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TASK-3: Economic Reforms-The First Phase
TASK-3: Economic Reforms-The First Phase
TASK-3: Economic Reforms-The First Phase
6. Textile:
Introduction of new Textile Policy, 1985 practically abolished the distinction between mill,
power loom and handloom sectors and also between natural and synthetic fibre for
licensing purposes.
7. Electronics:
Electronics industry was liberalised from MRTP Act restrictions. The entry of FERA
Companies in the areas was also liberalised.
8. Foreign Trade:
Export-Import Policy, 1985 was announced in order to pave the way for easier and quicker
access to imports, strengthening export production base and for facilitating technological
up-gradation.
9. LTFP:
Long Term Fiscal Policy, 1985 was announced for the implementation of the Seventh Plan in
a smooth manner.
Economic Reforms in India—the Second Phase:
The first phase of economic reforms failed to yield the expected result in most of the fronts.
More particularly, the deficit in the balance of trade account gradually increased and thus
the average deficit in balance of trade during the Sixth Plan which was to the extent of Rs.
5,935 crore, suddenly rose to the tune of Rs. 10,841 crore during the Seventh Plan.
Moreover, receipts on invisible account has also declined Thus the country has been
plunged into a serious balance of payments crisis. In order to save the situation, the
Government approached the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to
extend loan to the tune of about $7 billion. IMF finally decided to advance this loan but at
the same times insisted that the Government should put the economy again on right track.
Accordingly, Dr. Manmohan Singh, the then Finance Minister of India finally made a
commitment by his letter dated August 27, 1991 to the IMF Managing Director Michel
Camdessus that the Government of India set certain macro-economic targets and also
initiated certain policy measures in order to bring about structural readjustment of the
economy.
In order to restore both internal and external confidence, the Narasimha Rao Government
initiated a good number of stabilisation measures in 1991-92. These measures include—
tightening of monetary policy by raising interest rates, adjustment of the exchange rate of
rupee by 22 per cent, liberalisation and simplification of foreign trade policy, reduction of
fiscal deficit and introduction of other reforms in economic policy necessary to bring a new
element of dynamism to the process of economic growth of the country.
The memorandum submitted by the then Finance Minister observed that, “The thrust will
be to increase the efficiency and international competitiveness of industrial production, to
utilize foreign investment and technology to a much greater degree than in the past, to
improve the performance and rationalize the scope of the public sector and to reform and
modernize the financial sector so that it can more efficiently serve the needs of the
economy.”
Macro-Economic objectives:
The main macro-economic objectives of economic reforms (2nd phase) in India include:
(a) Attaining economic growth at the rate of 3 to 3.5 per cent in 1991-92 and at 4 per cent in
1992-93;
(b) Reducing the annual rate of inflation by 9 per cent in 1991-92 followed by 6 per cent in
1992-93;
(c) Relieving the critical balance of payments situation and rebuilding foreign exchange
reserves to $ 2.2 billion in 1991-92;
(d) Reducing current account deficit in the budget from 2.5 per cent of GDP in 1990-91 to
2.0 per cent by 1992-93.
Policy Measures of Second Phase of Economic Reforms:
The following are the major areas of the second phase of economic reforms in India:
1. Fiscal Policy Reforms:
The Government initiated various fiscal measures in order to reduce the fiscal deficit from
8.4 per cent of GDP in 1990-91 to 5.0 per cent in 1996-97 and to 3.7 per cent in 2006-2007.
In order to achieve this target, the Government introduced various controls over public
expenditure and took initiative to raise both its tax and non-tax revenue.
The other measures include imposition of fiscal discipline by both Central and State
Governments, reduction of subsidies, developing a more efficient expenditure system,
encouraging state governments to streamline the working State Enterprise, more
particularly State Electricity Boards and State Transport Corporations and withdrawal of
budgetary support to Central public sector enterprises and to improve their profitability and
efficiency.
2. Monetary Policy Reforms:
The Government pursued a restrictive monetary policy for reducing inflationary pressures
and also for improving balance of payment position.
3. Pricing Policy Reforms:
In order to reduce budgetary provision for subsidies and to promote a more flexible price
structure, the Government increased the administered prices of various commodities and
inputs (petroleum products and fertilizers) and gave greater freedom to public sector
enterprises to set price as per market forces.
4. External Policy Reforms:
The government introduced stabilisation and import compression measures in order to
reduce the current account deficit in balance of payments to 2.1 per cent of GDP in 1991-92
and then to 2 per cent of GDP in 1992-93.
5. Industrial Policy Reforms:
In order to make necessary reforms in its industrial policy, the Government introduced its
new industrial policy on July 24, 1991.
The various measures under industrial policy reforms include:
(a) Abolition of the scheme of industrial licensing for all industrial projects excepting 18
industries related to security, strategic or environmental concerns etc.;
(b) De-reservation of the area of public sector from 17 to 8 industries in order to open up
area of investment for the private sector;
(c) Elimination of the system of pre-entry scrutiny of investment decisions of the MRTP
companies and controlling only “unfair or restrictive business practices”;
(d) Liberalisation of location policy;
(e) Abolition of phased manufacturing programmes earlier enforced to increase the pace of
indigenisation and
(f) Removal of mandatory convertibility clause.
6. Foreign Investment Policy Reforms:
The new industrial policy, 1991 made provision for increased flow of foreign investment in
connection with technology transfer, marketing expertise and introduction of modern
managerial techniques. Accordingly, the new policy included 34 priority industries in
Annexure III to give automatic permission for foreign direct investment up to 51 per cent
foreign equity.
In respect of foreign technology agreements automatic permission will be provided in high
priority industry for royalty payments up to 5 per cent on domestic sales, 8 per cent on
export sales or a maximum payment of Rs. 1 crore. Moreover, in order to promote exports
of Indian commodities in international market, foreign trading companies were also allowed
to raise their foreign equity holdings up to 51 per cent for export activities.
7. Public Sector Policy Reforms:
Considering the huge amount of losses incurred by a good number of public sector
enterprises, the Government has taken various policy measures of making necessary
reforms of the public sector.
NITI Aayog
The NITI Aayog (National Institution for Transforming India) is a policy think tank of
the Government of India, established with the aim to achieve sustainable development
goals with cooperative federalism by fostering the involvement of State Governments of
India in the economic policy-making process using a bottom-up approach. Its initiatives
include "15-year road map", "7-year vision, strategy, and action plan", AMRUT, Digital
India, Atal Innovation Mission, Medical Education Reform, agriculture reforms (Model Land
Leasing Law, Reforms of the Agricultural Produce Marketing Committee Act, Agricultural
Marketing and Farmer Friendly Reforms Index for ranking states) etc. It was established in
2015, by the NDA government, to replace the Planning Commission which followed a top-
down model.
Demonetization
On 8 November 2016, the Government of India announced the demonetization of
all ₹500 and ₹1,000 banknotes of the Mahatma Gandhi Series. It also announced the
issuance of new ₹500 and ₹2,000 banknotes in exchange for the demonetised banknotes.
[1]
The Prime minister of India Narendra Modi claimed that the action would curtail the
shadow economy and reduce the use of illicit and counterfeit cash to fund illegal activity
and terrorism.[ The announcement of demonetisation was followed by prolonged cash
shortages in the weeks that followed, which created significant disruption throughout the
economy. According to a 2018 report from the Reserve Bank of India, approximately 99.3%
of the demonetised banknotes, or ₹15.30 lakh crore (15.3 trillion) of the ₹15.41 lakh
crore that had been demonetised, were deposited with the banking system. The banknotes
that were not deposited were only worth ₹10,720 crore (107.2 billion), leading analysts to
state that the effort had failed to remove black money from the economy. The BSE
SENSEX and NIFTY 50 stock indices fell over 6 percent on the day after the announcement.
The move reduced the country's industrial production and its GDP growth rate..Global
analysts cut their forecasts of India's real GDP growth rate for the financial year 2016–17 by
0.5 to 3% due to demonetisation.
List of the macro economic factors that affect the economy of India
Rate of employment,
The phases of the business cycle,
Rate of inflation,
The money supply,
The level of government debt,
Balance of Payment deterioration
Increasing NPA’
Gross domestic product (GDP)
Gross domestic product (GDP) is the total monetary or market value of all the finished goods
and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. As a broad
measure of overall domestic production, it functions as a comprehensive scorecard of a
given country’s economic health. India’s economy slowed down to 3.1 per cent in Q4 on the
back of the coronavirus pandemic superimposed on a prolonged slowdown. With the
release of Q4 GDP growth, the full year 2019-20 GDP growth stood at 4.2 per cent. The
government has also revised down the GDP growth in Q1, Q2, and Q3 to 5.2 per cent, 4.4
per cent, and 4.1 per cent respectively.
Services sector is the largest sector of India. Gross Value Added (GVA) at current prices for
Services sector is estimated at 92.26 lakh crore INR in 2018-19. Services sector accounts for
54.40% of total India's GVA of 169.61 lakh crore Indian rupees. With GVA of Rs. 50.43 lakh
crore, Industry sector contributes 29.73%. While, Agriculture and allied sector shares
15.87%.
At 2011-12 prices, composition of Agriculture & allied, Industry, and Services sector are
14.39%, 31.46%, and 54.15%, respectively.
Share of primary (comprising agriculture, forestry, fishing and mining & quarrying),
secondary (comprising manufacturing, electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services,
and construction) and tertiary (services) sectors have been estimated as 18.57 per cent,
27.03 per cent and 54.40 per cent.
According to CIA Fackbook sector wise Indian GDP composition in 2017 are as follows :
Agriculture (15.4%), Industry (23%) and Services (61.5%)
There are two primary methods or formulas by which GDP can be determined:
1 Expenditure Approach
The most commonly used GDP formula, which is based on the money spent by various
groups that participate in the economy.
GDP = C + G + I + NX
C = consumption or all private consumer spending within a country’s economy, including,
durable goods (items with a lifespan greater than three years), non-durable goods (food &
clothing), and services.
G = total government expenditures, including salaries of government employees, road
construction/repair, public schools, and military expenditure.
I = sum of a country’s investments spent on capital equipment, inventories, and housing.
2 Income Approach
This GDP formula takes the total income generated by the goods and services produced.
GDP = Total National Income + Sales Taxes + Depreciation + Net Foreign Factor Income
Total National Income – the sum of all wages, rent, interest, and profits.
Sales Taxes – consumer taxes imposed by the government on the sales of goods and
services.
Net Foreign Factor Income – the difference between the total income that a country’s
citizens and companies generate in foreign countries, versus the total income foreign
citizens and companies generate in that country.
FY20 – Q4 V Q3
The GDP decreased from 4.1 to 3.1 in the q4 of FY 2019-20 of india.India's economy
expanded by 3.1 per cent in the January-March quarter and dragged the full year FY20 GDP
growth to 4.2 per cent, weakest since the financial crisis hit more than a decade back.The
lockdown imposed by the central govt in March Impacted the whole industries which
decreased production in the country. The services sector bore the brunt of lockdown as
tourism, aviation, hospitality industry came to a crashing halt, thereby affecting jobs in
those sector as well.
The MSME sector, which is a major contributor in the overall economic pie, suffered
severely as the curbs imposed to stop the spread of Covid-19 hit the industry hard. The
construction sector, that was already in doldrums, came to a screeching halt as the
nationwide curbs hit the economic activity hard. It contracted by 2.2 per cent in the fourth
quarter. Manufacturing contractedby1.4percent.
FY20 Q4 V FY 2019 Q4
The GDP decreased from 5.7 in Q4 (2019) to 3.1 in the q4 of FY 2019-20 of india. India’s
economy slowed down to 3.1 per cent in Q4 on the back of the coronavirus pandemic
superimposed on a prolonged slowdown. , the growth rate of eight core industries for April
2020 fell by 38.1 per cent, compared to a fall of 9 per cent in March 2020. The output of
electricity fell by 22.8 per cent, while the output of cement fell by 86 per cent; steel by 84
per cent; fertiliser by 4.5; refinery by 24.2 per cent; crude oil by 6.4 per cent; and coal by
15.5 per cent in April 2020.
FY20 – Q3 V Q2
India's GDP growth slipped to a low of 4.1 per cent in October-December 2019, weighed by
a contraction in manufacturing sector output, PTI reported. Private consumption has
improved. Investment degrowth remains an area of concern in Q3.In Q2 ,All infrastructure
sectors contracted, barring refinery products and fertilizers. Contractions in the output of
coal (-17.6%) and electricity (-12.4%) were the steepest.In September, the core sector had
shrunk by 5.1%.
FY20 Q3 V FY19 Q3
Private consumption growth picked up during the third quarter, but private investment or
gross fixed capital formation fell over the previous quarter(2020). Nominal growth
(adjusting for inflation) is pegged at 7.7 per cent for Q3 and 7.5 per cent for FY20.
Manufacturing, which entered negative territory in Q2 contracted further in Q3, followed by
electricity, construction and trade and services.
FY20 Q2 V Q1
The GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2019-20 settled at 5 per cent, a six-year low.
The slowdown in economic growth has taken away from India the tag of world's fastest
growing major economy to China. The GDP numbers were released along with the data for
the eight core infrastructure industries, which showed output delcining by 5.8 per cent in
October. As many as six of eight core industries saw a contraction in output in October. Coal
was the worst hit, declining steeply by 17.6 per cent.
FY20 Q1 V FY19 Q4
On comparing FY20 Q1 and FY19 Q4, we were able to see a change from 4.1 to 3.1. This was
the initial stages of the impact of global pandemic covid-19. Slowdown during the quarter
has been led by lacklustre growth in the manufacturing, financial services, construction and
lower consumption during the quarter. The private consumption in the economy has
indicated signs of slowdown compared with that in Q1 FY19. The private final consumption
expenditure grew at 18 quarter low by 3.1%, lower than the 7.3% growth in Q1 FY19 and
the 7.2% growth in the previous quarter.
FY20 Q1 V FY19 Q1
On analysing Q1 of both FY 20 and FY 19, the first quarter of the fiscal year 2019-20 has
been marked by disappointing and weak corporate earnings indicative of overall slowdown
in various industries and the economy. . In Q1 FY20, the net sales of the sample companies
grew at a lower 4.6% compared with the 13.5% in the comparable quarter last year. The net
sales of private banks have grown by 23% in Q1 FY20 higher than the 17.4% growth during
Q1 FY19. Public sector banks too witnessed growth in net sales by 8.1% compared with the
5.1% growth in Q1 FY19
Submitted by
Bijosh P Thomas
Junior Internship Trainnee