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"George W. Bush has just finished five years as President. If today were the last day of his presidency,
how would you rank him? The responses were: Great: 2%; Near Great: 5%; Average: 11%; Below Average:
24%; Failure: 58%"
"In your judgment, do you think he has a realistic chance of improving his rating?" Two-thirds (67%)
responded no; less than a quarter (23%) responded yes; and 10% chose "no opinion or not applicable"
Thomas Kelly, professor emeritus of American studies at Siena College, said: "President Bush would seem to
have small hope for high marks from the current generation of practicing historians and political scientists. In this
case, current public opinion polls actually seem to cut the President more slack than the experts do". Douglas
Lonnstrom, Siena College professor of statistics and director of the Siena Research Institute, stated: "In our 2002
presidential rating, with a group of experts comparable to this current poll, President Bush ranked 23rd of 42
presidents. That was shortly after 9/11. Clearly, the professors do not think things have gone well for him in the
past few years. These are the experts that teach college students today and will write the history of this era
tomorrow".[13]
The 2010 Siena poll of 238 presidential scholars found that former president George W. Bush was ranked 39th
out of 43, with poor ratings in handling of the economy, communication, ability to compromise, foreign policy
accomplishments and intelligence. Meanwhile, the then-current president Barack Obama was ranked 15th out of
43, with high ratings for imagination, communication ability and intelligence and a low rating for background
(family, education and experience).[14][15]
The 2018 Siena poll of 157 presidential scholars reported George Washington, Franklin D. Roosevelt, Abraham
Lincoln, Theodore Roosevelt, and Thomas Jefferson as the top five US presidents, with SCRI director Don Levy
stating, "The top five, Mount Rushmore plus FDR, is carved in granite with presidential historians...."[16] Donald J.
Trump—entering the SCRI survey for the first time—joined Andrew Johnson, James Buchanan, Warren G.
Harding, and Franklin Pierce among the bottom five US presidents. George W. Bush, who presidential scholars
had rated among the bottom five in the previous 2010 survey, improved to a position in the third quartile.