Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Investor Information: Published May 1, 2019
Investor Information: Published May 1, 2019
INFORMATION
Q1 2019
Published May 1, 2019
2
$85B ~940 mbpd ~600 mbpd 28+ years ~460 mbpd ~1750
Enterprise value1 Oil production Heavy upgrading 2P Reserve life Refining nameplate
Retail sites4
As at March 31, 2019 nameplate capacity2 nameplate capacity2 index3 capacity2
Debottlenecks, $10
cost reductions $8
Fort Hills, and margin
Syncrude, improvements $6
and Hebron $5.5B Sustaining capital6 + dividend
$4
$2 $2.8B Sustaining capital6
$0
1
2018 FFO Production Free funds flow 2023E FFO1 $60 $63 $70 $75 $80
TTM
growth 3 growth 4 WTI ($USD)
—
5% 5%
A low Credit rating
Investment grade
1.14 3% 3%
0.85 1.88
Baa1 DBRS (A Low) Stable, S&P(A-) stable, Moody’s (Baa1) Stable
Production
growth5 Growth
Free funds In situ replication
flow growth
projects1,5 Opportunistic
Production share buybacks
Debottlenecks, cost
growth reductions & margin
Fort Hills, Syncrude improvements
and Hebron ~4% anticipated Sustain the business &
~5% anticipated production CAGR
continually grow the
~10% anticipated FFO CAGR (Refer to slide 9) dividend
production growth
per share4 (Refer to slide 8) 2023/2024 forward2
2020 – 2023 Structural FFO3 growth
2019 – 2020 & balance sheet strength
(Refer to slide 7)
~$6.8B
Minimal Suncor’s ~560mbpd ~$6.0B
turnaround year
Fort McMurray
Major planned
upgrading
decline
forest fires
McMurray
~1% anticipated near term oil
Fort
sands decline rate2
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Dividends Sustaining Capital
Suncor’s 8
~460mbpd Discretionary Free Funds Flow WTI Average Price
refining
network
~$30 Capital discipline
2018 Oil Sands operations
sustaining capex + cash cost 1.6x Net debt to FFO9
USD / bbl3 1.5x under the previous leasing standard10
Global Global Target < 3x
markets markets
30% Total debt to capitalization
28% under the previous leasing standard10
Target 20-35%
Cost management
Continuous focus on structural cost reduction initiatives
Invest
<$45 WTI <$0.5B in cost reduction
Upper range None
USD Annually and efficiency
projects
~10% Invest
$50 - $60 <$1.5B in value driven
$1 - $2B
growth per Continually
WTI Mid range projects and
share driven grow with Annually Annually
USD ~3.0B to production growth
by Fort sustainable developments
~4.0B
Hills, FFO5
Syncrude increases
$60 - $80 and Hebron $1.5 - $3.0B $2 - $3B
WTI Low range Advance
Annually Annually
USD value driven
projects and
production growth
Low range &
>$80 WTI <$3.0B developments $3B+
increasing
USD Annually Annually
cash position
* Assumes a constant Brent–WTI price differential of +$5
Examples of short lead time & high quality initiatives independent of commodity market conditions
submitted
200
100
0
2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033
Mining2
$27.55 Enterprise-wide
$25.55
cost reduction initiatives
$25.25 Operational
Improved reliability across assets
$20 through sharing technology and
In situ3 procedures, coordinated maintenance
$16.50 planning and asset connectivity
Technology
Technology applications such as
robotic process automation, advanced
analytics, Autonomous Haul Trucks
$8.45 and Artificial Intelligence
$10
$10.2
$8 $9.1
$6
$6.8
$6.0 $2.3
$4 $2.1
$1.6 $1.9
$2 $3.9
$2.7 $3.0
$2.3
$0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E
WTI US$3 $48.75 $43.35 $50.95 $64.80 $58.00
Sustaining capital Dividend FFO2 Illustrative 2019 FFO2,5 2019 Estimated sustaining capital6 + dividends7
C$/share
US$/bbl
sustainable
FFO8
$1.50
$40 increases7
$1.00
$20
$0.50
$0 $0.00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2019-2020 $0.2
1.6
1.4 1.5
2021-2024 $2.7
0x 2040-2047 $1.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1
9%
$50 100
8%
7%
$40 80
6%
$30 60 5%
4%
$20 40
3%
2%
$10 20
1%
$- 0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Suncor WTI Oil Sands peer range3 Supermajor peer range3 Suncor dividend yield4 Suncor buyback yield5
Suncor's spending on major capital projects Fort Hills and Hebron completed
The 50-year, long-life, low-decline production profile of Fort Hills has begun
Focusing on near-term low capital intensity and high value added projects2
Debottleneck existing assets, product margin improvements and further cost reductions
$80
15%
$60
10%
$40
5%
$20
0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 $0
-5% -$20
Exposure to high value product pricing provides significant cash flow upside potential
BRENT E&P production attracts Brent based pricing
PRICING ~110 mbpd Offshore production with access to tidewater
GLOBAL
Oil sands bitumen with direct access to global markets
HEAVY
PRICING
~100 mbpd Logistical flexibility for non-upgraded bitumen
Increasing value for synthetic crudes Significant high quality synthetic production
~500 mbpd of higher distillate yield synthetic barrel (~40%
yield) versus a WTI barrel (~30% yield)
Crude logistics
Upgrader feedstock optionality from multiple oil sands assets
Crude feedstock optionality for Edmonton refinery
Supply chain
Sparing, warehousing and supply chain management
Consolidation of regional contracts (lodging, busing, flights, etc.)
Operational optimizations
Unplanned outage impact mitigations
Turnaround planning optimization
Process and technology sharing
100% WI
Joint ownership
Base mine upgrader and terminal
Assets and resource developments U Syncrude upgrader
Lease development and asset utilization optimization C In situ central processing facility
P Fort Hills primary/secondary extraction
Pipelines
Proposed bi-directional pipelines1
137
Montreal
TMEP Potential Superior
Markets
Asia & California 85
Sarnia
Steele City Chicago
98
Denver
Patoka
San Francisco Suncor refinery capacity
mbpd
Cushing Industry approximate rail
Pipelines Los Angeles
KXL Potential mbpd loading capacity in
(current and forecasted gross capacity2) Markets AB/SK
Feeder lines
Heavy oil refineries
Trans Mountain Pipeline, TMPL (300 mbpd)2 along the Gulf Coast
Trans Mountain Expansion , TMEP – Proposed3 (+590 mbpd)2
Express, Platte and Rocky Mountain (280 mbpd)2 Houston/Texas City
interconnect pipeline
80%
Firebag to basemine
79%
fully operational
Suncor began focusing on upgrader reliability initiatives in 2011
Culture – Operational excellence mindset
Process – Integrated maintenance strategy/approach
Infrastructure – Asset integration between Firebag and base plant
ESG leadership
Environment
Regulatory & policy leadership GHG & water performance Technology & innovation
Operate under one of the most stringent, >60% reduction in Oil Sands Base GHG emissions $635M in technology investments in 20184
transparent and compliance-focused regulatory intensity since 1990
Significant new technology deployment
frameworks1 Goal to reduce corporate GHG intensity by 30% PFT, AHS, PASS, NCG co-injection5
Participation in government-led initiatives to by 20302
External collaboration
advance leadership in Canada’s O&G sector Estimated carbon cost for upstream production is up to
Canada’s Oil Sands Innovation Alliance (COSIA)
(e.g. 2018 co-chair Resources of the Future) $0.60/bbl3 over the period 2018-2027
Clean Resource Innovation Network
A strong voice for practical, effective policy and ~30% reduction in water use intensity at Oil Sands NRG COSIA Carbon XPRIZE
regulation development and design Base vs. the prior 4-year average EVOK Innovations
(e.g. Bill C-69 amendments)
Social Governance
Appendix
25
Oil Sands 3,050 – 3,400 17% 410,000 – 440,000 Oil Sands operations
E&P 1,000 – 1,200 97% 85,000 – 95,000 Fort Hills
Downstream 700 – 775 23% 160,000 – 180,000 Syncrude
Corporate 150 – 225 53% 105,000 – 115,000 E&P
430,000 – 450,000 Refinery throughput
* A portion of the SCO volume impact will be supplemented by increasing bitumen sales
2019 Sensitivities7 +1$/bbl Brent +$1/bbl NYH 3-2-1 +$0.01 FX +$1/GJ AECO +$1L/H Diff +$1L/L Diff
(US$) (US$) (US$/C$) (C$) (US$) (US$)
FFO (C$ MM) ~240 ~150 ~(205) ~(240) ~(25) ~(20 – 40)
In Situ Mining
Firebag Base Plant
203,000 bpd capacity 350,000 bpd capacity
Suncor working interest 100% Suncor working interest 100%
2,553 mmbbls 2P reserves1 1,418 mmbbls 2P reserves1
Mining High Very low Low Medium Very low Very high
Offshore
High Medium Medium Very low Medium Medium
~15% of Suncor’s 2019
guidance production
Marketing Other
Over 500,000 bpd in product sales 4 wind farms3 (111 MW)
1766 North American retail sites St. Clair Ethanol plant (400 ML/yr)
(~50% Suncor owned). 51% interest in Parachem
Petro-Canada remained as the brand Global sulphur and petroleum coke
with largest urban share of market in marketing
Canada for 20182
300+ wholesale sites
25.50 30
3.2
3
2.9 2.8 0
2.3
-10
1
US$/Cdn$ FX > $0.90
(2012 – 2014)
-20
0 -30
80%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2019
Price realizations & refinery crude costs3 Realized GM6/bbl vs. NYH 3-2-1 benchmark
All Suncor refineries Q1 2019, 40% equity feedstock4 All Suncor refineries Q1 2019
36.35
$120
$100 28.65
Brent C$84.255
$80 20.75
15.55 NYH
$60
3-2-1
107 NYH C$
$40 3-2-1
62 60 US$
$20
Benchmark Benchmark Crude Product mix Yield/ Realized FIFO impact Realized
7
$0 crack crack differential & location feedstock/ GM (LIFO) 7 GM (FIFO)
OS realization Feedstock cost R&M realization differential other
Hibernia
ExxonMobil operated Buzzard
Suncor working interest 20% CNOOC Petroleum Europe Limited operated
63 mmboe 2P reserves1 (Suncor WI) Suncor working interest 29.89%
57 mmboe 2P reserves1 (Suncor WI)
Hebron
ExxonMobil operated
Suncor working interest 21.034%
31.6 mboepd planned net capacity
Golden Eagle
147 mmboe 2P reserves1 (Suncor WI)
CNOOC Petroleum Europe Limited operated
First oil achieved in November 2017
Suncor working interest 26.69%
13 mmboe 2P reserves1 (Suncor WI)
Terra Nova
Suncor Energy operated
Suncor working interest 37.675%
32 mmboe 2P reserves1 (Suncor WI)
Oda
Spirit Energy operated3
Suncor working interest 30%
11 mboepd planned net capacity
White Rose 8 mmboe 2P reserves1 (Suncor WI)
Husky Energy operated
Suncor working interest 27.5%2
54 mmboe 2P reserves1 (Suncor WI)
60 Hibernia
Terra Nova
40 Buzzard Phase 2 (UK)
Golden Eagle
20 • 29.89% working interest
Buzzard
0
• Production anticipated to offset natural declines
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 • First oil expected 2021
111.70 108.75
98.85
West White Rose Project (ECC4)
$billions
2.5 Brent
• ~26% working interest
71.05
54.25
($US/bbl) • 20 mbbls/d anticipated net peak production
52.40
2.0 • First oil expected 2022
43.75
1.5
FFO2
Free funds flow3
Future opportunities
1.0
Capital spend
• Rosebank-UK (40% Suncor WI)
0.5
• Near field developments including subsea
- tie-backs, field extensions and infill drilling
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
$20
4 5% Syncrude WI
Murphy Oil
$40
NYH 3-2-1 US$/bbl
Pioneer retail network 5
3.31% Fort Hills WI
$30 Total E&P Canada
$
$20 5% Syncrude WI4
Conoco Commerce Valero Commerce City 6 Mocal Energy
City refinery refinery
$10
17.5% Fenja WI5
Petro -Canada Faroe Petroleum
$0
7 Rosebank
$8 Colorado, Canadian & 10% WI6
AECO US$/gj Trinidad & Tobago
$6 gas assets
$ Canadian gas assets
$4
$
$2 Petro -Canada
$0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
$ Divestment
Notes
34
Notes
35
Advisories
Forward-Looking Statements – This presentation contains certain in costs; the ability to access external sources of debt and equity capital employed (ROCE) and last in, first out (LIFO) – are not
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the United States capital; the timing and the costs of well and pipeline construction; prescribed by GAAP. All non-GAAP measures presented herein do
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and “forward-looking Suncor’s dependence on pipeline capacity and other logistical not have any standardized meaning and therefore are unlikely to be
information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities constraints, which may affect the company’s ability to distribute comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
legislation (collectively, “forward-looking statements”), including products to market; mandatory production curtailments being greater Therefore, these non-GAAP measures should not be considered in
statements about: Suncor’s strategy and business plans; expected or imposed for longer than anticipated; the timely receipt of isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in
compound annual growth rates, capital expenditures, shareholder regulatory and other approvals; the timing of sanction decisions and accordance with GAAP. All non-GAAP measures are included
return growth, WTI break-even, balance sheet leverage metrics, Oil Board of Directors’ approval; the availability and cost of labour, because management uses the information to analyze business
Sands decline rate, cost reductions, and operating and financial services, and infrastructure; the satisfaction by third parties of their performance, leverage and liquidity and therefore may be
results; reserves estimates and reserve life indices; expected obligations to Suncor; the impact of royalty, tax, environmental and considered useful information by investors. See the “Non-GAAP
utilization of assets; expectations for dividends, share repurchases, other laws or regulations or the interpretations of such laws or Financial Measures Advisory” section of the Q1 MD&A.
production growth, funds from operations, free funds flow growth, regulations; applicable political and economic conditions; risks
and ROCE; anticipated impact of changes in crude oil price associated with existing and potential future lawsuits and regulatory Funds from operations (previously referred to as cash flow from
differentials; anticipated impact of IMO regulatory changes; potential actions; improvements in performance of assets; and the timing and operations) is defined in the Q1 MD&A, for the three months ended
future free funds flow growth projects, including the timing and impact of technology development. March 31, 2019 is reconciled to the GAAP measure in the Q1
impact thereof, and free funds flow improvement and cash flow MD&A, for 2012 to 2018 is reconciled to GAAP measures in
upside potential; illustrative funds from operations and discretionary Although Suncor believes that the expectations represented by such Suncor’s annual management’s discussion and analysis (MD&A) for
free funds flow; target break-even cost of capital; plans around in forward-looking statements are reasonable, there can be no the respective year; annual E&P and R&M funds from operations for
situ growth; cash operating costs targets; Suncor’s GHG intensity assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Suncor’s 2012 to 2017 are reconciled to GAAP measures in Suncor’s annual
reduction goal; estimated average carbon cost for upstream Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the first quarter ended MD&A for the respective year; Oil Sands operations cash operating
production; expectations, targets and potential opportunities with March 31, 2019 and dated May 1, 2019 (the Q1 MD&A), Annual costs (previously referred to as Oil Sands cash operating costs) is
respect to Syncrude; expected IRR for Syncrude interconnecting Report for the year ended December 31, 2018 (the 2018 Annual defined in the Q1 MD&A, for the year ended December 31, 2018 is
pipeline and tailings management savings; Oil Sands regional Report) and its most recently filed Annual Information Form/Form reconciled to the GAAP measure in the 2018 Annual Report, and for
synergy opportunities; expectations for and potential benefits of 40-F and other documents it files from time to time with securities 2013 is reconciled to the GAAP measure in Suncor’s 2013 annual
autonomous haul trucks, and PASS, expectations about Fort Hills; regulatory authorities describe the risks, uncertainties, material MD&A; discretionary free funds flow (previously referred to as
capital and production guidance; expected peak production and first assumptions and other factors that could influence actual results discretionary free cash flow) is defined in the Q1 MD&A, for 2015 to
oil dates for sanctioned E&P projects; goals with respect to and such factors are incorporated herein by reference. Copies of 2018 is reconciled to the GAAP measure in Suncor’s 2018 annual
reliability, safety, cost management and sustainability; and potential these documents are available without charge from Suncor at 150 MD&A, and for 2014 is reconciled to the GAAP measure in Suncor’s
future pipelines and market access expectations that are based on 6th Avenue S.W., Calgary, Alberta T2P 3E3, by calling 1-800-558- 2016 annual MD&A; the estimated impact of the LIFO method for
Suncor’s current expectations, estimates, projections and 9071, or by email request to invest@suncor.com or by referring to the three months ended March 31, 2019 is defined and reconciled in
assumptions that were made by Suncor in light of its experience and the company’s profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com or EDGAR at the Q1 MD&A; and Fort Hills cash operating costs and Syncrude
its perception of historical trends. Some of the forward-looking www.sec.gov. Except as required by applicable securities laws, cash operating costs are defined and reconciled to the GAAP
statements may be identified by words such as “planned”, Suncor disclaims any intention or obligation to publicly update or measures in the Q1 MD&A.
“estimated”, “target”, “goal”, “illustrative”, “strategy”, “expected”, revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
“focused”, “opportunities”, “may”, “will”, “outlook”, “anticipated”, information, future events or otherwise. Suncor’s actual results may Reserves– Unless noted otherwise, reserves information presented
“potential”, “guidance”, “predicts”, “aims”, “proposed”, “seeking” and differ materially from those expressed or implied by its forward- herein for Suncor is presented as Suncor’s working interest
similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees looking statements, so readers are cautioned not to place undue (operating and non-operating) before deduction of royalties, and
of future performance and involve a number of risks and reliance on them. without including any royalty interests of Suncor, and is at December
uncertainties, some that are similar to other oil and gas companies 31, 2018. For more information on Suncor’s reserves, including
and some that are unique to Suncor. Users of this information are Suncor’s corporate guidance includes a planned production range, definitions of proved and probable reserves, Suncor’s interest,
cautioned that actual results may differ materially as a result of, planned maintenance, capital expenditures and other information, location of the reserves and the product types reasonably expected
among other things, assumptions regarding: commodity prices; based on our current expectations, estimates, projections and please see Suncor’s most recent Annual Information Form/Form 40-
timing of commissioning and start-up, cost, characteristics, and assumptions (collectively, the “Factors”), including those outlined in F dated February 28th, 2019 available at www.sedar.com and
capacity of capital projects; assumptions contained in or relevant to our 2019 Corporate Guidance available on www.sec.gov. Reserves data is based upon evaluations conducted
Suncor’s 2019 Corporate Guidance; fluctuations in foreign exchange www.suncor.com/guidance, which Factors are incorporated herein by independent qualified reserves evaluators as defined in NI 51-
and interest rates; product supply and demand; market competition; by reference. Suncor includes forward-looking statements to assist 101.
future production rates; assets and facilities not performing as readers in understanding the company’s future plans and
anticipated; expected debottlenecks, cost reductions and margin expectations and the use of such information for other purposes BOE (Barrels of oil equivalent) – Certain natural gas volumes
improvements not being achieved to the extent anticipated; may not be appropriate. have been converted to barrels of oil on the basis of six thousand
dividends declared and share repurchases below expected levels; cubic feet to one boe. This industry convention is not indicative of
the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out Non-GAAP Measures – Certain financial measures in this relative market values, and thus may be misleading.
planned activities; risks inherent in marketing operations (including presentation – namely funds from operations, free funds flow, Oil
credit risks); imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of Sands operations cash operating costs, discretionary free funds
recoverable quantities of oil, natural gas and liquids from Suncor’s flow, Syncrude cash operating costs, Fort Hills cash operating costs,
properties; expected synergies and the ability to sustain reductions In Situ cash operating costs, mining cash operating costs, return on
36
Slide Notes
Slide 2------------------------------------------------------------- All dividends are at the discretion of Suncor’s Board of Directors. Slide 5---------------------------------------------------------------
(1) Market capitalization + debt - cash and cash equivalents. See Forward-Looking Statements in the Advisories. (1) As at December 31, 2018 and assumes that approximately 7.19
(2) Nameplate capacities as at March 31, 2019. Nameplate capacities (8) Figure does not include the $43 million worth of shares repurchased billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe) of proved and probable
may not be reflective of actual utilization rates. See Forward- in the twelve months ended December 31, 2015 ($0.03/share reserves (2P) are produced at a rate of 628.6 mboe/d, Oil Sands’
Looking Statements in the Advisories. repurchased in 2015). average daily production rate in 2018. Reserves are working interest
(3) As at December 31, 2018 and assumes that approximately 7.58 (9) 2017 buyback per share reflects $1.4 billion of actual spend under before royalties. See Reserves in the Advisories.
billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe) of proved and probable the normal course issuer bid (NCIB). 2018 buyback per share (2) Reflects Oil Sands’ anticipated compounded annual decrease in
reserves (2P) are produced at a rate of 732.0 mboe/d, Suncor’s reflects $3.1 billion of actual spend under Suncor’s NCIBs. 2019 production for 2019-2023 and is calculated on a production-
average daily production rate in 2018. Reserves are working buyback per share assumes the repurchase of approximately $2.0 weighted basis using planned production for those years, and
interest before royalties. See Reserves in the Advisories. billion in 2019. Suncor’s Board of Directors has approved the assumes no economic capital spend, no acquisitions and no
(4) 1527 retail sites are operated under the Petro-Canada brand. repurchase of up to $2.0 billion worth of the company’s common divestments during that period.
Slide 3-------------------------------------------------------------- shares beginning March 1, 2019. Suncor’s share repurchases are (3) Refers to Oil Sands operations sustaining capital per barrel, which is
(1) Funds from operations (FFO) is a non-GAAP financial measure. opportunistic. The actual number of shares that will be repurchased calculated by dividing Oil Sands operations sustaining capital by Oil
See Non-GAAP Measures in the Advisories. Funds from operations and the timing of any such purchases will be determined by Suncor Sands operations production, plus Oil Sands operations cash
is calculated as cash flow provided by operating activities excluding and will depend on market conditions, funds flow and other factors, operating costs per barrel, all as indicated in the Q1 MD&A. Oil
changes in non-cash working capital. FFO indicated for 2019 to and could differ materially from this assumption. See Forward- Sands operations cash operating costs is a non-GAAP financial
2023 is illustrative and is not intended to be a forecast of Suncor’s Looking Statements in the Advisories. measure. See Non-GAAP Measures in the Advisories.
FFO. It is indicative of FFO based on the 2019 pricing guidance (10) Refers to estimated average WTI crude oil price for 2019 in US (4) Refers to estimated average WTI crude oil price for 2019 in US
released on May 1, 2019, as well as the production and free funds dollars required for funds from operations for 2019 to equal dollars required for funds from operations for 2019 to equal
flow growth assumptions outlined below. Actual results may differ estimated 2019 sustaining capital expenditures inclusive of estimated 2019 sustaining capital expenditures inclusive of
materially. See Forward-Looking Statements in the Advisories. associated capitalized interest and dividends. Sustaining capital associated capitalized interest and dividends. Sustaining capital
(2) Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is calculated for the years represents anticipated asset sustainment and maintenance capital represents anticipated asset sustainment and maintenance capital
2018 to 2023 using Suncor’s business plan. Actual results may vary expenditures plus well pad spend (inclusive of associated expenditures plus well pad spend (inclusive of associated
materially. See Forward-Looking Statements in the Advisories. capitalized interest) based on the company’s current business capitalized interest) based on the company’s current business
(3) Production growth assumes ~10% CAGR per share from 2018 to plans. Assumes production, sustaining capital and business plans. Assumes production, sustaining capital and business
2020 and is calculated using the midpoint of 2019 guidance as well environment at the midpoint of 2019 guidance released on May 1, environment at the midpoint of 2019 guidance released on May 1,
as Suncor’s production growth business plan for 2020. Actual 2019 and a $0.42/share dividend for each quarter in 2019. All 2019 and a $0.42/share dividend for each quarter in 2019. All
production may vary materially. See Forward-Looking Statements in dividends are at the discretion of Suncor’s Board of Directors. dividends are at the discretion of Suncor’s Board of Directors. Actual
the Advisories. Actual results may differ materially. See Forward-Looking results may differ materially. See Forward-Looking Statements in
(4) Free funds flow, previously referred to as free cash flow, is Statements in the Advisories. the Advisories.
calculated by taking funds from operations (FFO) and subtracting Slide 4--------------------------------------------------------------- (5) Full guidance is available at suncor.com/guidance. See Forward-
capital expenditures, including capitalized interest. Free funds flow (1) Free funds flow, previously referred to as free cash flow, is Looking Statements in the Advisories.
is a non-GAAP measure. See Non-GAAP Measures in the calculated by taking funds from operations (FFO) and subtracting (6) Conversion capacity as at March 31, 2019 and reflects Suncor’s
Advisories. Illustrative free funds flow growth potential shown capital expenditures, including capitalized interest. Free funds flow upgrading and refining capacity. Conversion capacity may not be
includes possible future opportunities currently being evaluated and is a non-GAAP measure. See Non-GAAP Measures in the reflective of actual utilization rates. See Forward-Looking
which may be subject to Board of Directors’, counterparty and Advisories. Statements in the Advisories.
regulatory approval. There can be no assurance these opportunities (2) Based on the company’s current business plans and business (7) Nameplate capacities as at March 31, 2019. Nameplate capacities
will be pursued or if pursued that they will result in the expected environment expectations, which are subject to change. Actual may not be reflective of actual utilization rates. See Forward-
benefits. See Forward-Looking Statements in the Advisories. results may differ materially. See Forward-Looking Statements in Looking Statements in the Advisories.
(5) Refers to Trailing Twelve Month average value as at March 31, the Advisories. (8) Free funds flow and discretionary free funds flow are non-GAAP
2019. (3) Funds from operations (FFO) is a non-GAAP financial measure. measures. See Non-GAAP Measures in the Advisories.
(6) The classification of the company’s capital expenditures has been See Non-GAAP Measures in the Advisories. Funds from operations (9) Funds from operations (FFO) is a non-GAAP financial measure.
updated to “‘asset sustainment and maintenance’’ and ‘‘economic is calculated as cash flow provided by operating activities excluding See Non-GAAP Measures in the Advisories. Funds from operations
investment’’ to better reflect the types of capital investments being changes in non-cash working capital. is calculated as cash flow provided by operating activities excluding
made by the company. Sustaining capital represents asset (4) Anticipated production growth per share is calculated using the changes in non-cash working capital.
sustainment and maintenance capital expenditures (inclusive of midpoint of 2019 guidance as well as Suncor’s business plan for (10) New metrics include the impact for IFRS 16 which came into effect
associated capitalized interest), which have been restated for April 2020. Actual results may vary materially. See Forward-Looking on January 1, 2019.
1, 2018 to December 31, 2018 to reflect the change in classification. Statements in the Advisories. (11) All figures are in billions of CAD. U.S dollar facilities converted at a
For a description of asset sustainment and maintenance capital (5) Includes possible future opportunities currently being evaluated and USD/CAD rate of $0.75, the exchange rate as at March 31, 2019.
expenditures see the Capital Investment Update section of the Q1 which may be subject to Board of Directors’, counterparty and
MD&A. regulatory approval. Assumes the completion of incremental continued …
(7) Based on the weighted average number of shares outstanding in pipeline capacity out of the Alberta market. There can be no
each year for 2014 to 2018 and the weighted average number of assurance these opportunities will be pursued or if pursued that they
shares outstanding for the three months ending March 31, 2019 for will result in the expected benefits. See Forward-Looking
2019. 2019 dividend amount assumes $0.42/share for each quarter. Statements in the Advisories.
37