Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Capital Budgeting Solution1
Capital Budgeting Solution1
950000
Cash Inflows
1124332
1
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cash inflow
Annual operating cash inflows 172920 1e 0.87 150440
164520 2e 0.756 124377
157800 3e 0.658 103832
152424 4e 0.572 87186.5
148123 5e 0.497 73617.13
Terminal value
sale price 50000
tax saving on Cap loss 45536 95536 5e 0.497 47481.39
40%(163840 - 50000)
Tax saving on Cap loss 3277 (8192 x0.4) 3277 5e 0.497 1628.6
Realised value of working capital 32000 5e 0.497 15904
NPV 532.4
1 2 3 4 5
PBDT 310000 310000 310000 310000 310000
Depreciation Machine + utilities -105000 -84000 -67200 -53760 -43008
Rent -4800 -4800 -4800 -4800 -4800
opportunity cost -12000 -12000 -12000 -12000 -12000
PBT 188200 209200 226000 239440 250192
Tax 40%
PAT 60% 112920 125520 135600 143664 150115
Depreciation 105000 84000 67200 53760 43008
loss of cash flow from another product -45000 -45000 -45000 -45000 -45000
Operating cash inflows 172920 164520 157800 152424 148123
2
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
1 2 3 4 5
Incremental PBIT
230000 +30000+60000+
40000 + 30000 300000 300000 300000 300000 300000
incremental depreciation 80000 61000 46250 34382 26024
PBT 220000 239000 253750 265168 273976
Tax
PAT 132000 143400 152250 159100 164386
Depreciation 80000 61000 46250 34832 26024
Incremental operating cash inflow 212000 204400 198500 193932 190410
3
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of Depreciation
Depreciation Depreciation on
on old asset New Asset
Cost /BV 400000 700000
1yr -60000 -140000 80000
340000 560000
2yr -51000 -112000 61000
289000 448000
3yr -43350 -89600 46250
245650 358400
4yr -36848 -71600 34382
208842 286720
5yr -31320 -57344 26024
BV after life 177482 229376
4
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q5 Company can invest 1,00,000 either in 0periodor at the end of 1st year or at end of 2nd year
Return on Bond = return on market = 14%
Risk Premium = 4%
Rf = 10%
NPV if project is commenced in 0 period
6,000 ( 10 − 6 )
0.10
- 1,00,000 = 1,40,000
NPV if project is commenced at the end of 1st year
8,000 ( 11 − 5)
[ 0.10
- 1,00,000 ] x 0.909 = 3,45,420
NPV if project is commenced at the end of 2nd year
5,000 ( 9−7.5)
[ - 1,00,000 ] x 0.826 = -20,650
0.10
Since NPV is highest if project is commenced after 1 year, so project should be deferred for 1 year
Cash Inflow
Incremental annual operating cash inflows 273400 1e 0.893 244146
316340 2e 0.797 252123
262550 3e 0.712 186936
286765 4e 0.636 182383
255778 5e 0.567 145026
Terminal value 240000
Tax on LTCG (13018)
(240000-196608)0.3 226982
less TV lost nil
tax saving on CL (74934)0.3 (22480) 204502 5e 0.567 115953
Realisable value of working capital -50000 5e 0.567 -28350
PV of cash Inflow 1098217
NPV 668882
5
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
1 2 3 4 5
PBDT 350000 350000 350000 350000 350000
saving in repairs 70000 40000
Incremental depreciation -94667 -74467 -58497 -45883 -35928
PBT 255333 345533 291503 344117 314072
tax 30%
PAT 178733 241873 204052 240882 219850
depreciation 94667 74467 58497 45883 35928
Cash inflows 273400 316340 262550 286765 255778
6
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q7
Q8 STATEMENT OF NPV
Amount Period PV Factor Present Value
Incremental cash outflow
Purchase price 87,500
Sale of old 37,500 50,000 0 1 50,000
Cash Inflow
operating CI 15,000 1 - 4e 2.855 42,825 16,000 1 - 7e 4.16 66,560
Scrap value 5,000 4e 0.572 2,860 3,000 7e 0.376 1,128
NPV @ 15% 5,685 7,688
8
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q11 a If No taxes
Machine X Machine Y
Amount Period Factor PV Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow
Purchase Price 5,50,000 0 1 5,50,000 4,00,000 0 1 4,00,000
operating CO 1,25,000 1-3e 2.402 3,00,250 1,50,000 1 - 2e 1.69 2,53,500
Total cash outflow 8,50,250 Total cash outflow 6,53,500
Equal annual cost = total cost / annuity factor = tota l cos t / a nnui ty fa ctor
8,50,250 / 2.402 6,53,500/ 1.69
3,53,976 3,86,686
Since EAC of Machine Y is lower so Machine Y is accepted.
b. If tax rate is 40% and machines are depreciated @ 20% p.a on WDV basis.
Machine X Machine Y
Amount PeriodFactor PV Amount PeriodFactor PV
Cash outflow
Purchase price 5,50,000 0 1 5,50,000 4,00,000 0 1 4,00,000
Op cash outflow 31,000 1 0.893 27,683 58,000 1 0,893 51,794
39,800 2 0.797 31,721 64,400 2 0,797 51,327
46,840 3 0.712 33,350
Total CO 5,92,754 5,03,121
Cash inflow
Terminal value 1,12,640 3 0.712 80,200 1,02,400 2 0.797 81,613
Net CO 5,12,554 4,21,508
Equal annual cost = Total cost / Annuity Total cost / Annuity
5,12,554 / 2.402 4,21,508 / 1.69
2,13,386 2,49,413
Machine X Machine Y
Year1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 1 Year 2
Running cost 1,25,000 1,25,000 1,25,000 1,50,000 1,50,000
Depreciation 1,10,000 88,000 70,400 80,000 64,000
toal cost 2,35,000 2,13,000 1,95,400 2,30,000 2,14,000
Saving in tax 94,000 85,200 78,160 92,000 85,600
cost after tax 1,41,000 1,27,800 1,17,240 1,38,000 1,28,400
less depn 1,10,000 88,000 70,400 80,000 64,000
Net op CO 31,000 39,800 46,840 58,000 64,400
9
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of depreciation
X Y
Cost 5,50,000 4,00,000
1 yr 1,10,000 80,000
4,40,000 3,20,000
2yr 88,000 64,000
3,52,000 2,56,000
3 yr 70,400 -
2,81,600
Cap loss 2,81,600 2,56,000
Tax savin 1,12,640 1,02,400
Q12 A B
Purchase Price 24,00,000 40,00,000
Life 20 yrs 15 yrs
Salvage value 4,00,000 4,00,000
Cost 9,60,000 9,60,000
105,14,000
Equal Annual cost = 8.514
= 12,34,907
Annual Output 2500 x 60 x 200 = 300,00,000
12,34,907
Output cost /unit = 300,00,000
= 0.0412 / unit
10
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
`
Initial Outlay 50,00,000
PV of Annual Operating Cost (1-6 years) 15,00,000 x 3.7845 56,76,750
Less: PV of Salvage Value ` 10,00,000 x 0.4323 (4,32,300)
1,02,44,450
Factor 3.7845
Equivalent Annual Cost (1,02,44,450/3.7845) 27,06,949
Since Equivalent Annual Cost (EAC) is least in case of system A hence same should be opted
11
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cash outflow
Cash inflow
Operating cash inflows 2,96,000 1 0.893 2,64,328
3,53,600 2 0.797 2,81,819
3,15,200 3 0.712 2,24,422
2,76,800 4 0.636 1,76,049
12
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Yr1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4
13
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
cash inflows
Operating cash inflows 31,900 1e 0.833 26,573
1,02,850 2e 0.694 71,378
1,03,500 3e 0.579 59,927
1,23,350 4e 0.482 59,455
52,400 5e 0.402 21,065
PV of Cash Inflows 2,38,398
NPV 58,398
14
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
16
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q20 IRR is the rate at which Present value of cash outflow is equal to present value of cash inflow.
Thus Present value of cash inflow at IRR is Present value of cash outflow or cost of project.
Cost of project = Present value of cash inflow at IRR
= 40,000 x 2.855
= 1,14,200
𝑃𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑎𝑡 𝑐𝑜𝑐
Profitability Index =
𝑃𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑎𝑡 𝑐𝑜𝑐
PV of cash inflow at coc = 1.064 x 1,14,200
PV of cash inflow at coc = 1,21,509
1,14,200
= 40,000
= 2.855
17
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Since %age change in annual cash inflow is least to reduce NPV of project to 0, so
project is most sensitive to annual cash inflow.
18
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
19
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
10,00,000 − 859,200
2 + 4,50,600
= 2.312 years.
3 − 2,312
% change = x 100 = 22.93%
3
Since %age change in selling price per unit is least to reduce NPV of project to 0, so
project is most senstive to selling price per unit.
20
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
1491.4 − 1000
% age increase in value of plant = 1000
x 100 = 49.14 %
1460.27 − 900
% age increase in recurring cost = 900
x 100 = 62.25 %
21
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of sensitivity
% age increase in cost of plant 49.14 %
% age increase in recurring cost 62.25%
% age decrease in savings 21.51%
Q26 (i) Calculation of Tax Benefit on Depreciation/ Short Term Capital Loss
(a) Since PV of cash outflows is least in case of Borrowing option hence it shall be
more advantageous to go for the same.
(b) (i) Sensitivity to Borrowing Rate can be calculated by determining the rate of
borrowing (post tax) at which PV of cash flows shall be equal under both options
i.e. IRR.
Let us discount the cash flow using discount rate of 10%. PV of cash outflow
under Borrowing Option
22
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Year Investment/Salvage Tax Benefit on Dep. PVF@10% PV
0 (10,00,000) - 1.00
(10,00,000)
1 - 82,500 0.909 74,993
2 - 61,875 0.826 51,109
3 - 46,406 0.751 34,851
4 - 34,805 0.683 23,772
5 - 82,304 0.621 51,111
5 67,000 - 0.621 41,607
(7,22,557)
PV of cash outflow under Leasing Option
Year Lease Rental after Tax PVAF@10% PV
1-5 2,70,000(1-0.33) = (1,80,900) 3.79 (6,85,611)
− 14493
8.04 + x ( 10 - 8.04 ) = 8.59 %
− 14493 − 36946
23
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
iii. If existing sales decrease by 10%, i.e revised sales 20,000 x 0.9 = 18,000 units
Annual cash inflows = 18,000 x 500 – 25 lac = 65 lac
IRR is the rate at which PV of cash inflow is equal to present value of cash outflow (350lac)
PV of cash inflow at 15 % = ₹ 65 lac x 5.019 = 326.235 lac
PV of cash inflow at 12% = 65 lac x 5.65
= ₹ 367.25 lac
For difference of 3% , change in PV of cash inflow is (367.25 – 326.235) = 41.015
17.25
For change in PV of cash inflow of (367.25 - 350) 17.25, difference is x 3 = 1.262
41.015
IRR = 12 + 1.262
= 13.262 %
Iv If selling price is decreased by 10%, i.e revised selling price 2000 x 0.9 = 1800
Annual cash inflow = 20,000 x 300 – 25 lac = 35 lac
IRR is the rate at which PV of cash inflow is equal to present value of cash outflow (350lac)
PV of cash inflow at 1 % = ₹ 35 lac x 9.471 = 331.485 lac
PV of cash inflow at 0.01% = 35 lac x 9.995
= ₹ 349.825
PV of Cash inflow at 0% = 35 lac x 10
= 350 lac
IRR is 0%
V If variable cost per unit is increased by 10% i.e Variable cost per unit is 1500 x 1.1 = 1650
Annual cash inflow = 20,000 x ( 2,000 - 1650 ) – 25 lac
= 45 lac
IRR is the rate at which PV of cash inflow is equal to present value of cash outflow (350lac)
PV of cash inflow at 5 % = ₹ 45 lac x 7.722 = 347.49 lac
PV of cash inflow at 4% = 45 lac x 8.111
= ₹ 365 lac
For difference of 1% , change in PV of cash inflow is (365 – 347.49) = 17.51
15
For change in PV of cash inflow of (365 - 350) 15, difference is x 1 = 0.857
17.51
IRR = 4.857
Vi If fixed cost increases by 10%, ie revised fixed cost is 25 lac x 1.1 = 27.5 lac
Annual cash inflow = 20,000 x 500 - 27.5 lac
= 72.5 lac
IRR is the rate at which PV of cash inflow is equal to present value of cash outflow (350lac)
PV of cash inflow at 15 % = ₹ 72.5 lac x 5.019 = 363.875 lac
PV of cash inflow at 17% = 65 lac x 4.659
= ₹ 302.835 lac
24
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
c. Above senstivity analysis is done form negative view point i.e cash outlflow increase, life
decrease, sales volume decrease, selling price decrease, variable cost increase, fixed cost
increase.
Value of senstivity analysis can be improved if analysis is done from positive point of view i.e
cash outflow decrease, , life increase, sales volume increase, selling price increase, variable
cost decrease, fixed cost decrease.
25
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cash inflows
Operating cash inflows 37 lac 1e 0.893 33.041 lac
34.5 lac 2e 0.797 27.50 lac
32.624 lac 3e 0.712 23.23 lac
31.22 lac 4e 0.636 19.86 lac
30.16 lac 5e 0.567 17.10 lac
Terminal value 23.73 lac 5e 0.567 13.45 lac
Release of working capital 40 lac 5e 0.567 22.68 lac
PV of cash inflows 156.86 lac
NPV 16.86 lac
26
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of depreciation
Cost 100 lac
Dep 1 yr 25 lac
75 lac
Dep 2 yr 18.75 lac
56.25 lac
Dep 3 yr 14.06 lac
42.19 lac
Dep 4 yr 10.55 lac
31.64 lac
Dep 5 7.91 lac
BV after 5 yrs 23.73 lac
27
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
New NPV = Existing NPV - Increase in cost of asset + PV of tax saving on additional depn
. + PV of additional SV
= 16.86 – 10 lac + [ 2.5 x 0.893 + 1.875 x 0.797 + 1.406 x 0.712 +
1.055 x 0.636 + 0.791xx 0.567] 0.4 + 2.373 x 0.567
= 16.86 – 10 + 2.339 + 1.346
= 10.545
If cost of plant and machinery increase by 10%, NPV will decrease by 6.315 lac
6.315
NPV will be decreased by x 100 = 37.46 %
16.86
28
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of senstivity
Life of project 36.34%
Sales volume 29.25%
Material cost per unit 65.11 %
Q32 i. IRR is the rate at which Present value of cash inflow is equal to present value of cash
outflow. So present value of cash inflow at IRR is Cash outflow or cost of Project.
Cost of project = Annual cash inflow x annuity factor @ 16% for 5 years
= 57,500 x 3.274
= 1,88,255
2. IRR is the rate at which NPV Is 0
PV of cash inflow at 16% - PV of cash outflow = 0
Thus if cost of capital is 16%, NPV = 0
Senstivity of cost of capital is 60% i.e if present cost of capital increases by 60% NPV
will be 0. NPV is 0 at 16%
16
So present cost of capital is 1.6 = 10%
NPV = PV of CI at coc – PV of CO
= 57,500 x 3.791 - 1,88,255
= 2,17,982.5 – 1,88,255 = 29,727.5
29
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
3. Senstivity to fixed cost is 7.8416% i.e if Fixed cost increase by 7.8416% from present
level, NPV will be reduced to 0.
Current Annual cash inflow or PAT or PBT is ₹ 57,500 (since no tax, or no interest)
Annual cash inflow to reduce NPV to 0
PV of cash inflow at 10% - PV of cash outflow = 0
Cash inflow x 3.791 – 1,88,255 = 0
1,88,255
Anuual cash inflow = = ₹ 49,658
3.791
Thus if annual cash inflow reduced from 57,500 to 49,658, NPV is reduced to 0 and
Cash inflow will be reduced from 57,500 to 49,658 due to increase in fixed cost. Thus
increase in fixed cost to reduce NPV to 0 is (57,500 – 49,658) = ₹ 7842
Increase in Fixed cost to reduce NPV to 0 is 7.8416%. Thus increase in fixed cost
₹ 7842 is 7.8416%
7,842
Fixed cost before increase = = ₹ 1,00,000
.078416
𝐹𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 + 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡
4. Profit volume ratio = x 100
𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
1,00,000 +57,500
Sales = 0.7
= ₹ 2,25,000
If PV ratio is 70%, variable cost ratio is 30%.
Variable cost is ₹ 60 / unit
60
Selling price = = ₹ 200 / unit
0.30
2,25,000
Annual unit sales = = 1,125 units
200
𝐹𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡
5. BEP in units = 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑢𝑛𝑖𝑡
1,00,000
= = 714 units.
200 − 60
30
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
ii. Since cost of capital in real terms, so NPV also in real terms
Statement of NPV ( if there is inflation)
31
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of NPV
32
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q40 Since discount rate is in money terms, so NPV is ascertained in Money terms
Statement of NPV
Amount Period Factor(18%) PV
Cash outflow
Purchase price 10,000 0 1 10,000
10,000 1 0.847 8,470
PV of cash outflow 18,470
Cash Inflow
Operating cash inflows 9,000 1 0.847 7623
8,260 2e 0.718 5931
8503 3e 0.609 5178
Terminal value
4,000 ( 1.08)3 5039 3e 0.609 3069
PV of cash inflow 21,801
NPV 3331
33
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
34
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
1
(1.16)(1.2)(1.22)
48,238 3e 0.589 28,412
1
(1.16)(1.2)(1.22)(1.2)
66,083 4e 0.491 32,447
1
(1.16)(1.2)(1.22)(1.2)(1.18)
83,849 5e 0.416 34,881
NPV 33,153
35
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
36
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of NPV(Project Y)
Year Cashflow CE factor Certain CF PV factor PV
0 (3,30,000) 1 (3,30,000) 1 (3,30,000)
1 1,80,000 0.9 1,62,000 0.926 1,50,012
2 1,80,000 0.8 1,44,000 0.857 1,23,408
3 2,00,000 0.7 1,40,000 0.794 1,11,160
1,16,000 NPV 54,580
Cash flows and discounting factors always have same parameter i.e if cash flows are risk
free, discounting factor is also risk free and if cashflow are risk adjusted, discounting
factor is also risk adjusted.
If risk adjusted discount rate is used, higher discount rate will be used for the project
having lower certainity.
Certainity of X 0.8 + 0.7 + 0.5 = 2
Certainity of Y 0.9 + 0.8 + 0.7 = 2.4
Since certainity of X is lower I.e risk of X is higher, so risk adjusted discount rate of X will
be higher.
37
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of NPV (Project M)
Year Cashflow CE factor Certain CF PV factor PV
0 (8,25,000) 1 (8,25,000) 1 (8,25,000)
1 4,50,000 0.9 4,05,000 0.943 3,81,915
2 4,50,000 0.8 3,60,000 0.890 3,20,400
3 5,00,000 0.7 3,50,000 0.840 2,94,000
NPV 1,71,315
a. NPV of N is higher of project N, so project N is better
b. Certainity of M 0.8 + 0.7+0.5 = 2
Certainity of N 0.9 + 0.8 + 0.7 = 2.4
Since certainity of M is lower I.e risk of M is higher, so risk adjusted discount rate of
M will be higher
Q49 Statement of NPV (Proposal A)
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow 50,000 0 1 50,000
Cash inflow
OP cash inflow 30,000 x 0.8 24,000 1 0.909 21,816
30,000 x 0.7 21,000 2 0.826 17,346
30,000 x 0.6 18,000 3 0.751 13,518
30,000 x 0.5 15,000 4 0.683 10,245
Terminal value 5,000 4 0.683 3415
NPV 16,340
Statement of NPV(Proposal B)
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow 50,000 0 1 50,000
Cash Inflow
Op cash inflow 18,000 x 0.9 16,200 1 0.909 14,726
36,000 x 0.8 28,800 2 0.826 23,789
24,000 x 0.7 16,800 3 0.751 12,617
32,000 x 0.4 12,800 4 0.683 8742
Terminal value 5,000 4 0.683 59,874
NPV 13,289
Q50 statement of risk adjusted NPV (A)
Risk adjusted rate associated with coefficient of variation of A I.e 0.4 is 12%
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow 1,00,000 0 1 1,00,000
Cash inflow 30,000 1-5e 3.605 1,08,150
NPV 8,150
39
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of NPV
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow 1,40,000 0 1 1,40,000
Cash Inflow 72,000 1e 0.909 65,448
1,03,000 2e 0.826 85,078
NPV 10,526
40
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of NpV
Cash outflow 40 0 1 40
Cash inflow 21 1e 0.935 19.64
26.6 2e 0.874 23.25
24.5 3e 0.816 20
NPV 22.89
Statement of NPV
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash Outflow 6,000 0 1 6000
cash inflow 2000 1e 0.870 1740
2530 2e 0.756 1913
2680 3e 0.658 1763
NPV (584)
41
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
ii. Project S is more riskier than Project K as Standard deviation of S is higher than K and co-
efficient of variance of S is also higher than that of K.
42
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
𝑃𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤
Iii Profitability Index =
𝑃𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤
NPV = PV of CI - PV of CO
PV of CI = NPV + PV of CO
A = 9000 + 36,000 = 45,000
B = 9,000 + 30,000 = 39,000
45,000
PI of A = 1.25
36,000
39,000
PI of B = 1.30
30,000
Iv Since NPV of both project is same, so both projects yield equal reinvestible fund. Thus
both projects are equally recommended.
But since PI of project B is higher so according to PI method, project B is acceptable.
Also since risk of B is lower, yielding same NPV as of A, so B is acceptable.
43
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
ii. Worst case NPV will arise if annual cash inflows are 20,000. In this case NPV is
1,00,000 – 20,000 x 2.991 = (40,180)
Since probability of annual cash inflows of 20,000 is 0.1, so expected NPV in worst case
is (40,180) x 0.1 = 4018
Best case NPV will arise if annual cash inflows are 40,000. In this case NPV is
1,00,000 - [40,000 x 2.991 + 30,000 x .402] = 31,700
Since probability of annual cash inflow 40,000 is 0.2. So expected NPV in best case is
31,700 x 0.2 = 6340
iii. Worst case NPV will arise if annual cash inflows is 20,000. Probability of annual cash
inflows of 20,000 is 10%, so probability of worse case NPV is 10%
44
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of NPV
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow 5000 0 1 5000
Cash inflow 3000 1e 0.935 2805
2400 2e 0.873 2095
2100 3e 0.816 1714
NPV 1614
45
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
𝑋 − 𝑋̅
Probability of 0 NPV = Z =
𝜎
0 − 1614
= = 1.11
1451.59
= 0.3655
Prob = 0.5 – 0.3655
= 0.1335 0r 13.35%
46
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
b. Probability that project will have –ve NPV = NPV will be –ve if NPV is less tha 0
𝑋 − 𝑋̅
Probability of 0 NPV = Z =
𝜎
0 − 25,611
= = -1.988
12,881
= 0.4761
Probability of –ve NPV = 0.5 – 0.4761
= 0.0239 or 2.39%
47
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
If project D is undertaken
Total return of ABD = 120 + 90 + 83 = 293
If project E is taken
Total return of ABE = 120 + 90 + 80 = 290
Q64 Expected value of existing product lines icecream, cheese , yogurt = 16,000 + 20,000 + 10,000
= 46,000
48
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
√80002 + 70002 + 40002 + 90002 + 2 𝑋 8000𝑋7000 𝑋 0.9 + 2𝑋 7000 𝑋 4000 𝑋 0.84 + 2 𝑋 4000 𝑋 8000 𝑋 0.8
̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅
2 𝑋 9000 𝑋 4000 𝑋 0.3 + 2 𝑋 9000 𝑋 8000 𝑋 0.4 + 2 𝑋 7000 𝑋 9000 𝑋 0.2
=
√640 𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 490 𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 160𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 810𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 1008𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 470.4𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 512 𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 216𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 576𝑙𝑎𝑐 + 252𝑙𝑎𝑐
= √5134. 4 𝑙𝑎𝑐 = 22659.2144
49
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cash Inflow
Operating cash inflow 3,42,500 1 0.909 3,11,333
3,18,125 2 0.826 2,62,771
2,99,844 3 0.751 2,25,183
2,86,133 4 0.683 1,95,429
2,75,850 5 0.621 1,71,303
2,56,887 6 0.564 1,44,884
Terminal value 1,50,000
sale of old TV - 1,50,000 6 0.564 84,600
PV of Cash Inflow 13,95,503
NPV 95,503
50
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of depreciation
Old asset New Asset
Cost 10,00,000 Op WDV of block 3,16,406
Dep 1 yr 2,50,000 Purchase 15,00,000
7,50,000 sale of old 2,00,000
2 yr 1,87,500 Depreciable WDV
5,62,500 of New machine 16,16,406
3 yr 1,40,625 Depreciable WDV
4,21,875 of old machine 3,16,406
4 yr 1,05,469 Incremental WDV 13,00,000
3,16,406 1 yr 3,25,000
9,75,000
2yr 2,43,750
7,31,250
3 yr 1,82,813
5,48,437
4yr 1,37,109
4,11,328
5 yr 1,02,832
op WDV of last yr 3,08,496
sale of new asset 1,50,000
sale 0f old asset - 1,50,000
1,58,496
Depn 6th yr 39,624
BV - no treatment 1,18,872
51
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of depreciation
Op WDV 40,000
Purchase 1,60,000 Op WDV 5th yr 44,296
Sale -20,000 Incremental Scrap
Depreciable WDV of New 1,80,000 value
Depreciable WDV of old -40,000 8000 - 2000 6000
Incremental WDV 1,40,000 capital loss 15,318
dep 1 35,000
1,05,000
dep 2yr 26,250
78,750
dep 3 yr 19,688
59,062
dep 4 yr 14,766
Op incremental WDV of 5 yr 44,296
52
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q70 Out of Model 1 and Model 2, machine with higher NPV will be selected
Statement of depreciation
Op Wdv - Op WDV last year 47,461
Purchase 1,50,000 - sale value nil
Sale - - Capital loss 47,461
1,50,000 tax saving on CL 16,611
Yr 1 37,500
1,12,500
Yr 2 28,125
84,375
Yr3 21,094
63,281
Yr 4 15,820
Op WDV of last year 47,461
53
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cash outflow
Purchase price 2,50,000 0 1 2,50,000
Working capital 70,000 0 1 70,000
PV of cash outflow 3,20,000
Cash Inflow
Operating cash inflow 1,19,375 1e 0.885 1,05,647
1,13,906 2e 0.783 89,188
1,09,805 3e 0.693 76,095
1,06,728 4e 0.613 65,424
97,500 5e 0.543 52,943
Tax saving on CL 27,686 5e 0.543 15,033
Release of WC 70,000 5e 0.543 38,010
PV of cash Inflow 4,42,340
NPV 1,22,340
Statement of depreciation
Cost 2,50,000
Dep 1 62,500
1,87,500
Dep 2 46,875
1,40,625
Dep 3 35,156
1,05,469
Dep 4 26,367
Op wDV of last year 79,102
Salvage value nil
Cap loss 79,102
Tax saving on CL 27,686
54
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of depreciation
Old machinery New machinery
Cost 10,00,000 Op WDV 4,21,875
1 yr 2,50,000 + purchase 15,00,000
7,50,000 - sale (6,00,000)
2 yr 1,87,500 13,21,875
5,62,500 - op WDV 4,21,875
3 yr 1,40,625 Incremental WDV 9,00,000
4,21,875 I yr 2,25,000
6,75,000 OP wdv 6 yr 2,13,576
2 yr 1,68,750 Sale of new 9,00,000
5,06,250 BV of block after sale
3 yr 1,26,562 6,86,426
3,79,688 (no tax treatment)
4 yr 94,921
2,84,767
5 yr 71,191
Op WDV 6 yr 2,13,576
55
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
NPV = PV of CI - PV of CO
𝑋 −5,00,000
4,53,000 = 5,46,000 + 0.40 x 3.35 - ( x – 5,00,000)
5
4,53,000 = 5,46,000 + (X - 5,00,000) 0.268 - X + 5,00,000
- 5,93,000 = 0.268x – 1,34,000 – x
- 5,93,000 = - 0.732x - 1,34,000
4,59,000
X = 0.732
= 6,27,050
Purchase price of asset to get NPV of 4,53,000 is 6,27,050
b. Statement of NPV
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow
Purchase price 6,27,050
Sale of old 5,00,000 1,27,050 0 1 1,27,050
56
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of Operating cash inflows
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Additional production 10,000 30,000 50,000
Additional contribution 1,50,000 4,50,000 7,50,000
Fixed cost 50,000 1,50,000 2,50,000
PBDT 1,00,000 3,00,000 5,00,000
Depreciation 25,410 25,410 25,410
PBT 74,590 2,74,590 4,74,590
Tax(40%)
PAT (60%) 44,754 1,64,754 2,84,754
Depn 25,410 25,410 25,410
Cash inflow 70,164 1,90,164 3,10,164
Q73 Year 2
(8,000)(0.5) B1
Year 1
Year 0 10,000 (0.4)
Purchase 12,000 (0.5) B2
Equipment B3
For 20,000 16,000(0.4)
12000 (0.6)
B4
20,000 (0.6)
Statement of NPV
Branch Joint Prob. NPV Expected NPV
1 0.4 x 0.5 = 0.2 10,000 x .893 + 8,000 x .797 – 20,000 (938.8)
= - 4,694
2 0.4 x 0.5 = 0.2 10,000 x .893 + 12000 x .797 – 20,000 (301.2)
= - 1506
3 0.6 x 0.4 = 0.24 12,000 x .893 + 16,000 x .797 – 20,000 832.3
= 3468
4 0.6 x 0.6 = 0.36 12000 x .893 + 20,000 x .797 - 20,000 2396.16
NPV 1988.46
Since NPV is +ve, so project should be accepted.
57
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q74 Year 2 B1
Year 1 12000(0.2)
16,000(0.3) B2
25,000(0.4)
22,000(0.5) B3
Make investment 30,000(0.6)
Year 0 cost 40,000 20,000(0.4) B4
25000(0.5) B5
30,000(0.1)
No investment B6
Statement of NPV
Branch Joint prob NPV Expected NPV
1 0.4 x 0.2 = .08 25,000 x .909 + 12000 x .826 – 40,000 - 589.04
= - 7363
2 0.4 x 0.3 = 0.12 25,000 x .909 + 16,000 x .826 – 40,000 -487.08
= - 4.059
3 0.4 x 0.5 = 0.20 25,000 x .909 + 22000 x .826 - 40,000 179.4
= 897
4 0.6 x 0.4 = 0.24 30,000 x .909 + 20,000 x .826 – 40,000 909.6
= 3,790
5 0.6 x 0.5 = 0.30 30,000 x.909 + 25000 x .826 – 40,000 2376
= 7,920
6 0.6 x 0.1 = .06 30,000 x .909 + 30,000 x .826 - 40,000 723
= 12,050 . .
NPV 3,111.88
b. outcome is worst if cash flow in first year is 25,000 and in 2nd year 12,000. NPV if worst
outcome is realised is -7363. Probability of worst case NPV is .08 ie 8%
c. Outcome is best if cash inflow in first year is 30,000 and in second year is 30,000. NPV if best
outcome is realised is 723. Probability of best case NPV is .06 or 6%.
d. Since expected NPV of project is +ve i.e + 3111.88, so project should be accepted.
58
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q75
Year 3 B1
2000(.3)
3000(.5) B2
Year 1 4000(.2) B3
8000(.3) B9
Machine not purchase
Statement of NPV
Branch Joint Prob NPV Expected NPV
1 .3 x .3 = .09 6000 x .926 + 2000 x .857 - 9000 - 155.7
= - 1730
2 .3 x .5 = .15 6000 x .926 + 3000 x .857 - 9000 - 130.95
= - 873
3 .3 x .2 = .06 6000 x .926 + 4000 x .857 - 9000 - .96
= - 16
4 .4 x .3 = .12 7000 x .926 + 4000 x .857 - 9000 109.2
= 910
5 .4 x .4 = .16 7000 x .926 + 5000 x .857 - 9000 282.72
= 1767
6 .4 x .3 = .12 7000 x .926 + 6000 x .857 - 9000 314.88
= 2624
7 .3 x .2 = .03 8000 x .926 + 6000 x .857 - 9000 213
= 3550
8 .3 x .5 = .15 8000 x .926 + 7000 x .857 - 9000 661.05
= 4407
9 .3 x .3 = .09 8000 x .926 + 8000 x .857- 9000 473.76
= 5364 1767
59
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
c. life of project is 2 years. Company has option to abandaon after 1st year. In case of
abandonment ₹ 4500 will be realised
60
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q76
Evaluation
At Decision Point C:
The choice is between investing Rs 20 lacs for a perpetual benefit of
Rs 4 lacs and not to invest.
We shall determine the PV of Benefits in perpetuity (Capitalised Value) as follows:
4 𝑙𝑎𝑐
= = 40lac
0.10
Net Benefit = 40 lac - 20 lac = 20 lac
The preferred choice is to invest, since the capitalized value yields a net benefit of Rs 20 lacs.
At Decision Point D: The choice is between investing Rs 12 lacs, for a similar perpetual benefit of
Rs 1 lac, and not to invest shall be based on net benefit as computed above.
1 𝐿𝑎𝑐
= = 10 lac
0.10
Net Benefit = 10 lac - 12 lac = - 2 lac
Since, there is a negative benefit of Rs 2 lacs. Therefore, it would not be prudent to invest at this point.
At Outcome Point B:
Evaluation of EMV is as under (Rs in lacs).
At Decision Point A: Decision is to be taken based on preferences between two alternatives. The first is
to test, by investing Rs 2,40,000 and reap a benefit of Rs 10 lacs. The second is not to test, and thereby
losing the opportunity of a possible gain.
The preferred choice is, therefore, investing a sum of Rs 2,40,000 and undertaking the test.
61
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q77
Note - in question probability of finding and not finding oil is given only for 2000 ft.
probability of finding and not finding oil is not given at 4,000 and 4,000 ft. question gives
CUMULATIVE probablity of finding oil at 4,000 and 6000 ft. Thus prob of finding and not
finding oil at 4000 and 6000 ft is to be found.
Cumulative probability of = cum prob of finding + CUMUlATIVE prob of not Prob of finding
Finding oil at 6000 ft oil at 4000 ft finding at 4000 ft at 6i 000 ft
0.7 = 0.6 + 0.4 (X)
0.1
X = = 0.25
0.4
Prob of not finding oil at 6000 ft = 1 – 0.25 = 0.75
Note in question we know the cash inflow when oil is found, but we don’t
know cash inflow when oil is not found
Eg. We know cash inflow of 10 mil if oil is found at 2000 ft, but we don’t knw
cash inflow, when not find oil at 2000
There will be cash inflow when oil not found at 2000 because then we drill
further which may give cash inflow. Thus we get cash inflow at 4000 only if no
oil is found at 2,000.
We will have to start from 6000 ft because decision at 6000 ft is final ie no
further drilling option. If no oil found at 6000, vash inflow is 0
i.e we know cash flow of 8 milif oil found and 0 if not found at 6000.
So we use working backwards method
62
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cash inflow if found oil x prob of finding oil + CI if no oil X prob of no oil
= 8 x 0.25 + 0 x 0.75
= 2 mil
Cash outflow at D3 i.e driiling at 6000 ft is (6mil – 5mil) 1mil
So net NPV at D3 = PV of expected CI at 6000 – PV of CO at 6000
= 2 mil - 1 mil
= 1 mil
Since npv +ve so drilling till 6000 is feasible
NOTE – thus if oil not found at 4000, drilling will be done at 6000 which give NPV of
1 mil. Thus if not find oil at 4000 ci is 1 mil
Thus drilling to be done till 2000 ft is to be done. If no oil found at 2,000, then drilling should be
done till 4000, as NPV at 4000 is also +ve. If oil not found at 4,000, drilling should be done till
6,000 as NPV at 6000 is also +ve
63
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q78 a. to determine timing of opening of goldmine, NPV realised if mine is opened today is to
be compared with NPV realised if mine is opened after 1 year.
(0.5)6500
D1
6000 (0.5) 5500(0.5)
5500 (0.5)
D2
Open mine 5500(0.5) 5000 (0.5)
D1
D1
4500(0.5)
D1
(0.5)4500 (0.5)5000 5500 (0.5)
D3
4500(0.5)
(0.5)4000 4500(0.5)
D1
3500(0.5)
Do not open mine
If current market price is ₹ 5000 / ounce, averge market price at end of first year is
5500 x 0.5 + 4500 x 0.5
= 2750 + 2250 = 5000
Average market price at the end of year 2 is
6000 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 5000 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 5000 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 4000 x 0.5 x 0.5
1500 + 1250 + 1250 + 1000 = 5000
Average market price at the end of 3rd year
6500 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 5500 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 5500 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 4500 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5
+ 5500 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 4500 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 4500 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 + 3500 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5
= 812.5 + 687.5 + 687.5 + 562.5 + 687.5 + 562.5 + 562.5 + 437.5
= 5000
Thus if current market price is 5000, average MP at end of each year is 5000 / ounce
Since cost per ounce is ₹ 4600 per ounce. So profit per ounce is ₹ 400
If 1000 ounce is produced each year, profit per year is 4,00,000
Thus if mine opened today NPV is negative, so opening mine now is not feasible
NPV if mine opened after 1 year [ though mine opened after 1 yr but for
comparison NPV is to be ascertained at 0 period]
64
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
If current Market price is 5000 / ounce. Price after 1 year will be 4500 or 5500 per ounce.
Cost per ounce is 4600 per ounce. So if MP is 4500 per ounce, it will yield loss of 100 per ounce.
Opening mine will not be feasible
If price after 1 year is 5500, then average price in 2nd , 3rd , and 4th year is 5500 per ounce (like it was
5000 in 1st , 2nd,and 3rd year)
So profit per ounce each year is (5500 – 4600) = 900 / ounce
Cash inflow each year is 900 x 1000 = 9,00,000
NPV = 9,00,000 x 2.487 x 0.909 - 10,00,000 x .909 [ or 9,00,000 (.826 +.751 + .683)]
= 11,25,615
Expected NPV = NPV if price 4500 x prob of 4500 + NPV if price 5500 x prob of 5500
= 0 x 0.5 + 11,25,615 x 0.5
= ₹ 5,62,808.
Since NPV is +ve is mine is opened after 1 year, so mine should be opened after 1 year.
Since both outcomes from D7 is yielding loss, so branches of D7 should be scrapped i.e project should
be abandoned in 3rd year in case of D7. Thus expected NPV from D7 can be avoided.
= [ - 100 x 0.5x 0.5 x 0.5 + (-) 1100 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5] 1000 x 0.751
= - 1,12,650
Thus if project is abandoned incase of D7 , loss of 1,12,650 will be reduced from Expected NPV of
- 5600
So expected NPV if project is abandoned at D7 - 5600 + 1,12,650 = 1,07,050
If goldmine is opened after 1 year, when price is 5500 (if price is 4500, mined will not be opened)
65
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Year 3
Year 2 2400
1900 D4
Year 1 1400
D2
900 1400
1400
D5
Open mine
Today 400
D1
1400
400 900 D6
D3
400
-100 400
D7
Not to open mine -600
Thus if project can be abandoned at any stage, then it will be viable to open mine after 1 year, I.e decision
will remain same.
Value of abandonment or saving due to abandonment
5,71,345 – 5,62,808 = 8537 [ or 17,075 x 0.5 ] = 8,537
66
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q79
0.6
Cash inflows (30 mil)
Build
Plant 2 0.4
Success cash inflows (20 mil)
D2
0.7
Begin pilot Prodn
1
And test Marketing
D1
Faliure 0.3 Not to build plant
No action
NPV of D2
PV of CI – PV of CO
194.194 - 150 = 44.194 mil
Since NPV is positive so company should build plant
Thus company should do pilot production and if it is successful company should build plant and do .
production over next 20 years.
67
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q80
24,000 (0.2) B1
32,000 (0.3) B2
CI 60,000 (0.6)
40,000 (0.4) B4
50,000 (0.5) B5
No investment 60,000(0.10) B6
b. outcome is worst if cash flow in first year is 50,000 and in 2nd year 24,000. NPV if worst
outcome is realised is -14,726. Probability of worst case NPV is .08 ie 8%
c. Outcome is best if cash inflow in first year is 60,000 and in second year is 60,000. NPV if best
outcome is realised is 24,100. Probability of best case NPV is .06 or 6%.
d. Since expected NPV of project is +ve i.e + 6,224, so project should be accepted.
68
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q81
12,000 (0.2) B1
16000 (0.3) B2
CI = 25,000 (0.4)
Invest in the 22,000 (0.5) B3
project
CI = 30,000 ( 0.6)
25,000 (0.5) B5
No investment
30,000 (0.1) B6
1 0.4 x 0.2 = 0.08 25,000 x 0.909 + 12,000 x 0.826 -40,000 = - 7363 - 589
2 0.4 x 0.3 = 0.12 25,000 x 0.909 + 16,000 x 0.826 - 40,000= - 4,059 - 487
4 0.6 x 0.4 = 0.24 30,000 x 0.909 + 20,000 x 0.826 – 40,000 = 3,790 909
5 0.6 x 0.5 = 0.3 30,000 x 0.909 + 25,000 x 0.826 – 40,000 = 7,920 2,376
6 0.6 x 0.1 = 0.06 30,000 x 0.909 + 30,000 x 0.826 – 40,000 = 12,050 723
3,111
b. outcome is worst if cash flow in first year is 25,000 and in 2nd year 12,000. NPV if worst outcome is
realised is -7363. Probability of worst case NPV is .08 ie 8%
c. Outcome is best if cash inflow in first year is 30,000 and in second year is 30,000. NPV if best outcome
is realised is 12,050. Probability of best case NPV is .06 or 6%.
d. Since expected NPV of project is +ve i.e + 3111, so project should be accepted
69
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q82
4000 (0.2) B1
10000 (0.6) B2
CI = 8000(0.3) 15000(0.2) B3
16,000 (0.1) B7
24,000 (0.1) B9
70
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q84
130
100 80
60
𝑈 − ( 1 + 𝑟)𝑛
Probability of low price = 𝑈 − 𝐿
1.3 − 1.08 0.22
= 1.3 − 0.6
= 0.7
= 0.314
If After 1 year condition is favorable, project will not be abandoned, so abandonment value is 0.
80 – 60 = 20
Since expected pay off at year 1 is 6.28 crore. Present value of expected pay off will be:
6.28
= 5.81 crore
1.08
72
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q85
100 (0.3) B1
200 (0.5) B2
CI = 200(0.3) 300(0.2) B3
300 (0.3) B7
500 (0.3) B9
73
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cost of project is 200 crores, out of which 50 crores is financed by rquity and 150 crore by 15%
debt payable in 15 equal annual installments
Annual insallment
Annuity x factor at 15% a5 yrs = Loan amount
150 𝑐𝑟𝑜𝑟𝑒
Annuity = = 25.65 crore
5.847
Annual inflows = 50 crore - 0.05 x 200 = 40 crore
74
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
i. Equity IRR
It is the rate at which PV of cash inflow for eq share holders = Pv of cash outflow for
equity share holders.
Cash inflow
EBIT 40 crores
Installment 25.65 14.35 crores (since no tax, so tax saving .
on depreciation and tax is ignored
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CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
76
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
80 150 50
Ko = 25 x + 9x + 6.75 x
280 280 280
= 7.143 + 4.821 + 1.205
= 13.168 %
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CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
78
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
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CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q94 a. If projects are divisible, decisions are to be taken on the basis of Profitability index
b. If projects are indivisible, combinations of projects which give highest NPV are accepted
80
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q95 a if projects are divisible, decisions are to be taken on the basis of Profitability index
Statement of Profitable Index
Projects PV of CI PI Rank
A 15 / 0.20 = 75 75 / 50 = 1.5 III
B 20 / 0.20 = 100 100 / 80 = 1.25 IV
C 18 / 0.20 90 / 60 = 1.5 III
D 10 / 0.20 50 / 30 = 1.67 I
E 8 / 0.20 40 / 25 = 1.6 II
F 10 / 0.20 50 / 40 = 1.25 IV
If projects are divisible, D,E,A are profitable Mix. Alternatively D,E,C also yield same return
NPV from C = 30 x 45/ 60 = 22.5
b If projects are indivisible, and surplus funds can be invested at cost of capital i.e 20 %
81
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Since EAC is least after 2nd year, so machine should be replaced after 2nd year.
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CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
statement of cash outflow if replaced after 1 year
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow
Mentainance of old 1 yr 16,000 1 0.893 14,288
Purchase price of new 40,000
Sale of old 6,000 34,000 1 0.893 30,362
Maintenance on new 8000 2 0.797 6376
10,000 3 0.712 7120
20,000 4 0.636 12,720
Scrap value of new 16,000 4 0.636 (10,176)
Net cash outflow 60,690
60,690
Equal Annual cost = 19,984
3.037
statement of cash outflow if replaced after 1 year
Amount Period Factor PV
Cash outflow
Mentainance of old 1 yr 16,000 1 0.893 14,288
Purchase price of new 40,000
Sale of old 6,000 34,000 1 0.893 30,362
Maintenance on new 8000 2 0.797 6376
10,000 3 0.712 7120
20,000 4 0.636 12,720
Scrap value of new 16,000 4 0.636 (10,176)
Net cash outflow 60,690
60,690
Equal Annual cost = 19,984
3.037
83
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
23,926
EAC = 26,793
0.893
39,174
EAC = 23,180
1.69
57,962
EAC = 24,131
2.402
Since EAC is least is machine is replaced after 2 yrs, so optimum replacement cycle for
new machine is 2 yrs
84
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
85
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cash inflow
Operating cash inflow 6,00,000 1 0.870 5,22,000
7,00,000 2 0.756 5,29,200
8,00,000 3 0.658 5,26,400
9,00,000 4 0.572 5,14,800
10,00,000 5 0.497 4,97,000
PV of cash inflow 25,89,400
NPV 10,89,400
86
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Cash inflow
Operating cash inflow 82,500 1-10 6.145 5,06,963
Salvage value 20,000 10e 0.386 7,720
Net Present value 2,24,683
87
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
88
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
89
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Q109 Any new project being considered for implementation may require the firm to raise additional
funds. This may also entail further cash flows in the form of payment of interest or dividend to
the supplier of funds. In CB process these financial cash flows i.e cash inflows in the form of
raising funds and cash outflows in the form of interest and dividend payments are ignored. The
question is whether these financial cash flows should be considered as relevant cash flows or
not ? the answer is that these financial cash flows need NOT to be as relevant cash flows
Thus in this question cost of machine is 200 lac and principal is repayable in 4 equal
installment. Interest is 16% p.a. cash outflows in the form of interest is ignored. It is assumed
that cost of debt is included in weighted average cost of capital i. 15%.
Statement of NPV
Amount Period factor PV
Cash outflow
Purchase price of machine 50 1 0.870 43.5
50 2 0.756 37.8
50 3 0.658 32.9
50 4 0.572 28.6
Compensation 30 0 1 30
Working capital (op stock) 20 0 1 20
PV of cash outflow 192.8
Cash inflow
Operating cash inflow 91 1 0.870 79.17
110 2 0.756 83.16
116 3 0.658 76.33
152 4 0.572 86.94
Terminal value (20 – 15) = 5
Bookvalue(200 – 50 -38-28-21) = 63
Tax sav on CL (63 – 5) 0.5
= 29 34 4 0.572 19.45
PV of cash inflow 345.05
NPV 152.25
90
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
91
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
92
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
93
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
94
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
95
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Labour cost
Existing machine
(Unskilled 18 x 12 x 3500
Skilled 18 x 12 x 5500
Supervisor 3 x 12 x6500
Maintenance 2 x 12 x 5000)
= 22,98,000 + 2,29,800 = 25.28
( 10% inflation)
(Assumed inflation is not p.a)
(Alternatively it can be taken p.a)
New machine
( skilled 6 x 12 x 7000
Maintenance 1 x 6500 x 12 = 5.82 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.46
Insurance - existing (8 x 18)x .02x 0.9 x 0.9 x 0.9 2.1 1.89 1.70 1.53 1.38
New 3 x 100 x .02 6 5.4 4.86 4.37 3.94
Additional cost 3.9 3.51 3.16 2.84 2.56
144
Incremental depn existing 28.8 28.8 - - -
5
300 − 30
New 54 54 54 54 54
5
Additional depn 25.2 25.2 54 54 54
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CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
97
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Statement of equal annual cost if old machine is replaced with
new machine after 2 year
Amount Period factor PV
st
Mentainance of old mach 1 yr 10,000 1 0.870 8,700
2 yr 20,000 2e 0.756 15,120
Purchase Price(new) 90,000
Salvage valueof old 15,000 75,000 1 0.756 56,700
Maintenance cost(new) 10,000 3-10e 4.487 x 0.756 33,922
Salvage value (new) 20,000 10e 0.247 (4,940)
1,09,502
1,09,502
Equal Annual cost = = 21,817
5.019
98
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
Since EAC is least after 2nd year, so machine should be replaced after 2nd year.
99
CA PRAVIIN MAHAJAN SFM CLASSES 1/30, lalit park, laxmi nagar, near lalita park gurudwara
9354 720 515 metro pillar 24, new delhi
100