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Shah Imr Day 4
Shah Imr Day 4
Shah Imr Day 4
DAY 4
November 25, 2019
Mumbai, India
Marketing Research:
The function that links an organization to its market through information
• Consumer-Generated Marketing
• Mobile Marketing
• Language differences
Culture
Dimensions of Culture:
• Power Distance
• Individualism vs.
Collectivism
• Uncertainty Avoidance
• Long-term Orientation
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Culture
Individualism Vs. Collectivism
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Culture
Uncertainty Avoidance
The extent to which people feel threatened by
uncertainty and ambiguity and try to avoid these
situations.
Example: High on uncertainty avoidance are
Germany and Japan, low ones are Sweden and
Denmark.
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Cultural Influences
• Different cultures react to surveys differently.
− Eg: The concept of time in Germany, Italy, United States
and France is very different.
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• Theoretical Research
The researcher has a predetermined theory or model and the
objective is to cross-cultural generalizability of those theories or
models.
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International Marketing
Research
Single- Simultaneous
country Multi-country
research research
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Requirements include:
• Speed
• Use of Internet
• Globalization
• Ability to add value to numbers and data
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Challenges to
International Market Research
• Growing market
complexity
• Blurring of categories
• Shortened product
development cycles
• Feature overload
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• Strategic Decisions
• Foreign Market Selection
• Mode of Entry
• Product/Market Portfolio Strategies
• Market Expansion Strategies
• Tactical Decisions
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Mode of Entry
• Exporting
• Licensing and other
forms of contractual
agreements
• Joint ventures
• Wholly owned
subsidiaries
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• Sprinkler strategy:
A firm decides which markets it plans to enter and
simultaneously enter all these markets.
• Waterfall strategy:
Conservative approach.
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Multinational Diffusion
General Example
Consider a situation where a new product is introduced
in two neighboring, but culturally different countries. We
will expect that the diffusion process in the two countries
will be different, but at the same time we expect some
interaction among the countries, especially if the two
societies mingle with each other.
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Equivalences in
International Marketing Research
Construct Equivalence
Measurement Equivalence
Equivalences in
International Marketing
Research
Sampling Equivalence
Analysis Equivalence
• Measurement equivalence
Concerned with the scales used for measuring various aspects of
the research study. In a multi-country study, researchers need to
modify the units of measurement.
Eg: Scales used in US (5 point scale) are very different from the
ones used in France (20 point scale)
• Sampling equivalence:
Concerns the relative size of the sample to obtain
reliable results.
• Analysis equivalence:
When analyzing data, the different biases that
might exist should be accounted for
Sources:
Bing Liu, 5th Text Analytics Summit, Boston
SPSS White Paper
Gartner Report
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Market Research:
The Voice of the Customer
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Example of a comment/opinion
posted by a consumer:
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Given an opinion:
Discover all components of the opinions for further
analyses
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Sentiment classification:
Individual sentence level
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Voice Screen Battery Size Weight
• Comparison of +
reviews of
Cell Phone 1
Cell Phone 2
_
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2. When saved,
comments are
analyzed using
Predictive Text
Analytics
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Jan 2009
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Quantitative Techniques
MANAGERIAL
DATA INSIGHTS
ACTIONS
QUANTITATIVE
TECHNIQUES
Cluster Analysis
Factor Analysis
Machine Learning / Artificial Intelligence
Linear Regression
Logistic Regression
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Cluster Analysis
It is a technique for segmenting customers / markets
Cluster analysis helps to organize customers into different groups
whose members are similar in some way
Each group is formed such that the inter-group difference and the
intra-group similarities are maximized.
There is no distinction between dependent and independent
variables
Often used at the initial stage as an exploratory technique.
Example:
Income
Fashion
conscious
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Partitioning of data
Cluster 1 Cluster 2
Customer A Customer B
20 years 60 years
$10K $40K
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Assignment
Customer C
30 years
$25K
Cluster 1 Cluster 2
? ?
Customer A Customer B
20 years 60 years
$10K $40K
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Cluster 1 Cluster 2
Customer A
Customer B
20 years
$10K 60 years
Customer C $40 K
30 years
$25K
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What?
Data Reduction technique. Used to meaningfully group
variables.
How?
FA creates linear combinations or groups of variables
(called factors) based on the underlying correlation
structure
Why?
Helps identify meaningful relationships amongst variables
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Hidden
Input Output
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Machine Learning
Steps involved:
Train the NN using the available observed data
The NN will establish complex relationship between input and
output based on the ‘training’ data
The NN will then use the established relationship to predict
responses with new input data or uncover the underlying
pattern or structure in the data (depending on the objective of
the analyses).
Major advantages:
Can support complex non-linear relationships
Known to have the highest predictive ability
Can work with big data to give results in real-time
Major drawback:
Black-box technique
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@ JC Penney
Recommended Approach
INTUITION INSIGHTS
= OPTIMAL
(from experience) (from data)
MANAGERIAL
ACTIONS
A B A B
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R² = 1
R² = 0 R² = 0.5
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Regression
Independent Variables P value
Coefficient
Intercept 1.2 0.0001
Price (in Hundreds) -0.2 0.0001
Advertisement (in TARPS) 0.7 0.1234
Number of apps
0.4 0.001
(in thousands)
Direct Marketing Campaign
0.85 0.0001
(Binary Variable)
R² = 78%
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In general, the regression coefficient indicates the amount by which the dependent
variable (or ‘Y’) will change corresponding to a unit change in the respective independent
variable (or ‘X’). It is important to keep the scale (e.g., binary, hundreds, thousands, etc.)
of the respective variables in mind while interpreting the effect size.
Independent Regression
Interpretation P value
Variables Coefficient
Intercept 1.2 Base line from where the regression line starts 0.0001
$100 increase in price corresponds to a
Price (in Hundreds) -0.2 decrease in sales of 200 units of iPod
0.0001
R² = 78%
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Logistic Regression
Extremely popular and powerful technique for analyzing individuals
across two mutually exclusive and exhaustive categories.
Example: buy-not buy, respond-not respond to a campaign, etc.
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Prob(Y=1) = exp(Y)
1+ exp(Y)
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Illustration
Dataset A = Used for building the model
Response Income Age (years)
(1 = yes; 0 = no ($000)
1 96 22
1 86 33
LOGISITC
1 64 55 REGRESSION
1 60 47
1 26 27
0 98 48
0 62 23
0 54 48
0 38 24
0 26 42 Logistic Regression Model Output
Variable df Parameter
Interpretation: Estimate
The probability of a customer to respond INTERCEPT 1 -0.9367
increases with income and decreases with age. INCOME 1 0.0179
AGE 1 -0.0042
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Type of Relationship
Dependence Interdependence
Linear
Logistic
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END OF COURSE
THANK YOU!!
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