‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ﻭ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺩﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﻟﻠﻌﻠﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ‪2013 ، 90 - 82 : ( 1 ) 5 ،‬‬

‫ﻤﻌﺎﻟﻡ ﻭﺁﻟﻴﺔ ﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﺍﻟﻔﻨﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻹﻨﺸﺎﺀ ﻤﻌﻤل ﺍﻓﺘﺭﺍﻀﻲ ﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻓﻲ‬
‫ﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﻤﺭﻜﺯ ﻗﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﺩﻱ‪.‬‬
‫*‬
‫ﺍﺤﻤﺩ ﻋﺒﺩ ﺍﷲ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ**‬ ‫ﺤﻤﻴﺩ ﺭﺸﻴﺩ ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ‬

‫‪dr.hameed_agr@yahoo.com‬‬ ‫* ﺃﺴﺘﺎﺫ ‪ -‬ﻗﺴﻡ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ ‪ -‬ﻜﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﺔ ‪ -‬ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ‪.‬‬

‫** ﺃﺴﺘﺎﺫ ﻤﺴﺎﻋﺩ ‪ -‬ﻗﺴﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺭﻭﺓ ﺍﻟﺤﻴﻭﺍﻨﻴﺔ ﻜﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﺔ ‪ -‬ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬

‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺨﻠﺹ‬
‫ﺍﻨﺘﻬﺠﺕ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﻤﻨﻬﺠﹼﺎ ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﹼﺎ ﻤﺩﻋﻭﻤﹼﺎ ﺒﺘﻁﺒﻴﻘﺎﺕ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﻪ ﻟﻠﺤﺼﻭل ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ ﺍﻟﻤﻁﻠﻭﺒﺔ‪ ،‬ﻹﻨﺘـﺎﺝ‬
‫ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ‪ ،‬ﻤﻊ ﻋﺩﻡ ﺘﺠﺎﻫل ﺍﻟﺠﺎﻨﺏ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻤﺎ ﺘﻁﻠﺏ ﺍﻷﻤﺭ ﺇﻴﻤﺎﻨﺎ ﺒﺎﻟﺤﺎﺠﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻠﺤـﺔ ﺇﻟـﻰ‬
‫ﺘﺒﻨﻲ ﺍﻷﻓﻜﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻤﻴﺔ ﻭﺘﺭﺠﻤﺘﻬﺎ ﺇﻟﻰ ﻭﺍﻗﻊ ﻋﻤﻠﻲ ﻤﻠﻤﻭﺱ ‪ .‬ﻭﺍﻨﻁﻠﻘﺕ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﻤـﻥ ﻓﺭﻀـﻴﺔ ﻤﻔﺎﺩﻫـﺎ ﺍﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﻟﻠﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻱ ﻴﻬﺩﻑ ﺇﻟﻰ ﻤﻨﺢ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ ﺤﺭﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﺨﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺒﻴﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺭﺹ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺎﺤـﺔ‬
‫ﻭﻓﻕ ﺃﺴﺱ ﻭﻤﻌﺎﻴﻴﺭ ﻋﻠﻤﻴﺔ ﺘﻀﻤﻥ ﻟﻪ ﺘﺠﺎﻭﺯ ﺤﺎﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻐﻤﻭﺽ ﻭﺍﻟﻀﺒﺎﺒﻴﺔ ‪ ،‬ﻭﺘﺯﻴل ﺍﻟﻘﻠﻕ ﺍﻟﺫﻱ ﻴﺭﺍﻭﺩ ﺘﻔﻜﻴﺭﻩ‬
‫ﻭﺘﺠﻌﻠﻪ ﺃﻜﺜﺭ ﺍﻁﻤﺌﻨﺎﻨﺎ ﻭﻗﺎﺩﺭﹰﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺘﺒﻨﻲ ﻤﻨﻬﺞ ﻋﻠﻤﻲ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﻤﺩﺭﻭﺱ‪ ،‬ﻭﺘﻭﻀﻴﺢ ﺍﻟﺭﺅﻴﺎ ﺃﻤﺎﻤﻪ ‪ ،‬ﻟﻴﻜﻭﻥ‬
‫ﺃﻜﺜﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﺘﺨﺎﺫ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﺴﺏ ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻠﻴﻡ ﻟﻠﻭﺼﻭل ﺇﻟﻰ ﺃﻓﻀل ﺍﻟﺒﺩﺍﺌل ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘﺩﻨﻲ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻑ ﺇﻟﻰ ﺍﻗـل‬
‫ﻤﺎ ﻴﻤﻜﻥ ﻭﺒﻤﺎ ﻴﺅﻤﻥ ﺃﻓﻀل ﻤﺭﺩﻭﺩ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻭﻱ ﺍﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻩ‪ .‬ﻭﻭﻀﻌﺕ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺘﺤﻠـﻴﻼ‬
‫ﻟﻼﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺘﻘﺏ ﻭﻓﻕ ﺍﻟﺘﺩﻓﻘﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺩﺍﺨﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺨﺎﺭﺠﺔ‪ ،‬ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻭﻗﻌﺔ ﺨﻼل ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺭ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺭﺍﻀﻲ ﻟﻠﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ‬
‫ﺒﻬﺩﻑ ﺍﺘﺨﺎﺫ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﺴﻠﻴﻡ ﻻﺨﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻔﺭﺼﺔ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻴﺔ ﻭﺘﺤﺩﻴﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﺩﻓﻘﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﻋﻠﻰ ﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ ﻭﺍﻷﻜﺜﺭ ﺭﺒﺤﻴﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺤﺩﺩﺕ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻠﺯﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺴﺎﺴﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻑ ﺍﻟﻼﺯﻤﺔ ﺒﻨﻭﻋﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻻﺴـﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺸـﻐﻴﻠﻴﺔ ‪،‬‬
‫ﺒﺎﻹﻀﺎﻓﺔ ﺇﻟﻰ ﺍﻷﻴﺩﻱ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻤﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﻼﺯﻤﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ‪ .‬ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﻀﻭﺀ ﺫﻟﻙ ﺘﻡ ﺇﺠﺭﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﺤﻴـﺙ‬
‫ﺒﻴﻨﺕ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺃﻥ ﺼﺎﻓﻲ ﺍﻹﻴﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ ﺒﻠﻐﺕ ‪ 2322.27‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻀـﺎﻓﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻫﻲ ‪ 2528.52‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻀﺎﻓﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ ‪ 2379.87‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺒﻴﻨـﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺃﻥ ﻋﺎﺌﺩ ﺍﻟﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ‪ . %42‬ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﻴﺴﺘﻐﺭﻗﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻤﺸـﺭﻭﻉ ﻜـﻲ‬
‫ﻴﺴﺘﺭﺩ ﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻔﻪ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻴﺔ ﻫﻲ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 3‬ﺴﻨﻭﺍﺕ ﺘﻘﺭﻴﺒﺎ ‪ .‬ﻭﺨﻠﺼﺕ ﺍﻟﻰ ﺠﻤﻠﺔ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻭﺼﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘـﺭﻯ‬
‫ﺃﻨﻬﺎ ﻀﺭﻭﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﺘﺸﺠﻴﻊ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻓﻲ ﻫﺫﺍ ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎل ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﻔﺘﺎﺤﻴﺔ‪ :‬ﻤﻌﺎﻟﻡ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ‪ ,‬ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ‪.‬‬

‫ﺍﻟﻤﻘﺩﻤﺔ‬
‫ﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺇﺩﺨﺎل ﺍﻟﻤﻜﻨﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺤﺩﻴﺜﺔ ﺸﻬﺩ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺍﻕ ‪ ،‬ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺩﻴﺩ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﻠﺩﺍﻥ ﺘﻁﻭﺭﹰﺍ ﻭﺍﺴﻌﹰﺎ ﻓﻲ ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻭﺘﺼـﻨﻴﻊ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﻐﺫﺍﺌﻴﺔ ‪ ،‬ﻭﻤﻨﻬﺎ ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺫﻱ ﻴﻌﺩ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻷﻫﻤﻴـﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤـﺔ ﺍﻟﻐﺫﺍﺌﻴـﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺫﻱ ﻴﻜﺎﺩ ﺍﻥ ﻻ ﻴﺨﻠﻭ ﻤﻨﻪ ﺃﻱ ﻤﻁﺒﺦ ﻋﺎﺌﻠﻲ ‪.‬ﺤﻴﺙ ﺇﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻠﺏ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻟﻤﻲ ﻤﻥ ﻗﺒل ﻤﺼﺎﻨﻊ ﺍﻷﻏﺫﻴـﺔ‬
‫ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﻤﺴﺘﻤﺭ ﻭﻤﺘﺯﺍﻴﺩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻨﺤﻭ ﻜﺒﻴﺭ‪,‬ﻟﻠﺴﻬﻭﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﻴﻤﻜﻥ ﺒﻬﺎ ﻫﺭﺱ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻭﺘﺭﻜﻴﺯﻫﺎ ﻹﻨﺘـﺎﺝ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻨﻁﺎﻕ ﻤﺤﻠﻲ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺒﻠﺩﺍﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘﺸﺘﻬﺭ ﺒﺯﺭﺍﻋﺔ ﻫﺫﺍ ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺼﻭل ﻭﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠﻪ ﺒﺸﻜل ﻭﺍﺴﻊ‪.‬ﻭﻤـﻥ‬
‫ﻫﻨﺎ ﺠﺎﺀ ﺍﺨﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﻤﻭﻀﻭﻉ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺴﻭﻤﺔ)ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺍﻓﺘﺭﺍﻀﻲ ﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺔ ﻤﻌﺠـﻭﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻭﺒﻁﺎﻗﺔ ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠﻴﻪ ‪ 16‬ﻁﻥ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻴﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ( ‪ .‬ﻟﺘﺴﻠﻁ ﺍﻟﻀﻭﺀ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻁﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﺍﻻﺴـﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻓﻲ ﻤﺜل ﻫﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻋﺎﺕ ﺒﻐﻴﺔ ﺘﺸﺠﻴﻊ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭﻴﻥ ﻟﻼﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻓﻲ ﻫﺫﺍ ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎل ﻟﻤﺎ ﻟﻪ ﻤﻥ ﺃﻫﻤﻴﺔ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ‬
‫ﻓﻲ ﺤﻴﺎﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺭﺩ ﻟﻐﺭﺽ ﺘﺄﻤﻴﻥ ﺍﻟﻐﺫﺍﺀ ﻹﻓﺭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺸﻌﺏ ﺒﺎﻷﺴﻌﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﺴﺒﺔ ﻭﻟﺴﺩ ﺍﻟﻨﻘﺹ ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺼل ﻓﻲ‬
‫ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﻤﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻐﺫﺍﺌﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﻴﻌﻭل ﺍﻵﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﺴﺘﻴﺭﺍﺩﻫﺎ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻷﺴﻭﺍﻕ ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎﻭﺭﺓ ‪.‬‬
‫ـــــــــــــــ‬
‫ﺘﺎﺭﻴﺦ ﺍﺴﺘﻼﻡ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺙ ‪. 2011 / 3 / 31‬‬
‫ﺘﺎﺭﻴﺦ ﻗﺒﻭل ﺍﻟﻨﺸﺭ ‪. 2012 / 5 / 20‬‬

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 ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ﻭ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺩﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﻟﻠﻌﻠﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ‪2013 ، 90 - 82 : ( 1 ) 5 ،‬‬

‫ﻤﺸﻜﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‪ :‬ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺍﻟﻌﺩﻴﺩ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺭﺹ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺎﺤﺔ ﺘﺘﺒﺎﻴﻥ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﺒﻴﻨﻬﺎ ﻓـﻲ ﺘﺤﻘﻴـﻕ ﺍﻟﻤﻨـﺎﻓﻊ‬
‫ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻻﺠﺘﻤﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺃﻏﻠﺏ ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻫﻲ ﺭﻭﺘﻴﻨﻴﺔ ﻻﺴـﺘﻜﻤﺎل ﻤﺴـﺘﻠﺯﻤﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺤﺼﻭل ﻋﻠﻰ ﺇﺠﺎﺯﺓ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻭ ﺍﻟﺤﺼﻭل ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻷﺭﺽ ﺍﻭ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺽ ﻴﻘﻭﻡ ﺒﻬﺎ ﺃﺸﺨﺎﺹ ﻟﻴﺴـﻭﺍ ﻤـﻥ‬
‫ﺫﻭﻱ ﺍﻟﺨﺒﺭﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺤﻘل ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻭﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻋﺎﺕ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻻ ﺘﺠﻨﺏ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ ﺍﺘﺨﺎﺫ ﺍﻟﻘـﺭﺍﺭﺍﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺨﺎﻁﺌﺔ ﻭﻻ ﺘﺯﻴل ﺍﻟﻐﻤﻭﺽ ﻭﺍﻟﻀﺒﺎﺒﻴﺔ ﻭﻻ ﺘﻭﻀﺢ ﺍﻟﺭﺅﻴﺎ ﺃﻤﺎﻤﻪ ﻻﺘﺨﺎﺫ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﺴﺏ ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻠﻴﻡ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻓﺭﻀﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ‪:‬ﺍﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﻟﻠﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻱ ﻴﻤﻨﺢ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ ﺤﺭﻴـﺔ ﺍﻻﺨﺘﻴـﺎﺭ ﺒـﻴﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻔﺭﺹ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺎﺤﺔ ﻭﻓﻕ ﺃﺴﺱ ﻭﻤﻌﺎﻴﻴﺭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﺘﻀﻤﻥ ﻟﻪ ﺘﺠﺎﻭﺯ ﺤﺎﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻐﻤﻭﺽ ﻭﺍﻟﻀﺒﺎﺒﻴﺔ ‪ ،‬ﻭﺘﺯﻴل ﺍﻟﻘﻠﻕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺫﻱ ﻴﺭﺍﻭﺩ ﺘﻔﻜﻴﺭﻩ ﻭﺘﺠﻌﻠﻪ ﺃﻜﺜﺭ ﺍﻁﻤﺌﻨﺎﻨﺎ ﻭﻗﺎﺩﺭﹰﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺘﺒﻨﻲ ﻤﻨﻬﺞ ﻋﻠﻤﻲ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﻤﺩﺭﻭﺱ‪.‬‬
‫ﻫﺩﻑ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ‪ :‬ﺘﻬﺩﻑ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﻰ ﺒﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﺍﻟﻔﻨﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻹﻨﺸﺎﺀ ﻤﻌﻤل ﺍﻓﺘﺭﺍﻀﻲ ﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‬
‫ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﻤﺭﻜﺯ ﻗﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﺩﻱ ﻭﺒﻁﺎﻗﺔ ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠﻴﺔ ‪ 16‬ﻁﻨﹰﺎ ﺼﺎﻓﻴﹰﺎ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻴﻭﻡ‬
‫ﻤﻥ ﻤﺎﺩﺓ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﻭﻁﺭﺍﺌﻕ ﺍﻟﺒﺤﺙ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﻗﻊ ‪ :‬ﻴﻘﻊ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻓﻲ ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺤﻲ ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻲ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻤﻴﻡ ﻗﺭﺏ ﺠﺴﺭ ﺍﻟﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ ﺠﻨﻭﺏ ﻏـﺭﺏ ﻤﺭﻜـﺯ‬
‫ﻗﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺭﻤﺎﺩﻱ ‪4‬ﻜﻡ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻘﻁﻌﺔ )‪ ( 18899 / 38‬ﻤﻘﺎﻁﻌﺔ ‪ 47‬ﺤﺼﻭﺓ ﺍﻟﺸﺎﻤﻴﺔ‪ .‬ﻭﻋﻠـﻰ ﺍﻟﺠﻬـﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻴﻤﻨﻰ ﻤﻥ ﺭﺍﻓﺩ ﺍﻟﻭﺭﺍﺭ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺒﻌﺩ ‪ 1000‬ﻤﺘﺭ ﻤﻨﻪ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻁﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﺍﻷﺭﺽ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﻴﺩﺓ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻤﺸـﺭﻭﻉ ‪ :‬ﺍﺭﺽ ﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﺘﻨﺘﺸﺭ ﺒﺎﻟﻘﺭﺏ ﻤﻨﻬﺎ ﻤﻌﺎﻤل ﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ‪ .‬ﻭﻴﺒﻌﺩ‬
‫ﺨﻁ ﺍﻟﻜﻬﺭﺒﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻭﻁﻨﻴﺔ ﻋﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﻗﻊ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 50‬ﻡ ﻤﻊ ﻭﺠﻭﺩ ﻤﺤﻭﻟﺔ ﻜﻬﺭﺒﺎﺀ ﺨﺎﺼﺔ ﺒﺎﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺒﻘـﺩﺭﺓ‬
‫‪ . K.V.A 400‬ﻭﻴﺭﺘﺒﻁ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﻗﻊ ﻤﻊ ﺍﻟﺸﺎﺭﻉ ﺍﻟﺭﺌﻴﺴﻲ ﺍﻟﺫﻱ ﻴﺒﻌﺩ ﻋﻨﻪ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 150‬ﻤﺘﺭﹰﺍ ﺍﻷﻤـﺭ ﺍﻟـﺫﻱ‬
‫ﻴﺴﻬل ﺇﻴﺼﺎل ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺼل ﺇﻟﻰ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻭﻨﻘل ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻤﻨﻪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﻴﻌﺘﻤﺩ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ‪ :‬ﻴﻌﺘﻤﺩ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻜﻤﺎﺩﺓ ﺃﻭﻟﻴﺔ ﺃﺴﺎﺴـﻴﺔ‬
‫ﻓﻲ ﺼﻨﺎﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﻤﺼﺩﺭﻫﺎ ﺍﻟﺤﻘﻭل ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺯﺍﺭﻉ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘﻨﺘﺸﺭ ﺒﻜﺜﺭﺓ ﻓﻲ ﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅـﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒـﺎﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻨﻁﻘـﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎﻭﺭﺓ ﻟﻤﻭﻗﻊ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻭﻻ ﻴﻭﺠﺩ ﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻤﻨﺎﻓﺱ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﻗﺸﺔ‬
‫ﺃﻭﻻ ‪ :‬ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﻨﻴﺔ ‪:‬‬
‫ﻁﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﻭﻤﻜﻭﻨﺎﺕ ﻤﻌﻤل ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ‬
‫‪ -1‬ﻁﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻨﺎﺀ ‪:‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﺒﻨﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﺠﺩﺭﺍﻥ ﻤﺸﻴﺩﺓ ﺒﻤﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺒﻠﻭﻙ ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻘﻭﻑ ﻤﺸﻴﺩﺓ ﺒﻤﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻜﻭﻨﻜﺭﻴﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﻠﺢ ﻭﺍﻷﺭﺽ ﻤﺒﻁﻨـﺔ‬
‫ﺒﺎﻟﻜﺎﺸﻲ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺯﺍﺌﻴﻙ ﻭﺍﻟﺠﺩﺭﺍﻥ ﻤﻐﻠﻔﺔ ﺒﺎﻟﺴﻴﺭﺍﻤﻴﻙ ﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺒﻊ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 400‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺒﻨﺎﺀ‬
‫ﻭ ﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﻭﻋﻤل‬
‫ﺃ‪: -‬ﺍﻷﺒﻨﻴﺔ ﻭﺘﺸﻤل ‪-:‬‬
‫ﻗﺎﻋﺔ ﻟﺘﺴﻠﻡ ﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻋﺩﺩ‪ 5/‬ﺃﺒﻌﺎﺩﻫﺎ ‪ 7‬ﻡ× ‪ 5‬ﻡ×‪ 3.5‬ﻡ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻗﺎﻋﺔ ﻟﻐﺴل ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﻔﺭﺯ ﺃﺒﻌﺎﺩﻫﺎ ‪ 11.5‬ﻡ × ‪ 6‬ﻡ ×‪ 3.5‬ﻡ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻗﺎﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻨﻴﻊ ﺃﺒﻌﺎﺩﻫﺎ ‪ 11.5‬ﻡ × ‪ 6‬ﻡ ×‪ 3.5‬ﻡ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻗﺎﻋﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﺏ ﻭﺍﻟﺨﺯﻥ ﺃﺒﻌﺎﺩﻫﺎ ‪ 11.5‬ﻡ× ‪ 4.5‬ﻡ×‪ 3.5‬ﻡ‪.‬‬
‫ﻤﺨﺎﺯﻥ ﻟﺨﺯﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻠﺏ ﺍﻟﻔﺎﺭﻏﺔ ﻭﻤﺨﺎﺯﻥ ﻟﻺﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﺠﺎﻫﺯ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺩ ﻟﻠﺘﺼﺩﻴﺭ ﻋﺩﺩ ‪ 1‬ﺒﺈﺒﻌـﺎﺩ‬
‫‪6‬ﻡ×‪ 25‬ﻡ×‪3.5‬ﻡ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻭﺘﻘﺩﺭ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻘﺎﻋﺎﺕ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺨﺯﻥ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ‪ 153‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺤﻴﺙ ﺍﻥ ﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﺒﻨﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺒﻊ ﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﻭﻋﻤل‬
‫‪ 400‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‪.‬‬

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 ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ﻭ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺩﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﻟﻠﻌﻠﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ‪2013 ، 90 - 82 : ( 1 ) 5 ،‬‬

‫ﺏ ‪: -‬ﻭﺤﺩﺓ ﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﺨﺩﻤﺎﺕ ﻭﺘﺘﻜﻭﻥ ﻤﻥ ﻁﺎﺒﻘﻴﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﺎﺒﻕ ﺍﻷﺭﻀﻲ ﻤﺨﺼﺹ ﻟﻠﻌﻤﺎل ﻭﺍﻟﻔﻨﻴﻥ ﻭﻴﺸـﻤل‬
‫ﺃﺭﺒﻊ ﻏﺭﻑ ﺃﺒﻌﺎﺩﻫﺎ ‪ 10‬ﻡ × ‪ 4‬ﻡ × ‪ 3‬ﻭ‪ 4‬ﻡ × ‪ 5‬ﻡ × ‪ 3‬ﻡ ﻭ‪ 6‬ﻡ ×‪4‬ﻡ ×‪3‬ﻡ ﻭﻤﻁﺒﺦ ‪ 4‬ﻡ ×‪4‬ﻡ×‪3‬ﻡ‬
‫ﻭﺼﺤﻴﺎﺕ ‪4‬ﻡ×‪2‬ﻡ ﻏﺭﻓﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﻭﻟﺩﺍﺕ ‪11‬ﻡ ×‪ 3‬ﻡ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺝ – ﺍﻟﻁﺎﺒﻕ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻨﻲ ﻭﻴﺘﻜﻭﻥ ﻤﻥ ‪ 4‬ﻏﺭﻑ ﻨﻔﺱ ﺍﺒﻌﺎﺩ ﺍﻟﻁﺎﺒﻕ ﺍﻷﺭﻀـﻲ ﻤﺨﺼﺼـﺔ ﻟﻤـﺩﻴﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺸـﺭﻭﻉ‬
‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺤﺎﺴﺏ ﻭﻏﺭﻓﺔ ﺍﺠﺘﻤﺎﻋﺎﺕ ﻭﻤﺠﻤﻊ ﺼﺤﻴﺎﺕ‪.‬‬
‫ﺩ – ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﺒﻨﺎﺀ ﻭﺤﺩﺓ ﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﺨﺩﻤﺎﺕ ﺘﻘﺩﺭ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ‪ 110‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﻥ ﻜﻠﻔـﺔ‬
‫ﺒﻨﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺒﻊ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 400‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﻭﻋﻤل ‪.‬‬
‫ﻩ ‪ -‬ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﺨﺎﺭﺠﻲ ﻟﻠﻤﻌﻤل ﺃﺒﻌﺎﺩﻩ ‪200‬ﻡ‪ 3 × 2‬ﻡ ﺍﺭﺘﻔﺎﻉ‪ .‬ﻤﺸﻴﺩ ﺒﻤـﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺒﻠـﻭﻙ ﺘﺘﺨﻠﻠـﻪ ﺃﻋﻤـﺩﺓ‬
‫ﻜﻭﻨﻜﺭﻴﺘﻴﺔ ﻭﻜﻠﻔﺘﻪ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 18‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺤﻴﺙ ﺘﻡ ﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺒﻨﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺭﺒﻊ ﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﻭﻋﻤـل‬
‫ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 30‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻤﻊ ﺍﻷﻋﻤﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻜﻭﻨﻜﺭﻴﺘﻴﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻭ ‪ -‬ﻗﺎﻋﺎﺕ ﻟﻠﻤﻜﺎﺌﻥ ﻋﺩﺩ‪ 2/‬ﺍﺒﻌﺎﺩ ﻜل ﻤﻨﻬـﺎ ‪35‬ﻡ ×‪20‬ﻡ ﻤﺴـﻘﻔﺔ ﺒﻤـﺎﺩﺓ ‪ Sandwich Panel‬ﻭﺍﺭﺽ‬
‫ﻤﺒﻁﻨﺔ ﺒﺎﻟﻜﻭﻨﻜﺭﻴﺕ ﻭﻤﺎﺩﺓ ‪ B.R.C‬ﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﻜﻌﺏ ‪ 175‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﻭﻋﻤل ﻭﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﻜﻠﻔﺘﻬﻤـﺎ‬
‫ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 490‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻋﺭﺍﻗﻲ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺯ– ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﺒﻨﺎﺀ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 765‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬
‫‪ - 2‬ﺍﻷﺠﻬﺯﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻌﺩﺍﺕ ﺤﺴﺏ ﻤﺎ ﺃﺸﺎﺭ ﻟﻬﺎ ‪. (2010) Haryana‬‬
‫‪ – 1‬ﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﻏﺴل ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 2‬ﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺭﺯ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 3‬ﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﺘﻘﺸﻴﺭ ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 4‬ﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﻬﺭﺱ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻬﺸﻴﻡ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 5‬ﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻔﻴﺔ ﻭﻋﺯل ﺍﻟﺸﻭﺍﺌﺏ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 6‬ﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﺍﺴﺘﺨﻼﺹ ﺍﻟﻌﺼﻴﺭ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 7‬ﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﺴﺘﺭﺓ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ - 8‬ﻤﻜﺎﺒﺱ ﻫﻴﺩﺭﻭﻟﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﻋﺩﺩ ‪ 2‬ﻗﻁﺭ ‪ 130‬ﺴﻡ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 9‬ﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﺏ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 10‬ﺃﺤﺯﻤﺔ ﻨﺎﻗﻠﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 11‬ﺒﻭﻴﻠﺭﺍﺕ ﻋﺩﺩ‪. 2/‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻠﻤﻜﺎﺌﻥ ﻭﺍﻷﺤﺯﻤﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺒﻭﻴﻠﺭﺍﺕ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻠﺤﻘﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺨﺭﻯ ﺘﻘﺩﺭ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 785‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨـﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻋﺭﺍﻗﻲ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ - 12‬ﻤﻭﻟﺩﺍﺕ ﻜﻬﺭﺒﺎﺌﻴﺔ ) ﺩﻴﺯل ( ﻋﺩﺩ ‪ 2‬ﺍﻟﻁﺎﻗﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻭﻟﻴﺩﻴﺔ ﻟﻜل ﻤﻨﻬﻤﺎ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ K.V.A 300‬ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻬـﺎ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 45‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 13‬ﺃﺠﻬﺯﺓ ﺘﻜﻴﻴﻑ ﻤﺭﻜﺯﻱ ﻋﺩﺩ‪ 2/‬ﻁﺎﻗﺔ ﻜل ﻤﻨﻬﺎ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 30‬ﻁﻥ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 20‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ‬
‫ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 14‬ﺴﻴﺎﺭﺓ ﺤﻤل ﻋﺩﺩ‪ 2/‬ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 80‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 15‬ﺘﺭﻜﺘﺭ ﻤﻊ ﻋﺭﺒﺔ ﻋﺩﺩ‪ 1/‬ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻪ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 20‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 16‬ﺩﻨﺒﺭ ﺫﻭ ﻜﻴﻠﺔ ﻤﺘﺤﺭﻜﺔ ﻋﺩﺩ‪ 1/‬ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﻪ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 6‬ﻤﻼﻴﻴﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻋﺭﺍﻗﻲ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 17‬ﺨﺯﺍﻥ ﻭﻗﻭﺩ ‪ 30‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﻟﺘﺭ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻪ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 10‬ﻤﻼﻴﻴﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻋﺭﺍﻗﻲ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 18‬ﺨﺯﺍﻥ ﻟﻠﻤﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻟﺢ ﻟﻠﺸﺭﺏ ﺘﻘﺩﺭ ﻗﻴﻤﺘﻪ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 10‬ﻤﻼﻴﻴﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺘﻘﺭﻴﺒﺎ‪.‬‬

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 ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ﻭ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺩﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﻟﻠﻌﻠﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ‪2013 ، 90 - 82 : ( 1 ) 5 ،‬‬

‫‪ - 3‬ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺘﺼﻨﻴﻊ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ‪:‬‬

‫ﺘﺘﻡ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺘﺼﻨﻴﻊ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﺒﺎﻟﻤﻜﻨﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺤﺩﻴﺜﺔ ﻋﻥ ﻁﺭﻴﻕ ﺴﻠﺴﻠﺔ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﺨﻁـﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺘﺎﻟﻴـﺔ‬
‫ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﻴﻤﻜﻥ ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻬﺎ ﺤﺴﺏ ﻤﺎ ﺍﺸﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻴﻬﺎ ‪. ( 2008) Anthon‬‬
‫ﻴﺘﻡ ﺍﺴﺘﻼﻡ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﺠﻴﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻨﻭﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺼﻨﺎﺩﻴﻕ ﺒﻼﺴﺘﻴﻜﻴﺔ ﻤﻨﺎﺴﺒﺔ ﺒﻭﺯﻥ ‪ 30-20‬ﻜﻐـﻡ‪ ,‬ﻭﻴـﺘﻡ‬
‫ﺤﻔﻅﻬﺎ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻤﺨﺯﻥ ﻭﺘﺤﺕ ﻅﺭﻭﻑ ﺨﺯﻥ ﻤﻨﺎﺴﺒﺔ ﻭﺒﺸﻜل ﻨﻤﻭﺫﺠﻲ‪ .‬ﺒﻌﺩ ﺫﻟﻙ ﺘﻐﺴـل ﺍﻟﺜﻤـﺎﺭ ﻭﺘﻨﻅـﻑ‬
‫ﺒﻭﺴﺎﻁﺔ ﻤﻜﺎﺌﻥ ﺍﻟﻐﺴل ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻨﻅﻴﻑ‪ ،‬ﻴﺘﻡ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺘﺨﻠﺹ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻷﺘﺭﺒﺔ ﻭﺍﻷﻭﺴﺎﺥ ﺜﻡ ﺘﺠﺭﻱ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﻓﺭﺯ ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻋﻥ ﻁﺭﻴﻕ ﺍﻟﻔﺭﺯ ﺍﻟﻴﺩﻭﻱ ﻤﻥ ﻗﺒل ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺎل ﺍﻟﻤﻜﻠﻔﻴﻥ ﺒﻬﺫﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﻤـل‪ ,‬ﻭﻴـﺘﻡ ﻓﻴـﻪ ﺍﻟـﺘﺨﻠﺹ ﻤـﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﻤـﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻀﺭﺭﺓ‪.‬ﻭﺘﺠﺭﻱ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺨﻠﺹ ﻤﻥ ﻗﺸﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺒﻭﺍﺴﻁﺔ ﻤﺎﻜﻴﻨﺔ ﻤﺘﺨﺼﺼﺔ ﺜﻡ ﺘﺘﻡ ﻋﻤﻠﻴـﺔ ﻫـﺭﺱ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻭﺘﻬﺸﻴﻡ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻟﺘﻜﻭﻴﻥ ﺍﻟﻠﺏ ﺍﻟﻤﻬﺭﻭﺱ ﺒﺎﻟﻁﺭﻴﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺭﺩﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘﺘﻤﻴﺯ ﺒﺎﻟﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺔ ﻋﻠـﻰ ﻨﻭﻋﻴـﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺘﺞ‪.‬ﻭﺒﻌﺩ ﺫﻟﻙ ﺘﺠﺭﻱ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻔﻴﺔ ﺨﻼل ﺘﻤﺭﻴﺭﻩ ﺒﻤﺎﻜﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻔﻴﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺨل ﺍﻟﻤﺨﺭﻭﻁﻲ ﻹﺯﺍﻟـﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺒﺫﻭﺭ ﻭﺍﺴﺘﺨﻼﺹ ﺍﻟﻌﺼﻴﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺼﻔﻴﺔ ﻭﺒﻌﺩ ﺫﻟﻙ ﺘﺘﻡ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﺴﺘﺨﻼﺹ ﺍﻟﻌﺼﻴﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺼﻔﻴﺔ ﺜﻡ ﻴـﺘﻡ ﻨﻘـل‬
‫ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﻰ ﻭﺤﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺘﺭﻜﻴﺯ ﺍﻟﻭﺤﺩﺓ ﺍﻷﻜﺜﺭ ﺃﻫﻤﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻤﺭﺍﺤل ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ‪ ,‬ﻭﺘﺘﻡ ﻋـﻥ ﻁﺭﻴـﻕ‬
‫ﺘﺒﺨﻴﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺎﺀ ﻭﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺼﻠﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﺤﺼﻭل ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺒﺎﻟﻜﺜﺎﻓﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻁﻠﻭﺒﺔ‪.‬ﻭﺒﻌﺩ ﺫﻟﻙ ﺘﺠـﺭﻱ ﻋﻤﻠﻴـﺔ‬
‫ﺭﻓﻊ ﺩﺭﺠﺔ ﺤﺭﺍﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺘﺞ ﺇﻟﻰ ﺩﺭﺠﺔ ‪ 90-70‬ﻡ‪ °‬ﻟﻐﺭﺽ ﺍﻟﺒﺴﺘﺭﺓ ﻭﺒﻌﺩﻫﺎ ﺘﺘﻡ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺒﺭﻴﺩ ﺤﻴﺙ ﺘﻌﺘﺒـﺭ‬
‫ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﺨﻁﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻬﺎﻤﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘﻌﺘﻤﺩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻨﻭﻋﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺘﺞ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺩﺍﺨﻠﺔ ﻓﻴﻪ‪ ,‬ﺘﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﻋﻤﻠﻴـﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺒﺌـﺔ‬
‫ﻭﺒﻤﻐﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﺤﺴﺏ ﺭﻏﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﻬﻠﻙ ﻭﻁﺭﻴﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻭﻴﻕ‪.‬‬
‫ﺃ ‪ -‬ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺨﺎﻡ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺴﺎﻋﺩﺓ ﻭﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺒﺌﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻐﻠﻴﻑ ‪ /‬ﻁﻥ‪.‬‬
‫‪ -1‬ﺒﻤﺎ ﺃﻥ ﻜل ﻁﻥ ﻤﻥ ﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻴﻨﺘﺞ ‪ 175‬ﻜﻐﻡ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺘﺭﻜﻴﺯ ‪ %28‬ﺼﺎﻓﻲ )‪(2009،United‬‬
‫‪ .‬ﻭﻟﻜﻭﻥ ﻁﺎﻗﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤل ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠﻴﺔ ﻫﻲ ‪ 16‬ﻁﻨﹰﺎ ﺼﺎﻓﻴﹰﺎ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻴﻭﻡ ﻭﺒﻭﺍﻗﻊ ‪ 8‬ﺴﺎﻋﺎﺕ ﺃﻱ ﺸﻔﺕ ﻭﺍﺤـﺩ ﺇﺫﻥ‬
‫ﻴﺤﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺇﻟﻰ ‪ 92‬ﻁﻥ ﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻴﻭﻡ ﻭﻴﺤﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﻰ ﻜﻤﻴﺔ ‪ 28‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﻁﻥ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺍﻥ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻫﻭ ‪ 300‬ﻴﻭﻡ ﻋﻤل ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ‪.‬‬
‫‪ -2‬ﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺒﺌﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻐﻠﻴﻑ ﻴﺤﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻲ ﺇﻟﻰ ‪ 1000‬ﻗﻨﻴﻨﺔ ﺴﻌﺭ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤـﺩﺓ‬
‫ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 75‬ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭﹰﺍ ﻭﻴﺤﺘﺎﺝ ﺇﻟﻰ ‪ 85‬ﻜﺎﺭﺘﻭﻨﹰﺎ ﺘﻐﻠﻴﻑ ﻟﻜل ﻁﻥ ﺴﻌﺭﺍ ﻟﻜﺎﺭﺘﻭﻥ ‪ 60‬ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭﹰﺍ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺇﺫﻥ ﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ ﻤﺎ ﻴﺤﺘﺎﺠﻪ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻱ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﻟﻎ ‪ 4800‬ﻁﻥ ﺼﺎﻓﻲ ﻫﻭ ‪ 304.48‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨـﺎﺭ ﻋﺭﺍﻗـﻲ‬
‫ﻟﻐﺭﺽ ﺸﺭﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻘﻨﺎﻨﻲ ﺍﻟﻔﺎﺭﻏﺔ ﻭ ﺸﺭﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻜﺎﺭﺘﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺎﺭﻍ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ - 3‬ﻜل ﻁﻥ ﻤﻥ ﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻴﻌﻁﻲ ‪ 15‬ﻜﻐﻡ ﺒﺫﻭﺭ ) ‪ 92× 15= (2009، United‬ﻁﻥ = ‪1380‬‬
‫ﻜﻐﻡ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻴﻭﻡ =‪ 414= 300×180‬ﻁﻥ ﺒﺫﻭﺭ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ ﻭﺘﻘﺩﺭ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﻟﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 150‬ﺍﻟﻑ‬
‫ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ - 4‬ﺍﻟﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ ﻤﻥ ﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻴﻌﻁﻲ‪ %2‬ﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺼﻠﺒﺔ ﻭﻗﺸﻭﺭ) ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ‪92= ( 2010 ،‬‬
‫× ‪ 1840=%2‬ﻜﻐﻡ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻴﻭﻡ ×‪ 552= 300‬ﻁﻥ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ ﻜﻤﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺼﻠﺒﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻘﺸﻭﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ - 5‬ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﺸﺭﺍﺀ ﻁﻥ ﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﺘﻘﺩﺭ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 250‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ - 6‬ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺩﻴﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻲ ﺒﺤﺩﻭﺩ ‪ 1650‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺏ ‪ -‬ﺍﺴﺘﻬﻼﻙ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻜﻬﺭﺒﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﻭﻗﻭﺩ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻴﺎﻩ ﻭﻤﺼﺎﺭﻴﻑ ﺍﻟﺼﻴﺎﻨﺔ‪ 50 :‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ‬
‫‪ - 4‬ﺍﻷﻴﺩﻱ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻤﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﻼﺯﻤﺔ ﻟﺘﺸﻐﻴل ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ‪:‬‬
‫ﻴﻭﻀﺢ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭل )‪ (1‬ﺍﻟﻤﻬﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻼﺯﻤﺔ ﻟﺘﺸﻐﻴل ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻭﻤﺒﺎﻟﻎ ﺍﻟﺭﻭﺍﺘﺏ ﻭﺍﻷﺠﻭﺭ ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬
‫ﻟﻜل ﻤﻨﻬﺎ‪.‬‬

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‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ﻭ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺩﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﻟﻠﻌﻠﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ‪2013 ، 90 - 82 : ( 1 ) 5 ،‬‬

‫ﺠﺩﻭل ‪ .1‬ﺍﻷﻴﺩﻱ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻤﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﻼﺯﻤﺔ ﻟﺘﺸﻐﻴل ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ‪.‬‬

‫ﺍﻷﺠﻭﺭ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﻬﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﻁﻠﻭﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ ﺍﻟﺭﺍﺘﺏ ﺍﻟﺸﻬﺭﻱ‬ ‫ﺕ‬
‫‪ 6‬ﻤﻼﻴﻴﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 500‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫ﻤﺩﻴﺭ ﻓﻨﻲ‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫‪ 30‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 250‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻟﻜل ﻋﺎﻤل‬ ‫‪10‬‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻤل ﺨﺩﻤﺔ‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪ 6‬ﻤﻼﻴﻴﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 250‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪2‬‬ ‫ﺤﺎﺭﺱ‬ ‫‪3‬‬
‫‪ 7.2‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 300‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪2‬‬ ‫ﺴﺎﺌﻕ‬ ‫‪4‬‬
‫‪ 8.4‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 350‬ﻟﻜل ﻤﻨﻬﻡ‬ ‫‪2‬‬ ‫ﻜﻬﺭﺒﺎﺌﻲ ﻭﻤﺸﻐل‬ ‫‪5‬‬
‫‪ 57.6‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ‬

‫‪ - 5‬ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻑ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﺒﺘﺔ ‪.‬‬

‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻔﺎﺼﻴل‬
‫ﻤﻠﻙ ﺼﺭﻑ‬ ‫‪ 1‬ﺍﻷﺭﺍﻀﻲ‬
‫‪ 765‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 2‬ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﻨﻲ ﻭﺍﻹﻨﺸﺎﺀﺍﺕ‬
‫‪ 976‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 3‬ﺍﻷﺠﻬﺯﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻜﺎﺌﻥ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻌﺩﺍﺕ‬
‫ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪80‬‬ ‫‪ 4‬ﻭﺴﺎﺌﻁ ﺍﻟﻨﻘل‬
‫ﻤﻼﻴﻴﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪4‬‬ ‫‪ 5‬ﺃﺜﺎﺙ ﻭﺃﺠﻬﺯﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﻜﺘﺏ‬
‫‪ 1825‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ‬
‫ﺍﻻﻨﺩﺜﺎﺭ ﻟﺒﻨﻭﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻑ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﺒﺘﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﺍﻟﻤﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺌﻭﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺘﻔﺎﺼﻴل‬ ‫ﺕ‬
‫‪ 38.25‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪5‬‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﺎﻨﻲ ﻭﺍﻹﻨﺸﺎﺀﺍﺕ‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫ﺍﻷﺠﻬـــﺯﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻜـــﺎﺌﻥ‬
‫ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪97.6‬‬ ‫‪10‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻌﺩﺍﺕ‬
‫‪ 12‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪15‬‬ ‫ﻭﺴﺎﺌﻁ ﺍﻟﻨﻘل‬ ‫‪3‬‬
‫‪ 0.8‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪20‬‬ ‫ﺃﺜﺎﺙ ﻭﺃﺠﻬﺯﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﻜﺘﺏ‬ ‫‪4‬‬
‫‪ 148.65‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ‬
‫ﺝ ‪ -‬ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻑ ﺍﻟﺘﺸﻐﻴﻠﻴﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻔﺎﺼﻴل‬
‫‪ 1‬ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻴﺔ ‪ 28‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﻁﻥ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﺴﻌﺭ ﺍﻟﻁـﻥ ‪ 4900‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬
‫‪ 175‬ﺍﻟﻑ‬
‫‪ 384.48‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ‬ ‫‪ 2‬ﻤﻭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺒﺌﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻐﻠﻴﻑ‬
‫‪ 50‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﹰﺎ‬ ‫‪ 3‬ﻤﺼﺎﺭﻴﻑ ﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻭﺇﺩﺍﺭﻴﺔ‬
‫‪ 57.6‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﹰﺎ‬ ‫‪ 4‬ﺭﻭﺍﺘﺏ ﻭﺃﺠﻭﺭ‬
‫‪ 148.65‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﹰﺎ‬ ‫‪ 5‬ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺩﺜﺎﺭ‬
‫‪ 5490.73‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 6‬ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻲ‬

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 ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ﻭ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺩﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﻟﻠﻌﻠﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ‪2013 ، 90 - 82 : ( 1 ) 5 ،‬‬

‫‪ - 6‬ﺇﻴﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﺒﻴﻌﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺴﻌﺭ ﻁﻥ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻲ ‪ 1600‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ = ‪ 7920 = 1600×4800‬ﻤﻠﻴـﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨـﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺒﻴﻌـﺎﺕ‬
‫ﻟﻠﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻲ ﺨﻼل ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻤﺒﻴﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺒﺫﻭﺭ ‪ :‬ﻜل ﻁﻥ ﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻴﻌﻁﻲ ‪ 15‬ﻜﻐﻡ ﺒﺫﻭﺭ = ‪ 28‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﻁﻥ ×‪ 15‬ﻜﻐﻡ = ‪ 420‬ﻁﻥ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﹰﺎ‬
‫ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺃﻥ ﺴﻌﺭ ﻁﻥ ﻴﺴﺎﻭﻱ ‪ 150‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ = ‪ 63 =1 50 × 420‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﹰﺎ‬
‫ﻤﺒﻴﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺨﺭﻯ ‪ :‬ﻜل ﻁﻥ ﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻴﻌﻁﻲ ﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ ‪ 20‬ﻜﻐـﻡ ) ﺍﻟـﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ‪ (2010 ،‬ﺴـﻌﺭ‬
‫‪ 125‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻟﻠﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺇﺫﺍ ‪ 28‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﻁﻥ × ‪ 560 = 20‬ﻁﻥ ﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﺃﺨﺭﻯ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ ‪.‬‬
‫= ‪ 70 = 125 × 560‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﹰﺎ‬
‫ﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ ﻤﺒﻴﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺒﺫﻭﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ = ‪ 133= 70 + 63‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ ﺍﻹﻴﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ ﻟﻠﻤﺒﻴﻌﺎﺕ =‪ 8053 =133+ 7920‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺃﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﺍﻹﻴﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺜﺎﻨﻴﺎ ‪:‬ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﻟﻠﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ‪:‬‬
‫ﺍﻹﻴـﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ‪:‬‬
‫ﺘﻡ ﺍﺤﺘﺴﺎﺏ ﺍﻹﻴﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﺴﺎﺱ ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤل ﺍﻟﻴﻭﻤﻴﺔ ﻫﻲ ‪ 16‬ﻁﻥ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺴﻌﺭ ﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﻟﻁـﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ ‪ 1600‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﻭﺘﻡ ﺍﺤﺘﺴﺎﺏ ﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﻟﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺫﻭﺭ ﺒﻤﺒﻠﻎ ‪ 150‬ﺃﻟـﻑ ﺩﻴﻨـﺎﺭ ﻭﻁـﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺨﺭﻯ ‪ 125‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺤﻴﺙ ﺘﻡ ﺍﺴﺘﺨﺭﺍﺝ ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﺴﺎﺱ ﺃﻥ ﻜل ﻁﻥ ﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﺨﺎﻡ‬
‫ﻴﻨﺘﺞ ‪ 175‬ﻜﻐﻡ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺘﺭﻜﻴﺯ ‪ %28‬ﻭﺍﻟﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻴﻌﻁﻲ ‪ 15‬ﻜﻐﻡ ﺒﺫﻭﺭ ﻭ ‪ 20‬ﻜﻐـﻡ‬
‫ﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﺃﺨﺭﻯ ﻭﺍﻋﺘﻤﺩ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﺴﺎﺱ ‪ 300‬ﻴﻭﻡ ﻋﻤل ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ ﺒﻭﺍﻗﻊ ﻭﺠﺒﺔ ﻋﻤل ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻴﻭﻡ ﻜـل‬
‫‪ 8‬ﺴﺎﻋﺎﺕ ﻭ‪ 6‬ﺃﻴﺎﻡ ﻋﻤل ﻓﻲ ﺍﻷﺴﺒﻭﻉ ‪ .‬ﻭﺘﻡ ﺍﺤﺘﺴﺎﺏ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻱ ﻭﻓﻕ ﻤﺎ ﻴﻠﻲ )ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻱ ﻭﺍﺨـﺭﻭﻥ‬
‫‪-: (1991،‬‬
‫‪ 4800 = 300× 16‬ﻁﻥ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺼﺎﻓﻲ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ‬
‫‪ 7680 = 1600 × 4800‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﹰﺎ‬
‫ﻭﺍﻥ ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﻜﻤﻴﺔ ‪ 4800‬ﻁﻥ ﺘﺤﺘﺎﺝ ﺇﻟﻰ ‪28‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﻁﻥ ﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﺨﺎﻡ‬
‫ﺇﺫﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺫﻭﺭ = ‪ 28‬ﺍﻟﻑ × ‪ 15‬ﻜﻐﻡ = ‪ 420‬ﻁﻥ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ=‪ 63 = 150 × 420‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻭﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﺼﻠﺒﺔ ﺃﺨﺭﻯ ‪ 28‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﻁﻥ ﻜل ﻁﻥ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻴﻌﻁﻲ ‪ 20‬ﻜﻐﻡ ﻤﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﺴﻌﺭ ﺍﻟﻁﻥ ﺍﻟﻭﺍﺤﺩ‬
‫‪ 125‬ﺃﻟﻑ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ = ‪ 28‬ﺍﻟﻑ ﻁﻥ× ‪ 20‬ﻜﻐﻡ= ‪ 560‬ﻁﻥ ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ=‪ 70 = 125 × 560‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺇﺫﻥ ﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ ﺍﻹﻴﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ = ‪ 7813 =70 + 63 + 7680‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺼﺎﻓﻲ ﺍﻹﻴﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ = ﺍﻹﻴـﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ – ﺍﻟﺘﻜـﺎﻟﻴﻑ = ‪ 2322.27 = 5490.73 –7813‬ﻤﻠﻴـﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨـﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺴﻨﻭﻴﺎ)ﻤﻌﺭﻭﻑ ‪.(2004،‬‬
‫ﻋﺎﺌﺩ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ‪ 0‬ﻫﻭ ﻴﺤﺩﺩ ﻤﻥ ﺨﻼل ﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﺍﻹﻴﺭﺍﺩ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻱ ﺍﻟﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ ) ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻭﺭﻱ ‪= (2009 ،‬‬
‫ﺼﺎﻓﻲ ﺍﻹﻴﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ‪ /‬ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ= ‪ %42 = 5490.73 ÷ 2322.27‬ﻋﺎﺌﺩ ﺍﻟﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ ﻓﻲ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻀﺎﻓﺔ ﺍﻹﺠﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ = ﺍﻹﺭﺒﺎﺡ‪ +‬ﺍﻟﺭﻭﺍﺘﺏ ﻭﺍﻷﺠﻭﺭ ‪ +‬ﺍﻻﻨﺩﺜﺎﺭ )ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ‪+ 2322.27= (2010 ،‬‬
‫‪ 2528.52 = 148.65+ 57.6‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻀﺎﻓﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ = ﺍﻹﺭﺒﺎﺡ‪ +‬ﺍﻟﺭﻭﺍﺘﺏ ﻭﺍﻷﺠﻭﺭ = ‪ 2379.87‬ﻤﻠﻴﻭﻥ ﺩﻴﻨـﺎﺭ )ﺤﺴـﻥ ﻋﺒـﺩ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺴﺘﺎﺭ‪. (2010 ،‬‬
‫ﻓﺘﺭﺓ ﺍﺴﺘﺭﺩﺍﺩ ﺭﺃﺱ ﺍﻟﻤﺎل = ﺭﺃﺱ ﺍﻟﻤﺎل ﺍﻟﺜﺎﺒﺕ ‪/‬ﺍﻷﺭﺒﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ‪ +‬ﺍﻻﻨﺩﺜﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻱ = ‪/1825‬‬
‫‪) 2.96 = 148.65 + 2322.27‬ﺍﻟﺴﺎﻤﺭﺍﺌﻲ‪ (2004 ،‬ﺃﻱ ﻴﻤﻜﻥ ﺘﺴﺩﻴﺩ ﺭﺃﺱ ﺍﻟﻤﺎل ﺨﻼل ﻤﺩﺓ ‪3‬‬
‫ﺴﻨﻭﺍﺕ ﺘﻘﺭﻴﺒﹰﺎ ‪.‬‬

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 ‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ﻭ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺩﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﻟﻠﻌﻠﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ‪2013 ، 90 - 82 : ( 1 ) 5 ،‬‬

‫ﺍﻻﺴﺘﻨﺘﺎﺠﺎﺕ‪ :‬ﺍﺴﺘﻨﺎﺩﺍ ﻟﻤﺎ ﻭﺭﺩ ﺃﻋﻼﻩ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻴﺤﻘﻕ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻤﻀﺎﻓﺔ ﺼﺎﻓﻴﺔ ﻋﺎﻟﻴـﺔ ﺨـﻼل ﺴـﻨﻭﺍﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺘﺸﻐﻴل ﺘﺴﺎﻭﻱ =‪ 2379.87‬ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﻫﺫﺍ ﺍﻷﺴﺎﺱ ﺤﺘﻰ ﻟﻭ ﺍﻓﺘﺭﻀﻨﺎ ﺍﺭﺘﻔﺎﻉ ﺃﺴﻌﺎﺭ ﻤﺴـﺘﻠﺯﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻹﻨﺘـﺎﺝ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺭﺌﻴﺴﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘﻤﺜل ‪%75‬ﻤﻥ ﺇﺠﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﺍﻟﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻑ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺒﻤﻌﺩل ‪%15‬ﻤﻊ ﺍﻓﺘﺭﺍﺽ ﺜﺒﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺴﻌﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﺌﻴﺔ ﻟﻤﺒﻴﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺍﻟﻤﻘﺘﺭﺡ ﻴﻅل ﻤﺭﺒﺤﺎ ﻭﻴﺤﻘﻕ ﻤﻌﺩل ﻋﺎﺌﺩ ﻤﻘﺒﻭل ‪ .‬ﺒﻨﺎﺀ" ﻋﻠﻰ ﻤـﺎ‬
‫ﺘﻘﺩﻡ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺍﻟﻤﻘﺘﺭﺡ ﻴﺘﻤﺘﻊ ﺒﺩﺭﺠﻪ ﻤﻘﺒﻭﻟﺔ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﺭﺒﺤﻴﺔ ﺘﺠﻌل ﺍﺘﺨﺎﺫ ﻗﺭﺍﺭ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺒﺸﺎﻥ ﺘﻨﻔﻴـﺫﻩ‬
‫ﺃﻤﺭﺍ ﻻ ﻴﻘﺒل ﺍﻟﺘﺭﺩﺩ ﻭﻓﻲ ﻨﻔﺱ ﺍﻟﻭﻗﺕ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﺘﺨﺎﺫ ﻗﺭﺍﺭ ﺘﻤﻭﻴﻠﻪ ﻻ ﻴﺘﺴﻡ ﺒﺄﻱ ﻤﺨﺎﻁﺭ ﺤﻘﻴﻘﻴـﺔ ﻓـﻲ ﻅـل‬
‫ﺍﻹﺭﺒﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﻘﻘﺔ ﻟﻜﻭﻥ ﺍﻹﺭﺒﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﻘﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻘﺎﺒﻠﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻭﺯﻴﻊ ﺘﺴﺘﻁﻴﻊ ﺴﺩﺍﺩ ﺍﻹﻗﺴﺎﻁ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ ﻟﻤﺒﻠﻎ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺽ‬
‫ﺇﺫﺍ ﻜﺎﻥ ‪ %80‬ﻤﻥ ﺭﺃﺱ ﺍﻟﻤﺎل ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ ﺨﻼل ﻤﺩﺓ ﺍﻗل ﻤﻥ ‪ 1.27‬ﺴـﻨﺔ‪ .‬ﺇﻻ ﺇﻥ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴـﺔ ﺍﻓﺘﺭﻀـﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺘﺴﺩﻴﺩ ﺨﻼل ﺴﺘﺔ ﺴﻨﻭﺍﺕ ﺇﺫﺍ ﺨﺼﺹ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ ‪%16‬ﻤﻥ ﺇﺭﺒﺎﺤﻪ ﻟﻐﺭﺽ ﺘﺴﺩﻴﺩ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺽ ﻤﻊ ﻭﺠﻭﺩ ﻓﺘﺭﺓ‬
‫ﺴﻤﺎﺡ ﻟﻪ ﻟﻤﺩﺓ ﺴﻨﺔ ﻟﻐﺭﺽ ﺯﻴﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﻜﻔﺎﺀﺓ ﺍﻟﺘﺸﻐﻴﻠﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻭﺘﺠﻨﺒﺎ ﻟﺤﺩﻭﺙ ﺃﻱ ﻋﻘﺒﺎﺕ ﻤﺎﻟﻴـﺔ ﺘـﺅﺜﺭ‬
‫ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﺘﻭﺼﻴﺎﺕ ‪:‬‬
‫‪ - 1‬ﻤﻤﺎ ﺴﺒﻕ ﻓﺄﻥ ﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺇﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﻤﻌﺠﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﻤﺎﻁﺔ ﻤﺠ ‪‬ﺩ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﹰﺎ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﻓﻕ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺎﻴﻴﺭ ﺍﻟﻔﻨﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘﻤﺕ‬
‫ﺒﻤﻭﺠﺒﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻭﻟﻜﻥ ﺒﻌﺩ ﻤﺩﺓ ‪ 3‬ﺴﻨﻭﺍﺕ ﻤﻥ ﺘﺎﺭﻴﺦ ﺇﻨﺸﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻭﻓﻲ ﺤـﺎل ﺘـﻭﻓﺭ‬
‫ﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺠﺤﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻜﻔﻭﺀﺓ‪ ،‬ﻭﺍﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻨﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺤﺩﻴﺜﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 2‬ﺘﻭﺼﻲ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺒﻀﺭﻭﺭﺓ ﺘﻭﻓﻴﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﺎﺥ ﺍﻟﻤﻼﺌﻡ ﻟﻼﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻤﻥ ﺍﺠل ﺍﺴﺘﻘﻁﺎﺏ ﺍﻟﻤﺴـﺘﺜﻤﺭﻴﻥ ﻭﻤـﻥ‬
‫ﺫﻟﻙ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﻲ ﺍﻟﺤﺜﻴﺙ ﻟﺘﻭﻓﻴﺭ ﺍﻷﻤﻥ ﻭﻗﻴﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺩﻭﻟﺔ ﺒﺎﻟﻌﻤل ﻤﻥ ﺍﺠل ﺭﺴﻡ ﻤﻌﺎﻟﻡ ﻭﺍﻀﺤﺔ ﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﺘﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴـﺔ‬
‫ﻭﺘﺎﻤﻴﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﻨﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺘﻴﺔ ﻟﺫﻟﻙ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 3‬ﻋﺩﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺭﺩﺩ ﻓﻲ ﺍﺘﺨﺎﺫ ﻗﺭﺍﺭ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﺒﺸﺎﻥ ﺘﻨﻔﻴﺫﻩ ‪.‬‬
‫‪ – 4‬ﺘﻭﺼﻲ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺒﻀﺭﻭﺭﺓ ﺘﻤﻭﻴل ﻤﺜل ﻫﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺎﺭﻴﻊ ﻟﻜﻭﻥ ﺍﺘﺨﺎﺫ ﻗﺭﺍﺭ ﺘﻤﻭﻴﻠﻬـﺎ ﻻ ﻴﺘﺴـﻡ ﺒـﺄﻱ‬
‫ﻤﺨﺎﻁﺭ ﺤﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻅل ﺍﻹﺭﺒﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﻘﻘﺔ ﻟﻜﻭﻥ ﺍﻹﺭﺒﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺤﻘﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻘﺎﺒﻠﺔ ﻟﻠﺘﻭﺯﻴﻊ ﺘﺴﺘﻁﻴﻊ ﺴﺩﺍﺩ ﺍﻹﻗﺴﺎﻁ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻭﻴﺔ ﻟﻤﺒﻠﻎ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺽ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻜﺎﻥ ‪ %80‬ﻤﻥ ﺭﺃﺱ ﺍﻟﻤﺎل ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺭ ﺨﻼل ﻤﺩﺓ ﺍﻗل ﻤﻥ ﺜﻤﺎﻨﻴﺔ ﺍﺸﻬﺭ ﺘﻘﺭﻴﺒﺎ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺎﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ‪ ،‬ﺤﻤﻴﺩ ﺭﺸﻴﺩ ‪ .2010.‬ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻓﺘﺭﺍﻀﻴﺔ ﻟﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ‪.‬ﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺍﻓﺘﺭﺍﻀﻲ ﻟﺘﺭﺒﻴﺔ‬
‫ﺍﺒﻘﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺤﻠﻴﺏ ‪ .‬ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﻁﺏ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻁﺭﻱ ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ ‪ .‬ﻤﺠﻠﺩ ‪. 3‬ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ ‪.2‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ‪ ،‬ﺤﻤﻴﺩ ﺭﺸﻴﺩ ‪ .2010 .‬ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻓﺘﺭﺍﻀﻴﺔ ﺘﻁﺒﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﻹﻨﺸﺎﺀ ﻤﻌﻤل ﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﺩﺒﺱ ﺍﻟﺘﻤﺭ ﺍﻟﺯﻫﺩﻱ ﻓﻲ‬
‫ﻗﻀﺎﺀ ﻫﻴﺕ ﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ ﺠﺯﻴﺭﺓ ﻤﺴﺨﻥ‪ .‬ﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﻟﻠﻌﻠﻭﻡ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﻴﺔ‪ .‬ﻤﺠﻠﺩ ‪3‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻌﺩﺩ ‪ 5‬ﺹ‪.166-158‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﺩﻟﻴﻤﻲ ‪ ،‬ﺤﻤﻴﺩ ﺭﺸﻴﺩ‪ .2010‬ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺘﻁﺒﻴﻘﻴﻪ ﻟﺘﻘﻴﻴﻡ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﺍﻟﻔﻨﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻻﺴﺘﺨﺩﺍﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﻨﻴﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻻﺤﻴﺎﺌﻴﻪ ﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﺍﻓﺘﺭﺍﻀﻲ ﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺔ ﺍﻷﻟﺒﺎﻥ ﻓﻲ ﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ ‪ .‬ﻭﻗﺎﺌﻊ ﺍﻟﻤﺅﺘﻤﺭ ﺍﻟﺩﻭﻟﻲ‬
‫ﺍﻻﻭل‪. 2010/11/3-1‬ﺍﻟﻘﺎﻫﺭﺓ ‪ .‬ﺠﻤﻬﻭﺭﻴﺔ ﻤﺼﺭ ﺍﻟﻌﺭﺒﻴﺔ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻱ ‪ ،‬ﺴﻠﻴﻤﺎﻥ ﺃﺒﻭ ﺍﻟﺨﻴﺭ ‪.‬ﺼﺎﻟﺢ ‪. 1991 .‬ﺍﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻐﺫﺍﺌﻴﺔ ‪ .‬ﻁ‪ .3‬ﻤﻁﺒﻌـﺔ ﺠﺎﻤﻌـﺔ ﺩﻤﺸـﻕ‬
‫‪.‬ﺴﻭﺭﻴﺎ ‪ .‬ﺹ‪370‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻭﺭﻱ ‪،‬ﺭﻴﺎﺽ ﺠﻭﺍﺩ ﻜﺎﻅﻡ ‪ .2009 .‬ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻴﻪ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺠﻭﺍﻨﺏ ﺍﻟﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼـﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻟﻤﺸـﺭﻭﻉ‬
‫ﺍﻷﻟﻭﺍﺡ ﺍﻟﺯﺠﺎﺠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺤﺩﻴﺙ ﻓﻲ ﻤﺤﺎﻓﻅﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ ‪.‬ﺭﺴﺎﻟﺔ ﻤﺎﺠﺴﺘﻴﺭ ‪ .‬ﻜﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﺓ ﻭﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ‪ .‬ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ‬
‫ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ ‪.‬‬

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‫ ﺭﺴﺎﻟﺔ‬. ‫ ﺘﺤﻠﻴل ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻱ ﻗﻴﺎﺴﻲ ﻟﻺﻨﻔﺎﻕ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭﻱ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ‬، 2010 .‫ ﻋﺒﺩ ﺍﻟﺴﺘﺎﺭ ﺭﺍﺌﻑ‬،‫ﺤﺴﻥ‬
11 -5‫ﺹ‬. ‫ ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻻﻨﺒﺎﺭ‬. ‫ ﻜﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻹﺩﺍﺭﺓ ﻭﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬. ‫ﻤﺎﺠﺴﺘﻴﺭ‬
.88‫ﺹ‬.1‫ ﻁ‬. ‫ ﺍﻟﻜﻭﻴﺕ‬. ‫ ﻤﻁﺒﻌﺔ ﺩﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺴﺔ‬. ‫ ﺃﺩﺍﺭﺓ ﺍﻷﻋﻤﺎل ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻋﻴﺔ‬. 2004. ‫ﻫﺎﺸﻡ ﻋﻠﻭﺍﻥ‬
.247‫ﺹ‬.1‫ ﻁ‬.‫ﺍﻟﺴﻠﻁ‬.‫ﺠﺎﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻠﻘﺎﺀ‬,‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﻭﺘﻘﻴﻡ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻋﺎﺕ‬.2004 .‫ﻫﻭﺸﻴﺎﺭ‬،‫ﻤﻌﺭﻭﻑ‬
‫ﺩﺍﺭ‬,‫ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻭﻯ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻭﺘﻘﻴﻡ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻋﺎﺕ‬.2009 .‫ ﺸﻘﻴﺭﻱ ﻨﻭﺭﻱ ﻭ ﺴﻼﻡ ﺍﺴﺄﻤﻪ ﻋﺯﻤﻲ‬، ‫ﻤﻭﺴﻰ‬
.141‫ ﺹ‬. 1‫ ﻁ‬.‫ﻋﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﻷﺭﺩﻥ‬.‫ﺍﻟﻤﺴﺭﺓ ﻟﻠﻨﺸﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻭﺯﻴﻊ‬
Anth,GE ,J. V. and D.M. Barrett. 2008.Changes in pectin and product
consistency during the concentration of tomato Juice paste ,J. Agric Food
Chem.. 56,7100-7105.
Haryana .,2010.Sifer International for Agro –Based Machines .India ,
http :// Sitter Indiacom /tomato-processing.htm.
United States Agency for International Development (USAID).2009.Tomato
Paste in Iraq-Updated Industry Analysis .Inma Agribusiness Program,
NY.
VARIABLES AND MECHANISM OF TECHNICAL AND ECONOMIC
FEASIBILITY EVALUATION FOR ESTABLISHING PROPOSED
TOMATO PASTE FACTORY IN RAMADI, ANBAR
PROF. DR. HAMEED RASHEED. AL-DULEIMI AHMED ABDLULLAH ABBAS

*College of Agriculture - University of Anbar.

ABSTRACT
The present study depends on an analytical approach supported by practical
applications to obtain the required results for the production of tomato paste
without underestimating the economic part, since the case demands a faith in
the necessity to adopt the scientific thoughts and their translation into practice in
reality. The study stems from a hypothesis that the economic evaluation of
investment projects aims to give the investor free choice among the available
chances according to scientific bases and standards which assure overcoming
the mysterious and foggy state , removing the distress annoying him in order to
be more comfortable and able to adopt a scientific and economic approach and
explain the vision set ahead to be more realistic in making the suitable and right
decision to arrive at the best alternatives that could lower the costs and insure
better economic return from the project under investment. Analysis of the
expected investment according to money flow (input and output) expected
during the proposed duration of the project is important in making the right
decision concerning investment opportunities and determining the most efficient
and most profitable flows.
The present study has determined the basic requirements and necessary costs
(investment and working) in addition to the labor necessary for the project.
Consequently , economic evaluation was done . The study showed that the net
annual incomes reached 2322.27 million dinners , the total additive value was

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2528.52 million dinners and the net additive value was 2379.87 million dinners.
Also , the study revealed that the return of invested dinner in the project was
about 42% and the period necessary for the project in recovering investment
costs was about 3 years. The study could arrive at some recommendations
necessary for encouraging investment in this field .

Keywords: Economic Feasibility Evaluation, Tomato paste

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