Pre-class work for CS51 Session 13.

Consideration: P(Success)=0.9 | P(Failure)=0.1

1. Expected value:

1. Laser = (0.9)*5 + (0.1)*0= 4.5

2. Missiles = (0.9)*(4.5) + (0.1)*2.5=4.05+0.25=4.3

In this scenario, we would choose laser because it has the greatest expected

value (4.5 > 4.3)

2. Maximin: Best worse-case scenario (if you are pessimistic)

1. Choose Missile (2.5 > 0)

3. Maximax: Best case scenario (if you are optimistic)

1. Choose Laser (5 > 4.5)