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JOURNAL OF CLINICAL MICROBIOLOGY, May 1989, p. 843-848 Vol. 27, No.

5
0095-1137/89/050843-06$02.0O/O
Copyright C 1989, American Society for Microbiology

Monitoring Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1-Infected


Patients by Ratio of Antibodies to gp4l and p24
G. SCHMIDT,'* K. AMIRAIAN,' H. FREY,2 J. WETHERS,' R. W. STEVENS,' AND D. S. BERNS'
Wadsworth Center for Laboratories and Research, New York State Department of Health, Albany, New York 12201,' and
St. John's Riverside Hospital, Yonkers, New York 107012
Received 24 October 1988/Accepted 23 January 1989

Antibody responses of 85 patients to human immunodeficiency virus type 1 antigens were quantitated by
densitometric analysis of Western blot (immunoblot) assays. All patients had been classified into the following
three clinical categories: asymptomatic (ASY), acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-related coniplex
(ARC), or AIDS. Fifty of the patients were monitored for 6 to 29 months. The gp4l/p24 antibody ratio was
examined in three studies. In the first study, initial specimens from each patient were analyzed. The mean
gp4l/p24 antibody ratios were 1.5 (ASY), 3.2 (ARC), and 5.4 (AIDS). Of ASY patients, 79% had antibody
ratios of <2.0. In contrast, 72% of patients with AIDS had ratios of .2.0. In the second study, serially obtained
specimens from ASY, ARC, and AIDS patients were analyzed. These patients were further grouped according
to progression of their clinical condition. Of ASY patients whose clinical condition progressed to ARC, 80%
consistently had ratios of .2.0. Of ARC patients whose clinical condition progressed to AIDS, 71 % consistently

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had ratios of .2.0. Of AIDS patients who died during the study, 100% consistently had ratios of .2.0. No
patients were treated with azidothymidine during the first two studies. In the third study, AIDS patients were
monitored before and during treatment with azidothymidine. During treatment, ratios stabilized or improved
transiently in five of seven patients. In these three studies, a gp4l/p24 antibody ratio of <2.0 correlated with
a benign clinical state and a ratio of .2.0 correlated with AIDS or progression to AIDS.

Infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type proteins decreased with progression of clinical status, while
1 results in chronic infection which, after a variable period of prevalence of antibody to the transmembrane protein, gp4l,
latency, progresses to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome increased. The following markers correlated with progres-
(AIDS). It is not clear what factors or events trigger progres- sion of clinical status: gp4l/p24 antibody ratio, gp4l/total
sion of infection. Identification of markers to follow or HIV antibody ratio, and total HIV antibody. These markers
predict the progression of infection would be useful (i) to appeared in preliminary studies to have prognostic value in
physicians evaluating and monitoring infected individuals, ASY individuals who subsequently developed ARC and
(ii) for identifying infected individuals at risk of imminent AIDS.
progression to AIDS, and (iii) for monitoring the efficacy of In this report we describe the use of reflectance densitom-
anti-HIV therapy. Various cellular immune responses (12, etry to quantitate Western blot assays for HIV type 1
13, 18, 26, 28) and humoral immune responses (15, 18, 30; antibodies in order to obtain a ratio of antibodies to gp4l and
R. B. Bhalla, B. Safai, R. Mertelsmann, and M. K. p24. Each of 85 patients was classified by the physician into
Schwartz, Letter, Clin. Chem. 29:1560, 1983; P. Francioli, the clinical state ASY, ARC, or AIDS. Of these patients, 50
F. Clément, and C. H. U. Vaudois, Letter, N. Engl. J. Med. were monitored clinically and by ratio for 6 to 29 months.
307:1402-1403, 1982) appear to correlate with stage of HIV The gp4l/p24 antibody ratio was examined in three studies.
infection. Several of these correlations have been proposed First, initial specimens from patients in each clinical state
as staging or prognostic schemes (10, 17, 23, 27; R. B. were examined for antibody ratio. Second, patients who
Bhalla, B. Safai, S. Pahwa, and M. K. Schwartz, Letter, were not treated with 3'-azido-3'-deoxythymidine (azidothy-
Clin. Chem. 31:1411-1412, 1985). More recently, antibody midine [AZT]) during the study were monitored for up to 29
responses to HIV antigens have been shown to correlate months. These patients were grouped into ASY, ARC, and
with clinical state and may aid in prognosis (4, 5, 7, 8, 19-22, AIDS patients whose clinical condition did or did not pro-
24, 25, 29, 31). In many of these studies, decline in p24 gress. Third, seven AIDS patients were monitored before
antibody correlated with progression of disease. This has and during treatment with AZT. Antibody ratio (gp4l to p24)
been documented quantitatively by using competitive en- was evaluated as a tool for identifying the stage of HIV
zyme-linked immunosorbent assay for p24 antibody (31) or infection (first study), for predicting clinical outcome
densitometry of Western blot (immunoblot) assays (6, 16, 24; (second study), and for monitoring AIDS patients treated
G. Schmidt, K. Amiraian, J. Wethers, H. Frey, R. W. with AZT (third study).
Stevens, and D. S. Berns, Abstr. Annu. Meet. Am. Soc.
Microbiol. 1988, V4, p. 418). MATERIALS AND METHODS
We previously reported the prevalence of antibodies to Study population. Sera from the patients in the study
each of seven HIV antigens on Western blot assays of 430 population were initially submitted to the Laboratories for
seropositive individuals in the clinical states designated Diagnostic Immunology, Wadsworth Center for Laborato-
asymptomatic (ASY), AIDS-related complex (ARC), or ries and Research, New York State Department of Health,
AIDS (24). Prevalence of antibodies to six. of seven viral Albany, by their private physician (H.F.) to determine the
presence of antibodies to HIV. Each patient was seen by
*
Corresponding author. that physician and underwent a complete physical examina-
843
844 SCHMIDT ET AL. J. CLIN. MICROBIOL.

tion and routine laboratory testing at initial evaluation and at reactive human control serum on each blot. Reactive control
each follow-up visit. Clinical status was assigned by the sera on more than 200 blots were analyzed in this and a
physician as ASY, ARC (ARC-lymphadenopathy-preac- previous study (24). Mean antibody ratios were calculated.
quired immunodeficiency), or AIDS, by using definitions In 90% (191 of 214) ofthese assays, the antibody ratios ofthe
established by the Centers for Disease Control (9). All reactive control sera fell within one standard deviation of the
specimens from these patients were reactive by enzyme- means established from 150 assays. Only data obtained from
linked immunosorbent assay (Electro-Nucleonics, Inc., Co- blots with reference reactive-serum ratios within one stan-
lumbia, Md.) and confirmed reactive by Western blot assay. dard deviation of the mean were included in this study.
Specimens from 85 patients were examined for gp4l/p24 Tabulation and analysis of data. A positive antibody re-
antibody ratio. Fifty of these patients were monitored for up sponse was defined as-1.0 signal unit. The ratio of gp4l
to 29 months. Three studies were conducted. First, initial antibody to p24 antibody was calculated. Any ratio of .10.0
specimens from 81 patients in one of the three clinical states was valued at 10.0. The beginning of the study for each
were examined for antibody ratio. Second, 46 of those patient was defined as the date of collection of the initial
patients were monitored by antibody ratio at intervals of at specimen from that patient. Data were organized by clinical
least 1 month for periods of 6 to 29 months. These patients status (ASY, ARC, or AIDS), date of collection of sera, and
were not treated with AZT during that period. Third, seven clinical outcome. Data were examined for correlation with
patients with AIDS were monitored before and during treat- clinical state or clinical outcome of patients who were or
ment with AZT. Four of the seven patients in the AZT study were not treated with AZT`.
were not included in the first or second studies. Thus, the 85 The gp41/p24 antibody ratio which correlated with disease
patients examined include 81 from the first study plus 4 from or more rapid progression to AIDS was established as -2.0
the third study; the 50 patients monitored include 46 from the for this in-house Western blot assay. This was a value (i)
second study plus 4 from the third study. below which at least 75% of the ASY population fell, (ii)
Western blot assays. Western blot assays were conducted above the mean and median values of the ASY population,

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as described previously (24) on Immobilon-P (Millipore and (iii) below the mean and median values of the AIDS
Corp., Bedford, Mass.) strips prepared with antigen from population (see Fig. 2). These criteria have been successfully
Organon Teknika (Malvern, Pa.). HIV proteins were sepa- applied to establish a predictive cutoff for a commercially
rated by preparative electrophoresis of detergent-treated, available immunoblot assay (unpublished results) which was
heat-inactivated (100°C for 2 min) virus on sodium dodecyl effective in staging populations of ASY, ARC, or AIDS
sulfate-polyacrylamide (10%) gels in a discontinuous buffer patients qualitatively by gp41/p24 antibody ratio (R. W.
system and electrophoretically transferred to Immobilon Stevens, J. A. Wethers, D. S. Berns, and A. Polito, 4th Int.
sheets. The sheets were cut into strips, and enzyme-linked Conf. AIDS, Stockholm, Sweden, 1988, abstr. no. 1160, p.
immunosorbent assays were conducted. Sera were diluted 152).
100-fold in buffer containing 5% nonfat dry milk and were Treatment with AZT. Seven patients with AIDS were
incubated with strips. Reactivity of antibodies with antigen monitored for at least 6 months before and during treatment
was detected by adding peroxidase-conjugated goat immu- six times daily with 200 mg of AZT (Burroughs Wellcome,
noglobulin G against human immunoglobulin G (heavy-chain Research Triangle Park, N.C.). Despite transfusion, no
specific) (Organon Teknika), further washing, and adding patient was able to tolerate full prescribed treatment, and all
peroxidase substrate, 3,3'-diaminobenzidine tetrahydrochlo- experienced periods of no treatment or treatment at reduced
ride dihydrate (Aldrich Chemical Co., Milwaukee, Wis.). dosage.
Densitometry. Western blot strips were examined as pre-
viously described (24) by reflectance densitometry with a RESULTS
video densitometer (model 620; Bio-Rad Laboratories, Rich- Densitometric tracings of Western blots. Examples of
mond, Calif.) serially linked to an integrator (model 3392A; Western blot assays and corresponding densitometric trac-
Hewlett-Packard Co., Palo Alto, Calif.). Settings used for ings are illustrated in Fig. 1. The first example (Fig. 1A) is of
both instruments were as recommended by Bio-Rad. The serum from an ASY individual, and the second example
full-scale ordinate value was set at 1.0 absorbance unit. HIV (Fig. 1B) is of serum from an AIDS patient. A Western blot
antigens were identified by comparison with HIV-reactive from a seronegative individual is illustrated for comparison
human reference antiserum and by extrapolation of plots of (Fig. 1C). The antibody responses evident are to the glycos-
relative mobilities of prestained proteins of known molecular ylated envelope (env) gene products (envelope gpl20 and
weights (Bethesda Research Laboratories, Inc., Gaithers- transmembrane gp4l), polymerase (pol) gene products (re-
burg, Md.). The tracing generated for each strip was cor- verse transcriptase p66/p51 and endonuclease p30), 3' open
rected for background by subtracting a tracing of the HIV- reading frame gene product (p28), and core (gag) gene
nonreactive human control serum for that blot. Each products (precursor p53 and core p24 and p18). Further
antibody response on Western blot assay strip was quanti- details of Fig. 1 are provided in the Discussion.
tated by integrating the area under the corresponding peak of Antibody ratios of initial specimens from ASY, ARC, or
the tracing of that strip. The integrator delineated each peak AIDS patients. The ratio of gp4l antibody to p24 antibody in
by tick marks and identified peaks (i.e., antibody bound to clinical populations is illustrated in Fig. 2. Ratios are of
individual HIV antigens) by their distance from the begin- initial specimens from 81 patients classified as ASY, ARC,
ning of the tracing. Area was measured in increments of or AIDS. Although there was a wide range of values within
0.125 ,uV. s. We have defined 1 signal unit as 1.0 x 106 each clinical category, a pattern is evident. The mean ratios
increments. were 1.5 (ASY), 3.2 (ARC), and 5.4 (AIDS). Corresponding
Reproducibility of measurements. Reproducibility of band median ratios were 1.2, 1.8, and 4.2. The percentage of each
intensity depends on standardized reagents and protocols. population with a ratio of -2.0 was 21.4 (ASY), 41.7 (ARC),
Use of the ratio of antibody concentrations minimizes the and 72.4 (AIDS).
effect of variation in band intensity. The ratio of antibody Patients monitored by antibody ratio. Fifty patients were
responses to gp4l and p24 was determined for the HIV- monitored for 6 to 29 months by analysis of serially obtained
VOL. 27, 1989 MONITORING HIV TYPE 1 INFECTION BY ANTIBODY RATIO 845

A B c
.85
.22 (gp 120) 25
.36
.54

.83 p66
p53
p51
1.42 gp4I 1-.48 _u

p30 p28
.83 p28- 1.84
4
_ p24
2.22 '2.23

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.86

FIG. 1. HIV Western blot assays and corresponding densitometric tracings of sera from individuals classified as ASY (A), AIDS (B), or
seronegative (C). Bands and corresponding peaks represent antibody to viral antigens (molecular mass indicated in kilodaltons). Numbers
beside tracings indicate distance from the origin and aid in identifying peaks. Peak boundaries are indicated by tick marks.

specimens. Four patients were treated with AZT after less whether disease did or did not progress. Figure 3 illustrates
than 6 months, and their cases are discussed below. The the gp4l/p24 antibody ratio in serially obtained specimens of
remaining 46 were classified at initial presentation as ASY, ASY patients whose clinical condition did or did not prog-
ARC, or AIDS and were further grouped according to ress to ARC or AIDS. Of those whose condition did prog-
ress, 80% (4 of 5) had ratios of .2.0. Of those whose clinical
condition did not progress, 72% (10 of 14) had ratios remain-
ing at <2.0. Those whose condition progressed were three
MEAN O
times as likely to have ratios of -2.0 as those whose
condition did not progress. The use of antibody ratio to
- MEDIAN a O O O
>10- a I 0 00

A: NO PROGRESSION (n=14)

10 >10
It
C\%j
8- * O 10
"- o
cmJ
C5) o
6- e O
'
6.
4--4it o
I I 4.
2- .__.......
p.
2.
O &-
fARC
a@ o i
ASY AIDS O _
o 8 16 0 24
(n=28) (n=24) (n=29) MONTHIS
CLINICAL STATUS FIG. 3. Ratio of gp4l antibody to p24 antibody in ASY patients
FIG. 2. Ratio of gp4l antibody to p24 antibody in initial speci- whose clinical condition did not (A) or did (B) progress to ARC or
mens from patients classified as ASY, ARC, or AIDS. AIDS.
846 SCHMIDT ET AL. J. CLIN. MICROBIOL.

Antibody ratios in AIDS patients treated with AZT. The


ratio of gp41/p24 antibody was determined in serially ob-
tained specimens of patients with severe symptoms of AIDS
before and during at least 6 months of treatment with AZT.
Of these patients, 86% (6 of 7) had early antibody ratios of
.2.0. In three patients the ratio was .10.0 before or at start
of therapy. Despite their advanced clinical state, during
therapy ratios stabilized or improved transiently in the five
patients with lower ratios. Ultimately, the ratios were not
improved by AZT, and mortality during the study was not
4
improved over that of untreated AIDS patients (57% [4 of 7]
2- ---- -----
versus 62% [8 of 13]).

DISCUSSION
0 8 16 24 0 8 16 24
Western blot assay is the standard confirmatory test for
MONTHS detecting antibodies to HIV type 1. The patterns of antibody
FIG. 4. Ratio of gp4l antibody to p24 antibody in patients with responses evident on these assays are varied and have been
ARC whose clinical condition did not (A) or did (B) progress to observed to correlate with clinical status qualitatively (3, 4,
AIDS. 14, 19) or semiquantitatively (7). Western blot assays can
productively be further analyzed by using densitometry to
quantitate antibody responses (6, 16, 24).
predict clinical outcome would have been successful in 70 to We chose to examine the ratio of gp4l antibody to p24

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80% of these ASY patients. antibody because in a data base derived from Western blot
Figure 4 illustrates the gp4l/p24 antibody ratio in serially assays of 430 seropositive individuals (24), (i) antibodies to
obtained specimens of patients with ARC whose clinical gp4l and p24 were more prevalent than any other antibodies,
condition did or did not progress to AIDS. Of those whose (ii) antibody to gp4l was the only antibody response found to
condition did progress, 72% (5 of 7) had ratios of .2.0. Of be more closely associated with AIDS than with ARC or
those whose condition did not progress, 67% (4 of 6) had ASY, (iii) antibody to p24 was less prevalent with more
ratios remaining at <2.0. Those whose condition progressed severe disease, and (iv) the ratio of gp4l antibody to p24
were twice as likely to have ratios of .2.0 as those whose antibody increased with more severe disease. The first three
condition did not progress. The use of antibody ratio to observations were later confirmed by DeVico et al. (11).
predict clinical outcome would have been successful in 70% Antibodies to envelope and core proteins have also been
of these patients with ARC. quantitated by densitometry of autoradiograms of gel elec-
Figure 5 illustrates the gp4l/p24 antibody ratios in serially trophoresis of immunoprecipitates (20) and by commercially
obtained specimens of patients with AIDS who were or were available second-generation enzyme-linked immunosorbent
not still living at the time of completion of the study. Of assays prepared from recombinant proteins (2, 21, 31). We
those who were no longer living, 100% (11 of 11) had ratios have used Western blots to obtain ratios for the following
of .2.0. Of those who were still living, 60% (3 of 5) had reasons. First, radioimmunoprecipitation is not in common
ratios remaining at <2.0. Those who were no longer living use, and antibody to gp4l is not well represented in the assay
were three times as likely to have ratios of -2.0 as those who (20). Second, genetically engineered p24 antigen in the
were still living. The use of antibody ratio to predict clinical assays we have examined and in studies by others (2, 21) is
outcome would have been successful in 100% and 60%, not as reactive as the p24 in denatured native virus used for
respectively, of AIDS patients who were not and were living Western blot; consequently, use of these assays to predict
at the completion of the study. clinical outcome results in incorrect identification of some
individuals as being at increased risk of disease (unpublished
results).
A: LIVING (n=5) B: NO LONGER LIVING (n=11) We have used reflectance densitometry of Western blot
assays of specimens from 85 seropositive individuals with
clinical status ASY, ARC, or AIDS to calculate an antibody
>10 ratio of gp4l to p24. Fifty of these patients were monitored
by antibody ratio for up to 29 months. The results demon-
C%1 strate that this ratio correlates with clinical status (Fig. 2),
correlates with clinical outcome (Fig. 3 to 5), and can be
used to monitor patients undergoing anti-HIV therapy.
The first study examined gp4l/p24 antibody ratios of
patients with clinical status ASY, ARC, or AIDS. The mean
0~ and median values of antibody ratio increased with progres-
sion of clinical status. A total of 79% of ASY patients had
antibody ratios of <2.0, while 72% of AIDS patients had
ratios of .2.0.
0 8 16 24 0 8 16 24 Figure 1 illustrates Western blots and corresponding den-
MONTHS sitometric tracings of sera from an ASY patient and a patient
FIG. 5. Ratio of gp4l antibody to p24 antibody in patients with with AIDS. The ASY patient had a gp4l/p24 antibody ratio
AIDS who were still living (A) or no longer living (B) at the time of of 1.0 (Fig. 1A). The patient remained ASY, with qualita-
completion of the study. tively and quantitatively similar antibody responses through-
VOL. 27, 1989 MONITORING HIV TYPE 1 INFECTION BY ANTIBODY RATIO 847

out the 8 months the patient was monitored. The AIDS AIDS would not later be classified as ASY, even if symp-
patient had a gp41/p24 antibody ratio of 7.2 (Fig. 1B). She toms disappeared). Retrospective classification sometimes
had AIDS (cryptococcal meningitis), with antibody re- differs from contemporary classification. Had we applied
sponses remaining qualitatively and quantitatively similar retrospective classification to our data, it would have
throughout the 14 months before she died. Antibody to p24 strengthened somewhat the correlation of antibody ratio
was present on a Western blot assay of serum drawn when with clinical status. However, and more importantly, a
the patient was last monitored, 2 weeks before death. She discrepancy between clinical evaluation and ratio suggests to
died with Staphylococcus aureus, arthritis, sepsis, and cen- the clinician the need for reevaluation of patients who do not
tral nervous system toxoplasmosis. have ARC or AIDS and yet have antibody ratios of .2.0.
The second study examined antibody ratios of serially Among the 50 patients monitored were several whose anti-
obtained specimens of ASY, ARC, and AIDS patients who body ratio appeared inconsistent with the initial clinical
were monitored for 6 to 29 months. Patients were grouped classification. Clinical reevaluation led to reclassification of
according to whether their clinical conditions did or did not six patients. Two patients classified as ASY would have
progress. During this period, 26% (5 of 19) of ASY patients been classified as ARC if neurological symptoms or dissem-
progressed to ARC or AIDS, 54% (7 of 13) of ARC patients inated tuberculosis had been initially diagnosed. Similarly, a
progressed to AIDS, and 69% (11 of 16) of AIDS patients patient classified as ASY had nodules in the lungs; the
died (Fig. 3-5). Of ASY patients whose clinical condition etiology of the nodules was found subsequently to be Myco-
progressed to ARC, 80% had antibody ratios of .2.0. Of bacterium avium intracellulare, requiring reclassification as
patients with ARC whose clinical condition progressed to AIDS. Three patients classified as ARC would have been
AIDS, 71% had ratios of .2.0. Of patients with AIDS who reclassified as ASY: one had neurological symptoms initially
died during the study, 100% had ratios of .2.0. Thus, a ratio ascribed to HIV but which were subsequently attributed to
of -2.0 in ASY patients predicted progression to ARC or varicella-zoster virus, and two had constitutional symptoms
AIDS, in patients with ARC predicted progression to AIDS, which resolved when intravenous drug abuse was discontin-

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and in patients with AIDS predicted that patients had less ued.
time to live. In these studies, a gp4l/p24 antibody ratio of <2.0 corre-
The correlation ofthe gp4l/p24 antibody ratio of -2.0 with lated with a benign clinical state. A ratio of 22.0 correlated
disease or risk of more rapid progression to AIDS was with AIDS or progression to AIDS. A ratio of 22.0 in a
approximately 75% overall and thus was not always a patient with clinical status of ASY or ARC could serve to
definitive criterion. However, this ratio compares favorably alert the clinician that the patient is at risk of more rapid
with other correlates (1, 3, 8, 18, 21, 26, 28, 31) and is a very progression to AIDS. Such a patient could be reevaluated for
useful tool. The predictive (cutoff) value of 2.0 established clinical symptoms, monitored more closely in anticipation of
for the in-house Western blot might vary somewhat with the progression of disease, or identified as a candidate for early
test system, but cutoff can be readily established for other therapeutic intervention.
test systems. We have established such a cutoff in a com-
mercially available immunoblot assay (see Materials and LITERATURE CITED
Methods). The gp41/p24 antibody ratio may prove even 1. Abb, J. 1986. Evaluation of a new confirmatory assay for
more valuable in combination with other laboratory data antibodies against lymphadenopathy-associated virus (LAV)/
(e.g., T4/T8 and p24 antigen). Refinement of the technique of human T-lymphotropic virus type IIl (HTLV III). Vox Sang.
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