Department of Science and Technology (DOST)

DOST – Philippine Council for Industry, Energy and Emerging Technology

Research and Development (DOST-PCIEERD)
Planning and Development Research Foundation, Inc. (PLANADES)

FORMULATION OF A SETTLEMENTS DEVELOPMENT MODEL

FOR NEW GROWTH AREAS IN THE PHILIPPINES
 BACKGROUND
Mismatch in supply and demand
in housing in the Philippines,
especially in resettlement housing
 Displaced beneficiary families
troop back to their places of origin
 Distant, unsuitable, incomplete,
substandard settlement projects
 Unoccupied housing units in
government resettlement projects
 BACKGROUND
How do you match housing supply and demand?

https://sa.kapamilya.com/absnews/abscbnnews/media/2017/news/08/17/20170817-ph-economy-afp-1.jpg?ext=.jpg
 STATEMENT OF THE
PROBLEM

How to design
settlements that are
complete, address
basic needs, and
where to locate
them?
 SOLUTION
Develop a model that can predict new growth
areas and a tool to match housing supply and
demand
alanced B
rban B
nfrastructure and B
and B
evelopment B
 FRAMEWORK
Economic Factors

Transportation

Regulatory Framework

Demand for Land

Housing Classification
Infrastructure Environment
(water)
 METHODOLOGY
 USING THE MODEL
The predicted number of households in 2020 for
all provinces was computed by plugging in the
2015 values of the identified factors of growth.

The number of households for each of the

provinces was predicted and ranked, resulting
in the top 20 provinces.

# of households in 2020

Top 20 provinces
 RESULTS
P R E D I C TO R S o f U R B A N
G R O W T H
Internal Revenue Allocation
Average Family Income
Government Expenditure
Area Exposed to Flooding
Hazard
Presence of Ecozones
Distance to Nearest Airport
Groundwater Allocation
Road Density
Percent of Protected Areas
 RESULTS

TOP 20 GROWTH PROVINCES

(By 2020)
1. Cebu 11. Iloilo
2. Cavite 12. Nueva Ecija
3. Bulacan 13. Quezon
4. Negros Occidental 14. Leyte
5. Laguna 15. Zamboanga del Sur
6. Pangasinan 16. Camarines Sur
7. Rizal 17. Isabela
8. Davao Del Sur 18. South Cotabato
9. Batangas 19. Misami Oriental
10. Pampanga 20. Negros Oriental
 APPLICATION
Growth of built up areas in Davao City,
2003-2015
 WHAT WE CAN OFFER
 Settlements development model for
1 new growth areas

 Tool for estimating new housing

2 requirements in suitable areas
 Estimation of projected
3 housing finance requirements
in the new growth areas

4  Training Modules
 INTENDED BENEFITS
LGUs
 TEAM PLANADES
PROJECT CONTACT:

CARMELI MARIE CHAVES

School of Urban & Regional
Planning, UP Diliman
ccchaves@up.edu.ph

Planning and Development Research Foundation, Inc. (PLANADES)

SURP Building, Jacinto Street, UP Diliman
planades@yahoo.com
https://planades.com/
 CONCLUSION
We hope that through the application of this
model, using data and technology, the culture of
planning will be nurtured among us Filipinos.
When we are proactive rather than reactive, our
land , housing and human resources are
developed and matched.

PLANS
PLANS
Planning
LAnd and
New
Settlements
#PlanoPilipino!