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5 Conditional Probability and Dependence PDF
5 Conditional Probability and Dependence PDF
5 Conditional Probability and Dependence PDF
6 3
A= bbg , bgb , bgg , gbb , gbg , ggb ; 𝑃 𝐴 = =
8 4
4 1
B= bgg , gbg , ggb , (𝑔𝑔𝑔) ; 𝑃 𝐵 = =
8 2
3
𝐴∩𝐵 = bgg , gbg , ggb ; 𝑃 𝐴∩𝐵 =
8
3 1 3
𝑃 𝐴 .𝑃 𝐵 = . =
4 2 8
3
∵ 𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 𝑃 𝐴 .𝑃 𝐵 =
8
∴ 𝐴 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐵 𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑡
Example11: Let a penny, a halfpenny and a die be tossed:
i. Describe a suitable sample space S.
ii. Express explicitly the following events:
A and B occur
B or C occurs 𝐵∪𝐶 = 𝐻𝐻2 , 𝐻𝑇2 , 𝑇𝐻2 , 𝑇𝑇2 , 𝐻𝑇3 , 𝐻𝑇5 , 𝑇𝐻3 ; 𝑇𝐻5
Only B occur
Solution:
Example 12:
A pair of fair dice is thrown. If the two numbers appearing are different, find the probability P that:
i) The sum is six
ii) An ace appears
iii) The sum is 4 or less.
Solution:
Sample space will consist of 36 – 6 = 30 elements
i) The sum 6 can appear in 4 ways:
𝑅
𝑅
𝑅 𝑊
𝑊
𝑊