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2019 0906 安徽财经 Chiu v2019 0905 1700 confidential PDF
2019 0906 安徽财经 Chiu v2019 0905 1700 confidential PDF
Current Situation
International Development
Conclusions
WWF 2016 Living Planet
Report
The 2016 edition of the LPR
highlights the tremendous
pressure that humanity is
putting on our planet.
We are using 50 per cent
more resources than the
Earth can provide.
By 2030, even two planets
will not be enough.
5
Eco Footprint 1961
Source : Living planet Report – WWF (2012)
Eco Footprint 2008
Source : Living planet Report – WWF (2012)
INTERNATIONAL POLICY NEEDS A SCIENCE BASE
Climate Sustainable
change fisheries,
mitigation tourism
SDGs DIRECTLY DEPENDENT ON NATURAL
RESOURCES
Sustainable Consumption and Production is the most
efficient strategy to avoid trade-offs and create synergies
to resolve the development and environmental challenges
articulated in the SDGs.
SDGs DIRECTLY DEPENDENT ON NATURAL
RESOURCES
IN THE RECENT MONTHS …
THE NEW UNEP IRP MATERIAL FLOW AND
RESOURCE PRODUCTIVITY DATA SET
•A coherent account of material use in the global economy
and for every nation, complementary to the System of
National Accounts
•A large data set covering 40 years (1970–2010) and most
countries of the world.
•Presents direct and consumption-based material flow
indicators, covering total usage, per capita use and material
use per US$.
•Information should help identify opportunities, risks and
vulnerabilities related to the global supply of primary
materials and show the potential for efficiency gains and
reductions in material use in the global economy
GLOBAL MATERIAL FLOWS AND
RESOURCE PRODUCTIVITY (1970-2010)
•Consumption has been stronger driver of growth in material use than
population growth
•Since 2000 material efficiency has declined - global economy needs more
materials per unit of GDP. Production has shifted from material efficient
countries to countries that have lower material efficiency
•The richest countries consume on average 10 times more materials as
the poorest
•The level of well-being achieved in wealthy industrial countries
cannot be generalised globally based on the same system of
production and consumption
GLOBAL MATERIAL USE HAS ACCELERATED
• Annual global extraction of materials grew from 22 billion tonnes in
1970 to around 70 billion tonnes in 2010
• Non-metallic minerals used in construction was the fastest growing
group of materials
Figure 1. Global material extraction (DE) by four material categories, 1970–2010, million tonnes
MATERIAL EXTRACTION GREW UNEVENLY IN THE
GLOBAL ECONOMY
• Asia and the Pacific had the largest growth, especially China and
Southeast Asia
• Growth in Asia and the Pacific reverberated in Latin America and
Africa who supplied materials to Asia
Figure 5. Drivers of net change in domestic material consumption between 2000 and 2010 for world regions: population,
affluence, and material intensity
RICHEST COUNTRIES CONSUME ON AVERAGE 10 TIMES
THE MATERIALS AS POOREST COUNTRIES
• Average material footprint of medium HDI countries has grown
slowly over past two decades, reaching 5 tonnes per capita, while
material footprint in low HDI countries has been stagnant for the
past two decades at 2.5 tonnes per capita
Figure 8. Per capita material footprint (MF) by HDI level, 1990–2010 (the HDI is a compound index on life expectancy, literacy and income)
OVERALL DECLINE IN MATERIAL EFFICIENCY
• Global economy now needs more materials per unit of GDP than it did at
the turn of the century
• This has been caused by large shift of economic activity from very
material-efficient economies such as Japan, the Republic of Korea and
Europe to the much less material-efficient economies of China, India and
Southeast Asia
Figure 7. Material intensity by development status and global material intensity, 1970–2010
THE LEVEL OF WELL-BEING ACHIEVED IN WEALTHY INDUSTRIAL
COUNTRIES CANNOT BE GENERALIZED GLOBALLY BASED ON THE
SAME SYSTEM OF PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
If current systems of
production and provision
for major services will not
be changed, nine billion
people would require about
180 billion tonnes of
materials annually by 2050,
almost three times today’s
amounts
Figure 6. Per-capita material footprint (MF) by seven world regions, 1990 and 2010,
tonnes
AND …
SOLUTIONS
DECOUPLING IS THE IMPERATIVE
OF MODERN ENVIRONMENTAL AND
ECONOMIC POLICY
• Developed economies will need to adopt strategies
that bring their resource consumption down to
globally sustainable levels (ABSULUTE DECOUPLING)
Air, Water
FHF Water Vapour
Imports Exports
Immigrants Economic Emigrants
DMI Processing
DPO
TMR DE
Stocks TDO
DHF DHF
Domestic Environment
Source: WRI et al.,2000; Rapera, Corazon
Energy Comparison Geng, ISIE 2005
C G
O J I F E C C
U A T R R U U A H
N P A A M K S N I
T A L N A A N
R N y C N D A
Y E Y A
Energy
Consump
tion 1.00 1.33 1.50 1.50 2.17 2.67 3.50 11.5
Per USD
Comparisons between China and Other
Countries
Systems Thinking
and social equity
Environmental risks
and ecological
scarcities
Conservation Resource
Economic system
of Resources
resources Efficiency Products &
Services
By-products
Objectives:
to MAXimize output with MINimum input, and operating within the carrying
9/9/2019 anthonysfchiu@gmail.com capacity of the eco-system 41
Systems Studies at Plant / Factory
Level
Year of Entry: 1990s Focuses: energy, pollution, MSME
Raw Finished
materials products
PRODUCTION
100
90 90
80
CLEANER
Product w/ negative
economic value Waste
10
20
9/9/2019 Anthony SF Chiu43
Kalundborg Industrial Symbiosis
Fertiliser
Farms Water Lake Water Industry
Tissø (NH4)2S2O3
Novo Steam Statoil
Biomass Nordisk Water Refinery Sulphur- and
Water
& Yeast Ammonia-rich
Steam Artificial
Slurry Gas Effluents
Lake
Asnæs Used Water
Power Station
Waste Gypsum
Fly Ash Water Residual
Bioteknisk Heat
Gyproc
Jordrens
Sludge
Cement Municipality Residual Fish
Industry of Kalundborg Heat Farms
Nickel &
Vanadium Source: UNEP 2002 (Erkman) 2004 (Chiu)
44
Kalundborg Industrial Symbiosis - Waste Flow
Fertiliser
Farms Industry
(NH4)2S2O3
Novo Statoil
Biomass Nordisk Refinery Sulphur- and
& Yeast Ammonia-rich
Slurry Gas Effluents
Asnæs Used Water
Power Station
Waste Gypsum
Fly Ash Water
Bioteknisk
Gyproc
Jordrens
Sludge
Cement Municipality
Industry of Kalundborg
Nickel &
Vanadium Source: UNEP 2002 (Erkman) 2004 (Chiu)
Kalundborg Industrial Symbiosis - Water
Flow
Water Lake Water
Tissø
Novo Steam Statoil
Nordisk Water Refinery
Water
Steam Artificial
Lake
Asnæs Used Water
Power Station
Waste
Water
46
Kalundborg Industrial Symbiosis - Energy Flow
Residual
Heat
Source: UNEP 2002 (Erkman) Gyproc
9/9/2019 47
Green Industry / SCP Update of SEAsia
SAsia?
Country Policy Program or Project Action Plan Incentive or Award Government Unit
Laos √ √ √ √
Myanmar √ √ √ √
Indonesia √ √ draft √ √
Malaysia √ √ √
Thailand √ √ √ √
Philippines √ √ √
Vietnam √ √ √ √
Cambodia √ √ √ √ √
Emissions
Life Cycle Inventory Energy carrier
extraction Production Material
of electricity recycling
Extraction of
raw material A Production of
intermediates Incineration
Extraction of Production of Utilisation
raw material B final product
Production of Land filling
parts
Extraction of
raw material C
... ...
...
Resources
Resource depletion Material and energy resource consumption, land use
URBANIZATION 10YFP
Infrastructure Sustainable Public
Transportation Procurement
Housing Consumer Information
Food system Sustainable Tourism
Clothing Sustainable Lifestyle and
Education
IRP CITIES DECOUPLING Sustainable Buildings and
IRP REFURB Construction
Sustainable Food Systems
Circular Economy (C2C) Elleen MacArthur Fdn
TO CONCLUDE …
WE HAVE TO FIX A BROKEN
COMPASS
(PAVAN SUKHDEV)
NECESSARY
AND UNAVOIDABLE SCIENCE
MARKETS
CANNOT ENSURE EFFICIENCY IN THE ALLOCATION AND
USE OF RESOURCES …
anthony.chiu@dlsu.edu.ph