĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞĂĚŽƉƟŽŶŝƐŚĂǀŝŶŐĂĚĞƋƵĂƚĞ
sŵĂƌŬĞƚ͘tĞƚŚŝŶŬŝƚŝƐĂŶĞƐƐĞŶƟĂůƐƚŽĐŬƚŽ ĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐŝŶĨƌĂƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞ͘ŽŶǀĞƌƟŶŐƉĞƚƌŽůƐƚĂƟŽŶƐ
ŽǁŶĨŽƌƚŚĞsƌĞǀŽůƵƟŽŶ͘ ŵĂLJŶŽƚďĞƚŚĞƐŽůƵƟŽŶĂƐLJŽƵĐĂŶ͛ƚĐŚĂƌŐĞĂĐĂƌĂƚ
/ŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐŚĂĚƉƌĞǀŝŽƵƐůLJǁŽƌƌŝĞĚĂďŽƵƚƚŚĞ ƚŚĞƐĂŵĞƐƉĞĞĚŝŶǁŚŝĐŚLJŽƵĮůůƵƉƚŚĞƉĞƚƌŽůƚĂŶŬ͘
ĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ͛ƐƉŽƐŝƟŽŶŐŝǀĞŶŝƚŚĂƐŚŝƐƚŽƌŝĐĂůůLJŐĞŶĞƌĂƚĞĚ While ZŽLJĂůƵƚĐŚ^ŚĞůů;Z^ͿŝƐǁŽƌŬŝŶŐŽŶ
ĂůŽƚŽĨŵŽŶĞLJĨƌŽŵŵĂŬŝŶŐĐĂƚĂůLJƟĐĐŽŶǀĞƌƚĞƌƐ ƐLJƐƚĞŵƐƚŽƉƌŽǀŝĚĞĨĂƐƚͲĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐĨŽƌsƐĂƚŝƚƐƉĞƚƌŽů
ƚŽĐŽŶƚƌŽůŚĂƌŵĨƵůƉŽůůƵƚĂŶƚĞŵŝƐƐŝŽŶƐĨƌŽŵĚŝĞƐĞů ƐƚĂƟŽŶƐ͕ǁĞĚŽƵďƚŝƚǁŽƵůĚďĞĂďůĞƚŽĐŚĂƌŐĞĂŶ
ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐǁŚŝĐŚŝƐŶŽǁĂŵĂƌŬĞƚƵŶĚĞƌƚŚƌĞĂƚ͘ ĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞŝŶƚǁŽŵŝŶƵƚĞƐ͘
dŚĂƚ͛ƐǁŚLJƚŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJŚĂƐďĞĞŶƚƌLJŝŶŐƚŽ ^ƉĞĂŬŝŶŐĂƚĂƌĞĐĞŶƚĐŽŶĨĞƌĞŶĐĞŚĞůĚďLJƚŚĞ
ĞdžƉĂŶĚŝŶƚŽďĂƩĞƌLJƚĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJ͘:ŽŚŶƐŽŶDĂƩŚĞLJ EĂƚƵƌĂůZĞƐŽƵƌĐĞƐ&ŽƌƵŵ͕ĐŚŝĞĨĞdžĞĐƵƟǀĞƌŝŬ
ŚĂƐŶŽǁƵŶǀĞŝůĞĚŝƚƐĞ>EK;ĞŶŚĂŶĐĞĚůŝƚŚŝƵŵŶŝĐŬĞů &ĂŝƌďĂŝƌŶŽĨĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐĐŚĂƌŐĞƉŽŝŶƚƐƵƉƉůŝĞƌWKWŽŝŶƚ
ŽdžŝĚĞͿĐĂƚŚŽĚĞŵĂƚĞƌŝĂůǁŚŝĐŚŝƚĐůĂŝŵƐƚŽŽīĞƌ ƉƌĞĚŝĐƚĞĚƚŚĞĨƵƚƵƌĞǁŽƵůĚďĞϲϬйŽĨĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐ
ŚŝŐŚĞƌĞŶĞƌŐLJĚĞŶƐŝƚLJĂŶĚƌĞƋƵŝƌĞůĞƐƐĐŽďĂůƚƌĞůĂƟǀĞ ĚŽŶĞĂƚŚŽŵĞ͕ϯϬйĂƚǁŽƌŬ͕ϳйĂƚĚĞƐƟŶĂƟŽŶĂŶĚ
ƚŽĐƵƌƌĞŶƚŵĂƌŬĞƚůĞĂĚŝŶŐĐĂƚŚŽĚĞŵĂƚĞƌŝĂůƐ͘ ϯйĞŶͲƌŽƵƚĞ͘
dŚĞƌĞĚƵĐƟŽŶŝŶĐŽďĂůƚĐŽƵůĚďĞŽŶĞŽĨƚŚĞŵŽƐƚ EĂƟŽŶĂů'ƌŝĚ͛ƐDĂƌĐƵƐ^ƚĞǁĂƌƚƐĂLJƐĂŶĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐ
ŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚĨĂĐƚŽƌƐ͘ƐǁĞĚŝƐĐƵƐƐůĂƚĞƌŝŶƚŚŝƐĂƌƟĐůĞ͕ ǀĞŚŝĐůĞŝƐũƵƐƚĂ͚ďĂƩĞƌLJŽŶǁŚĞĞůƐ͛͘ƐƐƵĐŚ͕ŝƚĐŽƵůĚ
ĐŽďĂůƚŝƐŽŶĞŽĨƚŚĞĐŽŵŵŽĚŝƟĞƐĞdžƉĞĐƚĞĚƚŽƐŚŽŽƚ ďĞƵƐĞĚƚŽƉƌŽǀŝĚĞĞŶĞƌŐLJĂƐǁĞůůĂƐĐŽŶƐƵŵĞŝƚ͘
ƵƉŝŶƉƌŝĐĞĂƐĚĞŵĂŶĚŝƐĞdžƉĞĐƚĞĚƚŽƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚůLJ ͚tĞĂƌĞƚĂŬŝŶŐƚŽŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐ͕ůŽŽŬŝŶŐĂƚŚŽǁ
ŽƵƚǁĞŝŐŚƐƵƉƉůLJ͘^ŽďĂƩĞƌLJƚĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJƚŚĂƚ LJŽƵƌĐĂƌĐŽƵůĚƉƌŽǀŝĚĞĞŶĞƌŐLJďĂĐŬƚŽƚŚĞŐƌŝĚ͕ƐƵĐŚ
ƌĞƋƵŝƌĞƐůĞƐƐĐŽďĂůƚŝƐĂƉůƵƐĨĂĐƚŽƌĨŽƌĐĂƌ ĂƐǁŚĞŶLJŽƵĂƌĞŶ͛ƚƵƐŝŶŐŝƚ͛͘
ĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐ͘ /ŶǀĞƐƟŶŐŝŶĂĐŽŵƉĂŶLJŝŶǀŽůǀĞĚŝŶƐĞƫŶŐƵƉ
͚tĞĞdžƉĞĐƚƚŚĂƚŶĞĂƌƚĞƌŵ͕ŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐǁŝůůďĞ ƚŚĞĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐŝŶĨƌĂƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞǁŽƵůĚďĞĂŶŽďǀŝŽƵƐ
ĨŽĐƵƐĞĚŽŶƚŚĞŵĞƌŝƚƐŽĨ:D͛ƐŶĞǁĐĂƚŚŽĚĞ ǁĂLJƚŽƉůĂLJƚŚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐĐĂƌƚŚĞŵĞ͘tĞĐĂŶ͛ƚƐĞĞ
ŵĂƚĞƌŝĂůŝŶƚĞƌŵƐŽĨ;ϭͿǁŚĂƚǀĂůƵĞƐŚŽƵůĚďĞ ĂŶLJŽďǀŝŽƵƐĐŽŶƚĞŶĚĞƌƐŽŶƚŚĞh<ŵĂƌŬĞƚĂƚƚŚĞ
ĂƐĐƌŝďĞĚ͕ĂŶĚ;ϮͿŚŽǁůĂƌŐĞƚŚĞŵĂƌŬĞƚŽƉƉŽƌƚƵŶŝƚLJ ŵŽŵĞŶƚ͕ĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚƚŚĞƌĞĂƌĞƚǁŽƐƚŽĐŬƐǁŚŝĐŚŚĂǀĞ
ĐŽƵůĚďĞƐŚŽƵůĚƚŚŝƐŶĞǁƚĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJƉƌŽǀĞƚŽ ƌĞůĞǀĂŶƚŝŶƚĞƌĞƐƚƐŽŶĂƐŵĂůůƐĐĂůĞ͘
ĚĞůŝǀĞƌĂƐƚĞƉĐŚĂŶŐĞ͕͛ƐĂLJƐŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚďĂŶŬ
DŽƌŐĂŶ^ƚĂŶůĞLJ͘

“ ”
͚,ŽǁĞǀĞƌ͕ŝƚŝƐŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚƚŽĂĐŬŶŽǁůĞĚŐĞ
ƚŚĞƌĞŝƐƐƟůůĨƵƌƚŚĞƌƉƌŽŐƌĞƐƐƚŽďĞŵĂĚĞƚŽ
ƐĞĐƵƌĞĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌĐŽŶƚƌĂĐƚƐ͕ĂŶĚƚŚĞŶƐĐĂůĞƵƉƚŚĞ AN ELECTRIC VEHICLE IS A JUST
ŶĞĐĞƐƐĂƌLJĐĂƉĂĐŝƚLJ͘KŶĞƚŚŝŶŐŝƐĐůĞĂƌ͕ƉĞƌĐĞƉƟŽŶ A ‘BATTERY ON WHEELS’
ŝƐĐŚĂŶŐŝŶŐŝŶƌĞŐĂƌĚƐƚŽ:D͛ƐĂďŝůŝƚLJƚŽĐĂƌǀĞŽƵƚĂ
ŵĂƌŬĞƚƉŽƐŝƟŽŶŝŶƚŚĞŚŝŐŚŐƌŽǁƚŚsƐƵƉƉůLJĐŚĂŝŶ
ĂƐƚŚĞƉŽǁĞƌƚƌĂŝŶĞǀŽůǀĞƐ͛͘

Barriers to EV Range

Charging Performance

Cost Choice ^ŽƵƌĐĞ͗WKWŽŝŶƚ

24 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


ŶŐŝŶĞĞƌŝŶŐƐĞƌǀŝĐĞƐŐƌŽƵƉEĞdžƵƐ/ŶĨƌĂƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞ POSSIBLE LOSERS FROM THE
;Ey^͗/DͿŵĂŬĞƐŵŽƐƚŽĨŝƚƐŵŽŶĞLJĨƌŽŵ ELECTRIC VEHICLE REVOLUTION
ŚŽŽŬŝŶŐƵƉŶĞǁͲďƵŝůĚƉƌŽƉĞƌƟĞƐƚŽĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐŝƚLJ͕
ǁĂƚĞƌĂŶĚĚƌĂŝŶĂŐĞƐĞƌǀŝĐĞƐĂƐǁĞůůĂƐďƵŝůĚŝŶŐ
ƌĞŝŶĨŽƌĐĞĚĐŽŶĐƌĞƚĞĨƌĂŵĞƐĂŶĚƌŽĂĚƐ͘/ƚŝƐĂůƐŽ
ƚƌLJŝŶŐƚŽĚĞǀĞůŽƉƐĞƌǀŝĐĞƐĂƌŽƵŶĚĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞ
1 ƵƚŽĮŶĂŶĐĞŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJʹƐĐƌĂƉǀĂůƵĞƐĨŽƌ
ĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶĞŶŐŝŶĞĐĂƌƐĐŽƵůĚĨĂůů͕ƐŽůŽǁĞƌ
ƌĞĐŽǀĞƌLJƌĂƚĞŝĨƚŚĞůĞŶĚĞƌŶĞĞĚƐƚŽƌĞƉŽƐƐĞƐƐ
ĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐƉŽŝŶƚƐ͘ ĂŶĚƌĞƐĞůů͘>ŽĂŶǀŽůƵŵĞƐĐŽƵůĚĂůƐŽĨĂůůŝĨsƐ
/DͲƋƵŽƚĞĚǀĞŶƚƵƌĞĐĂƉŝƚĂůĮƌŵƌĂƉĞƌƐƉƌŝƚ ůĂƐƚůŽŶŐĞƌ͕ƐŽĨƌĞƋƵĞŶĐLJŽĨǀĞŚŝĐůĞƌĞƉůĂĐĞŵĞŶƚ
;'ZKt͗/DͿŚĂƐĂƐƚĂŬĞŝŶWKWŽŝŶƚ͕ĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚ ĚĞĐůŝŶĞƐ͘
ŝƚŝƐŽŶůLJĂƐŵĂůůƉĂƌƚŽĨŝƚƐŽǀĞƌĂůůŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ
ƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͘WKWŽŝŶƚŚĂƐŵĂĚĞĂŶĚƐŽůĚŵŽƌĞƚŚĂŶ
Ϯϳ͕ϬϬϬĐŚĂƌŐŝŶŐƉŽŝŶƚƐƐŝŶĐĞďĞŝŶŐĨŽƵŶĚĞĚŝŶ
ϮϬϬϵ͕ĂĐĐŽƌĚŝŶŐƚŽƌĂƉĞƌ͘
2 ƵƚŽĚĞĂůĞƌƐŚŝƉƐʹĐŽƵůĚƐĞĞƌĞĚƵĐƟŽŶŝŶ
ƐĞƌǀŝĐĞǁŽƌŬĂƐsƐŚĂǀĞĨĞǁĞƌǁŽƌŬŝŶŐ
ƉĂƌƚƐ͘ƵƚŽŶŽŵŽƵƐĚƌŝǀŝŶŐĐĂƉĂďŝůŝƟĞƐĐŽƵůĚ
ŚĞůƉƌĞĚƵĐĞƌŽĂĚƚƌĂĸĐĂĐĐŝĚĞŶƚƐ͕ƐŽƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůůLJ
BATTERY RAW MATERIALS ĨĞǁĞƌǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐƚŽĮdžƐŽƌĞĚƵĐĞĚĚĞŵĂŶĚĨŽƌ
>ŝƚŚŝƵŵŝƐŽŌĞŶƚŽƵƚĞĚĂƐƚŚĞŵĂŐŝĐĐŽŵŵŽĚŝƚLJƚŽ ƐƉĂƌĞƉĂƌƚƐ͘
ƉůĂLJƚŚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƌĞǀŽůƵƟŽŶŐŝǀĞŶŝƚƐƌŽůĞĂƐ
ĂŬĞLJďĂƩĞƌLJĐŽŵƉŽŶĞŶƚ͘/ŶƌĞĂůŝƚLJ͕ŶŝĐŬĞůŵŝŐŚƚ
ďĞƚŚĞďĞƩĞƌĐŽŵŵŽĚŝƚLJƚŽƐĞĞŬǁŚĞŶůŽŽŬŝŶŐĂƚ
ŵŝŶŝŶŐƐƚŽĐŬƐůŝŶŬĞĚƚŽƚŚĞsƌĞǀŽůƵƟŽŶ͘
3 DŽƚŽƌŝŶƐƵƌĂŶĐĞŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJʹĞdžƉĞƌƚƐ
ďĞůŝĞǀĞsƐĐŽƵůĚďĞƐĂĨĞƌŽŶƚŚĞƌŽĂĚƚŚĂŶ
ƚƌĂĚŝƟŽŶĂůĐĂƌƐ͕ƐŽĨĞǁĞƌĂĐĐŝĚĞŶƚƐĐŽƵůĚƉƵƐŚ
dŚĞƌĞŝƐƉůĞŶƚLJŽĨůŝƚŚŝƵŵŝŶƚŚĞǁŽƌůĚĂŶĚ ĚŽǁŶŝŶƐƵƌĂŶĐĞƉƌĞŵŝƵŵƐ͘
ĞdžƉĞƌƚƐďĞůŝĞǀĞƚŚĞƌĞǁŝůůďĞƐƵĸĐŝĞŶƚŶĞǁƉƌŽũĞĐƚƐ
ƚŽŵĞĞƚŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚĚĞŵĂŶĚ͘
/ŶĐŽŶƚƌĂƐƚ͕ƚŚĞƌĞŝƐĞdžƉĞĐƚĞĚƚŽďĞĂƐŚŽƌƞĂůůŝŶ
ĐŽďĂůƚĂŶĚŶŝĐŬĞůŝŶƚŚĞĨƵƚƵƌĞ͕ĐůĂŝŵƐƉƌŝǀĂƚĞĞƋƵŝƚLJ
ϰ KŝůƐĞĐƚŽƌʹƌĞĚƵĐĞĚƉĞƚƌŽůĚĞŵĂŶĚĐŽƵůĚ
ŚƵƌƚƚŚĞŽŝůŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJ͕ƉƌŽŵƉƟŶŐƐŵĂůůĞƌ
ƉůĂLJĞƌƐƚŽƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůůLJŐŽďƵƐƚĂŶĚƉŽƐƐŝďůLJ
ĮƌŵWĂůĂ/ŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƐ͘dŚĂƚƐŝƚƵĂƟŽŶŝŵƉůŝĞƐŚŝŐŚĞƌ ĚƌŝǀŝŶŐŵĞƌŐĞƌƐĂŵŽŶŐƚŚĞůĂƌŐĞƌƉůĂLJĞƌƐ͘
ĨƵƚƵƌĞƐĞůůŝŶŐƉƌŝĐĞƐ͘
ŽďĂůƚŝƐŐĞŶĞƌĂůůLJƉƌŽĚƵĐĞĚĂƐĂďLJͲƉƌŽĚƵĐƚ sŽůŬƐǁĂŐĞŶŝƐƌƵŵŽƵƌĞĚƚŽŚĂǀĞĂƐŬĞĚƉƌŽĚƵĐĞƌƐ
ŽĨŶŝĐŬĞů͘/ƚŝƐƚŚĞĨŽƵƌƚŚůĂƌŐĞƐƚĐŽŵŵŽĚŝƚLJďLJ ƚŽƐƵďŵŝƚƉƌŽƉŽƐĂůƐŽŶƐƵƉƉůLJŝŶŐĐŽďĂůƚĨŽƌƵƉƚŽ
ƌĞǀĞŶƵĞĨŽƌ&d^ϭϬϬŵŝŶĞƌ'ůĞŶĐŽƌĞ;'>EͿ͘ ϭϬLJĞĂƌƐĨƌŽŵϮϬϭϵ͘
ĂƌĂŶĚďĂƩĞƌLJŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐĂƌĞĞdžƉĞĐƚĞĚ /ŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚƵƐĂŐĞŽĨŶŝĐŬĞůƐĐƌĂƉĐŽƵůĚŚĞůƉƚŽ
ƚŽƐƚƌŝŬĞĚĞĂůƐŽǀĞƌƚŚĞĐŽŵŝŶŐLJĞĂƌƐŝŶŽƌĚĞƌ ŵĞĞƚƐƵƉƉůLJƌĞƋƵŝƌĞŵĞŶƚƐŽŶƚŚĞŶŝĐŬĞůƐŝĚĞ͕LJĞƚŝƚ
ƚŽƐĞĐƵƌĞĨƵƚƵƌĞĐŽďĂůƚƐƵƉƉůLJ͕ĞǀĞŶŝĨŝƚŵĞĂŶƐ ŝƐƵŶůŝŬĞůLJƚŽĮůůƚŚĞŵĂƌŬĞƚŐĂƉĞŶƟƌĞůLJ͘
ƐƚŽĐŬƉŝůŝŶŐƚŚĞĐŽŵŵŽĚŝƚLJĨŽƌĂǁŚŝůĞ͘&ŽƌĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͕ h<ͲůŝƐƚĞĚŵŝŶĞƌƐǁŝƚŚŶŝĐŬĞůĞdžƉŽƐƵƌĞŝŶĐůƵĚĞ

GLENCORE

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 25


'ůĞŶĐŽƌĞĂŵŽŶŐƚŚĞůĂƌŐĞĐĂƉƐĂŶĚ,ŽƌŝnjŽŶƚĞ
DŝŶĞƌĂůƐ;,D͗/DͿĂŵŽŶŐƚŚĞƐŵĂůůĐĂƉƐ͘ COST PARITY
WHAT ABOUT OTHER MINERS? ůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐĐŽƵůĚ
sĞĚĂŶƚĂZĞƐŽƵƌĐĞƐ;sͿŝƐůŽŽŬŝŶŐĂƚǁĂLJƐƚŽ
ƉƌŽĚƵĐĞĐŽďĂůƚĨŽƌďĂƩĞƌŝĞƐƌĂƚŚĞƌŝƚƐĐƵƌƌĞŶƚ
ĐŽƐƚƚŚĞƐĂŵĞĂƐ
ŽƵƚƉƵƚŽĨĐŽƉƉĞƌͲĐŽďĂůƚĂůůŽLJ͘/ƚĂůƌĞĂĚLJƉƌŽĚƵĐĞƐ ƚƌĂĚŝƟŽŶĂůĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶ
ĂůƵŵŝŶŝƵŵǁŚŝĐŚŝƐĂŶŽƚŚĞƌĐŽŵŵŽĚŝƚLJŝŶ ĞŶŐŝŶĞĐĂƌƐďLJϮϬϮϬ
ŝŶĐƌĞĂƐŝŶŐĚĞŵĂŶĚĨŽƌĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐĐĂƌƐ͘ŶLJŽŶĞ
ĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌŝŶŐĂŶŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚŝŶsĞĚĂŶƚĂƐŚŽƵůĚ
ŶŽƚĞůĞŐĂůĂĐƟŽŶŝŶĐŽŶŶĞĐƟŽŶǁŝƚŚƉŽůůƵƟŽŶ
ĂůůĞŐĂƟŽŶƐŝŶĂŵďŝĂ͘ sƐĂůĞƐďLJϮϬϮϲǁŝůůƚƌĂŶƐůĂƚĞŝŶƚŽϬ͘ϳŵƚŽŶŶĞƐŽĨ
,WŝůůŝƚŽŶ;>dͿŝƐĨŽĐƵƐŝŶŐŽŶĐŽƉƉĞƌĂƐ ŚŝŐŚƋƵĂůŝƚLJŶŝĐŬĞůƐƵůƉŚŝĚĞĚĞŵĂŶĚǁŚŝĐŚŝƐϴϱйŽĨ
ƚŚĞ͚ŵĞƚĂůŽĨƚŚĞĨƵƚƵƌĞ͛ŝŶƚĞƌŵƐŽĨƚŚĞĨĞĞĚŝŶŐ ϮϬϭϲƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶůĞǀĞůƐ͕͛ŝƚĐŽŵŵĞŶƚƐ͘
ƚŚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƌĞǀŽůƵƟŽŶ͘dĂůŬŝŶŐƚŽReuters
ůĂƐƚŵŽŶƚŚ͕ŝƚƐĂLJƐĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐƌĞƋƵŝƌĞĨŽƵƌ HOW DO YOU PLAY THE LITHIUM GAME?
ƟŵĞƐĂƐŵƵĐŚĐŽƉƉĞƌĂƐĐĂƌƐǁŚŝĐŚƌƵŶŽŶ ƐĨŽƌƉŝĐŬŝŶŐůŝƚŚŝƵŵͲƌĞůĂƚĞĚƐƚŽĐŬƐ͕ǁĞƚŚŝŶŬ
ĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶĞŶŐŝŶĞƐ͘ ŵŝŶĞƌƐǁŝƚŚĂĚĞĐĞŶƚĂƐƐĞƚƐƚĂŶĚĂĐŚĂŶĐĞŽĨ
dŚĞƌĞĂƌĞƌŝƐŬƐƚŚĂƚĐŽďĂůƚŵŝŐŚƚƉůĂLJĂƐŵĂůůĞƌ ŵĂŬŝŶŐĂƉƌŽĮƚŽŶĐĞŝŶƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶʹďƵƚǁĞĚŽŶ͛ƚ
ƌŽůĞŝŶƚŚĞĨƵƚƵƌĞƚŚĂŶƉĞŽƉůĞĐƵƌƌĞŶƚůLJƚŚŝŶŬ͘&Žƌ ƐŚĂƌĞŵĂŶLJƉĞŽƉůĞ͛ƐĞŶƚŚƵƐŝĂƐŵƚŚĂƚLJŽƵǁŝůůŵĂŬĞ
ĞdžĂŵƉůĞ͕ǁĞ͛ǀĞĂůƌĞĂĚLJƚĂůŬĞĚĂďŽƵƚ:ŽŚŶƐŽŶ ĂůŽƚŽĨŵŽŶĞLJĨƌŽŵŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐĂŶLJŵŝŶĞƌǁŝƚŚĂ
DĂƩŚĞLJĮŶĚŝŶŐĂǁĂLJƚŽĚĞǀĞůŽƉďĂƩĞƌLJ ůŝƚŚŝƵŵĞdžƉůŽƌĂƟŽŶƉƌŽũĞĐƚ͘DŽƐƚŽĨƚŚĞůŝƚŚŝƵŵ
ƚĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJǁŝƚŚůŽǁĞƌůĞǀĞůƐŽĨĐŽďĂůƚ͘/ŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ ƉůĂLJƐŽŶƚŚĞh<ŵĂƌŬĞƚĂƌĞŵĂŶLJ͕ŵĂŶLJLJĞĂƌƐĂǁĂLJ
ďĂŶŬĞƌĞŶďĞƌŐŐŽĞƐĂƐĨĂƌĂƐƐĂLJŝŶŐƚŚĂƚĐŽďĂůƚ ĨƌŽŵŐĞŶĞƌĂƟŶŐƌĞǀĞŶƵĞ͘
ĐŽƵůĚĞǀĞŶďĞƉŚĂƐĞĚŽƵƚŽĨůŝƚŚŝƵŵͲŝŽŶďĂƩĞƌŝĞƐ /ĨLJŽƵůŝŬĞƚŚĞůŝƚŚŝƵŵƐƚŽƌLJ͕ƚŚĞŽŶůLJƐƚŽĐŬ
ŽǀĞƌƚŚĞŶĞdžƚĮǀĞƚŽϭϬLJĞĂƌƐ͘/ƚƉƌĞĚŝĐƚƐŶŽ ǁĞ͛ĚƐƵŐŐĞƐƚLJŽƵĞdžĂŵŝŶĞŝƐĂĐĂŶŽƌĂDŝŶĞƌĂůƐ
ĚĞŵĂŶĚŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĨŽƌƚŚĞŵĞƚĂůĚƵƌŝŶŐƚŚŝƐƉĞƌŝŽĚ͘ ;E͗/DͿ͕ǁŚŝĐŚŝƐĐůŽƐĞƚŽƌĞůĞĂƐŝŶŐƚŚĞĮŶĂů
͚/ŶŽƵƌǀŝĞǁ͕sƐǁŝůůŶŽƚƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚůLJďĞŶĞĮƚ ĨĞĂƐŝďŝůŝƚLJƐƚƵĚLJŽŶŝƚƐ^ŽŶŽƌĂƉƌŽũĞĐƚĂŶĚƐŚŽƵůĚďĞ
ĐŽƉƉĞƌĂŶĚĐŽďĂůƚŵŝŶĞƌƐƐƵĐŚĂƐ'ůĞŶĐŽƌĞĂŶĚ ŝŶĂƉŽƐŝƟŽŶƚŽƌĂŝƐĞĮŶĂŶĐĞŝŶĞĂƌůLJϮϬϭϴĂŶĚƚŚĞŶ
,W͕͛ŝƚƐĂLJƐ͘ ƐƚĂƌƚĂŶϭϴͲŵŽŶƚŚŵŝŶĞĐŽŶƐƚƌƵĐƟŽŶƉŚĂƐĞ͘
ĞƌĞŶďĞƌŐďĞůŝĞǀĞƐĂƐŚŝŌƚŽƵůƚƌĂͲŶŝĐŬĞůͲƌŝĐŚ ͚>ŝƚŚŝƵŵŚLJĚƌŽdžŝĚĞƌĂƚŚĞƌƚŚĂŶůŝƚŚŝƵŵĐĂƌďŽŶĂƚĞ
ďĂƩĞƌŝĞƐĐŽƵůĚŽĐĐƵƌĨĂƐƚĞƌƚŚĂŶĞdžƉĞĐƚĞĚĚƵĞƚŽ ǁŝůůďĞƚŚĞƉƌĞĨĞƌƌĞĚŵĂƚĞƌŝĂůĨŽƌĐƌĞĂƟŶŐŚŝŐŚ
:ŽŚŶƐŽŶDĂƩŚĞLJ͛ƐĂĨŽƌĞŵĞŶƟŽŶĞĚďƌĞĂŬƚŚƌŽƵŐŚ͘ ŶŝĐŬĞůĐĂƚŚŽĚĞŵĂƚĞƌŝĂůƐ͕͛ƐĂLJƐĞƌĞŶďĞƌŐ͘
͚EŝĐŬĞůŝƐďĞĐŽŵŝŶŐĐƌƵĐŝĂůĂƐŝƚƐĐŽŶƚĞŶƚŝŶĂďĂƩĞƌLJ hŶĨŽƌƚƵŶĂƚĞůLJĨŽƌĂĐĂŶŽƌĂ͕ŝƚŝƐŶŽůŽŶŐĞƌ
ĚĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĞƐƚŚĞƌĂŶŐĞŽĨsƐ͘tĞĞƐƟŵĂƚĞƚŚĂƚϮϬŵ ƉƵƌƐƵŝŶŐƚŚĞŚLJĚƌŽdžŝĚĞƌŽƵƚĞ͘dŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJĚŝĚ
ŚĂǀĞĂŶĂŐƌĞĞŵĞŶƚĂĨĞǁLJĞĂƌƐĂŐŽƚŽƐƵƉƉůLJdĞƐůĂ
ŝŶƚŚĞh^ǁŝƚŚůŝƚŚŝƵŵŚLJĚƌŽdžŝĚĞ͘dŚĂƚĚĞĂůŚĂƐŶŽǁ
ůĞĐƚƌŝĐǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐǁŽŶ͛ƚŽŶůLJďĞŵĂĚĞ ůĂƉƐĞĚĂŶĚƚŚĞŵŝŶĞƌŝƐĨŽĐƵƐĞĚŽŶƚŚĞƐŝĂŶĂŶĚ
ďLJƚŚĞƚƌĂĚŝƟŽŶĂůĐĂƌŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐ 'ĞƌŵĂŶŵĂƌŬĞƚƐ;ƚŚĞůĂƩĞƌŝƐǀŝĂĂůĞƐƐĂĚǀĂŶĐĞĚ
ƐĞĐŽŶĚƉƌŽũĞĐƚͿǁŝƚŚůŝƚŚŝƵŵĐĂƌďŽŶĂƚĞ͘
ĂĐĂŶŽƌĂŝƐƐƟůůĂƉƉĞĂůŝŶŐĨƌŽŵĂŶŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ
ƉĞƌƐƉĞĐƟǀĞ͕ŶŽŶĞƚŚĞůĞƐƐ͘/ƚŚĂƐĂůƌĞĂĚLJĂŐƌĞĞĚƚŽ
TECHNOLOGY ƐĞůůůŝƚŚŝƵŵƚŽ:ĂƉĂŶĞƐĞďĂƩĞƌLJĐŚĞŵŝĐĂůƐƚƌĂĚĞƌ
AND ELECTRICAL ,ĂŶǁĂŝŶƚŚĞĨƵƚƵƌĞĂŶĚƚŚŝƐƉĂƌƚŶĞƌŚĂƐƚĂŬĞŶĂ
APPLIANCE ϵ͘ϯϱйƐƚĂŬĞŝŶƚŚĞŵŝŶĞƌǁŚŝĐŚƐŚŽǁƐĐŽŵŵŝƚŵĞŶƚ͘
FIRMS ARE ŶĂůLJƐƚϭϮŵŽŶƚŚƉƌŝĐĞƚĂƌŐĞƚƐĨŽƌĂĐĂŶŽƌĂĂƌĞŝŶ
LIKELY TO GET IN ƚŚĞƌĂŶŐĞŽĨϭϮϬƉ͕ŝŵƉůLJŝŶŐĂďŽƵƚϱϬйƵƉƐŝĚĞĨƌŽŵ
ON THE GAME ƚŚĞϳϴ͘ϰƉƚƌĂĚŝŶŐƉƌŝĐĞĂƚƚŚĞƟŵĞŽĨǁƌŝƟŶŐ͘;Ϳ

/^>/DZ
dŚĞĂƵƚŚŽƌĂŶŝĞůŽĂƚƐǁŽƌƚŚŚĂƐĂƉĞƌƐŽŶĂůŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚŝŶ
^ĐŽƫƐŚDŽƌƚŐĂŐĞŵĞŶƟŽŶĞĚŝŶƚŚŝƐĂƌƟĐůĞ

26 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


VI D EOS

WATCH THE LATEST


SHARES VIDEOS

SAMPLE
Rob Rainey, Head of Corporate
VIDEOS Max Raynor, Sales - NEX Exchange
Development - Midatech Pharma CLICK TO
(MTPH)
PLAY

Andrew Lloyd, President & EVP Sales &


Marketing - Corero Network Security (CNS)

Visit the Shares website for the latest company


presentations, market commentary, fund manager
interviews and explore our extensive video archive

www.sharesmagazine.co.uk/videos
MR MARKET

Are the rules for UK listed


company takeovers about
to get tougher?
New paper suggests bidders should say what will happen to target’s head office
and R&D functions

T
he Takeover Panel has, ^ĞŶƐŝƟǀŝƚLJǁŝƚŚƌĞƐƉĞĐƚƚŽ It stands to reason that
in a paper issued on ƐƵĐŚŵĂƩĞƌƐŝƐŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚǁŚĞŶ ŝŶĐƌĞĂƐŝŶŐƚŚĞĂƌĞĂƐǁŚĞƌĞ
19 September, made the bidder is a non-UK one; ƐƉĞĐŝĮĐƐƚĂƚĞŵĞŶƚƐŽĨĨƵƚƵƌĞ
proposals requiring buyers of and such changes have been ŝŶƚĞŶƟŽŶĂƌĞƚŽďĞŵĂĚĞʹƚŚĂƚ
publicly listed UK companies to interpreted as being directed at ƚŚĞƐĂŵĞĐĂƌĞǁŝůůďĞĂƉƉůŝĞĚƚŽ
ƌĞƉŽƌƚďĂĐŬŽŶĐĞƌƚĂŝŶŵĂƩĞƌƐ ĨŽƌĞŝŐŶďŝĚĚĞƌƐ͘dŚŽƵŐŚŝŶĨĂĐƚ ƐƵĐŚƐƚĂƚĞŵĞŶƚƐ͘
ŽŶĞLJĞĂƌĂŌĞƌĐŽŵƉůĞƟŶŐƚŚĞŝƌ the proposals apply to all bidders The Takeover Panel’s paper
ĂĐƋƵŝƐŝƟŽŶ͘dŚĞWĂŶĞůǁĂŶƚƐƚŽ regardless of origin it may suit also proposes that such
see if acquirers have kept their certain stakeholders to present statements be made, earlier,
ǁŽƌĚĂďŽƵƚƉůĂŶƐĂŶŶŽƵŶĐĞĚĂƚ ŝƚĚŝīĞƌĞŶƚůLJ͘ ŝ͘Ğ͘ĂƚƚŚĞƟŵĞŽĨƚŚĞ
ƚŚĞƟŵĞŽĨĂŶĂĐƋƵŝƐŝƟŽŶ͘ ŚĂŶŐĞƐǁĞƌĞŵĂĚĞŽŶůLJĂ announcement by the bidder
Currently a bidder must ĨĞǁLJĞĂƌƐĂŐŽƚŽĂůůŽǁĨŽƌĂ ŽĨŝƚƐĮƌŵŝŶƚĞŶƟŽŶƚŽŵĂŬĞ
ŵĂŬĞƐƚĂƚĞŵĞŶƚƐŽĨŝŶƚĞŶƟŽŶ ƌĞŐŝŵĞŽĨĂͿďŝŶĚŝŶŐƉŽƐƚŽīĞƌ ĂŶŽīĞƌ͘
ǁŝƚŚƌĞŐĂƌĚƚŽƚŚĞďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ͕ undertakings and b) statements The provision of an annual
employees and pension schemes ŽĨŝŶƚĞŶƟŽŶƚŚĂƚǁŽƵůĚ͕ŝŶƚŚĞ public compliance regime
ŽĨƚŚĞŽīĞƌĞĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ͘dŚĞ ůĂƩĞƌĐĂƐĞ͕ŚŽůĚĨŽƌϭϮŵŽŶƚŚƐ ǁŚĞƌĞďLJƐƚĂƚĞŵĞŶƚƐĂƌĞ
ƉĂƉĞƌŝƐĐŽŶƐƵůƟŶŐŽŶǁŚĞƚŚĞƌ ƉŽƐƚĐŽŵƉůĞƟŽŶŶŽƚǁŝƚŚƐƚĂŶĚŝŶŐ ƌĞƉŽƌƚĞĚŽŶǁŝůůďĞƵƐĞĨƵůĨŽƌ
bidders should be required to any change in honestly held increasing transparency and
ŵĂŬĞĂĚĚŝƟŽŶĂů͕ŵŽƌĞƐƉĞĐŝĮĐ ďĞůŝĞĨƐŝŶĐĞƚŚĞƟŵĞŽĨƚŚĞ accountability for statements
ƐƚĂƚĞŵĞŶƚƐŽĨŝŶƚĞŶƟŽŶƌĞŐĂƌĚŝŶŐ ƌĞůĞǀĂŶƚƐƚĂƚĞŵĞŶƚ͘ ;ǁŚĞƚŚĞƌƚƌƵůLJďŝŶĚŝŶŐŽƌŶŽƚͿŝŶ
the target, namely: It should be noted that there ƚŚĞĐŽƵƌƐĞŽĨĂďŝĚ͘
ŝƐĂĚŝīĞƌĞŶĐĞďĞƚǁĞĞŶƚŚĞƚǁŽ /ƚŝƐǁŽƌƚŚŶŽƟŶŐƚŚĂƚƚŚĞ

1 RESEARCH AND
DEVELOPMENT
FUNCTIONS
types of statements and the
ƌĞŐŝŵĞĂůůŽǁƐĨŽƌŝŶƚĞŶƟŽŶƐ
ƚŽĐŚĂŶŐĞǁŝƚŚƟŵĞƐƵďũĞĐƚƚŽ
City Code on Takeovers and
Mergers only applies to Code
governed companies, and does
ĐŽŶƐƵůƚĂƟŽŶǁŝƚŚƚŚĞWĂŶĞůĂŶĚ ŶŽƚƉƌŽǀŝĚĞĂŶĂŶƐǁĞƌƚŽƚŚĞ
ĐŚĂŶŐŝŶŐĐŝƌĐƵŵƐƚĂŶĐĞƐ͘ same issues that arise in the

2 BALANCE OF SKILLS
AND FUNCTIONS
At present, the bid process is
a highly considered and heavily
ĂĚǀŝƐĞĚƵƉŽŶŽŶĞ͘
context of takeovers of privately
ŽǁŶĞĚͬŶŽŶͲŽĚĞŐŽǀĞƌŶĞĚ
ĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐ͘ŽĚĞŐŽǀĞƌŶĞĚ
Bidders and their advisers company is predominantly a UK

3 EMPLOYEES AND
MANAGEMENT
ĞdžĂŵŝŶĞĞĂĐŚǁŽƌĚŽĨĂŶLJ
ƐƚĂƚĞŵĞŶƚŵĂĚĞŝŶĐŽŶŶĞĐƟŽŶ
to a bid to determine its
company listed on the London
^ƚŽĐŬdžĐŚĂŶŐĞ͘

appropriateness and to ensure By Mark Crofskey, solicitor,

4 HEADQUARTERS’
AND HEADQUARTERS
FUNCTIONS’ LOCATION
that misleading statements are
not made and a false market is
ŶŽƚĐƌĞĂƚĞĚ͘
head of corporate M&A; and
:ŽŶZĂŐŐĞƩ͕ĚŝƌĞĐƚŽƌ͕ĐŽƌƉŽƌĂƚĞ
ĮŶĂŶĐĞĂƚWǁ͘

28 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


INVESTMENT
FACTS.
WHO CAN YOU TRUST?
In uncertain times, when the
economy is buffeted by change,
it can be hard to know who to
trust when investing.

Shares magazine is produced by our expert editorial team,


offering 24/7 coverage and insight into today’s vibrant
investment markets.
A subscription to Shares gives you access to the SHARES
digital investment hub and a host of benefits including:
> Your weekly digital magazine brimming full
of investment ideas
> Market news and company updates
> Exclusive investor tools including live share prices

Try it now for just £1 for the 1st month and then just £12 a month*.

Explore the best investment news


and latest share prices
+
£
Subscribe today at www.sharesmagazine.co.uk/subscribe
% £
£

* The £1 for 1 month and then £12 a month offer is only available to new subscribers. Your first payment will be £1 and thereafter subscriptions will automatically continued, billed at £12 per
month unless cancelled. Subscriptions can be cancelled at any time by calling 0207 378 4424 between 8am - 4.30pm on Monday to Friday. No refunds are offered during the cancellations period
but all outstanding issues and services will be fulfilled. For enquires contact us at support@sharesmagazine.co.uk
INVESTMENT TRUSTS

Don’t allow fees to


become foes
High charges can act as a drag on your portfolio’s performance

W hen weighing up
investment trusts to
ĂĚĚƚŽLJŽƵƌƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͕
ĐŽƐƚŝƐĂŬĞLJĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌĂƟŽŶ͘dŚĞ
greater the charges associated
/͛ƐĐŽŵŵƵŶŝĐĂƟŽŶƐĚŝƌĞĐƚŽƌ͕
notes investment trust costs
ĂƌĞŽŌĞŶůŽǁĞƌĚƵĞƚŽƚŚĞŝƌ
ƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞ͘
͚^ŝŶĐĞϮϬϭϯŽǀĞƌĂƚŚŝƌĚŽĨ
&ƵŶĚƐ/ŶĚĞdžƌĞƚƵƌŶŽĨϰ͘ϲй͘dŚŝƐ
ƐƚƌŽŶŐƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞƉĂƌƟĂůůLJ
ĞdžƉůĂŝŶƐǁŚLJƚŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƐĐƵƌƌĞŶƚůLJ
ƚƌĂĚĞĂƚĂŶϴ͘ϯйƉƌĞŵŝƵŵƚŽŶĞƚ
ĂƐƐĞƚǀĂůƵĞ;EsͿ͘
ǁŝƚŚĂĨƵŶĚ͕ƚŚĞďĞƩĞƌLJŽƵƌ investment companies have Perpetual Income & Growth
investments must perform to reduced their charges to Investment Trust (PLI) has
ĚĞůŝǀĞƌLJŽƵĂƌĞƚƵƌŶ͘ ďĞŶĞĮƚƐŚĂƌĞŚŽůĚĞƌƐďLJĐƵƫŶŐ removed its performance fee
KŶĞŽĨƚŚĞďŝŐŐĞƐƚĐŽƐƚƐĂƌĞ ŵĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚĨĞĞƐ͕ĞůŝŵŝŶĂƟŶŐ ƚŽŽ͘&ƌŽŵϭƉƌŝů͕ƚŚĞĂŶŶƵĂů
the fees investment trusts pay performance fees or introducing management fee was changed
to fund managers for managing ƟĞƌĞĚĨĞĞƐ͘dŚŝƐĚĞŵŽŶƐƚƌĂƚĞƐ ƚŽĂŶĂŶŶƵĂůƌĂƚĞŽĨϬ͘ϲйŽŶƚŚĞ
ƚŚĞƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͖ŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƚƌƵƐƚƐ ƚŚĞǀĂůƵĞŽĨƚŚĞŝŶĚĞƉĞŶĚĞŶƚ ĮƌƐƚάϵϬϬŵŽĨƚŚĞƚƌƵƐƚ͛ƐĂƐƐĞƚƐ
ŵĂLJĂůƐŽƉĂLJĂƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞ ďŽĂƌĚǁŚŝĐŚƌĞƉƌĞƐĞŶƚƐ ĂŶĚĂƚĂƌĂƚĞŽĨϬ͘ϰйƚŚĞƌĞĂŌĞƌ͘
fee if the manager outperforms ƐŚĂƌĞŚŽůĚĞƌƐ͛ŝŶƚĞƌĞƐƚƐ͕͛ƐŚĞƐĂLJƐ͘ WƌĞǀŝŽƵƐůLJ͕ĨĞĞƐǁĞƌĞďĂƐĞĚ
ĐĞƌƚĂŝŶƚĂƌŐĞƚƐ͘ ŽŶϬ͘ϲйƉĞƌLJĞĂƌƵƉƚŽάϱϬϬŵ
&ĞĞƐĐŚĂƌŐĞĚďLJĂĐƟǀĞůLJͲ WZ&KZDE& ĂŶĚϬ͘ϰйƚŚĞƌĞĂŌĞƌ͕ǁŝƚŚĂ
ŵĂŶĂŐĞĚĨƵŶĚƐĂƌĞĨƌĞƋƵĞŶƚůLJ ABOLITIONS ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞĨĞĞŽĨϭϬйŽĨ
ƵŶĚĞƌƚŚĞƐƉŽƚůŝŐŚƚ͖ƐŽŵĞĂƌĞ zĞĂƌͲƚŽͲĚĂƚĞ͕ƐĞǀĞƌĂůƚƌƵƐƚƐŚĂǀĞ any outperformance over the
accused of overcharging investors ůŽǁĞƌĞĚƚŚĞŝƌĐŽƐƚƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞďLJ &d^ůůͲ^ŚĂƌĞĐĂƉƉĞĚĂƚϬ͘ϱй
ĚĞƐƉŝƚĞĚĞůŝǀĞƌŝŶŐƉŽŽƌƌĞƚƵƌŶƐ͘ ĂďŽůŝƐŚŝŶŐƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞĨĞĞƐ͘ ŽĨŶĞƚĂƐƐĞƚƐ͘
/ŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƚƌƵƐƚƐŚŝƐƚŽƌŝĐĂůůLJ tŝƚŚĞīĞĐƚĨƌŽŵϭ:ĂŶƵĂƌLJ͕ ŽŝůŝŶŐĂůůƚŚŝƐĚŽǁŶ͕ŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐ
enjoyed a fee advantage over unit &ΘŽŵŵĞƌĐŝĂůWƌŽƉĞƌƚLJ can access the stock picking
ƚƌƵƐƚƐ͕ĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚƚŚŝƐŚĂƐŶĂƌƌŽǁĞĚ
Trust (FCPT) removed its acumen and strong performance
ƐŝŶĐĞϮϬϭϯǁŚĞŶƌĞŐƵůĂƟŽŶ performance fee and changed ŽĨůŽŶŐͲƐĞƌǀŝŶŐŵĂŶĂŐĞƌDĂƌŬ
ĐŽŵƉĞůůĞĚƵŶŝƚƚƌƵƐƚƐƚŽŝƐƐƵĞ ŝƚƐďĂƐĞŵĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚĨĞĞƚŽ ĂƌŶĞƩŵŽƌĞĐŚĞĂƉůLJ͕ǁŚŝůĞĂŶ
ĐŚĞĂƉĞƌ͚ĐůĞĂŶ͛ƐŚĂƌĞĐůĂƐƐĞƐ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϱйƉĞƌLJĞĂƌŽĨƚŚĞŐƌŽƵƉ͛Ɛ ϴ͘ϲйƐŚĂƌĞƉƌŝĐĞĚŝƐĐŽƵŶƚƚŽEs
ŐƌŽƐƐĂƐƐĞƚƐ͖ŝƚǁŝůůďĞƌĞĚƵĐĞĚ ŝŵƉůŝĞƐĂďƵLJŝŶŐŽƉƉŽƌƚƵŶŝƚLJ͘
OPPORTUNITY COSTS ƚŽϬ͘ϱϮϱйŽŶĂƐƐĞƚƐďĞƚǁĞĞŶ ůƐŽŝŶŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐ͛ŐŽŽĚŬƐ
,ĞůƉĨƵůůLJ͕ĚĞƚĂŝůƐŽĨŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ άϭ͘ϱďŶĂŶĚάϮďŶĂŶĚϬ͘ϱйŽŶ is ďĞƌĚĞĞŶ&ƌŽŶƟĞƌDĂƌŬĞƚƐ
ƚƌƵƐƚŵĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚĨĞĞƐ͕ĂŶĚĂŶLJ ĂƐƐĞƚƐŵŽƌĞƚŚĂŶάϮďŶ͘ ;&DͿ͘ƐĂŶďĞƌĚĞĞŶ^ƚĂŶĚĂƌĚ
ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞĨĞĞƐ͕ĐĂŶďĞĨŽƵŶĚ dŚĞƚƌƵƐƚĂŝŵƐƚŽĚĞůŝǀĞƌ Investments spokesperson
ŽŶƚŚĞǁĞďƐŝƚĞŽĨƚŚĞƐƐŽĐŝĂƟŽŶ ĂŶĂƩƌĂĐƟǀĞůĞǀĞůŽĨŝŶĐŽŵĞ ĞdžƉůĂŝŶƐ͕ƚŚĞŵĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚĨĞĞ
ŽĨ/ŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐ;/Ϳ͘ ƚŽŐĞƚŚĞƌǁŝƚŚƐĐŽƉĞĨŽƌĐĂƉŝƚĂů ǁĂƐĐƵƚƚŽϭйŽĨEsǁŚŝĐŚŚĂƐ
dŚĞ/ƐŚŽǁƐ͚ŽŶŐŽŝŶŐ and income growth through ŚĞůƉĞĚƚŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƐƚƌĂĚĞĐůŽƐĞƌƚŽ
ĐŚĂƌŐĞƐ͛ĨŽƌĂůůŝƚƐŵĞŵďĞƌƐ͕Ă ĂĚŝǀĞƌƐŝĮĞĚh<ĐŽŵŵĞƌĐŝĂů ĂƐƐĞƚǀĂůƵĞ͘
ŵĞĂƐƵƌĞŽĨƚŚĞƌĞŐƵůĂƌƌƵŶŶŝŶŐ ƉƌŽƉĞƌƚLJƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͘
costs of an investment trust &ΘŽŵŵĞƌĐŝĂůWƌŽƉĞƌƚLJ͛Ɛ WINDS OF CHANGE
ĞdžƉƌĞƐƐĞĚĂƐĂƉĞƌĐĞŶƚĂŐĞ͕ ŶĞƚĂƐƐĞƚǀĂůƵĞ;EsͿƚŽƚĂůƌĞƚƵƌŶ KƚŚĞƌƐƚƌƵƐƚƐƚŽŚĂǀĞĂďŽůŝƐŚĞĚ
ĂƐǁĞůůĂƐĂƐĞƉĂƌĂƚĞĮŐƵƌĞ ĨŽƌƚŚĞƐŝdžŵŽŶƚŚƐƚŽ:ƵŶĞϮϬϭϳ ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞĨĞĞƐŝŶĐůƵĚĞ
ĨŽƌ͚ŽŶŐŽŝŶŐĐŚĂƌŐĞƐƉůƵƐ ǁĂƐϱ͘ϭй͕ŽƵƚƉĞƌĨŽƌŵŝŶŐŝƚƐ ůĂĐŬZŽĐŬ>ĂƟŶŵĞƌŝĐĂŶ
ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞĨĞĞƐ͛͘ ďĞŶĐŚŵĂƌŬ͖ƚŚĞD^//Wůů (BRLA)͘WƌŝŽƌƚŽϭ:ĂŶƵĂƌLJϮϬϭϳ͕
ŶŶĂďĞůƌŽĚŝĞͲ^ŵŝƚŚ͕ƚŚĞ YƵĂƌƚĞƌůLJĂŶĚDŽŶƚŚůLJsĂůƵĞĚ ƚŚĞĂŶŶƵĂůŵĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚĨĞĞǁĂƐ

30 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


INVESTMENT TRUSTS

Ϭ͘ϴϱйŽĨŶĞƚĂƐƐĞƚƐĂŶĚĂ ĨĞĞǁŝůůƌŝƐĞĨƌŽŵϬ͘ϲйƚŽ ƉĞƌLJĞĂƌ͕ǁŝƚŚƚŚĞƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞ


performance fee was FOR Ϭ͘ϲϱйŽĨŶĞƚĂƐƐĞƚƐ͘ ĨĞĞƉƌŽƉŽƌƟŽŶŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚ
ƉĂLJĂďůĞ͘ůĂĐŬZŽĐŬŝƐ MORE ON HOW ŚĂŶŐĞŚĂƐĂůƐŽ ĨƌŽŵϭϬйƚŽϭϱйŽĨEsƚŽƚĂů
ŶŽǁƉĂŝĚĂŶĂŶŶƵĂů AIC MEASURES occurred at ůĂĐŬZŽĐŬ return outperformance of the
management fee of CHARGES Throgmorton Trust ďĞŶĐŚŵĂƌŬ;ŵĞĂƐƵƌĞĚŽŶĂ
Ϭ͘ϴйŽĨŶĞƚĂƐƐĞƚƐ CLICK (THRG)͕ĨŽĐƵƐĞĚŽŶ ƚǁŽͲLJĞĂƌƌŽůůŝŶŐďĂƐŝƐͿ͕ǁŚŝůĞƚŚĞ
and the performance ĮƌŵƐǁŝƚŚƌŽďƵƐƚ ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞĨĞĞĐĂƉŚĂƐďĞĞŶ
ĨĞĞŚĂƐďĞĞŶƌĞŵŽǀĞĚ͘ HERE ďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐŵŽĚĞůƐ͕ƐƚƌŽŶŐ ƌĞĚƵĐĞĚĨƌŽŵϭйŽĨ͚ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞ
:ĂŶƵƐ,ĞŶĚĞƌƐŽŶͲŵĂŶĂŐĞĚ ĐĂƐŚŇŽǁƐĂŶĚĨĂǀŽƵƌĂďůĞ ĨĞĞŵĂƌŬĞƚǀĂůƵĞ͛ƚŽϬ͘ϵй͘
,ĞŶĚĞƌƐŽŶŝǀĞƌƐŝĮĞĚ/ŶĐŽŵĞ ŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJĐŚĂƌĂĐƚĞƌŝƐƟĐƐůĞĚďLJ dŚĞŚŽƉĞŝƐƚŚĞŶĞǁ
Trust (HDIV)ŚĂƐĂďŽůŝƐŚĞĚ ŵĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚƚĞĂŵƐĐĂƉĂďůĞŽĨ ĨĞĞƐƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞǁŝůůŝŵƉƌŽǀĞ
its performance fee (from 1 ͚ƐĞůĨͲŚĞůƉ͛͘dŚĞďĂƐĞŵĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚ ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞĂŶĚƐƚĚĞŵĂŶĚ
EŽǀĞŵďĞƌͿ͕ĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚƚŚĞďĂƐĞ ĨĞĞŚĂƐďĞĞŶŚĂůǀĞĚƚŽϬ͘ϯϱй ĨŽƌƚŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƐ͕ǁŚŝĐŚƚƌĂĚĞĂƚĂ
ƐƚĞĞƉϭϱ͘ϴйĚŝƐĐŽƵŶƚƚŽEs͘
INVESTMENT TRUST - HIGHEST CHARGES HUNTING HIGH & LOW
Company Sector Total AIC ongoing ƐƚŚĞƚĂďůĞƐƌĞǀĞĂů͕ƚŚŽƐĞƚƌƵƐƚƐ
assets charges plus ǁŝƚŚƚŚĞůŽǁĞƐƚ/ŽŶŐŽŝŶŐ
(£m) perf %
ĐŚĂƌŐĞƐƉůƵƐƉĞƌĨŽƌŵĂŶĐĞ
Phoenix Spree Property Direct - Europe 353 6.96 ŝŶĐůƵĚĞtŽŽĚĨŽƌĚWĂƟĞŶƚ
Deutschland
ĂƉŝƚĂůdƌƵƐƚ;tWdͿŽŶϬ͘ϭϴй͕
British & American UK Equity Income 24 6.01
cheap given the acumen of
Regional REIT Property Direct - UK 436 4.44 EĞŝůtŽŽĚĨŽƌĚǁŚŽĐŽŶƟŶƵĞƐ
VPC Specialty Lending Sector Specialist: Debt 344 3.99 ƚŽƐĐŽƵƚĨŽƌĚŝƐƌƵƉƟǀĞŚŝŐŚ
Investments ƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůƚĞĐŚďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐĞƐ͘
Vinaland Property Direct - Asia Pacific 303 3.93 KƚŚĞƌƐǁŝƚŚůŽǁĐŽƐƚƐŝŶĐůƵĚĞ
Marwyn Value Investors Global Smaller Companies 162 3.90 Independent Investment Trust
MedicX Property Specialist 644 3.82 (IIT)ĂƚϬ͘ϯϰй͕:ŽďƵƌƟƐͲƐƚĞĞƌĞĚ
dividend hero ŝƚLJŽĨ>ŽŶĚŽŶ
INVESTMENT TRUST - LOWEST CHARGES (CTY)͕^ĐŽƫƐŚDŽƌƚŐĂŐĞ;^DdͿ
Company Sector Total AIC ongoing and DĞƌĐĂŶƟůĞ;DZͿ͕ǁŚŝĐŚ
assets charges plus has reduced its management
(£m) perf % ĨĞĞĨƌŽŵϬ͘ϱйŽĨƚŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ͛Ɛ
JPMorgan Elect Managed Sector Specialist: Liquidity 5 0.03 ŵĂƌŬĞƚĐĂƉƚŽϬ͘ϰϳϱй͕ĂĨĞĞƐĞƚ
Cash Funds ƚŽƌĞĚƵĐĞĨƵƌƚŚĞƌƚŽϬ͘ϰϱйĨƌŽŵ
Woodford Patient Capital UK All Companies 1,001 0.18 ϭ&ĞďƌƵĂƌLJϮϬϭϴ͘
Independent Global 325 0.34 dŚŽƐĞǁŝƚŚƚŚĞŚŝŐŚĞƐƚĐŚĂƌŐĞƐ
Investment Trust ƚĞŶĚƚŽďĞǁŝƚŚŝŶƚŚĞ/͛Ɛ
Invesco Perpetual Select Sector Specialist: Liquidity 5 0.40 ƉƌŽƉĞƌƚLJƐĞĐƚŽƌƐ͖ŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐŝŶ
Managed Liquidity Funds ĂůƚĞƌŶĂƟǀĞĂƐƐĞƚƐůŝŬĞƌĞĂůĞƐƚĂƚĞ
City of London UK Equity Income 1,545 0.43 ƌĞƋƵŝƌĞƐĞdžƉĞƌƚŬŶŽǁůĞĚŐĞĂŶĚ
Law Debenture Global 909 0.43 ƌĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ͘^ŽƚŚĞŽŶŐŽŝŶŐĐŚĂƌŐĞ
Corporation ƌĞŇĞĐƚƐƚŚŝƐƐŝƚƵĂƟŽŶ͘
Scottish Mortgage Global 6,553 0.44 dŚĞLJŝŶĐůƵĚĞƐƚƌŽŶŐůLJͲ
Mercantile UK All Companies 2,139 0.50 ƉĞƌĨŽƌŵŝŶŐ'ĞƌŵĂŶƌĞƐŝĚĞŶƟĂů
Bankers Global 1,121 0.52
ƌĞĂůĞƐƚĂƚĞƐƉĞĐŝĂůŝƐƚWŚŽĞŶŝdž
Spree Deutschland (PSDL)
Temple Bar UK Equity Income 1,036 0.52
ĨŽůůŽǁĞĚďLJƚŚĞůŝŬĞƐŽĨZĞŐŝŽŶĂů
Alliance Trust Global 2,948 0.54
REIT (RGL) and sW^ƉĞĐŝĂůƚLJ
Source: AIC/Morningstar >ĞŶĚŝŶŐ/ŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƐ;s^>Ϳ͘;:Ϳ

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 31


MONEY MATTERS Helping you with personal finance issues

How to switch to a stocks


and shares ISA
Top tips on keeping your tax-free allowance and getting a better return on your money

I
f you’re fed up with the low
ŝŶƚĞƌĞƐƚƌĂƚĞƐŽīĞƌĞĚďLJ
ĐĂƐŚ/^ƐŝƚĐŽƵůĚďĞƟŵĞƚŽ
switch to a stocks and shares ISA.
dƌĂŶƐĨĞƌƌŝŶŐLJŽƵƌŵŽŶĞLJ
correctly will ensure your tax-free
ĂůůŽǁĂŶĐĞƌĞŵĂŝŶƐŝŶƚĂĐƚ͘

WHY SWITCH TO STOCKS


AND SHARES?
/ŶƚĞƌĞƐƚƌĂƚĞƐĂƌĞĞdžƚƌĞŵĞůLJůŽǁ
ǁŚŝĐŚŵĞĂŶƐƚŚĞĂŶŶƵĂůƌĞƚƵƌŶƐ
ĂǀĂŝůĂďůĞŽŶĐĂƐŚ/^ƐĂƌĞǀĞƌLJ
poor. The highest rate we could
ĮŶĚǁĂƐũƵƐƚŽǀĞƌϮйĨŽƌĂĮǀĞͲ
LJĞĂƌĮdžĞĚƌĂƚĞ/^͘dŚŝƐŝƐůŽǁĞƌ
ƚŚĂŶƚŚĞĐƵƌƌĞŶƚŝŶŇĂƟŽŶƌĂƚĞŽĨ
Ϯ͘ϵй͕ǁŚŝĐŚŵĞĂŶƐLJŽƵƌŵŽŶĞLJ
will actually drop in value in real
ƚĞƌŵƐŽǀĞƌƟŵĞ͘
/ŶǀĞƐƟŶŐŝŶƐŚĂƌĞƐŽīĞƌƐLJŽƵ /^͕ƚŚĞŶĞǁůLJĚĞƉŽƐŝƚĞĚŵŽŶĞLJ
ǁŝƚŚĂŵƵĐŚŐƌĞĂƚĞƌĐŚĂŶĐĞŽĨ ǁŝůůĐŽƵŶƚĂŐĂŝŶƐƚLJŽƵƌάϮϬ͕ϬϬϬ
ŐƌŽǁŝŶŐLJŽƵƌŵŽŶĞLJĂƚĂĚĞĐĞŶƚ annual ISA allowance. If this
rate. The Barclays Equity Gilt ƚĂŬĞƐLJŽƵŽǀĞƌLJŽƵƌĂůůŽǁĂŶĐĞ͕


Study shows that over the last your savings could lose their
ϱϬLJĞĂƌƐʹŽŶĐĞƚŚĞŝŵƉĂĐƚŽĨ tax-free status.
ŝŶŇĂƟŽŶŝƐƐƚƌŝƉƉĞĚŽƵƚʹƐƚŽĐŬƐ SOME CASH ISAS zŽƵƐŝŵƉůLJŶĞĞĚƚŽĮůůŝŶĂ
and shares have delivered an ƚƌĂŶƐĨĞƌĨŽƌŵǁŝƚŚLJŽƵƌŶĞǁ
ĂŶŶƵĂůƌĞƚƵƌŶŽĨϱ͘ϳйĐŽŵƉĂƌĞĚ WILL CHARGE A PENALTY ƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƌ͕ŐŝǀŝŶŐƚŚĞŵLJŽƵƌ
ǁŝƚŚĂũƵƐƚϭ͘ϱйĨƌŽŵĐĂƐŚ͘ WHEN YOU CLOSE personal details and cash ISA
ĂĐĐŽƵŶƚŶƵŵďĞƌ͘
YOUR ACCOUNT


HOW DO I TRANSFER If your current cash ISA
MY MONEY? contains savings paid in during
zŽƵĐĂŶƚƌĂŶƐĨĞƌĨƌŽŵĂĐĂƐŚ the current tax year then you
ISA to a stocks and shares ISA have to transfer the whole
ĂƚĂŶLJƟŵĞ͘Ƶƚŝƚ͛ƐĞdžƚƌĞŵĞůLJ account to your new provider. If
ŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚƚŚĂƚLJŽƵĂƌƌĂŶŐĞƚŚĞ ƚŚĞƐĂǀŝŶŐƐĂƌĞĨƌŽŵƉƌĞǀŝŽƵƐƚĂdž
transfer through your new ISA LJĞĂƌƐ͕LJŽƵĐĂŶŵĂŬĞĂƉĂƌƟĂůŽƌ
provider. whole transfer.
/ĨLJŽƵǁŝƚŚĚƌĂǁƚŚĞŵŽŶĞLJ͕ ^ŽŵĞĐĂƐŚ/^ƐǁŝůůĐŚĂƌŐĞ
close your account and then a penalty when you close your
reinvest the cash into another account. This is usually the case

32 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


MONEY MATTERS

ŝĨLJŽƵŽƉƚĞĚĨŽƌĂĮdžĞĚƌĂƚĞ/^ STARTING TO INVEST


and you’re closing the account Once your stocks and shares ISA
ďĞĨŽƌĞƚŚĞƚĞƌŵŚĂƐŵĂƚƵƌĞĚ͘ ŝƐƵƉĂŶĚƌƵŶŶŝŶŐLJŽƵĐĂŶďĞŐŝŶ
You’ll need to weigh up whether IF YOU’RE A LESS ĐŚŽŽƐŝŶŐLJŽƵƌŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƐ͘
ƚŚĞďĞŶĞĮƚƐŽĨƚŚĞƐƚŽĐŬƐĂŶĚ /ƚ͛ƐĂŐŽŽĚŝĚĞĂƚŽƚŚŝŶŬĂďŽƵƚ
ƐŚĂƌĞƐ/^ŵĂŬĞŝƚǁŽƌƚŚƉĂLJŝŶŐ CONFIDENT INVESTOR ǁŚLJLJŽƵ͛ƌĞŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐĂŶĚĨŽƌŚŽǁ
the penalty. OR ARE LOOKING FOR long. This will help you decide
/ƚǁŝůůƵƐƵĂůůLJƚĂŬĞĂďŽƵƚƚǁŽ which assets could help you
weeks for a cash transfer to LOWER RISK YOU COULD ŵĞĞƚLJŽƵƌŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚŐŽĂůƐ͘
ĐŽŵƉůĞƚĞ͕ĂŌĞƌǁŚŝĐŚLJŽƵĐĂŶ CONSIDER A MULTI-ASSET ‘If you’re saving for a house
ƐƚĂƌƚŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐ͘ deposit in the near future your
FUND. THE CHARGES ĂƉƉĞƟƚĞĨŽƌƌŝƐŬǁŝůůďĞůŽǁĞƌ
CHOOSING A PROVIDER TEND TO BE HIGHER THAN ʹƚŚĞůĂƐƚƚŚŝŶŐĂŚŽƵƐĞďƵLJĞƌ
dŚĞƌĞĂƌĞůŽƚƐŽĨĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐ REGULAR FUNDS BUT needs is a sudden fall in the
ŽīĞƌŝŶŐƐƚŽĐŬƐĂŶĚƐŚĂƌĞƐ/^Ɛ͘ ƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚƌĞĚƵĐŝŶŐƚŚĞŝƌ
ZŽĚŽůĨŽƌĞƐƉŽ͕ƐĞŶŝŽƌ THEY ARE AN EASY WAY ŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƌŝŐŚƚǁŚĞŶƚŚĞLJ
ĂŶĂůLJƐƚĂƚWůĂƞŽƌƵŵ͕ĂƌĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ OF DIVERSIFYING YOUR ŶĞĞĚƚŽĂĐĐĞƐƐƚŚĞŵŽŶĞLJ͕͛
ĐŽŵƉĂŶLJǁŚŝĐŚƐƉĞĐŝĂůŝƐĞƐ Purslow explains.
PORTFOLIO


ŝŶŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƉůĂƞŽƌŵƐ͕ƐĂLJƐ /ĨLJŽƵƌŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚŐŽĂůŝƐ
ƚŚĞŵŽƐƚŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚĨĂĐƚŽƌƐƚŽ ůŽŶŐͲƚĞƌŵ͕ĨŽƌĞdžĂŵƉůĞƐĂǀŝŶŐ
ĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌĂƌĞďƌĂŶĚ͕ƉƌŝĐĞĂŶĚĂŶ ĨŽƌƌĞƟƌĞŵĞŶƚ͕LJŽƵĐĂŶĂīŽƌĚƚŽ
ĞĂƐLJͲƚŽͲƵƐĞǁĞďƐŝƚĞ͘ ƚĂŬĞŽŶŵŽƌĞƌŝƐŬ͘
,ĞƐĂLJƐŵŽƌĞĞdžƉĞƌŝĞŶĐĞĚ /ĨLJŽƵ͛ƌĞĂůĞƐƐĐŽŶĮĚĞŶƚ
investors should look for investor or are looking for lower
ĂƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƌƚŚĂƚŽīĞƌƐ ƌŝƐŬLJŽƵĐŽƵůĚĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌĂŵƵůƟͲ
ƐƚƌĂŝŐŚƞŽƌǁĂƌĚĂĐĐĞƐƐƚŽĂǁŝĚĞ asset fund. The charges tend
ƌĂŶŐĞŽĨŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚŽƉƟŽŶƐ͕ ƚŽďĞŚŝŐŚĞƌƚŚĂŶƌĞŐƵůĂƌĨƵŶĚƐ
ŝŶĐůƵĚŝŶŐĨƵŶĚƐ͕ŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ ďƵƚƚŚĞLJĂƌĞĂŶĞĂƐLJǁĂLJŽĨ
ƚƌƵƐƚƐ͕ĞdžĐŚĂŶŐĞͲƚƌĂĚĞĚĨƵŶĚƐ ĚŝǀĞƌƐŝĨLJŝŶŐLJŽƵƌƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͘
;d&ƐͿ͕ƐŚĂƌĞƐĂŶĚďŽŶĚƐ͘ ͚dŚĞLJŽīĞƌĞdžƉŽƐƵƌĞƚŽĂ
^ŽŵĞƉůĂƞŽƌŵƐůĞƚLJŽƵ ďƌŽĂĚĞƌŵŝdžŽĨĂƐƐĞƚĐůĂƐƐĞƐ͕
ƉŝĐŬLJŽƵƌŽǁŶŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƐ sectors and regions while also
ĂŶĚŽƚŚĞƌƐŽīĞƌƌĞĂĚLJͲŵĂĚĞ ƐŽŵĞƉůĂƞŽƌŵƐŽīĞƌŽŶůŝŶĞ ƐƉƌĞĂĚŝŶŐƌŝƐŬĂŶĚŽīĞƌŝŶŐĂ
ƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽƐƚŚĂƚƚŚĞLJďƵŝůĚĂŶĚƌƵŶ ƚŽŽůƐǁŚŝĐŚĐĂŶŚĞůƉƚŽďƵŝůĚ steadier overall return than if
ƚŚĞŵƐĞůǀĞƐ͘ ĂŶĚĂŶĂůLJƐĞLJŽƵƌƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͕͛ƐŚĞ you were to invest in individual
,ĂŶŶĂŚWƵƌƐůŽǁ͕ƐƉŽŬĞƐƉĞƌƐŽŶ explains. ĂƐƐĞƚƐ͕͛WƵƌƐůŽǁƐĂLJƐ͘
Ăƚ:ĞůůzŽƵŝŶǀĞƐƚ͕ƐĂLJƐĞŶƐƵƌŝŶŐ Ensuring you don’t pay Passive funds – trackers or ETFs
ƚŚĞƉůĂƞŽƌŵŽīĞƌƐƚŚĞƐĞƌǀŝĐĞƐ excessive charges is crucial ʹĂƌĞƵƐƵĂůůLJĐŚĞĂƉĞƌƚŚĂŶĂĐƟǀĞ
LJŽƵŶĞĞĚŝƐĂůƐŽŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚ͘ ďĞĐĂƵƐĞĨĞĞƐĐĂŶĞĂƚŝŶƚŽLJŽƵƌ funds and give a return that
͚/ĨLJŽƵǁĂŶƚƚŽďĞĂďůĞƚŽ ƌĞƚƵƌŶƐŽǀĞƌƚŚĞůŽŶŐƚĞƌŵ͘ ŵŝƌƌŽƌƐĂŶŝŶĚĞdž͘ĐƟǀĞĨƵŶĚƐ
ŵĂŶĂŐĞLJŽƵƌŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƐŽŶƚŚĞ Charges to look out for include ĂƌĞŵŽƌĞĞdžƉĞŶƐŝǀĞďƵƚƚŚĞƌĞŝƐ
ŐŽŵĂŬĞƐƵƌĞƚŚĞ/^ƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƌ ĂĚŵŝŶŝƐƚƌĂƟŽŶĨĞĞƐ͕ƚƌĂĚŝŶŐĨĞĞƐ ƚŚĞƉŽƐƐŝďŝůŝƚLJŽĨƚŚĞŵĂŶĂŐĞƌ
ŚĂƐĂŐŽŽĚŵŽďŝůĞĂƉƉĨŽƌLJŽƵƌ ĂŶĚŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚĐƵƐƚŽĚLJĨĞĞƐ͘ ŽƵƚƉĞƌĨŽƌŵŝŶŐƚŚĞŝŶĚĞdž͘
ƉŚŽŶĞ͘ZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚĂŶĚƚŽŽůƐŵĂLJ ͚WƌŝĐĞŶĞĞĚƐƚŽďĞĐŽŶƐŝĚĞƌĞĚ /ĨLJŽƵĚŽŶ͛ƚǁĂŶƚƚŽƌĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ͕
ĂůƐŽďĞŝŵƉŽƌƚĂŶƚ͕ƉĂƌƟĐƵůĂƌůLJŝĨ ŝŶƌĞůĂƟŽŶƚŽƚŚĞƐĞƌǀŝĐĞůĞǀĞůƐ ĐŚŽŽƐĞĂŶĚŵŽŶŝƚŽƌŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚƐ
LJŽƵ͛ƌĞĂůĞƐƐĐŽŶĮĚĞŶƚŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌ ĂŶĚƌĞǀŝĞǁƐŽĨƚŚĞƉůĂƞŽƌŵƐ LJŽƵƌƐĞůĨ͕ǁŚLJŶŽƚƐĞĞŝĨLJŽƵƌ/^
ŽƌŶĞǁƚŽŝŶǀĞƐƟŶŐĂŶĚǁĂŶƚ LJŽƵ͛ƌĞǀĞƫŶŐĂƐĐŚĞĂƉĞƐƚŵŝŐŚƚ ƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƌŽīĞƌƐƚŚĞŝƌŽǁŶĨƵŶĚƐ
a helping hand. Good research ŶŽƚŶĞĐĞƐƐĂƌŝůLJďĞďĞƐƚ͘dŚĞ ĂƐƚŚĞƐĞĂƌĞƵƐƵĂůůLJƌŝƐŬͲƌĂƚĞĚ͕ƐŽ
ĐĂŶŚĞůƉŐƵŝĚĞĂŶĚŝŶĨŽƌŵ ĨŽĐƵƐƐŚŽƵůĚďĞŽŶǀĂůƵĞĨŽƌ LJŽƵĐĂŶĮŶĚŽŶĞƚŚĂƚŵĂƚĐŚĞƐ
LJŽƵƌŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚĚĞĐŝƐŝŽŶƐĂŶĚ ŵŽŶĞLJ͕͛ƐĂLJƐWƵƌƐůŽǁ͘ LJŽƵƌƌŝƐŬƉƌŽĮůĞ͘;WͿ

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 33


MONEY MATTERS Helping you with personal finance issues

How much are YOU saving


for retirement?
New figures show more people are saving than ever before but the monetary
amount may still be inadequate

L
ast week we were treated ŶĞĂƌĞŶŽƵŐŚƚŽƉƌŽǀŝĚĞĂĚĞĐĞŶƚ
ƚŽĂƐůĞǁŽĨƐƚĂƟƐƟĐƐ ŝŶĐŽŵĞĨŽƌϯϬLJĞĂƌƐŽĨƌĞƟƌĞŵĞŶƚ͘
ĨƌŽŵďŽƚŚƚŚĞKĸĐĞĨŽƌ dŚŝƐǁŝůůĞĚŐĞƵƉǁĂƌĚƐĂƐ
EĂƟŽŶĂů^ƚĂƟƐƟĐƐ;KE^ͿĂŶĚ,D ŵŝŶŝŵƵŵĂƵƚŽͲĞŶƌŽůŵĞŶƚ
ZĞǀĞŶƵĞΘƵƐƚŽŵƐ;,DZͿ͘ ĐŽŶƚƌŝďƵƟŽŶƐĂƌĞĚƵĞƚŽ
dŚĞĮŐƵƌĞƐƉĂŝŶƚĂĨĂƐĐŝŶĂƟŶŐ ƌŝƐĞƚŽϴйďLJϮϬϭϵ;ϰйĨƌŽŵ
ƉŝĐƚƵƌĞŽĨƚŚĞǁĂLJƌĞƟƌĞŵĞŶƚ ƚŚĞĞŵƉůŽLJĞĞ͕ϯйĨƌŽŵƚŚĞ
ŝƐĐŚĂŶŐŝŶŐŝŶƚŚĞh<͕ĂƐǁĞůů ĞŵƉůŽLJĞƌĂŶĚϭйŝŶƚĂdžƌĞůŝĞĨͿ͕
ĂƐƚŚĞĐŚĂůůĞŶŐĞƐĨĂĐĞĚďLJďŽƚŚ ďƵƚĞǀĞŶƚŚŝƐǁŽŶ͛ƚďĞĞŶŽƵŐŚ
ŝŶĚŝǀŝĚƵĂůƐĂŶĚŐŽǀĞƌŶŵĞŶƚƐ͘ ƚŽƉƌŽǀŝĚĞĂŐŽŽĚƌĞƟƌĞŵĞŶƚ
,ĞƌĞĂƌĞŵLJƚŚƌĞĞďŝŐ ŝŶĐŽŵĞĨŽƌŵŽƐƚƉĞŽƉůĞ͘
ƚĂŬĞĂǁĂLJƐĨƌŽŵƚŚĞŽĸĐŝĂů
ŶƵŵďĞƌƐ͗
3 THE COST OF PENSION
TAX RELIEF IS GOING UP

1 MORE PEOPLE ARE SAVING


THAN EVER BEFORE
h<ƐĂǀŝŶŐƐƌĂƚĞƐǁĞƌĞŝŶƚŚĞƉŝƚƐ
dĂdžƌĞůŝĞĨŝŶƚŚĞh<ŝƐŐƌĂŶƚĞĚ
ďĂƐĞĚŽŶLJŽƵƌƚĂdžďĂŶĚŽƌ
͚ŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůƌĂƚĞ͛͘^ŽĂďĂƐŝĐͲƌĂƚĞ
ŝŶƚŚĞĂŌĞƌŵĂƚŚŽĨƚŚĞϮϬϬϳͬϬϴ ƚĂdžƉĂLJĞƌŐĞƚƐϮϬйƚĂdžƌĞůŝĞĨ͕
ĮŶĂŶĐŝĂůĐƌĂƐŚ͘/ŶϮϬϭϭͬϭϮϱ͘ϯŵ ŚŝŐŚĞƌͲƌĂƚĞϰϬйĂŶĚĂĚĚŝƟŽŶĂůͲ
ƉĞŽƉůĞǁĞƌĞƐĂǀŝŶŐƚŚƌŽƵŐŚ ƌĂƚĞϰϱй͘
ƉĞƌƐŽŶĂůƉĞŶƐŝŽŶƐ͕ƚŚĞůŽǁĞƐƚ ĞdžĐůƵĚĞĚĨƌŽŵĂƵƚŽͲĞŶƌŽůŵĞŶƚ͕ tŝƚŚĚƌĂǁĂůƐĂƌĞƚĂdžĞĚĂƚLJŽƵƌ
ĮŐƵƌĞŽŶƌĞĐŽƌĚ͘ ƚŚĞƌĞŝƐŶŽĚŽƵďƟŶŐƚŚĞ ŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůƌĂƚĞ͕ďƵƚƉĞŽƉůĞƚĞŶĚƚŽ
Fast forward to the data for ŝŵƉĂĐƚƚŚĞĐŚĂŶŐĞƐŚĂǀĞŚĂĚŝŶ ƉĂLJůĞƐƐƚĂdžŽŶƚŚĞǁĂLJŽƵƚƚŚĂŶ
ϮϬϭϱͬϭϲƉƵďůŝƐŚĞĚůĂƐƚǁĞĞŬĂŶĚ ƌĞǀĞƌƐŝŶŐƚŚĞƉŽƐƚͲĐƌĂƐŚĚĞĐůŝŶĞ ƚŚĞǁĂLJŝŶďĞĐĂƵƐĞƚŚĞŝƌŝŶĐŽŵĞ
ƉĞŶƐŝŽŶƐĐŚĞŵĞŵĞŵďĞƌƐŚŝƉ ŝŶƉĞŶƐŝŽŶƐĐŚĞŵĞŵĞŵďĞƌƐŚŝƉ͘ ŶĞĞĚƐŝŶƌĞƟƌĞŵĞŶƚĂƌĞůŽǁĞƌ͘
ŚĂƐũƵŵƉĞĚďLJĂŵĂƐƐŝǀĞϳϬй tŝƚŚŵŽƌĞƉĞŽƉůĞƐĂǀŝŶŐŝŶ
ƚŽϵŵ͘dŚĂƚ͛Ɛϯ͘ϳŵĞdžƚƌĂƉĞŽƉůĞ
ƐĂǀŝŶŐĨŽƌƌĞƟƌĞŵĞŶƚ͘
dŚĞŵĂŝŶĚƌŝǀĞƌŝƐĂƵƚŽŵĂƟĐ
2 PEOPLE AREN’T
SAVING ENOUGH
ĐĐŽƌĚŝŶŐƚŽƚŚĞKE^͕ĂǀĞƌĂŐĞ
ƉĞŶƐŝŽŶƐ͕ƚŚĞŶĞƚƌĞƐƵůƚŝƐĂƌŝƐĞ
ŝŶƚŚĞĂŵŽƵŶƚƚŚĞ'ŽǀĞƌŶŵĞŶƚ
ƐƉĞŶĚƐŽŶƚĂdžƌĞůŝĞĨƚŽĂůŵŽƐƚ
ĞŶƌŽůŵĞŶƚ͕ĂƌĞĨŽƌŵƉƌŽŐƌĂŵŵĞ ĐŽŶƚƌŝďƵƟŽŶƐ;ŵĞŵďĞƌƐƉůƵƐ άϮϱďŶŝŶϮϬϭϲͬϭϳ͘
ůĂƵŶĐŚĞĚŝŶϮϬϭϮƚŚĂƚǁŝůů ĞŵƉůŽLJĞĞƐͿŝŶƚŽŽĐĐƵƉĂƟŽŶĂů ^ƉĞĐƵůĂƟŽŶŚĂƐĂůƌĞĂĚLJ
ĞǀĞŶƚƵĂůůLJŵĞĂŶĂůůĞŵƉůŽLJĞƌƐ ƉĞŶƐŝŽŶƐĐŚĞŵĞƐƐƚĂŶĚĂƚũƵƐƚ ƐƚĂƌƚĞĚƐƵŐŐĞƐƟŶŐƉĞŶƐŝŽŶƚĂdž
ŚĂǀĞƚŽƉƵƚǁŽƌŬĞƌƐĂŐĞĚϮϮ ϰ͘ϮйŽĨƉĞŶƐŝŽŶĂďůĞƐĂůĂƌLJ͘ ƌĞůŝĞĨĐŽƵůĚďĞĐƵƚďĂĐŬŝŶƚŚĞ
ŽƌŽǀĞƌŝŶƚŽĂƉĞŶƐŝŽŶƐĐŚĞŵĞ͘ /ƚ͛ƐƉĂƌƟĐƵůĂƌůLJǁŽƌƌLJŝŶŐƚŚĂƚ ƵĚŐĞƚůĂƚĞƌƚŚŝƐLJĞĂƌ͘dŚƵƐŝĨLJŽƵ
WĞŽƉůĞĂƌĞĨƌĞĞƚŽŽƉƚŽƵƚŽĨ ŵĞŵďĞƌĐŽŶƚƌŝďƵƟŽŶƐĚƌŽƉƉĞĚ ǁĞƌĞĂůƌĞĂĚLJƉůĂŶŶŝŶŐƚŽƉĂLJŝŶƚŽ
ƚŚĞŝƌǁŽƌŬƉůĂĐĞƐĐŚĞŵĞďƵƚ ĨƌŽŵϭ͘ϱйŝŶϮϬϭϱƚŽϭйŝŶϮϬϭϲ͘ LJŽƵƌƉĞŶƐŝŽŶŝŶƚŚĞĐƵƌƌĞŶƚƚĂdž
ƐŽĨĂƌŵŽƐƚ;ĂƌŽƵŶĚŶŝŶĞŝŶϭϬͿ ǀĞŶǁŝƚŚϰϬLJĞĂƌƐŽĨƐĂǀŝŶŐƐ LJĞĂƌ͕ŝƚŵĂLJďĞǁŽƌƚŚĚŽŝŶŐƐŽ
ŚĂǀĞŶ͛ƚĚŽŶĞƐŽ͘ ŽŶĂŶĂǀĞƌĂŐĞh<ƐĂůĂƌLJƚŚĂƚŝƐ ďĞĨŽƌĞƚŚĞƵĚŐĞƚ͘
tŚŝůĞƐŽŵĞǁŽƌŬĞƌƐ͕ ŐŽŝŶŐƚŽŐĞƚLJŽƵĂƉĞŶƐŝŽŶƉŽƚ
ŝŶĐůƵĚŝŶŐůŽǁͲĞĂƌŶĞƌƐĂŶĚƚŚĞ ŽĨĂƌŽƵŶĚάϭϮϱ͕ϬϬϬ͘dŚĂƚ͛ƐĂ dŽŵ^ĞůďLJ͕
ƐĞůĨͲĞŵƉůŽLJĞĚ͕ĂƌĞĐƵƌƌĞŶƚůLJ ŚĞĂůƚŚLJĂŵŽƵŶƚďƵƚŶŽǁŚĞƌĞ ^ĞŶŝŽƌŶĂůLJƐƚ͕:Ğůů

34 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


The opportunity
of a Lifetime (ISA)

Aged 18-39? Save £4,000 each year,


and the government will give you
£1,000 – for free – to spend on your
first home, or retirement.

Open an account today Up to


£32,000
youinvest.co.uk in free
government
Low-cost SIPPs, ISAs, funds & shares
bonuses

Capital at risk. We don’t offer advice so if you’re unsure please consult a financial adviser. Tax
rules may change. Paying into a Lifetime ISA may affect employer pension contributions and
your future entitlement to means tested benefits. You will incur a 25% government withdrawal
charge on any money you withdraw before age 60 unless you are using it to buy your first
home, therefore you may get back less than you paid in.

AJ Bell includes AJ Bell Holdings Limited and its wholly owned subsidiaries. AJ Bell Management Limited and AJ Bell Securities Limited are authorised and
regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. All companies are registered in England and Wales at 4 Exchange Quay, Salford Quays, Manchester M5 3EE
LARGER COMPANIES

The power of
Ted Baker’s brand
Global growth potential and retail resilience are reasons to invest

A recent rebound at Ted Baker (TED) could


mark the start of a sustained rally for shares
in the UK-based premium lifestyle brand.
A buyer with a £31 price target, Liberum says
its growth forecasts are prudently pitched and we
believe the shares are worth buying at £26.77 as
half year results (10 Oct) could spark upgrades.
dĞĚĂŬĞƌŝƐĂƋƵŝŶƚĞƐƐĞŶƟĂůůLJƌŝƟƐŚďƌĂŶĚǁŝƚŚ
ĂƋƵŝƌŬLJĨĂƐŚŝŽŶŽīĞƌŝŶŐ͕ĨĂŵĞĚĨŽƌŝƚƐƵŶǁĂǀĞƌŝŶŐ ƌĞƐƉĞĐƟǀĞůLJ͕ƚŚĞƌŝƐŬŽĨďĞĐŽŵŝŶŐŽǀĞƌͲƐƉĂĐĞĚ
ĂƩĞŶƟŽŶƚŽĚĞƚĂŝůĂŶĚƋƵĂůŝƚLJ͘/ƚƐƌĂŶŐĞƐƉĂŶƐ is limited.
women’s and men’s clothing and accessories. ͚DŽƌĞŽǀĞƌĐŝƌĐĂϲϬйŽĨd͛ƐĞƐƚĂƚĞŝƐƌƵŶ
Global brand sales have more than tripled to ƚŚƌŽƵŐŚĐŽŶĐĞƐƐŝŽŶƐ͕ĂŶĚƚŚŝƐƉƌŽǀŝĚĞƐƉƌŽĮƚĂŶĚ
άϭ͘ϭďŶƉůƵƐƐŝŶĐĞϮϬϬϵ͕ĚĞŵŽŶƐƚƌĂƟŶŐdĞĚĂŬĞƌ ůŽƐƐƉƌŽƚĞĐƟŽŶƚŚƌŽƵŐŚƚƵƌŶŽǀĞƌͲďĂƐĞĚƌĞŶƚƐ͕ŚĂƐ
is a leading global premium lifestyle brand rather lower capital requirements, and provides targeted
than a mere retailer. ĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌĞdžƉŽƐƵƌĞ͛͘
dŚĞďƌŽŬĞƌ͛ƐƉƌŝĐĞƚĂƌŐĞƚŝŵƉůŝĞƐϭϱ͘ϴйŶĞĂƌͲ
GLOBAL GROWTH SCOPE term upside. For the year to January 2018
Liberum likes Ted’s scope for growth in the >ŝďĞƌƵŵĨŽƌĞĐĂƐƚƐŝŵƉƌŽǀĞĚƉƌĞͲƚĂdžƉƌŽĮƚŽĨ
ŽƵƚƉĞƌĨŽƌŵŝŶŐĂīŽƌĚĂďůĞůƵdžƵƌLJƐĞŐŵĞŶƚƐŽĨ άϳϯ͘ϱŵ;ϮϬϭϳ͗άϲϱ͘ϴŵͿ͕ƌŝƐŝŶŐƚŽάϴϯ͘ϯŵĂŶĚ
ƚŚĞŐůŽďĂůĐůŽƚŚŝŶŐŵĂƌŬĞƚ͘/ƚĞdžƉůĂŝŶƐƚŚĂƚƚŚĞ άϵϰ͘ϰŵŝŶϮϬϭϵĂŶĚϮϬϮϬƌĞƐƉĞĐƟǀĞůLJ͘
ƌĞƚĂŝůŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJŝƐƐĞĞŝŶŐĂƉŽůĂƌŝƐĂƟŽŶŽĨŵĂƌŬĞƚƐ >ŝďĞƌƵŵĂůƐŽĞdžƉůĂŝŶƐ͚ƚŚĞŐƌŽƵƉŚĂƐƉĂƐƐĞĚ
ďĞƚǁĞĞŶďƌĂŶĚƐǁŝƚŚĂƐƚƌŽŶŐ͕ĚŝƐƟŶĐƚŵĂƌŬĞƚ ƚŚĞƉĞĂŬŽĨŝƚƐŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚĐLJĐůĞǁŝƚŚ/dƐLJƐƚĞŵƐ
ƉŽƐŝƟŽŶƐƵĐŚĂƐdĞĚĂŬĞƌĂŶĚǀĂůƵĞͲůĞĚƉůĂLJĞƌƐ͕ ĂŶĚůŽŐŝƐƟĐƐĂůůŵĂƚĞƌŝĂůůLJƵƉŐƌĂĚĞĚŝŶƚŚĞůĂƐƚ
ǁŝƚŚůĞƐƐĚĞĮŶĞĚďƌĂŶĚƐďĞŝŶŐůĞŌŽƵƚŝŶƚŚĞĐŽůĚ͘ ĮǀĞLJĞĂƌƐ͕ƌĞƐƵůƟŶŐŝŶĂďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐƉƌŝŵĞĚĨŽƌƚŚĞ
Ted is successfully using e-commerce to enter ĨƵƚƵƌĞ͘dĞĚĂŬĞƌŚĂƐƌĞĂĐŚĞĚĂŶŝŶŇĞĐƟŽŶƉŽŝŶƚ
new markets; it has taken ownership of the bulk ǁŚĞƌĞĐƵŵƵůĂƟǀĞĨƌĞĞĐĂƐŚŇŽǁŽĨάϭϭϱŵǁŝůůďĞ
ŽĨŝƚƐǁŚŽůĞƐĂůĞƌĞůĂƟŽŶƐŚŝƉƐ͖ĂŶĚŝƚďŽĂƐƚƐĂ ŐĞŶĞƌĂƚĞĚŽǀĞƌƚŚĞŶĞdžƚƚŚƌĞĞLJĞĂƌƐǀĞƌƐƵƐάϳϭŵ
ƉƌŽĮƚĂďůĞĂŶĚŐƌŽǁŝŶŐůŝĐĞŶĐĞďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ͘džĐŝƟŶŐůLJ͕ generated over the last ten.’
Ted Baker has barely scratched the surface of its ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƉƌŽŐƌĞƐƐŝŽŶƚŽϱϴ͘ϲƉ;ϮϬϭϳ͗ϱϯ͘ϲƉͿŝƐ
ŝŶƚĞƌŶĂƟŽŶĂůŐƌŽǁƚŚŽƉƉŽƌƚƵŶŝƚLJ͘ on the cards this year, a payment covered more
than twice by forecast earnings of 125p. The
RETAIL RESILIENCE shareholder reward is set to build to 66.4p and
While the outlook for UK retail is challenging, the 75.3p over the following years.
£1.17bn cap’s
TED BAKER
model is more FTSE ALL SHARE SHARES SAYS: È
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream

3100
defensive 3000
We’re bullish on Ted Baker at £26.77 for the global
than peers. 2900 growth potential of the brand and the high margins
As Liberum 2800 and strong cash flows it generates. Looming half
2700
ĞdžƉůĂŝŶƐ͚͗tŝƚŚ 2600 year results (10 Oct) could surprise on the upside
only 32 UK and 2500 and spark earnings upgrades. (JC)
ĨŽƵƌƵƌŽƉĞĂŶ 2400
2300
Rebased to first
own stores, 2016 2017 BROKER SAYS: 9 1 1

36 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


SMALLER COMPANIES

Shares in Trinity could


‘triple in value’ says broker
Production, profit and cash flow are heading in the right direction

T ight control on costs and increasing


ƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶĐŽƵůĚŝŵƉƌŽǀĞ
ƉƌŽĮƚĂďŝůŝƚLJĂŶĚĐĂƐŚŇŽǁĂƚ
Trinidad oil producer dƌŝŶŝƚLJdžƉůŽƌĂƟŽŶ
ΘWƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶ;dZ/E͗/DͿ and provide a TARGETING
ƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶǁĞůůƐŽŶƚŚĞŽŶƐŚŽƌĞ
ƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͘džĞĐƵƟǀĞĐŚĂŝƌŵĂŶƌƵĐĞ
ŝŶŐǁĂůůƚĞůůƐShares the company may
ĚƌŝůůŽŶŝƚƐŽīƐŚŽƌĞdƌŝŶƚĞƐĮĞůĚŝŶϮϬϭϴ͘
At current oil prices of around $56 per
catalyst for the share price. PRODUCTION OF barrel Trinity should be able to deliver
Trinity completed a $15m 3,000 ĚĞĐĞŶƚƉƌŽĮƚĂƐƚŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJďĞůŝĞǀĞƐ
restructuring earlier this year which has BARRELS OF OIL it can make money above an oil price of
reduced net debt from $34.3m to just PER DAY $32.8 per barrel.
$1.2m. The company’s cash balance has
ĂůƐŽŝŵƉƌŽǀĞĚďLJϭϮϱйƚŽΨϭϭ͘ϱŵĂƐŽĨ DdhZK/>E'^/Eh^dZz
30 June. Trinidad has a mature oil and gas
The share price enjoyed a rally earlier ŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJ͘dŚĞĮƌƐƚŽŝůĚĞƉŽƐŝƚƐǁĞƌĞ
in 2017 but has stalled over the past ĚŝƐĐŽǀĞƌĞĚŝŶϭϴϲϲĂŶĚƚŚĞĮƌƐƚǁĞůů
ƐŝdžŵŽŶƚŚƐ͘tĞƚŚŝŶŬŶŽǁŝƐĂŐŽŽĚƟŵĞƚŽďƵLJ ǁĂƐĚƌŝůůĞĚŝŶϭϴϲϳǁŝƚŚĐŽŶƟŶƵŽƵƐƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶ
ĂƐdƌŝŶŝƚLJŝƐƚĂƌŐĞƟŶŐƚŚĞ͚ůŽǁŚĂŶŐŝŶŐĨƌƵŝƚ͛ŝŶŝƚƐ beginning as early as 1908.
ƉŽƌƞŽůŝŽ͕ĂĐĐŽƌĚŝŶŐƚŽďƌŽŬĞƌĂŶƚŽƌ&ŝƚnjŐĞƌĂůĚ͘ Trinity is a material player in this industry –
ŶŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞŝŶŽƉĞƌĂƟŶŐĂĐƟǀŝƟĞƐĂĐƌŽƐƐŝƚƐ ĂĐĐŽƵŶƟŶŐĨŽƌŵŽƌĞƚŚĂŶϯйŽĨƚŚĞŝƐůĂŶĚ͛ƐƚŽƚĂůŽŝů
core assets during July and August has restored ƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶ͘
ƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶůĞǀĞůƐƚŽϮ͕ϲϬϬďĂƌƌĞůƐŽĨŽŝůƉĞƌĚĂLJ ŝŶŐǁĂůůƐĂLJƐĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚƚŚĞƌĞŐƵůĂƚŽƌLJƐLJƐƚĞŵĐĂŶ
(bopd). That puts it on track to hit year-end ƚĂŬĞƟŵĞƚŽŶĂǀŝŐĂƚĞ͕͚ŝƚŝƐĂůƐŽǀĞƌLJƉƌŽĐĞƐƐͲĚƌŝǀĞŶ͕
guidance of between 2,600 and 2,800 bopd and a so you know where you stand’.
12-month target of 3,000 bopd. The island has plenty of infrastructure including
The target should mainly be achieved by low-cost roads and equipment. The sub-surface is also very
ǁŽƌŬŽŶĞdžŝƐƟŶŐǁĞůůƐĂŶĚĚƌŝůůŝŶŐƐŽŵĞĂĚĚŝƟŽŶĂů well understood because there has been so much
ĚƌŝůůŝŶŐ͘dŚŝƐƌĞĚƵĐĞƐƚŚĞƌŝƐŬŽĨƉƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶǁĞůůƐ
underperforming.
ŝŶŐǁĂůůŵĂLJĂůƌĞĂĚLJďĞĨĂŵŝůŝĂƌƚŽŝŶǀĞƐƚŽƌƐŝŶ
the UK oil and gas sector. He founded North Sea-
ĨŽĐƵƐĞĚsĞŶƚƵƌĞWƌŽĚƵĐƟŽŶŝŶϭϵϵϳ͘dŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ
ǁĂƐŇŽĂƚĞĚŽŶƚŚĞƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚĂƚϭϳϬƉŝŶϮϬϬϮ
ĂŶĚƐƵďƐĞƋƵĞŶƚůLJĂĐƋƵŝƌĞĚďLJĞŶƚƌŝĐĂŝŶƵŐƵƐƚ
ϮϬϬϵĨŽƌϴϰϱƉƉĞƌƐŚĂƌĞ͘ŝŶŐǁĂůůŝŶƐŝƐƚƐŚŝƐĐƵƌƌĞŶƚ
ĐŽŵƉĂŶLJŝƐ͚ŶŽƚĂŶŝĚĞĂ͖ŝƚŝƐĂǁĞůůͲĞƐƚĂďůŝƐŚĞĚ
ƉƌŽĮƚĂďůĞďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ͛͘

SHARES SAYS: È
Buy at 12.35p. Cantor has a price target of 37p,
implying you could triple your money. (TS)

BROKER SAYS: 1 0 0

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 37


SMALLER COMPANIES

S&U has smart approach


to motor finance
Small cap stock looks attractive despite market worries about its industry

D ŽƚŽƌĮŶĂŶĐĞƐƉĞĐŝĂůŝƐƚ^Θh;^h^ͿŽīĞƌƐĂ

ĂŶĂƩƌĂĐƟǀĞǀĂůƵĂƟŽŶ͘ZĞƐƚƌŝĐƟŽŶƐŽǀĞƌ
the type of borrower it accepts as a customer and
&ŝŶĂŶĐĞĚŽĞƐŶŽƚŽīĞƌWW͕ǁŝƚŚĂůůŽĨŝƚƐůŽĂŶƐ
ĚĞĐĞŶƚϱйƉƌŽƐƉĞĐƟǀĞLJŝĞůĚĂŶĚƚƌĂĚĞƐĂƚ made on a hire purchase basis with full repayment
made over the life of the loan thereby meaning
that there is no residual risk to S&U at the end of
ƚŚĞƚLJƉĞƐŽĨĮŶĂŶĐĞŝƚŽīĞƌƐŵĞĂŶŝƚŝƐůĞƐƐĞdžƉŽƐĞĚ the deal.
to the risks associated with the current credit boom ͚ůŽƐƐǁŽƵůĚƚŚĞƌĞĨŽƌĞŽŶůLJďĞŝŶĐƵƌƌĞĚƚŽƚŚĞ
in the car market, in our view. ĞdžƚĞŶƚƚŚĂƚĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌƐǁĞƌĞƚŽĚĞĨĂƵůƚ͕ǁŝƚŚƚŚĞ
The company’s recently released results for ůĂƩĞƌƌĞƋƵŝƌŝŶŐĂƐŚĂƌƉƌŝƐĞŝŶƵŶĞŵƉůŽLJŵĞŶƚŝŶ
ƚŚĞƐŝdžŵŽŶƚŚƐƚŽϯϭ:ƵůLJŵĂŬĞĨŽƌĞŶĐŽƵƌĂŐŝŶŐ our view, which is not currently our central case.’
ƌĞĂĚŝŶŐ͘^Θh͛ƐƉƌĞͲƚĂdžƉƌŽĮƚƌĞĂĐŚĞĚάϭϰ͘ϯŵ͕ WWŝŶǀŽůǀĞƐĂĐƵƐƚŽŵĞƌƉĂLJŝŶŐĂůŽǁĞƌŵŽŶƚŚůLJ
ĂϮϬйŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞLJĞĂƌͲŽŶͲLJĞĂƌ͘/ƚƐŵŽƚŽƌĮŶĂŶĐĞ amount during the contract period, typically
ďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐĞŶũŽLJĞĚŝƚƐϭϳƚŚĐŽŶƐĞĐƵƟǀĞLJĞĂƌŽĨ ďĞƚǁĞĞŶϮϰĂŶĚϰϴŵŽŶƚŚƐ͕ůĞĂǀŝŶŐĂĮŶĂů͚ďĂůůŽŽŶ
ŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚƉƌŽĮƚ͘ payment’ at the end of the agreement. At this
ŚĂŝƌŵĂŶŶƚŚŽŶLJŽŽŵďĞƐƐĂLJƐŽĨ point they either buy the car outright or
ĂůůůŽĂŶĂƉƉůŝĐĂƟŽŶƐ͕ϳϬйĂƌĞĚĞĐůŝŶĞĚ
The ƐǁŝƚĐŚƚŚĞŝƌWWĂŐƌĞĞŵĞŶƚƚŽĂŶĞǁĐĂƌ͘
straight away due to S&U’s strict company is Advantage Finance’s loans are not
acceptance criteria. Of the remaining ‘significantly WWƐĂŶĚĂƌĞŵĂĚĞŽŶƚŚĞďĂƐŝƐƚŚĂƚĨƵůů
ϯϬй͕ŽŶůLJϯйǁŝůůďĞŐŝǀĞŶĮŶĂŶĐĞ͘ repayment will be made over the loan
dŚĞďĞŶĞĮƚŽĨƚŚŝƐƌŽďƵƐƚƵŶĚĞƌǁƌŝƟŶŐ undervalued’ period, usually up to four years.
ĂƉƉƌŽĂĐŚŝƐƌĞŇĞĐƚĞĚŝŶƚŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ͛Ɛ KŶĞƉŽƚĞŶƟĂůůŽŶŐͲƚĞƌŵƌŝƐŬĨŽƌƚŚĞ
strong track record. ďƵƐŝŶĞƐƐŝƐƚŚĞĞǀŽůƵƟŽŶŽĨƚŚĞĞůĞĐƚƌŝĐ
ǀĞŚŝĐůĞŝŶĚƵƐƚƌLJ͘/ĨĐŽŶǀĞŶƟŽŶĂůĐŽŵďƵƐƟŽŶĞŶŐŝŶĞ
AGGRESSIVE LENDING PRACTICES ELSEWHERE cars are replaced by hybrids and electrics which
There are well founded concerns about aggressive need less maintenance, there may be lower vehicle
ůĞŶĚŝŶŐƉƌĂĐƟĐĞƐŝŶĐĂƌĮŶĂŶĐŝŶŐ͕ĂůƚŚŽƵŐŚƚŚĞƐĞ ƚƵƌŶŽǀĞƌĂŶĚŚĞŶĐĞůĞƐƐĚĞŵĂŶĚĨŽƌĐĂƌĮŶĂŶĐĞ͘
tend to be at the prime end of the market. Ben Thefault, analyst at Arden Partners, says
'ĂƌLJ'ƌĞĞŶǁŽŽĚ͕ĂŶĂŶĂůLJƐƚĂƚ^ŚŽƌĞĂƉŝƚĂů͕ ƚŚĞĐŽŵƉĂŶLJŝƐ͚ƐŝŐŶŝĮĐĂŶƚůLJƵŶĚĞƌǀĂůƵĞĚ͛ĂƐŝƚŝƐ
ƐĂLJƐŵĂŶƵĨĂĐƚƵƌĞƌƐ͛ĮŶĂŶĐĞĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐĐŽŶƟŶƵĞ ǁĞŝŐŚĞĚĚŽǁŶďLJƐĞĐƚŽƌƐĞŶƟŵĞŶƚ͘
ƚŽŽīĞƌĐŚĞĂƉƉĞƌƐŽŶĂůĐŽŶƚƌĂĐƚƉůĂŶ;WWͿĚĞĂůƐŝŶ Using Thefault’s forecasts, at £20.75 S&U is
order to help sell new cars. ƚƌĂĚŝŶŐŽŶϭϬ͘ϯƟŵĞƐ:ĂŶƵĂƌLJϮϬϭϴĞĂƌŶŝŶŐƐƉĞƌ
,ĞĂĚĚƐ͚͗LJĐŽŶƚƌĂƐƚ͕;^ΘhͲŽǁŶĞĚͿĚǀĂŶƚĂŐĞ ƐŚĂƌĞŽĨϮϬϭ͘ϱƉ͘;^Ϳ

38 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


NOW IS THE TIME TO FOCUS ON YOUR INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
Looking for new companies to invest in? Come and join Shares and AJ Bell Media at their evening event in London on
Thursday 19 October 2017 and meet directors from Avacta, Custodian REIT, Non-Standard Finance and Savannah Resources.
Sponsored by

London – Thursday 19 Oct 2017

Companies presenting

Avacta (AVCT) Alastair Smith, CEO


Avacta’s focus is on its proprietary Affimer® platform technology, a novel engineered alternative to antibodies, that
has wide application in diagnostics, therapeutics and research.
Antibodies dominate markets worth more than $75bn despite their shortcomings. Affimer technology, based on a
small, robust protein, can be quickly generated to bind with high specificity and affinity to a wide range of targets,
addressing many of the limitations of antibodies.

Custodian REIT (CREI) Richard Shepherd-Cross, MD


Custodian REIT plc is a UK real estate investment trust, which listed on the main market of the London Stock
Exchange on 26 March 2014. Its portfolio comprises properties predominantly let to institutional grade tenants on
long leases throughout the UK and is characterised by properties with individual property values of less than £10
million at acquisition.

Non-Standard Finance (NSF) Peter Reynolds, Director IR & Communications


NSF’s businesses offer credit to the c.10 million UK adults not served by mainstream financial services businesses.
Focused on branch-based lending, home credit and guaranteed loans, the Group’s goal is to deliver excellent customer
outcomes and attractive returns for shareholders.

Savannah Resources (SAV) David Archer, CEO


Savannah Resources Plc is a multi-commodity development company focused on building cash generative and
profitable mining operations. The Company operates a strategic portfolio of assets, spanning near term production
potential and longer term development opportunities in Oman, Mozambique, Portugal and Finland.

Follow this link www.sharesmagazine.co.uk/events for full details.

REGISTER FOR YOUR COMPLIMENTARY TICKET TODAY

During the event and afterwards over drinks, investors Event details
will have the chance to: Location: Novotel Tower Bridge,
London EC3N 2NR

Discover new investment opportunities Registrations 18:00


Presentations to start at 18:30
Complimentary drinks and buffet available after the
presentations
Get to know the companies better
Contact

Chris Williams, Spotlight Manager


Talk with the company directors chris.williams@sharesmagazine.co.uk
0207 378 4402

Register free now


www.sharesmagazine.co.uk/events
WEEK AHEAD

FRIDAY 6 OCTOBER TED BAKER TED TRADING STATEMENTS


ECONOMICS REDSTONECONNECT REDS HAYS HAS
UK TRADING STATEMENTS AGMS
HALIFAX HOUSE PRICE INDEX EASYHOTEL EZH
SKY SKY
US MARSTON’S MARS
NON-FARM PAYROLL EX-DIVIDEND
AGMS
AGMS BEGBIES TRAYNOR BEG 1.6P
MORTICE MORT
SAN LEON ENERGY SLE CURTIS BANKS CBP 1.5P
SCANCELL SCLP
CITY OF LONDON INVESTMENT CLIG 17P
ABBEY ABBY THE DIVERSE INCOME TRUST DIVI CENTRICA CNA 3.6P
MONDAY 9 OCTOBER WEDNESDAY 11 OCTOBER CPL RESOURCES CPS €0.06
FINALS FINALS CHARLES TAYLOR CTR 3.31P
CAP-XX CPX PROACTIS PHD DAEJAN DJAN 63P
PLANT IMPACT PIM F&C PRIVATE
INTERIMS
YOUGOV YOU EQUITY TRUST FPEO 6.92P
VERTU MOTORS VTU KERRY GROUP KYGA €0.19
TRADING STATEMENTS
CENTAMIN CEY TRADING STATEMENTS MORGAN SINDALL MGNS 16P
TRINITY MIRROR TNI COUNTRYSIDE PROPERTIES CSP ONESAVINGS BANK OSB 3.5P
XP POWER XPP MONDI MNDI PHOTO-ME
AGMS PAGEGROUP PAGE INTERNATIONAL PHTM 3.94P
QUIZ QUIZ SPIRAX-SARCO SPX 25.5P
VIETNAM INFRASTRUCTURE VNIL
AGMS STAFFLINE STAF 11P
TUESDAY 10 OCTOBER HARGREAVES LANSDOWN HL. SPECTRIS SXS 19P
FINALS TP ICAP TCAP 5.6P
VOLUTION GROUP FAN THURSDAY 12 OCTOBER
FINALS
FRIDAY 13 OCTOBER
INTERIMS TRADING STATEMENT
1SPATIAL SPA WH SMITH SMWH PROVIDENT FINANCIAL PFG
LIDCO LID INTERIMS
BOOKER BOOK Click here for complete diary
ALL EYES WILL BE ON Marston’s N BROWN BWNG www.sharesmagazine.co.uk/market-diary
(MARS) when it updates on
trading on 10 October. It hasn’t TWO OF THE largest recruitment
commented on the strength of firms on the market, PageGroup IT HAS BEEN one of the worst
its business since July when it (PAGE) and Hays (HAS), are set to ever years for doorstep lender
said its sales growth was ahead inform investors on how the jobs Provident Financial (PFG). Several
of the market. market is looking. profit warnings resulted in the
Since that announcement PageGroup will issue its firm’s valuation plummeting
its rival Greene King (GNK) trading update on 11 October and and the loss of its place in the
complained about having a Hays releases its update on the prestigious FTSE 100 index.
tough time. Greene King issued a following day. The next big test for the share
warning on 8 September saying Given that both firms have large price is just around the corner
sales had dropped, costs were international footprints, they and shareholders will hope it isn’t
going up and weak consumer should not be overly damaged another horror show. Provident
confidence was a major concern. by any potential weakness in the will issue a trading update on
Investors will want to know how UK economy. Friday 13 October.
Marston’s is surviving against
that troubling backdrop.

40 | SHARES | 05 October 2017


INDEX

Intelligent Investments In minutes


Open an account today youinvest.co.uk SIPPs, ISAs, funds & shares

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you originally invested. We don’t offer advice about the suitability of our products or any investments
held within them, if you require financial advice you should consult a suitably qualified financial adviser. Tax treatment depends on your individual circumstances and rules may change.

AJ Bell includes AJ Bell Holdings Limited and its wholly owned subsidiaries. AJ Bell Management Limited and AJ Bell Securities Limited are authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
All companies are registered in England and Wales at 4 Exchange Quay, Salford Quays, Manchester M5 3EE

KEY
• Main Market
• AIM
• Fund
• Investment Trust

AB Dynamics 23 Civitas Social Housing 7 Imperial Brands (IMB) 12 Phoenix Spree 31


(ABDP:AIM)  (CSH)  Independent 31 Deutschland (PSDL)
Aberdeen Frontier 30 CVS (CVSG:AIM) 9 Investment Trust (IIT) Provident Financial 40
Markets (AFMC) Debenhams (DEB)  14 International 6 (PFG)
AEW UK REIT (AEWU)  7 Draper Esprit 25 Consolidated Airlines Purplebricks 9
Allergy Therapeutics 11 (GROW:AIM) (IAG) (PURP:AIM)
(AGY:AIM) EasyJet (EZJ) 6, 20 ITM Power (ITM:AIM)  23 Quiz (QUIZ:AIM) 14
ASOS (ASC:AIM) 9 F&C Commercial 30 Johnson Matthey 24 Regional REIT (RGL)  31
Bacanora Minerals 26 Property Trust (FCPT)  (JMAT) Ricardo (RCDO) 22
(BCN:AIM) FDM (FDM) 17 Just Eat (JE.) 9 Rightmove (RMV) 9
Baillie Gifford 8 Fidelity 8 Royal Dutch Shell 24
Japanese Institutional Japan (RDSB)
(GB0006011133)  (GB0003371399)  Ryanair (RYA) 6
BHP Billiton (BLT) 26 First State Japan 8 S&U (SUS) 38
BlackRock Latin 30 Focus Fund
Scottish Mortgage 22, 31
American (BRLA) (GB00BWNGX432)
(SMT)
BlackRock 31 GKN (GKN) 22
Serco (SRP) 8
Throgmorton Trust Glencore (GLEN) 25
(THRG)  Marks & Spencer 14 Ted Baker (TED)  36
Greencore (GNC)  10 (MKS)
Bonmarche (BON) 14 Trinity Exploration & 37
Greene King (GNK) 40 Marston’s (MARS)  40 Production (TRIN:AIM) 
GYG (GYG:AIM) 9 Mercantile (MRC) 31 Vedanta Resources 26
Hays (HAS) 40 MJ Gleeson (GLE) 7 (VED)
Henderson Diversified 31 National Grid (NG.) 21 VPC Specialty 31
Income Trust (HDIV)  Lending Investments
Nexus Infrastructure 25
Horizonte Minerals 26 (VSL)
(NEXS:AIM) 
(HZM:AIM)  Wizz Air (WIZZ) 6
PageGroup (PAGE)  40
Hotel Chocolat 8 Woodford Patient 31
Perpetual Income & 30
BooHoo.com 9, 14 (CHOC:AIM) Capital Trust (WPCT)
Growth Investment
(BOO:AIM) Ideagen (IDEA:AIM) 8 XP Power (XPP) 12
Trust (PLI) 
City of London (CTY)  31 ZPG (ZPG) 9

05 October 2017 | SHARES | 41

You might also like