Master Plan Report: V. C. Bird International Airport

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V. C.

Bird
International Airport
Master Plan

Master Plan Report

Prepared for:

Antigua and Barbuda


Millennium Airport Corporation

October 2005

Capability Statement
Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MILLENNIUM AIRPORT CORPORATION

V. C. BIRD INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

MASTER PLAN

MASTER PLAN REPORT

Document Reference: D109233/5

Revision History

Ref Status Date Prepared by Reviewed by Issue

1 Draft 25 October 2005 Rob Rushmer Mike Jackson ABMAC


Peter Farmer
2 Draft 26 October 2005 Rob Rushmer Mike Jackson ABMAC
Peter Farmer

Prepared for: Prepared by:


Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Scott Wilson Kirkpatrick & Co Ltd
Airport Corporation Scott House
Coolidge Basing View
St John’s Basingstoke
Antigua RG21 4JG
WI UK

Tel: + 44 (0)1256 310200


Fax: + 44 (0)1256 310201

www.scottwilson.com

26/10/05 i © Scott Wilson


j:\d109233 - antigua expansion\reports\5 final master plan report\antigua - master plan report v5.doc
Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MILLENNIUM AIRPORT CORPORATION

V. C. BIRD INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

MASTER PLAN

MASTER PLAN REPORT

CONTENTS

Executive Summary 1 2.4.3 Security 10


Review of the Existing Facility 1 2.5. Services and Utilities 10
Forecast of Future Demand 1 2.5.1 Electricity 10
Planning Parameters 2 2.5.2 Water 10
Recommended Master Plan 2 2.5.3 Fuel 10
Passenger Terminal Conceptual Design 2 2.5.4 Catering 11
Financial Analysis 2 3. Traffic Forecasts 12
1. Introduction 6 3.1. Introduction 12
1.1. Acknowledgements 6 3.2. Review of Existing Traffic 12
1.2. Purpose and Structure of Report 6 3.2.1 Long Term Trends 12
1.3. Accuracy of Planning 7 3.2.2 Seasonality 13
2. Overview of The Existing Airport 8 3.2.3 Air Carriers 13
2.1. General 8 3.2.4 Connectivity 15
2.2. Airside Elements 8 3.2.5 Peak and Design Day Profile 16
2.2.1 Aircraft Movement Areas 8 3.3. Forecasting Variables and Methodology 18
2.2.2 Apron Services 8 3.3.1 Passenger Market Composition 18
2.2.3 Aircraft Pavements 8 3.3.2 Air Freight Market 19
2.2.4 Air Traffic Control 9 3.3.3 Economic Variables 20
2.2.5 Fire Station 9 3.3.4 Tourism Context 20
2.2.6 Aircraft Maintenance 9 3.3.5 Market Variables 23
2.3. Passenger Terminal 9 3.4. Traffic Forecasts 25
2.3.1 Structural and M&E Assessments 9 3.4.1 Annual Passenger Traffic Forecasts 25
2.3.2 Passenger Processing Capacity 10 3.4.2 Annual Freight Forecasts 26
2.4. Landside 10 3.4.3 Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts 26
2.4.1 Access 10 3.4.4 Peak and Design Period Forecasts 27
2.4.2 Car Parking 10 4. Planning Parameters 30
4.1. Forecast Demand 30

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

4.1.1 Code F Aircraft 30 8.2.3 Non-Aeronautical Revenue 47


4.1.2 Instrument Requirements 30 8.3. Review of Operating Costs 48
4.2. Runway 30 8.3.1 Schedule of Operating Costs 48
4.2.1 Runway Length 30 8.4. Financial Appraisal 49
4.2.2 Runway Width 31 8.4.1 Assumptions 49
4.2.3 Runway Strip and RESA’s 31 8.4.2 Capital Expenditure 49
4.3. Taxiways 31 8.4.3 Outputs 49
4.4. Aircraft Parking Apron 31 8.4.4 Sensitivity Analysis 50
4.5. Passenger Terminal 31
4.5.1 Immediate Term and Cricket World Cup, 2007 33
4.6. Car Parking and Access 34
5. Conceptual Development Options 35 Appendices
5.1. Constraints 35
5.1.1 Non-Instrument/Instrument Aerodrome and Parallel Taxiway Layouts 35 A Structural Review of the Existing Passenger Terminal
5.1.2 Runway 10 35 B Mechanical and Electrical Review of Existing Passenger Terminal
5.2. Processing Conceptual Options 35 C Review of Existing Passenger Processing Operations
5.3. Considered Development Options 36 D Runway Length and RESA Requirements
6. Preferred Master Plan 37 E Enhancement of the Existing Terminal Building
6.1. Land-Use Planning and Phasing 37
6.2. Aircraft Pavements 37
6.2.1 Runway 37
6.2.2 Taxiways 37
6.2.3 Apron 37
6.3. Airfield Simulation 37
6.3.1 Modelling Methodology and Ground Movement Rules 37
6.3.2 Conclusions 39
6.4. Passenger Terminal 39
6.5. Car Parking and Access 39
6.5.1 Access, Circulation and Drop-Off 39
6.5.2 Car Parking 39
6.6. Support Facilities 39
6.6.1 ATC Tower 39
6.6.2 Fuel Farm 39
6.6.3 RFFS 39
6.6.4 Vehicle Maintenance and Equipment Store Area 39
6.6.5 Aircraft Hangars and Maintenance, Air Freight and Flight Catering 40
6.6.6 FBO Services 40
7. Conceptual Passenger Terminal Design 41
7.1. Introduction 41
7.2. Repair Upgrade and Remodel the Existing Terminal 41
7.3. Phased Delivery Strategy 41
7.3.1 Phase 1a; Prior to the Cricket World Cup: 41
7.3.2 Phase 1b; Immediately after the Cricket World Cup: 41
7.3.3 Phase 2; to increase the new terminal capacity beyond the 2015 projections: 42
7.4. Functional Concept of the New Terminal 42
7.5. Architectural Concept of the New Terminal 44
8. Financial Analysis 46
8.1. Introduction 46
8.2. Review of Operating Revenue 46
8.2.1 Aeronautical Revenue 46
8.2.2 Benchmarking 46

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Index of Figures Index of Tables

Figure 1.1 – Master Planning Process ....................................................................................... 6 Table 2.1 – Declared Distances ................................................................................................. 8
Figure 2.1 – Location of V. C. Bird International Airport ............................................................. 8 Table 3.1 - Direct Connectivity of VC Bird International Airport ................................................ 15
Figure 3.1 – Forecasting Context ............................................................................................. 12 Table 3.2 - Annual Air Freight Throughput Statistics ................................................................ 16
Figure 3.2 – Forecasting Methodology ..................................................................................... 12 Table 3.3 - Peak Hour ATM and Passenger Movements ......................................................... 17
Figure 3.3 - Annual Air Traffic Statistics – Passengers ............................................................ 12 Table 3.4 – Design Hour ATM and Passenger Movements ..................................................... 18
Figure 3.4 - Annual Air Traffic Statistics – ATMs ...................................................................... 13 Table 3.5 - Distribution of Passenger Traffic by Journey Purpose............................................ 19
Figure 3.5 - Monthly Distribution of Passenger Traffic in 2002-2004........................................ 13 Table 3.6 - Demand Drivers by Traffic Category ...................................................................... 19
Figure 3.6 - Monthly Distribution of Total Air Traffic and Tourist Arriving by Air ....................... 13 Table 3.7 - Economic Variables Growth, Real Terms............................................................... 20
Figure 3.7 - Market Shares of Major Airlines ............................................................................ 14 Table 3.8 - Projected Economic Growth in Major Air Passenger Markets ................................ 20
Figure 3.8 - Daily Distribution of Traffic in the Peak Month ...................................................... 16 Table 3.9 - Tourist Accommodation Provision .......................................................................... 22
Figure 3.9 - Hourly Distribution of Aircraft Movements on the Peak Day.................................. 16 Table 3.10 - Stayover Visitor Arrivals Projected By Antigua and Barbuda Tourism Plan ......... 22
Figure 3.10 - Hourly Distribution of Passengers on the Peak Day............................................ 17 Table 3.11 - Antigua and Barbuda Travel And Tourism Demand Growth Rates ...................... 23
Figure 3.11 - Private Aircraft Movements in the Peak Month ................................................... 17 Table 3.12 - Key Issues Associated with Passenger Traffic Growth Scenarios ....................... 25
Figure 3.12 - Hourly Distribution of Aircraft Movements on the Design Day............................. 17 Table 3.13 - Annual Passenger Forecasts ............................................................................... 25
Figure 3.13 – Hourly Distribution of Passenger Movements on the Design Day ...................... 18 Table 3.14 - Annual Freight and Mail Forecasts, tonnes .......................................................... 26
Figure 3.14 - Private Aircraft Movements on the Design Day................................................... 18 Table 3.15 - Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts .......................................................... 27
Figure 3.15 - Tourist Stayover Arrivals in 1977-2004 ............................................................... 21 Table 3.16 - Peak and Design Hour Passenger Forecasts ...................................................... 28
Figure 3.16 - Tourist Arrivals by Country of Origin ................................................................... 21 Table 3.17 - Peak and Design Hour Air Transport Movement Forecasts ................................. 28
Figure 3.17 - Foreign Visitor Arrivals Growth in January-May 2004-2005 ................................ 21 Table 3.18 - Design Hour Two-Way Transfer Passenger Flows............................................... 29
Figure 3.18 - Tourist Arrivals by Length of Stay ....................................................................... 22 Table 3.19 Impact of the New LIAT Schedule on Peak and Design Flows.............................. 29
Figure 3.19 - Comparison of Foreign Visitor Arrivals and Airport Passenger Traffic ................ 23 Table 4.1 - Peak Hour Air Transport Movement Forecasts, 2005 – 2030 ................................ 31
Figure 3.20 - Annual Passenger Forecasts, 2005-2030 ........................................................... 25 Table 4.2 - Main Apron Aircraft Stand Requirements ............................................................... 31
Figure 3.21 - Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts ......................................................... 26 Table 4.3 - Design Hour Passenger Demand........................................................................... 32
Figure 4.1 - Annual Passenger Forecasts, 2005 – 2030 .......................................................... 30 Table 4.4 - Passenger Terminal Floor Area Requirement ........................................................ 32
Figure 4.2 - Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts, 2005 – 2030 ..................................... 30 Table 4.5 - Departures Key Functional Requirements.............................................................. 33
Figure 5.1 - Processing Conceptual Scenarios ........................................................................ 35 Table 4.6 - Arrivals Key Functional Requirements ................................................................... 33
Figure 6.1 – Modelled Arrival Taxiway Movements .................................................................. 38 Table 4.7 - Immediate-Term Key Functional Requirements ..................................................... 34
Figure 6.2 – Modelled Departure Taxiway Movements ............................................................ 38 Table 4.8 - Estimated Modal Split of Passengers..................................................................... 34
Figure 6.3 – Modelled Stand Allocations .................................................................................. 38 Table 4.9 - Car Parking and Drop-Off Requirements ............................................................... 34
Figure 6.4 – Sample Model “Snap Shots” ................................................................................ 38 Table 5.1 - Consideration of Processing Conceptual Options .................................................. 36
Figure 7.1 – Phase 1 Apron Level Plan .................................................................................... 42 Table 6.1 – Observed Taxiing Delay Crossing Runway 07/25 ................................................. 39
Figure 7.2 – Phase 1 Ground Floor Level Plan ........................................................................ 42 Table 8.1 – Existing Landing Charge Structure ........................................................................ 46
Figure 7.3 – Phase 1 First Floor Level Plan ............................................................................. 43 Table 8.2 – Embarkation Tax Structure.................................................................................... 46
Figure 7.4 – Phase 2 Apron Level Plan .................................................................................... 43 Table 8.3 – Aeronautical Revenue - Summary......................................................................... 46
Figure 7.5 – Phase 2 Ground Floor Level Plan ........................................................................ 43 Table 8.4 – Average Airport Charges (One Way)..................................................................... 47
Figure 7.6 – Phase 2 First Floor Level Plan ............................................................................. 43 Table 8.5 – Non-Aeronautical Revenue ................................................................................... 47
Figure 7.7 – Phase 1 Terminal Perspective View No. 1 ........................................................... 44 Table 8.6 – Schedule of Operating Costs................................................................................. 48
Figure 7.8 – Phase 2 Terminal Perspective View..................................................................... 44
Figure 7.9 – Phase 1 Terminal Perspective View Entry ........................................................... 44
Figure 7.10 – Phase 1 Terminal Cross Section ........................................................................ 44
Figure 7.11 – Phase 1 Terminal Perspective Apron View ........................................................ 45
Figure 8.1 – Revenue per Passenger by World Region ........................................................... 47
Figure 8.2 – Share of Non-Aeronautical Revenue by World Region ........................................ 48
Figure 8.3 – Operating Costs per Passenger by World Region................................................ 49
Figure 8.4 – Annual Debt Service Cover Ration....................................................................... 50
Figure 8.5 – Revenue Sensitivities ........................................................................................... 50

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Drawings (in alphabetical order)

D109233/CON/01 2030 Concept Layout A (Non-Instrument)


D109233/CON/02 2030 Concept Layout B (Non-Instrument)
D109233/CON/03 2030 Concept Layout C (Non-Instrument)
D109233/CON/04 2030 Concept Layout D (Non-Instrument)
D109233/CON/05 2030 Concept Layout E (Non-Instrument)

D109233/CON/11 2030 Concept Layout A (Instrument)


D109233/CON/12 2030 Concept Layout B (Instrument)
D109233/CON/13 2030 Concept Layout C (Instrument)
D109233/CON/14 Not used
D109233/CON/15 2030 Concept Layout E (Instrument)
D109233/CON/16 2030 Concept Layout F (Instrument)
D109233/CON/17 2030 Concept Layout G (Instrument)

D109233/GA/01 Phase 1 Equipment Storage Areas


D109233/GA/02 Indicative GA Apron – Phase 1
D109233/GA/03 Indicative GA Apron – Phase 2

D109233/GA-I/01 Long Term Development Layout (Instrument)

D109233/GA-NI/01 Long Term Development Layout (Non-Instrument)


D109233/GA-NI/02 Medium Term Development Layout (Non-Instrument)
D109233/GA-NI/03 Short Term Development Layout (Non-Instrument)

D109233/MP-I/01 Draft Master Plan (Instrument)


D109233/MP-NI/01 Draft Master Plan (Non-Instrument)

D109233/PSZ/01 Proposed Public Safety Zones

D109233/RES/01 Constraints Drawing


D109233/RES/02 Plan of Existing Terminal Zone

D109233/RL/01 Runway Layout – Current Operational Scenario


D109233/RL/02 Runway Layout – Current Operational Scenario (3,200m Runway)
D109233/RL/03 Runway Layout – Western Extension

D109233/TXY/01 Clearances From Existing Parallel Taxiway


D109233/TXY/02 Layout of Code E and Code F Instrument Parallel Taxiways

051082-A-P-20-001 Passenger Terminal – Phase 1 Apron Level Plan


051082-A-P-20-002 Passenger Terminal – Phase 1 Ground Floor Plan
051082-A-P-20-003 Passenger Terminal – Phase 1 First Floor Plan
051082-A-P-20-004 Passenger Terminal – Phase 2 Apron Level Plan
051082-A-P-20-005 Passenger Terminal – Phase 2 Ground Floor Plan
051082-A-P-20-006 Passenger Terminal – Phase 2 First Floor Plan
051082-A-P-20-007 Passenger Terminal – Sections and Elevations

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Forecast of Future Demand


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Based upon a review of global and regional economic drivers, the following unconstrained forecasts of
demand were made under low, medium and high growth scenarios:
This report sets out the recommended master plan for the expansion and upgrade of V. C. Bird
International Airport. This summary provides a very high level overview of the key findings and
6,000,000
recommendations of the study.
High
The master plan process commenced with a review of the existing facility and the forecasting of future 5,000,000

Annual passenger forecasts


traffic demand. Based upon those two drivers, development options within the pertinent constraints Medium
were considered and the preferred master plan layout prepared. This report presents that layout. 4,000,000 Low
A financial analysis of the proposed developments to 2030 has been carried out.
3,000,000
Conceptual plans of the proposed new terminal building are presented.
The master plan is essentially a land-use plan that allocates areas of the airfield for certain 2,000,000
developments. The plan does not develop all elements in detail, as certain aspects will be subject to
aspirations of the market over time. In this respect, the function of the master plan is to ensure that 1,000,000
such aspects are appropriately developed without causing unnecessary restrictions to the necessary
core expansion of passenger processing and aircraft handling functions. 0
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Review of the Existing Facility
Annual Passenger Forecasts, 2005 - 2030
The existing facility is tired, under capacity and has reached the end of its design life across a number
of systems. Significant investment is required to bring the facility up to standard in addition to the
necessary investment in future growth capacity. These forecasts imply, for the medium growth forecast, an underlying growth rate of 6.5% per annum
until 2010, 5.7% between 2011 and 2015 and 5.3% thereafter.
Passenger Terminal
The passenger terminal is not suitable for its current use. However, other than apparently cosmetic 250,000
spalling, the structure of the building appears generally good enabling it to be used for appropriate uses

Forecast total annual air transport


for some years to come. The mechanical and electrical systems, however have reached the end of Low
200,000
their useful lives.
Medium
Across all passenger processing systems the terminal is significantly short of the capacity necessary to High

movements
150,000
accommodate the current traffic demand. This is principally an issue of physical restrictions but is
compounded by the absence of modern systems, for example common desks at check-in, and by under
staffing during peak periods as is evident at arrivals customs check. 100,000

Airfield
50,000
The existing airfield does not fully comply with ICAO requirements. In particular runway end safety
areas are not declared.
0
The runway strip declared is a non-instrument strip whereas it should comply with the requirements for 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
non-precision approaches. The required, wider strip and associated features encompass Carlisle Hill.
This aspect is one of the key features shaping the master plan. Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts, 2005 - 2030
The aircraft pavements are in urgent need of immediate refurbishment in order to ensure safe flying Design hour passenger throughputs are forecast to grow to 2,600 one-way and 3,500 two-way
operations. passengers by 2030.
Services Airfreight is forecast to grow to 20,700 tonnes by 2030. Airfreight is difficult to forecast given the current
low throughput and is sensitive to the commercial decisions of operators and integrators.
The principal concern relates to the electrical supply from APUA and shortage of generating capacity in
Antigua. The airport is already relying significantly on its own generators. The configuration of the
airport’s two generators could be improved.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Car parking and circulation are expanded immediately north of the existing terminal and to the east of
Planning Parameters
the new terminal building, taking account of the constraint of the existing Sun printing works, which
The master plan has been developed to satisfy the forecast demand as above within the following make the layout less efficient than it would otherwise need to be and detract from the visual appearance
parameters: of the new terminal building.
• non-instrument declared surfaces in the short to medium term, with the ability to reconfigure
Passenger Terminal Conceptual Design
the airport to satisfy non-precision requirements in the medium-term and thereby preserve
the ability to provide fully instrumented conditions in the medium to long term; The new terminal building is provided over three levels:
• the ability to accommodate one Code F aircraft (Airbus A380). The master plan does not • ground floor level (as approached from the landside access):
pre-suppose the widening of the runway (to a total width of 75m), the cost of which would o departures: landside concourse and check-in
have to be considered as part of the business case for the introduction of Code F operations;
o arrivals: arrival corridors, immigration, baggage reclaim, customs and landside
• declare runway end safety areas immediately and extend the runway westwards to retain the concourse
current 2,737m declared distances;
• first floor level:
• preserve the ability to extend the runway westwards to a total length of 3,200m, representing
the minimum length required for non-stop operations to China; o departures: security comb, airside lounge, retailing and departures gates
• phased expansion of the apron areas to provide 33 stands by 2030 (11 wide body, 22 • basement/apron level:
narrow body); o departures: baggage sortation
• phased expansion of passenger terminal facilities to a headline floor area of 78,000m by 2
o arrivals: baggage drop-off
2030;
The building presents a modern 21st century gateway to the country, but is constructed from materials
• immediate provision of car parking facilities under the control of the airport, expanded to reflecting the local architecture. The walls will use infill panels of local stone, whilst the metal clad roof
approximately 2,500 spaces by 2030. will be supported on timber beams giving natural warmth and an overall impression of vernacular
ambience, yet retaining the open feel of large spans and a roof that reflects a human scale as
Recommended Master Plan passengers move through the building.
The recommended master plan is shown on drawing D109233/MP-I/01, showing the long term layout The following pages show perspectives of the terminal.
complying with the requirements of instrument approaches (precision or non-precision).
Financial Analysis
Airfield
Maintenance and development of the existing facility have not kept pace with demand and therefore
Apron expansion is accommodated principally to the east of the existing terminal zone (in the area of there is an immediate need to invest to recover that shortfall in addition to the required expansion for
the existing LIAT hangars). In view of the spatial restrictions north of the runway, the parallel taxiway is future growth.
provided south of the runway.
Capital expenditure to 2008, remaining cash positive, is EC$250 million. Real, total capital expenditure
The fuel farm is assumed to expand within its current locality. All other support facilities (including the to 2030 is EC$1 billion. Over the same period, assuming the PFC is increased to EC$50 per
fire station, aircraft maintenance, flight catering and cargo facilities) are relocated in the medium term to passengers and typical returns from retailing and other non-aeronautical revenue streams, total
a dedicated support zone south of the runway. revenues are EC$ 2.5 billion. The internal rate of return is 16.6%. Average annual debt service cover
The former “Runway 10”, discreetly separated from the main passenger processing and support activity ration is 1.68.
areas, is preserved for GA and FBO operations.

Passenger Terminal and Landside


A new passenger terminal is constructed east of the existing building. Phase 1 of this building will be
available, though substantially lacking in “Fit-out” for the Cricket World Cup in 2007. Following the
Cricket World Cup, the Phase 1 building will be completed with a subsequent phased relocation of all
passenger processing from the existing terminal into the new building. Phase 1 of the new terminal
comprises the full extent of foundations and roof of the final building, with subsequent expansion
essentially internal development only. The existing terminal is retained as the regional pier and as
office accommodation.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Phase 1 Terminal Perspective

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Phase 2 Terminal Perspective

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Phase 1 Terminal Landside Perspective

26/10/05 4 © Scott Wilson


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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Phase 1 Terminal Airside Perspective

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

1.2. Purpose and Structure of Report


1. INTRODUCTION Scott Wilson was appointed in June 2005 to prepare a master plan for the rational development
of V. C. Bird International Airport. The master plan was to include the interim requirements of
1.1. Acknowledgements the Cricket World Cup in 2007 and to present conceptual plans for a new passenger terminal.
We would like to thank the following individuals and organisations that have assisted with and This report concludes the master plan study and presents the recommended master plan and
contributed to this study: conceptual drawings.
• The Honourable Baldwin Spencer, Prime Minister of Antigua and Barbuda The master plan study has followed a structured analysis, which is shown diagrammatically in
Figure 1.1, and provides the structure for this report.
• The Honourable Harold Lovell, MP
• Airlines Association
• Antigua and Barbuda Chamber of Commerce and Industry Forecast of
Future Traffic
• Antigua and Barbuda Customs and Immigration Authority (Section 3)
• Antigua and Barbuda Taxi Association
• Antigua and Barbuda Transport Board
• Antigua Contractors Association
Planning Development Master Plan Conceptual
• Antigua Hotels and Tourist Association Parameters Options Terminal Plans
(Section 4) (Section 5) (Section 6) (Section 7)
• Antigua Public Utilities Authority
• Department of Public Works
• Development Control Authority
• East Caribbean Civil Aviation Authority
Review of
• Goddard Catering Group Existing Facility
(Section 2)
• ICC Cricket World Cup West Indies 2007
• Ministry of Finance
Figure 1.1 – Master Planning Process
• Ministry of Tourism
Following this process, the report is structured as follows:
• National Economic and Social Development Council
• Section 2 summaries the review of the existing airport and the issues associated with
• Royal Antigua Fire Service existing processing elements.
• Royal Antigua Police Force • Section 3 considers the economic environment within which the airport will operate to 2030
and presents forecasts of passenger, aircraft movements and airfreight for that period.
• Stanford Development Company
• Section 4 builds upon the traffic forecasts and based upon the existing condition sets out the
and, based at the airport:
parameters that the future facility should be developed to satisfy.
• the Aerodrome Superintendent, Mr Leon Smith and the management and maintenance staff
• Section 5 considers the constraints restricting expansion of the airport and considers options
• Air Traffic Control that deliver the requirements established in the preceding section. The section concludes
with a recommendation of the preferred development option.
• all ground handling agents
• Section 6 considers in detail the processing elements of the master plan and sets out the
• representatives from the retailers and concessionaires at the airport requirements for each.
• Section 7 discusses the phased expansion of the terminal building and presents the
The friendless, openness and willingness to be involved by all parties has been a feature of this conceptual plans of the new building.
study that has made it stand out from many similar projects carried across the world.
• Section 8 presents a review of the financial aspects of the operation of the airport and the
capital expenditure required to construct the master plan layout.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

These sections are supported by more detailed information in the appendices as follows:
A. discusses the review of the structure of the existing passenger terminal;
B. discusses the review of the mechanical and electrical installations serving the airport and
in particular the existing passenger terminal;
C. presents a review of the passenger processing capability of the existing terminal;
D. presents an analysis of the required runway length necessary to support the forecast
flying operations and the options by which runway end safety areas can be provided; and
E. describes the enhancement works that would be necessary to the existing passenger
terminal in order to maximise its processing capacity and improve the experience of
travellers.

1.3. Accuracy of Planning


This report and the analyses that underpin it have been based upon the following two sources of
spatial information:
• the topographical survey undertaken by DIWI in 1995; and
• the February 2003 aerial photograph made available by Stanford Development Company.
These two sources of information do not accurately agree and therefore uncertainty exists over
the precise existing layout. In particular the accurate determination of the obstacle limitation
surfaces and detailed taxiway and apron planning are to be confirmed. It will be necessary
therefore to confirm the layouts once the topographical survey (which is currently being
procured) is completed.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

2. OVERVIEW OF THE EXISTING AIRPORT


Runway TORA TODA ASDA LDA
(m) (m) (m) (m)
2.1. General
07 2737 2798 2737 2537
V. C. Bird International Airport is located in Coolidge on the northern coast of Antigua as shown
in Figure 2.1 (courtesy of the Department of Tourism). 25 2737 2798 2787 2737

Table 2.1 – Declared Distances

V. C. Bird Although technically “non-precision”, aircraft operations are currently “visual” with the
International corresponding non-instrument obstacle limitation surfaces defined. Runway end safety areas
Airport (RESA’s) are not provided. The requirement for RESA’s is discussed in Section 4.2.3.
Only two designated taxiways are provided, Alpha and Bravo providing direct access from the
runway to the main apron. Movement across the main apron is by marshal control only. The
former “Runway 10” provides
Drawing D109233/RES/02 shows the existing terminal zone and its relation to the visual runway
strip, the minimum permitted parallel taxiway separation and the corresponding Code E taxiway
clearance requirement. The drawing shows that much of the existing apron does not conform to
ICAO requirements and that the B747 and B777 aircraft, parked as currently, infringe the
transitional surface.
The parking arrangement can be confusing and give rise to instances of passengers accessing
the incorrect aircraft. Unacceptably, the requirement for passengers to walk to aircraft can
expose them in areas to jet-blast from parked aircraft.
Vehicle movement across the apron appears to be generally uncontrolled with vehicles
proceeding on their own assessment of safe to do so.

Figure 2.1 – Location of V. C. Bird International Airport 2.2.2 Apron Services


Drawing D109233/RES/01 shows a satellite image of the airport in February 2003 (courtesy of Docking guidance is provided by marshal control only.
the Stanford Development Company). The airport is located within a relatively constrained site.
To the east it is constrained by the sea, to the north by the SDC developments and to the east Ground power is only available through mobile generators.
by the hills north and south of the runway (Carlisle and Piggott’s respectively). The airport is Although the apron is provided with two floodlighting masts, these are ineffective with apron
also constrained by the proximity of the terminal building to the runway, which hampers illuminance levels below acceptable intensities.
development in front of the building. The constraints to the development of the airport are
discussed further in section 5.1.
2.2.3 Aircraft Pavements
2.2. Airside Elements
As well as a walkover survey, ground and pavement investigation have been undertaken.
Although in general ground conditions are favourable, significant areas of the existing pavement
2.2.1 Aircraft Movement Areas are in a poor condition and require immediate treatment.
The airport has a single runway (07/25), 45m wide and 2,737m long, with 7.5m shoulders. It is essential that all surfaces used by aircraft are free from debris. It is understood that the
Runway 07 is used predominantly, though during certain times of year Runway 25 is employed. airport does not possess a sweeper and that the pavements are not regularly cleaned. Debris
was observed across the airfield, particularly on the main apron, the northern portion of the
The declared distances are as set out in Table 2.1. former Runway 10-28 used to park aircraft and the area of main runway at its intersection with
Runway 10-28 (where the majority of turns are executed by landing aircraft). Such debris
represents a hazard to the safe operation of aircraft and should be removed as matter of
extreme urgency and a process of regular inspections and sweeping instigated.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

The following summary discusses the required works, which will be incorporated into the phase In operational terms, the fire station is suitably located immediately west of the main apron, but
1 works.: is not provided with a suitable access to either the apron or the runway. The location however
does unacceptably allow jet-blast from the wide-body aircraft parked at the western end of the
Resurface Runway 07-25 main apron to blow over the building when aircraft power off stand. The apron area in front of
The existing wearing course is heavily oxidised and should be replaced. These works would the building is also insufficiently deep to permit appliances to be stationed on the apron and
also comprise refurbishment of the shoulders and repainting of the markings. permit other vehicles to manoeuvre.
The fire station building itself is unsatisfactory and does not provide an acceptable level of
Replace Mutli-Cracked Bays on the Main Apron accommodation for the staff or the equipment. In particular:
Between Taxiways Alpha and Bravo, the main taxiway along the southern edge of the main • the building is too shallow for the appliances to be parked within the building and the doors
apron is severely cracked and should be re-instated. This would entail the replacement of in closed;
total 24 bays.
• an exhaust extraction system is not provided, such that maintenance of vehicles that
Access Road to the Fire Station involves running of the engines within the building is unacceptable.
Currently the fire station does not have direct access to the runway and it is unlikely that The airport is not provided with an acceptable fire training ground for “hot” training.
vehicles could respond to an incident at the western end of the runway within the ICAO required The airport is not provided with a sea rescue facility.
response time.

Taxiway Shoulders 2.2.6 Aircraft Maintenance

The partially constructed parallel taxiway, its continuation across the southern edge of the LIAT has two hangars to the east of the terminal zone, accessed via a poorly maintained and
existing apron and Taxiways Alpha and Bravo all require either a shoulder constructing in its controlled taxiway from the main apron. The buildings are functional, but reaching the end of
entirety or refurbishment of the existing shoulder. their useful lives.

AGL Caribbean Star has new maintenance facilities on the former Runway 10.

The current AGL works show a range of defects including exposed cables both in the soft and 2.3. Passenger Terminal
poorly fitted to cable grooves, unsealed surrounds to surface fittings and redundant fittings.
The existing building is over 20 years old, is no longer suitable for the passenger and aircraft
processing demand placed upon it and has been inadequately maintained. The building
2.2.4 Air Traffic Control presents a poor image to passengers and an inadequate working environment for airport staff
and concessionaires.
ATC is provided through the tower immediately west of the passenger terminal. The following
landing aids and instruments are provided:
2.3.1 Structural and M&E Assessments
• VOR/DME;
• NDB A visual inspection of the building was undertaken with respect to its structural integrity and the
performance of the electrical and mechanical systems. The results of these surveys are
• radar presented in Appendices A and B respectively.
• Approach, Tower, Ground and ATIS communications; The building was constructed in circa 1981 and was significantly extended in circa 1994. An
upgrade/extension of the electrical mechanical systems was undertaken in 1997.
• meteorological service;
The structural form of the original building and of the extensions is of an in-situ concrete frame
• high intensity approach lighting to Runway 07 only; and comprising columns on a regular grid supporting an arrangement of downstand beams and
• PAPI to Runways 07 and 25. slabs at first floor and roof levels. Foundations consist of simple pad footings. The 140m long
building is divided into three separate sections by movement joints. Concrete shear walls that
The elements of the ATC systems are of varying ages that range from the relatively new and extend from foundation to roof level provide lateral stability of each section
manufacturer supported, to obsolete with spares essentially unobtainable. In particular the
radar does not appear to operate continuously or acceptably. In general terms, considering the age, the environment and the usage of the building, the
structural concrete frame was found to be in good condition with no significant problems, other
than those areas of visible deterioration, particularly where areas of concrete cover have spalled
2.2.5 Fire Station due to corrosion of the reinforcement.
The existing service is rated as complying with ICAO category 8, although for the level of traffic Similarly, the original mechanical and electrical installations were of a good standard and no
experienced a category 9 service should be provided. doubt the building has benefited from this though out its life. The 1994 works again appear to

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

have been carried out to a good standard but are showing signs of ageing now. The later works restaurant adjacent to the airport. It is unknown what loads these other users are taking as
circa 1997, and in particular the air-condition system, would appear to have been installed to a proportion of the 5MVA available from the cable and also the portion of the load being taken
relatively lower specification to the rest of the installation and are already showing signs of from the Cassada gardens primary substation. The supply is transformed down to 208volts via
premature ageing. Consequently all three phases of installation are approaching the end of the airports single recently installed 1.5 MVA transformer. The transformer is sited adjacent the
their useful working lives. Significantly, key life safety installations such as fire alarms, main switch room in the compound adjacent the ATC tower.
emergency lighting and a fully operation hydrant system are not provided.
There are currently 2no. standby generators one of 725KW capacity and one of 500KW
capacity. These generators are not synchronised and therefore do not run simultaneously. The
2.3.2 Passenger Processing Capacity 725KW (Caterpillar 1997) set is regularly used when APUA are load shedding. The second
500KW set is used as a back up only in case for failure of the 725KW set. When the 500KW set
The function of the terminal with respect to passenger processing was assessed. The results of is being run the Airport engineers shed the AC loads to bring the connected load within the
these observations are discussed in Appendices D and E. capacity of the set. The airport appears to rely heavily on their generators as sources of primary
power.
2.4. Landside
2.5.2 Water
2.4.1 Access
The APUA supply to the airport is fed via the Crag’s desalination plant and the reverse osmosis
The airport is accessed via a single carriageway road. It is understood that during peak periods plant. The airport was reported to have a 4” connection however, the main pipe serving the
this road can become congested. Upgrading the road to dual carriageway would not improve airport is 6”.
matters as the general road network to which it connects is also of single carriageway width.
The mains water supply enters the terminal building via the basement pump room. Adjacent to
Immediately in front of the terminal is a wide, but un-segregated set-down/pick-up area. During the pump room is a large water storage tank, which allows the airport to store water as required
peak times the area operates unacceptably as the movement and stopping of vehicles is poorly in order to maintain supplies within the building. The tanks would appear to rather large and it is
managed and uncontrolled. questionable as to how long the water is left standing in the tanks before. Ideally potable water
should not be stored for in excess of 24 hours. Initial thoughts are that water will stand in these
2.4.2 Car Parking tanks for in excess of 24 hours. It was suggested that this tank could be supplied with run off
water from the terminal roof, however this would has not been verified. The pump room also
The only car park serving the airport is that adjacent to the Sticky Wicket restaurant. The car contains a triple filter set, fire hydrant pump and sump pump.
park is owned by the Stanford Development Company and is not under the control of the airport. Maintenance staff confirm that the pump room is regularly flooded and evidence to support this
is available within the room. Generally the pump room is in a poor state of repair and lacks any
2.4.3 Security forced ventilation making it a health and safety hazard. Until such a time as forced ventilation is
provided operatives should not be allowed to work in the area unsupervised and without
The airport is nominally provided with a security fence to its entire perimeter, although in breathing apparatus.
sections the fence appears deficient.
Terminal security is not satisfactory. Apron access via the door at the west end of check-in is 2.5.3 Fuel
largely uncontrolled and the freedom of movement of “Red Caps” to and from the baggage
reclaim area is unacceptable. The fuel farm is located west of the main apron, north of the fire station. The facility is operated
by Texaco and Shell as a 50/50 joint venture. Its current storage capacities are:
The management of security across the boundary of the former Runway 10 and the areas
managed by Stanford Development Company should also be formalised. • Jet A1: 168,000 US gallons
Private vehicles routinely enter airside areas generally used by staff working in certain areas, • Avgas: 6,000 US gallons
notably the fire station and at Runway 10. The procedures for such movements should also be The facility is refilled daily from the adjacent West Indies Oil (WIO) installation of 42,000 US
formalised. gallons capacity, which in turn is recharged from WIO’s main facility in Antigua via a supply main
that enters the airport from the west.
2.5. Services and Utilities
Refuelling of aircraft is via the existing hydrant system supplying six positions and bowser units
as follows:
2.5.1 Electricity
• 1 nr. Jet A1 bowser of 7,000 US gallons capacity;
Refer to Appendix B for a more detailed discussion.
• 2 nr. Jet A1 bowsers each of 5,000 US gallons capacity; and
The airport is served at 11KV via a resilient pair of cables rated at 5MVA from the APUA mains.
These cables also serve the Coolidge district, businesses on the airport road and the banks and • 1 nr. AVGAS bowser of 750 US gallons capacity.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Jet A1 consumption during the busiest months of October to March is reported as around 1.5
million US gallons per month. In the low season consumption is reported around 1.0 million US
gallons per month. Thus the Texaco/Shell facility has approximately three days capacity,
enabling the WIO facility to hold settling, transferred oil satisfactorily.

2.5.4 Catering

Flight catering is provided from catering unit east of the existing terminal operated by Goddard
Catering Group. The service appears to be well managed. The unit is securely airside with a
dedicated access track to the pavement joining the LIAT hangars to the main apron. After this
point catering vehicles can access the main apron.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

The key processes involved in the air traffic analysis and forecasting are presented in the
3. TRAFFIC FORECASTS following figure.
DEMAND VARIABLES
3.1. Introduction Economy
ANNUAL TRAFFIC

Population growth FORECASTS


The traffic study analysed the existing traffic at VC Bird International Airport, economic and other Tourism
Other
drivers of traffic growth in future to provide a range of passenger, freight and air transport TRAFFIC
ANALYSIS AIRPORT MARKET
movement (ATM) forecasts up to 2030. SEGMENTATION
Passengers/ATMs
Freight Resident/
The main purposes of traffic forecasts are: Annual traffic
Seasonality
non-resident
Business
Peak/design Leisure

• to determine the capacity constraints and sizing of various elements of airport facilities to periods
MARKET VARIABLES
VFR

cater for the projected demand; and Catchment area


Competition


- other airports PEAK PERIOD
to provide the basis for estimating future cash flows generated by the airport; - other modes FORECASTS
Development of air


services
Peak day
to inform the airport management and relevant authorities in determining the overall Political & regulatory
Peak and design hour

business strategy.
An overall approach to forecasting and its integration into development and business planning
framework is presented on the diagram below: Figure 3.2 – Forecasting Methodology

3.2. Review of Existing Traffic

3.2.1 Long Term Trends

VC Bird International Airport is a medium-sized airport serving the island of Antigua in the East
Caribbean region. The airport mainly serves the local population of close to 100,000 according
to some estimates (official population 76,000) and foreign visitors attracted to Antigua as a
holiday destination.
Figure 3.3 illustrates the annual traffic changes over the last ten years:
1,000,000 Key facts:
900,000
800,000 Air passenger traffic throughput

Annual air passengers


700,000 contracted by 12 per cent in 1995 to
600,000 767,000 annual passengers – heavily
500,000 influenced by hurricane Luis - and
400,000 declined by a further 7 per cent by
300,000 2001.
200,000
100,000 Traffic recovered modestly in 2002
0
and showed similar growth pattern in
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 the following year.

Figure 3.3 - Annual Air Traffic Statistics – In 2004 the airport surpassed the
Passengers1 passenger numbers registered in
Figure 3.1 – Forecasting Context (Source: Ministry of Tourism, Antigua and Barbuda) 1994, with 864,000 passengers using
the airport in this year.
This section is structured as follows: Section 3.2 presents an overview of the airport’s past and
current air traffic (as of April/May 2005); Section 3.3 presents an analysis of the main drivers of
traffic growth (economy, tourism, etc.) and an outline of the traffic forecasting methodology and
key assumptions made; Section 3.4 presents the traffic forecasts (annual and peak period) and
1
key risks. Note. Where inconsistencies were observed in traffic measurements, lower level data were used to obtain totals
per annum.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Note: The following figure compares the seasonality of air traffic at VC Bird International Airport with
60,000 20
tourists arriving by air with the purpose of identifying to what extent tourist arrivals dictate the
Annual air transport movements
Air transport movements include all peaking of traffic.

Average passengers per ATM


50,000
15 commercial and general aviation
40,000 90,000
movements, excluding military
ATMs
30,000 PATMs 10 operations and over flights. 80,000

70,000

Monthly air passengers


20,000 As PATM3 statistics demonstrate, the
5
10,000 fluctuations in air transport 60,000
movements did not always coincide 50,000
0 0 with passenger movements. The
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 40,000
situation may have been distorted by
air freighter and other movements that 30,000
Figure 3.4 - Annual Air Traffic Statistics – are included into commercial
ATMs2 operations. 20,000

(Source: ATC, VC Bird International Airport) 10,000 Total air passengers Tourists arriving by air
Average PATMs have varied from 14
0
to 18 passengers in 1993-2004.
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

3.2.2 Seasonality
Figure 3.6 - Monthly Distribution of Total Air Traffic and Tourist Arriving by Air4
Figure 3.5 sets out the monthly distribution of passenger 2002-2004: (Source: Ministry of Tourism, Antigua and Barbuda)

100,000
2002 2003 2004 The hatched area represents the traffic generated by Antiguan nationals and represents
90,000
approximately 40-45 per cent of total air passenger traffic at VC Bird International Airport. There
80,000
is a clear correlation between the two line items. The peaks are visibly enhanced by the
Monthly air passengers

70,000 traditional annual events attended by Antiguans and foreign tourists. The key events are the
60,000 Sailing Week and international cricket matches in March-April and the Carnival in early August.
50,000 These events contribute to an increased traffic base in the months outside the normal winter
40,000
season tourist arrival peak in November-April. The continuing success of Home Coming may in
future years cause an additional peak in November.
30,000

20,000
10,000
3.2.3 Air Carriers
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Air passenger traffic is quite diversified with over 20 airlines serving the airport. However, six
carriers account for almost 80 per cent of all traffic. The development of their relative market
Figure 3.5 - Monthly Distribution of Passenger Traffic in 2002-2004 shares in the past three years is set out in Figure 3.7 below.
(Source: Ministry of Tourism, Antigua and Barbuda)

Passenger traffic demonstrates distinct seasonality with traffic peaking in April, July, August and
December. The absolute peak month in terms of air passenger movements in 2004 was
December, which coincided with the peak of tourist arrivals at the island. December traffic was
almost a third above the monthly average in 2004. The trough months are September (30 per
cent below the monthly average) and June (13 per cent below average). Anecdotally in 2005
this seasonal effect is becoming less pronounced, though it is uncertain whether this is a definite
trend.

2 4
Air transport movements Note: Overall tourist traffic by air is double the number of tourist arrivals as recorded by the Ministry of Tourism.
3
Passengers per air transport movement Tourist traffic data include non-resident business and visiting friends and relatives travellers.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

100% Caribbean Star


90% Caribbean Star also operates a fleet of Dash 8 on intra-Caribbean destinations to be extended
with 3 new Dash 8 aircraft and 2 Embraer jets. The airlines has signed interline agreements
80% OTHER with Virgin, British Airways and Air Canada. The agreements allow passengers travelling in and

Passenger arrivals by airline


70% out of the Caribbean to be ticketed for travel with Caribbean Star from their point of origin to their
BWIA
destination, and also enable baggage to be tagged to final destination.
60%
VIRGIN
50%
Most of the airline’s activity and its busiest routes are currently to and from Antigua and
CARIBBEAN STAR
Barbados. The airline has experienced rapid passenger growth at Antigua and is increasing its
40% market share at the expense of LIAT, a more established carrier. This competition has resulted
30% BA in lower fares offered by both carriers and has been beneficial in terms of generating additional
passenger growth at VC Bird International.
20% AA
10% Caribbean Sun Airlines
LIAT
0% The airline operates a fleet of 37-seat DASH 8’s from its base in San Juan (two of them are
2002 2003 2004 usually parked overnight at VC Bird International). Caribbean Sun mainly serves the northern
Caribbean and is a complementary carrier to Caribbean Star. The two airlines have integrated
Figure 3.7 - Market Shares of Major Airlines schedules.
The airline has a US base and can operate routes involving US territories such as San Juan-
Antigua, which are forbidden to Caribbean Star which is based in Antigua, an FAA-rated
Information on the destinations served by airlines to/from VC Bird International is provided in Category 2 country.
Table 3.1 on page 15.
British West Indies Airways (BWIA)
LIAT
BWIA operates A340 and B737-800 aircraft. BWIA’s regional partner LIAT supports the island
The largest carrier by the number of passengers carried is LIAT, a regional carrier owned by commuter service from Antigua and Barbados.
East Caribbean governments with the operational base in Antigua. LIAT operates a fleet of 10
DASH 8 aircraft all stationed in Antigua. BWIA’s international gateways are New York, Washington, Miami, Toronto, Manchester and
London, with service to and from Antigua, Trinidad, Tobago, Barbados, St. Lucia, Jamaica, St.
LIAT’s busiest routes to Antigua are from St Maarten, St Kitts and Barbados followed by British Maarten, Guyana and, Suriname. BWIA is also in financial troubles and has withdrawn from
Virgin Islands, St Lucia and Dominica. On all these routes LIAT is competing head-to-head with some of its routes in recent years to improve profitability. Its passenger traffic at VC Bird
Caribbean Star, a privately owned regional carrier, also based in Antigua. The two carriers co- International has been falling in the last 3 years and so has its market share, which currently
ordinate their schedules with international airlines to serve passengers who use VC Bird stands at 8 per cent.
International to connect to other destinations in the East Caribbean.
LIAT’s traffic in Antigua represents around 10 per cent of its overall traffic and has been American Airlines
stagnant over the last three years. The airline appears to have been losing its market share to AA operates a fleet of B757 and ATR-72 flying into Antigua from San Juan with two daily
its main competitor, Caribbean Star. rotations a day (in association with American Eagle). San Juan is AA’s regional hub and has
LIAT is reportedly in financial difficulties caused by high debt levels and operating costs against scheduled services to such US destinations as Miami, New York, Boston, St Louis, and Los
the background of declining average yields per passenger in an effort to maintain its regional Angeles.
market dominance. AA is the second biggest carrier at VC Bird International in terms of passenger numbers.
LIAT is currently in the process of re-organising its operations and is developing a new schedule However, its market share has fallen slightly in the last 3 years from 17 to 16 per cent as a result
utilising the hub-and-spoke concept to route its operations through Antigua and Barbados. This of the weakness of the American travel market and slower growth than that of the overall traffic
is expected to improve load factors (currently reported to be in the region of 60 per cent on at the airport.
average) and increase the efficiency of the operation of commercially unviable routes.
British Airways
LIAT expects to significantly increase its traffic base in Antigua as a result of the new operational
strategy and is to deploy 4 new Dash 8 aircraft by end of 2005 and is at an advanced stage of BA is the third largest carrier at VC Bird International by passenger numbers with the market
negotiations with the manufacturer of regional jets with a view to acquire new aircraft to use on share of 11 per cent. Its traffic has outstripped the market average in recent years, registering
its busiest routes. passenger growth of 10 and 22 per cent in 2003 and 2004 respectively. BA operates a three-
cabin 282-seater B777 on its 5-weekly service from Gatwick. Its other East Caribbean
destinations from Gatwick include Barbados, as well as St Lucia, Tobago and Grenada (as a
second leg of the Antigua service).

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Master Plan Report

Virgin Atlantic 3.2.4 Connectivity


Virgin has been growing rapidly in the last 3 years and, despite the lower frequency of services
VC Bird International Airport is directly connected with over 25 airports worldwide, with the
to Antigua, carried approximately the same number of passengers to Antigua as BA in 2004 and
majority of them in the Caribbean region. Table 3.1 lists the main airports that had direct
captured the market share of 11 per cent in 2004 up from 8 per cent in 2002.
passenger services (excluding private flights) in all or most of the first five months of 2005. In
It currently operates a three weekly service on Wednesday, Friday and Saturday from Gatwick each region the airports are ranked in order of the number of passenger carried.
using B747 aircraft.
As a general rule the higher the passenger numbers on a route the more airlines would be
willing to serve it. This rule is applicable to most routes to/from Antigua. San Juan, AA’s hub in
the Caribbean, competes for the status of the busiest route with London. St Maarten, Barbados
and Toronto follow, cumulatively accounting for fewer passengers combined than either London
or St Juan.

Air Sky- First Carib Carib Carib


AA US Air Continental BWIA BA Virgin BMI Lauda LIAT
Canada service Choice Star Sun Air
Northern America
Toronto
Pennsylvania
North Carolina
New York
New Jersey
Europe
London
Milan
Manchester
Caribbean
San Juan
St. Maarten
Barbados
Dominica
St.Kitts
Trinidad
Barbuda
BVI
St. Lucia
Nevis
Kingston
St. Thomas
Anguilla
Guadeloupe
St. Vincent
Santo Domingo
St. Croix
Grenada
Tobago
Table 3.1 - Direct Connectivity of VC Bird International Airport

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Airfreight Operations
180
With the exception of relatively few airports where specialist airfreight airlines choose to Total No. of Deps
160
establish their hubs, the successful development of airfreight traffic depends upon the Total No. of Arr
availability of belly hold capacity on scheduled air passenger services. In this respect airports 140
supporting wide-bodied scheduled passenger services are particularly well placed to offer

No. of Movements
120
competitive airfreight services.
Airfreight is particularly important in Antigua, which is not self-sufficient in terms of food supply 100
and also relies on the imports of manufacturing products. 80
VC Bird International currently handles scheduled wide-bodied aircraft predominantly from the 60
US (or Caribbean transhipment bases) and the UK. In addition, Amerijet operates all-freighter
services to Antigua from Caribbean destination using its fleet of B727 aircraft. In 2004 it carried 40
over 1,000 tonnes through Antigua. 20
Up to date airfreight transportation data have not been made available to the consultant. The 0
table below sets out overall annual airfreight throughput data for 1994-1999.

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Figure 3.8 - Daily Distribution of Traffic in the Peak Month
Air freight, tonnes 4,600 6,700 4,400 4,100 3,700 3,360 (Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis)

Table 3.2 - Annual Air Freight Throughput Statistics


The graph shows that the peak day was Friday 24th with 167 movements, 85 of them arrivals
(Source: VC Bird International Airport)
and 82 departures. The following graph illustrates the aircraft movement distribution on the
peak day.
Freight handling and storage facilities are reportedly not adequate and present a constraint on
the growth of airfreight in Antigua. 25
Antigua is served by all major express parcel operators. Integrators currently serving VC Bird No. of Dep
International Airport include: 20 No. of Arr

• DHL Airways (ER) with services to/from Cincinnati and other US bases;

No. of Pax
15
• FedEx (FX)/Caribbean Transportation Services with services to/from Memphis and other US
bases; 10
• United Parcel Service (5X) with services to/from Louisville and other US bases.
5
Airport officials estimate the freight throughput at the airport to be in the region of 4,000-6,000
tonnes per annum. Taking into account past traffic statistics, we have used a lower than median
value of 4,500 tonnes as the 2004 base year value. 0

am am

pm m

pm pm

m
1a 1a m

am a m

1p 1p m

pm p m
2a am

3a am

4a 4am

5a am

6a 6am

7a am

8a 8am

m m

2p pm

3p pm

4p 4pm

5p pm

6p 6pm

7p pm

8p 8pm

m m
12 2 p

2a
9a -9a

9p -9p
11 -11

11 -11
10 -10

10 -10
-2

-3

-5

-7

-2

-3

-5

-7
-

-
-1

-1
-

-
am

m
3.2.5 Peak and Design Day Profile

12
As previously discussed, the peak months are March, April, August and December. Following
discussions with Air Traffic Control and the airport’s management, December was identified as Figure 3.9 - Hourly Distribution of Aircraft Movements on the Peak Day
the peak month in terms of passenger throughput in 2004. Aerodrome movement logs were (Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis)
provided for December 2004 permitting the necessary analysis of the peak month movements.
The movement log does not specify the number of passengers on each particular flight.
Peak Day – Commercial Movements
Passenger numbers, therefore, are consultant’s estimates based on the seating capacity of
Figure 3.8 shows the number of commercial ATMs for each day in December 2004. each type of aircraft and assumed load factors.
Figure 3.10 shows the hourly distribution of passenger movements at VC Bird International on
the 24th December 2004.

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60
1400 No. of Private Dep
Dep Pax No. of Private Arr
1200
Arr Pax 50

No. of Pax 1000

800 40

Private Movements
600
30
400

200
20
0
m

m
am

pm
m

m
a

p
10

1a

1p
-3

-5

-7

-9

-3

-5

-7

-9
-1

-1
-1

-1
m

m
am

pm
am

pm
2a

4a

6a

8a

2p

4p

6p

8p
12

12
10

10
0
01/12/04 03/12/04 05/12/04 07/12/04 09/12/04 11/12/04 13/12/04 15/12/04 17/12/04 19/12/04 21/12/04 23/12/04 25/12/04 27/12/04
Figure 3.10 - Hourly Distribution of Passengers on the Peak Day
(Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis)
Figure 3.11 - Private Aircraft Movements in the Peak Month
(Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis)
The overall passenger movements on the peak day were estimated to be 4,516 arrivals and
4,509 departures. Design Day – Commercial Movements
The overall busiest hour in terms of aircraft movements and passengers was 8pm-9pm. The Based on our analysis of December 2004 traffic and discussions with the ATC and airport
following table details the peak hour aircraft and passenger data: operations management, Wednesdays, Fridays and Saturdays were identified as the busiest
days for commercial aircraft movements. The analysis has shown that Saturdays, having a
greater number of movements by large commercial airliners, were usually more onerous in
Parameter No of movements Hour recorded terms of passenger movements than other days of the week. The Saturday traffic profile does
not tend to vary much in the course of the year and has, therefore, been used as the appropriate
Peak Hour ATMs One-Way 12 8pm-9pm
design parameter. The second busiest Saturday in December was used as a representative
Peak Hour ATM's Two-Way 21 8pm-9pm design day to remove the seasonal peaking distortion. The day falls on 11th December 2004
and the following figure displays the hourly distribution of aircraft movements on the day.
Peak Hour Passengers One-Way 910 7pm-9pm
25
Peak Hour Passengers Two-Way 1,143 8pm-9pm
No. of Dep
Table 3.3 - Peak Hour ATM and Passenger Movements 20
No. of Arr

(Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis)

15

No. of ATM's
Peak Day - Private Aircraft Movements
It is necessary to consider the number of private air traffic movements in order to confirm the 10

effect on runway, taxiway and apron capacities.


Figure 3.11 shows that Sunday 26th December 2004 was the peak day for private air traffic 5
movements with 28 arrivals and 20 departures.

0
12am-1am 2am-3am 4am-5am 6am-7am 8am-9am 10am-11am 12pm-1pm 2pm-3pm 4pm-5pm 6pm-7pm 8pm-9pm 10pm-11pm

Hour

Figure 3.12 - Hourly Distribution of Aircraft Movements on the Design Day


(Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis)

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Average No. of Private Movements


Figure 3.13 shows the estimated passenger movements associated with the design day
50
selected. 45
40
1200
Dep Pax 35
Arr Pax 30
25
1000
20
15
10
800 5
0
No. of Pax

y
y
ay
y

ay
ay

ay
da
a
da

rd
id

nd
600

sd

sd
on
rs

Fr

tu

Su
ne

e
u

M
Sa

Tu
Th
ed
W
400 Figure 3.14 - Private Aircraft Movements on the Design Day
(Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis)

200

3.3. Forecasting Variables and Methodology


0
12am-1am 2am-3am 4am-5am 6am-7am 8am-9am 10am-11am 12pm-1pm 2pm-3pm 4pm-5pm 6pm-7pm 8pm-9pm 10pm-11pm
This section identifies the market composition at VC Bird International Airport, sets the
Hour forecasting context, analyses the key variables affecting demand growth and establishes
forecasting relationships between traffic markets and demand drivers.

Figure 3.13 – Hourly Distribution of Passenger Movements on the Design Day


3.3.1 Passenger Market Composition
(Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis)
The disaggregation of air passenger market into its constituent parts is a key feature of airport
The overall busiest hour was between 8pm and 9pm, both in terms of two-way aircraft traffic forecasting. It enables the growth of specific air passenger markets to be related to the
movements and passengers. The following table details the numbers of movements in the demographic, economic and other factors most closely related to each market.
design hour. The air passenger market is usually disaggregated by:
Parameter No of movements Hour recorded • Residence
Design Hour ATMs One-Way 11 8pm-9pm resident and
Design Hour ATM's Two-Way 20 8pm-9pm non-resident
Design Hour Passengers One-Way 831 7pm-8pm • Journey purpose
Design Hour Passengers Two-Way 1,108 8pm-9pm Business
Table 3.4 – Design Hour ATM and Passenger Movements Leisure
(Source: VC Bird International Airport, Scott Wilson analysis) VFR (visiting friends and relatives) and
Labour
Design Day - Private Aircraft Movements The key categories of passenger traffic at VC Bird International Airport in the order of
In order to identify the design day private movements the first two weeks of the peak month significance are:
(outside the influence of the festive period) have been analysed. The busiest day of the week • Non-resident leisure
appears to be Friday with 24 movements, 11 arrivals and 13 departures. The following figure
illustrates the distribution of private aircraft traffic by day of the week in the first two weeks in • Resident leisure and business
December. • Non-resident VFR
• Non-resident business.

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The table below shows the distribution of existing passenger traffic by journey purpose:
Residence

Journey Residence Journey Purpose Resident Non-Resident


Total
Purpose Resident Non-Resident Leisure Antigua GDP Tourism
Leisure 26.8% 46.4% 73.2% VFR/Labour Antigua GDP External GDP
Business 13.4% 2.8% 16.2% Business Antigua GDP and foreign trade Antigua GDP
VFR/Labour 4.5% 6.1% 10.6% Table 3.6 - Demand Drivers by Traffic Category
Total 44.7% 55.3% 100.0%

Table 3.5 - Distribution of Passenger Traffic by Journey Purpose The study used third party forecasts of the economic variables to obtain an indication of the
(Source: Estimates based on Ministry of Tourism data and discussions with airlines) long-term growth forecasts of demand for air travel using VC Bird International Airport. The
following sections analyse the key drivers of air transport demand growth and the market factors
impeding or encouraging airport traffic growth such as the development of airline services.
Information on non-residents’ journey purposes is drawn from the Ministry of Tourism records.
The disaggregation of resident passengers was based on surveys and discussions held with the
key airlines serving VC Bird International. 3.3.2 Air Freight Market
The study applied different economic demand drivers to forecast each passenger market It has not been possible to disaggregate airfreight into specific sub-markets. Information on
segment based on the following considerations: airfreight throughput by commodity is not collected on any routine basis and discussions with
Non-residents’ leisure arrivals to Antigua are to be linked to the tourism demand growth. The airlines and freight agents indicate that airfreight market is largely made up of perishables and
study did not use the GDP growth rates in the key tourist origin markets (notably the UK ad US) general cargo. Typical goods arriving by air include food products, machinery, spare parts, etc.
to forecast demand for travel to Antigua. The main reason is that this would presuppose that the Airfreight traffic has been split into two categories; firstly freight carried in the belly hold of
structure of the tourism industry in the world would remain static over the years. The study passenger aircraft; and secondly, freight carried in the hold of specialist freighter aircraft. This
relies on credible third-party Antiguan tourism demand forecasts (discussed further in the report) has been done because the distribution of freight between passenger and freight aircraft has
that are produced in the context of the recent trends in world tourism development and implications for total future aircraft movements.
competition of tourist destinations.
Unlike passenger traffic, airfreight throughput tends to be biased in one direction. At VC Bird
Non-residents’ business arrivals are most closely related to the target economy (Antigua) International Airport, inbound flows currently dominate total freight and mail throughput. Based
performance, which determines the amount of business travel from other economies it can on the Antiguan economy composition the forecasts assume that the direction of airfreight flows
generate. will not change over the forecast period.
The key long-term determinant of residents’ leisure and VFR travel is the growth in the country’s Almost all airfreight at VC Bird International Airport is end-to-end and there is virtually no transfer
GDP (or disposable income) per capita. The economic logic is that the more prosperous the or transit freight transported. Airfreight handlers have expressed a view that if freight facilities
country and individuals become the more income is allocated to travel and the higher the were adequate at VC Bird International Airport, some transhipment of airfreight, especially
propensity to travel. The GDP variable is also reflects increased travel related to the population carried in freighter aircraft, may occur to avoid costly services to smaller islands in the region.
growth. To cater for this it is suggested that the master planning process may wish to design a modest
Residents’ business travel is determined by the island’s economic performance and foreign transfer capability in the airport’s international freight facility.
trade growth. There are third-party forecasts of the demand for business travel in Antigua The demand for airfreight and airmail services is largely generated by economic activity carried
(discussed further in the report). These were used to estimate the growth in residents’ business out within Antigua and its growth will be related to the future growth of the Antiguan economy.
travel. The average annual growth rates used to generate airfreight and mail forecasts are the same as
Non-residents’ VFR travel is primarily linked to the external GDP growth as an indicator of the those specified in respect of the passenger forecasts.
increase in the disposable income and ability to afford travel. The frequency of travel of ‘ethnic’ The value of the elasticity of demand used to relate the growth of air freight throughput to the
traffic might reduce in second or third generations of migrants who might choose other growth of economic activity in Antigua has been set at a 2.0 for the medium growth assumptions
destinations for leisure travel. This reduction in travel is usually offset by additional trips and is based on the assumption that adequate freight handling facilities are in place to facilitate
generated by new waves of migrants. projected growth. These values are broadly in line with those used by the major aircraft
Economic and tourism demand drivers may be interrelated because tourism forms a major part manufacturers to derive airfreight forecasts.
of Antiguan and Caribbean economies.
The key long-term economic demand drivers for each category are summarised in the table
below:

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3.3.3 Economic Variables been extrapolated to 2030 at the long-term average annual growth rate projected for the period
2010-15. World Bank5 projections for ‘high income countries’ have been used to represent
Economic Overview growth rates in 2006 and 2007 after which growth has been extrapolated forward at a constant
rate of 2.5 percent through to 2030.
The Antiguan economy is chiefly service oriented with tourism, financial and government
services representing the main contributors to income and employment. The real economic growth rates underpinning the traffic forecasts for VC Bird International
Airport under the medium term assumptions are summarised in the following table.
GDP per capita (based on the purchasing power parity) was US$6,274 in 2002 and is one of the
highest in the Caribbean. The average growth in GDP in 1998-2002 was 3.35 per cent per
annum. Economy 2006-10 2011-15 2016-20 2021-25 2026-30
Agriculture accounts for 4% of the economy and the island is not self-sufficient in terms of food UK 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
provision. Industry is responsible for 19% of output and is predominantly made up of light
US and other economies 2.56% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
manufacturing, e.g. clothing, alcohol and household appliances. Services account for 77% of
the economic output and include tourism, banking and financial services. Table 3.8 - Projected Economic Growth in Major Air Passenger Markets
The main trade partners in terms of value of exports in 2001 (total of US$17million) were: (Source: PWC, World Bank)

• OECS – 24%;
• US – 10%; Elasticities of Demand
• Trinidad and Tobago – %; The elasticities used in the forecasting equations for this study are those identified by and used
in a range of comparable industry studies. Due to limited data available it was not possible to
• Barbados – 2%. calibrate the forecasting assumptions.
Main exported commodities were petroleum products, manufactured products, food and live The generally accepted value of elasticity for business travel is around 1.0, which implies that a
animals, machinery. 1 percent increase in GDP will generate a corresponding 1 percent increase in the demand for
The biggest imports trade partners (US$375million) were: air travel. For non-business travel the value of elasticity is higher implying that an increase in
economic activity and incomes generates a proportionately higher increase in the demand for air
• US – 2%; travel. The value of elasticities for leisure markets worldwide range between 1.5 and 2.5. The
• UK – 1%; and analysis has adopted an elasticity of 2.0 for non-business passengers. Under the medium
growth assumptions, the value of elasticity for non-business travel has been assumed to
• OECS – 1% decrease gradually over the forecast period from 2.0 to 1.8.
Imported commodities included food and live animals, machinery, manufactured products,
chemicals and oil. 3.3.4 Tourism Context

Economic Forecasts
Historic Growth
Oxford Economic Forecasting, an organisation providing economic forecasts for most countries
in the world, predicts the real GDP growth of Antiguan economy over the next 10 years to be 3.0 Tourism accounts for approximately fifty percent (50%) of GDP and generates approximately
per cent annually (see the reference cited for Table 3.7 below). The predicted growth in other 8,000 jobs or about 26 per cent of employment directly.
economic variables is set out in the following table: The following figure illustrates the development of tourism over the last three decades:
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Exports of goods 3.6% 4.5% 5.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Imports of goods 5.6% 4.8% 5.0% 4.2% 4.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Business travel 10.1% 7.0% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%

Table 3.7 - Economic Variables Growth, Real Terms


(Source: Oxford Economic Forecasting, World Macro Variables updated June 2005)

Future growth rates for the UK (the largest passenger market) have been based upon
Consensus Economics’ long-term projections as published in the most recent edition of the
PricewaterhouseCoopers European Economic Outlook. These long-term growth rates have 5
Global Economic Prospects 2004, World Bank, September 2004.

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300,000
Most of the growth in tourist arrivals has been from the UK. If UK visitors were to be removed
from the analysis the overall numbers of arrivals in 2004 would be approximately at the 1995
250,000 level. Growth in UK originated travel has been contributed to by a stronger pound sterling as

Tourist stayover arrivals


compared to the Eastern Caribbean currency tied to the weakened US dollar. This has
200,000 increased the attractiveness of the Caribbean destinations thanks to an increased purchasing
power of UK travellers. UK’s market share has increased from 27 per cent in 1994 to around 40
150,000 per cent in 2004.

100,000
Continental Europe’s market share more than halved following the hurricanes in the second half
of the 1990s from over 30,000 in 1994 to fewer than 10,000 in 2002. Arrivals from Germany
50,000 decreased dramatically from 12,000 to just over 2,000, a similar tendency was observed in
French and Swiss origin markets following the withdrawal of direct routes to Antigua. There
0 have been signs of an upturn in the market in 2003-2004. The Italian market has returned to the
pre-1995 level. Condor is planning a direct service from Germany, which may contribute to the
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
competitiveness of Antigua as a tourist destination in the key European market.

Figure 3.15 - Tourist Stayover Arrivals in 1977-2004 US and Canadian tourist arrivals have not grown on the 1994 level and neither have their
respective market shares, although in the last few years American traffic has been showing
Long-term tourism development displayed an underlying growth of 5 per cent per annum over signs of recovery growing by over 5 per cent per annum in 2002-2004.
the last 27 years.
Chinese airlines have also announced their interest in starting up services to cater for the
Tourist arrivals suffered a major setback in 1995 and the following years as a result of a series increasing demand for travel among China’s middle class. No firm commitments have been
of hurricanes striking the island. Prior to 1995 tourist arrivals growth averaged around 8 per cent announced yet.
per annum and slowed to less than 3 per cent in 1995-2004. There was a decline in traffic in
2001 in the aftermath of September 11th events. In the following years the industry has been In the first five months of 2005 tourist arrivals have shown signs of a slowdown as illustrated by
growing strongly to reach the pre-1995 levels in 2004. the following chart:

Tourist arrivals growth in Antigua is broadly in line with the Caribbean region tourism growth. In
140,000
2003, Caribbean tourist arrivals increased by 7 per cent (whilst worldwide tourism recorded a
decline of 1.5 per cent as a result of SARS, avian flu and other factors); 2004 was the year when
120,000
world tourist arrivals grew strongly throughout the world as well as in the Caribbean.
United Kingdom

Tourist arrivals by air


100,000
Countries of Origin and Recent Trends United States

80,000 Other Caricom


The following figure analyses tourist arrivals by country of origin.
Canada
60,000 Other Europe
300,000
Other Caribbean
40,000
Rest of the w orld
250,000
United Kingdom 20,000
Tourist arrivals by air

United States
200,000
Other Caricom 0
Canada 2004 2005
150,000
Other Europe
Other Caribbean Figure 3.17 - Foreign Visitor Arrivals Growth in January-May 2004-2005
100,000
Rest of the w orld

50,000
The number of arrivals from most countries contracted in the first half of 2005. Arrivals from the
UK dropped by 8 per cent and from the US by 5 per cent, contributing to the overall tourist
0
arrival decline of 4 per cent. Arrivals were stagnant year-on-year in January, slumped in
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
February, April and May and increased only in the month of March.
The slowdown in foreign visitor arrivals may be the result of the slowing economic growth and
Figure 3.16 - Tourist Arrivals by Country of Origin consumer spending and confidence in the key origin markets UK and US. Full year results are

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required to assess whether traffic decline is a seasonal variation or a longer-term trend. CTO are included into the equation, the monthly capacity is increased to approximately 30,000 beds.
(Caribbean Tourism Organisation) expects continued growth in 2005 at a more modest rate than The peak number of arriving visitors was 27,715 in April 2004; if travellers visiting friends and
in 2003-2004, in the region of four to five percent. relatives, in transit and connecting for cruises are excluded from the analysis, the demand for
beds would be 21,142, or 84 per cent of available hotel capacity and 70 per cent including
Tourism Infrastructure private villas.
Antigua boasts a variety of accommodation establishments ranging from five-star all-inclusive Antigua Hotels and Tourist Association reported plans for an increase in the short term of the
hotels to private villas. The composition of the accommodation offered on the island is detailed hotel capacity by the main players, such as Sandals, Blue Waters, St James, etc., by around
in the following table. 300-500 rooms (or 10-15 per cent of total existing hotel room capacity). The Antigua and
Barbuda Tourism Strategic Policy and Plan sets the target for additional tourist accommodation
provision at 2,695 rooms by 2009. The Hotel Association believes that the target is over-
No of properties No of rooms ambitious and that half of this number would be a more realistic objective.
More than 75 rooms 11 2063 The biggest growth in accommodation infrastructure is expected to be in the villa development
Fewer than 75 rooms 16 1092 reflecting an upsurge in demand for self-catering holidays and second homes, which dictates
much of the growth of private accommodation on the island. Anecdotal evidence suggests that
Apartments/Villas/Condos/Guest Houses 39 150 as many as 1,800 new 2-4 bedroom villas may be commissioned in the medium term, nearly
TOTAL 66 3305 doubling bed provision on the island.

Table 3.9 - Tourist Accommodation Provision Based on the above analysis, accommodation infrastructure is, therefore, not considered to be a
constraining factor in the medium term. If anything the provision of additional private
(Source: Antigua Hotels and Tourist Association)
accommodation may diversify the tourist offer and attract new visitors or settlers to the island
Hotel room supply has been static in the last decade. Much of the infrastructure work in the who would normally be more frequent travellers than hotel occupants.
hotel industry in the recent years has been focussed on restoring the hotel capacity affected by
the 1995 hurricane. Tourism Prospects
The growth area in the accommodation has been villa developments exemplified by a complex The Government’s forecasts of tourism growth are set out in the Antigua and Barbuda Tourism
in the Jolly Harbour area counting around 350 villas. These are occupied by either non-resident Plan which forecasts tourist arrivals to grow at the following rates:
owners in holiday periods, rented out or by longer-term settlers as first or second homes. The
overall villa provision on the island is currently estimated by the Ministry of Tourism to be in the
region of 1,000 rooms, which are not accounted for in the above Hotels and Tourist Association 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
statistics. (actual)

The average length of stay statistics are provided in the following chart: Stayover visitor arrivals, '000s 245 260 278 3086 319 341
% change year-on-year 6% 7% 11% 4% 7%
22 + DAYS OVERNIGHT
7% 4% Table 3.10 - Stayover Visitor Arrivals Projected By Antigua and Barbuda Tourism Plan
16 - 21 DAYS
6% (Source: Antigua and Barbuda Tourism Strategic Policy and Plan)

The annualised compound growth rate in 2005-2009 underlying these forecasts is 7 per cent.
Forecasts prepared by Oxford Economic Forecasting on Behalf of the World Tourism and Travel
Council (WTTC) in 2004 envisage the following travel and tourism demand growth rates in 2005-
2013.
8 - 15 DAYS 2 - 7 DAYS
32% 51%

Figure 3.18 - Tourist Arrivals by Length of Stay


(Source: Ministry of Tourism)
Based on the above length of stay statistics and two people sharing a room, the monthly 6
A higher than average increase in visitor arrivals in 2007 is accounted for by the Cricket World Cup to be hosted
capacity of hotel infrastructure at 90% occupancy rate would be about 25,000 visitors. If villas in Antigua.

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300,000 900,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
800,000
Travel and 250,000

Annual foreign visitor arrivals

Annual airport passengers


tourism demand 8.3% 4.8% 5.6% 3.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 700,000
growth 200,000 600,000

Table 3.11 - Antigua and Barbuda Travel And Tourism Demand Growth Rates 500,000
150,000
(Source: Oxford Economic Forecasting for WTTC)
Visitor arrivals (one-w ay) 400,000

100,000 Airport passengers (tw o-w ay) 300,000


These growth rates are broadly in line with forecasts for the Caribbean region as a whole.
200,000
The study used the more conservative third-party projected tourism growth rates to forecast 50,000
visitor arrivals over the forecast period and extrapolated the medium term annual increases up 100,000
to 2030. To estimate the spike in arrivals due to the World Cup in 2007 the study used the 0 0
Government estimates from the Tourism Plan. 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
The projected growth in tourism may be further enhanced by the increase in non-residents
owning homes on the island who would be encouraged to travel more frequently and may
Figure 3.19 - Comparison of Foreign Visitor Arrivals and Airport Passenger Traffic
generate additional travel demand from their friends and relatives. The incremental effect on
travel by these, non-traditional, tourists may in part be tempered by the displacement of
traditional tourist arrivals; but the overall effect of this trend may be an increased awareness of Airport traffic in the first five months of 2005 followed the dynamics of tourist arrivals and showed
and popularity of the island as a holiday destination. The study uses a conservative estimate of a decline of about 2 per cent year-on-year (compared to 4 per cent decline in tourist arrivals).
0.5 per cent per annum to quantify the incremental growth not captured by tourist arrivals
forecasts. This represents an increase in tourism growth rates of 10-15 per cent per annum. For the purposes of the study the demand forecasts for 2005 have been adjusted in order to
reflect the observed the first-half of the year decline in traffic.
In addition, Antigua is a major port of call for cruises in the Caribbean. Currently only a small
minority of passengers use the airport to connect for their cruises – 1,108 in 2004 – given that
Antigua is only a transit point. The island, with its good air connections and port facilities in 3.3.5 Market Variables
place and being an attractive destination in its own right, may be well positioned to attract some
cruise ship turnaround services. Such a situation is quite speculative at the moment as it could Development of Airline Services
entail substantial investment in infrastructure by the cruise operator, and is, therefore, not
accounted for in the air traffic forecasts. Demand can be constrained or stimulated by changes in the cost and availability of air transport
services as well as by variations in the level of economic activity. Improvements in airline
Impact Of Tourism On Airport Traffic services may influence the decisions of travellers and have an incremental impact on the growth
of passengers across all categories.
Foreign visitors constitute about 50 per cent of VC Bird International Airport passenger traffic
and the two are highly correlated (the correlation coefficient is 89 per cent), as is visible in the The airport has benefited from increased competition on intra-Caribbean routes with the
following graph. appearance of the new airline, Caribbean Star, and ensuing enhanced frequencies and
downward pressure on fares. The air market in Antigua and the Caribbean is quite liberal and is
likely to be conducive to further competition and development of services in the sector.
At a predominantly tourist airport the availability of direct connections may have a significant
impact on travel decisions and passenger traffic increase. This may have contributed to the
recent double-digit growth in visitor arrivals from the UK where airlines have increased flight
frequencies to Antigua and a new carrier have entered the market, BMI with flights from
Manchester, stimulating demand from the northern parts of the UK.
The majority of US visitors to Antigua are carried by American Airlines (AA). The airline serves
most of the New York originated visitors who represent the largest market in the US estimated to
account for almost a third of all American tourists to Antigua. AA routes its Antiguan traffic
through its regional hub in San Juan with further connections to other destinations. Other
competing tourist destinations in East Caribbean, such as St Maarten and Barbados, have direct
connections to Miami and New York, which puts Antigua in a competitive disadvantage and may
have a bearing on travellers’ choice of a holiday destination. Continental airlines serve the

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second largest New Jersey market directly to Antigua. US Airways and BWIA operate direct year, following the re-organisation of LIAT’s schedule to centre its operation at its two hubs in
flights on a much smaller scale from New York, Pennsylvania and North Carolina. Antigua and Barbados. In peak days the number of air transport movements is estimated by
LIAT to increase to around 53 (as per their schedule for second half of 2005) and to 76 in 2006
The introduction of direct flights to key captive markets in the US and other countries may have
(as indicated in the Transformation Plan 2005-2006). This would almost double their average
a positive impact on fares, convenience of travel and a stimulating effect on the overall traffic
aircraft movements at Antigua, currently around 25-30 per day. On the 11th December 2004 the
levels. For example, the case for AA introducing direct services from the key markets to Antigua
day used as a design day for the purposes of the study, LIAT operated 28 aircraft movements at
should be more evident over time as tourism demand grows and when the overall critical mass
VC Bird International.
of travellers would ensure consistent load factors on direct services (provided adequate security
facilities and procedures are in place) without undermining the strength of their regional hub. AA LIAT could not comment on the proportion of transit and transfer passengers who might use
representatives have indicated in their questionnaire the fact that they are lobbying for direct Antigua for connections at this stage. If the airline’s strategy is successful, the numbers of
scheduled services to/from Miami, potentially on a daily basis. passengers it flies through VC Bird International would more than double. The new schedule is
likely to generate some growth in point-to-point travellers encouraged by an improved availability
The incremental growth rates applied to reflect improvement in the quality, range and price of air
of services but most of the growth is expected to be in the ‘transfer’ category. This would mean
services to and from Antigua in the medium growth scenario are assumed to be around 2.5 per
that the number of transfer passengers would increase from the existing 16,000 to close to
cent in 2006-2010 slowing down to 1 per cent by 2030 reflecting the maturity of the market.
200,000.
Business travellers are usually less sensitive to the improvements in airline services and
The success of LIAT’s new hubbing operations in Antigua is by no means certain. In the recent
therefore these incremental growth rates will not apply to this market segment.
years legacy carriers employing hub-and-spoke systems in the US and Europe have been losing
Transfer Operations their market shares to point-to-point operators (especially low-cost airlines) on short to medium
haul routes. Given the relatively short distances between the islands in the East Caribbean the
VC Bird International Airport has aspirations to become more than just an end-to-end tourist case for direct services is even more compelling unless the density of the route is not sufficient
airport serving its own catchment area but also an important sub-regional hub. There are a to justify end-to-end services. One of the reasons for changing the route structure may be the
number of basic requirements for an airport to operate effectively as an interline hub. inability by LIAT to withdraw low in traffic but socially important services; and hubbing is seen as
These include: a way to improve load factors on these ‘public service’ routes.
Inadequate transfer passenger facilities at VC Bird International and the current embarkation tax
• a substantial home market,
charging regime may also be a constraint to growth in interlining traffic. The resolution of these
• a strong based airline, and issues may encourage further growth in hubbing operations.
• a good geographical position. In view of the uncertainty regarding the new LIAT operational strategy and, at the same time, the
need to ensure that appropriate transfer facilities are in place to encourage transfer passenger
In terms of the home market and its catchment area Antigua is lagging behind some of its key
growth the study provides a separate sensitivity analysis for the additional transfer passengers
competitors in the East Caribbean, St Maarten (1.6million passengers in 2004 or double the
to be generated by LIAT.
number served by Antigua) and Barbados (over 2 million passengers). The numbers of tourist
arrivals support these figures – St Maarten over 420,000 and Barbados 550,000 - and are The sensitivity analysis applies the increase in passengers and aircraft in 2005-2006 as per
significantly higher than 245,000 visitors to Antigua. LIAT’s new schedules and assumes a continuing growth in transfer passengers in line with the
overall passenger growth.
Both St Maarten and Barbados are served by more direct services from their respective captive
markets than Antigua and offer better facilities for transfer of passengers. There are limited
Traffic Growth Scenarios
direct scheduled services to Antigua from countries outside the Caribbean region, with the main
ones being UK, Canada and some US services serving the minority of US travellers to Antigua. The key issues (which reflect risks and sensitivities) associated with each passenger growth
scenario are outlined in Table 3.12 below:
Geographically Antigua is more centrally positioned in the East Caribbean than St Maarten or
Barbados, which should enable a more balanced hubbing operation and shorter average stage
lengths. However, the main advantage of Antigua is in the fact that it is the base for two main
regional carriers, LIAT and Caribbean Star. These airlines use Antigua as a connecting point,
alongside Barbados, for local and international traffic and co-ordinate their schedules with the
key international arrivals and departures. These two airlines effectively use Barbados as a sub-
regional hub for South East Caribbean while Antigua is a North East Caribbean hub.
The transfer passenger market in Antigua is as yet relatively undeveloped at 16,0007 or 2 per
cent of overall traffic in 2004. (For comparison, in 2004 St Maarten had 170,000 transfer
passengers or 10 per cent of overall passenger traffic). There is no information on the origins
and destinations of these passengers. Connecting passengers are expected to increase next

7
The number appears under the ‘in transit’ category in the airport statistics.

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The traffic forecasts have been prepared without applying constraints imposed by terminal and
airfield capacities. They thus represent the forecasts should the airport be expanded to
Low Medium High
accommodate such growth. Should capacity not be expanded in line with demand, the actual
Tourist arrivals
Modest Strong High throughputs would necessarily be constrained to the level of terminal and airfield capacity.
growth
Three sets of forecasts – low, medium and high growth - have been produced. The following
Tourist arrivals increase at a Tourist arrivals grow in Stronger than forecast
marginally slower rate than line with third party growth in tourist
graph shows annual passenger forecasts based on the assumptions set out in previous
forecast by third parties forecasts. arrivals in line with sections:
reflecting slowing economic Government targets
growth and declining and above the 6,000,000
consumer confidence in the Moderate incremental average in the
key captive markets. impact of new home Caribbean. High
ownership 5,000,000

Annual passenger forecasts


No incremental growth Medium
associated with the impact of developments.
rapid rates of non-residents’ A stronger incremental 4,000,000 Low
home ownership in Antigua. impact of new home
ownership
developments. 3,000,000

Development of Medium with moderate High with strong


Modest with small impact 2,000,000
airline services impact impact
Airline services develop Airline services Increased frequencies
gradually and have limited develop at current and destinations 1,000,000
impact on the travellers’ rates, increasing served along with
decisions. frequencies and range reducing passenger 0
of destinations yields attract more
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
stimulate traffic traffic. Significantly
growth. More direct increased number of
services are transfer passengers. Figure 3.20 - Annual Passenger Forecasts, 2005-2030
introduced. Increasing
hubbing operations
using VC Bird
International Airport. Annual passenger traffic forecasts at five-year intervals are presented in the table below.
Medium impact on Passenger numbers have been rounded to the nearest 10,000 passengers.
traffic growth.
Impact of improved
Minimal Moderate High
airport facilities Scenario/Year 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
New facilities have limited Moderate impact on Upgraded facilities Low 870,000 1,100,000 1,300,000 1,510,000 1,750,000 2,030,000
impact on additional traffic traffic levels. Coupled along with active
generation. with marketing efforts airline campaigning Medium 890,000 1,230,000 1,620,000 2,100,000 2,720,000 3,520,000
the upgraded facilities and promotion of
improve the airport services High 890,000 1,330,000 1,880,000 2,600,000 3,570,000 4,920,000
competitiveness of VC ensure higher than
Bird International moderate traffic Table 3.13 - Annual Passenger Forecasts
Airport and attract growth.
additional passenger
and freight activity. In the medium growth scenario passenger numbers are expected to increase at an underlying
Table 3.12 - Key Issues Associated with Passenger Traffic Growth Scenarios growth rate of approximately 6.5 per cent until 2010, 5.7 per cent in 2011-2015 slowing down to
5.3 per cent in 2016-2030.
3.4. Traffic Forecasts For comparison, IATA forecasts air traffic within Latin America/Caribbean in 2004-2008 at 5.4
per cent and overall international traffic at 6.0 per cent per annum.
3.4.1 Annual Passenger Traffic Forecasts Airbus forecasts the growth of passenger traffic within the Caribbean and Latin America at 5.3
per cent per annum until 2013 and 4.5 per cent in 2014-2023; between Europe and the
It must be noted that traffic forecasts are produced as part of the master planning process to Caribbean traffic is predicted to increase by 6.9 per cent per annum in 2004-2023; world traffic
provide an indication of the past and existing trends in air traffic development and the expected would grow by 6.0 per cent until 2013 and 4.6 per cent in 2014-2023.
future growth parameters for planning purposes. The forecasts should not to be construed as
an accurate assessment of the volume of passenger and freight traffic in each year in future.

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Boeing forecasts traffic flows within Central America to grow by 7.0 per cent per annum until In the absence of detailed passenger and ATM data and the unavailability of average seating
2024, between North America and South America by 7.2 per cent and between Europe and capacity and load factors, the study estimated the average passengers per ATM (PATM) to
South America by 5.8 per cent. forecast passenger air transport movements.
These growth rates confirm Scott Wilson’s projected growth rates to be consistent with forecast Average passengers per ATM at VC Bird International Airport have been increasing over the
aggregate growth rates for the region as a whole. This appears to be reasonable given the years: from 11 in 1980 to 15 in 1990, 16 in 1994 and 17 in 2004. This has generally reflected
balance between the relatively low level of development of air transport services in Antigua, the increasing densities of the key tourist routes and larger aircraft deployed by some of the
which suggests the potential for higher than average growth. carriers over time. It has been assumed that average PATMs will continue to increase in line
with but at a lower rate than the growth in passenger numbers. The elasticity used was 20 per
3.4.2 Annual Freight Forecasts cent, taking into account the projected rate of growth in load factors and seating capacity per
aircraft. Average PATMs for GA movements were assumed to increase gradually over time to
The following table presents freight and mail forecasts at five-year intervals: reflect the maturity of the routes and potential for bigger aircraft used on some of them.
Data availability on freighter aircraft movements is too limited to justify an overly complex
forecasting methodology. The method adopted divides total freight throughput between
Scenario/Year 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 passenger and freighter aircraft and derives future annual freighter aircraft movements by
Low 4,700 5,900 7,300 9,100 11,400 14,300
dividing the total throughput carried by freighter aircraft by an average payload per movement.
The payload was assumed to be around 5 tonnes per aircraft growing over time to 10 tonnes
Medium 4,800 6,400 8,600 11,500 15,400 20,700 reflecting the change in aircraft types used and load rates.
High 4,800 7,000 10,000 14,400 20,800 29,900 Air transport movement forecasts are summarised in Figure 3.21 and Table 3.15 below:
Table 3.14 - Annual Freight and Mail Forecasts, tonnes

250,000
Air freight is projected to grow in line with the assumptions set earlier in this report at an annual

Forecast total annual air transport


growth rate of approximately 6 per cent which is comparable to IATA’s forecasts of 6.0 per cent
200,000 Low
worldwide freight growth until 2008. The above forecasts include the air freighter movements,
Medium
which are accounted for in the ATM forecasts.
High

movements
150,000
3.4.3 Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts
100,000
Forecasts of annual aircraft movements have been prepared at five-year intervals up to 2030.
Separate forecasts have been prepared for each of the main categories of movement which
comprise: 50,000

• Passenger air transport movements;


0
• Freight air transport movements; and 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
• General aviation aircraft movements.
Figure 3.21 - Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts
Alternative low, medium and high growth assumptions have been used to examine the range of
likely outcomes over the forecast period.
Annual passenger air transport movements over the period to 2030 will be related to total annual
passenger through the average number of air passengers per passenger air transport
movement.
This parameter in turn depends upon:
• average aircraft seating capacity; and
• average seat load factor8.

8
The term seat load factor (LF) is defined as the percentage of an aircraft’s available passenger seats that are
occupied.

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One-way arrivals design hour in 2004 was made up of 4 arrivals by Continental, BA, US Airways
and Air Canada and two small aircraft movements. The one-way departures design hour is the
Scenario 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 hour after the arrivals peak when the above aircraft return from VC Bird International to their
Passenger Low 42,700 50,700 57,000 63,200 69,900 77,400 home bases or travel on to other destinations in the Caribbean. The average number of
passengers per arriving aircraft movement in the arrivals design hour was quite high at around
Medium 43,500 56,500 70,900 87,800 108,700 134,500
140 passengers; the corresponding number for departures in the departures design hour was
High 43,800 61,200 82,400 108,800 143,100 188,200 approximately 50 passengers.
The following assumptions were made in order to forecast future peak and design day
GA Low 7,300 8,400 9,000 9,400 9,900 10,400 schedules:
Medium 7,500 9,400 11,200 13,100 15,400 18,100 • The demand for arrival and departure slots at VC Bird International in peak and design hours
High 7,500 10,100 13,000 16,300 20,300 25,300
is likely to continue to be dictated by medium to large long haul aircraft movements.
• International carriers would continue to operate and extend their services in peak and design
hours as the most convenient times of arrivals and departures to cater for the demand in
Freighter Low 200 200 200 300 300 300 captive markets and in the light of slot constraints at international airports in the UK, US and
Medium 200 200 300 300 400 500 Canada.
High 200 300 300 400 500 700 • The profile of passenger movements across future design days will reflect the existing
pattern of traffic albeit at higher passenger volumes and with some peak spreading as new
services are introduced, additional frequencies are added to existing services and some
TOTAL Low 50,200 59,300 66,200 72,900 80,200 88,100 smaller aircraft movements are moved outside peak hours.
Medium 51,200 66,100 82,300 101,300 124,500 153,000 In 2004, the number of scheduled design hour passenger movements was almost 10 times
High 51,600 71,600 95,700 125,400 163,900 214,200 higher than in the average hour at 0.13 per cent of total annual passenger movements. Under
the medium growth assumptions, this ratio is projected to reach 0.07 percent by 2030. The
Table 3.15 - Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts projected trends in the ratio of design hour to annual air passenger movements are compatible
with the experience of other airports handling similar volumes of annual passenger traffic.
Based on the baseline schedule investigation the one-way design and peak hour is
3.4.4 Peak and Design Period Forecasts approximately 75-80 per cent of the two-way flow. Two-way design and peak hour forecasts are
projected to be around 30 per cent higher than one-way traffic.
General Passenger movements in the peak and design hours are very similar in terms of passenger
This section of the report presents peak and design period forecasts of: number, the only difference being in the direction of the flow. This confirms the fact that the
peaks at VC Bird International Airport occur regularly on certain days of the week, especially
• air passenger movements; and Saturday, for most of the year and, in particular, in the winter tourist season. Based on the
• air transport movements. baseline schedule the one-way peak hour traffic is projected to be some 10 per cent higher than
the corresponding design hour flow.
The forecasts and resulting design parameters have been generated within the context of
forecast schedules of air transport and passenger movements for typical busy days in 2004 and Design and peak hour passenger schedules are set out in the following table:
at five-year intervals from 2005 to 2030. Forecasts have been produced for each of the
alternative low, medium and high growth scenarios.

Peak and Design Hour Passenger Movements


The distribution of passenger movements by hour across the design day reflects the distribution
of demand and airlines’ scheduling decisions.
The airport’s two-way design and peak hour schedules in 2004 were dominated in terms of
passenger movements by tourist flights to the US and UK and medium to big aircraft (e.g. B747,
B777, A340) and in terms of aircraft movements by smaller types of aircraft such as DASH 8
and DASH 6 carrying passengers to/from destinations in the Caribbean. The number of
passengers per commercial aircraft movement in peak and design hour was approximately 55.

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Passengers Scenario 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ATMs Scenario 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Design hour Design hour
One-way Low 830 1,000 1,120 1,230 1,360 1,500 One-way Low 12 13 14 14 15 16
Medium 850 1,110 1,390 1,720 2,110 2,610 Medium 12 14 17 20 23 27
High 850 1,200 1,620 2,120 2,780 3,650 High 12 16 20 25 31 38
Two-way Low 1,100 1,320 1,490 1,640 1,810 2,000 Two-way Low 21 24 25 26 27 29
Medium 1,130 1,480 1,850 2,290 2,820 3,470 Medium 21 26 31 37 43 50
High 1,130 1,600 2,150 2,830 3,700 4,850 High 22 29 36 45 56 70
Peak hour Peak hour
One-way Low 910 1,090 1,220 1,350 1,490 1,640 One-way Low 13 15 15 16 17 17
Medium 930 1,220 1,520 1,880 2,320 2,850 Medium 13 16 19 22 26 30
High 930 1,320 1,770 2,330 3,050 3,990 High 13 18 22 27 34 42
Two-way Low 1,140 1,370 1,540 1,700 1,870 2,060 Two-way Low 23 25 27 28 29 30
Medium 1,160 1,530 1,910 2,360 2,910 3,580 Medium 23 28 33 39 45 52
High 1,170 1,650 2,220 2,920 3,830 5,020 High 24 31 39 48 59 73

Table 3.16 - Peak and Design Hour Passenger Forecasts Table 3.17 - Peak and Design Hour Air Transport Movement Forecasts

Peak and Design Hour ATMs Proportion of Transfer Passengers


The detailed forecasts relate specifically to commercial passenger air transport movements, the In 2004 16,000 passengers (2 percent of total terminal passengers) were recorded as
dominant and most demanding category of aircraft movement. The contribution of freighter and transferring between flights without leaving the airport.
GA aircraft to peak and design hour movements has been derived as a percentage of
The proportion of transfer passengers in the design hour is estimated to be higher than the year
passenger air transport movements.
average especially due to the concentration of international arrivals and departures in these
The assumptions regarding the seasonal daily distribution of air passenger movements apply hours underpinning some transfer operations.
implicitly to passenger air transport movements. Forecast passenger and air transport
movements are linked by assumptions regarding average passengers per air transport As discussed in the section on the traffic growth variables it is expected that the number of intra-
Caribbean transfer passengers is expected to increase dramatically in the second half of 2005
movement. The assumptions relating to the ATM distribution between one-way and two-way
and 2006 due to the change to in LIAT’s schedules.
flows and peak and design hours have been based on the baseline schedule analysis. There
was one GA movement in the design hour and no freighter movements in the base design hour. According to their new schedule, valid 15th July 2005 – 31st December 2005, a maximum of 7
arrivals and 7 departures are expected within one hour. Based on the premises that:
The following table sets out the forecasts of air transport movements in the peak and design
hour: • half of the passengers on these flights would be transferring9;
• the mix of aircraft as per the schedule; and
• 60% load factor;
the number of design hour transfer passengers would be approximately 85 passengers or 10
per cent of two-way flows (compared to our estimate of 42 transfer passengers based on the
existing schedule).

9
LIAT would practically double the number of its flights at VC Bird according to its new schedule. With the
originating/terminating passengers expected to record modest growth, the majority of the growth would be in
transfer passengers.

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Master Plan Report

As transfer facilities are improved, the number of transfer passengers is expected to rise over movement. Changes in passenger numbers in peak and design periods are not significant and
the years in line with the overall peak and design hour passenger growth. are not believed to merit separate forecasts.
The following table sets out the projected design hourly flows of transfer passengers at VC Bird Based on the assessment of LIAT’s existing passenger traffic and the proposed changes to the
International: schedule, the incremental growth in annual passenger numbers, should the new schedule
become established, may be in the region of 60,000-100,000 passengers in 2006,
predominantly transfer passengers.
Transfer Scenario 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Two-way Low 80 110 130 140 150 170
Medium 85 130 160 190 240 290
High 90 140 180 240 310 410

Table 3.18 - Design Hour Two-Way Transfer Passenger Flows

Sensitivity Analysis
This sensitivity analysis provides guidance on the impact of LIAT’s new schedule, if successful,
on the parameters required for sizing of aircraft and passenger related facilities.
The previous section has taken account of the new schedule in determining the number of
design hour transfer passengers. This section attempts to estimate the impact of the new
schedule on the overall number of passengers and aircraft movements passing through the
airport in peak and design hours.
In order to do this the new LIAT schedule has been superimposed over the design and peak day
schedules for 2004 replacing all previous LIAT flights. The impact of this has been as set out in
the following table.

New LIAT
Parameter As Is Change, %
schedule
Peak Hour ATMs One-Way 12 13 8%
Peak Hour ATM's Two-Way 21 19 -10%
Design Hour ATMs One-Way 11 10 -9%
Design Hour ATM's Two-Way 20 16 -20%

Peak Hour Pax One-Way 910 923 1%


Peak Hour Pax Two-Way 1,143 1,119 -2%
Design Hour Pax One-Way 831 881 6%
Design Hour Pax Two-Way 1,108 1,118 1%

Table 3.19 Impact of the New LIAT Schedule on Peak and Design Flows

The peaks of traffic in LIAT’s schedule do not generally coincide with the existing peaks. The
new schedule spreads some of the peaks and contributes to the reduction in most of the peak
and design hour ATM movements apart from the peak hour one-way flow, which increased by 1

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4.1.1 Code F Aircraft


4. PLANNING PARAMETERS
It is a material possibility that the Airbus A38010 may operate to V. C. Bird International Airport.
Virgin has ordered a number of A380 aircraft and given their current passenger numbers may
4.1. Forecast Demand
chose to operate this aircraft on the London route. Therefore the master plan has adopted the
This section sets out the forecast demand and the parameters that were thereby derived to requirement to plan for Code F operations.
generate the facility provision provided by the preferred master plan layout (as discussed in
In this respect, the impact on the airport has been kept to the minimum necessary, such that
Section 6).
only one Code F stand is provided and it is accessed directly from the runway via a single
The sections below set out the relevant planning parameters based upon the overall traffic taxiway complying with Code F requirements. The implication of this provision is that during
demand as shown in Figure 4.1 (annual passengers) and Figure 4.2 (air transport movements) periods of manoeuvring by an A380, it shall be the only permitted movement and all other
below. aircraft would have to remain on stand. Although this reduces capacity during such periods, to
provide for full Code F capability is both costly and spatially difficult. Careful scheduling of slots
6,000,000 will be sufficient to ensure that overall operations are not unacceptably hindered.
High Adopting Code F as the planning objective does require the runway to be widened to 60m (plus
5,000,000
7.5m shoulders). This requires a significant investment in order to support comparatively few
Annual passenger forecasts

Medium
movements. Conversely, accommodating those movements does support a substantial number
4,000,000 Low of passengers. The business case therefore for the runway widening will have to be considered
carefully should the issue arise. In the medium-term, enabling the airport to accommodate Code
3,000,000 F movements (with the exception of the widening of the runway) can be achieved at a marginal
on-cost and has therefore been adopted.
2,000,000

4.1.2 Instrument Requirements


1,000,000
The airport does not currently offer precision approaches. The airlines have reported that this is
0 a position that will become increasingly unviable. Also, given the regional competition between
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 islands for long-haul traffic and the increasing availability of precision approaches in the region,
the master plan has adopted the need for improved landing aids and precision approaches.
Figure 4.1 - Annual Passenger Forecasts, 2005 – 2030 In any event, the available navigational aids as currently provided directs that the airport is
defined as providing non-precision approaches and should declare the associated non-precision
250,000 protected surfaces. These surfaces are similar to those defined for precision approaches and
identical with respect to the runway strip. The ECCAA has indicated that it will require a phased
Forecast total annual air transport

Low provision of the requirements of non-precision approaches regardless of any move to precision
200,000
Medium
approach requirements. The master plan layout therefore provides a phased expansion that
develops in the short-term within non-instrument requirements as currently, and enables a
High
movements

150,000 medium to longer-term redefinition to instrument requirements.

4.2. Runway
100,000

4.2.1 Runway Length


50,000
With reference to Appendix D, a runway of 2,500m is sufficient for operations of the key routes
0 and that 3,200m is an appropriate long-term planning length, enabling the airport to serve all
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 non-stop destinations within its forecast markets. It is recommended however that the currently
declared length of 2,737m is retained and that a lengthening to 3,200m be considered as part of
the business case for the additional services and destinations that the increased length would
Figure 4.2 - Annual Air Transport Movement Forecasts, 2005 – 2030 permit.

10
The only Code F aircraft that is likely to operate to and from V. C. Bird International Airport; the only other Code
F aircraft currently in operation is a heavy-lift cargo aircraft.

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In order to retain the current declared distances, and provide the mandatory runway end safety
areas (RESA’s), it is necessary to extend the runway. The master plan has adopted such a 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
westerly extension.
Combined Total

4.2.2 Runway Width 1-way ATM 13 16 19 22 26 30


2-way ATM 23 28 33 39 45 52
As discussed in Section 4.1 above, in order to accommodate operations by Code F aircraft it will
be necessary to increase the runway width to 60m, plus 7.5m shoulders, giving an overall width
of 75m. The current 45m width is sufficient for Code E operations. As discussed, the master Regional
plan has adopted a width of 45m with an increase to 60m being dependent upon the business
1-way ATM 7 9 10 12 14 16
case for the introduction of Code F services, should it become a realistic proposition.
2-way ATM 12 15 18 21 24 28

4.2.3 Runway Strip and RESA’s


International
Following the philosophy described above, in the short-term the master plan adopts non-
instrument strip requirements with the ability to re-define the airport to instrument requirements 1-way ATM 4 5 6 7 8 9
as appropriate. 2-way ATM 5 6 7 9 10 12
Appropriate RESA’s are a mandatory requirement and are accommodate immediately within the
master plan. Appendix D discusses the required runway declared distances and the options for
Private
the provision of RESA’s.
1-way 4 5 6 7 8 9
4.3. Taxiways 2-way 5 6 7 9 10 12
In the short to medium term, the partially constructed (non-instrument) parallel taxiway will be
completed. In the medium to longer-term an instrument parallel taxiway is required. Given the Table 4.1 - Peak Hour Air Transport Movement Forecasts, 2005 – 2030
spatial constraints to the north of the runway, this taxiway is provided to the south of the runway
enabling it to also function as the means of access to the relocated maintenance, cargo and
support facilities area. The above forecasts are of aircraft movements; taking account of the duration of occupancy of
stands and making an allowance for delays, Table 4.2 shows the maximum number of stands
4.4. Aircraft Parking Apron required.
It is appropriate to plan the apron areas to be able to accommodate the peak demand. The
following table sets out the forecast peak hour air transport movements: 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Regional 10 13 14 17 20 22
International 5 6 8 9 10 11
Total 15 19 22 26 30 33

Table 4.2 - Main Apron Aircraft Stand Requirements

This table does not include parking for private aircraft, which are to be relocated to Runway 10,
as discussed in Section 6.6.
Given the stated intentions of LIAT, Caribbean Sun and Caribbean Star, and the general long-
term trend in aircraft sizes, the regional stands are all to be of Code C dimensions, able to
accommodate Embraer and B737 side aircraft. The international stands are to comprise on one
Code F stand and the remainder Code E.

4.5. Passenger Terminal


All passenger terminals seek to offer an appropriate level of service, balanced against the
distribution of demand: providing an acceptable standard of service at peak times must be

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balanced against costly over provision during off-peak periods. Sizing of the passenger terminal
has therefore been undertaken on the basis of a “design hour” rather than the peak hour. 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
The following table sets out the design hour passenger demand derived from the medium 2
Floor Area (m ) 25,500 33,000 41,500 51,500 63,500 78,000
growth forecasts in the Traffic Forecast Report:
Table 4.4 - Passenger Terminal Floor Area Requirement
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Total Based upon standard design norms, and the following assumptions, Table 4.5 sets out the
worst-case key functional requirements for departures:
1-way pax 845 1,110 1,391 1,715 2,115 2,605
2-way pax 1,127 1,479 1,854 2,287 2,819 3,475
Assumptions:
Regional • Retail provision per mppa (m2): 600
1-way pax 278 365 457 563 695 856 • Retail penetration: 35%
• Catering penetration: 25%
International • Catering seating utilisation: 80%
1-way pax 802 1,054 1,320 1,629 2,008 2,474 • Catering allowance per cover (m2): 1.5
• Lounge seating service standard: 70%
Total
• Lounge seating utilisation: 85%
1-way pax11 1,080 1,419 1,777 2,192 2,703 3,330
• Lounge seating allowance (m2) 1
Table 4.3 - Design Hour Passenger Demand • Lounge seating circulation (m2): 0.4
• Lounge seating miscellaneous (m2): 0.15
These design hour rates are high in comparison to other airports with similar annual passenger
throughputs, but represents the known, highly peaked nature of the airport’s traffic, with
significant busy periods on Wednesdays, Friday and in particular on Saturdays as discussed in
Section 3.2.5.
Whilst the exact area is a matter of functional design, in high-level terms, passenger terminals
are sized between 15 and 50 m2 per one-way design hour passenger. The lower end of this
range would be a low-cost terminal in Europe; and the upper end a large Asia-Pacific terminal;
adopting 30 m2/pax, the following terminal areas are estimated:

11
The combined international and regional design hour total is greater than the total design hour figure as the
three individual design hours (international, regional and total) do not coincide. The international and regional
design hours are presented individually as separate processing elements should be designed to cater for their
individual design requirements; solely considering the total design hour, could underestimate the demand for
separate elements.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report
2005 2007* 2015 2030
2005 2007* 2015 2030 Passport Control
Landside Departures Concourse Number of international desks 7 7 8 9
Landside concourse (m2) 1,913 2,520 3,128 5,873 Number of regional desks 7 7 7 7
2
Landside retail (m ) 191 252 313 587 Length of queue per desk (m) 74 74 85 96
2 2
Total (m ) 2,104 2,772 3,441 6,460 Total queue area (m ) 2,590 2,590 3,188 3,840

Check In Baggage reclaim


Number of check in desks 21 26 31 56 International 2 2 4 7
Length of queue per desk (m) 20 20 20 20 Regional 3 3 4 8
Domestic 1 1 1 1
Passport control International (m2) 553 553 911 1,707
2
Number of desks 7 9 11 20 Regional (m ) 176 176 289 542
2
Length of queue per desk (m) 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 Domestic (m ) 100 100 100 100
2 2
Total queue area (m ) 147 189 231 420 Total International and Regional (m ) 729 729 1,200 2,249

Central search Customs


Number of desks 2 3 4 7 International (m2) 60 71 99 186
2
Length of queue per desk (m) 20 20 20 20 Regional (m ) 17 20 27 51
2 2
Total queue area (m ) 120 180 240 420 Total (m ) 77 92 156 237

Departure Lounge Arrival Concourse


Schedule allowance 15% 10% 10% 5% Regional
Total population 978 1,221 1,529 2,741 Area of concourse – excluding retail (m2) 202 223 410 623
2
Seats required 805 1,006 1,259 2,257 Area of concourse – including retail (m ) 222 245 451 685
Seating area (m2) 1,248 1,559 1,952 3,498 International
2
Retail (m ) 534 636 972 2,112 Area of concourse – excluding retail (m2) 758 807 1,247 2,338
2
Retail BoH (m2) 27 32 49 106 Area of concourse – including retail (m ) 834 888 1,372 2,572
2
Catering covers 244 305 382 685 Total – including retail (m ) 1,056 1,133 1,823 3,257
2
Catering seating (m ) 458 572 717 1,285 * Assumed figure that excludes unusual peaks due to the Cricket World Cup
Catering BoH (m2) 46 57 72 128
Table 4.6 - Arrivals Key Functional Requirements
2
Total (m ) 2,312 2,856 3,761 7,129
* Assumed figure that excludes unusual peaks due to the Cricket World Cup 4.5.1 Immediate Term and Cricket World Cup, 2007

Table 4.5 - Departures Key Functional Requirements In addition to the forecast growth substantial additional peak figures are anticipated for the
Cricket World Cup. During an unusual event such as the Cricket World Cup it is not
unreasonable to expect longer queues and lower services standards, although a lower service
The following table sets out the worst-case key arrivals functional requirements. offering may be detrimental to the reputation of the airport and country. This type of traffic is
likely to be hand luggage and may be possible to pre clear for certain processes.

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Master Plan Report

The adjacent table sets out the immediate-term requirements. 4.6. Car Parking and Access
Three types of car parking are provided to be provided:
Current 2005 2005 Short 2007 • short-stay;
Provision Requirement Fall Requirement
• long-stay;
Check-In
• staff parking.
Desks 42 21 -21 26
Area (m2) 800 2,104 1,304 2,772
In addition, forward waiting areas for buses and taxis, and facilities for hire cars are required.
The sizing of each element is dependent upon the modal split of traffic. Historic data are not
available; therefore the following assumptions of modal split have been made:
Passport Check
Desks 4 7 3 9 Taxi/Bus Long-Stay Short-Stay Hire Car
2
Area (m ) 15 147 132 189 Drop-Off Car Park Car Park12
Regional 20% 20% 50% 10%

Security International 70% 10% 10% 10%

Desks 1 2 1 7 Table 4.8 - Estimated Modal Split of Passengers


2
Area (m ) 40 120 80 180

On the basis of this assumption, the following requirements are necessary:


Departures Lounge
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Seats 275 805 530 1,006
Short-Stay Car Park 120 160 200 250 300 370
Area (m2) 700 1,751 1,051 2,188
(spaces)
Long-Stay Car Park 430 600 780 1,000 1,300 1,700
Gates (spaces)
Desks 9 10 1 14 Departures Curb 60 70 90 110 130 160
Area (m2) 75 100 25 140 (m)
Arrivals Curb 60 70 90 110 130 160
Immigration (m)
Desks 8 14 6 14 Staff Car Park 90 120 160 210 270 350
Area (m2) 325 2,590 2,265 2,590 (spaces)

Table 4.9 - Car Parking and Drop-Off Requirements


Baggage Reclaim
Belts 2 6 4 6
2
Area (m ) 250 553 303 553

Customs
Desks 7 7 0 7
2
Area (m ) 100 77 -23 92

Table 4.7 - Immediate-Term Key Functional Requirements

12
Private car drop-off and pick-up is partially to be facilitated through the short-term car park.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

it can be seen that the boundary fence and public highway potentially conflict with the required
5. CONCEPTUAL DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS taxiway clearances for Code E.
Ideally, the future instrument parallel taxiway would be located to the north of the runway.
5.1. Constraints Drawing D109233/TXY/02 shows the centreline and associated clearance requirement for a
Code E and a Code F instrument parallel taxiway. As can be seen, either such a taxiway would
The expansion of the airport is restricted by a number of features. Although the airport is
further necessitate the reshaping of Carlisle Hill and would require the partial removal of the
topographically constrained, as discussed below, the principal constraints are those imposed by
buildings currently occupied by the Stanford Development Company and Caribbean Star. As an
operation of the runway and in particular the requirements of ICAO with respect to geometric
alternative, the parallel taxiway could be provided south of the runway, but with a capacity
layouts and obstacle limitation surfaces. In this regard the existing terminal is located closer
restriction and similar problems associated with Piggott’s Hill.
than would ideally be the case to the runway centreline and is itself a constraint to development.
With respect to the local topography, the airport is located within a constrained area. In
5.1.2 Runway 10
particular, the following restrict the potential for expansion:
• the sea to the east of the airport; A number of options would exist for the use of Runway 10. Conventionally Runway 10 would be
used for ancillary developments such as hangars, cargo and maintenance facilities. However,
• Carlisle Hill north of the runway towards the western end of the airport; as a number of operators have expressed interest to operate “FBO” services from this area, and
• the quarry and Piggott’s Hill south of the runway towards the western end of the airport; that the proposals appear on first assessment to be commercially attractive, it is recommended
that the master plan accepts Runway 10 as being allocated for such operations and therefore
• the public highway as it passes near to the runway to the west of the airport; the constraint of such operations only on Runway 10 has been adopted. See Section 6.6.6.
• the generally higher ground that rises north of the airport, including Carlisle Hill and
Coolidge; 5.2. Processing Conceptual Options

• the raised ground south of the runway and west of runway 10; In principle four concepts, with variations on each, for the expansion of the airport can be
considered. These conceptual scenarios are shown schematically in the following figure
• the US communication centre at the southern end of runway 10; and
Scenario 1. Scenario 2.
• the cricket ground and other Stanford Development Company developments north of the Develop the existing terminal and Abandon the existing terminal and
existing terminal. associated aprons to cater for all future construct a wholly new terminal zone.
In addition, it would be preferable to permit the fuel farm to expand broadly within its existing growth.
location and therefore the area of the existing fuel farm was also considered a constraint.
These constraints are shown on drawing D109233/RES/01. Whilst the constraints are not
absolute, the conceptual planning has taken account of the restrictions they impose.

5.1.1 Non-Instrument/Instrument Aerodrome and Parallel Taxiway Layouts Scenario 3. Scenario 4.


Retain existing terminal, expanded as Retain the existing terminal as a
As discussed the master plan will accommodate the potential for future expansion to incorporate necessary, as an arrivals (or departures) regional13 terminal and construct a new
precision approach requirements. Adapting the aerodrome to instrument requirements however facility and construct a new departures international terminal.
requires significant alterations to land beyond the current airport boundary. (or arrivals) facility.
With reference to drawing D109233/RL/03, it can be seen that the instrument runway strip
extends beyond the public highway north of the runway and into Carlisle Hill. Furthermore, the
requirements for transitional surfaces north and south of the runway strip would require
significant reshaping of both Carlisle Hill and Piggott’s Hill, although early discussions with
ECCAA have indicated that subject to the necessary operational restrictions and the extent of
infringements of the protected surfaces, some extent infringement may be acceptable.
As discussed in Section 4.3 the master plan will necessarily incorporate a parallel taxiway. In
the immediate term the taxiway will comply with non-instrument requirements and in the longer-
Figure 5.1 - Processing Conceptual Scenarios
term, instrument.
Drawing D109233/TXY/01 shows the layout of the current, partially constructed parallel taxiway.
Whilst the taxiway complies with the required separation from the runway centreline for Code F, 13
In this context, “regional” is defined as passengers travelling within the Caribbean and short haul, “international”
is defined as passengers travelling on longer-haul flights. All passengers are actually international in the sense
that they all clear customs and immigration.

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Considering each conceptual option, issues with each are as set out in the following table. Whilst Layout C (drawing D109233/CON/13) is a reasonable concept, it suffers from two
weaknesses:

Scenario Positive Negative • firstly, to achieve the required number of stands, it is necessary to locate the piers and
central terminal processing unit a significant distance from the runway, placing the terminal
1 • Maximises the use of the existing • Existing terminal is inappropriate as undesirably within an area of rising ground; and
terminal the basis for all future operations
• secondly, it is not clear that this layout can be effectively extended in the future, as the sea
2 • Avoids legacy issues with existing • Highest construction cost precludes the natural further eastwards expansion of the pier and cul-de-sac units.
building.
• Requires parallel operation of existing Thus the two preferred layouts are A and B (shown on drawings D109233/CON/11 and /12
• Achieves a completely new a new facility until new facility available
respectively). Both layouts adopt a visual parallel taxiway in the short-term, but provide the
facility maximising efficiency of
operations • Investment in existing facility in the ability to incorporate an instrument parallel taxiway for future operations.
short-term is a sunk cost
Of these two, Layout B, by locating the terminal further from the runway, provides a more
3 • (no obvious benefits) • Highly inefficient airside operation advantageous area between the runway and the new terminal building for short-term operations
requiring bussing of passengers to and and longer-term capacity. This concept was therefore adopted as the preferred layout and was
from all aircraft as each gate is one- further developed with respect to the operation of the terminal as shown on drawings
way only. D109233/CON/16 and /17 (as discussed in Section6).
• Difficult transfer from existing
With reference to the processing conceptual scenarios discussed in Section 5.2, scenarios 2
operation to future arrangement.
and 3 were rejected as being inefficient, not cost effective, or impractical for phased expansion.
4 • Offers the highest service • Requires duplication of all facilities Layout B shown on drawing D109233/CON/12 effectively provides a new terminal, which could
standard to international either:
travellers
• replace the existing terminal, in which case, the existing terminal would be incorporated as a
Table 5.1 - Consideration of Processing Conceptual Options pier serving the new terminal; or
• would operate as an international facility and the existing developed as a regional terminal.
5.3. Considered Development Options
Developing the new terminal as a separate international facility to the existing terminal’s regional
In isolation none of the above scenarios provides an acceptable solution, therefore based upon function would require duplication of all process elements. This would be more expensive to
the scenarios a number of options were considered. The options shown on drawings operate and maintain and is therefore not preferred. Equally, to construct a new facility, which
D109233/CON/01 to /05 are configured for non-instrument only operations. Drawings would incorporate the existing terminal as a pier only, would require the parallel operation of the
D109233/CON/11 to /15 are similar layouts but amended to permit instrument operations. existing facility and subsequent abandonment on completion of the new facility. Therefore it is
Considering each conceptual layout: proposed that processing scenarios 1 (expansion of the existing terminal) and 4 (new
international terminal) are combined to deliver a phased expansion of the existing terminal as:
• Layout A (D109233/CON/01 and /11) shows a linear development of a new terminal building
which could operate in either of conceptual scenarios 3 or 4; • the terminal whilst the first phase of the new facility is constructed ; and
• Layout B (/02 and /12) shows a variation of the linear development which configures the • subsequently, a regional arrivals facility,
extended terminal differently to permit further stands to be accommodated within the with the new facility processing all departing passengers and for international arrivals.
obstacle limitation restrictions;
This concept is developed in the following Section.
• Layout C (/03 and /13) shows a central unit/pier terminal configuration which could operate
in either of conceptual scenarios 2, 3 or 4;
• Layout D (/04) shows a wholly new terminal and apron layout as conceptual scenario 1; and
• Layout E (/05 and /15) shows the same new terminal and apron layout as Layout D, located
to the south of the runway.
As discussed in Section 4.1.2, it is essential that the master plan enables future operation that
satisfy instrument requirements and therefore the concepts shown on drawings
D109233/CON/01 to /05 were disregarded.
It is not cost effective, or practical, to abandon the existing terminal zone and construct a fully
new facility, (as shown on concepts D and E) and therefore these options were also rejected.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

ability to construct additional capacity at a preferred distance from the runway. The proposed
6. PREFERRED MASTER PLAN terminal has therefore been located to permit the necessary apron expansion within these
constraints.
6.1. Land-Use Planning and Phasing The short to medium-term non-instrument development expands regional stands immediately in
front of (south) and west of the existing terminal, into the existing equipment storage and
The master plan is essentially a land-use plan for the development of the airport. Its function is
maintenance areas. International, wide-body stands are provided to the east of the existing
to serve as a structured plan for the future provision of capacity. Certain elements are
terminal, with the proposed terminal configured as necessary to incorporate stands that comply
considered in detail, whilst others are subject to individual businesses cases, but are to be
with instrument requirements. The layouts include MARS stands to more efficiently use apron
constructed within the allocated areas as set out in the master plan.
space given that the regional and international peaks do not coincide. Longer-term expansion is
The master plan considers a phased expansion of capacity, which remains flexible to permit the to the east.
incorporation of instrument landing requirements as and when they are required.
The instrument conditions compliant apron layout uses the international, wide-body stands as for
Stages of the master plan expansion of the terminal zone are shown on the following drawings the non-instrument layout. The more onerous transitional surface imposed by instrument
at 1:5,000 scale at A3: conditions restricts the availability of stands in front of the existing terminal building. Therefore
the eastwards expansion of stands is required earlier than if non-instrument conditions remain
• D109233/GA-NI/01 – Long-Term Development Layout (Non-Instrument);
longer. The proximity of the coast to the east and the transitional surface limitations requires
• D109233/GA-NI02 – Medium-Term Development Layout (Non-Instrument); that further expansion of the international stands is to the north of the terminal pier.
• D109233/GA-NI/03 – Short-Term Development Layout (Non-Instrument); and 6.3. Airfield Simulation
• D109233/GA-I/01 – Long-Term Development Layout (Instrument) The master plan layout was modelled using an airfield simulation software package in order to
Drawings D109233/MP-V/01 and D109233/MP-I/01 show the entire airport for non-instrument identify any capacity issues with the proposed layout. In particular the implications for runway
and instrument conditions respectively. capacity of the need for aircraft to cross the runway to use the parallel taxiway was assessed.
The layout shown on drawing D109233/GA-NI/03 is the basis for the development that shall be The software package employed was SIMMOD Plus! version 2.6.0. SIMMOD is able to simulate
put in place in the immediate-term. a number of airport elements, in this case it was used to model the taxiway network, the apron
configurations and the ground movement rules developed to support the simulation.
The stages of expansion are shown as snap-shots in time; actual development, particularly of
the aprons, will proceed as required driven by passenger and ATM throughputs.
6.3.1 Modelling Methodology and Ground Movement Rules
6.2. Aircraft Pavements
The model was developed on the basis of the layout as shown on drawing D109233/GA-I/0114.
The model was tested against a forecast of the peak day schedule in 2030 based upon the
6.2.1 Runway observed schedule on 24 December 2004, which, with reference to Section 3.2.5, is the peak
day upon which the forecast planning requirements have been based. Whereas the traffic
As discussed in Section 4.2, the runway is extended by 285m to the west to enable RESA’s to
forecasts are unconstrained, the developed schedule restricted ATM’s in the peak hour to 35
be provided without a reduction in declared distances. The runway width is shown as 45m, as
reflecting the achievable capacity of a single runway airfield.
currently, though as noted, a widening may be required to 60m for Code F operations,
depending upon the business case for the introduction of such services. The taxiway network design was tested with ground movement rules consisting of one-way
sections as well as defined runway crossings and runway exits. These movement rules are
shown in Figure 6.1 and Figure 6.215.
6.2.2 Taxiways
Priority stands were set aside for regional, international scheduled, international charter, cargo
The non-instrument configurations make use of the partially constructed parallel taxiway, whilst and GA flights. Simplifying assumptions were made with respect to the cargo and GA aprons,
providing apron taxiways that form part of the parallel taxiway in the instrument layout. with the aprons modelled as simple areas on former Runway 10 and cargo area south of the
runway. The areas are shown on Figure 6.3.
It is impractical to provide a full-length parallel taxiway to the north of the runway under
instrument conditions, therefore such a taxiway is provided to the south. This taxiway also
enables access to the maintenance and support facilities that are relocated south of the runway
in the medium-term.

6.2.3 Apron 14
This layout is the most likely long-term configuration being applicable whether the airport either provides an
instrument landing system, or is required by the regulator to adopt non-precision approach requirements.
As discussed earlier, the existing terminal is too close to the runway from an ideal master 15
Note: the graphical output from the model has slightly rotated the image resulting in rectilinear lines that appear
planning perspective. In addition, the rising ground north of the existing terminal, restricts the skewed.

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Regional
International Scheduled
International Charter
Figure 6.1 – Modelled Arrival Taxiway Movements Cargo
GA
Figure 6.3 – Modelled Stand Allocations

The following figure shows two “snap-shots” of the model.

Figure 6.4 – Sample Model “Snap Shots”

Figure 6.2 – Modelled Departure Taxiway Movements

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6.3.2 Conclusions 6.5.2 Car Parking

The model demonstrated that the proposed layout, with the modelled ground movement rules, is In the short-term short and long-term car parking is provided within the currently landscaped
satisfactory, but that careful scheduling is required to plan the peak periods. In particular: area immediately north of the existing terminal building.
• the number of parking stands provided is sufficient, but that during peak periods and In the medium to long-term as the demand for short-term car parking increases, long-stay
overnight, aircraft towing may be necessary to remove aircraft from active stands and parking is expanded into the car park extension north of the new terminal building. As
parking them within the support zone south of the runway; discussed above, the short stay car park is also used to handle private set-down and pick-up.
• coupled with the above, the stands designated as international scheduled and international 6.6. Support Facilities
charter stands need to be used by other types of flights to maximise apron parking efficiency
reducing delays through bussing passengers to the terminal building; and principally, Support facilities include:
• it is essential that the schedule is controlled by the airport, such that slots can be managed • ATC tower;
to ensure an appropriate spreading of the peak periods. • fuel farm
Considering the need to cross the active runway, the observed delay was as set out in Table • RFFS station;
6.1.
• airport and airport vehicle maintenance;

Daily No. of Delayed Mean Delay Maximum Delay Total Delay • equipment storage;
Crossings
(min) (min) (min) • aircraft hangars;
21 7.4 25 155.9 • aircraft maintenance;
• air freight facility; and particularly at Antigua
Table 6.1 – Observed Taxiing Delay Crossing Runway 07/25
• “FBO” services.

The maximum delay of 25 minutes is caused by one aircraft that is held at its gate due to the
6.6.1 ATC Tower
departure queue at the appropriate runway crossing being full. If this aircraft is removed the
mean delay reduces to 6.5 min. The existing tower is functional and reasonably located; it is therefore proposed to retain the
existing tower.
6.4. Passenger Terminal
Refer to discussion in Section 7 and Appendix E. 6.6.2 Fuel Farm
6.5. Car Parking and Access Given the restriction imposed by the proximity of the existing terminal to the runway and the
preference thereby derived for expansion to the east, the area currently occupied by the fuel
6.5.1 Access, Circulation and Drop-Off farm is not required for expansion of the apron. It is therefore recommended that the fuel farm is
developed within its current location.
In the short-term, the existing access and road circulation is retained. In the short to medium-
term, with a relocation of terminal functions to the new terminal, circulation is adapted as shown
6.6.3 RFFS
on the drawings. The manner of circulation is retained as currently but the main modes of
vehicle traffic are separated to improve efficiency. Thus separate roads, with set-down/pick-up Although conveniently located the existing fire station is not a satisfactory basis from which the
areas are separately provided for taxis and shuttle buses. These roads pass departures and long-term service can be expanded. It would be possible to construct a new facility adjacent to
arrivals in turn. Private vehicle set-down/pick-up is to be managed through the short-term car the current building, but in view of the operational preference for fire stations to be located on
parks in front of the terminals (the first 20 minutes of parking would be free of charge). Private the far side of the main runway from the main apron area (in order to facilitate rapid response
vehicles access the car parks without interfering with the circulation of public transport vehicles. times), it is recommended that the new facility be constructed within the support zone south of
The configuration shown retains the existing Sun printing works. The separation and circulation the runway.
of the flows is made simpler and more efficient if the printing works are removed, but as it is not
necessary to do so, they have been retained. 6.6.4 Vehicle Maintenance and Equipment Store Area

The current maintenance yard is located in the area of the immediate apron expansion.
Therefore it will be necessary to relocate these areas further west and eastwards. In the short-

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Master Plan Report

term, equipment storage areas are provided as shown on drawing D109233/GA/01, in the
medium to longer term, equipment is stored east of the international pier, locating equipment
near to the wide body stands.

6.6.5 Aircraft Hangars and Maintenance, Air Freight and Flight Catering

The existing cargo facility and LIAT’s hangars are retained in the first phase of development.
Thereafter, expansion of the apron is eastwards and these facilities must be relocated.
In keeping with a preference to separate passenger processing from support operations in order
to present an improved passenger experience, it is recommended that the relocation of these
facilities and future expansion is to the south of the runway. The drawings show a schematic
layout of apron and facility zone; where the facility zone is available for building and support
facilities development.
Flight catering could be relocated south of the runway, or could be east of its current location
(into an area currently shown as long-term car parking).
With each of these relocations and future expansions, the actual configuration will be dependent
upon the developments individual operators bring forward. The maser plan’s function is to
allocate the areas in which such developments shall be permitted.
Development of the southern support zone required diversion of the Burma Road. In the short
to medium-term, such diversions are local to the development. In the longer-term, and a move
to instrument conditions and the southern parallel taxiway, revised access to the south of the
airport will be required.

6.6.6 FBO Services

The provision of FBO services plays and important role in the offering of Antigua as a country
and tourist destination. It is therefore appropriate that the master plan incorporates facilities for
such services. Two recommendations are therefore made:
1. “Runway 10” should be reserved for such operations, providing an area separated from
conventional passenger processing with ready sea and highway access; and
2. Such uses would be considered for the existing terminal facilities in the medium-term, once
the new terminal becomes the primary passenger terminal and the existing terminal is
adapted for ancillary purposes.
The consequence of the first recommendation is that future expansion of the aircraft
maintenance activities should be restricted to the dedicated support facilities zone and not to
Runway 10, for the same reason of separation of passenger process, particularly in this
instance, high-end passengers, and support operations.
Drawings D109233/GA/02 and /03 show an arrangement of GA self-manoeuvre stands
providing accommodation for up to 64 aircraft. The layouts show a phased expansion of a
configuration providing a terminal with a single stand through which the VIP’s can be processed
and a shared aircraft parking area. Whilst these layouts show one possible configuration, the
actual layouts should be derived in consultation with the providers in the market wishing to offer
such services in Antigua.

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Master Plan Report

• The procurement of the shell of a new terminal building which will ultimately form the
7. CONCEPTUAL PASSENGER TERMINAL DESIGN envelop to a fully operational terminal catering for the projected growth of the airport up to
2015.
7.1. Introduction • The conclusion of this phase will provide:
Further to the discussion in Section 6 this section sets out the concept for the new passenger o Domestic arrivals through the existing terminal
terminal in the long and medium-term and how the short-term and Cricket World Cup demand is
to be accommodated. o Domestic departures through the existing terminal

Whilst the long-term configuration is readily definable, the short-term configuration, wherein the o Regional arrivals through the existing terminal
existing terminal is retained and the phase 1 new terminal is constructed, is partially a function of o Regional departures through the existing terminal
the serviceability of the existing building and the capacity of the construction industry; therefore
o Long-haul arrivals through the existing terminal
the immediate-term configuration can only be confirmed as procurement is advanced.
o Long-haul departures through the existing terminal
Having considered a number of different possible terminal development scenarios the preferred
program is set out below. o Cricket World Cup arrivals through the new terminal
o Cricket World Cup departures through the new terminal
7.2. Repair Upgrade and Remodel the Existing Terminal
In order to achieve this there will need to be a number of construction projects:
The upgrade of the existing terminal has three objectives:
• Phase 1a; Procurement stream 1 – Existing terminal:
1. to provide an acceptable level of service in the immediate-term;
o The progressive repair, upgrading and remodelling of the existing terminal,
2. to compliment the partially constructed new terminal during the Cricket World Cup; surface access and forecourt to meet the objectives set out above. The scope of
this work is set out in Appendix E. These elements of work will be grouped into a
3. to facilitate subsequent reconfiguration as the regional pier (serving the new terminal) number of separate packages.
and as ancillary office and function accommodation. • Phase 1a; Procurement stream 2 – Enabling works:
In order to limit abortive expenditure, the upgrade of the existing terminal would be kept to the o The packages of works necessary to enable the clearance of the site for the new
minimum. Appendix C describes the review of the existing terminal and Appendix E describes terminal
the works that would be required, as an ideal, to improve the capacity and function of the
existing terminal. As discussed above, the actual works to be undertaken will be driven by the • Phase 1a; Procurement stream 3 – New terminal:
capacity of the construction industry. o The procurement of the shell of a new 2015 capacity terminal building
7.3. Phased Delivery Strategy • Phase 1a; Procurement stream 4 – New terminal shell fit out:
The expansion of the new terminal has been considered in two phases: the first to cater for the o The provision of sufficient facilities within the shell to process and take
forecast demand up to and including 2015 and the second up to and including 2030. commercial advantage of the throughput of the Cricket World Cup.
The extent of pier and air-bridge access to the long-haul aircraft will depend upon the schedule
of the aircraft and the airport’s ability and desire to move aircraft around the apron. The extent 7.3.2 Phase 1b; Immediately after the Cricket World Cup:
of the pier at this stage is an estimate of this requirement. It is possible that the first phase long
haul apron could be severed by airbridges linked directly to the main terminal building. • The new terminal will decommissioned and the internal works will be completed.
The delivery of the enhanced and new terminal facilities can be divided in to two main phases, • Once the new terminal has been commissioned the existing terminal will undergo some
Phase 1 and Phase 2. The first having two sub phases, Phase 1a and Phase 1b. reconfiguration works in order that it can operate in conjunction with the new facility.
• The conclusion of this phase will provide
7.3.1 Phase 1a; Prior to the Cricket World Cup: o Domestic arrivals through the existing terminal
• The existing terminal will undergo a program of repair, upgrading and remodelling in order to o Domestic departures through the existing terminal
achieve the objectives set out above. The scope of this work is set out in Appendix E. It is o Regional arrivals through the existing terminal
intended that these packages will be delivered during 2006 and enhance the performance of
the existing terminal. o Regional check-in at the old terminal but departures through the new terminal
o Long-haul arrivals through the new terminal
o Long-haul departures through the new terminal

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

In order to achieve this there will need to be a number of construction projects:


• Phase 1b; Procurement stream 1 – New terminal:
o The procurement of the internal completion and fit out of the shell of a new 2015
capacity terminal building
• Phase 1b; Procurement stream 2 – Existing terminal:
o The procurement of the internal reconfiguration to suit the removal of international
departures.

7.3.3 Phase 2; to increase the new terminal capacity beyond the 2015 projections:

• The new terminal will be extended to increase the capacity of all necessary and desirable
functions.
• It is assumed that upon completion of this phase the existing terminal will be demolished and
the area of land vacated will be utilised to improve the visual and security separation
between the restricted and landside zones.
• The conclusion of this whole phase will provide
o Domestic arrivals through a new part of the new terminal
o Domestic departures through a new part of the new terminal
o Regional arrivals through the new terminal
o Regional departures through the new terminal
Figure 7.1 – Phase 1 Apron Level Plan
o Long-haul arrivals through the new terminal
o Long-haul departures through the new terminal

7.4. Functional Concept of the New Terminal


The components and expansion of the terminal are shown on drawings 051082-A-P-20-001 to
007 and in the following figures as:
• Figure 7.1 – Phase 1 Apron Level Plan
• Figure 7.2 – Phase 1 Ground Floor Level Plan
• Figure 7.3 – Phase 1 First Floor Level Plan
• Figure 7.4 – Phase 2 Apron Level Plan
• Figure 7.5 – Phase 2 Ground Floor Level Plan
• Figure 7.5 – Phase 2 Ground Floor Level Plan

Figure 7.2 – Phase 1 Ground Floor Level Plan

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Figure 7.3 – Phase 1 First Floor Level Plan


Figure 7.5 – Phase 2 Ground Floor Level Plan

Figure 7.4 – Phase 2 Apron Level Plan Figure 7.6 – Phase 2 First Floor Level Plan

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

7.5. Architectural Concept of the New Terminal


The building has a large roof providing a very different gateway experience when entering and The metal clad roof is supported on sustainable timber laminated beams giving natural warmth
leaving the country. On arrival at the airport the striking roof form heralds a country in step with and texture while still providing impressive large open spans required in the terminal building.
the 21st century. As an arriving passenger progresses from aircraft to forecourt the building
Local stone is used for wall infill panels and this combined with the timber give a very individual
steps down in keeping with the human scale of the vernacular architecture.
vernacular ambience.
The phase 1 roof encloses the phase 1 building and extends to the sides providing areas of
external shade. The functions of the building are laid out to expand into these areas as the
terminal grows. This allows the terminal to adapt with minimal disruption.

Figure 7.9 – Phase 1 Terminal Perspective View Entry

The overhanging roof and lower height of the terminal on the public side will reduce the amount
of vertical elevation and maximise solar shading.
When departing the roof builds in height, following the process flow through the building towards
the airside, providing dramatic views towards the south east and the sea. This route is further
Figure 7.7 – Phase 1 Terminal Perspective View No. 1 emphasised by the provision of natural daylight from roof lights.

Figure 7.10 – Phase 1 Terminal Cross Section

Figure 7.8 – Phase 2 Terminal Perspective View

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

The large roof is free from internal gutters providing both a striking image and the ability to
collect rainfall for the use as grey water within the terminal. Later design stages will evaluate the
use of roof mounted electrical power generation.
The building is arranged on two main levels with a half lower level taking up the slope between
the forecourt and apron.
The node building is linked to the regional stands to the west and the long-haul stands to the
east by piers. Departing passengers will pass along at first floor levels and arriving passengers
at ground floor.

Figure 7.11 – Phase 1 Terminal Perspective Apron View

Baggage handling is accommodated at the apron level with conveyors linking to the ground
floor.
Passengers from remote stands will be received in bus lounges. Transfer facilities are provided
in the central vertical circulation and security check area enabling arriving transfer passengers to
proceed to the common departures airside lounge.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

8. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Transfer passengers are not required to pay the embarkation tax.
Embarkation tax receipts were the most important revenue source in 2004 at EC$12million or
8.1. Introduction
66% of revenue. Independent calculation of Embarkation Tax receipts applying the above unit
The purpose of the financial appraisal is to assess the business case and ‘fundability’ of the charges to passenger numbers net of transfers results in around EC$3million more
proposed development programme. (EC$15million) than provided for in the budget figures for 2004. This appears to represent the
existing revenue risk reflecting on inadequate revenue collection record.
For these purposes a financial model has been developed projecting operating revenue and
cost streams and assessing the financial performance of the capital development projects.
Passenger Facilitation Charge (PFC)
The structure of the report is as follows:
The charge has been collected as of January 2005. Current levy is USD$10 or EC$27 per
• Section 8.2 – reviews the existing revenues at the airport, provides some benchmarking of passenger. Government budget projections estimate receipts to be EC$6.5million in 2005.
airport charges with competing airports in the Caribbean and sets out the key assumptions Based upon the 2005 traffic forecast and assuming 100% collection (excluding transfer
for revenue forecasting; passengers), the actual value of receipts could be in excess of EC$10 million.
• Section 8.3 – sets out the main assumptions regarding the operating revenues at VC Bird Security Reimbursement
International;
This fee is levied on airlines using a complex formula based on aircraft weight and number of
• Section 8.4 – discusses the financial appraisal of the proposed development. passengers carried by an airline over a month. The charge is in place to recover staff cost in
short-term, and in the medium to include equipment cost and come in line with international
8.2. Review of Operating Revenue norms.

8.2.1 Aeronautical Revenue Summary of Aeronautical Revenue


Table 8.1 summarises the current aeronautical revenue receipts (2004):
Aircraft Landing and Parking Fees
The structure of the existing landing charge is set out in the table below Revenue (EC$)
Weight (lbs) Charge (EC$) Landing fees 3,598,812
<100,000 3.00 Aircraft Parking 11,864
100,000 – 200,000 3.20 Embarkation Tax 12,042,996
200,00 – 300,000 3.30 Security Reimbursement 626,366
>300,000 990 + 2.90 Total 16,280,038

Table 8.1 – Existing Landing Charge Structure Table 8.3 – Aeronautical Revenue - Summary
Landing fees accounted for EC$3.6million in 2004 or 20 per cent of overall operating revenue. Source: Budget Estimates
Parking fee constitutes 15% of the landing fee and is payable for overnight parking only. Less
than 2% of aircraft pay parking fees as airlines based at VC Bird International are exempt from 8.2.2 Benchmarking
parking charges.
Aeronautical Charges
Embarkation Tax
Average airport charges per one-way passenger have been calculated for some of the most
The structure of the existing embarkation tax is set out in the following table:
popular types of aircraft using VC Bird International and other airports in the Caribbean (DASH-
8, B737, B757, B777). These are presented as averages in Table 8.4:
Tax (EC$)
EC Nationals 35.00
Other Nationals 50.00

Table 8.2 – Embarkation Tax Structure

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Master Plan Report

USD 25
Average Charge/One- Departure Relative to
Landing Fee Security Fee PFC Total Fee USD 20
Way Passenger, EC$ Tax Antigua
Antigua 5 2 27 43 76 - USD 15

Trinidad & Tobago 6 11 0 46 63 -17% USD 10


St Maarten 7 14 0 81 101 +34%
USD 5
Grenada 4 - - 40 44 -42%
Barbados 4 - - 34 38 -50% USD 0

Middle
Africa/
Caribbean/

Pacific

Europe

America

Total
Asia/
East

North
America
Latin
Table 8.4 – Average Airport Charges (One Way)
Source: Airport AIPs, discussions with CAAs

For a large proportion of traffic (especially long-haul) airport charges are relatively small shares
of the fares on respective routes. For instance VC Bird International charges account for only Figure 8.1 – Revenue per Passenger by World Region
around 5% of BA’s average fare from London to Antigua and therefore an increase of even 50 Source: ACI
per cent is unlikely to act as a deterrent to travel of significant increase in the overall fare.
Short and medium-haul passengers will be more sensitive to an increase in charges (given
much lower average fares) and greater price discrimination may be considered at VC Bird 8.2.3 Non-Aeronautical Revenue
International to encourage the fare-sensitive traffic growth at the expense of relatively inelastic
long-haul traffic. The following table sets out the current non-aeronautical revenues.
VC Bird International is charging significantly less than Princess Juliana Airport in St Maarten,
which has undergone redevelopment of the terminal and other facilities. This may serve as an EC$ 2004 Revenue Comment
approximate indication of how much the market can bear in charges (given the improved
Rents 1,198,917 Rents are based on low unit charges of EC$7-9/sq ft
facilities). All other airports in the table (Trinidad, Grenada and Barbados) charge less than VC
(compared to ~EC$20/sq ft charged for premium locations in
Bird International. St John’s town). Potential for significant increase with
Overall charges are not believed to be as important competitive factor among airports in the improved facilities.
Caribbean as adequate facilities. Advertising 114,160 Advertising predominantly landside, airside expansion is
possible.
Revenue
Taxi & Car Rental 50,950
The overall revenue per passenger in Antigua is currently EC$28 per passenger or USD$10.5
Red Cap Concession 1,000 Should be significantly higher if collected in full
up from below USD$8 in 2004 before the introduction of a passenger facilitation charge.
Car Parking 0 Facilities transferred to Stanford Development Co
Revenue yield per passenger at VC Bird International is in line with the average in the region as
shown in Figure 8.1. Other 5,720
Fuel Throughput Fee 560,000 Airport Management estimate as a share of overall fuel-
related Government revenue
Total 1,930,747

Table 8.5 – Non-Aeronautical Revenue


Source: Government Budget

Overall the commercial revenue collection record is rather poor as is the standard and extent of
available facilities. With the upgraded facilities there is potential for substantially increasing the
contribution of commercial revenue. Non-aeronautical revenue accounted for around 10% of
overall airport revenue. This will decrease in 2005 to below eight per cent due to increased
aeronautical charges (introduction of the PFC). This is compared in the figure below with the
shares of non-aeronautical revenue at a regional level.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report
Cost Centre Operations Maintenance Security ATC Total
70%
Staff
60% Established Salaries 826,800 78,588 129,324 2,931,293 3,966,005
Allowances 134,541 68,134 573,390 776,065
50% Contributions 70,278 6,680 242,907 319,865
Other 20,000 36,000 56,000
40% Est staff total 1,051,619 153,402 129,324 3,783,590 5,117,935
Non-established Salaries 689,661 1,341,416 2,317,908 4,348,985
30% Allowances 17,184 32,040 49,224
Contributions 44,449 355,568 176,790 576,807
20% Other 0
Non-est staff total 751,294 1,696,984 2,526,738 0 4,975,016
10%
Training 40,000 25,000 300,000 365,000
0% Staff Total 1,842,913 1,850,386 2,681,062 4,083,590 10,457,951

Total
Europe
Caribbean/

Middle

America
Pacific
Africa/

Asia/
East
America

North
Operations & Maintenance Building 490,000 300,000 3,000,000
Latin

Grounds 230,000 230,000


Vehicles 54,000 54,000
Fuel&Oil 66,000 66,000
Other 315,000 125,000 30,000 470,000
Maintenance total 871,000 709,000 0 30,000 1,610,000

Figure 8.2 – Share of Non-Aeronautical Revenue by World Region Other Insurance 2,000,000 2,000,000
Source: ACI Subscriptions 30,000 30,000
Professional services 95,200 95,200
Miscellaneous 15,000 15,000
Security services 83,850 83,850
Revenue Growth Assumptions Office ExpeUniforms 20,485 35,000 47,300 28,000 130,785
Office supplies 20,000 2,500 15,000 10,000 47,500
Equipment 30,000 30,000
Landing, parking and security reimbursement charges are projected to remain constant in real Other 100,000 100,000
terms and associated revenues are to increase in line with the aircraft movement and passenger Other total 2,180,685 37,500 146,150 168,000 2,532,335
growth. The study will test the impact of an increase in the PFC once the upgraded facilities are
Total Costs 4,894,598 2,596,886 2,827,212 4,281,590 14,600,286
available.
PFC and Embarkation Tax charges are projected to remain constant in real terms with revenues Table 8.6 – Schedule of Operating Costs
growing in line with passenger forecasts. After 2006, we assume full recovery of these charges Source: Government Budget
based on unit rate for number of passengers (excluding transfers).
Non-aeronautical revenue is projected to more than double in 2007 after the facilities upgrade. The majority of the costs are related to staff expenditure. Staff costs overall account for over
Further work to assess the extent of envisaged commercial facilities and the yields generated by 70% of all costs even though the airport personnel does not perform labour-intensive ground
airport assets is required to forecast these revenue items more accurately. In the longer term handling operations and commercial facilities are let to concessionaires. Approximately half of
non-aeronautical revenue is forecast to increase with throughput but at a lower overall growth all staff costs are undertaken by ‘non-established’ workers who are employed on flexible
rate than airport traffic. contracts. Typically staff costs would represent 25-40 per cent of costs at airports of this size
depending on the range of activities undertaken by its staff.
8.3. Review of Operating Costs
Overall operating costs in 2004-2005 are approximately EC$17 (or USD$6) per passenger. This
is broadly in line with the regional average as shown in Figure 8.3.
8.3.1 Schedule of Operating Costs

Table 8.6 summarises the schedule of operating costs incurred at the airport based upon an
analysis of the 2004 Government Budget:

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

USD 15 • advertising, taxi & car rental and “Red Cap” concession revenues are to more than double in
2007 following the facilities upgrade and improved collection record.

USD 10
Funding Assumptions:
• No equity funding available, 100 per cent debt funding. Drawdown when capex exceeds net
cash flow.
USD 5
• Loan interest rate of 6.4 per cent per annum. Constant loan repayment over 10 years.

USD 0 8.4.2 Capital Expenditure

Total
Europe
Caribbean/

Middle

America
Pacific
Africa/

Asia/
East
America

North
Within the revenue forecast construct, the principal constraint to capital expenditure is
Latin

appropriate phasing that remains cash positive with the debt funding repayments. Maintenance
and expansion of the existing facility has not kept pace with demand and therefore the airport
requires immediate investment to recover that shortfall; in addition the first phase of expansion
Figure 8.3 – Operating Costs per Passenger by World Region for future growth would indicate that a substantial investment is required immediately.
The proposed development and thus the capital expenditure programme have therefore been
constructed within the immediate affordable debt financing. Until 2008, the maximum capex is
Operating costs are assumed to grow at a fraction of traffic growth reflecting operating thus EC$250 million (US$ 90 million).
efficiencies and economies of scale. Routine maintenance costs are projected to step change
after the new facilities become operational. Total capex, excluding routine maintenance to 2030 is in real terms EC$ 1 billion. (Over the
same period base case revenues are in excess of EC$ 2.5 billion.)
8.4. Financial Appraisal
8.4.3 Outputs
8.4.1 Assumptions
The headline outputs from the base case model are as follows:
The following assumptions have been made: • the project Internal Rate of Return (IRR) in real terms would be 16.6% until 2030;
Revenue Growth Assumptions: • over the period to 2030 the projected revenues are sufficient to operate and expand the
airport profitably, although capex over the first ten years is limited within the available debt
• aeronautical revenues are collected in full as per the published charges; financing;
• PFC increases to EC$50 per passenger to recover the costs of the new facilities; • this is shown by the Annual Debt Service Cover Ratio (ADSCR) which improves appreciably
• landing, parking and security reimbursement charges are projected to remain constant in as the superior revenues support enhanced debt repayment ability as shown in Figure 8.4:
real terms and associated revenues are to increase in line with the aircraft movement and The average to 2030 is 1.68.
passenger growth;
• Embarkation Tax charges are projected to remain constant in real terms with revenues
growing in line with passenger forecasts. After 2006 full recovery of these charges based on
published unit rates;
• retail passenger spend is assumed to grow from EC$25 per departing passenger in 2007 to
EC$59 by 2016 reflecting the improved range of facilities and market penetration. The
airport’s commission on this revenue is assumed to be 20 per cent of gross revenue;
• catering passenger spend is assumed to grow from EC$20 per departing passenger in 2007
to EC$47 by 2016 reflecting the improved range of facilities and market penetration. The
airport’s commission on this revenue is assumed to be the same as for retail;
• car parking revenues are based on the projected provision of parking spaces and assumes
an average 20% occupancy rate (based on 24 hour operation) for the Short Stay Car Park
and 40% occupancy rate for the Long Stay Car Park. The charges are assumed to be EC$2
per hour and EC$25 per day accordingly; and

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

4.50 50.0%

4.00 40.0%
3.50
30.0%
3.00

% Change in Total Revenue


20.0%
2.50
2.00 10.0%
1.50
0.0%
1.00 -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%
-10.0%
0.50
0.00 -20.0%
2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029
-30.0%

-40.0%
Aeronautical
Figure 8.4 – Annual Debt Service Cover Ration -50.0% Non-Aeronautical
Typically for infrastructure projects lenders would seek a minimum ADSCR of around 1.2 for % Change in Revenue Head
“stable” projects rising to 1.5 for “recommended target” and 1.8 for ”risky” projects.
The following options may be available to improve the financial standing of the airport in the
initial stages: Figure 8.5 – Revenue Sensitivities

• reprofiling of debt service to place a greater repayment burden toward the back end of the
loan life; The total revenue can be seen to be most sensitive to aeronautical charges, reflecting, as noted
• negotiating a grace period for the first two years of operation; or in Section 8.2.3, the comparatively small share of non-aeronautical charges to total revenues.

• increasing the charges. A further increase in the PFC by a further EC$25 per passenger in 2007 thus raising
aeronautical charges per one-way passenger to over EC$115 results in total revenues
increasing to over EC$3 billion and the average ADSCR to 2.8. This, however, may represent a
8.4.4 Sensitivity Analysis significant revenue risk. The airport may therefore consider price discrimination against long-
haul passengers to avoid the reduction of the short-haul traffic base.
The viability of the expansion is associated with the forecast revenues generated from the new
terminal facilities. Figure 8.5 shows the sensitivity of total revenues to changes in aeronautical
and non-aeronautical revenues.

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Master Plan Report

Appendix A

Structural Review of the Existing Passenger Terminal

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

It was noted that repairs to the rendering of the roof parapets have recently been carried out at
A.1 INTRODUCTION several locations.

A visual survey of the existing Terminal Building was been carried out to assess the overall
A.4 CONCLUSIONS
condition of the structure. The survey was limited to an inspection of the visible main structural
elements of the building together with selected areas of the soffit of the first floor level slabs. No
Considering the age, the environment and the usage of the building, the structural concrete
intrusive surveys were carried out.
frame appeared to be in good condition with no significant problems, other than those areas of
Record drawings of the original construction and later extension works were made available visible deterioration, particularly where areas of concrete cover have spalled due to corrosion of
from the Public Works Department records. These drawings were used to assist the survey the reinforcement. These areas will require local patch repairs that should be dealt with as part
work and checks were made on their accuracy as records of the as-built construction. of the refurbishment proposals.
As part of the recommendations for any future long-term refurbishment of the existing building
A.2 EXISTING STRUCTURE the condition of the reinforced concrete structure should be further checked for any undergoing
chemical change, in the form of the presence of chlorides and depth of carbonation, to
The original two-storey Terminal Building was constructed circa 1981 followed by major determine the reasons for the spalling. A short programme of non-destructive tests will
extensions to the Arrivals and Departures areas circa 1994. determine whether the concrete structure is suffering from any serious deterioration conditions,
that may not be obvious from the purely visual inspection carried out to date.
The structural form of the original building and the extensions consists of an in-situ concrete
frame comprising columns on a regular grid supporting an arrangement of downstand beams There are numerous rainwater leaks into the ground floor level Arrivals and Departures areas
and slabs at first floor and roof levels. Foundations consist of simple pad footings. from the flat roof areas above. The worst of these leaks appear to occur at the movement joint
locations, which is probably due to defects in the external sealing of these joints. It was noted
The overall length of the building is 140m. Movement joints divide this length into three
that the flat roof area above Arrivals is about to have new waterproofing laid and once
separate sections. Concrete shear walls that extend from foundation to roof level provide lateral
completed this may cure the leaks into this area.
stability of each section.
The areas of cracked/damaged rendering at high levels should be carefully removed and repairs
carried out so as to avoid the danger of falling debris.
A.3 STRUCTURAL SURVEY

A.3.1 General
In general the structure of the building appeared visually to be in good condition with no major
defects being noted.
Recorded structural defects were limited to areas of spalled concrete due to reinforcement
corrosion.
Some non-structural defects were also noted; there are areas of cracked and spalling render
and also several locations where rainwater is leaking into the Arrivals and Departures Lounge
areas from the flat roof areas above.

A.3.2 Structural Defects


Concrete spalling and cracking has occurred to some sections of the soffit of the first floor level
perimeter parapets as well as to local areas of the exposed roof slab soffit. This has been
caused by corrosion of the reinforcement forcing off the concrete cover.
The floor slab to the basement Pump Room has heaved and cracked extensively. Heave at the
centre of the slab is estimated to be about 200mm. Further investigations are required to
determine the reasons for this movement before any remedial works are carried out.

A.3.3 Non-Structural Defects


Cracking/spalling of the textured rendering has occurred to varying extents at several locations,
in particular the roof parapets. Areas of rendering to the Control Tower also show signs of
cracking/spalling, particularly to the sides of the mid-height cross beams.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Appendix B

Mechanical &Electrical Review of


Existing Passenger Terminal

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

The operation of the fire hydrant pump is questionable and it is understood that the when
B.1 AIRPORT INCOMING SERVICE CONNECTIONS hydrants are used around the building their pressure is borne by the APUA mains rather than
the pumps.
B.1.1 Electricity Generally the pump room is in a poor state of repair and lacks any forced ventilation making it a
health and safety hazard. Until such a time as forced ventilation is provided operatives should
The airport is served at 11KV supply via the APUA mains. The supply is via a resilient pair of
not be allowed to work in the area unsupervised and without breathing apparatus.
cables rated at 5MVA, effectively each cable is capable of taking a full 5MVA load so should one
cable fail the other would be cable of caring the load. APUA confirmed that these cables also
B.1.3 Telecoms
serve the Coolidge district, businesses on the airport road and the banks and restaurant
adjacent to the airport. The APUA were unable to confirm what loads these other users are The airport is currently served with 2 no. 250 pair copper cables and 1 no. 12 core fibre optic
taking as proportion of the 5MVA available from the cable and also the portion of the load being cable. The APUA confirm that currently the airport utilizes only 65% of the copper cable and 6
taken from the Cassada gardens primary substation. of the fibre cores. Cable and Wireless lease 2 of the 6 fibres utilised for the airport to service
their network at the airport.
The supply is transformed down to 208volts via the airports single recently installed 1.5 MVA
transformer. The transformer is sited adjacent the main switch room in the compound adjacent It is understood Virgin have a private wire connection as does ATC for Radar transmitter and air
the ATC tower. radio office.
Examination of the airport’s KW meter indicated the airport to be taking some 600 kVA (480KW It is also understood dedicated direct dial lines are available between the airport, the hospital
at 0.8 PF) at the time of inspection; discussions with the airport engineering manager confirm and fire station and also key local airports. APUA also confirm that they are able to offer point-
that the anticipated maximum demand should not exceed 700KVA. (560KW at 0.8 PF) to-point broadband at the airport.
There are currently 2no. standby generators one of 725KW capacity and one of 500KW Cable and Wireless are understood to have installed a microwave link from the airport however
capacity. These generators are not synchronised and therefore do not run simultaneously. The it is understood that the system has not yet been commissioned.
725KW (Caterpillar 1997) set is regularly used when APUA are load shedding. The second The APUA confirmed that it was acceptable for large users such as the airport to be able to
500KW set is used as a back up only in case for failure of the 725KW set. When the 500KW set install their own voice system and data systems within their demise and to connect to the APUA
is being run the Airport engineers shed the AC loads to bring the connected load within the
network as required to access the main island system.
capacity of the set.
The airport appears to rely heavily on their generators as sources of primary power therefore the
B.2 EXISTING TERMINAL MECHANICAL AND ELECTRICAL SERVICES
capacity of these sets is a potential limiting factor.
It was noted during the survey that the tented areas e.g. shops and restaurants take APUA
B.2.1 General Overview
metered supplies from the airport terminal building power distribution network. This would
suggest that unless there is an agreement in place for the airport to contra charge the APUA. The installation appears to have been installed at three different periods. The majority of the
APUA are being paid for the power used twice firstly by the airport from their meter at the infrastructure and incoming services appear original to the building circa 1981 along with the
incoming position and again for each tenant via the APUA meters taking power of the airports majority of the 1st floor services excluding Big Banana. A large proportion of the ground floor
network. services where replaced as part of the extension works circa 1994 i.e. the departure and arrivals
halls. A further upgrade would have appeared to have taken place circa 1997 where air-
B.1.2 Water conditioning was added to the arrivals and departure halls along with a new standby power set.
The mains water supply enters the terminal building via the basement pump room. The original installation was of a good standard and no doubt the building has benefited from
this throughout its life. The 1994 works again appear to have been carried out to a good
Adjacent to the pump room is a large water storage tank, which allows the airport to store water
standard but are showing signs of ageing now. The later works circa 1997 in particular the air-
as required in order to maintain supplies within the building. The tank would appear to rather
condition system would appear to have been installed to a relatively lower specification to the
large and it is questionable as to how long the water is left standing in the tanks before use.
rest of the installation and is already showing signs of premature ageing.
Ideally potable water should not be stored for in excess of 24 hours. Initial thoughts are that
water will stand in these tanks for in excess of 24 hours. The existing services installation is approaching the end of is useful working life across all three
phases and is lacking of key life safety installations such as fire alarms, emergency lighting and
It is believed that this tank can be supplied with run off water from the terminal roof, however this
fully operation hydrant system. Therefore full replacement should be considered within next 2 to
would require additional verification.
3 years with the life safety systems being replaced as soon as particularly possible. In the
The pump room also contains a triple filter set, fire hydrant pump and sump pump. meantime it is essential that sufficient funding is available to enable appropriate and necessary
maintenance.
Maintenance staff confirm that the pump room is regularly flooded and evidence to support this
is available within the room.

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Master Plan Report

Small Power Installation


B.2.2 Electrical Services
As with the rest of the installation the small power installation is approaching the end of its useful
Mains Distribution System working life.
The majority of the mains distribution system was installed as part of the original installation. The installation is mostly a flush fixed system. The installation falls short of modern
Maintenance staff report that the system does not suffer form any major faults and that the sub requirements in terms of provision of outlets to satisfy the modern Information technology based
main breakers do not regularly trip. However the installation, is considered to be approaching airport system and to this end there appears to have been a large number of ad-hoc power
the end of its use full working life and not suitable for long-term retention, with the possible supplies installed around the building to serve additional computers etc. These ad-hoc additions
exception of the new mains transformer. reduce the robustness of the installation significantly.
Mains power enters the site via an APUA feeder pillar on the grassed area adjacent to the Virgin The small power installation in its present form would not support any major up grade of the
check-in area. This pillar in turn feeds the new airport owned 1.5 MVA transformer then via a terminal or change of use.
3000A breaker the power enters the Airport Switch House at which point the two stand-by
generators are linked in the system via change over switches. (Note: only one generator can Artificial Illumination
run at any one time.) The power is routed either directly to the air conditioning panel or main As with the rest of the installation the artificial illumination installation is approaching the end of
2000A distribution centre. its useful working life.
The main 2000A distribution centre feeds the entire site with sub-main distribution centres Generally artificial illumination is provided by florescent luminaires through out all public areas.
adjacent in the switch room for the airfield and AGL, at the base of the ATC tower for ATC and The open public concourse lighting is further supplemented by feature down-lighters. Elements
the adjacent areas and a further sub-main distribution centre in the switch room on level 2 near of the lighting are controlled by time clock/photocells, elsewhere lighting is controlled by manual
Big Banana. switches group in key locations.
The switch room near Big Banana on level 2 also serves as the APUA metering room for all The office areas on level 2 are generally illuminated with fluorescent luminaries and in certain
tenancies. key areas low brightness luminaires have been used to support VDT usage but the types
Sub-main cables are routed through the service duct, which runs at high within the undercroft installed are no longer considered compliant with health and safety standards for VDT operators.
along the landside front of the building. A large proportion of the lighting installation within the arrivals and departure lounges where
There are a number of smaller distribution boards sited around the building to serve various replaced during the 1994 extension.
loads. Circuit protection in the main appears to be provided via circuit breakers. During the survey very few luminaires where noted to have failed lamps and consequently the
Subject to the fitting of covers and the maintenance staff proposed remedial actions with respect levels of illumination where in line within the original design intent.
to the volts drop issues, the mains distribution system would without the benefit of detailed The installation is not sympathetic to visual display terminal use and would not be readily
electrical tests appear to be of reasonable condition for its age. The system offers limited future adaptable for change of building usage
flexibility/expansion due to availability of new circuit breaker the limitations to the old cables.
The system could not be considered for long-term retention Emergency Lighting Installation
Maintenance staff advise that certain circuits do suffer from excess volts drop in a particular the The building was originally provided with an emergency lighting installation but this no longer
circuit serving the refurbished Big Banana and its associated kitchen facility. Volt drop problems functions leaving the building without a means of independent emergency lighting.
are also considered to emanate from the large junction box at the base of the ATC Tower. The lighting installation is fully backed by the standby generator and under mains failure the
generator would support the lighting installation, however when the generator is being used as
Standby Generation/UPS the primary power source and a fall back to the APUA mains can not be guaranteed then the
The are currently 2no. standby generators 1no. 500 kVA unit and 1 no. more recently installed lighting could fail, leaving the building in darkness.
906 kVA(725KW)unit. Despite being generator backed the general lighting is not wired with fire rated cables; therefore
Normally the size of standby generators is not a major limiting factor for expansion of an under fire conditions the integrity of the system could fail again putting the building in to
electrical service installation as the generators are normally used in rare cases of mains failure darkness.
and for such short periods of time that certain loads can be shed. However in this instance the
reliability of the main APUA supply for one reason or another has proved poor and therefore the Fire Alarm System
standby generators act as the airports primary power source for prolonged periods of time. The building was originally furnished with a full fire alarm system however as the system
Maintenance staff advise that there are no airport owned UPS systems installed, however local became obsolete the availability of spares consequently dried up, this together with cabling
UPS installations are known to exist within customs, ATC and airline offices. damaged by installation contractors has rendered the system non-operational.
The original system incorporated a main fire alarm panel in the base of the ATC tower with a
repeater station on the set down area. The system also incorporated a two-stage alarm.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Public Address System No control systems for the air-conditioning system were noted during the survey.
The building is furnished with a pubic address system through out. A separate split air conditioning unit is installed in the old casino area, resulting in slight lower
temperatures but significantly lower relative humidity levels in this area.
To the human ear the intelligibility of the system is very good and the volume appears generally
acceptable. The system is used to announce flight information in lieu of a flight information
Air-Condition System – Level 2
display system. Airport staff advise that individual airline operators have their own PA
microphones that also broadcast messages in the terminal building. Generally the administration offices where provided with packaged air-conditioning systems as
part of the original build although further localised split systems have been introduced
The system is not suitable for use as a primary means to initiate a building evacuation under
particularly to ATC and the met office areas. Generally these systems appear to function well.
emergency conditions.
Air-Condition System – Airline Offices
Structured Cabling (LANS)
There are a number of airline offices behind the check in area, it is understood that it is the
Maintenance operatives confirm that there are no major airport owned and operated local area
airports responsibility to provide these offices with an air-conditioned environment.
networks within the building; however ATC, certain regulatory authorities and airline offices have
their own independent systems. A number of these offices have installed their own additional split AC units with external
condensers being installed on the airside elevation of the terminal building.
Similarly as mentioned elsewhere there are no airport owned and operated uninterruptible
power supplies however ATC, certain regulatory authorities and airline offices have their own Fire Hydrants
independent systems.
There are a number of fire hydrants located around the building although it is understood that
Lightening Protection these units will only operate at main water pressure as the pumps no longer function following
the repeat flooding of the pump room.
Lightning protection is only provided to the top of the ATC tower.
Whilst appearing limited it may be that the conductors on the tower provide via the sphere of Domestic Hot Water System
influence protection to the rest of the terminal building. Despite all toilet wash hand basin taps having a hot and cold mixer tap no hot water was present
at any of the taps tested on the survey.
B.2.3 Mechanical Services
Baggage Handling System – Outbound
Air-Condition System – Level 1: Departure and Arrival Halls
Currently there are four separate out bound baggage systems operated by individual ground
This area were extended in 1994 and designed to utilise natural ventilation via open screen handling agencies on behalf of the airlines. There are no weigh label conveyors and all bags
bricks. However an air-conditioning system was installed circa 1997. This comprises of 3no. have to manually lifted by the ground handling staff from the weight scale across on the out
chillier located adjacent to the maintenance facility and 10 no. air handling units strategically bound belts behind the check in positions.
located around the perimeter of the halls mainly in lean too type sheds on the airside façade.
From the check in position bags are transported out in to the service yard behind check in at this
Flow and return chilled water pipe work is surface mounted on the airside elevation of the point there are a number of hold baggage screening units operated by the ground handlers sited
terminal building. within small sheds. It would appear that not all bags pass through the HBS machines, which
The air handling units despite only being installed in 1997 are in relatively poor condition, this is would appear to have been out of commission for a period.
believed in part to be due to the internal quality finishes but is also contributed to by being There did not appear to be any emergency stop buttons provided to stop the conveyor belts in
installed in most cases in semi open locations as the lean too sheds are not particularly water the case of emergency.
tight. Recirculation from the conditioned space is achieved via the open screen blocks into the
conditioned space in the case of the lean too sheds and grilles within the enclosure for the Baggage Handling System –Inbound
totally indoor units.
There are two number inbound baggage carousels both of which become overloaded at peak
At the time of the survey the temperature within these areas was effectively the same as the times resulting in the “Red Caps” removing unclaimed bags and placing them on the arrivals
external environment circa 31°C. Thus suggesting that the air conditioning is ineffectual. hall floor adding to the congestion.
However it was also noted that the landside and airside doors were open for long periods.
The carousels would appear to function satisfactorily although they are reaching the end of their
It was also noted that Columbian Emeralds have an external condensing unit mounted on the useful lives.
top of their unit rather than externally to the building. Units such as this contribute to the interior
heat gains and should be installed out side the building. Again there did not appear to be any form of emergency stop facility for either conveyor.
Maintenance staff where also keen to point out the one of the three chillers was not operational
with spare part being on order for its repair, also the step up power supply transformers for these
chillers are in correctly rated causing the chillers to run inefficiently.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Vertical Transportation
There are no public vertical transportation facilities with the terminal building, which doe not
seem to be proving to be a problem at present as the majority of public activity is concentrated
on the ground floor level 1.
A new traction lift 13 person 1000kg was installed within the ATC tower in 2003 and it outwardly
appears to be in a good state for repair with many years future life expectancy subject to
ongoing maintenance being continued.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Appendix C

Review of Existing Passenger


Terminal Processing Operations

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

C.2.5 Security
C.1 INTRODUCTION
Currently documentation is checked for completeness at the point of entry to the security area.
This appendix provides an overview of the existing terminal and the condition and capacity of This is currently staffed by a single person creating yet another bottleneck. The passengers
key elements (Section C.2), and provides a commentary of the full scope of works that would be then proceed to one of two passport checkpoints and onwards to a single security screening line
required to develop the terminal to accommodate with the immediate capacity needs such as it and through to the lounge.
is able to do so (Section C.3).
The security area has insufficient ancillary space. It has one cellular room, which acts as
administration, rest area and passenger interview.
C.2 REVIEW OF CONDITION AND FUNCTION OF EXISTING TERMINAL
C.2.6 Departures Lounge
C.2.1 General This area is only approximately 700m2 excluding retail (including bar) and has insufficient seats
to be able to cater for peak demand.
The building and building services have fallen into a state of dilapidation that will require
substantial refurbishment. The existing terminal building is significantly under sized in all The main area of the lounge is in poor decorative order with years of overlaid material, ceiling
processing and most ancillary areas and has a significant detrimental effect on the impression of tiles missing and signs of drawn out maintenance.
arriving and departing passengers.
The M&E in the main lounge is poor and the level of air-conditioning is only just adequate at low
The building has also suffered from a lack of management and coordination. This has led to times and is insufficient at the peak. The small southern extension does benefit from better
adhoc additions and alterations. conditioning but can only hold around 100 passengers.
Wayfinding, branding and advertising is confused and un-coordinated. This further detracts from Toilet provision is insufficient and requires up grading.
the image of the building.
In terms of finishes these are tired but clean.
There are a number of support areas that do not follow disabled access good practice.
The area suffers from visual confusion and a lack of clear relevant information such as flight up
dates.
C.2.2 Check-In
Currently there are around 42 desks in operation. This includes the Virgin and Caribbean Star C.2.7 Departures Retail
facilities (some of the latter are not yet operating). The queuing depth to the check-in is far too
The retail offers are small and arranged in a rather dark area at the back of the lounge around
short. This needs to be in the region of 18-20m but is effectively only approximately 6-8m. This
the bar.
is exacerbated by cross circulation.
There is no common user facility. Hence all the airlines have dedicated desks. The collector C.2.8 Departures Catering
belts behind the desks are also dedicated and feed to individual screening and handling areas.
The bar is arranged centrally to the retail. It provides a bar service and seating which limits its
This adds to the ineffectiveness of the area.
patronage to the numbers that can fit around the bar length, thus blocking service and those
Toilet provision is minimal. Currently this is only an issue during long waits as passengers are who take purchases away to the lounge seats.
keen to pass through security to get within the air-conditioned areas.
C.2.9 Gate Area
C.2.3 Departures Concourse
This is confused and un-segregated and arranged at right angles to the exit to apron flow.
This area is external so that any dwell is in an unconditioned external environment. As above
Gate number identification is unclear. As with the main lounge area there is visual confusion.
toilet provision is minimal.
If more than one flight is embarking at any one time then passengers mix immediately after the
There is little shade in this area beyond the immediate roofline.
gate check, which leads to confusion, congestion and possible embarkation mistakes.
C.2.4 Tax Office The departures ramp to the apron is approximately 5m wide but in reality is a single party width
with some ability to pass.
This function is undersized and causes severe queuing back through and perpendicular to the
check-in queues16.
C.2.10 Apron Departures
After the sloped walk down from the gate area passengers then walk to the aircraft. Following
the confusion and mixing of flights post gate there are further opportunities for confusion at this
16
point with lead passenger not being provided with sufficient direction by ground staff and from
It is understood that the airport intends to revert to the practice of passengers paying tax at the point of check- passengers heading towards the wrong aircraft.
in. This is likely to length check-in transaction times but will remove a step in the process and allow passenger to
pass from check-in direct to security.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

There are significant concerns regarding safety and security with the large amounts of At peak times queues from customs inspection back up into the baggage reclaim area, though
passengers walking across the live apron and mixing embarking and disembarking flights. this is in no small part due to an apparent under staffing with the majority of check points
unused.
C.2.11 Apron Arrivals There is a small administration office but the area lacks privacy for inspection areas, interview
There is a single point of entry to the terminal. This is approached either from the west by and examination rooms and staff welfare. There is also little opportunity for discrete observation
walking from the aircraft to a covered walkway or by walking across the apron directly to the by staff.
sloped covered walkway to the terminal entrance. The routes also suffer from a lack of clarity of emphasis of declaration.
There are significant concerns regarding safety and security with large amounts of passengers From the customs area passenger turn right in a narrow space to exit into the arrivals
walking across the live apron and mixing embarking and disembarking flights.
concourse. Often this flow is impeded by trolley returns.
The arrivals ramp from the apron is approximately 5m wide but in reality is a single party width
with some ability to pass. C.2.17 Arrivals Concourse
The area of concourse before arriving passengers encounter the area of departing passengers
C.2.12 Immigration is only approximately 120m2. This forces passengers to bunch and turn left (This is the 5th 90
After walking up the arrivals ramp passengers enter through a set of double doors to an area degree turn the arriving process has dictated).
and a left turn to the immigration desks. At this point there is a lack of clear graphic information This area, which is external and hence unconditioned, is also occupied by tour company desks,
directing passengers to either transfers (there are redundant signs to a closed route), land card
individual representatives, taxi drivers and the taxi dispatch desk, a hire car office, telephones,
completion or directly to immigration.
trolleys and meeters and greeters.
Immigration itself has 8 desks. Some of these are identified as fast track and nationals.
This area is too small and confusing with passengers trying to orientate themselves with all their
The environmental conditioning in this area is poor. The level of air-conditioning is only just baggage in an unconditioned space.
adequate at low times and is insufficient at the peak.
C.2.18 First Floor Offices
C.2.13 Transfer These are generally in an operational but dilapidated condition. Many offices suffer from
Once the transfer desks have been located there is an administration desk and approximately substandard daylight and environmental conditioning.
40m2 of concourse.
Signs and wayfinding is uncoordinated.
Once through the administration process passengers then pass through a dedicated door to the
security process post passport check. C.2.19 Landside Restaurant
A domestic transfer (from Barbuda) would need to pass through the immigration line (even This is a popular area given that it is the only catering offer.
though they are nationals) and pass through customs (explaining their situation) and walk
The restaurant appears to operate well but is seriously under sized during the departing peaks.
around and join the queue to security.
C.2.20 Fabric
C.2.14 VIP Reception
Despite the efforts of the maintenance team the building has fallen into a state of decline that
The VIP reception is a small room directly off the immigration hall and requires the VIP to be
will require substantial refurbishment.
greeted and led to it in order to find it.
There are areas of concrete spalling in some places have been decorated.
C.2.15 Baggage Reclaim There are numerous leaks through the fabric with the worst area being from the terrace outside
The route through reclaim from immigration to customs is a right angle. the landside restaurant.
The area contains 2 baggage reclaim belts. There has been little aesthetic control on the building. As a result it appears tired and in poor
condition. The lack of coordinated and design control of fixtures and fittings has added to the
The environmental area of reclaim is the same as immigration and suffers from the same
uncared for appearance.
problems. However the density of population in the reclaim can outstrip that of immigration or
even the main departures lounge. As with the majority of the terminal natural ventilation grills Applied stonework is in good visual condition and generally seems sound.
have been closed off with perspex to prevent mosquito entry and to hold in the conditioned air Some areas of the roof have recently been recovered. However there are still a large number of
provided. areas that show signs of leaks.
C.2.16 Customs
The customs inspection area is completely open to the reclaim area.

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Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Appendix D

Runway Length and RESA Requirements

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

D.1 INTRODUCTION
Destination Distance
This Appendix considers the runway length that should be provided under two operational (km) (nm)
requirement scenarios. In addition, the requirements for runway strips and runway end safety
areas (RESA) are considered. North America
New York 2,900 1,600
The two operational conditions considered are:
Toronto 3,400 1,900
1. essentially as current, with the most onerous routes being to European destinations; and

2. representative of potential future requirements and in particular the ability to operate non- Europe
stop flights to China.
London Gatwick 6,600 3,600
The analysis has been based upon the charts published by Boeing and Airbus in the respective Manchester 6,500 3,500
Airplane Characteristics for Airport Planning manuals. The charts are approximations of a
Milan Malpensa 7,200 3,900
complex set of operational parameters and represent estimates of the required runway lengths
only. The actual required runway lengths can only be established by individual operators as
ultimately the requirements are based upon operational standards that vary from airline to Asia
airline. The results of this analysis must therefore be confirmed before the conclusions are
relied upon. Beijing 13,700 7,400

Section D.2 sets out the operational requirements of a range of aircraft serving Europe and Table D.1 – Distances to ANU from Selected Destinations
China establishing take-off and landing runway length requirements. Section D.3 presents the
Note: distances rounded up to the nearest 100 nm or km.
development options that achieve the required declared distances and RESA’s. Section D.4
presents the summary of the analysis and recommended planning scenario.
This analysis has adopted London Gatwick and Beijing as being representative of the sector
lengths the runway should be designed to accommodate. Therefore ranges of 3,600nm and
D.2 OPERATIONAL REQUIREMENTS 7,400nm have been considered for current and future operations respectively.

D.2.1 Analysis Parameters Aircraft

Destinations and Sector Lengths Currently the fleet serving long haul services to Antigua is represented by B747, B757, B767,
B777 and A340 aircraft. Of these aircraft, the B747 and B777 have been considered as typical
aircraft that will be in operation for the master plan study period.
Antigua currently serves a number of destinations in North America and Europe. Potentially it
may in the future serve more distant destinations, most notably China. For the purposes of this In addition the analysis has considered the implications of the A380 operating both within the
analysis, it has been assumed that services will operate to Beijing. current operational scenario to Europe and in the future to China.
The following table sets out sector lengths to selected destinations; making normal assumptions
over divert requirements, etc. Operational Assumptions

The following assumptions have been made in determining the runway length requirements:

• wet runway;

• 0% average runway gradient;

• 35°C temperature;

• nominal cargo load;

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

• maximum passenger load, at the seating configuration giving a greater number of higher
D.2.3 Planning Parameters
class seats; and
Considering the two planning scenarios set out in section D.1 and the summary of lengths as set
• maximum flap settings for landing
out in Table D.2 above, the following planning parameters were therefore adopted:
D.2.2 Results of Performance Analysis 1. current scenario: runway length of 2,500m required;

Take-Off 2. future scenario: runway length of 3,200m required.

The analysis considered, for each aircraft, the operational take-off weight required for a full D.3 DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS
passenger load for each route. On the basis of that take-off weight, the required runway length
was determined.
D.3.1 Design Parameters
In each case the charts published by Boeing and Airbus in the respective Airplane
Based upon the foregoing analysis and ICAO requirements, the following parameters were
Characteristics for Airport Planning were inspected. The charts are approximations of a
adopted to develop the layout of the runway and associated elements:
complex set of operational parameters and represent estimates of the required runway lengths
only. The actual required runway lengths can only be established by individual operators as
• length available for the ground roll of aircraft (TORA18) as stated in section D.2.3;
ultimately the requirements are based upon operational standards that vary from airline to
airline. The results of this analysis must therefore be confirmed before the conclusions are
• width of runway strip: 150m either side of runway centreline, as required by ICAO for an
relied upon.
instrument, Code 4 runway;

Landing • length of runway strip beyond end of TORA: 60m, as required by ICAO for an instrument,
Code 4 runway;
In each case the most onerous condition was a forced landing at maximum landing weight
immediately following take-off. This condition would require emergency dumping of fuel. • length of RESA: 240m as required by ICAO for a Code 4 runway;

The following table presents the required runway lengths: • width of RESA19:

Aircraft Destination Take-Off17 Landing o 90m should the RESA be constructed into the sea in the current operational
scenario;
(m) (m)
B747 LGW 2,300 2,200 o 120m should the RESA be constructed into the sea in the future operational
scenario as the A380 would require the runway to be widened to 60m width; and
B747 BJS 3,160 2,200
o and 150m should the RESA be constructed over current land areas.

B777 LGW 2,500 2,120 D.3.2 Potential Layouts

Drawings D109233/RL/01 and RL/02 show potential layouts providing the required runway
A380 LGW 2,300 1,900 lengths for the current and future operating scenarios respectively. The following sections
A380 BJS 2,740 1,900 discuss each option.

Note: the B777 is unable to fly ANU-BJS.

Table D.2 – Runway Length Requirements

18
TORA: Take-Off Run Available.
19
ICAO requires that a RESA is twice the width of the runway and recommends that it should be as wide as the
associated cleared and graded area (150m). Considering construction into the sea, it would be proposed to
construct the RESA to the lesser dimension to restrict the impact on the marine environment. It should be borne
17
The actual distances will vary depending upon the actual cargo load carried. in mind though, that the full width might have to be provided.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

and 1,600m for Layouts C to F. However, the area of water over which a clearway is declared
Current Operations (Drawing D109233/RL/01 – Layouts A and B) must be under the control of the airport authority and would require demarcation to prevent
access by water borne craft.
The current runway length is 2,737m with 60m strips to each end; neither undershoot nor
overshoot RESA’s are provided. D.4 CONCLUSION
Layout A shows a configuration that accommodates the required eastern RESA within the
existing land boundary. This achieves a TORA of 2,462m for the preferred take-off Runway 07. In order to provide the required runway length it is necessary to extend the runway either
This is 38m short of the design requirement. Layout A also shows that to make maximum use of westwards or eastwards. The issues with these two extension options are as set out in the
the existing runway for landing on Runway 07, it is necessary to extend the RESA 181m beyond following table.
the current observed boundary20. The western RESA could be accommodated within the Direction of Positive Negative
existing boundary, by reducing the available runway length by 181m. This would reduce the
landing distance (LDA21) for Runway 07, but only to 2,281m, which satisfies the design Extension
requirement. Westwards • Does not require • Requires local
reclamation of the sea. earthworks
Layout B shows a configuration that provides a western RESA within the current boundary and
an eastern RESA, fully extended from the current runway end into the sea. This layout provides • Relocates the runway
a TORA 2,737m (as currently defined) for Runway 07, a TORA of 2,565m from Runway 25 and thresholds further from the
LDA’s in both runway directions of 2,565m, satisfying the design requirements. hills north and south of the
runway, lessening their
Although Layout A (as extended by a further 38m) and Layout B as presented satisfy the design impact.
requirements stated in section A.2.3, they shorten the declared distances from those currently
• Does not require additional
provided22. It is probable that the airlines would wish to see the preservation of at least the
land purchase
current distances in both runway directions, in which case Layout A would require an extension
of 275m and Layout B of 172m; each could be in either direction. Eastwards • Does not require additional • Requires reclamation
land. of the sea.
Future Operations (Drawing D109233/RL/02 – Layouts C to F)
Table D.3 – Runway Extension Options

In order to accommodate the potential future non-stop operations to China it is necessary to It is essential in the immediate term to comply with ICAO requirements with respect to RESA’s.
extend the runway to a TORA of 3,200m. It is not necessary to extend the runway in order to The western development option (Layout A) achieves this and avoids the need to develop into
accommodate operation of the A380 to London Gatwick although it is necessary to widen the the sea. However Layout A does not achieve the current declared distances. To do so would
runway to 60m plus 7.5m shoulders. require a western runway extension of 285m and a similar increase in additional land take to a
total of 456m (as shown on drawing D109233/RL/03). Layout B permits the currently declared
Layout C shows all necessary development to the west; Layouts D to F require whole or partial TORA to be achieved for the preferred take-off runway (07), but at the expense of extending into
development into the sea to the east. Fully extending to the west (Layout C) requires an the sea to the east.
extension of 919m, whereas extending only to the east (Layout D) requires an extension of
880m into the sea. Although Layouts A and B provide sufficient runway length to accommodate operation of the
A380 to London Gatwick, it would be prudent to safeguard extension of the runway to a length
D.3.3 Clearway that would permit operations to the potential future market of China. Thus a longer-term
development to the longer and wider runway and runway strip configurations on drawing
The potential benefits of declaring a clearway have not been considered, as it is not possible to D109233/RL/02 should be planned.
do so from the simplified charts publicly available from the aircraft manufacturers. It may be that
combinations of TORA and clearway (TODA23) could enable a shorter TORA to be declared. In the short-term Layout B achieves the required runway definition at the expense of reclaiming
an area of the sea. It would be the preferred option but for the environmental and financial cost
In particular, considering the preferred take-off runway (07), a clearway is readily achieved over of such an activity.
water and could extend to a maximum of half of TORA, i.e. 1,231m for Layout A, 1,368m for B
Were Layout B to be adopted in the short-term, Layout E would be the natural development in
20
the medium-term.
The boundary is not shown on the 1995 survey and has been estimated from the satellite photograph.
21
LDA: Landing Distance Available. Conversely, Layout A (as extended and shown on drawing D109233/RL/03) in the short-term
22
Although those distances, not permitting RESA’s are not in accordance with ICAO’s requirements. and Layout C in the medium-term are the preferred options avoiding reclamation of the sea.
23
TODA: Take-Off Distance Available: TORA plus clearway.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Given that the construction cost is higher with regard to reclamation of the sea and with it the
environmental and therefore political costs are higher too, it is recommended that the preferred
option is to extend to the west.

The two stages of this expansion are shown on drawing D109233/RL/03. The layout shows that
an immediate runway extension of 285m is required. The drawing also shows the same runway
extension under instrument conditions, where it will be noted the increase width of the western
RESA shortens the declared runway. Therefore it would be appropriate at that time to extend
the runway to maintain the declared distances.

However the length of that runway extension would be driven by the operational need. Either it
would be of 32m to preserve the 2,737m declared distances, or it would be to achieve the
3,200m runway as shown on Layout C.

26/10/05 D/5 © Scott Wilson


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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Appendix E

Enhancement of the Existing Terminal Building

26/10/05 E/1 © Scott Wilson


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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

E.1 INTRODUCTION

2007 Possible
Requirement

Requirement
2005 Short

2007 Short
Provision

Upgrade
This Appendix discusses the works that would be required to maximise the capacity of the

Current

2005

2007
Fall

Fall
existing terminal, however, with reference to Section 7 it is not anticipated or recommended that
the full scope of works is undertaken.

E.2 REVIEW OF REQUIRED ENHANCEMENTS TO EXISTING TERMINAL


Check-In
Desks 42 21 -21 26 -26
E.2.1 General Area (m2) 800 2,104 1,304 2,772 200 -2,572
All areas of the terminal would benefit from the removal of visual clutter and the implementation
Passport Check
of a coordinated wayfinding and advertising scheme.
Desks 4 7 3 9 4 -5
Airports are often criticised for not providing the correct and appropriate manning levels to Area (m2) 15 147 132 189 30 -159
facilities thus creating bottlenecks. Management procedures must be put in place to ensure that
sufficient positions are properly manned and that the personnel are fully trained and understand Security
the importance of the task they are performing. Desks 1 2 1 7 3 0
Area (m2) 40 120 80 180 70 -110
To reduce the pressure on the terminal facilities the airport should consider management
procedures to reduce the amount of processing needed particularly during the added peak of Departures Lounge
the Cricket World Cup. These procedures could include: Seats 275 805 530 1,006 650 -356
• the pre immigration clearing and point of origin; and Area (m2) 700 1,751 1,051 2,188 1,300 -888
• the expansion of the faxed/off site remote check-in. Gates
The following table sets out the short-term key process element requirements: Desks 9 10 1 14 12 -2
Area (m2) 75 100 25 140 75 -65

Immigration
Desks 8 14 6 14 8 -6
Area (m2) 325 2,590 2,265 2,590 835 -1,755

Baggage Reclaim
Belts 2 6 4 6 4 -2
Area (m2) 250 553 303 553 600 +47

Customs
Desks 7 7 0 7 7 0
Area (m2) 100 77 -23 92 90 -2
Table E.1 – Immediate-Term Key Functional Requirements

E.2.2 Check-In
The current design requirements would imply that some 20 desks are required whereas the
current terminal has around 42. The figure of 20 however assumes a CUSS system to be
operating. Therefore, with the existing desk arrangement retained a further temporary
arrangement would be required to provide additional check-in desks. This could be provided
through self-check-in facilities freeing the existing desks to accommodate more easily the full
service check-in passengers.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

The forecast requirement in 2005 is for 2No. machines would result in a 20m maximum queue,
E.2.2 Departures Concourse which would be reasonable. In 2007 however a further machine would be needed to maintain
The current arrangement could be improved by the demarcation of drop-off in line with the this level of service.
existing canopy. In order to provide the proper check-in depths required the building would
It should be noted that currently there is only about a 6m queue length between Passport Check
need to be extended north by as much as 11m and the forecourt by 4m and this should be
and Security.
safeguarded as a minimum. This configuration is shown in Figure E.1 below:
A solution to increasing the capacity in this area would be to expand the search area to the east
into the areas currently occupied by the office and the western lounge retail units. This would
result in the loss of the revenue from these units but would allow a better arrangement with the
potential of 3No. machines.
The length of queue between Passport Check and Security would increase and it would also
open up the lounge generally.
Currently there is only one room serving as interview, office and welfare. The provision of
welfare should be elsewhere in the building and ideally two small rooms provided one for
office/interview and the other a dedicated interview room.

E.2.5 Departures Lounge


Any adjustments would result in a net loss of lounge area, however the seating and other
miscellaneous furniture in the lounge require upgrading.
The most significant improvement to the lounge would be to open up to the current landside
restaurant. This would become airside, which would be better for passengers, and the terrace
would be enclosed. This would result in the lounge effectively increasing by approximately
Figure E.1 – Check-In Concourse Expansion 600m2 to approximately 1,300m2. This compares with the 1,751m2 (451m2 short fall) and
2,188m2 (888m2 short fall) required for 2005 and 2007 respectively.
The intended removal of the Tax office will greatly ease congestion.
It should be noted that the 1,300m2 area cannot provide the ideal 1,006 seats. The maximum
The flow from check-in would benefit from the easing of the corner and the opening up of the that this area is likely to provide is 500 lounge seats and 100-150 catering seats.
single double doors into the security area. To do this it will be necessary to remove the retail
unit in this area and form a new opening with automatic doors. This would have the added benefit of further toilets becoming available on the first floor, but at
the small resultant loss of a landside apron viewing gallery and the loss of a landside facility and
E.2.3 Passport Control small replacements may be considered.
There are currently four positions. However they are of little use as they funnel to only one With the airside conversion of the restaurant the removal or reduction of the existing bar in the
security position. lounge should be considered.
It is difficult to see any immediate way to improve on this number. The use of narrower desks The lounge could be extended further between the two walkways however it is important to
may allow for an additional two making a total of 6No. This is one short of the ideal of 7No. for remember that any extension to the south would ultimately be removed as part of the apron
2005 and three short of the ideal of 9No. for 2007. The likely queue length per desk (assuming master plan.
all 6 were operating effectively) would therefore be approximately 10m in 2005 and 13m in 2007 The air-conditioning in the main area should be improved. The general standard of decoration
as opposed to the target of 8.5m. should also be improved and generally lightened. Ways of providing additional daylight into the
This level of underperformance may be considered reasonable for the short term while a new ground floor area should be looked at, possibly from openings to the terrace above.
facility is being procured. Entertainment such as satellite television should be considered to ease the passenger wait.

E.2.4 Security E.2.6 Departures Retail


As noted above the efficiency of Passport Control is only effective if the following processes can As noted above, the proposals to improve processing have resulted in the loss of retail. The
deal with the resultant flow. reconfiguration of the existing retail and the reduction or removal of the ground floor bar would
As the area currently stands, it has been suggested that, with the purchase of newer smaller give the opportunity to improve the appearance and accessibility of the remaining areas and to
machines, it would be possible to stagger machines and locate at least two if not three in the 6m consider the addition of some small free-standing units.
width available. This arrangement however would not give the ideal 90 degree inspection area.

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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

E.2.14 Baggage Reclaim


E.2.7 Departures Catering
Increasing the capacity of reclaim is the possibly the greatest challenge. The desire is to
As noted in the review of the existing situation the current bar is not the best provision. The best
provide a total of 6 belts (2No. long-haul, 3No. regional and 1 No. domestic); against the current
location for the restaurant would be after security. This reinforces the recommendation that the
2No.
first floor restaurant is converted to airside.
The extension of the hall towards the apron would potentially allow the provision of 4No. belts
E.2.8 Gate Area with the deposit length to the west. This would require all new equipment, but as noted above,
the extension would ultimately been removed as part of the apron master plan.
This appears to be adequate at the moment. However segregation from the gate desks to the
apron should be considered. This could take the form of corridors or fixed or tensile barriers. The air-conditioning in the main area should be improved. The general standard of decoration
should also be improved and generally lightened and it is very dull at this time. Ways of
E.2.9 Apron Departures providing additional daylight into the area should be looked at possibly from clearstory windows.
Segregation suggested in the gate area above should be extended down to the apron and as far
E.2.15 Customs
as is practical. Once again proactive rather than purely security staffing in this area would
greatly assist the operation. Customs could work reasonably acceptably if adequately staffed, but there are a number of
adjustments that could be made that would improve the facility. In particular, clearer directions
It may be worth considering enclosing and conditioning the walkway (possibly to a lower level
indicating that all passengers must fill-in customs forms would reduce confusion and speed up
than the main lounge).
queuing.
E.2.10 Apron Arrivals The air-conditioning in the main area should be improved. The general standard of decoration
should also be improved and generally lightened.
As queuing to immigration could still be an issue the enclosing, widening and air-conditioning of
the walkway would improve passenger comfort. The extension of this environment laterally
E.2.16 Arrival Concourse
along the apron may also be worthwhile. Early segregation of flows would also assist and
speed up the flow into the correct lines within the immigration hall proper. Currently passengers exit towards the departing concourse and passenger flow. The provision
of an exit north or westwards in conjunction with an extension and slight realignment of the
The early filtering out of transfers would reduce the pressure on the main immigration hall.
forecourt kerb lines would greatly enhance the area for orientation and pick-up. There would
These passengers could be taken to the right of the walkway and introduced the reconfigured
however, be a degree of conflict with the Virgin check-in facility which would need to be
security area through the southern face of the terminal building. This would reduce the
resolved.
occupancy within the first part of the immigration hall by as much as 20%.
If this flow is introduced then it would be possible to retain the car hire in its current location. If
The provision of a landing card area earlier than the main hall would also be of benefit.
not it should be relocated. Car hire collection should be carried out away from the forecourt with
ideally a bus (one for all companies) taking passengers and their luggage to a remote car hire
E.2.11 Immigration facility.
Currently there are 8 desks against a forecast requirement of up to 14No. The 14 would in
The provision of areas for tour companies and hotels should be made to the western extremity
theory result in a queue length of approximately 93 passenger or 74m per desk.
of this extended canopy beyond the line of the Virgin facility.
Without staggering the desks or extending the building south it is difficult to see how this number
It has been proposed that the Tax office become the taxi office. Taxis should be provided with a
could be improved. The current length of queue including internal and walkway length is
clear holding lane and a system of call forward should be introduced.
approximately 60m. 8No. desks would in theory result in potential queues of 163 passengers or
130m (a 20% reduction of filtering transfers would give queues of 130 passengers or 104m).
E.2.17 Crew Report
The air-conditioning in the main area should be improved. The general standard of decoration
A separate security route should be considered for crew and airport staff to ease the flow
should also be improved and generally lightened. Ways of providing additional daylight into the
through security.
ground floor area should be looked at possibly from openings to the terrace above.

E.2.12 Transfer
As noted above if the reconfiguring of search is implemented this would give rise to the potential
of a new and earlier improve route.

E.2.13 VIP Reception


As with transfers the early segregation at the start of the walkway should also seek to remove
VIPs from the process. These passengers could also be filtered off to the right.

26/10/05 E/4 © Scott Wilson


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Antigua and Barbuda Millennium Airport Corporation
Expansion and Development of V.C. Bird International Airport
Master Plan Report

Drawings

26/10/05 © Scott Wilson


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