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Productivity Performance of Manufacturing Sector in India
Productivity Performance of Manufacturing Sector in India
Abstract
The structure of the Indian economy has undergone a remarkable change after its
independence in 1947. It has been transformed from an agriculture-based economy heavily
reliant on production of primary commodities for exports, to a manufacturing sector based
economy. In this paper the availability of data from the Annual Survey of industries report was
till 2004-05. Thus, this studyhas covered a period of 24 years from 1981-82 to 2004-05. Period I
(1981-82 to 1990-91) relates to the period before liberalisation and Period II (1991-92 to 2004-
05) relates to the period after liberalisation, i.e., the Period I was characterised by the controlled
regime and Period II was characterised by the liberalised regime. It is concludes that
manufacturing sector in India is a capital intensive industry. The growth of total factor
productivity was mainly because of growth in labour productivity. The performance of the
Northern zone was good as compared to the other zones. Efficient utilisation of labour and
capital was attributed in Indian manufacturing sector particularly after liberalisation.
JEL Classification: O14, C35, L60, D24
Keywords: Productivity Performance, Industrial Economics, Econometrics Model in Multiple
Linear Regressions
1. Introduction
The structure of the Indian economy has undergone a remarkable change after
its independence in 1947. It has been transformed from an agriculture-based economy
heavily reliant on production of primary commodities for exports, to a manufacturing
sector based economy. The share of the agriculture sector in the Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) dropped from 42 per cent in 1980’s to 32 per cent in 1990’s and
decreased to 26 per cent in 2005. On the other hand, the share of the manufacturing
sector jumped from 21 per cent in 1980’s 24 per cent in1990’s and increase to 26 per
cent in 2005.
The manufacturing sector has now become the main contributor to the Indian
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) superseding the agricultural sector. Accordingly, the
structure of employment has changed from concentration on agricultural activities to
manufacturing industries and from high labour intensive industries to highly capital-
intensive industries.
The liberalisation process started in 1991 had given an opportunity to the Indian
industries to expand their operations beyond Indian boundaries establishing place of
business outside India. After a decade of reforms, the manufacturing sector is now
gearing up to meet challenges. Investment in Indian companies reached record levels
and many multinational decided to setup shop in India to take advantage of the
improved financial climate. In an effort to provide a further boost to the industrial
manufacturing sector, Foreign Direct Investment has been permitted through the
automatic route for almost all the industries with certain restrictions. Structural reforms
have been undertaken in the exercise duty regime with a view to introduce a single rate
and simplicity.
Companies in the manufacturing sector have consolidated around their area of
core competence by typing up with foreign companies to acquire new technology,
management expertise, and access to foreign markets. Exports can also act as motive
power growth for a rapidly developing Indian economy by promoting investment
including foreign direct investment, particularly in the manufacturing sector. Hence, to
identify the impact of reforms, an attempt was made in this paper to analyse the
productivity performance of manufacturing sector in India.
6. Methodology
6.1 Area of the Study
The present study analyses the manufacturing sector in India. The zone wise
analysis will help to identify the areas which performed well and take proper actions
towards planning and redeployment of resources to achieve better performance all over
India. It will also help for the formulation of policies and programmes pertaining to the
development of backward zones in India. So, the researcher is interested in studying the
Indian Manufacturing sector zone wise that is, manufacturing sector in the Southern,
Eastern, Northern and Western zones of India. The four zones covered under this
study are,
The Southern zone which consists of states namely
Andhra pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Pondicherry and Andaman
Nicobar Island.
The Eastern zone which consists of states namely
Assam, Bihar, Orissa, West Bengal, Meghalaya, Tripura, Jharkant, Chatishger,
Manipur and Nagaland.
The Northern zone which consists of states namely
Hariyana, Himachal pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Punjab, Uttar pradesh, Delhi,
Uttranchal and Chandigarh.
The Western Zone which consists of states namely
Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharastra, Dadra & Nagar Haveli and Daman and
Diu, Rajasthan and Goa.
witnessed the different industrial policy implementations in India. To identify the effect
of liberalisation policy, the total study period of 24 years is divided into two sub-periods
and the overall period. So, the present study has made observation on the three
different periods of time, such as
Period I (1981-82 to 1990-91)
Period II (1991-92 to 2004-05) and
Overall Period (1981-82 to 2004-05)
Period I relates to the period before liberalisation and Period II relates to the
period after liberalisation, that is, the Period I was characterised by the controlled
regime and Period II was characterised by the liberalised regime.
where
TFP - Total Factor Productivity
V - Gross value added
L - Number of employees
K - Gross fixed capital
α share of labour (total emoluments) in gross value added
β (α-1) share of capital in gross value added
This index is based on the assumption of competitive equilibrium, constant
returns to scale and hicks – neutral technical change.
Mean and linear growth rate also used to identify the performance of the
productivity in Indian manufacturing sector.
To measure the output, gross value added is taken for the present study. Gross
value added is measured as the gross value of output lesser than the value of fuels and
rawmaterials.
To calculate the gross value added deflated value of gross output, fuels and
materials consumed are used, which are deflated by Manufacturing price index, fuel and
lubricant index and all commodities price index respectively. The increment interns are
standardized by 1980-81 base price indexes.
Table 1: Linear Growth Rate of Indian Manufacturing Sector during 1981-82 to 2004-05
(per cent per annum )
Over all
Sl. No. Variable I II
Period
1. Number of factories 1.16 0.95 1.84
2. Gross Fixed Capital 27.51 12.82 49.07.
3. Number of workers 0.11 -0.89 0.35
4. Total Emoluments 4.72 0.14 2.75
5. Fuels Consumed 13.83 -2.25 4.83
6. Materials Consumed 17.95 5.89 15.01
7. Gross output 8.92 7.67 16.85
8. Gross Value Added 2.90 7.86 22.06
Table 3: Trend of Labour Productivity of Indian Manufacturing Sector during 1981-82 to 2004-05 at National
Level and Zonal Level
Period Year South East North West All India
Chart 1
10
All India
8 West
Rate
6 North
East
4
South
2
0
19 2
19 4
19 6
19 8
19 0
19 2
19 4
19 6
19 8
20 0
20 2
4
-8
-8
-8
-8
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-0
-0
-0
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
19
Year
Table 4: Trend of Capital Productivity of Indian Manufacturing Sector during 1981-82 to 2004-05 at National
Level and Zonal Level
Period Year South East North West All India
Chart 2
3.5
3
All India
2.5
West
2
North
1.5
East
1 South
0.5
0
19 2
19 4
19 6
19 8
19 0
19 2
19 4
19 6
19 8
20 0
20 2
4
-8
-8
-8
-8
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-0
-0
-0
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
19
Year
Table 5: Trend of Total Factor Productivity of Indian Manufacturing Sector during 1981-82 to 2004-05 at
National Level and Zonal Level
Period Year South East North West All India
Chart 3
3.5
3
All India
2.5
West
2
Rate
North
1.5
East
1
South
0.5
0
19 2
19 4
19 6
19 8
19 0
19 2
19 4
19 6
19 8
20 0
20 2
4
-8
-8
-8
-8
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-0
-0
-0
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
19
Year
Table 6: Trend of Capital Intensity of Indian Manufacturing Sector during 1981-82 to 2004-05 at National
Level and Zonal Level
Period Year South East North West All India
1981-82 0.42 0.68 0.69 0.74 0.62
1982-83 0.49 0.80 0.82 0.85 0.73
1983-84 0.61 0.94 1.01 1.06 0.90
1984-85 0.71 1.06 1.13 1.27 1.04
1985-86 0.87 1.26 1.25 1.48 1.21
Period I
1986-87 0.97 1.36 1.44 1.67 1.36
1987-88 1.06 1.62 1.50 1.89 1.51
1988-89 1.26 1.81 1.69 2.08 1.70
1989-90 1.32 2.02 1.84 2.35 1.86
1990-91 1.66 2.19 2.11 2.78 2.18
Chart 4
35
30 All India
25 West
20 North
15 East
10 South
5
0
19 2
19 4
19 6
19 8
19 0
19 2
19 4
19 6
19 8
20 0
20 2
4
-8
-8
-8
-8
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-0
-0
-0
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
19
Year
Table 7: Linear Growth Rate of Labour Productivity, Capital Productivity, Total Factor Productivity and
Capital Intensity of Indian Manufacturing Sector during 1981-82 to 2004-05 at National Level and Zonal
Level
Zonal and Labour Capital Total Factor Capital
Periods
All India Productivity Productivity Productivity Intensity
Period I
2.65 -8.21 -6.84 30.95
(1981-82 to 1990-91)
Period II
South 6.28 -2.67 -2.55 11.51
(1991-92 to 2004-05)
Overall Period
17.90 -1.80 -1.40 43.10
(1981-82 to 2004-05)
Period I
2.83 -7.50 -6.27 25.15
(1981-82 to 1990-91)
Period II
East 9.93 -1.59 -1.74 14.14
(1991-92 to 2004-05)
Overall Period
18.38 -1.85 -1.73 44.26
(1981-82 to 2004-05)
Period I
2.20 -6.47 -5.47 21.59
(1981-82 to 1990-91)
Period II
North 8.40 -2.35 -2.38 12.86
(1991-92 to 2004-05)
Overall Period
22.01 -0.97 -0.76 42.17
(1981-82 to 2004-05)
Period I
3.25 -7.56 -6.61 29.46
(1981-82 to 1990-91)
Period II
West 12.56 -2.70 -2.88 18.38
(1991-92 to 2004-05)
Overall period
25.00 -1.54 -1.59 58.24
(1981-82 to 2004-05)
Period I
2.75 -7.47 -6.28 26.94
(1981-82 to 1990-91)
Period II
All India 9.29 -2.42 -2.49 14.16
(1991-92 to 2004-05)
Overall Period
20.95 -1.52 -1.36 46.77
(1981-82 to 2004-05)
Chart 5
100
80
CI
Growth Rate
60
TFP
40
CP
20
LP
0
-20
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Overall
Overall
Overall
Overall
Overall
Period
Period
Period
period
Period
II
II
II
II
II
I
Table 8: Technology of Indian Manufacturing Sector during Before and After Liberalisation
Before Liberalisation Period After Liberalisation Period
(1981-82 to 1990-91) (1991-92 to 2004-05)
Capital intensity Capital intensity
Year Year
(Technology) (Technology)
2003-04 6.68
2004-05 6.41
Chart 6
5
(Technology)
4
3
2
1
0
1981-
1982-
1983-
1984-
1985-
1986-
1987-
1988-
1989-
1990-
1991-
1992-
1993-
1994-
1995-
1996-
1997-
1998-
1999-
2000-
2001-
2002-
2003-
2004-
t Value
10.941 2.129
The calculated ‘t’ value is 10.941. The table ‘t’ value is 2.129 at five per cent
level. Since, the calculated value is greater than the table value at five per cent level of
significance, the hypothesis is accepted. It means, the Indian manufacturing sector had
been experiencing technological changes after liberalisation.
With regard to the first objective namely, to analyse the growth trend of Indian
manufacturing sector during 1981-82 to 2004-05, eight important variables were used,
They were number of factories, gross fixed capital, number of workers, total
emoluments, fuels consumed, materials consumed, gross output and gross value added.
Mean and growth trend of the selected variables had been assessed. Linear growth rate
model was used to examine the first objective.
With regard to the second objective namely, to identify the productivity
performance of Indian manufacturing sector, partial productivity (labour productivity
and capital productivity), total factor productivity and capital intensity, its mean value
and linear growth have been assessed. The total factor productivity was measured with
the help of Kendrick index.
From the foregoing summary and findings of the study, the following important
conclusions have emerged. Manufacturing sector in India is a capital intensive industry.
The growth of total factor productivity was mainly because of growth in labour
productivity. The performance of the Northern zone was good as compared to the
other zones. Efficient utilisation of labour and capital was attributed in Indian
manufacturing sector particularly after liberalisation. Hence, to develop the Indian
manufacturing sector, there is needed to increase the capital. Moreover, capital has to be
efficiently utilised to increase the gross value added. There is also need to strengthen
Research and Development to increase the gross value added in Indian manufacturing
sector.
References:
• Articles in Journals:
1. Burange, “Industrial Growth and Structure of Manufacturing Sector in
Maharashtra” Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. XXXIV, No 9, February 27
March 5, 1999, pp.M39-M48.
2. Chandrasekaran.M and Bhavani Sridharan, “ Productivity Trends in Cotton
Industry in India” The Indian Economics Trend, Vol. 41, No.2, October –
December 1993, pp.61-70.
3. Deepak Gupta, “Productivity Growth in Indian Capital Goods Industry”, Artha
Vijnana, No.2, June 1995, p.172.
• Books:
11. Ahluwalia, Isher Judge, “Productivity and Growth in Indian Manufacturing –
Trends in productivity and growth”, Oxford University Press New York, New
Delhi, 1991.
12. Annual Survey of Industries 1999-2000 (Quick estimates), Central Statistical
Organisation (Industrial Statistics wing), Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation, Government of India, Kolkata, 2001,p.2.
13. Chaudhuri.S, “Structural Changes and Fluctuation in Manufacturing Factor
Sector: A disaggregative Analysis 1959 to 1984-85”, Indian Institute of
Management, Calcutta, 1989.
14. Koutsoyiannis.A, Theory of Econometrics: An introductory Exposition of
Econometric Method, Second Edition, Low-priced Edition, 1977, p.233.
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Productivity Driven?”, East Asian Economic Association, November, 2002,
Kuala Lumpur.