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Syngene International: Discovery Services Driving Growth Outlook Upbeat
Syngene International: Discovery Services Driving Growth Outlook Upbeat
Result Update
dedicated R&D centres and development services business. EBITDA
margins remained flat at ~30%. Higher employee cost was largely offset by
increase in gross margins and lower other expenditure. EBITDA grew 9.4% Particulars
YoY to | 153.5 crore. Net profit grew 5.9% YoY to | 91.8 crore. Amount
Particular
Market Capitalisation | 12238 crore
Integrated business model, customer stickiness to the fore | 813 crore
Debt (FY19)
Revenues grew at ~21% CAGR in FY15-19 to | 1826 crore due to new client Cash (FY19) | 437 crore
addition on a regular basis and scaled up revenues from existing clients led EV | 12614 crore
by integrated service offerings, high data integrity ethos and continuous 52 week H/L 369/276
endeavour to move up the value chain. Eight of the top 10 global pharma Equity capital | 400.0 crore
companies have been availing services for the last five years. It owns a pool Face value | 10
of 4060 scientists. As of FY19, the company had a client base of 331. Key Highlights
Global pharma landscape conducive to R&D outsourcing Revenues grew 11.1% YoY to | 519.1
crore on the back of strong growth in
Global pharma players are facing structural issues from the impending discovery services business,
patent cliff, a shrinking product pipeline, rising R&D costs and growing combined with consistent
competition. To maintain the structural balance and improve profitability, performances in dedicated R&D
they are inclined to outsource a substantial part of the R&D work. Similarly,
Company Background
Incorporated in 1993 as a subsidiary of Biocon, Syngene International (SIL) Revenue Bifurcation
is a leading contract research organisation (CRO), which supports R&D
programmes of global innovative companies. SIL offers outsourced services
to support discovery and development for organisations across industrial
Develop Dedicat
sectors like pharmaceuticals, biopharmaceuticals, neutraceuticals, animal ed
ment &
health, agro-chemicals, etc. It currently caters to 293 global players including Manufa Centers
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS), Abbott, Baxter and Amgen, among others. cturing 33%
38%
SIL derives ~95% of its revenues from exports. In terms of classification on
a contractual basis, it derives ~30% of revenues from long term dedicated Discove
ry
contracts with a contractual commitment of five years and more. In this case, Service
the company offers a dedicated, customised and ring-fenced infrastructure s
in line with client’s requirements. These dedicated centres are generally 29%
multi-disciplinary, full time engagements, which support the R&D
requirements of clients. Source: ICICI Direct Research; Company
The remaining comes from 1) discovery services (29% of revenues; full time
equipment (FTE)) and 2) development & manufacturing services [38% of
revenues; fee for service (FFS)].
The discovery services vertical consists of multiple client engagements
across discovery chemistry and discovery biology based service offerings.
It entails an in-depth understanding of discovery chemistry and discovery
biology pertaining to small and large molecules.
The development and manufacturing segment encompasses the services,
which support a molecule once it moves beyond in-vivo testing to preclinical
studies and clinical development. It also includes manufacturing of
molecules for clinical supplies and commercialisation.
In FTE contracts, the company does billing based on the number of scientists
deployed. In this case, there is an agreement with clients for minimum
utilisation of a specific number of scientists dedicated to their work. The
scope of services and deliverables under FTE contracts generally evolves
over time. FTE contracts are generally renewable annually. FFS contracts are
mostly short-term in nature. In FFS contracts, the agreement is for fixed price
for agreed services within a defined scope.
The company has developed long-term relationships with many clients,
including four long-duration multi-disciplinary partnerships, each with a
dedicated research centre, with four of the world’s leading global healthcare
organisations Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMS), Abbott Laboratories
(Singapore) Pte Ltd (Abbott), Baxter International Inc. (Baxter) and Amgen.
BMS – The first dedicated centre was set up for BMS in 2009 and engages
over 400 of scientists. Under the new agreement in Q3FY18, Syngene will
set up an additional new facility. It will put up a dedicated team of Syngene
scientists within that and support the future R&D requirements of BMS. The
duration of the collaboration has been extended to 2026.
Baxter – Dedicated centre developed in 2013. The Baxter Global Research
Centre has a multidisciplinary team of about 150 of scientists who work on
product and analytical development, preclinical evaluation in parenteral
nutrition and renal therapy. The company has recently expanded its contract
with Baxter till 2024. Under the new extension of contract, Syngene will set
up additional infrastructure as well as increase the size of its scientific team.
Amgen– In Q2FY17, the company announced the establishment of a
dedicated centre for Amgen, Inc. in Bengaluru. This centre, named Syngene
Amgen Research and Development Centre (SARC), will be Syngene’s fourth
such exclusive R&D centre and first for a biologics company. SARC will be
staffed by a team of more than 100 Syngene scientists, working with Amgen
researchers around the world on the discovery and development of
innovative medicines. In Q1FY18, the company expanded its SARC
collaboration to 50000 square feet floor space and ~185 Syngene scientists
Key Metrics
Exhibit 4: Revenues to grow at CAGR of 14% over FY19-22E Exhibit 5: EBITDA and EBITDA margins trend
1000 872.3 35
3000 CAGR 14.5% 2743.9 900 34.4
33.9
800 740.1 33
2373.2 32.7 32.6
2500 700 603.7
CAGR 20.7% 2015.8 31.8
1825.6 600 535.8 31.2 31
2000 464.4
500 380.4 407.6
(| crore)
(| crore)
29.9
1423.1 29.3
(%)
1500 400 29
1107.0 1200.9 300
281.1
859.9
1000 200 27
100
500
0 25
0 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
Revenues EBITDA EBITDA Margins (%)
Source: ICICI Direct Research, Company Source: ICICI Direct Research, Company
Exhibit 6: Net profit & profit margins trend Exhibit 7: Return ratios trend
600 30.0 26
478.9 23.5
500 25.0 24 20.7
23.9
21.8 21.4 385.9 22 20.3
400 20.4 347.6
330.818.1 20.0
287.3 305.1 17.2 17.5 20
16.3 19.5
300 15.0
(| crore)
240.8 18 17.716.8
175.0
(%)
Source: ICICI Direct Research, Company Source: ICICI Direct Research, Company
Exhibit 8: Valuation
Revenues Growth Adj. EPS Growth P/E EV/EBITDA RoE RoCE
(| crore) (%) (|) (%) (x) (X) (%) (%)
FY19 1826 28.3 8.3 8.4 37.0 22.2 16.8 14.8
FY20E 2016 10.4 8.7 26.6 29.2 20.4 14.7 13.7
FY21E 2373 17.7 9.6 -7.9 31.7 16.7 14.1 13.1
FY22E 2744 15.6 12.0 24.1 25.6 13.7 14.9 15.1
Source: ICICI Direct Research
(%)
200 40.0
150 30.0
100 20.0
50 10.0
0 0.0
Mar-17
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
May-17
Nov-17
Mar-18
May-18
Nov-18
Aug-18
Mar-19
May-19
Nov-19
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jan-17
Feb-17
Aug-17
Sep-17
Aug-18
Dec-19
Jul-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
Jul-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Jan-19
Feb-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Price Idirect target Consensus Target Mean % Consensus with BUY
Financial Summary
Exhibit 12: Profit and loss statement | crore Exhibit 13: Cash Flow Statement | crore
(Year-end March) FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E (Year-end March) FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
Total Operating Income 1,825.6 2,015.8 2,373.2 2,743.9 Profit/(Loss) after taxation 235.5 418.9 385.9 478.9
Growth (%) 28.3 10.4 17.7 15.6 Add: Depreciation & Amortization 164.2 214.0 294.5 334.4
Raw Material Expenses 531.3 585.7 688.3 794.4 Other operating activities 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit 1,294.3 1,430.2 1,684.9 1,949.5 Net Increase in Current Assets -40.4 -79.5 -106.3 -93.4
Gross Profit Margins (%) 70.9 70.9 71.0 71.0 Net Increase in Current Liabilities 222.5 84.5 100.8 72.7
Employee Expenses 467.3 504.0 565.0 638.1 CF from operating activities 630.4 666.3 703.4 810.6
Other Expenditure 535.8 603.7 740.1 872.3 (Inc)/dec in Fixed Assets -583.3 -1,029.5 -674.5 -355.0
Total Operating Expenditure 1,534.4 1,693.3 1,993.4 2,304.9 (Inc)/dec in Investments 98.5 300.0 0.0 -100.0
Operating Profit (EBITDA) 535.8 603.7 740.1 872.3 Other Investing Activities -479.0 -12.6 -9.2 6.1
Growth (%) 15.4 12.7 22.6 17.9 CF from investing activities -963.8 -742.1 -683.7 -448.9
Interest 32.3 28.5 28.5 18.0 Inc / (Dec) in Equity Capital 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Depreciation 164.2 214.0 294.5 334.4 Inc / (Dec) in Loan funds -20.3 0.0 0.0 -300.0
Other Income 75.1 84.7 59.3 71.3 Dividend & Dividend Tax -24.1 -15.0 -13.8 -17.1
PBT after Exceptional Items 414.4 517.2 476.5 591.3 Others -29.9 -28.5 -28.5 -18.0
Total Tax 83.6 98.3 90.5 112.3 CF from financing activities -72.4 -43.5 -42.3 -335.1
PAT before MI 330.8 418.9 385.9 478.9 Net Cash flow -405.8 -119.2 -22.5 26.6
Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Opening Cash 842.7 436.9 317.7 295.1
PAT 330.8 418.9 385.9 478.9 Closing Cash 436.9 317.7 295.1 321.7
Growth (%) 8.4 26.6 -7.9 24.1 Free Cash Flow 47.1 -363.2 28.9 455.6
EPS (Adjusted) 8.3 8.7 9.6 12.0 Source: ICICI Direct Research
Source: ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 14: Balance Sheet | crore Exhibit 15: Ratio Analysis | crore
(Year-end March) FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E (Year-end March) FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E
Equity Capital 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 Per share data (|)
Reserve and Surplus 1,768.4 2,172.3 2,544.4 3,006.2 EPS 8.3 8.7 9.6 12.0
Total Shareholders funds 1,968.4 2,372.3 2,744.4 3,206.2 BV 49.2 59.3 68.6 80.2
Total Debt 813.3 813.3 813.3 513.3 DPS 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4
Long Term Provisions 37.4 41.1 45.3 49.8 Cash Per Share 10.9 7.9 7.4 8.0
Other Non Current Liabilities 207.4 228.1 251.0 276.0 Operating Ratios (%)
Source of Funds 3,026.5 3,454.9 3,853.9 4,045.4 Gross Profit Margins 70.9 70.9 71.0 71.0
Gross Block 2,121.2 2,618.2 3,825.2 4,180.2 EBITDA margins 29.3 29.9 31.2 31.8
Accumulated Depreciation 784.4 998.4 1,292.9 1,627.4 Net Profit margins 18.1 17.2 16.3 17.5
Net Block 1,336.8 1,619.8 2,532.3 2,552.8 Inventory days 8.7 10.0 10.0 10.0
Capital WIP 273.7 806.2 273.7 273.7 Debtor days 67.7 67.7 67.7 67.7
Fixed Assets 1,610.5 2,426.0 2,806.0 2,826.5 Creditor days 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7
Investments 756.0 456.0 456.0 556.0 EBITDA Conversion Rate 117.7 110.4 95.0 92.9
Other Non current asets 197.4 225.3 251.4 263.9 Return Ratios (%)
Inventory 43.4 55.2 65.0 75.2 RoE 16.8 14.7 14.1 14.9
Debtors 338.7 374.0 440.3 509.1 RoCE 14.8 13.7 13.1 15.1
Loans and Advances 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 RoIC 28.3 24.5 17.8 21.1
Other Current Assets 229.1 261.5 291.7 306.2 Valuation Ratios (x)
Cash 436.9 317.7 295.1 321.7 P/E 37.0 29.2 31.7 25.6
Total Current Assets 1,048.1 1,008.4 1,092.2 1,212.2 EV / EBITDA 22.2 20.4 16.7 13.7
Creditors 223.5 246.8 290.5 335.9 EV / Revenues 6.5 6.1 5.2 4.3
Provisions 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 Market Cap / Revenues 6.7 6.1 5.2 4.5
Deferred tax assets 91.5 100.65 110.7 121.8 Price to Book Value 6.2 5.2 4.5 3.8
Other Current Liabilities 432.5 493.7 550.7 578.1 Solvency Ratios (x)
Total Current Liabilities 677.0 761.5 862.3 935.0 Debt / Equity 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2
Net Current Assets 371.1 246.9 229.9 277.2 Debt / EBITDA 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.6
Application of Funds 3,026.5 3,454.9 3,853.9 4,045.4 Current Ratio 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0
Source: ICICI Direct Research Source: ICICI Direct Research
RATING RATIONALE
ICICI Direct endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICI Direct assigns ratings to its
stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them as Buy, Hold,
Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the notional target price is defined as
the analysts' valuation for a stock
Buy: >15%;
Hold: -5% to 15%;
Reduce: -5% to -15%;
Sell: <-15%
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