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Valid or Inductively Strong.: Deductive and Inductive Arguments
Valid or Inductively Strong.: Deductive and Inductive Arguments
Valid or Inductively Strong.: Deductive and Inductive Arguments
When assessing the quality of an argument, we ask how well its premises support its
conclusion. More specifically, we ask whether the argument is either deductively
valid or inductively strong.
A deductive argument is an argument that is intended by the arguer to be
deductively valid, that is, to provide a guarantee of the truth of the conclusion provided
that the argument's premises are true. This point can be expressed also by saying that,
in a deductive argument, the premises are intended to provide such strong support for
the conclusion that, if the premises are true, then it would be impossible for the
conclusion to be false. An argument in which the premises do succeed in guaranteeing
the conclusion is called a (deductively) valid argument. If a valid argument has true
premises, then the argument is said also to be sound. All arguments are either valid or
invalid, and either sound or unsound; there is no middle ground, such as being
somewhat valid.
Here is a valid deductive argument:
It's sunny in Singapore. If it's sunny in Singapore, then he won't be carrying an umbrella.
So, he won't be carrying an umbrella.
The conclusion follows the word "So". The two premises of this argument would, if true,
guarantee the truth of the conclusion. However, we have been given no information that
would enable us to decide whether the two premises are both true, so we cannot
assess whether the argument is deductively sound. It is one or the other, but we do not
know which. If it turns out that the argument has a false premise and so is unsound, this
won't change the fact that it is valid.
Every time I've walked by that dog, it hasn't tried to bite me. So, the next time I walk by
that dog it won't try to bite me.
The distinction between deductive and inductive argumentation was first noticed by the
Aristotle (384-322 B.C.E.) in ancient Greece. The difference between deductive and
inductive arguments does not lie in the words used within the arguments, but rather in
the intentions of the arguer. It comes from the relationship the arguer takes there to be
between the premises and the conclusion. If the arguer believes that the truth of the
premises definitely establishes the truth of the conclusion, then the argument
is deductive. If the arguer believes that the truth of the premises provides only good
reasons to believe the conclusion is probably true, then the argument is inductive. If we
who are assessing the quality of the argument have no information about the intentions
of the arguer, then we check for both. That is, we assess the argument to see whether it
is deductively valid and whether it is inductively strong.