Averaging Multiple Valuation Methods - Best Practice or Inviting Trouble (Rod Berkert, 2014)

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FINANCIAL VALUATION - Valuation Methods

Averaging Multiple
Valuation Methods:
Best Practice or
Inviting Trouble?
Sometimes it’s still the basics that we methods more reconcilable make aver-
ROD P. BURKERT,
CPA/ABV, CVA

Burkert Valuation Advisors, LLC


wrestle with in our valuation engage- aging multiple methods inappropriate Madison, SD
ments. And whether or not to average or irrelevant? Or, on the other hand, is rod.burkert@burkertvaluation.com
multiple valuation methods–methods it disingenuous to inject various
that we consider sound and which we smoothing and averaging conventions method result? Or vice versa? Or does
reasonably apply to the specific facts throughout the valuation process (see the expected investment/fair/fair mar-
and circumstance–falls into that camp. above), but then draw a line when it ket value lie somewhere between those
For the sake of argument, let’s comes to weighting multiple methods bookends?3
assume we are valuing a smallish- … as if to say, “Whoa, it’s way too sub- Note that if we were helping a
sized operating business. We’ll eschew jective to do something like that”? client buy/sell a business, we would be
the asset approach–for good reasons Let’s make another simplifying likely (even happy) to express our
that we discuss in our report, of course assumption. Assume we are not talk- results as a range of $4-$4.5 million. We
–leaving us with the income and mar- ing about indications of value for the might even be comfortable saying it’s
ket approaches. Still, during the course income approach (CCF or DCF) and probable that the (investment or fair
of our assignment we’ll take several market approach (guideline transac- market) value is neither the low num-
steps that “blend” the informational tions) of $3 million and $5 million. Per- ber nor the high number – that the
value of the data we gather to apply sonally, I believe this is the circum- (investment or fair market) value is
these two approaches. For example: stance that Section 7 of Revenue Ruling probably somewhere in between – no
• We generally employ a simple or 59-60 wants to preclude. And given matter how much confidence we had
weighted averaging convention of such a large disparity, it is likely that in either the income approach or the
normalized earnings for the capital- our analysis has some error we must market approach.
ized cash flow method. correct or some disconnect we must No, the problem arises when we
• We might average models that use resolve. need to come up with a single number
Morningstar (historical and supply- But what if the valuation results estimate of (fair or fair market) value
side) and Duff & Phelps (condition- were closer – say $4 million and $4.5 for litigation or estate/gift purposes. In
al and unconditional) equity risk million? Appraisers might argue over that case, the no-averagers are going to
premium data when we develop a the subjectivity of weighting the pick $4 million (even though the infor-
discount rate for the CCF or DCF results: 50/50, 60/40, 80/20.2 But isn’t it mational value of the other method
methods.1 true that if we choose just one method, indicates it is likely somewhere north
• We look at measures of central ten- our weights are 100/0? Is that any more of that figure) or $4.5 million (even
dency (median, mean, harmonic defensible? Shouldn’t the information- though the informational value of the
mean) when we estimate multiples al value of a reasonably developed Continued on next page
using the guideline transaction and alternative method be given some
guideline public company methods.
• We consider more than one method
to estimate a discount for lack of
weight?
If we are going to choose one
method, the next step usually involves
expert TIP
marketability so we can triangulate playing the corroboration or sanity- Is it disingenuous to inject various
in on that reduction in value. check card. We say that we considered smoothing and averaging conven-
other methods, but believe method X is
tions throughout the valuation
These steps are designed, hopefully, to more reliable and method Y provides
drive our income and market approach corroboration or a sanity check. But process, but then draw a line when
results closer together. So on one hand, does a more reliable $4 million method it comes to weighting multiple
does the process of making valuation result corroborate a $4.5 million methods?

FVLE Issue 51 October/November 2014 Page 8


BURKERT, continued
other method indicates it is likely ASA Re-Launches
somewhere south of that amount).
When it comes to averaging mul- Business Valuation Challenge Exam
tiple valuation methods, we can all
point to the relevant excerpt from IRS The American Society of Appraisers (ASA) announces the re-launch of the
Revenue Ruling 59-60: Business Valuation Challenge Exam (Challenge Exam) for accreditation.
Sec. 7. Average of Factors.
Because valuations cannot be One of the requirements for advancement to Accredited Member (AM)
made on the basis of a prescribed and Accredited Senior Appraiser (ASA) is completion of four 27-hour
formula, there is no means where- Principles of Valuation (POV) courses, including a three-hour exam at the
by the various applicable factors in conclusion of each.
a particular case can be assigned
mathematical weights in deriving
the fair market value. For this rea-
The Business Valuation Committee and the Board of Examiners of ASA
son, no useful purpose is served by recognize that there are many experienced business valuation profession-
taking an average of several factors als that already have mastered the competencies taught in the POV
(for example, book value, capital- courses.
ized earnings and capitalized divi-
dends) and basing the valuation on
The Challenge Exam is geared toward those professionals who have
the result. Such a process excludes
active consideration of other perti- more than 10,000 hours (5 years) of business valuation engagement
nent factors, and the end result experience and who stay abreast of the ever-changing landscape of the
cannot be supported by a realistic profession and is intended to test a wealth of knowledge based on the
application of the significant facts topics covered in the POV courses.
in the case except by mere chance.

Many appraisers have taken this to


The POV courses are:
mean don’t average multiple methods. • BV201: Introduction to Business Valuation & the Market Approach
Ever. But if/when we average multiple, • BV202: The Income Approach
reasonably close methods – either • BV203: The Asset Approach, Reconciliation of Values, Valuation
explicitly with numeric weights or Discounts and Premiums, Report Writing
implicitly with informed judgment –
• BV204: Advanced Topics-Pass Through Entities, Intangible Assets,
aren’t we, in fact, actively considering
other pertinent factors so that the end Complex Capital Structures, Debt and Preferred Stock.
result can be supported by a realistic appli-
cation of the significant facts in the case? With 260 total questions, the exam is administered in two 4-hour mod-
Something we wouldn’t be doing – ules to be taken on the same day. The Challenge Exam is for those who
something we would be missing – if truly have already mastered the competencies taught in the POV courses
we didn’t average? For more informa-
tion on weighting values, see FVLE
and that would satisfy all other requirements for advancement to AM or
Issue 20, Aug./Sept. 2009, “Common ASA but who have not yet completed the coursework.
Sense Issues in Weighting Values.” c
1
Consider that the equity risk premium, itself, is an aver- To register or to learn more about the Challenge Exam, visit
age of 88 years of historical data from Morningstar and
51 years of the same from Duff & Phelps.
http://www.appraisers.org/Product-Catalog/Product?ID=7599 or
2
In my experience, explicit and implicit weighting gener- contact Joyce Johnson at (703) 733-2123 or jjohnson@appraisers.org.
ally focuses on factors like the veracity of the financial
statements, the number and size of normalizing adjust-
ments, management’s ex post track record of producing
accurate projections, the number of guideline transac-
tions and transactions found, the recency of those
guideline transactions, the comparability of those public
guideline companies, etc.
3
I know that many appraisers believe the income
approach is generally more reliable than the market
approach. While the point of this article is not to debate
the reliability of different methods, it does play out when
weighting methods are discussed. See the footnote
above.
FVLE Issue 51 October/November 2014 Page 9

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