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Made Smarter Net Zero - v7
Made Smarter Net Zero - v7
Sprint on Net-Zero
Ambition
January, 2020
CHAPTER SUMMARY
1. Executive summary Presenting the case for change and key recommendations Pg. 4
• In spite of widespread awareness of climate change, emissions • To understand implications of net-zero for manufacturing, we first
continue to rise; 50% of total global GHG emissions have been released analysed Scope 1 emissions for 8 sectors (based on ONS data)
since 1990. The UK contributes 1.1% of total annual GHG emissions
• In order of largest emissions these sectors included; Energy, Materials,
• The Paris Agreement aims to cap global warming rise to “well below 2°C Construction, Food & Drink, Transport, Textiles, Pharma and Aerospace
above pre-industrial levels” and pursue efforts to limit the increase to
• Manufacturing is the third-largest direct GHG emitting sector of the
1.5°C, with the expectation that developed countries lead by example
economy at 15%, on par with Transport (after consumer expenditure,
• Since 1990, the UK has cut its GHG emissions by 42%; at the same time 25% and energy supply, 18%)
as the economy has grown by two-thirds; largely due to shift to low-
• Key actions for manufacturing to deliver net-zero:
carbon energy (natural gas and renewable energy)
1. Deliver operational efficiencies (e.g. process efficiency and
• Yet when we consider indirect emissions it’s a different story; the UK is
optimisation, demand management, equipment monitoring; end
the largest net importer of emissions per capita globally
to end visibility of GHG emitted)
• With the Committee on Climate Change recommendations passed into
2. Decarbonise heat and power (e.g. electrification, renewables,
law, the UK became the first major economy to commit to net-zero
heat capture and reuse, hydrogen fuel etc.)
• This commitment will require major structural changes to UK industry
3. Optimise design and materials (e.g. material efficiency and
(inc. policy on imports) as well as household behaviour change
weight reduction, waste reuse and closed loop engineering)
• Whilst net-zero is an important signal, industry has yet to adequately
4. Improve logistics and transport (e.g. fleet electrification)
respond. There is a lack of understanding of what net-zero means, what
the sector pathways look like, and the required policy changes 5. Invest in GHG removal and compensation (e.g. CCUS, offsets)
• This work sought to explore: How can Made Smarter align with the • As a next step, manufacturers could collaborate to define sector-
government’s commitment for net-zero emissions by 2050? specific roadmaps to achieve net-zero, incl. interim targets, required
rate of change, solutions to deliver and viability
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. 1 Data from the Office of National Statistics. Manufacturing is 15% of total UK Scope 1 emissions (2017). See pg. 16 for sectoral breakdown 4
CONTENTS 1. Executive summary
2. Net-zero ambition
3. UK Manufacturing emissions
4. Opportunity areas for net-zero
manufacturing
5. Appendix
• 50% of total global GHG emissions have been released since 1990 (Global Carbon Atlas)
• 15 countries contribute a total of 72% of global carbon emissions, led by China with 27.2%, followed by
the USA at 14.6%. The UK contributes 1.1%
• Emissions from all fossil fuels increased in 2018, to a historic high of 33.1 Gt CO2, with coal contributing
10 Gt CO2 for the first time (IEA). Global emissions have risen 1.5% per year for the last decade (UNEP)
• The Paris Agreement implies global net-zero emissions in the second half of this century, with the
emphasis on developed economies to lead by example, setting and achieving ambitious targets
• Policy leadership, alongside private sector support for decarbonisation and growing consumer awareness
is clear; however this is yet to translate into meaningful emissions reduction at a global level.
• The Stockholm Resilience Centre identified 9 planetary boundaries that define the limits within which
humanity can continue to live and thrive; 4 planetary boundaries have already been crossed
• Climate Change and Biosphere Integrity are “core boundaries”, meaning that altering either of these
systems has a high potential to drive the Earth’s system into a new state; both have already been crossed
• The defined planetary boundary for climate change is 350ppm CO2 – at the time of the research, CO2
levels were at 396ppm
• Within the IPCC 2°C scenario, by 2100 the UK will suffer from: a 3.3°C temperature increase, most severe
during summer months; 15% less water access; 70cm sea level rise - impacting 2.6 million people (CCC)
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Figures: IPCC Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5°C; Global Carbon Atlas, 2017; Planetary Boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet – Stockholm Resilience Centre; 6
Sources: Net Zero – The UK Contribution to Stopping Global Warming; Visual Capitalist; Potsdam Institute for Climate Research Impact; IEA Emissions; UNEP
UK EMISSIONS PROGRESS
Driven by a shift in the energy mix away from coal, the UK has cut emissions by 42% since 1990
Figure 3: UK greenhouse gas emissions vs GDP The UK has decoupled GDP growth from GHG emissions since 1990
• Since 1990, the UK has cut its GHG emissions by 42%, while during the same time period, the economy
has grown by two thirds. This dynamic is partially explained by the offshoring of manufacturing, as due
to emissions ‘imported’, household emissions have stayed stable for 20 years (see Figure 5, pg. 11)
• Over this 20-year period, the underlying improvement in the carbon intensity of economic output in
the UK, at around 2%/year, has been greater than both the world and the EU as a whole (CCC)
• UK progress has been supported by continually adjusted emissions targets:
• 2003: 60% reduction by 2050;
• 2008: 80% reduction by 2050;
• 2019: 100% reduction – net-zero – by 2050
Figure 4: UK energy use by source The UK energy mix has shifted away from highly-polluting coal
• Emissions from electricity generation have fallen by 50% since 2013 and 64% since 1990
• This has been driven by the shift away from thermal coal, which has reduced by 85% since 1990,
supplying just 5.3% of grid-power in 2017 (Carbon Brief)
• Natural gas generation has increased 47% since 1990, largely replacing coal. The carbon emission
intensity of natural gas is almost half that of coal (Volker and UK Gov Conversion Factors)
• Renewable energy (wind, solar and hydro) supplied 26.5% of UK energy in 2019, its highest ever share
• Bioenergy has grown 21 fold since 1990 and provides 8.3% of UK energy
• Decarbonising electricity generation is a key enabler of net-zero for the UK as a whole, and for UK
manufacturing, the electrification of heat, transport and industrial processes
Figures: Net Zero – The UK Contribution to Stopping Global Warming; Carbon Brief
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: Net Zero – The UK Contribution to Stopping Global Warming; Total GHG emissions (% change from 1990) Country Ranking (World Bank estimates from original source); 7
Volker; UK Gov Conversion Factors; IEA Emissions; Carbon Brief; ONS The decoupling of economic growth from carbon emissions: UK evidence; BEIS Smart Meter Statistics
BARRIERS TO SUCCESS
The UK’s “imported” emissions have increased, while progress to reduce emissions varies by sector
Figure 5: UK GHG emissions associated with consumption Absolute UK territorial emissions have fallen since 1990; less so consumption emissions
(in green) DEFRA
• UK per-capita emissions (i.e. emissions generated within the UK, per person) are now close to the global
average at 7-8 tCO2e/person (8.8tCO2 e in 2017), having been over 50% above in 2008
• The UK ranks higher than China (7tCO2 per capita), but is 3x the level in India (1.8tCO2)
• However, the true UK carbon footprint is more complex, once it accounts for “imported” consumption
emissions (i.e. goods produced elsewhere) and citizen’s behaviour
• GHG emissions from imports rose 61% from 1997 to 2007, where they peaked. In 2016, UK consumption
emissions were estimated at 355 MtCO₂e, higher than UK production emissions (DEFRA)
• The CCC target is for UK per-household emissions to reduce from 8.8tCO2 e in 2017 to 1.2tCO2 e by 2050
Territorial emission reduction varies hugely by sector, with quick wins largely realised
Figure 6: UK sector emissions 1990 – 2017 (CCC)
• While UK emissions have reduced relative to 1990, evaluating sector by sector emissions or
incorporating imported emissions, reveals a number of emerging challenges
• Some sectors are simply much harder to abate. For example, Transport is now the largest source of UK
GHG emissions (23% of the total) and saw emissions rise from 2013 to 2017
• Agriculture is another example (livestock production releases nitrous oxide, methane and CO2).
Emissions have been broadly flat over the last decade, suggesting stronger policy levers are required
• Industry emissions, according to CCC, have decreased by ~50% since 1990, having been largely driven
by the offshoring of industry that is energy- and emissions-intensive. Note that the CCC (BEIS)
definition of “industry” excludes buildings and transport used by business therefore is a subset, and the
rationale for using ONS data for deeper analysis (see Chapter 3)
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Figures and sources: Net Zero – The UK Contribution to Stopping Global Warming 9
NET-ZERO INVESTMENT CASE
Net-zero requires high investment and a major shift in industry use of electricity, heat and materials
Figure 8: Changes in cost estimates for emissions goals The UK Committee on Climate Change estimates the cost will be 1-2% GDP to 2050
GHG target Year and Annual cost • To achieve net-zero by 2050, the UK requires a 9.7% annual decarbonisation rate, significantly higher
(relative to report estimated
than the current rate of 3.7%, with annual costs of up to 1.5% of GDP per year (CCC)
1990) for 2050
60% reduction 2003 - Energy 0.5 - 2.0% of
• Some costs will accrue to Government (e.g. subsidies and increases in capital expenditure), while some
in CO₂ (~55% White Paper GDP costs will be passed onto consumers and businesses, particularly to cover large upfront investment
reduction in
GHG) • Innovation and falling technology costs mean that the UK's 80% emissions target could be met at a
lower cost than estimated in 2008 – under 1% of GDP in 2050, rather than 1 – 2% of GDP (see figure 8)
80% reduction 2008 - Building 1 - 2% of GDP
in GHG a low-carbon • Expected benefits include improved air and water quality, biodiversity, and climate change resilience
economy
100% reduction 2019 – UK CCC 1 - 2% of GDP
in GHG report
Industry requires a rapid shift in electricity, heat and efficiency to achieve net-zero
Figure 9: The role for electrification in Further Ambition
• The CCC predicts that industry will be the third most polluting sector in 2050, behind aviation and
agriculture. Industry emissions forecasts for 2050 equate to 45 MtCO2e in the Core Scenario; 10 MtCO2e
in the Further Ambition and 0 MtCO2e in the Speculative (net-zero) scenario
• Net-zero requires a drastic shift in the energy use of industry. This is estimated to cost around
£120/tCO2e, equivalent to an annual cost of £5-10bn per year
• This will pose a risk to some sectors, such as steel, which could become uncompetitive internationally and
dependent on government support; the risk is greater if other countries do not make similar commitments
• As a minimum, decarbonisation requires a combination of using less energy per output, as a result of
improved efficiency and using different, lower-carbon energy, through electrification, hydrogen etc. The
role of electrification in the Further Ambition scenario is shown in figure 9
• Yet meeting net-zero will require interventions to move beyond operational efficiency and low carbon
heat and power to also focus on land use, optimising design and materials, logistics etc.
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Figures: Net Zero – The UK Contribution to Stopping Global Warming 10
Sources: Energy Live; Net Zero – The UK Contribution to Stopping Global Warming; UK to go further and faster to tackle climate change
CCC: CONDITIONS FOR NET-ZERO SUCCESS 1/2
Decarbonising electricity, heating and transport can lower industry emissions to achieve net-zero
REDUCE • Government to support a framework for UK industrial • Sectoral agreements and border tariff adjustments can reduce
INDUSTRY decarbonisation, understanding that offshoring of industry will risk of competitive disadvantage
EMISSIONS, contribute to global emissions
• Creating a low-carbon market can allow the UK to become a
NOT OFFSHORE • High upfront cost expected, likely to be taken on by UK taxpayers leader in low-carbon goods production
SCALE • Electrification is key to reducing emissions, notably across • Strong deployment of cost-competitive solar and wind in early
DECARBONISED transport, buildings and industry 2020s will be beneficial
ELECTRICITY • Increasing the ability of the grid to store energy, alongside • Accelerate the rate of electrification by adding flexible load
SUPPLY renewable capacity, could help to reduce costs and drive scale infrastructure, in the form of EVs and hybrid heat pumps
• Improving the energy efficiency of households is necessary, inc. • A strategy must be developed in 2020 that includes standards on
DECARBONISE smart meters, improved insulation and switching from gas energy efficiency, plans for the phasing out of fossil fuel heating
UK HEATING
SYSTEMS • New build homes must have low-carbon heating and energy • Focus on upskilling the workforce is critical, as is collaboration
efficiency, in line with the Future Homes standard between government, industry, business and households
• Transport is a hard-to-abate industry that is currently the UK’s • Policy that provides the sector with firm, legally binding targets
largest contributor of emissions will give confidence and certainty to manufacturers
ACCELERATE • Lifetime costs of EVs will reach parity, without subsidy, by the • Financial incentives to support EV market growth in the near term
ELECTRIC mid-2020s from a whole life costs perspective must be maintained
VEHICLE ADOPTION • EV sales make 2.5% of annual automotive sales; bringing forward • Charging infrastructure must be scaled and monitored, located
the EV switchover earlier than 2040 will lead to lower GHG strategically to enable consumer ease and speed
emissions in 2025 and be financially beneficial to the UK • Trials of zero-emission HGVs to be planned/scaled in early 2020s
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Summarised from Net Zero – The UK Contribution to Stopping Global Warming 11
CCC: CONDITIONS FOR NET-ZERO SUCCESS 2/2
Targeted solutions for hard-to-abate sectors, alongside carbon abatement tech, are key to success
EXPLORE • Setting a broadly applicable carbon price can reward less carbon
• The hard-to-abate industries need to reduce emissions and intensive behaviour
FUNDING
simultaneously fund removals, providing a financial incentive
OPTIONS FOR for emissions to be as low as possible • Revenues generated from carbon price fees could be used to fund
CO2 REMOVAL GHG removal initiatives/subsidies
• CCS is identified as a necessity for achieving net-zero – with the • CCS requires the deployment of capital intensive CO2 storage and
ambitious CCC scenario requiring 175MtCO2 capture transfer infrastructure that enablers the sharing of capacity
SCALE CARBON between users e.g. with a focus on building CCS around key
CAPTURE AND • For CCS to scale there needs to be a reduction in technology cost industrial clusters like Humberside
STORAGE (CCS) • The lack of CCS at scale in the UK and the importance of its role in • CCS and the scaling of hydrogen production notably for industry,
net-zero, mean that investment in the early 2020s is a priority are linked and should scale in tandem
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Summarised from Net Zero – The UK Contribution to Stopping Global Warming 12
CONTENTS 1. Executive summary
2. Net-zero ambition
3. UK Manufacturing emissions
4. Opportunity areas for net-zero
manufacturing
5. Appendix
Purpose Limitations
Analysis was conducted to determine the relative emissions profiles of It is important to acknowledge three limitations of the source data, and
hence analysis whilst reviewing the results:
key manufacturing sectors in order to derive actionable, sector-
specific insights for manufacturers to reach net-zero
Value chain interconnection
Source data Direct manufacturing process emissions only account for a
• Given that the CCC and Office of National Statistics (ONS) industry small amount of embodied emissions vs. materials
definitions and emissions scopes are inconsistent, they cannot be used production, but have great influence on materials
in combination consumption and downstream use emissions, so should be
considered in the context of the wider value chain (not in
• To fulfil requirements for sub-sector level disaggregation (to enable
isolation)
actionable insights) and alignment with previous Made Smarter
research, ONS data was selected as the basis of this analysis
Neglected offshore emissions
Scope
ONS data accounts solely for domestic emissions, but to
• Sectors: In-scope manufacturing emissions are divided into 8 key reach net-zero we need to reduce the full scope of UK
sectors, defined by the Accenture team and aligned with the Made consumption emissions incl. imports. Offshoring impacts
Smarter vision, with some manufacturing sub-sectors left out of scope need to be considered when reviewing GHG/emission
e.g. tobacco, industrial equipment intensity trends
• Sector mappings: The Standard of Industrial Classification (SIC)
hierarchy was used to align ONS data sub-groups to the 8 sectors in ONS sector definitions
scope Research is dependent on ONS sector definitions, which
• Emissions: The focus of this analysis is on Scope 1 emissions; indirect give a good indication of overall scale, but can
emissions from the generation of purchased energy (Scope 2) and simplify/draw artificial lines in order to group
value chain emissions (Scope 3) will be critical, but is not considered in
this analysis
UK 2017
2% 1%
GHG 29% 25% 15% 10% 3% 14%
Emissions 1%
(%)
Energy Materials Construction Food Transport Out of scope –
and other manufacturing*
Figure 2: UK GHG emissions by in-scope manufacturing sector Drink
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. All data from the UK Office of National Statistics * Out of scope – other manufacturing: manufacturing emissions deemed out of scope for analysis e.g. tobacco, furniture 16
* Other: other is a sum of all ONS SIC Sections that contribute ~5% of GHG emissions in 2017
KEY MANUFACTURING SECTOR INSIGHTS (1/2)
Energy Products and Materials are the two largest GHG polluters of the manufacturing sectors
explored, despite both having significantly reduced their emissions since 2007
Scope 1
Total GHG GHG GVA % Emissions Emissions
Manufacturing emissions Emission % GVA £m change intensity intensity %
Description ktCO2e 2017 vs (2017) ³ 2017 vs ktCO2e per 2017 vs
Sector
(2017) ¹ 2007 2007 £m (2017) 2007
30,000
down 44% , -5.6% per year, since 2007,
driven by major plant closures (e.g. Redcar
steelworks in 2015 etc.) and offshoring
25,000 Energy
• Energy (products) manufacturing remains
Materials the largest contributor of CO2e – over the
past 10 years emissions reductions have
Construction slowed following the rapid decline driven by
15,000
initial reduction of coal power
Food and Drink • Transport (1% per year) and Aerospace (2%
Transport per year) emissions have increased since
10,000
Textile 2007. Manufacturing emissions in these
Pharma sectors are low relative to value chain impact
Aerospace • Construction (materials) manufacturing
0
0 emissions have decreased overall, but
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
increased slightly since the 2008 recession
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. The Guardian; 2. Civitas ¹ CAGR: this represents the compound annual rate of change in GHG emissions from 2007 – 2017 per sector
19
UK MANUFACTURING EMISSION INTENSITY
Manufacturing emission intensity¹ has reduced by an average 15% across sectors, at a rate of -1.6% per
year, since 2007. However the pace of change is too slow and has been largely driven by quick wins
5
Key Takeaways
• Emission intensity has improved across all
sectors, however the pace of change is too
slow to meet net-zero ambition
4
• Initial materials processing sectors are more
Energy
emissions intensive than later production
Emissions Intensity
Reduce direct emissions (Scope 1) and emissions Exert influence to reduce indirect upstream and
associated with the generation of purchased energy downstream value chain emissions to zero
consumption (Scope 2) to zero
Scope 1
Key focus for our research in this section
Scope 3
Critical area, but a secondary focus in this research
Scope 2 (needs further consideration of indirect levers e.g. offshoring, policy, etc.)
Primarily addressed by the power sector
• Process efficiency • Renewable energy • Material efficiency & • Fleet electrification using • Carbon capture, utilisation
• Process monitoring, generation & sourcing e.g. weight reduction battery-electric vehicles & storage
predictive analytics & wind, solar, bioenergy • Waste reuse i.e. symbiosis and hydrogen fuel-cell • Afforestation
optimisation • Electrification of buildings & use of by-products electric vehicles • Offsetting schemes
• Simple equipment retrofit & manufacturing • Closed loop engineering • Improved logistics
e.g. for LED lighting • Energy/heat capture & • New material innovations planning
• Building and plant reuse, storage e.g. biological/smart • Demand forecasting
upgrade (capex) for best • Hydrogen fuel materials
available technology
• Demand side response
• Explore ecosystem opportunities e.g. support suppliers to decarbonise, new processes/infrastructure to boost recycling, full lifecycle design (cross-value
stream), circular economy etc.
• Encourage consumer behaviour change e.g. reduce plastic packaging and promote/simplify recycling, phase out carbon-intensive products etc.
• Influence policy & regulation e.g. support energy efficiency targets, carbon market rules; influence carbon pricing, EV market stimulus, domestic offsetting etc.
• Develop new business models e.g. product life-extension, product substitution, remanufacturing etc.
AI: predictive analytics to better understand Robotics: target labour intensive process and
demand and improve efficiency replace with automated solutions that can meet Bio-based materials: innovative new material
Textile Digital Twin: use digital connectors e.g. thread on-demand manufacturing needs inputs can reduce life-cycle emissions and
to drive transparency and improve supply chain Chemical recycling: advance technology to impact in fashion
logistics increased recycled content in fashion
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Industrial Clusters Mission; 2. IEA 32
SECTOR CASE STUDIES: ENERGY
Technology innovations include high-temperature heat re-use and efficiency saving systems
Case Studies
Dryficiency: Re-using heat waste at temperatures of Manufacture 2030: Tech platform enabling energy
up to 160°1 efficiency savings of 6% per annum
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. European Commission, 2019; 2. Manufacture 2030 33
SECTOR CONTEXT: MATERIALS
Basic steel and iron production still dominates materials emissions despite Redcar steelworks closure
Sector profile & emissions footprint Sector characteristics & insights
GVA £19,960m • GVA has decreased: GVA has decreased by 18% from 2007 to 2017, while
emission intensity has improved by ~30%. Underpinned by ~50% reduction
Emissions intensity 1.10
of UK GHG emissions from iron and steel, aluminium and paper since 20071
GHG emissions 21,967 (thousand tonnes of CO2e) • Emissions intensity neglects significant import footprint: Materials sector
imports are substantial (~50% of our materials consumption)2 with 34.6%
Breakdown of Materials sector emissions by sub-sector (ONS, 2017)
value growth in iron/steel imports from 2017-2018 (up to $12.1bn)3
21,967
• Majority of GHG emissions due to steel/iron, plastics, paper and wood
despite GHG reductions and major plant closures in the last decade
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. UK FIRES Absolute Zero report – University of Cambridge, 2. Carbon Trust: Energy saving opportunities; 3. Clean Growth: Transforming Heat; 4. Clean Technica;, 5. Mission 35
Possible: Sectoral focus: steel; 6. Science Direct
SECTOR ACTION AREAS: MATERIALS
Expansion of recycling and reuse still have further potential, to minimise virgin material used
Key sector # Sector actions Rationale & recommendations Enabling
GHG drivers to reach net-zero technologies
Direct operations (core actions) ctd..
Virgin 4 OPTIMISE Leverage recycled • Recycled steel supply to triple by 2050 (to approx. 1,500 Mt/yr)1 • Machine Vision
material DESIGN AND steel • Scaling recycling infrastructure and overcoming copper contamination are key • IoT
production MATERIALS
prerequisites to increasing recycled content in high grade applications
GHG 5 INVEST IN GHG Invest in GHG – Invest in both immediate (afforestation) and longer term removal and offsetting • CCS
emissions REMOVAL AND removal and solutions (CCS) to enable the sector to reach net-zero
from COMPENSATION
compensation
intensive
processes
Indirect operations (additional actions)
Products/ 6 Explore circular • Adopt a full life cycle and systemic approach, in which manufacturing is engaged • Bio based
EXPLORE
process ECOSYSTEM economy with the end customer on novel materials, product design, and new business materials
scrap OPPORTUNITIES
opportunities models (e.g. sharing economy) to improve resource efficiency. For example, • Connected
through its innovation award, Covestro is building partnerships with companies products
that can use CO2 as feedstock for fuel, concrete, chemicals etc.2 • IoT
• Increase supply network collaboration to exploit symbiosis (e.g. sharing of • Cloud
feedstocks, for example between steelmaking and bioenergy sectors)3, reduce • Digital PLM
intermediary product scrap and improve designs for repair and reuse
• Reduce plastic packaging (40% of UK plastics footprint1)
Virgin 7 Expand recycling/ • Enable new processes/infrastructure to boost recycling across bulk materials, e.g.: • Digital waste
EXPLORE
material ECOSYSTEM reuse of other bulk – Primary plastics production reduction through mechanical and novel chemical separation
production OPPORTUNITIES materials recycling techniques to manage plastics variety e.g. pyrolysis/gasification (at an • Pyrolysis
economic cost) • Gasification
– Recycling of e-waste
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Carbon Trust: Energy saving opportunities; 2. Covestro: CO2 as a raw material; 3. Science Direct 36
SECTOR CASE STUDIES: MATERIALS
Hydrogen could serve as a net-zero coke substitute with significant potential savings from end-
product light-weighting
Case Studies
HYBRIT1 ArcelorMittal: Lightweight, recycled structural
steels
HYBRIT (founded in 2016)
aims to replace coking ArcelorMittal, a leading steel producer, has
coal with hydrogen. The developed a range of advanced high-strength
result will be the world’s lightweight steels that allows a reduction of steel use
first fossil-free steel- by up to 50%, with a strength to cost increase: +30%
making technology, with stronger, cost premium + ~10%3
virtually no carbon
footprint. Specific product ranges have been launched for both
Automotive and Construction end user markets.
A pilot plant is underway Substituting ‘HISTAR’ for common construction steel
in Luleå, Sweden (on the achieves CO2 reductions of ~30% in steel columns &
predication that 50% of ~20% in beams2, with material savings by weight vs
steel will still be from ore conventional products ~ 30% on average3.
in 2050). The goal is to
have a solution for fossil- The product has been described as “truly circular” as
free steel by 2035. If it is produced 100% from locally sourced steel scrap
successful, HYBRIT will and has a recovery rate of 99%.
reduce Sweden’s CO2 Overall, it is anticipated that lightweight structural
emissions by 10% and steel design could reduce global steel demand by
Finland’s by 7%. ~3% by 20404.
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. HYBRIT; 2. New high strength steels allow light and sustainable structures. World Steel, 2017; Super structures: an update on high-strength steel design, 2017; 3. 37
HISTAR Products, Arcelor Mittal 2019 (proportion of sales attributable to high-rise construction type is assumed based on case studies provided); 4. Accenture primary research
SECTOR CONTEXT: CONSTRUCTION (MATERIALS)
Cement is the major emitter in the construction category and is challenging to abate
Sector profile & emissions footprint Sector characteristics & insights
GVA £5,689m
• GHG emissions from UK construction have decreased by 24% 2007-20171
Emissions intensity 2.32
• However, emissions intensity has plateaued since 2011 – absolute GHG
GHG emissions 13,198 (thousand tonnes of CO2e) reductions have primarily been driven by a -7% contraction in GVA, whilst
emissions intensity has levelled from 2011 (2.34) to 2017 (2.32)1
Breakdown of Construction sector emissions by sub-sector (ONS, 2017)
• Cement accounts for 57%1 of sector emissions and is challenging to abate
(at $110-$130pt)2 driven by inherent process emissions
13,198 kt • Status quo materials are low cost and given tight margins this leads to low
appetite to pay more/for innovation
• Capital intensity and depreciated assets – limited impetus to change
3,264 kt
Intensity of 1 DELIVER
Optimise on-site • Use of heat pumps is 4x more efficient than combustion options 1 and presents a • IoT
process, OPERATIONAL space/water heating viable option for high-heat manufacturing activities • Digital asset
space and EFFICIENCIES
• Explore energy efficiency measures for concrete production e.g. switching to management
water dry kilns/kiln electrification, multi-stage cyclone heaters etc. 2
heating
3 Invest in research • Invest in carbon capture technology, given that it is likely to be the only route to • CCUS
INVEST IN GHG
REMOVAL AND and lead in achieve total decarbonisation of cement production and sector net-zero
COMPENSATION development of CCS • CCS is a nascent technology, with high investment costs and low tech maturity,
and should be pursued alongside other recommendations ²
• Given the high emissions attributed to cement production, meaningful offsets
can reduce impact in the near term and will be critical for net-zero
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. UK FIRES Absolute Zero report – University of Cambridge, 2, Reaching Net Zero Carbon Emissions from harder-to-abate sectors by mid-century: Mission Possible – Sectoral focus 39
cement, 3. carbonfootprint.com
SECTOR ACTION AREAS: CONSTRUCTION (MATERIALS)
Whilst cement innovations are in development, efficiencies in design/use of buildings are key
Key sector # Sector recommendations Rationale & recommendations Enabling
GHG drivers to reach net-zero technologies
High cement 5 Embed efficiency Buildings design for efficiency could reduce total cement demand by 34% and steel • BIM
demand due EXPLORE
ECOSYSTEM into design practices, demand by 15%1, through e.g.: • Generative
to OPPORTUNITIES focused on building • Grid spacing minimisation (between columns) can enable up to 50% CO2 design
downstream materials & energy reduction; grid regularity can enable ~20% more efficiency1 • AI-enabled
building
• Innovative new materials for building, leveraging new tech and design e.g. optimisation
design
modular
• ‘Passive’ building designs at 8-10% more cost – adopted widely in Sweden today1
Energy 6 EXPLORE
Retrofit existing • Retrofit existing buildings with efficient insulation & lighting (-23% compound • IoT + mobility
inefficient ECOSYSTEM buildings with energy reduction over last 9 years of innovation) 1 • Digital asset
legacy OPPORTUNITIES
efficiency measures • Enable demand-side reduction through retrofitted smart energy management management
buildings
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. UK FIRES Absolute Zero report – University of Cambridge, 40
SECTOR CASE STUDIES: CONSTRUCTION (MATERIALS)
Innovators are starting to explore the ‘green cement’ market opportunity
Case Studies
Solidia Technologies: Low-carbon cement tech1 CarbonCure: Sequestering CO2 in concrete2
Solidia Technologies is a US, UK and Hungary based CarbonCure Technologies manufactures a
cement tech company that can reduce emissions from technology for concrete producers that introduces
cement manufacturing by ~70%. Their solution includes: recycled CO2 into fresh concrete. Their solution
drives a number of benefits:
• Adjusting the material mix: Solidia makes cement
with a 50-50 ratio (limestone to sand), enabling the • CO2 mineralisation: CarbonCure turns CO2 into a
necessary chemical reaction to take place at ~1200 mineral, through a process known as
degrees – lower than the ~1450 degrees needed in CO2 mineralisation, that is then locked into the
normal kilns. This results in 40% less CO2, 30% less concrete, and becomes permanently captured
energy, while improving efficiency by making more
cement with less raw material • Enhanced strength properties: CarbonCure
concrete has been measured to be stronger than
• Sequestering CO2 in concrete: To make concrete, traditional concrete, plus the process requires less
Solidia uses CO2, as opposed to water – in the process cement and therefore further reduces GHGs
trapping CO2 in the concrete. This leads to total GHG
savings up to 70%, as well as water savings • Effective carbon capture: Either for carbon
This solution drives cost savings for their clients, based transferred from other manufacturing sites or on-
on reduced energy consumption. Further savings would site, and is suitable for a range of downstream
be seen with a carbon tax fee. Solidia have partnered customers
with Lafarge Holcim, while BP have invested in them. A CarbonCure building can sequester equivalent CO2
to 800 acres of forest for a year.
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Solidia Technologies; 2. Carbon Cure Technologies 41
SECTOR CONTEXT: FOOD AND DRINK
Sector characterised by large trade deficit, future uncertainty around labour and changing diets
Sector profile & emissions footprint Sector characteristics & insights
GVA £24,706m • High contribution to UK GVA: In 2017, the agri-food sector contributed £121
billion to the economy, around 6.6% of GVA. There has been limited
Emissions intensity 0.36
progress on emissions intensity, which flatlined between 2007-2017
GHG emissions 8,795 (thousand tonnes of CO2e) • Yet there’s a huge trade deficit: Despite a big increase in exports in the last
decade, the UK has a large trade gap, with imports currently worth more
Breakdown of Food and Drink sector emissions by sub-sector (ONS, 2017)
than double (£46.8 billion) UK food exports (£22.5 billion)1
• Low cost labour model is challenged: Due to a restriction on supply (as a
result of Brexit), rapid rises in cost (driven by the National Living Wage); and
1,567 decreases in the cost of robotics. The sector may see a reduction in number
employed, which is approx. 4m people today1
Sector net-zero challenges
1,456
• Emissions primarily driven by agriculture: Manufacturing is significantly
lower in emissions than agriculture and consumer behaviour (e.g. waste)
1,315
• Dependency on changing diets: The CCC report scenarios rely on lower
ktCO2e
669
Demands for energy intensive processes and inefficient technology
Consumer 5 ENCOURAGE Invest in and provide • Shifting consumer choices away from categories with most emission-intensive • POS data
demand for CONSUMER lower carbon production methods (e.g. lamb and beef) by providing comparable, price analytics
BEHAVIOUR
high carbon CHANGE products to support competitive, low carbon alternatives e.g. lab meat • Automatic re-
food behaviour change • Low carbon storage methods (e.g. frozen ready meals) could reduce electricity ordering
products
demands for food processing and storage by 50%¹ • Bio-tech e.g.
• Improved consumer trend monitoring and feedback loops with retailers, stem cell meat
consumers and food service can optimise new product development
Waste and 6 Explore circular • Consider circular economy opportunities for packaging (e.g. paper, pulp, • Bio-based
EXPLORE
the under- ECOSYSTEM economy plastics) materials;
utilisation of OPPORTUNITIES
opportunities • Embrace industrial symbiosis to find uses for surpluses and residues (e.g. by- recycling tech
by-products products that can be turned into animal feed, fertilisers, bio-plastics etc.)² • Biogas
technology
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Absolute Zero, UK FIRES; 2. A Time to Act, Food Drink Europe *LVS: Low Volume System refrigeration technology 44
SECTOR CASE STUDIES: FOOD AND DRINK
Cases illustrate how process efficiency optimisation and biogas production can contribute to net-zero
Case Studies
Arla Aylesbury: The Net-Zero Carbon Dairy 1 Blue Yonder: Automating Store Replenishment 2
In 2017, the Arla Aylesbury Dairy became the first large Blue Yonder’s Replenishment Optimisation is a
liquid milk dairy in the world of its size to be net-zero. machine learning tool that automates replenishment
This was achieved by: • Reduction of out-of-stock rates: By up to 80%,
• Challenging energy-intensive processes: The need without increasing waste or inventory
for pumping was minimised, and equipment usually • Demand forecasting: The tool takes external
requiring amounts of compressed air was changed to inputs (such as weather forecasts, holidays etc.)
electrical motor-driven actuation into account to create an accurate model of future
• Combined heat and power (CHP): Powered in part by demand for different products
anaerobic digestion of site effluent, the dairy • Restocking planning: The tool helps companies
produces 4MW of electricity, used to power the with restocking plans, increasing product
factory and to fulfil some of the heat requirement availability tenfold with 50x fewer manual
• Food waste biogas plant: Biogas produces the interventions – it has been used by UK food retailer
balance of the energy required by the dairy and Morrisons
reduces waste disposal costs
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. The UK Dairy Roadmap, 2018 2. Blue Yonder, as cited in Made Smarter (pg. 39) 45
SECTOR CONTEXT: TRANSPORT
Trends towards EVs have potential to transform industry by generating onshore opportunities
Sector profile & emissions footprint Sector characteristics & insights
GVA £18,552m • Sector overview: The transport manufacturing sector in the UK is largely
assembly focused, with relatively low GHG emissions
Emissions intensity 0.12
• GVA has increased: The sector has increased its GVA 28% since 2007,
GHG emissions 2,164 (thousand tonnes of CO2e) however total output, in terms of car production, has declined since 2017
• Emissions have increased: Emissions from transport manufacturing have
Breakdown of Transport sector emissions by sub-sector (ONS, 2017) increased 10% since 2007, while emission intensity has improved to 0.12
Sector net-zero challenges
• Increasing uncertainty: UK car production fell 4% in October, with UK
demand falling ~11%, due to disruption from car sharing and low ownership
rates. Higher costs from net-zero investments could reduce
competitiveness in an export-led market
• Demand reduction impacts emission intensity: The 2018 decrease in
production volumes led to a 4.2% increase in energy consumed per vehicle.
1,738 This arises as most associated energy sources remain operational regardless
ktCO2e
of production, meaning fewer vehicles produced for the same energy used
2,164
• EVs shift carbon impact of sector: Battery production increases footprint,
although life-cycle emissions debt is quickly paid off
• Integrating recycled content: The quality and aesthetic of recycled content
parts can differ to those of virgin material, limiting circular opportunities
Key sector GHG drivers (indirect italicised)
295
High energy demands per vehicle; scope to improve energy efficiency
123 9
Non-renewable energy supply (i.e. insufficient on-site generation)
Transport: Total Motor vehicles, Building of Other transport Repair &
Product design that increases downstream emissions
trailers and ships and boats equipment maintenance
semi-trailers of ships Emissions from inefficient supply chain logistics
Continued manufacture of combustion-engine vehicles
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: SSMT Sustainability Report, International Council on Clean Transportation, ICCT 46
SECTOR ACTION AREAS: TRANSPORT
Electrifying and optimising product design can generate notable energy efficiency savings
Key sector # Sector recommendations Rationale and detailed recommendations Enabling
GHG drivers to reach net-zero technologies
Direct operations (core actions)
High energy 1 Focus on optimising • Improve energy efficiency to better deal with changes in production demand • Connected
demands per DELIVER
energy efficiency • Move to real-time control of production systems to reduce breakdowns and equipment
OPERATIONAL
vehicle EFFICIENCIES optimise machine start-up/idle time1 (e.g. HVAC)
produced • Continually optimise and monitor equipment (e.g. replacing nozzles on air hoses • Sensors, IoT
regularly, switching off back-up systems if the primary system rarely fails)2
High carbon 2 On-site renewable • Generating both electricity and heat capture for wider operations through on-site • On-site low-
(grid) energy DECARBONISE energy generation to combined heat and power (CHP), could improve efficiency from 30% to 90% carbon energy
HEAT & POWER
supply power activities • Shifting to on-site renewable energy production to improve efficiency of (Solar, CHP)
electricity distribution and decarbonise energy use
Product 3 Focus on design to • Lightweighting in design by reducing average weight of cars (e.g. to ~1000kg) • Material and
design that OPTIMISE
DESIGN AND reduce resource through reducing car parts/door weight and using alternative materials (such as component
increases MATERIALS demands at aluminium, or recycled plastics for vehicle interiors) innovation
downstream manufacturing • Regenerative braking, to save energy used in accelerating in vehicles, could save • AI
emissions
15% of energy usage, and 5-25% in trains2
• Reducing drag and rolling resistance through improved tyres, could reduce
energy usage in cars by 5%, freight and rail by 4%2
Emissions 4 Improve and • Logistical improvement technology could save up to 30% of current energy • 3D printing
from IMPROVE
LOGISTICS AND
optimise supply demand for freight transport in the UK3
inefficient TRANSPORT chain logistics within • Explore 3D printing of complex parts to reduce costs and produce locally/on-site
supply chain transport • Switch to train transport to limit air resistance and energy consumption, as trains
logistics
manufacturing are long, thin and more energy efficient2
• Shift transportation fleet to electric, focused on innovation with HGVs
• Air resistance over long-distance travel can be limited by reducing top speeds2
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Production and Manufacturing Research journal, 2017; 2. BBC Business, July 2019 2. Absolute Zero, UK FIRES, 2019 47
SECTOR ACTION AREAS: TRANSPORT
Manufacturers should build EVs into their portfolio, to address emissions in the use phase
Key sector # Sector recommendations Rationale and detailed recommendations Enabling
GHG drivers to reach net-zero technologies
Indirect operations (additional actions)
Downstream 5 Shift to EV • Consumer demand change, policy shifts and wider environmental and air quality • EV batteries
EXPLORE
use phase ECOSYSTEM manufacturing and considerations have lowered demand for petrol and diesel cars and
emissions, OPPORTUNITIES
other zero-carbon • UK manufacturers could become leaders in EV manufacturing, reducing overall components
from the transport vehicle lifecycle emissions by ~30%1 (nb. appropriate recovery/recycling of
production
batteries at end of life will be critical)
of
combustion- • Opportunity for the UK to onshore upstream supply chain activities, through
engine manufacture of EV component parts e.g. inverters and high voltage chargers
vehicles • Explore electric and hydrogen options as alternatives to diesel for HGVs
(infrastructure the main consideration i.e. charge points/refuelling stations)
• Electrification in shipping offers a significant opportunity though in its infancy,
due to technical challenge of scaling battery power
Case Studies
Toyota: From efficiency to Plant Zero CO21 Bentley: On-site renewable energy3
▪ Toyota have launched the Plant Zero CO2 Emissions ▪ Bentley have installed more than 30,000 solar
Challenge to achieve zero emissions in vehicle panels on their manufacturing site in the UK. As
manufacturing part of this, the largest UK solar car port has been
▪ An initial focus will be on continuing to improve installed at Bentley’s factory in Crewe
energy efficiency, including equipment optimisation ▪ The panels provide up to 40% of on-site
and the use of waste heat electricity, with remaining electricity being
▪ Toyota have reduced total CO2 emissions by 2.9% purchased as certified as green energy
year-on-year ▪ It is expected that the system could reduce CO2 by
▪ The focus is now shifting to on-site renewable energy 3,300 tonnes per year
generation for in-house consumption. This includes ▪ Alongside reducing its manufacturing footprint,
wind and solar, as well as hydrogen, using electrolysis Bentley is also accelerating its EV transformation
and methane – with all models to have either hybrid or electric
▪ Toyota has a wider ambition to support a hydrogen- versions by 2025
based energy system, including fuel cell EVs
▪ Toyota in Europe has also managed to reduce energy
used per car, by about 8% per year for 14 years. In
this way, Toyota have set the benchmark2
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Toyota website and Sustainability Data Book 2019; 2. BBC Car parts from weeds 3. Bentley website 49
SECTOR CONTEXT: TEXTILES
Pollutive industry, though with opportunity for waste reduction in production, use and at end of life
Sector profile & emissions footprint Sector characteristics & insights
GVA £5,562m • Textile manufacturing GVA has decreased until recently: GVA has
reduced 47% since 1990, though it has risen since 2013. Wider trends in
Emissions intensity 0.25
fashion (transparency, ethical sourcing) mean onshoring may increase
GHG emissions 1,415 (thousand tonnes of CO2e) • Waste across the value chain: The UK wastes 300,000 tonnes of clothing
p.a., costing £140m in landfill.1 Manufacturers contribute in two ways: first,
Breakdown of Textiles sector emissions by sub-sector (ONS, 2017) 35% is wasted in production, second overproduction and high wastage at
the retailer before it reaches the consumer2
• Fast fashion is hard to reconcile with net-zero: The surge of UK textile
manufacturing has been linked with short lead time requirements for fast
fashion brands, aimed at reducing time from catwalk to store
1,058
• Fibre production and in-use impacts: Drive GHGs as much as processing
• Fundamental changes in both how we produce and consume fashion: Shift
ktCO2e
1,415
in consumer buying behaviour is required if we are to reach net-zero
• Textiles is a labour-intensive sector: Anticipated automation could impact
jobs, in the UK and globally
High energy 2 Change energy mix • Electrify heat (i.e. renewable energy, use of heat pumps) • Energy
requirements DECARBONISE
to low carbon • Focus on low-temperature heating processes such as washing and drying.2 harvesting,
HEAT & POWER
for options, exploring Explore alternatives to gas-based processes (especially for yarn production) solar, CHP
manufacturing on-site production • Shift the energy mix to incorporate renewable sources, with on-site energy • Automation
processes
production an opportunity for carbon neutral manufacturing plants and robotics
High 3 Adjust raw material • Cotton (2.1kg CO2e per t-shirt) and polyester (5.5kg CO2e) have the largest GHG • Bio-based
OPTIMISE
embedded DESIGN AND inputs to low carbon impact and yet make up >70% of materials2 materials
emissions in MATERIALS
alternatives • Shifting material inputs mix to include low-carbon sustainable textiles or recycled • Chemical
materials (esp. alternatives, in line with growing consumer demand, can reduce overall GHGs recycling and
for cotton,
• Leveraging mechanical and chemical tech solutions to reduce manufacturing fibre to fibre
polyester)
waste through recycling (e.g. factory scraps into recycled yarns); experimenting
with alternative fibres and biomaterials (e.g. polyester from PET plastic)
High volumes 4 Optimise demand • In the short term, explore technology solutions to improve demand forecasting • AI forecasting
of waste from OPTIMISE
management to drive (e.g. predictive analytics to anticipate trends) • On-demand
DESIGN AND
over-supply at MATERIALS GHG and cost • In the long term, shifting to on-demand manufacturing (e.g. personalisation from manufacturing
manufacturing savings 3D-printed elements) may reduce material inputs and emissions from • 3D printing
manufacturing. This is an opportunity for UK manufacturers to meet new customer
demands, for personalisation and access, in a low-carbon way
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. EU Saving Energy in Textiles 2. . Kirchain, R., Olivetti, E., Reed Miller, T. & Greene, S. Sustainable Apparel Materials (Materials Systems Laboratory, Massachusetts 51
Institute of Technology, 2015);
SECTOR ACTION AREAS: TEXTILES
Abundance of circular opportunities and material alternatives provide future low-carbon options
Key sector # Sector recommendations Rationale and detailed recommendations Enabling
GHG drivers to reach net-zero technologies
GHGs 5 Reduce waste and • Encouraging consumer repair and re-use behaviours by improving product • Advanced
DEVELOP NEW
embedded in BUSINESS drive circular value quality and design to discourage disposability sorting
textile waste MODELS
• Adapt manufacturing facilities to support circular economy systems, for example robotics
with on-site textile sorting and recycling technology, or embedded with hi-tech • Biological
inventory management to enable high volume rental models recycling
High GHGs 6 Support system • Explore opportunities to be involved with initiatives such as The Fashion Industry • Digital Twin /
EXPLORE
across a ECOSYSTEM change and galvanise Charter for Climate Action, which sets out a vision to achieve net-zero emissions RFID /
complex, OPPORTUNITIES
industry action in the industry by 2050 and 30% GHG reductions by 2030 Blockchain
global supply • Source sustainable fibres (e.g. Better Cotton) and leverage traceability
chain
technologies, to limit environmental impact and build consumer trust
Case Studies
UPMADE: Zero-waste manufacturing by design¹ Amazon: On demand manufacturing 2
UPMADE is an innovative start-up that is allowing Amazon is revolutionising the textile industry's retail
manufacturers and brands to reduce waste, pollution model, transforming the business model towards on
and GHG emissions. UPMADE achieved this through: demand solutions that are direct-to-customer, with
• A technology solution that allows any brand to lower GHG emissions:
create value from waste and commercialize • Their patent for on-demand apparel panel cutting
industrial-scale upcycling at the production stage would enable Amazon to manufacture custom-
• The software transparently analyses excess measured clothing on-demand
materials, using specific production data and • The solution would aggregate, store, and manage
UPMADE algorithms, and identifies new garments that data on online apparel orders, allowing hyper
can be designed out of the leftover material personalisation, and optimise the process to group
• UPMADE is working with several brands and orders by “size, shape, fabric type, or delivery
manufacturers, at a global scale, to create location”
industrially upcycled clothing • Amazon has committed to net-zero by 2040
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. UPMADE 2. CBI Insights on Amazon Patent 53
SECTOR CONTEXT: PHARMA
Pharma is a high value sector with low manufacturing emissions; yet with complex value chain impact
Sector profile & emissions footprint Key Insights
GVA £13,123m • Pharma is a highly valuable sector: Pharma has a large import footprint in the
UK, around 4.5% of total imports¹, as well as a high export value over £20bn²
Emissions intensity 0.06
• GVA has decreased : Pharma manufacturing GVA has decreased 21% since 2007,
GHG emissions 830 (thousand tonnes of CO2e) however GVA per capita is double other manufacturing sectors.³ As a result,
Pharma has the lowest emission intensity of any sector at 0.06. While intensity of
Breakdown of Pharmaceutical sector emissions by sub-sector (ONS, 2017) manufacturing is low, calculating the full carbon impact of a pharma product is
challenging due to complex supply chains and multiple ingredients
• Low manufacturing emissions have decreased: Pharma GHG emissions peaked
in 2003. Since 2007, Pharma manufacturing emissions have decreased by 35%
Sector Opportunities
• Pharma is an advanced digital sector: UK leadership, alongside high R&D
investment, positions the sector well to lead in the adoption of disruptive tech
and intelligent factories to meet with new manufacturing requirements
• High productivity and low emission intensity: Sector productivity is high, while
emission intensity from is low, largely as a result of offshored production
KtCo2e
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. 1. NNE 2. Made Smarter 3. CPI 4. Carbon Trust 55
SECTOR ACTION AREAS: PHARMA
Further value chain solutions will consider end-use of medicines and new delivery models
Key sector # Sector recommendations Rationale and detailed recommendations Enabling
GHG drivers to reach net-zero technologies
Indirect operations (additional actions)
Emissions 5 Focus on R&D to • Product impact in use phase is an issue. GSK, for example, reported 40% of • Sustainable
EXPLORE
during ECOSYSTEM reduce GHGs from overall footprint is generated during product use. GHGs in the propellant of chemistry
product use OPPORTUNITIES high emission inhalers used by patients in one high-emitting example1 • AI
products • Complex patent and approval processes mean that change is difficult once a
product is on the market
• R&D can consider use-phase emissions within product development. Astra
Zeneca for example worked with Forest Laboratories to improve the processes
involved in producing Avibactam, achieving 92% increase in materials efficiency
and reducing use of organic solvents from 3,229kg to 160kg per kg of API2
• This requires long term, integrated decision making based on the intensive R&D
and long go-to-market lead times within the Pharma industry
High volumes 6 Consider new • In the UK, a limited number of drugs are manufactured with final packaging and • Delivery
DEVELOP NEW
of packaging BUSINESS material inputs and in patient ready form, increasing waste, while losing value to UK pharma sector3 models (i.e.
waste MODELS delivery models • Integrating sustainable packaging thinking at the R&D stage of product using e-
development will be critical commerce)
• Wider availability of high-quality recycled plastic can be explored to replace • Chemical
virgin inputs recycling
• New delivery models focused on reuse could enable circular solutions for some
pharma and consumer health products
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. 1. Carbon Trust 2. Astra Zeneca 3. Innovate UK 56
SECTOR CASE STUDIES: PHARMA
Collaboration between Pharma leaders, government and academia is driving UK competitiveness
through MMIC; at a company level Amgen are using AI to drive manufacturing efficiencies
Case Studies
Medicine Manufacturing Innovation Centre (MMIC) Amgen – AI to drive efficiency and reduce costs
• MMIC is a £56m collaboration between the Centre for • Amgen is piloting a process with the potential to enhance
Process Innovation (CPI), AZ, GSK and universities, to their ability to find patterns and trends in manufacturing
maintain innovation and UK competitiveness inconsistencies and to prevent their recurrence
• In building a link between R&D and manufacturing, MMIC • The AI tool seeks to replace a manual, labour-intensive,
aims to enable leaders to develop new, transformative process with the objective of being able to find
manufacturing technologies correlations between obscure signals and events
• Novel techniques for producing patient-centric • The process produces deviation reports — which Amgen
medicines, real-time release of drugs and integrated calls non-conformance (NC) reports — which are text
process analytics are all being explored documents containing insights from manufacturing
• MMIC aims to accelerate the development of these new • The project team employ NLP to examine the reports and
manufacturing processes and to help companies identify anomalies or trends and review the root cause
integrate these within their existing models • The technology drives benefits in terms of reducing time,
• This is helped by supporting industry, academia, costs and creating a more compliant process
healthcare providers and regulators to work together • Verdict AI found that 70% of Pharma companies identify
on supply chain challenges AI as very important, and that it is being used to identify
• Building of the facility is currently in progress. MMIC are opportunities that would have been missed in manual
aiming for 80 jobs by 2023 and over £80m in R&D processes
investment by 2028
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. CPI 2. CPI MMIC 3. Amgen using AI 4. Value of AI in manufacturing 57
SECTOR CONTEXT: AEROSPACE
Use phase emissions dwarf those from production/MRO; long-haul net-zero remains challenging
Sector profile & emissions footprint Sector characteristics & insights
GVA £10,064m • Aircraft use phase emissions (37,000ktCO2e for UK aviation in 20171) dwarf
those from production/repair & maintenance (667ktCO2e2); hence
Emissions intensity 0.07
aerospace players should primarily focus on new product development
GHG emissions 667 (thousand tonnes of CO2e) • Electrification is critical to emissions reduction in the use phase, and also
has the potential to lower costs per flight hour - a small turbo-prop aircraft
Breakdown of Aerospace sector emissions by sub-sector (ONS, 2017) uses $400 on fuel for a 100-mile flight vs. $8-$12 for electricity3
• Emerging electrified products market for regional aircraft: Norway and
667 Sweden are targeting electric short-haul flights by 20404
• Potential ‘CleanSky 3’ investment from the EU: The EU’s detailed 2021-27
budget will be agreed in 2020, and could include significant further
investment in ‘Clean Sky 3’ – Horizon 2020’s largest European research
programme – in order to reach the EC’s Flightpath 2050 goals5
Sector net-zero challenges
• Huge commercial aerospace market growth anticipated – Global aircraft
fleet is expected to increase from 25,830 to 50,660 units from 2018-20386
ktCO2e
622 • Long haul – 80% of the aviation sector’s emissions come from passenger
flights longer than 1,500km4, where alternative fuel sources, dual fuel and
innovation into battery technology is needed
• Long life expectancy of aircraft, required technologies would have to enter
service in 2030-35 and should be demonstrated in 2025-276
Key sector GHG drivers (indirect italicised)
Hot/heavy industrial production processes e.g. forging, hot-pressing etc.
High aircraft mass / design decisions resulting in in-use fuel inefficiencies
45
Aerospace Total Air and spacecraft and Repair & maintenance Extended complex supply chains with high GHG footprint
related machinery of aircraft & spacecraft Downstream emissions in use phase of aircraft
High emissions embedded within parts
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. 58
Sources: 1. 2. The Guardian ; 2. Accenture primary research; 3. The Alternative; 4. BBC; 5. Aviation Week ; 6. Statista;
SECTOR ACTION AREAS: AEROSPACE
Manufacturers should address intensive production processes and optimise for fuel efficiency in-use
Key sector # Sector recommendations Rationale & recommendations Enabling
GHG drivers to reach net-zero technologies
Direct operations (core actions)
Hot/heavy 1 Optimise intensive Optimise energy/materials footprints by applying digital technologies to • IoT
DELIVER
industrial OPERATIONAL production energy/materially intensive processes e.g. • Machine learning
production EFFICIENCIES
processes • Efficient heating/cooling cycles and heat recapture for hot processes & AI
processes • Retrofit of heavy capital equipment with smart sensors (light, heat, vibration, • Digital asset
pressure etc.) and augment with machine learning/AI process controls management
• Heat recapture from engine test • Cloud
• Maximised material buy-to-fly ratio (i.e. minimise x-value stream scrap)
High aircraft 2 Improve design and • Explore use of new materials in aircraft and engine design, e.g. • Material
OPTIMISE
mass DESIGN AND testing to optimise in- lightweighting1, use of carbon fibre (which is lacking in UK supply chain) 2 innovation
resulting in MATERIALS
use fuel efficiency • Design, build, test and certify the product in the digital world which will • Virtual simulation
in-use fuel eliminate physical test items used, and potentially expensive test processes • Additive
inefficiencies
manufacturing
Extended 3 Simplify supply • Simplify supply chains (e.g. vertical integration, risk-share partnerships) • IoT
IMPROVE
complex LOGISTICS AND chains and improve • Eliminate expensive air-freighting of emergency parts through improved parts • Predictive
supply TRANSPORT part monitoring/ forecasting and live aircraft monitoring and intelligence, like Amazon’s analytics &
chains with forecasting anticipatory shipping model, where pallets are shipped to small, strategic modelling
high GHG
warehouses before demands are placed based on predictive analytics 3 • AI
footprint
Downstream 4 Invest in GHG • Aerospace players should invest extensively in both immediate (afforestation, • CCS
INVEST IN GHG
emissions in REMOVAL AND removal and bioenergy/sustainable aircraft fuels) & longer term offsetting solutions (CCS)
use phase of COMPENSATION compensation • Given that electrified commercial flight is still at least 15 years away (eFanX will
aircraft, pilot 1 of 4 engines as a Hybrid-Electric Propulsion System in 20214), and that
particularly
aerospace has long product lifecycles, aerospace necessitates offsetting
during take-
off/landing • Voluntarily offset to make remainder up to net-zero. UN’s CORSIA scheme will
ensure any rise in international aviation emission above 2020 levels are offset 5
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Tech Briefs; 2. BIS UK Aerospace Supply Chain Study; 3. Smart data collective; 4. Airbus 5. Carbon Brief 59
SECTOR ACTION AREAS: AEROSPACE
Manufacturers should invest in R&D for innovation in aircraft electrification and hybrid options
Key sector # Sector recommendations Rationale & recommendations Enabling
GHG drivers to reach net-zero technologies
Indirect operations (additional actions)
Downstream 5 Optimise in-use • Enforce services to reduce performance degradation of gas turbine engines • IoT
EXPLORE
emissions in ECOSYSTEM efficiencies of (which accounts for 3.6%-6.4% of use emissions1) through optimal maintenance and • AI
use phase of OPPORTUNITIES existing fleet regular on-line water washing and retrofitting innovations e.g. winglets • Digital asset
aircraft, • Optimise flight routes/climb patterns to minimise fuel consumption management
particularly • Emissions free taxiing • Cloud
during take-
off/landing 6 Prioritise and Create a plan to transition in-service aircraft/customers to net-zero: • Digital PLM
EXPLORE
ECOSYSTEM accelerate aircraft • Transition to fully electric aircraft options for regional travel e.g. Eviation’s 9- • Digital twin
OPPORTUNITIES
electrification seater ‘Alice’2 (see case studies) • Digital thread
• Drive forward dual fuel options for short-haul (<1,500km) e.g. EfanX • Additive
• Create offsetting, R&D support and performance enhancement packages for manufacturing
long-haul (>1,500km) • IoT
Huge investment needed in electrification R&D to tackle use phase: • Hybrid/battery
• Ensure majority of the 12% of aeronautic revenues invested in R&D is spent on technologies
electrification/hybrid technologies3 • Cloud
• Participate in large, integrated demonstrator programmes across airframe, • Hybrid/battery
engines & systems technologies (e.g. Clean Sky 3)2 to reinvent the full product technologies
around new electrified propulsion systems (don’t retrofit to gas-turbine designs)
• Collaborate with Shipping/Auto/Space industries to reinvent battery
technologies - kerosene has 30x energy density of current battery technology4
High 7 Closed loop recycling • Parts recycling already at high proportions due to high value parts – Rolls-Royce • IoT
DEVELOP NEW
emissions BUSINESS already recycle ~95% of engine parts – but further potential to reuse parts at the • Blockchain
embedded MODELS
same quality grade5 • Digital
within parts certification
Sources; 1. Science Direct - Carbon dioxide emission during the life cycle of turbofan aircraft 2. ASD’s Clean Sky 3 proposal 3. EC’s Flightpath 2050 Europe’s Vision
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. for Aviation :; 4. BBC 5. Rolls-Royce – Revert programme; 60
SECTOR CASE STUDIES: AEROSPACE
Whilst Rolls-Royce is leading net-zero production, Eviation is pioneering electric regional aircraft
Case Studies
Alice is currently targeting 1. Increase closed loop recycling (currently ~50%)2 rather than lower grade alloy
entry into commercial reuse
service in 2022 2. Recover alternative materials, such as composites and other alloys
3. Roll-out ground and air-source heat pumps across its manufacturing estate
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Eviation; 2. Rolls-Royce – Revert programme; 3. edie.net – How Rolls-Royce is innovating for zero carbon operations by 2030 61
APPENDIX
1. NET-ZERO CONTEXT FOR MANUFACTURING SECTORS
2. ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY
3. MADE SMARTER BENEFITS ANALYSIS
DEFINING AIMS DATA SOURCING DEFINE IN-SCOPE SECTOR ALIGNMENT DATA ANALYSIS
Define the key data Research, explore and Consolidate the data Use the in-scope data Conduct detailed data
requirements to download relevant based on the ONS categories and align analysis to reveal key
develop new insights datasets from ONS. Standard Industrial them to the relevant insights and trends at the
via primary data Datasets include: Classification (SIC) sector, one of 8 defined manufacturing sub-
analysis. Data • UK GHG emissions codes to enable by Accenture team, sector level. Analysis
requirements, for UK 1990 - 2017 effective data based on Made Smarter including:
national data, include: • GVA at low-level comparison. Key steps: work. Index data to I. GHG emissions over
• GHG emissions for aggregates 1990 – 1. Consolidate data to obtain insights at the time
manufacturing 2018 the same sub-level sector level e.g. Food II. Gross value added
• GHG emissions by • Energy use by for analysis and Drink III. Emission intensity
sub-sector industry 2. Identify SIC codes IV. Sub-level emission
• Gross value add / relevant to trends
revenue by sub- manufacturing and V. Future projections for
sector in scope manufacturing and
• Emission intensity 3. Index data for net-zero
alignment
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. 63
EMISSIONS DATASET ALIGNMENT (1/2)
For primary analysis we used ONS data, which includes territorial based emissions, as well as air travel,
shipping, burning of biomass (etc), while the CCC uses BEIS data which has less emissions in scope
Net-zero ambition – Secondary research from BEIS data
Emissions data in scope ¹
• The UK government announced a target of net-zero for UK GHG
emissions by 2050 following recommendations made by the UK
ONS BEIS Committee on Climate Change (CCC)
• BEIS data is used by the CCC for their reports on net-zero. The “Net-
Zero Ambition” section of this deliverable is based on secondary
Territory based emissions ✔ ✔
research, including insights from the CCC report, and as a result, is
based on the BEIS dataset.
International air travel emissions ✔ ✔ UK Manufacturing Emissions – Primary analysis using ONS data
Measures of GHG emissions
We used ONS data for primary analysis based on a selection of key criteria:
Emissions from burning of
✔ X 1. Manufacturing emissions : ONS data breaks out emissions at the by
biomass
SIC section to the Manufacturing level, enabling an analysis of UK
Exclusion of emissions removals manufacturing emissions.
✔ X
by land
2. SIC Groups at Sector emission level: Further granularity enables
Crown and overseas territory manufacturing emissions to be broken down by sector. This enabled
X X insights across each of the 8 in-scope sectors. BEIS provides data for
emissions
“Industry”, however what is included in Industry data is unclear.
International shipping emissions ✔ ✔ 3. Comparable datasets: ONS provide datasets across GHG emissions
and GVA, to enable like for like comparison, up to 2017
Adjusting from a territory to a 4. Defined type of emissions: ONS emissions data for manufacturing
✔ X
residency basis includes scope 1 emissions only
5. Alignment to Made Smarter: ONS data was used for the Made Smarter
Net imported emissions X X
work and, as a follow on, this was important for consistency
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Sources: 1. Breakdown of differences in emissions data (2016) can be found here 64
EMISSIONS DATASET ALIGNMENT (2/2)
ONS and BEIS emissions data varies based on in-scope emissions, the category breakdown of sectors
and the level of data granularity
ONS: 2017 GHG Emissions data 2017 emissions % of 2017 BEIS: 2017 GHG emissions 2017 emissions (ktCO2e) % of 2017 emissions
(ktCO2e) emissions
Consumer expenditure * 143,780 25% Surface transport 116,881 23%
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. * Sum of total % may not equal 100% due to rounding 65
* LULUCF: Land use, land-use change and forestry
EMISSIONS IN SCOPE
The focus of this analysis is on Scope 1 emissions; addressing upstream energy emissions (Scope 2) and
wider value chain emissions (Scope 3) will be critical, but is not considered in this analysis
Examples of emissions Examples of activities
Emissions scope Addresses… In scope
sources to reduce emissions
• Emissions directly produced
from combustion or by • Switch to alternative
Emissions from products from industrial fuels / energy sources /
Direct GHG emissions industrial activities and activities technologies
fuels consumed by Yes
(Scope 1) • Fuels consumed by (owned / • Increase efficiency of
owned or controlled
controlled) vehicles energy-consuming
assets
• Fuels consumed by boilers assets
and electricity generators
Copyright © 2020 Accenture All rights reserved. Source: The Climate Group and Accenture Strategy: Transforming Energy Consumption 66
MANUFACTURING GROSS VALUE ADD (GVA)
GVA has decreased 3% across all in-scope sectors, however GVA has grown in Aerospace, Transport
and Food and Drink
GVA (£m) Key takeaways
30,000
• GVA has increased in 3/8 sectors in scope since
2007
25,000
• Aerospace GVA has increased 47% during this
timeframe, the highest growth sector. Transport
20,000 has increased 23%
• Food and Drink has the highest GVA, at £24,706m
15,000 in 2017
• 5/8 sectors GVA has decreased, reflecting macro
10,000 trends in offshoring of manufacturing since 1990
5,000
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
25+
ORGANISATIONS
40+ 45+ 1
EXTERNAL
15+
ACCENTURE
7
STAKEHOLDERS RESEARCH VALUE AT STAKE
ENGAGED INVOLVED PAPERS ACADEMIC INDUSTRY / TECH MODELS
REVIEWED VALIDATION EXPERTS CREATED
• For each industry sector or technology, a model was built bottom-up, creating a
specific set of use cases relevant for the sector or technology in question
• The analysis followed the “value at stake” approach to understanding the value of
digital transformation for industry, society and the environment, developed in
collaboration with the World Economic Forum
• The analysis studied four industries in detail (Construction, Food and Drink, Pharma and
Aerospace) and for these sectors found an estimated £185bn at stake over the next
decade. This figure was then extrapolated to provide an overall estimate for the UK