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10 1111@acfi 12656 PDF
10 1111@acfi 12656 PDF
Abstract
doi: 10.1111/acfi.12656
1. Introduction
This study examines the effect of one such factor, the liquidity of firm stocks,
under two conditions: financial constraints and information asymmetry. Extant
studies (Levine and Zervos, 1998; Beck and Levine, 2003; Caporale et al., 2004)
show that stock liquidity is positively associated with current and future rates
of capital accumulation, productivity and economic growth. Demirgüç-Kunt
and Levine (1996) suggest that stock liquidity increases incentives for investors
to acquire more information about firms. They state:
To the extent that larger, more liquid stock markets increase incentives to research
firms, the improved information will improve resource allocation and accelerate
economic growth’ (Demirgüç-Kunt and Levine, 1996, p. 230).
Investors are more willing to participate in capital raising of a firm that has high
liquid stock. In this context, it is easier for managers to obtain equity funding to
finance investments (Demirgüç-Kunt and Levine, 1996). Hence, due to lower
trading costs, higher stock liquidity can attract investors to become large
shareholders who are then incentivised to promote corporate governance via voice
threats through direct intervention (Maug, 1998) or exit threats through indirect
intervention by selling their shares (Admati and Pfleiderer, 2009; Edmans, 2009).
Both types of interventions can encourage managers to invest efficiently.
Another mechanism through which stock liquidity can promote efficient
investments is through improving firm transparency and making stock prices
more informative (Holmström and Tirole, 1993; Subrahmanyam and Titman,
2001; Easley and O’Hara, 2004; Khanna and Sonti, 2004). Transparency and
informative stock prices are likely to increase market scrutiny on firm
performance (Wurgler, 2000; Durnev et al., 2003), which can help improve
the quality and velocity of market feedback on managers’ investment decisions
(Subrahmanyam and Titman, 2001; Durnev et al., 2004). As such, higher stock
liquidity should reduce adverse selection and moral hazard problems, and thus
increase investment efficiency.
While we expect that higher stock liquidity improves investment efficiency,
we also expect this effect to be more pronounced for firms with more financial
constraints and information asymmetry problems. Our study examines how
stock liquidity affects these firms’ investment behaviours. We use young firms
to proxy for higher financial constraints and high business risk firms to proxy
for more information asymmetry problems.1 This is worthy of investigation for
the following reasons.
First, to the best of our knowledge, no study investigates the beneficial effect
of stock liquidity for young and high business risk firms. This is important
1
While the KZ index is a common measure for financial constraints, we use firm age to
proxy for financial constraints because Hadlock and Pierce (2010, p. 1909) caution
researchers ‘on the validity of the KZ index as a measure of financial constraints’. They
find that ‘firm size and age are particularly useful predictors of financial constraint
levels’. Therefore, we use firm age to measure financial constraints and we control for
firm size in our empirical models.
because these firms play a strategic role in creating jobs and stimulating growth
and innovation (OECD, 2015)2. Also, Fazzari et al. (1988) show that financial
constraints in capital markets influence investments. They document that
investment–cash flow sensitivity increases in financing constraints measured as
firm age. Mature firms are unconstrained because they have enough cash
reserves or less information asymmetry problems (see Lang and Lundholm,
1993) due to their established reputation. Thus, mature firms appear to face
fewer obstacles in sourcing funds for their investments.
Second, younger firms generally have higher growth rate (Schreyer, 2000;
Arellano et al., 2012), but they also face higher rates of failure (Haltiwanger et
al., 2013; Collier et al., 2016). Such firms typically take much higher business
risk and have earnings uncertainty (Zhang, 2006; Fang et al., 2009). High
business risk firms also tend to exhibit greater opacity in their information
environment (Zhang, 2006; Fang et al., 2009). Hence, the presence of financial
constraints and information asymmetry is more pervasive for younger and
higher business risk firms, respectively. As such, we expect that stock liquidity
will play a more beneficial role in promoting investment efficiency of these firms
through facilitating financing, information transparency and market feedback
to managers.
We examine the relation between stock liquidity and investment efficiency
using a large sample of US listed firms from 1992 to 2014. We commence by
showing that higher stock liquidity is associated with lower investment
inefficiency in the form of lower under (over)-investment. Further, we examine
the effect of stock liquidity on investment efficiency for firms with more
financial constraints and information asymmetry problems, in particular, for
young firms and high business risk firms.
We find that the relationship between stock liquidity and investment
efficiency is more pronounced for younger and higher business risk firms,
consistent with the beneficial effects of higher stock liquidity being more
prominent in situations where a firm is more financially constrained or its
information environment is more opaque. These results are consistent with the
view that higher stock liquidity has a beneficial effect to increase the
information content of stock prices, which improves market feedback and
transparency so as to influence managers of younger and higher business risk
firms to make value-creation decisions (Wurgler, 2000; Subrahmanyam and
Titman, 2001; Durnev et al., 2003) such as efficient investment decisions.
We confirm our main findings using two-stage least-squares regression and
our findings are robust to a series of alternative measures of stock liquidity and
investment efficiency. In additional tests, we show that the relation between
stock liquidity and investment efficiency is more pronounced for firms with
2
https://www.oecd.org/sti/young-SME-growth-and-job-creation.pdf.
Prior research suggests that investment inefficiency could arise from the
separation of ownership and control, which creates information asymmetry
problems between managers and shareholders (Jensen and Meckling, 1976;
Fama and Jensen, 1983). Managers have the incentives to distort investment
(e.g., Shleifer and Vishny, 1997) in order to maximise their utility (Williamson,
1985; Grossman and Hart, 1986) through perquisite consumption and empire
building (Jensen, 1986; Avery et al., 1998), career concerns (Fama, 1980;
Narayanan, 1985; Bebchuk and Stole, 1993; Holmström, 1999) and preference
for a quiet life (Bertrand and Mullainathan, 2003). In addition, managers may
be overconfident in taking on risky projects (Roll, 1986; Heaton, 2002;
3
We thank the anonymous reviewer for the suggestions.
Extant studies show that younger firms are more susceptible to financing
constraints due to asymmetric information problems (Rauh, 2006; Brown et al.,
2009; Fee et al., 2009; Hadlock and Pierce, 2010) and moral hazards (Sanders
and Boivie, 2004; Park and Patel, 2015) because they lack performance history
in the capital market. Their limited record of accomplishment makes it more
difficult for outside investors to assess their quality and potential. Extant
studies also show that younger firms use more external funds to finance capital
expenditures because those firms have not had time to accumulate their
retained earnings (Rajan and Zingales, 1998; Pang and Wu, 2009; Brown et al.,
2012).
However, younger firms usually have trouble in raising equity funding and/or
obtaining external financing due to the higher uncertainty about future
prospects and value of these firms (Stiglitz and Weiss, 1981). Hence, they are
exposed to higher funding costs and/or external financing costs due to the
lemon’s premium. For such firms, financing constraints can cause their
investments to deviate from the optimal level.
Higher stock liquidity is likely to be more beneficial to younger firms through
increasing transparency and market feedback to managers, which should relax
financing constraints in younger firms (Subrahmanyam and Titman, 2001). On
the other hand, we expect that the effect of stock liquidity on investment
efficiency is weaker for more mature firms, since these firms benefit from a
richer information environment due to their longer operational history. These
firms can finance their investments using internally generated funds or through
raising equity funds, because outside investors are able to value these firms’
potential more accurately. We therefore predict that the effect of higher stock
liquidity on investment efficiency is more pronounced for firms with more
financial constraints as proxied by younger firms. This leads to the development
of hypotheses 1a and 1b:
Firms with higher business risk are likely to experience uncertainty in their
future cash flows. Such firms tend to exhibit greater opacity in their
information environment (Zhang, 2006; Fang et al., 2009), which incentivises
Panel A of Table 1 outlines our sample selection process. We obtain data for
firms listed on the NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ from Compustat between
1992 and 2014 (inclusive) for constructing investment levels and control
variables. Next, we exclude financial firms (SIC codes 6000–6999) due to their
unique nature of investments and financing.4 Finally, we require data for
constructing our test and control variables from four sources: (1) stock liquidity
and firm age data from CRSP; (2) analyst data from IBES; (3) institutional
investor data from Thomson Reuters 13F; and (4) investor protection rights
data from Andrew Metrick’s website.5 This further reduces our sample,
resulting in a final sample of 51,576 firm-year observations.
Panel B of Table 1 reports the industry distribution of our final sample based
on the Fama and French (1997) 48-industry classification. The business services
industry represents the largest industry, constituting about 13.58 percent of the
whole sample. The next highest represented industries are the electronic
equipment, pharmaceutical products, and retail industries, which each
represent between 6 and 8 percent of the sample. Panel C of Table 1 shows
that all years are generally evenly distributed in our sample, contributing
between 1,855 and 2,559 observations.
4
The composition and nature of investments significantly differ in financial firms relative
to non-financial firms. Financial firms usually do not invest heavily in capital and R&D
in view of the nature of their business. Further, high leverage is common in financial
firms but denotes financial distress for non-financial firms.
5
http://faculty.som.yale.edu/andrewmetrick/data.html
Table 1
Sample selection and distribution
(continued)
Table 1 (continued)
This table presents sample selection procedure (Panel A), industry distribution of sample
firms (Panel B) and year distribution of sample firms (Panel C).
6
These liquidity proxies are calculated from daily data and are highly correlated with
intraday-based liquidity benchmarks (Goyenko et al., 2009; Fong et al., 2017). The
measures of stock liquidity derived from high-frequency data include percent effective
spread, percent quoted spread, percent realised spread, and percent price impact.
7
Consistent with Biddle et al. (2009) and for the brevity of our tables, we only include the
interaction term of main control variables with OverFirm. Nevertheless, we re-estimate
the regressions in Tables 3, 5 and 7 after including the interaction term of all control
variables with OverFirm and find qualitatively and quantitatively consistent results.
8
We multiply the Gompers et al. (2003) score by −1, so that the G_Score variable is
increasing in corporate governance. Following Biddle et al. (2009), we include an
indicator variable, G_Dummy, coded as 1 if G_Score is missing and zero otherwise.
investment levels (Verdi, 2006; Biddle et al., 2009). These controls include firm
size (LogAsset), cash flow volatility (σ(CFO)), sales volatility (σ(Sales)), log
operating cycle (OCycle), losses (Loss), investment volatility (σ(INV)), and
tangibility of firm assets (Tangibility). We provide the definition and measure-
ment of all variables in the Appendix. To minimise the effect of outliers, we
winsorise all continuous control variables at the top and bottom 1 percentile.
In order to examine whether the effect of stock liquidity on investment
efficiency is more pronounced for firms with more financial constraints and
information asymmetry problems, we split our main sample into quintiles
based on firm age (Firm_Age) and operating income volatility (IncVol),
respectively.
Hypotheses 1a and 1b predict that the effect of higher stock liquidity on
lowering under (over)-investment is more pronounced for young firms relative
to mature firms. We split our main sample into quintiles based on firm age
(Firm_Age) and classify young (mature) firms as those in the bottom (top)
quintile of Firm_Age.
Firm_Age is defined as the number of years since the firm first appears in
CRSP. We then estimate Equation (1) separately within the bottom and top
quintiles of Firm_Age. We estimate the regression models for young and
mature firms separately rather than using three-way interactions to allow the
parameter estimates on the control variables to also vary across the two sub-
samples of firms and to simplify the interpretation of the empirical results.
However, we also perform the robustness checks using three-way interactions
to confirm the results of sub-samples.
Furthermore, hypotheses 2a and 2b expect that the effect of higher stock
liquidity on lowering under (over)-investment is more pronounced for high
business risk firms relative to low business risk firms. We undertake a similar
approach as discussed above. In this context, we measure higher or lower level
of business risk using operating income volatility (IncVol). Specifically, we
define IncVol as the standard deviation of annual income before extraordinary
items divided by total assets for the 5-year window from t–4 to t (Bates, 2005;
Fang et al., 2009). We then split the sample firms into quintiles based on the
values of IncVol with the top (bottom) quintile representing firms with high
(low) business risk. To test H2a and H2b, we execute our analysis using
Equation (1) for the sub-samples of high and low business risk firms separately.
For the robustness checks, we use three-way interactions to confirm the results
of sub-samples.
4. Empirical results
Table 2 presents the descriptive statistics for the variables employed in our
main analysis. On average, firms in our sample invest 15.32 percent of their
lagged total assets (median = 10.13 percent), which is similar to the investment
levels reported in prior studies (e.g., Biddle et al., 2009). The descriptive
statistics of stock liquidity imply that the average (median) cost of trading is
around 0.75 (0.35) percent of stock price and the daily closing bid-ask spread is
1.85 (0.98) percent greater than the quote midpoint. The mean (median)
OverFirm is 0.545 (0.556). The summary statistics of governance and other
control variables are similar to those reported in other studies (e.g., Biddle et
al., 2009; Cheng et al., 2013), which suggests that our sample is comparable to
those employed in prior studies.
Table 2
Descriptive statistics
(continued)
Table 2 (continued)
This table presents descriptive statistics for the variables used in the analyses. Investment
(INV) is a measure of one-year-ahead total investment scaled by lagged total assets. The main
test variables include LIQFHT, LIQBAS and LIQindex. LIQFHT, formulated by Fong et al.
(2017), implies the cost of trading as a percentage of stock price. LIQBAS is a measure of the
closing percent quoted spread developed by Chung and Zhang (2014). Both LIQFHT and
LIQBAS are multiplied by minus 100 so that higher values indicate greater stock liquidity.
LIQindex is a continuous variable computed as the standardised average of LIQFHT and
LIQBAS. OverFirm is a ranked variable based on the average of a ranked (deciles) measure of
cash (scaled by total assets) and leverage (multiplied by minus one). LogAsset is the log of
total assets. MB is the ratio of the market value to the book value of total assets. σ(Sales),
σ(CFO) and σ(INV) is the standard deviation of sales, CFO and investment, respectively.
Z_Score is a measure of distress computed following the methodology in Altman (1968).
Tangibility is the ratio of PPE to total assets. Ind_Kstruc is the mean market leverage for firms
in the same SIC 3-digit industry. Market leverage is computed as the ratio of long-term debt
to the sum of long-term debt to the market value of equity. CFOsale is the ratio of CFO to
sales. DIV is an indicator variable that takes the value of one if the firm paid a dividend, and
zero otherwise. Firm_Age is the difference between the first year when the firm appears in
CRSP and the current year. OCycle is a measure of the log of operating cycle of the firm. Loss
is an indicator variable that takes the value of one if net income before extraordinary item is
negative, and zero otherwise. AQ is accruals quality, followingthe model of Francis et al.
(2005), defined as the standard deviation of the firm-level residuals during the years t−5 to
t−1 and multiplied by minus one. IO is the percentage of firm shares held by institutional
investors. Analyst is the number of analysts following the firm. G_Score is the measure of
investor protection rights created by Gompers et al. (2003), multiplied by minus one.
G_Dummy is an indicator variable that takes the value of one if G_Score is missing, and zero
otherwise.
Table 3
Conditional relation between investment and stock liquidity (2-way clustering)
(continued)
Table 3 (continued)
This table presents the results of regression estimates for models that examine the relation
between stock liquidity and investment levels. LIQFHT, formulated by Fong et al. (2017),
implies the cost of trading as a percentage of stock price. LIQBAS is a measure of the closing
percent quoted spread developed by Chung and Zhang (2014). Both LIQFHT and LIQBAS
are multiplied by minus 100 so that higher values indicate greater stock liquidity. LIQindex is
a continuous variable computed as the standardised average of LIQFHT and LIQBAS. The
first row reports the coefficient estimate and the second row reports the two-way clustered t-
statistic based on standard error clustered by firm and year (in parentheses). Industry fixed
effects based on Fama and French’s classification scheme are included in all regressions but
the coefficients are not reported. The Gujarati (2003) ΔR2 F-statistics test the null hypothesis
that the inclusion of LIQ and LIQ × OverFirm as explanatory variables do not affect the
ðR2new R2old Þ=n
explanatory power of the regression analyses. The F-statistic is given by ð1R , where
new Þ=df
2
R2new (R2old) is the R2 value of the regression model with the inclusion (exclusion) of LIQ and
LIQ × OverFirm, n equals the number of new regressors being considered (i.e., n = two; the
new regressors include LIQ and LIQ × OverFirm), and df is the number of observations
minus the number of parameters in the regression model that includes LIQ and LIQ ×
OverFirm (Gujarati, 2003, pp. 260–264). ***, **, * denote statistical significance at the 1%,
5% and 10% levels, respectively, based on one-tailed tests if the coefficient has a predicted
sign, and two-tailed tests otherwise. See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
The control variables across the three specifications are generally significant
(p < 0.05 or better) and the signs on the coefficients along with the adjusted R2
values are similar to those reported in prior studies (e.g., Biddle et al., 2009).
The Gujarati (2003) F-statistics ranging between 23.74 and 71.34 across the
Table 4
Descriptive statistics and univariate tests for young and mature firms
Young firms (top quintile) (1) Mature firms (bottom quintile) (2)
N = 10,274 N = 10,274
t-test
Variable Mean Median SD Mean Median SD t
This table presents the descriptive statistics of variables used in regression analyses for sub-
samples of young (firms in the top quintile of Firm_Age) and mature firms (bottom quintile of
Firm_Age). Young firms are characterised as financially constrained whereas mature firms are
likely to be non-financially constrained. Univariate analysis results for comparing the means
of variables of these two sub-samples are reported. ***, **, * denote statistical significance at
the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
9
We re-estimate the three regressions without our test variables and find that the decline
in R2 after excluding the test variables is significant at the one percent level. The F-
statistic is computed using ðR2NEW R2OLD Þ=n=ð1 R2NEW Þ=df, where R2NEW (R2OLD) is the
R2 value of the regression model with (without) the test variable, n refers to the number
of new predictors being considered, and df refers to the difference between the number of
observations and the number of parameters in the regression model that includes the test
variables (Gujarati, 2003).
Table 5
Conditional relation between investment and stock liquidity: young and mature firms
Test variables
LIQ (1) H1a: Under-invest + 3.547*** −0.084
(4.578) (−0.123)
LIQ × OverFirm (2) − −4.820*** −1.204
(−4.341) (−0.987)
(1)+(2) H1b: Over-invest − −1.274** −1.288
(−1.947) (−1.205)
Control variables
IO + −0.284 4.054**
(−0.127) (2.106)
IO × OverFirm − 5.497* 1.100
(1.553) (0.297)
Analyst + 0.285*** −0.007
(2.393) (−0.132)
Analyst × OverFirm − −0.176 0.254**
(−0.874) (2.193)
G_Score − −0.159 −0.262***
(−0.459) (−2.751)
G_Score × OverFirm + 0.144 0.129
(0.421) (1.046)
G_Dummy 1.911 2.101**
(0.694) (2.170)
AQ + 5.687 −0.662
(0.317) (−0.051)
AQ × OverFirm − −4.681 −3.285
(−0.196) (−0.138)
OverFirm −0.692 0.374
(−0.219) (0.154)
LogAsset − −2.448*** −0.471***
(−7.869) (−2.778)
MB + 2.235*** 2.112***
(8.842) (5.420)
σ(Sales) −4.625*** 0.409
(−4.633) (0.237)
σ(CFO) −0.876 11.263
(−0.352) (1.421)
σ(INV) 0.020 0.418***
(1.356) (5.497)
Z_Score − −1.405*** 0.259
(−2.975) (0.672)
Tangibility + 7.968*** 9.014***
(4.792) (6.313)
Ind_Kstruct −11.603*** −7.810***
(−3.180) (−4.233)
(continued)
Table 5 (continued)
Columns (1) and (2) present the regression analysis results for young firms (firms in the top
quintile) and mature firms (bottom quintile). Firm_Age is measured as the number of years
since the firm first appears in Compustat with a stock price. The first row reports the
coefficient estimate and the second row reports the two-way clustered t-statistic based on
standard errors clustered by firm and year (in parentheses). Industry fixed effects based on
Fama and French’s classification scheme are included in all regressions, but the coefficients
are not reported. ***, **, * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels,
respectively, based on one-tailed tests if the coefficient has a predicted sign, and two-tailed
tests otherwise. See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
To test H1a and H1b on how the effect of stock liquidity on investment
efficiency is influenced by firm age, we execute our main analyses for young
firms and mature firms separately.
Table 4 presents the descriptive statistics and the differences between mean
values of stock liquidity proxy and other variables across young and mature
firms. The t-test results reveal statistical differences (p < 0.01) between the
mean values of stock liquidity proxy, firm growth (MB) and other firm
characteristics across the two groups.10 Overall, the mean (median) of firm age
is 4 years (4 years) for young firms and 47 years (41 years) for mature firms.
Specifically, younger firms exhibit lower stock liquidity (LIQindex), higher
growth (MB) and invest more (INV) than mature firms. These firms also have a
higher likelihood of over-investing (OverFirm).
10
We repeat the two-sample test using the non-parametric Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test
for medians and find that the results are consistent with the t-test results.
Table 6
Descriptive statistics and univariate tests for high and low business risk firms
High business risk firms (top Low business risk firms (bottom
quintile) (1) quintile) (2)
N = 10,198 N = 10,198
t-test
Variable Mean Median SD Mean Median SD t
This table presents the descriptive statistics of variables used in regression analyses for sub-
samples of high business risk firms (top quintile of income volatility (IncVol)) and for low
business risk firms (bottom quintile of income volatility (IncVol)). IncVol is defined as the
standard deviation of quarterly operating income before depreciation divided by quarterly
book value of assets. It is measured over 20 quarters prior to the end of fiscal year t with a
minimum of eight quarterly observations. Unvariate analysis results for comparing the means
of variables of these two sub-samples are reported. ***, **, * denote statistical significance at
the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
The results reported in column (1) of Table 5 indicate that the coefficient on
LIQindex is positive and statistically significant (p < 0.01) and the sum of the
coefficients on LIQindex and LIQindex × OverFirm (the joint test) is negative
and statistically significant (p < 0.05) for young firms. In contrast, the results
reported in column (2) of Table 5 indicate that these coefficients are statistically
insignificant for mature firms.
Additionally, we conduct tests to confirm that the main effect and joint effect of
stock liquidity on investment efficiency are significantly different from the two
regressions. We re-estimate Equation (1) by adding a dummy variable (Mature-
Firm) and its interactions with our test variable. That is, we estimate a three-way
interaction model where MatureFirm is coded 1 for mature firms and 0 for young
firms. Our untabulated results show a negative [positive] coefficient (−2.163)
[4.837] on the interaction between LIQindex and MatureFirm [LIQindex,
OverFirm and MatureFirm] that is statistically significant at the five [one] percent
level (t-stat = −2.040) [t-stat = 2.926]. These results suggest that the coefficients
for our test variables in column (1) are significantly different from those in column
(2) of Table 5. The results collectively support H1a and H1b that the effect of
stock liquidity on investment efficiency is more pronounced for young firms.
To test H2a and H2b on how the effect of stock liquidity on investment
efficiency is influenced by the level of business risk, we execute our main
analyses for high business risk firms and low business risk firms separately.
Table 6 presents the descriptive statistics and the differences between mean
values of stock liquidity and other variables across high and low business risk
firms. The t-test results reveal statistical differences (p < 0.01) between the
mean values of stock liquidity, firm growth and other firm characteristics across
the two groups.11 Overall, the mean (median) of IncVol is 0.344 (0.209) for high
business risk firms and 0.009 (0.010) for low business risk firms. Specifically,
higher business risk firms exhibit lower stock liquidity (LIQindex), higher
growth (MB) and invest more (INV) than lower business risk firms. These firms
tend to be younger (Firm_Age) and over-invest (OverFirm).
Column (1) of Table 7 presents the results from estimating Equation (1)
within the high business risk sub-sample. The results indicate that the
coefficient on LIQindex is positive and statistically significant (p < 0.01) while
the sum of coefficients on LIQindex and LIQindex × OverFirm (the joint test) is
negative and statistically significant (p < 0.05). In contrast, these coefficients
are insignificant, when we replicate this analysis using the sub-sample of low
business risk firms (reported in column (2) of Table 7).
Moreover, we conduct tests to confirm that the main effect and joint effect of
stock liquidity on investment efficiency are significantly different for high and
low business risk firms. We re-estimate Equation (1) by adding a dummy
variable (HighBusRisk) and its interactions with our test variable. That is, we
estimate a three-way interaction model where HighBusRisk is coded 1 for high
business risk firms and 0 for low business risk firms. Our untabulated results
11
We repeat the two-sample test using the non-parametric Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test
for medians and find that the results are consistent with the t-test results.
Table 7
Conditional relation between investment and stock liquidity: high and low business risk firms
Test variables
LIQ (1) H2a: Under-invest + 2.441*** −0.264
(3.430) (−0.407)
LIQ × OverFirm (2) − −3.591*** −0.177
(−3.395) (−0.155)
(1)+(2) H2b: Over-invest − −1.150** −0.442
(−1.660) (−0.538)
Control variables
IO + 6.221** 4.620***
(1.993) (2.963)
IO × OverFirm − −1.560 −2.785
(−0.352) (−0.788)
Analyst + 0.299** 0.089*
(1.646) (1.554)
Analyst × OverFirm − 0.001 0.073
(0.002) (0.581)
G_Score − 0.064 −0.032
(0.164) (−0.305)
G_Score × OverFirm + −0.113 −0.234
(−0.282) (−1.208)
G_Dummy 2.006 0.873
(0.710) (0.903)
AQ + 8.710 −5.726
(0.747) (−0.309)
AQ × OverFirm − −20.024 39.184
(−1.272) (1.275)
OverFirm 3.501 2.232
(1.283) (0.850)
LogAsset − −2.551*** −0.845***
(−7.010) (−4.434)
MB + 2.309*** 1.786***
(8.238) (6.181)
σ(Sales) −3.075** 4.767***
(−2.327) (2.767)
σ(CFO) −1.262 5.687
(−0.375) (0.672)
σ(INV) 0.027 0.137*
(1.479) (1.926)
Z_Score − −1.744*** −0.305
(−3.994) (−0.987)
Tangibility + 8.779*** 9.227***
(4.304) (6.953)
Ind_Kstruct −12.133*** −8.158***
(−2.889) (−3.764)
(continued)
Table 7 (continued)
Columns (1) and (2) present the regression analysis results for high business risk firms (firms
in the top quintile of income volatility) and low business risk firms (bottom quintile). Income
volatility (IncVol) is defined as the standard deviation of quarterly operating income before
depreciation divided by quarterly book value of assets. It is measured over 20 quarters prior
to the end of fiscal year t with a minimum of eight quarterly observations. The first row
reports the coefficient estimate and the second row reports the two-way clustered t-statistic
based on standard error clustered by firm and year (in parentheses). Industry fixed effects
based on Fama and French’s classification scheme are included in all regressions, but the
coefficients are not reported. ***, **, * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10%
levels, respectively, based on one-tailed tests if the coefficient has a predicted sign, and two-
tailed tests otherwise. See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
Table 8
Endogeneity and reverse causality: two-stage least-squares (2SLS) regression for young and mature
firms
TwoLIQ 0.474***
(7.977)
PrLIQ (1) 2.268* −1.830 3.638*** −1.862
Under-invest (1.965) (−1.264) (3.363) (−1.387)
PrLIQ × −4.493*** −0.688 −7.488*** 0.211
OverFirm (2) (−3.316) (−0.345) (−4.498) (0.101)
(1)+(2) Over-invest −2.226** −2.518 −3.850*** −1.651
(−2.778) (−1.593) (−3.199) (−1.414)
Control variables
IO 0.775*** 1.983 5.607** −0.085 7.002***
(10.066) (0.979) (2.344) (−0.026) (3.688)
IO × OverFirm 3.570 −0.971 8.132* −2.464
(1.300) (−0.219) (1.784) (−0.599)
Analyst −0.015*** 0.246** −0.062 0.377* 0.039
(−8.846) (2.602) (−1.144) (2.067) (0.764)
Analyst × OverFirm −0.166 0.310** −0.120 0.147
(−0.945) (2.361) (−0.468) (1.165)
G_Score 0.006* 0.456* −0.273*** 0.030 −0.059
(1.903) (1.845) (−3.358) (0.076) (−0.927)
G_Score × OverFirm 0.174 0.083 −0.053 −0.122
(0.628) (1.130) (−0.200) (−0.859)
G_Dummy −0.043 −3.557* 2.499** 1.306 0.763*
(−1.023) (−1.739) (2.618) (0.423) (1.738)
AQ 0.732*** 9.996 1.051 12.045 −22.469
(4.393) (0.877) (0.089) (1.122) (−1.095)
AQ × OverFirm −14.298 −12.760 −31.634** 50.992*
(−0.958) (−0.477) (−2.344) (1.766)
OverFirm 0.401*** 1.709 1.860 −1.063 3.781
(6.897) (0.920) (0.659) (−0.392) (1.446)
LogAsset 0.164*** −1.560*** −0.114 −1.756*** −0.522**
(6.565) (−6.803) (−0.420) (−4.797) (−2.540)
MB 0.060*** 1.882*** 2.610*** 2.397*** 1.801***
(7.624) (7.976) (5.422) (8.042) (5.415)
σ(Sales) −0.013 −4.320*** −0.531 −4.252*** 4.217**
(−0.357) (−5.739) (−0.259) (−4.093) (2.484)
σ(CFO) −0.129 1.313 5.028 −0.358 5.149
(−0.763) (0.790) (0.547) (−0.097) (0.508)
σ(INV) 0.001* 0.021 0.682*** 0.028 0.140*
(1.905) (1.472) (6.091) (1.390) (2.070)
Z_Score 0.007 −1.202*** 0.167 −1.672*** −0.261
(1.023) (−2.875) (0.353) (−3.779) (−0.873)
(continued)
Table 8 (continued)
This table presents the two-stage least-squares (2SLS) estimates of the effect of stock liquidity
on firm investment efficiency. In the first-stage regression analysis, stock liquidity (LIQindex
as proxy for LIQ) is estimated using instrument variable, which measures the mean stock
liquidity of the two firms in firm i’s industry that have the closest size (market value of equity)
to firm i (TwoLIQ). In the second-stage regression, we use the predicted values of stock
liquidity (PrLIQ) and its interaction with Overfirm (PrLIQ × OverFirm) from the first-stage
regressions to estimate their effect on the dependent variable, one-year-ahead investment
levels (INV). The first row reports the coefficient estimate and the second row reports the two-
way clustered t-statistic based on standard errors clustered by firm and year (in parentheses).
Industry fixed effects based on Fama and French’s classification scheme are included in all
regressions, but the coefficients are not reported. ***, **, * denote statistical significance at
the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
Table 9
Conditional relation between investment and stock liquidity: alternative stock liquidity measures
Variable LIQFHT (1) LIQBAS (2) LIQAM (3) LIQHL (4) LIQindex4 (5)
(continued)
Table 9 (continued)
Variable LIQFHT (1) LIQBAS (2) LIQAM (3) LIQHL (4) LIQindex4 (5)
This table presents regression analysis results with additional proxies of stock liquidity as test
variables. LIQAM is the price impact measure introduced by Amihud (2002). LIQHL is the
price-based spread proxy employed by Corwin and Schultz (2012). LIQindex4 is a composite
liquidity index computed by standardising the individual measures of stock liquidity
(LIQFHT, LIQBAS, LIQAM, LIQHL) and then calculating the unweighted mean of these
four standardised measures. The first row reports the coefficient estimate and the second row
reports the two-way clustered t-statistic based on standard errors clustered by firm and year
(in parentheses). Constant term, control variables and industry fixed effect based on Fama
and French’s classification scheme are included in all regressions, but the coefficients are not
reported. ***, **, * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
i’s industry that are the closest in size (i.e., market value of equity) to firm i
(TwoLIQ) as instruments for stock liquidity (for brevity, we use LIQindex as
proxy for LIQ). Fang et al. (2009) propose that the component of firm i’s stock
liquidity that is correlated with its competitors’ stock liquidity is less likely to be
correlated with unobservable variables that affect firm i’s investment levels.12
The first-stage results from regressing the endogenous variable (LIQ) on
exogenous variable (TwoLIQ) and the control variables employed in Equa-
tion (1) are presented in column (1) of Table 8. The coefficient on TwoLIQ is
positive and highly significant (p < 0.01), suggesting that the instrument is
highly correlated with stock liquidity (LIQ). The partial F-statistic from the
first stage is 63.63, which is far greater than the critical F-value of 8.96
12
Lennox et al. (2012) emphasise the importance of identifying an exogenous variable
that affects the test variable (i.e., stock liquidity) but not the dependent variable (i.e.,
investment efficiency). A limitation of the two-stage least squares is that it is difficult to
identify exogenous variables. In our setting, we follow Fang et al. (2009) and use the
average liquidity of two firms in firm i’s industry that are closest in size to firm i as the
instrumental variable.
Table 10
Conditional relation between investment and stock liquidity: alternative investment measures
Panel B: Results from sub-samples of high and low business risk firms
This table presents regression analysis results with additional proxies of investment, Capex
and Non_Capex, as dependent variables. Capex is a measure of capital expenditure scaled by
lagged total assets. Non_Capex is calculated as the sum of R&D expenditures and
acquisitions scaled by lagged total assets. The first row reports the coefficient estimate and
the second row reports the two-way clustered t-statistic based on standard errors clustered by
firm and year (in parentheses). Constant term, control variables and industry fixed effect
based on Fama and French’s classification scheme are included in all regressions, but the
coefficients are not reported. ***, **, * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10%
levels, respectively. See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
suggested by Stock et al. (2002). This result suggests that TwoLIQ is not a weak
instrument, and hence a Wald test is not required to test for weak instrument
(e.g., Rego and Wilson, 2012).
The results from the second-stage regressions are reported in columns (2)–(5)
of Table 8. The results from the second-stage regression for young (column 2)
and high business risk (column 4) firms show a positive coefficient on the fitted
values of stock liquidity (PrLIQ) (p < 0.10 or better). The joint significance test
(PrLIQ + PrLIQ × OverFirm) show a negative and significant (p < 0.05)
coefficient. Overall, the relationship between stock liquidity and investment
efficiency for young and high business risk firms is robust to controlling for
endogeneity using an instrumental variable approach.
Conversely, the results from the second-stage regression for mature (column
3) and low business risk (column 5) firms show an insignificant coefficient on
the fitted values of stock liquidity (PrLIQ) and the joint coefficient (PrLIQ +
PrLIQ × OverFirm), consistent with our main results.
13
Stock selected in our sample must be listed at the end of its fiscal year t; have at least
200 days of return and volume data available; and have a minimum price of $5 at the
end of fiscal year t (Amihud, 2002; Fang et al., 2009).
14
Following Baker et al. (2003) and Lang et al. (2012), Capex is computed as the capital
expenditure in year t + 1 scaled by lagged total assets, whereas Non_Capex is calculated
as the sum of R&D expenditures and acquisitions in year t + 1 scaled by lagged total
assets.
5. Additional analyses
15
We thank the anonymous reviewer for the suggestion.
Table 11
Conditional relation between investment and stock liquidity: alternative sub-sample analysis
(continued)
Table 11 (continued)
(−2.661) (0.148)
Controls Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes
Firm & Year clusters Yes Yes
Adjusted R2 (%) 33.25 13.26
Sample size 10,305 10,302
This table presents regression analysis results using alternative sub-samples to proxy for
conditions where high and low information asymmetry and/or equity financing are
significantly different. Institutional shareholding (IO) is the percentage of shares held by
institutional investors. Low (high) institutional shareholding represents firms in the bottom
(top) quintile of institutional shareholding. We use external financing dependence (EF) to
proxy for financial constraints. EF is measured as the industry-median value of the difference
between capital expenditure and cash flow from operations scaled by capital expenditure.
High (low) financial constraints represent firms in the top (bottom) quintile of EF.
Idiosyncratic risk (IdioRisk) is the standard deviation of the residuals from the firm-specific
market model regression. High (low) idiosyncratic risk represents firms in the top (bottom)
quintile of idiosyncratic risk. The first row reports the coefficient estimate and the second row
reports the two-way clustered t-statistic based on standard errors clustered by firm and year
(in parentheses). Constant term, control variables and industry fixed effect based on Fama
and French’s classification scheme are included in all regressions, but the coefficients are not
reported. ***, **, * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
See the Appendix for other variable definitions.
insignificant coefficients on the main and joint effect for firms with low financial
constraints (column 2).
In our final test, we consider the conditional relation using an alternative
proxy of business risk – idiosyncratic risk. Amit and Wernerfelt (1990) examine
the rationale for firms to reduce business risk and use idiosyncratic risk to
proxy for a firm’s business risk. We follow Amit and Wernerfelt (1990) and
measure idiosyncratic risk as the standard deviation of the residuals from the
firm-specific market model regression. High (low) business risk represents firms
in the top (bottom) quintile of idiosyncratic risk. Our results reported in
Panel C of Table 11 show a positive coefficient on stock liquidity and a negative
coefficient on the sum of stock liquidity and its interaction with OverFirm, that
are both statistically significant (p < 0.05), for firms with high business risk
(column 1). On the contrary, we do not find significant coefficients on the main
and joint effect for firms with low business risk (column 2). Our results from
Table 11 collectively suggest that stock liquidity is beneficial for enhancing
investment efficiency for firms with low institutional shareholdings, high
external financing dependence and high idiosyncratic risk.
6. Conclusion
This study examines the association between stock liquidity and investment
efficiency of firms listing on US stock exchanges, in particular, whether the
effect of stock liquidity on mitigating under (over)-investment problems is more
pronounced for firms with more financial constraints and information
asymmetry problems. The results show that the effect of higher stock liquidity
on lowering under (over)-investment is more pronounced for firms with more
financial constraints and information asymmetry problems as proxied by
younger and higher business risk firms, respectively. Our results are robust to a
series of robustness checks including endogeneity tests and alternative measures
of stock liquidity and investment efficiency. In additional analyses, we consider
other conditions or alternative proxies of financial constraints and business
risk. We find that the effect of higher stock liquidity on investment efficiency is
beneficial for firms with low institutional shareholding, high external financing
dependence and high idiosyncratic risk.
Our study has limitations. First, there is no single proxy developed to date
that can perfectly capture all three elements of stock liquidity, namely (i) depth
(the number of shares that can be traded at given bid and ask prices); (ii)
breadth (the size of market participants who are unable to exercise significant
market power regardless of their size) and; (iii) resiliency (how quickly prices
return to previous levels after experiencing price changes) (Hasbrouck, 2007).
Second, our findings are robust to a wide range of additional tests, but we
cannot completely rule out the possibility of our findings being driven by
omitted variables. Hence, our empirical results should be interpreted with some
caution. Furthermore, future research can extend our study to emerging
markets by examining the effect of stock liquidity on investment efficiency
under financing constraints and asymmetric information.
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Appendix
(continued)
(continued)
Appendix (continued)
The price-based spread proxy developed by Corwin and Schultz Professor Shane
(2012), multiplied by minus one. The higher (lower) values of A. Corwin’s
this measure indicate higher (lower) stock liquidity. The data website
can be downloaded from http://www3.nd.edu/~scorwin/.
LIQindex4 A composite stock liquidity index (LIQindex4) compiled by
standardising the two additional measures of liquidity
(LIQAM, LIQHL) and the two liquidity measures from the
main analyses (LIQFHT, LIQBAS) and then calculating the
unweighted mean of these four standardised measures.
Firm_Age The difference between the first year when the firm appears in CRSP
CRSP and the current year.
IncVol Operating income volatility (IncVol), measured as the standard Compustat
deviation of annual income before extraordinary items divided
by total assets for the 5-year window from t−4 to t.
OverFirm A decile ranked variable used to distinguish between settings Compustat
where over- or under-investment is more likely; OverFirm is
increasing in the likelihood of over-investment (it is the
average of ranked values of two partitions variables, i.e., cash
balance (total cash and short-term investments scaled by total
assets) and leverage (multiplied by minus one) which are used
as ex-ante firm-specific characteristics that are likely to affect
the likelihood that a firm will over- or underinvest).
AQ Standard deviation of the firm-level residuals from the model of Compustat
Francis et al. (2005) (which is adapted from Dechow and
Dichev, 2002) during the years t−5 to t−1 and multiplied by
minus one. The model is a regression model of total current
accruals on lagged, current and future cash flows, plus the
change in revenues, PPE for firm i at year t. All variables are
scaled by average total assets. The model is estimated cross-
sectionally for each industry with at least 20 observations in a
given year based on the Fama and French (1997) 48-industry
classification.
IO The percentage of firm shares held by institutional investors. Thomson Reuters
13F
Analyst The number of analysts following the firm. IBES
G_Score The measure of investor protection rights created by Gompers Andrew
et al. (2003), multiplied by minus one. http://faculty.som.ya Metrick’s
le.edu/andrewmetrick/data.html website
G_Dummy An indicator variable that takes the value of one if G_Score is
missing, and zero otherwise.
LogAsset The log of total assets. Compustat
MB The ratio of the market value to the book value of total assets. Compustat
σ(CFO) Standard deviation of the cash flow from operations deflated by Compustat
average total assets from year t−5 to t−1.
σ(Sales) Standard deviation of the sales deflated by average total assets Compustat
from year t−5 to t−1.
σ(INV) Compustat
(continued)
(continued)
Appendix (continued)