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The Australian Centre for Peace and Conflict Studies (ACPACS)
Occasional Papers Series [Online]
ISSN 1833-9611
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Abstract
Decentralising reforms in the period 1999-2001 were associated in some places with
communal (religious and ethnic) warfare. The connection can be better understood with
the techniques of resource mobilisation than with those looking for grievances. The
former takes more interest in history and politics than in timeless hurts. A study of the
conflict narratives shows that these episodes emerged as 'politics by other means' at a
moment of opportunity following the collapse of the New Order in 1998. They were led
by urban middle class elements in provincial towns outside Java that were particularly
dependent on state subsidies. The history of these mainly administrative towns is
entwined with that of state formation throughout the twentieth century. In the short term,
a practical solution to these problems has been found in learning to make better local
rules. In the longer term, they lie in building a substantive democracy in Indonesia, even
at the risk of messy communitarian expressions of popular sovereignty.
Introduction
This paper is divided into four parts. It
Collective violence in Indonesia in the years begins, first, by discussing two alternative
1996-2002 claimed an estimated 19,000 approaches commonly used to analyse
lives. About 9,000 of these died in episodes of collective violence, one
secessionist violence in East Timor and grievance-based, the other mobilisational. It
Aceh, and 10,000 in other kinds of violence argues that the latter approach, which draws
(Varshney, Panggabean and Tadjoeddin on social movements theory, offers a better
2004). Ninety percent of the latter perished grip on what happened in Indonesia. It then
in a total of six long-running communal shows, second, that the historical and
conflicts. They were closely related to the political processes highlighted by this
decentralising reforms in Indonesia at this approach help us understand why
time, as I hope to show. The remainder died decentralisation, which was a contentious
in several short, localised episodes of urban reform in Indonesia, led to communal
rioting. Two types of violence not counted in violence. In order to get there, however, we
these statistics also increased in this period. must not take too narrowly elitist a view of
One includes vigilantism and youth brawls resource mobilisation, but must consider,
and has been called 'social violence'. This third, the peculiar process of modernisation
remains poorly understood and has been and state formation in Outer Island Indonesia
difficult to quantify nationally. It shades into in the longer term. Fourth, the paper closes
criminal violence. Terrorism has also by considering some broad policy
claimed several hundred lives, most implications of the argument developed
notoriously in the first Bali bomb attack of above.
12 October 2002. Communal violence
therefore claimed more victims than any Two approaches
other kind. Unlike secessionist violence and
urban rioting, it has not been seen in Among the many ways to dichotomise
Indonesia on this scale before (terrorism also studies of violence (see the useful review in
reached new levels). Yet it has received less Horowitz 2001: 34-42), one is particularly
scholarly attention than other types of appropriate for illuminating the relationship
collective violence. between collective violence and political
Communal Conflict and Decentralisation in Indonesia
ACPACS Occasional Paper Number 7, July 2007 2
change. Why Men Rebel (1970) was Ted contentious politics (McAdam, Tarrow and
Gurr's statement of one side of this Tilly 2001; Tilly 2003).
dichotomy. In tune with the behaviourism
dominating political science at the time, he Grievance-based approaches lend
sought the sources of aggression that themselves particularly well to large-N
produced violent outbursts, and found them studies. A statistical approach is better at
in relative deprivation. Gurr had no interest representing the grievances of the many who
in how violent conflict was organised, but may sympathise with one side in a violent
only in the emotions of the many who had a conflict, than at exposing the machinations
stake in its outcome. Grievances remain an of the few who organised it. Grievances are
appealing and widely used focus for research assumed to arise from measurable long-term
on the root causes of violent conflict. inequalities in individual or group welfare.
Frances Stewart recently offered a strong list The Political Instability Task Force PITF
of them: "Major root causes include (Bates et al. 2003) studies vulnerability to
political, economic, and social inequalities; internal warfare by testing more than 1,300
extreme poverty; economic stagnation; poor political, demographic, economic, social,
government services; high unemployment; and environmental variables for all countries
environmental degradation" (Stewart 2002). of the world during the period 1955–2002
(though it finds that only a handful of these
The adjective 'mobilisational' that denotes will do the job in most cases). For example,
the other side of the analytical dichotomy is the PITF found the risk of internal warfare
shorthand for resource mobilisation, a rising substantially with high infant
structuralist innovation by Charles Tilly mortality, which is an indicator of social
(1978), writing not long after Gurr. Its misery. Its case study on India showed that
starting point was that the outcome of political violence increased with high
struggles is determined not so much by the unemployment and low literacy, that
grievances of the participants as by their disaffected young males ran a bigger risk of
ability to maximalise organisational involvement in violence, and that a history
resources. Grievances are far more common of violence was a good predictor of more of
than revolutions that address them. They the same. Moderate to high ethnic diversity
tend to fester until an organiser comes along. was also associated with a higher risk of
Consequently it is more profitable to internal ethnic warfare.
emphasise organisers than grievances in
studies of violent conflict. Later two other The PITF did not only model grievances. Its
key concepts were added to the analytical work on regime types showed it also had an
armoury of resource mobilisation. interest in institutions and path-dependency.
Opportunity structure took an interest in the Mobilisational theorists would consider
political context that determines when these under the headings resources and
mobilisation is more likely to produce the opportunities. Thus weakly democratic
desired outcome. Framing was about cultural regimes on the cusp between autocracy and
perceptions in the minds of the participants, democracy were particularly vulnerable to
and how these can be changed by means of internal warfare. So were regimes that
ideological work. The resulting social oppressed their ethnic minorities, or
movements theory (Snow, Soule and Kriesi countries with a history of internal warfare
2004) has also taken an interest in violent or whose neighbours were afflicted with
struggle, where it is now more often called violence. The PITF has coded path-
dependency by, for example, looking at
Communal Conflict and Decentralisation in Indonesia
ACPACS Occasional Paper Number 7, July 2007 3
ethnic diversity show only weak correlations Bismarck. By the mid-1990s an ageing
with violence, and vertical income Suharto was losing his powers. Then, by
inequalities (class) none at all. Broadly chance, came the Asia-wide currency
similar conclusions were reached by Barron collapse of late 1997. Political crisis
et al (2004).2 Certainly conflict participants followed not long afterwards, climaxing in
were vocal about their identities at the time. Suharto's resignation in May 1998. Then in
The failure of the identities to show up in the quick succession Indonesians saw the first
correlations raises questions about the democratic elections in June 1999, the
dynamic nature ('salience') of group secession of East Timor that October, and
identities that statisticians find new decentralisation laws implemented in
uncomfortable. The failure to detect strongly January 2001. In between were years of
polarised group identities underlying street protests, feverish reform proposals,
communal conflict is disturbing, since the and three new presidents. By July 2001 the
conflict participants were certainly very accession of President Megawati signalled
vocal about those identities. The silence on the end of reformasi. She embraced the
the question of timing too, while not military; a new ruling coalition had been
surprising in view of the method adopted, is formed.
perplexing. It reinforces an impression
abroad in the global conflict resolution Of all these interlinked processes between
community that Indonesia is more or less 1998 and 2001, I believe decentralisation
permanently awash with communal was the most contentious from the point of
violence. The raw data Mancini uses shows view of communal violence. It is to this we
clearly that the communal violence peaked must now turn, and we will adopt a
in the years 1999-2000 before declining mobilisational approach to do it.
again, but we see no discussion of why this
may have been so. Decentralisation and communal violence
A researcher using a mobilisational approach When we plot the six major episodes of
has things to say about both these puzzles. communal violence that claimed the most
The reason why ethnic and religious lives on a map, we realise why the result
diversity does not correlate strongly with correlates so poorly with the map of the most
violent conflict could be that these identities often cited grievances. Communal violence
are not equally salient in every time and occurred in the provinces of West
place. Perhaps conflict itself makes them Kalimantan (twice), Central Kalimantan,
salient. As for the timing, one thinks Central Sulawesi, Maluku (Ambon) and
immediately of the multiple upheavals that North Maluku. These were not hotbeds of
occurred in those years. Politics and history economic grievances. They were not the
are unavoidable. Indonesia had been ruled most immiserated areas in Indonesia. By far
by an authoritarian regime for thirty years, the highest infant mortality occurs in the
headed by President Suharto, a retired eastern provinces of West and East Nusa
general who has been compared with Tenggara. Nor were they the worst affected
by the economic crisis that followed the
2
Asian financial crisis. That affected Java
This dataset was somewhat problematic because it badly, while many outer island areas actually
was based on responses to a couple of questions
added to a routine questionnaire to village heads benefited because their agricultural export
about government effectiveness, which led to under- products like cocoa brought windfall rupiah
reporting.
Communal Conflict and Decentralisation in Indonesia
ACPACS Occasional Paper Number 7, July 2007 5
violent phase, and after the violence prominent religious organiser and
ended, several Dayak groups acted as based in Poso town.
mediators, interpreters, and perhaps • North Maluku, late 1999 - late 2001.
organisers of the violence. They In provincial capital Ternate, fighting
included government-sponsored is between Muslims associated with
customary councils (dewan adat) at the sultan of Ternate, who led the
the district and the provincial levels, local branch of the New Order
the provincial-level NGO Pancur political party Golkar, and Muslims
Kasih, and groups attached to the opposed to him, often close to
Catholic Church. Muslim political parties such as PPP.
• West Kalimantan, 1999 episode. Ethnic student organisations play a
Malays expel more Madurese from role too. North Maluku also has other
various districts. The unilateral arenas revolving around different
action was controlled by the organisations in other places.
Communication Forum of Malay • Central Kalimantan, early 2001.
Youth (FKPM), run by well- Dayaks expel almost all Madurese
connected businessmen. from the entire province in a
• Ambon, Maluku, early 1999 - late unilateral action. The key
2001. Christians versus Muslims. organisation is the Central
Muslims have the Task Force for Kalimantan Institute for Dayak and
Coping with 'Bloody Idul Fitri', Regional Social Consultation
based at the Al Fatah mosque in the (LMMDD-KT), led by the former
heart of Ambon town. Headed by rector of the state university, who
retired military officers, it had been a candidate for governor.
coordinates a wide range of local
mosque-based organisations. These organisations were all based in towns
Christians have the Communications - provincial or district capitals - in certain
Assistance office based at the regions of the thinly populated islands
Maranatha Church, a few minutes beyond Java. All the people who ran them
walk from Al Fatah. Fighters belong belonged to an urban (lower) middle class.
to the youth movement of the They were religious leaders,
Maluku Protestant Church (AM- parliamentarians, businessmen, bureaucrats,
GPM). Leading figures are active in retired soldiers, academics, NGO activists,
the political party PDI-P. students. They were local notables, and all
• Central Sulawesi, 2000 episode. were politically involved. Indeed the violent
Christians versus Muslims in Poso events in which they played an (often simply
district. Christians have a Crisis defensive) role took place amidst major
Centre based at the synod offices of political changes. Without going into detail
the Central Sulawesi Christian (which can be read in Klinken (2007)) I have
Church (GKST), in Tentena south of sketched these events in the same format as
Poso town. Muslims have the Poso above. The major contentious issue in each
Islamic Congregation's Forum for case is indicated at the beginning.
Consultation and Struggle, a
coalition of Muslim political and • West Kalimantan, 1997. Native
religious organsiations led by a district heads. Although the New
Order had not yet collapsed, local
Communal Conflict and Decentralisation in Indonesia
ACPACS Occasional Paper Number 7, July 2007 7
Dayak movements had been active in of the violence revolved around the
West and Central Kalimantan since religion of the new district head, who
the early 1990s to demand that was elected in 1999, and that of the
districts be headed by local-born district secretary, who was appointed
people, ie Dayaks. Dayak ideologues in 2000. District heads and
interpreted the violence as a Dayak secretaries were about to become
protest against their bureaucratic more powerful under proposed
marginalisation. The argument was decentralisation laws.
persuasive, for after the violence • North Maluku, 1999 - 2001.
ended the central government Governor. The Sultan of Ternate had
appointed many more Dayaks to lost his formal powers years earlier,
these positions. Often this was but the promise of decentralisation
achieved by dividing an existing rekindled his ambitions. He inserted
district into two or more parts, thus himself aggressively into a campaign
creating more official positions. to have North Maluku excised from
• West Kalimantan, 1999. More native Maluku as a new province. His
district heads. Malays, who had till opponents rallied around the Sultan
then dominated the provincial of the neighbouring island of Tidore.
bureaucracy but were shocked by the When the province became a reality,
Dayak successes above, imitated the the campaigning coalition split into
Dayak repertoire of ethnic cleansing rival factions in the competition for
against a powerless minority. The governor.
government responded with 'power- • Central Kalimantan, 2001. Local
sharing' arrangements between autonomy. Dayaks within LMMDD-
Dayaks and Malays for the control of KT had failed twice in earlier
many districts. All over Indonesia, campaigns for a 'regional son'
decentralisation was interpreted in provincial governor. In 2001, they
terms of the rights of 'regional sons'. also failed to dominate the newly
• Ambon, Maluku, 1999 - 2001. autonomous district of Kotawaringin,
Elections. The first democratic which has timber wealth. Despite a
elections since 1955 took place in vigorous campaign of ethnic
June 1999. Christians had felt cleansing along the West Kalimantan
increasingly marginalised in the model, the organisation did not
bureaucracy by advancing Muslim achieve signal successes. However,
representation. The reformist its key figures remained hopeful for a
political party PDIP was in Ambon big break in the future.
dominated by Christians. When PDIP
won a significant victory in Ambon, It is not correct to say the communal
Christians felt their fortunes were violence was 'about' only one thing. Every
about to change for the better and episode, particularly the one in North
this led to aggressive behaviour. Maluku, was fought at different levels by
• Central Sulawesi, 2000. District various groups each driven by a complex
head. As in Ambon, Christians had mix of motives. Even now much remains
been increasingly marginalised by a unclear beneath the barrage of propaganda
rising Muslim generation in the and the calculated cover-ups practised by
bureaucracy. The political discourse interested parties at various times. But I
Communal Conflict and Decentralisation in Indonesia
ACPACS Occasional Paper Number 7, July 2007 8
vigorous improvements along two broad bureaucracy was important enough for the
axes - democratisation and decentralisation. urban middle class in those places to go to
Democracy meant releasing political war over it. Curious as it seems, since it says
prisoners, prosecuting corruptors and human nothing about ethnicity or religion, the
rights abusers, removing censorship and conclusion is inescapable. But why in these
restrictions on association, and organising towns and not others? Is there some way of
free and fair elections. Feverish electoral measuring how important the bureaucracy is
preparations were well underway by late to urban middle classes around Indonesia?
1998, and they were held in June 1999. The There is. If we crudely estimate the urban
populist opposition party PDIP stood to gain working population by counting non-
most especially in Java from the general agricultural workers, and then calculate how
disgust with Suharto's party Golkar, but many of these non-agricultural workers are
Islamic parties also had towering civil servants, the resulting ratio would be
expectations. the indicator we need. Table 1 (see p.10) is
the result (district-level data would be better
Decentralisation was as popular outside Java but I only have provincial data). In all
as democracy was in Java. The three central provinces in Java and Bali (except Jakarta
elements of the reforms eventually written and Jogjakarta) the ratio falls below the
into law - empowering local parliaments to national average, while in all the Outer
elect district heads, giving district heads Islands it is higher. The provinces where
greater budgetary powers, and returning communal violence occurred all lie outside
more tax money to resource-rich areas - Java and are at the upper end of the
were widely discussed in the press as the spectrum. Although this does not explain
best way to pre-empt separatism. Indeed everything, because some with even higher
secessionist movements in the three restive ratios like Bengkulu were peaceful, it does
provinces of Aceh, Papua and East Timor suggest we are on to something. A fifth to a
seized the opportunity to raise their voices at third of the urban working populations in the
this time. East Timor, with the strongest provinces where violence occurred worked
claim on international attention, won a UN- directly for the government. That is not
supervised referendum and a formal exit counting all those others, mainly building
from Indonesia in October 1999. Exuberant contractors, who are indirectly on the
autonomy movements all over the Outer government payroll as well. The dominance
Islands threatened to secede too if they were of government in many Outer Island towns
not given greater powers. A wide-ranging is obvious to anyone who walks down their
autonomy law was rushed through in 1999, main streets, reads local newspapers or
and implemented in early 2001. Nearly listens to coffee shop talk.
everywhere outside Java people demanded
that top bureaucratic positions should be But what about the first question: how does
held by 'regional sons' (putra daerah). an urban dependence on the civil service
produce communal violence at a moment of
So how are these decentralisation politics political opportunity? If we can answer this
related to violence, and why did it have to we will have the expanded, politicised
happen in these five areas? The second notion of grievances we were looking for.
question is easier to answer than the first. The answer is familiar to Africanists who
The narratives of communal violence point have described how clientelism delivers state
to a single conclusion: control over the services to particular social solidaries in
Communal Conflict and Decentralisation in Indonesia
ACPACS Occasional Paper Number 7, July 2007 10
million. Nearly half of them are located Outer Island areas generally saw more rapid
outside Java. About 80% of the country's deagrarianisation, but starting from a lower
population lives within the sphere of base, as shown in the first column of Table 2
influence of a provincial town. The great (the data for Maluku is probably erroneous).
majority of these towns first became truly
urban in the late nineteenth and the twentieth Table 2: Vulnerability to ethnic conflict
centuries. They sprang up in step with the
Increase in Ratio civil Vulnerability
Pax Neerlandica, which spread throughout non-ag. servants to index
the archipelago from small bases in the workers non-ag. [V = DxB]
course of the nineteenth century, first 1970s/80s to workers (%),
through military conquest, then by 1990s [D] 1990 [B]
administration and trade. Rutz (1987: Map C. Java 1.30 7.5 10
II) plots towns on a map according to their E. Java 1.40 7.8 11
date of birth. The map is a veritable history W. Java 1.36 8.7 12
of state formation. Most of the oldest towns Bali 1.42 10.0 14
in the archipelago (53 of 89 established Jakarta 1.01 14.5 15
before 1700 CE) are in Java. The new towns Lampung 1.25 12.0 15
in the period 1700 - 1900 are mostly located Indonesia 1.30 11.5 15
in the Outer Islands (89 of 133). They Jogja 1.39 12.4 17
closely followed the pacification campaigns S Kalt 1.14 15.5 18
of the nineteenth century, popping up in the E Kalt 1.31 14.1 18
hinterland of the major river mouth harbours S. Sum 1.26 14.8 19
such as Banjarmasin and Palembang. In the N. Sum 1.31 14.4 19
twentieth century the new towns spread W. Nusa T 1.29 14.8 19
rapidly into the interior of the big islands S Sul 1.13 18.5 21
Sumatra, Kalimantan and Sulawesi. Of the Riau 1.30 17.8 23
106 new towns, 97 were in the Outer Islands. N Sul 1.19 22.8 27
Jambi 1.26 21.8 27
W. Sum 1.38 20.3 28
Indonesia continued to urbanise (and
W Kalt 1.55 19.1 30
deagrarianise) throughout the twentieth
Aceh 1.45 20.7 30
century, in step with worldwide trends. The
C Kalt 1.78 20.7 37
Outer Islands were about three decades
E. Nusa T 1.54 24.3 37
behind Java in the level of urbanisation they Maluku 1.13 33.1 37
had reached by the late 1990s. But the speed C Sul 1.68 31.8 53
at which deagrarianisation and urbanisation SE Sul 1.77 32.2 57
were taking place appears in recent decades Bengkulu 1.65 45.2 75
to have been higher outside than in Java, Source: Statistical Yearbook of Indonesia,
although the data is not very reliable due to Jakarta: BPS (annual). (East Timor and Irian
changing definitions. By 1998 55% of Jaya sometimes no data)
workers in Indonesia said they no longer
worked mainly in agriculture - up 30% on This suggests an additional source of
the average during the 1970s and '80s. But in political instability in Outer Islands towns.
the Outer Island province of West Rapid deagrarianisation is an unsettling
Kalimantan, for example, only 38% of process. An influx of people looking for
workers were non-agricultural in 1998, yet accommodation, work and services by
that was a 55% rise on the 1970s and '80s. making use of clientelistic networks in
relatively small towns puts pressure on
Communal Conflict and Decentralisation in Indonesia
ACPACS Occasional Paper Number 7, July 2007 12
already weak state institutions. Indeed, if we first time produced the corrupt patronage
multiply the ratio of civil servants to non- politics that also came to characterise many
agricultural workers (indicating state other newly independent 'soft states', to use
dependency) with the increase in non- Myrdal's term. This was to resurface after
agricultural workers (indicating rate of social 1998, when the centre was again weak.
change), we obtain an index that turns out to
be high for all the provinces where Throughout the twentieth century, and
communal violence occurred in the post- particularly after the oil boom of the early
1998 transition. This is not the whole story - 1970s, the bureaucracy expanded more
provinces like Southeast Sulawesi and rapidly than the population. Fears in Jakarta
Bengkulu have an even higher index, for of rebellion in the regions of the kind that
reasons that are not yet clear.4 But the had occurred in 1957 led the New Order to
figures are suggestive. pump large amounts of money into the Outer
Island regions for development purposes.
The core activity in most of these towns was This money helped improve millions of lives
government administration, as well as trade through better communication, education
facilitated by improved transport and health services. At the same time it was
infrastructure. Indonesia never had a political instrument to buy support for the
significant industry until after the mid-1960s centre among the key urban middle classes.
under the New Order, and even then the Much more important than the crude use of
factories were mainly in Java. Thus the military repression, its effectiveness could be
economy of Outer Island towns revolved seen in consistently higher Golkar votes
around the state, trade, and agriculture. outside Java than in Java throughout the
New Order and until the present time. Too
The most prestigious jobs were tied to the often researchers have taken nationalist
state. In colonial times the top administrative rhetoric at face value when the real ties that
positions were held by the Dutch, with Indo- bind are of a more material nature. The
Europeans holding second tier positions. central government seems to have known
Discipline was tight. But when the Japanese this all along.
defeated the Dutch in 1942 they elevated
large numbers of indigenous Indonesians to In short, the argument in this section has
the vacated administrative positions. Upon been that state subsidies intended to
independence this class of people came to modernise society had created a rapidly
dominate provincial politics. The powerful growing provincial urban society
political party PNI, for example, depended disproportionately dependent on the money
entirely on their support. At the same time from above. These people were skilful at
the state lost the discipline it once had. A misappropriating the cash as a bargaining
disastrous loss of tax revenue, coupled with chip in a constant game of threatened
a form of state socialism in the 1950s, for the disloyalty, and well used to redistributing the
benefits along the clientelistic circuits that
4
It could be that these places are indeed more lay behind the formalities.
vulnerable, and should be watched carefully next time
there is a political crisis. Or it could be there is What is to be done?
something else at work. For example, the level of
urbanisation in Bengkulu and Southeast Sulawesi is
low, so perhaps the towns have not yet reached a Decentralisation and democratisation set in
certain size threshold to start showing the kind of motion competition between communal
urban volatility we saw in the five areas in question.
Communal Conflict and Decentralisation in Indonesia
ACPACS Occasional Paper Number 7, July 2007 13
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