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Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Outbreak: Now Is The Time To Refresh Pandemic Plans
Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Outbreak: Now Is The Time To Refresh Pandemic Plans
Lisa M. Koonin
Founder and Principal, Health Preparedness Partners, LLC, United States
Lisa Koonin is the Founder and Principal compromise long-term viability of an enterprise,
of Health Preparedness Partners, LLC. Dr but also disrupt the provision of critical func-
Koonin is an international expert in emergency tions. Businesses that regularly test and update
preparedness and response, especially for their pandemic plan can significantly reduce
pandemic influenza and was the originator of harmful impacts to the business, play a key role
private sector pandemic preparedness and in protecting employees’ and customers’ health
emergency response programmes during her and safety, and limit the negative impact of a
30+ year career at the US Centers for Disease pandemic on the community and economy.
Control and Prevention. She has clinical Lisa Koonin
experience as a family nurse practitioner and Keywords: pandemic, business con-
earned master of nursing and master of public tinuity, corona virus, COVID-19,
health degrees from Emory University and SARS-CoV-2, influenza, social dis-
a doctorate degree in public health leader- tancing, emergency preparedness
ship from the University of North Carolina at
Chapel Hill.
INTRODUCTION
Abstract Since December, 2019, health officials in
This article outlines practical steps that busi- China have reported a growing number of
nesses can take now to prepare for a pandemic. pneumonia cases caused by a novel corona
Given the current growing spread of corona- virus (the disease called COVID-19 from
virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) around the the virus named SARS-CoV-2) that was
world, it is imperative that businesses review first detected in Wuhan City, Hubei
their pandemic plans and be prepared in case Province, China.1 Since that time, tens of
this epidemic expands and affects more people thousands of people have been infected
and communities. Preparing for a potential with this new virus and thousands of
infectious disease pandemic from influenza or deaths have been reported in China. A
a novel corona virus is an essential component growing number of cases, and deaths,
of a business continuity plan, especially for have also been identified in other parts of
Health Preparedness Partners,
businesses that provide critical healthcare and Asia, Europe, the USA, and other parts PO Box 88926, Atlanta,
GA 30338, USA
infrastructure services. Although many busi- of the world. On 30th January, 2020, Tel: +1 404 435 2551;
nesses and organisations have a pandemic plan the World Health Organization (WHO) E-mail: lisakoonin@
healthpreparednesspartners.com
or address pandemic preparedness in their busi- determined the rapidly spreading outbreak
ness continuity plans, few have recently tested constituted a Public Health Emergency Journal of Business Continuity
& Emergency Planning
and updated their plans. Pandemics can not of International Concern (PHEIC). On Vol. 13, No. 4, pp. 1–15
© Henry Stewart Publications,
only interrupt an organisation’s operations and 28th February, 2020, WHO advised that 1749–9216
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‘we have now increased our assessment of US Centers for Disease Control and
the risk of spread and the risk of impact Prevention (CDC) issued its ‘Business
of COVID-19 to very high at a global Pandemic Influenza Planning Checklist’ in
level’.2 The USA reported the first con- 2005 to encourage preparedness, and most
firmed person infected with this virus on large businesses created plans.8 Currently,
21st January, 2020, and since that time, although many businesses likely have a
additional cases have been identified and pandemic plan (or as part of a broader
the first death related to COVID-19 was infectious disease plan) as part of their
reported on 29th February, 2020.3,4 business continuity efforts, many of these
Although initially, most cases were plans have been sitting on the shelves for
associated with travel from Wuhan City years and have not been recently refreshed
or Hubei Province, China, person-to- or tested.
person spread of this virus in China has Because a severe pandemic can have
been detected in multiple provinces, and a devastating impact on business and
person-to-person spread has been reported community functions, private sector busi-
outside China, including in the USA and nesses, especially those that provide critical
other countries. Continued spread of this community services, must actively plan
new virus continues around the world and and prepare.9 In the event of a COVID-19
cases without known exposures to geo- pandemic, businesses will need to maintain
graphic regions with outbreaks or persons continuity as well as play a key role in pro-
ill with COVID-19 are being identified tecting employees’ and customers’ health
in the US and other countries. This and safety, limiting the negative impact
onward community transmission has been to their communities, and protecting the
noted and public health officials are con- economy.10
cerned that continued spread will spark a
pandemic.5
The outbreak has already impacted WHY SHOULD BUSINESSES
businesses, healthcare systems, economies PREPARE FOR A PANDEMIC?
and global travel. Forecasts of adverse Currently, COVID-19 is spreading within
economic impacts from this outbreak have countries outside of China, and shows
been predicted to be greater than that of no signs of abating. Cases of COVID-19
the 2003 SARS outbreak.6 The World that have no apparent links to travel or
Economic Forum’s Global Risks Report exposure to sick persons are growing in
in 2020 includes outbreaks of ‘infectious communities in many countries, there-
diseases’ in a list of the top ten conditions fore additional community outbreaks are
that will have the greatest societal impact likely. In addition, and unrelated to the
over the next ten years.7 COVID-19 outbreak, influenza (A) viruses
Many businesses have been planning with pandemic potential, including H5N1
for a pandemic, particularly one from and H7N9, as well as H5N6, H9N2 and
influenza, for years and have established H3N2v, continue to circulate in birds and
pandemic plans as part of business con- other species globally.11,12 A pandemic flu
tinuity planning. These efforts started in virus that results from a genetic shift in one
the mid-2000s when multiple outbreaks of these viruses (or another virus) could
of ‘bird flu’ in Asia caused tremendous emerge anywhere without notice, and
concern among scientists and sparked spread rapidly to almost every country. As
global, national and corporate pandemic a result, the threat of a pandemic influenza
preparedness planning activities. The also remains very significant. The CDC
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rated the 2017 Asian lineage A(H7N9) and prepare in advance of a pandemic
influenza bird flu virus that was detected so they can remain operational, provide
in China as ‘having the greatest potential their needed products, and continue to
to cause a pandemic, as well as potentially provide ongoing employee compensation
posing the greatest risk to severely impact and benefits. Planning is especially impor-
public health if it were to achieve sustained tant for businesses that operate globally,
human-to-human transmission’.13 Given as borders may close during a pandemic,
these immediate and potential risks, pan- and resources from headquarters may not
demic planning should be a priority for be available. Planning may also help to
private sector entities. reduce the spread of a pandemic virus in
A response to a pandemic is complex, the workplace, which will decrease the
takes time and resources, and cannot be number of people who get sick or die.
adequately developed ‘on the fly’. Once Finally, pandemic planning can strengthen
a pandemic begins, it may not be possible businesses’ preparedness for other types of
to acquire needed materials, formulate infectious disease emergencies and disease
multiple strategies, policies and plans, threats.
and/or execute those plans without prior
preparation.
Therefore, immediate preparation is UNIQUE ISSUES FOR PANDEMIC
prudent to protect business continuity. BUSINESS CONTINUITY PLANNING
Although it is not possible to predict Many of the business continuity constructs
when a pandemic will emerge, it is pos- that apply to natural disasters or other
sible to anticipate the potential impact emergencies are relevant for business con-
a pandemic could have on businesses. tinuity planning for a pandemic. These
A pandemic can cause many interrelated include ongoing planning to mitigate
challenges that can jeopardise business escalating absenteeism and supply chain
functioning, including: disruptions. However, there are a number
of key issues and impacts that are different
• Disruptive absenteeism of up to 30–40 and require additional preparation. Unlike
per cent; a natural disaster or other emergency that
• Risk of illness for employees and cus- affects a single city or region, a pandemic,
tomers in the workplace; as spread accelerates, is likely to affect
• Shortages of supplies and supply chain almost the entire country at about the
interruptions; same time, so marshalling personnel or
• Transportation disruptions; resources from another location is unlikely
• Telecommunications slowdown; to be possible.14 In addition, some natural
• Increased expenses; disasters can be predicted in advance, albeit
• Need to reduce or eliminate some with short notice. In contrast, a pandemic
services; will likely emerge unannounced and it
• Potential for harm to brand/reputation; will not be possible to predict when an
and outbreak or emergence of a novel virus
• Possible civil unrest in communities. will shift to becoming a global pandemic.
In contrast to a natural disaster, where
It is imperative that businesses that the impact and damage are immediately
deliver critical goods and services, such visible, there will likely be uncertainty
as healthcare, utilities, food, transporta- about the severity of a pandemic when it
tion, financial services and others, plan first arises, with the most severe cases being
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These pandemic planning considerations are in addition to a general business continuity plan strategies.
CREW (WORKFORCE)
• Allow sick workers to stay home until
CONTINUITY recovered
• Create a plan to monitor and respond to • Develop emergency non-punitive
high levels of absenteeism sick leave, leave for quarantine, and
• Cross train staff for back-up roles other leave policies
• Develop contingency operational plans • Be prepared to identify a sick worker
for severe shortages of personnel and send home
• Be prepared to operate if community • Plan to provide hand hygiene supplies
transportation services are disrupted • Become familiar with ‘social
• Support remote operations distancing’ practices and plan to
• Streamline administrative procedures increase physical distancing between
• Ensure telework IT support staff in workplace
• Plan for potential financial impact/loss • Plan for frequent workplace surface
of business cleaning
• Establish alternative supply chains — ask • Engage occupational health staff in
vendors about their pandemic plans planning (if relevant)
• Identify priority services in context of an • Plan to conduct meetings virtually and
infectious disease outbreak cancel all non-essential travel
• Plan for need to increase security • Develop alternate work sites/policies
for staff who may be at higher risk
• Create plans for staff working abroad
• Establish an emergency
communications and information plan
CUSTOMERS • Be prepared to provide employee
• Consider alternative ways of delivering assistance
goods/services • Encourage vaccination (when available)
• Create ways to minimise close contact
between employees and customers
• Develop plans to use telephone
messaging and signage to educate
customers COMMUNITY
• Plan to post signage asking sick persons • Reach out to local Public Health &
not enter (unless healthcare facility) Emergency Management to create
• Be ready to respond to customers’ connections, especially if business
fear/anxiety and community disruption produces/delivers critical community
services
• Identify credible sources of local
information
• Collaborate with other businesses as
part of community planning
• Explore access to community resources
for response and recovery
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connectivity needs, server capacity and Plan for the need to increase security in
sufficient IT support will be critical factors the case of local civil unrest
in maintaining business continuity during With the 24-hour news cycle, some infor-
a pandemic.25 mation provided to the public during a
pandemic could be inaccurate or incen-
Supply chain vulnerabilities diary. Providing accurate and timely
As with other threats, planning for supply information to employees and customers
chain vulnerabilities is an important part can help dispel rumours and misin-
of pandemic planning because some goods formation. Civil unrest could occur if
that will be in high demand and/or are there is significant community-level fear
produced off-shore may be unavailable or and anxiety about the pandemic, if the
in very short supply during a pandemic. death rate is rising and hospitals are over-
Multiple news reports of facemask, N-95 whelmed with patients, and/or if there
respirator, and non-medical supply chain are shortages of life-saving medications,
disruptions related to the COVID-19 out- personal protective equipment, or other
break in China have been released.26–29 To valued supplies. Scarce supplies may also
plan for continued disruptions and short- be at risk for loss. Consider how the busi-
falls, businesses can immediately identify ness can protect property and employees
multiple sources for critical goods and and discuss business security plans with
services, establish alternative supply chains, corporate leadership and local officials as
develop plans to procure alternative goods, part of the planning process.
and maintain some reserves of critical
materials and supplies. As with other Protect the workforce ‘crew’
threats, businesses could also be at risk for An influenza or novel coronavirus pan-
continuity disruption if critical suppliers/ demic will not directly affect the physical
vendors do not have a well-developed infrastructure of a business; rather, it
plan. will have an impact on an organisation’s
people.30 It is therefore critical that busi-
Plan for potential financial impact/loss of nesses anticipate the potential impact of a
business long-duration pandemic on the workforce
Financial losses may be another impact and focus on planning efforts to protect
of a severe pandemic for businesses that staff.
experience marked absenteeism, reduc- During the 2009 H1N1 pandemic,
tions in demand for their services, or the US CDC advised that ‘All employers
supply chain interruptions that could should be ready to implement strategies
curtail the production of certain products. to protect their workforce from flu while
Downturns in the economy of China and ensuring continuity of operations’.31 This
other global economic trends and effects advice is currently a key CDC recommen-
on markets can impact international and dation during the COVID-19 outbreak
domestic businesses. As part of pandemic and will be a central part of guidance for
planning, it is important to determine any future pandemic caused by a respira-
the potential impact of a pandemic on tory virus, regardless of its severity level.32
company financials under multiple pos- Businesses that take actions to protect
sible scenarios. Discuss pandemic planning employees’ health during a pandemic will
with insurers to see how/if pandemic decrease the likelihood that disease will
impacts are covered under current business spread at the workplace, increase the likeli-
insurance protection policies. hood that employees would be willing to
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come to work, and allow their facilities to reports of spread of coronavirus disease
stay open. from people who have not had symptoms;
Initial efforts to ‘contain’ an outbreak but this is not thought to be the main way
when it first emerges will include isolation the virus spreads.37 This rapid spread of the
of sick persons and possible quarantine of illness could jeopardise the continuity of
those exposed. After the disease is effi- a business. Scientists propose that spread
ciently spreading in communities, public from COVID-19 from person-to-person
health officials will likely transition to occurs mainly via respiratory droplets pro-
a ‘mitigation’ strategy that includes the duced when an infected person coughs
use of nonpharmaceutical interventions or sneezes, similar to how influenza and
to slow the transmission of disease. These other respiratory pathogens spread.38
interventions include simple but effec- Sick employees may feel they have
tive measures such as covering coughs to come to work for financial or other
and sneezes and regular hand-washing. reasons; however, it is in the best interest of
Other strategies include ‘social distancing’, the business to allow them to stay out of the
which are actions to keep people physi- workplace until they have recovered. As part
cally apart during a pandemic. Specific of pandemic planning, at any time of the
recommendations to isolate sick persons year, businesses can allow staff who have a
and keep sick people and well people febrile respiratory illness to stay home until
physically apart to limit onward transmis- they have recovered. Although information
sion of the disease will be a central public about persons recovering from COVID-19
health recommendation for any severity is still being analyzed, in general, workers
level of pandemic. Other protective meas- who have recovered from a viral respiratory
ures aimed at reducing opportunities for illness may become immune to the disease
exposure (eg closing schools and childcare and may provide workforce stability when
facilities and cancelling mass gatherings) they return to work during a pandemic.39
may also advised.33 While many large businesses offer sick
Key planning actions for protecting leave benefits to some employees, fewer
employees during a pandemic include the small businesses and businesses with hourly
following. workers provide this benefit. A US study
conducted during the 2009 pandemic
Sick workers stay home and away from found that 74 per cent of the more than
the workplace 1,000 businesses surveyed offered paid sick
Currently, in light of the COVID-19 leave for at least some workers.40 Another
outbreak and during a future pandemic,34 survey found that salaried workers were
regardless of the level of severity, CDC and more likely to receive paid leave during
local and state public health authorities will the pandemic versus hourly employees.41
strongly recommend that sick persons stay During the 2009 H1N1 influenza pan-
home (or be isolated in a hospital setting demic, the Society for Human Resource
if needed) and away from the workplace Management (SHRM) issued a guide to
to prevent the spread of infection from assist businesses in altering their human
sick workers to others.35 Although spe- resources policies to include non-punitive
cific information about the transmission of sick leave for staff.42 Although a business
COVID-19 between people is still being may not offer paid sick leave as a routine
determined, it is thought that sick people benefit, businesses can consider drafting
are most contagious when they are having non-punitive ‘emergency sick-leave’ poli-
the most symptoms.36 There have been cies that would only be announced and
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used in a pandemic. Other strategies could of flexible off-site work hours may benefit
include allowing workers to donate sick both the employee and the business.
leave to others, and/or allowing workers Because of the time it takes to develop,
to obtain ‘advances’ on future sick leave. vet and approve alterations in employee
Businesses can reduce the spread of disease leave and alternative worksite policies,
at work by aligning their human resources businesses may want to develop contin-
policies with public health recommen- gency policies in advance of a pandemic
dations and incentivising employees to so they can be implemented rapidly.
‘do the right thing’. Some staff may be Pandemic leave policies should be flexible,
fearful to come to work if they know sick non-punitive and well communicated to
employees can come into the workplace. staff when they are to be implemented.
It is important to educate employees about Business planners should also engage
the signs and symptoms of the illness and labour relations contacts (if applicable) and
the business’s non-punitive sick-leave poli- review collective bargaining agreements
cies during a pandemic. that may affect union workers.
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will warn against non-critical travel during with vendors, suppliers, stakeholders and
a pandemic, so most business travel may other important contacts. Employees will
need to be cancelled or rescheduled.47 need to hear from leadership regarding
For many businesses, teleworking ways the business will protect staff as well
will be a practical way of creating social as plans for keeping the business oper-
distancing and maintaining business opera- ating. Business planners should establish
tions during a pandemic. Reducing the and regularly update telephone, text and
number of workers at the worksite can e-mail rosters for staff, so they can rapidly
reduce disease transmission. Increased use communicate protective measures (such as
of teleconferencing and videoconferencing advice about staying away from the work-
can replace some face-to-face meetings. place if they are ill and information about
Flexible work hours and creating staggered alterations in leave policies), whether the
shifts can reduce the number of workers workplace is open for business, and other
who must be at the worksite at the same critical information during a pandemic.
time. Allowing some business processes Businesses should make efforts to educate
to be performed remotely or by telework their employees about the pandemic,
could be a viable way of managing routine including sharing protective health guid-
functions, such as customer service, billing, ance. During a severe pandemic, anticipate
record keeping and ordering supplies. the possibility of heightened employee
For some businesses, teleworking will be fear and anxiety, as well as rumours and
impractical or infeasible. In this case, it will misinformation circulating on the news or
be essential that no symptomatic employees social media; educate staff and plan com-
enter the workplace and that employees munications accordingly. Federal, state and
know to report to their supervisor if they local public health agencies can be credible
become ill at work so they can go home. sources of information for dissemination
Businesses will also need to be prepared to employees, customers and stakeholders.
to provide resources to ensure a work envi- To reduce concerns, key stakeholders
ronment that promotes personal hygiene. should also be kept informed about plans
For example, plan to provide tissues, no- for keeping the business operating.
touch trash cans, hand soap, hand-sanitiser,
as well as disinfectants and disposable Encourage vaccination (when available)
towels for workers to clean their work A pandemic vaccine will offer the most
surfaces. Increased environmental cleaning durable protection against a pandemic
of frequently-touched surfaces (eg stair virus. Although the production of a well-
banisters, door handles, elevator buttons, matched pandemic vaccine will begin
shared work spaces) will be important to immediately after a pandemic virus is recog-
minimise the risk of disease transmission. nised, a large supply of vaccine may not be
available for many months after a pandemic
Establish an emergency communications starts. CDC has released planning guidance
plan that, based on pandemic severity, outlines
Clear and accurate communications which populations should be targeted for
will be an essential part of a pandemic the first doses of pandemic influenza vac-
response plan. Communicating with the cine.48 For any level of pandemic influenza
entire workforce whether they are at the severity, pregnant women, young children,
worksite or another location, will be a public health and front-line healthcare
critical capability. This plan should also providers, emergency services personnel,
identify mechanisms to communicate deployed and mission-essential personnel,
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(33) Qualls, N., Levitt, A., Kanade, N., (42) Society for Human Resources (2009)
Wright-Jegede, N., Dopson, S., ‘Doing business during an influenza
Biggerstaff, M., Reed, C. and Uzicanin, pandemic: A toolkit for organizations
A. (2017) ‘Community mitigation of all sizes’, available at: https://
guidelines to prevent pandemic www.shrm.org/about-shrm/press-
influenza — United States’, MMWR room/press-releases/Documents/
Recommendations and Reports, Vol. 66, CIDRAPTOOLKIT.pdf (accessed 17th
No. RR-1, pp. 1–34. February, 2020).
(34) Ibid., note 32. (43) Centers for Disease Control and
(35) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2020) ‘Travelers from
Prevention (2020) ‘Prevent the spread of Countries with Widespread Sustained
COVID-19 if you are sick’, available at: (Ongoing) Transmission Arriving in
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019- the United States’, available at https://
ncov/about/steps-when-sick.html www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/
(accessed 9th March, 2020). travelers/after-travel-precautions.html
(36) Centers for Disease Control and (accessed 9th March, 2020).
Prevention (February 2020), ‘How (44) Qualls et al., ref. 31 above.
COVID-19 Spreads’, available at (45) Centers for Disease Control and
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019- Prevention, ref. 43 above.
ncov/about/transmission.html (accessed (46) Centers for Disease Control and
2nd March, 2020). Prevention, ref. 43 above.
(37) Centers for Disease Control and (47) Qualls et al., ref. 31 above.
Prevention, ref. 36 above. (48) Centers for Disease Control and
(38) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (n.d.) ‘Interim updated
Prevention, ref. 36 above. planning guidance on allocating and
(39) Centers for Disease Control and targeting pandemic influenza vaccine
Prevention, ref. 33 above. during an influenza pandemic’,
(40) SteelFisher, G. and Blendon, R. available at: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/
(2010) ‘Business preparedness for novel pandemic-resources/national-strategy/
influenza A (H1N1) results from a planning-guidance/index.html (accessed
poll of businesses across the United 17th February, 2020).
States’, Harvard Opinion Research (49) Ibid.
Program, Harvard School of Public (50) US Chamber of Commerce (2016) ‘A
Health, Harvard Kennedy School of Unified Front: Business Partnerships
Government, available at: https://cdn1. for Effective Disaster Preparedness,
sph.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/ Response, and Recovery’, available at:
sites/94/2012/09/report_-_business_ https://www.uschamberfoundation.
preparedness_for_h1n1.pdf (accessed org/sites/default/files/A%20Unified%20
17th February, 2020). Front_Final.pdf (accessed 17th February,
(41) Roos, R. (2009) ‘Biggest pandemic 2020).
worry for business absenteeism’, (51) Federal Emergency Management
available at: http://www.cidrap.umn. Agency (n.d.) ‘Whole Community’,
edu/news-perspective/2009/09/biggest- available at: https://www.fema.gov/
pandemic-worry-business-absenteeism whole-community (accessed 17th
(accessed 17th February, 2020). February, 2020).
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