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Understand Trading in 2 Hours SteveRyan
Understand Trading in 2 Hours SteveRyan
“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”
According to the chart above, if you had invested $10,000 (for approximately 1,000 shares), your money
would now be worth $440.
Ouch.
That is the “dark power” of investing. It has the capability to destroy somebody’s personal finance.
However, when done correctly, investing has the “power” to help everyone build his or her wealth.
The beautiful part: The investment market never cares about your background, origin, race, skin color,
physical ability, which college you attended, your religion, or any of the BS that could get us into trouble
with any American company’s Human Resources department.
Many people dream about financial freedom. Investing is necessary to reach that elusive freedom.
However, too many people want the easy way and, therefore, treat investing half-heartedly.
Regardless of the investment vehicle (stocks, bonds, real estates, futures, forex, mutual funds, and
businesses), investing will require a lot of effort to be profitable consistently.
Sure, everyone’s stocks went up during the Dot Com Bubble in 2000. But, during the year that followed,
most people crashed along with their tech company stocks.
If investing was that simple, the world would be full of billionaires today.
But it is not that easy. Although, it does not have to be stressful or complicated. Investing, just like any
other business or profession, requires proper and practical strategies.
Let’s read the heartwarming story below.
How One Student Turned $30,000 to $240,000 With ONE Stock
Consider the life-changing story of Patrick Hop, a student of Berkley University at California, who
invested $30,000 in Tesla stock (TSLA) and purchased them at $22 each.
Of course, he received some repulsions when he initiated the investment. All those people shut their
mouths when TSLA skyrocketed from $32 to $160 within a few months.
And that $160 price was at the time when the news came out. TSLA actually hit its All-Time High at
$287.67 few months afterwards.
The life-changing money made in TSLA stock
That was about an 800% profit. Considering the guy invested his life saving of $30,000, he must have
made about $240,000 less than a year after this investment (assuming he did not chicken out or sell the
stock when it hovered around $200).
That is quite a life-changing amount of money, wouldn’t you agree?
What is the downside of this Do-It-Yourself Investing style? First is the time required to find and
research the right stocks. Second, because the money would not be managed by professional money
managers, DIY investors like you and I incur a higher chance of getting wiped out by the market.
Unless we are well-educated enough to manage an investment portfolio, diversification actually can make
things worse when investing.
“Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing.”
Warren Buffett
Why is that? Without clear methods and a strong conviction, small investors like us will only become the
breakfast for the big players. And worse, the more we diversify the more we put our money at risk. This,
in turn, also means more food for the sharks of Wall Street.
But we can time our action. How?
We do it by asking ONE right question and then taking the right actions afterwards.
However, before we go to the details, we need to know WHAT that one question is and the logic behind
that question.
PREFACE
GET THIS BOOK FOR $3.49 $0
THE 2-HOUR TRADING
1
A Person can be Smart, but People are Generally Stupid
2
Some Trading Rules Are Meant to Be Broken
3
Repeat This Again and Again Investing is NOT Trading
4
Strive for Opportunities with Disproportionate Reward to Risk
5
Buy and Hold Strategy can be Hell Sugarcoated as Hope
6
Know When to Exit When You Are BOTH Winning and Losing
7
Always Start with WHY. Why are You Trading This?
CONCLUSION
PREVIEW
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ABOUT
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1
A Person can be Smart, but People are Generally Stupid
“The stock market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time.”
Jesse Livermore
The fact that you are reading this book shows that you are an aspiring speculator, an experienced
speculator, or someone who is looking to get back into the game of speculation, hopefully not because you
were previously being slapped hard by the Mother Market.
In any case, unless yesterday was your first day in the market, you know how it feels to lose money.
You know that feeling when the stock (or any security for that matter) you were holding teased you by
going up a little before going down much more at a faster speed than you could have imagined.
Then you were faced with a decision. Let go and admit that you were wrong, or continue to hold on and
hope the price will bounce soon.
Well, in this book, we will learn about the ONE question that matters along with ONE cardinal sin of
trading that is actually committed by millions of investors and traders every day.
Jesse Livermore
Nothing worth doing is easy, yet many speculators think they know the direction of Apple stock or when
the oil price will bounce just by reading and listening to the analysts and so-called experts.
Speculators are required to do the homework to find sectors and individual instruments that fit their
personalities and match their risk tolerance the most.
Warren Buffet made billions by buying undervalued stocks. He purchased the stocks when they were
cheap and reaped the benefits when the real values were finally realized.
On the other side of the coin, Dan Zanger turned $10,000 into $1 million by buying momentum stocks. He
only bought stocks when they were making new highs by breaking out of previous consolidation (more
about that later). He rode the trend while it lasted and, unlike Buffet, Zanger did not hold his investment
for a long period of time.
The four questions you read in the beginning of this chapter are NOT the correct questions to ask. They
are the questions that were asked by lazy speculators in the past who refused to do the adequate research
and, instead, put their money blindly in the mercy of the market.
To me it is no different than going to Las Vegas and throwing the money on the roulette table.
The question you need to ask actually does not involve Jim Crammer, Warren Buffet, George Soros, or
any legendary traders and investors out there.
Leave alone all those CNBC, Bloomberg, or other media analysts whose jobs, sometimes, were to create
stories and dramas overhyping the market (it feels like it, truly).
The one question you ask should involve YOURSELF. Why? Because people are stupid generally. There
is a certain form of social pressure, as well as a willingness to be led (or told what to do), when it comes
to the world of investing and trading.
It seems that people lose trust on their own capabilities to make their own judgement when it comes to
good stocks to own.
Too many people invest or trade some stocks simply because they have listened to the analysts, to the
investing newsletter they subscribe to, to the neighbors they talk with over the weekend, and more.
Have you ever asked yourself this question?
Am I an Investor, or Am I a Trader?
And that, ladies and gentlemen, is the single most important question in stock speculation.
“Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology.”
Seth Klarman
The question puts the responsibility back on us, instead of on others’ opinion.
In the world of speculation, it is the right thing to do. Learn how to trade or invest, start small, lose some
money (and you WILL lose money), go back to the charts and learn from your mistakes, try again and lose
less money, go back to the studying room and see what you do wrong, trade again and breakeven, re-study
your trades, make small money, and eventually, make enough/big money.
Notice there is no “watch CNBC or Bloomberg” there!
2
Some Trading Rules Are Meant to Be Broken
This chapter might be a bit controversial. Hence the disclaimer at the end of the chapter.
It is controversial but worth a chapter in this book. Why? Because most people, regardless of their level
of trading or investing experiences, get this wrong
I am sure that you have heard people ask: “Is the market good today?” Or perhaps you have heard them
saying: “You must trade in accordance to the market direction.”
What if I tell you that the question and advice are not entirely accurate?
Let’s take a look at the US market chart below.
The US Market Benchmark (SPY)
We can see how the market is in uptrend during the month of May 2015. This is marked by the ascending
black trend line.
But now take a look at one particular stock below.
Alcoa Corporation (AA)
During the same month (May 2015), the stock Alcoa (AA) has actually been in a downtrend, which is marked by the descending black trend
line.
It is the same period and the same US market. But we see a different direction.
Why is that?
Yes, majority of the stocks traded in the US market were down during the same day—but not all.
Sears Holding Company (SHLD)– Intraday 15 minute Chart
Sears Holding (SHLD) was having an uptrend day (black ascending trend line) on the same day the whole
US market was having a downtrend day.
***********
Therefore, it is worth remembering that in every weak market (or weak day in the market) there
will be strong stocks. Also, in every strong market (or strong day in the market) there will be weak
stocks.
***********
Underperformers and overperformers are everywhere, including the market.
Stock First, Market Second. Not the other way around.
Ready for more thought-changing rules?
Here is another common investing or trading advice that I, and maybe many of you, often heard:
“I trade based on price supports and resistances” or “Price has memory, hence a reversal is bound to
happen at major supports and resistances.”
While trading around supports and resistances have been one of my major strategies, know that there will
be times (and they are good times!) when supports and resistances do not matter.
In life, momentum is everything. So is momentum in the market.
When the market (or a stock) is having a strong momentum, supports and resistances are bound to be
broken.
We can tell that AVGO has had resistances at 130 and 135. Nevertheless, when the uptrend momentum
started in the beginning of May (see the ascending yellow trend line), the strong momentum pushed the
130 resistance before it carried on and broke the major 135 resistance.
As traders, we must be prepared to switch our strategy from day trading to swing trading when AVGO
breaks 130 and holds up.
Why?
Because we know from the book 10 Enigmatic Trading Price Action: How To Exploit Price Action
Behaviors When Day Trading And Swing Trading that momentum begets momentum.
The price action anomaly also extends to the other side. Take a look at the AAL chart below:
In the American Airlines chart above, the long-term support of 46 was broken when a strong downtrend
momentum started slightly below 48.
Yeap, momentum always begets momentum. Momentum is great because inside the strong, steady, long
momentum is where the most is made in trading.
That big, bad, audacious red candle was the candle of the day when the “good” earnings were announced.
Enough for listening to the news when trading.
By the way, the phrase to fill in the blank above is “….tanks despite….”.
Let’s go with another example. Read this financial news excerpt below:
For fiscal 2015, the company now expect earnings in a range of between $7 per share to $7.60 per
share. Analysts expect the company to earn $5.67 per share for the full year.
Still, the company released better-than-expected first-quarter earnings late Tuesday.
For the first quarter, Fossil earned 75 cents per share, compared to $1.22 per share a year ago, but
still topping the 64 cents analysts were expecting, according to Thomson Reuters.
All good news! The spring seemed to begin for this Fossil Company.
Except the stock price. Take a look at the chart below:
3
Repeat This Again and Again Investing is NOT Trading
“The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator.
Ben Graham
We will start with this statement: Trading is NOT the same with investing.
This is a very important concept because this one common mistake, unfortunately, is proven fatal for many
beginners and even seasoned and experienced speculators.
In general and practice, trading and investing are two different things.
John Bogle
Investing should always have a long-term perspective. The goal is to find the best companies out there
who are still going to get better or even to be great in the future either because of a competitive advantage
in product (Apple), service (Nordstrom), or logistics (Wal-Mart) or because of other X-factors like being
ahead of the game (Netflix, Amazon).
Investing involves activities such as researching the companies of interest. One should look at information
such as the total sales, latest financial report, previous eight quarters of earning reports, amount of assets,
amount of debts, amount of cash flows, and more.
Some of this information can be found in the internet (Finviz.com, Google Finance, Bloomberg, or Yahoo!
Finance will be a good place to start). But is it enough?
Unfortunately, the answer is NO. Peter Lynch is famous for his legendary return of 29% between 1977
and1990 as the fund manager of Fidelity’s Magellan Fund. He often had to make visits to the company
stores or headquarters to talk to the employees and to build business relationships with the big guns of the
companies he visited.
He did that to confirm his research-based convictions about the companies before he could make a
decision of whether to invest in them.
A company’s financial information definitely means something but not everything.
Unfortunately, many people have become obsessed with this information and they forget, to their
disadvantages, that they do not have the same access to all of the information.
The big institutions and fund managers, like Fidelity and Peter Lynch, will always beat the small, retail
investors like us in this regard.
This is investing. A person bought AAPL, because he had done all the research, back in 2005 when AAPL
was less than $10 per share (about $70 before 2014 Split). He is now about eight times wealthier— in
less than 10 years! That person could only invest in 1000 shares ($10,000) and the value in 2012 is now
about $80,000. That’s not bad at all.
Even another person who bought the stock a little bit later, after the price has moved up, still made pretty
good ROI from his investment. The second investor who bought 1,000 AAPL for $30 ($30,000) had
above $50,000 in profit (before tax) at the same time the guy above had $80,000 in profit.
Now let’s see the other side of the coin (never forget that there is always the other side of the coin).
Always remind yourself that no matter how good we are, there is always a chance we could lose all of
our money.
BlackBerry Chart (BBRY – formerly Research in Motion /RIMM)
Anon
”Trading is gambling.”
“No trader makes money in the long run.”
“Trading is very risky.”
You will hear these saying, or perhaps you have already heard them before.
Let me say that trading is just like money. It is not good or bad, dangerous or safe.
Trading is just…“is”.
Just like money, if we do not know how to use it well, it will exacerbate our problems instead of solving
them.
Unlike investing, trading does not care much about long-term perspective. Typical traders have three main
concerns:
***********
1) Is the institution’s money in the stock or not?
2) What is the good (not perfect) time to enter and exit the trade?
3) How much fees and liquidity spread need to be paid?
***********
In trading, especially short-term trading (day and momentum trading), we want "instant gratification." We
do not want to wait to see a result after five years. We prefer immediate returns.
An AAPL investor would enter in 2010 and sell in 2012. An AAPL momentum trader does not have that
kind of patience. Trend and momentum were everything for this trading style. Thus, when AAPL broke
the predetermined trend line, it was time to sell (as illustrated by the first blue arrow below).
AAPL Stock Chart
Traders will not have a problem getting in and out in a matter of weeks or days.
Apple tested the $217 area in 2007 but then when back to $70 during the financial crisis in 2008.
Investors who believe in the long-term investment would leave their money in the stock. But traders who,
for example, bought it when AAPL broke out $140 in the beginning of 2007 and enjoyed the gain to near
$200 would sell the shares when it broke $175 to the downside (all prices were before 7:1 Split).
We will see more trading in this book later, both theoretical and practical.
Trading could have much higher risk and return, and is done in a shorter time. Nevertheless, trading is
also one technique investors need to know in order to avoid “shooting in blind.” Trading provides the one
thing investing desperately needs
And that one thing, ladies and gentleman, is a sense of timing.
Ironically, without a trading skill, an investor is at risk of turning into the one thing that people have
accused traders of being.
A gambler.
4
Strive for Opportunities with Disproportionate Reward to Risk
“Wall Street people learn nothing and forget everything.”
Benjamin Graham
Most people use the terms investing and trading too liberally.
They say, “I am going to invest in Apple stock,” while they plan to take profits as soon as the stock
experiences its first correction or pullback.
Or more commonly, people say, “I am going to trade Amazon stock,” while they do not have any plan to
take profits or cut loss, and therefore end up treating the trade like an investment.
These are not the correct ways to speculate in the market.
The main pros of investing are:
---Bigger unlimited profit potentials
---More free time as it is not necessary to look at your investment every time. You
can set your alert and ride the wave (if you are in the right wave).
---Smaller 15% tax (assuming the security is owned over one-year period)
---Dividends that come with some stocks
The main cons of investing are:
---The time needed for the investors to achieve the investment goal
---The lack of control. Investors are exposed to the risks incurred by the company
and, most of the time, it would be too late to take an action
Some of the benefits of trading are:
---Quicker profits
---Capability to control the risks better. Trading, when executed correctly, can
prevent big losses from occurring.
The quicker profits come with a tradeoff as:
---Traders will inevitably leave some profits on the table.
---Traders are also subject to the bigger capital gain tax.
---Traders are prone to heavy physical, psychological, and emotional pressures.
Risk Management
“Anticipate the difficult by managing the easy.”
Lao Tzu
Risk management is such a crucial, yet commonly unnoticed, necessity to fruitful and active trading or
investing.
Being human, traders and investors who have produced a considerable amount of revenue throughout their
lifetime can lose everything (plus more) in just a handful of improper trades or investments if they fail to
utilize prudent risk management principles.
Risk Reward Ratio is a popular theme in commercial lingo. Putting your hard-earned money into the stock
markets has a great amount of risk and, if done, the profit of the money you are going to obtain needs to
be greater then what you originally invested.
But here is the question most people forget to ask, “How much greater?”
Imagine if a friend, who has had a history of financial trouble, requested to borrow $1,000 and promised
to give you $1,150 in a month. Your return would be 15%. Yes, it would be much higher than any other
investment you could have gotten in a one month timeframe.
However, the risk outweighs the reward in this case. The fact that your buddy is in financial trouble might
cost you that $1,000. For a 15% return, it might not be a prudent move.
But what if the return were 50% instead of 15%?
Now the Risk Reward Ratio seems a bit better.
“The most important questions of life are indeed, for the most part, really only problems of probability.”
Pierre-Simon Laplace
5
Buy and Hold Strategy can be Hell Sugarcoated as Hope
“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know
yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the
enemy nor yourself, you will succumb.”
Trading is war.
When we are trading, without consciously realizing it, we are facing the smartest of the smartest people in
the world.
And I mean in the whole world, not only in the area where we trade our stocks, ETFs, options, or futures.
Thank God for the internet.
With the advancement of technology, people in Sydney, Australia can trade and follow the action of the
traders working their socks off at the famous Wall Street in New York City, USA.
Conjointly, to make matters get bloodier, these smart people are not all the Mother Market has for us.
When we are trading we also face computer algorithms, the velocity of trade execution exceeds that of the
average human. This algorithm, widely known as the pesky High Frequency Trading (HFT), has the
capability to create a lot of fake movements and, thus, put retail traders like all of us at an enormous
disadvantage.
Therefore, the quote for the great Chinese Philosopher Sun Tzu in the beginning of this chapter is not a
dramatization.
Without a proper and state-of-the-art strategy, as well as the best-in-class execution plan, we will get
eaten by the bigger market players and even the HFT, ending up as the fallen soldiers.
One of the most critical factors in trading or investing is timing.
Unfortunately, too many people purchase an investment without any regards to timing.
When the price falls, they pray.
Consider the real story below.
I was not the best stock “chartist” in the world, but, even then, I realized that there was a possibility that
AAPL had formed a bottom.
The fact that my buddy looked desperate and distraught did enough to confirm my conviction.
Why? Because, in the market, sharp reversal of the trend usually occurs when people have reached the
point that they feel unbearable fear and pain. Remember the first quote from Jesse Livermore on how the
market is designed to fool most people?
So I told him, excuse me I YELLED at him, that he had to hold on and to only sell if AAPL breached
$370.
And the rest is pretty self-explanatory from the chart below.
AAPL bounced strongly from that level and created a NEW ALL TIME HIGH in 2014
That black arrow was the point where my buddy wanted to get rid of the stock.
And that guy still hasn’t treated me to a drink. I didn’t even get the invitation to the Caribbean.
Darn.
Have you seen, or heard about, a similar situation to the one above?
When it happens to a person you really know, it leaves lasting impression on you. I watched my buddy’s
erroneous confidence when Apple went below $650, his dilemma when the price went down 100 points,
his exasperation when the stock lost ANOTHER 100 points, his exuberance when the price bounced a tad
from $500, his disappointment when it went back to $500, and his desperation when it broke $500 and
kept making new lows.
I vowed I would never ever put myself in that situation. It was a far too hardcore and stressful way of
speculating.
Unfortunately I was sure, very sure, that my friend was not the only one.
Why did the situation happen? Furthermore, how can we, as small retail investors, prevent this situation
from happening to us?
By getting our timing right.
Now, we are not being delusional or thinking we can time the market, let alone beat it. No one does.
However, investing or trading without any sense of timing is the very essence of gambling.
And we all know what happens to gamblers everywhere.
“I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when
others are fearful.”
Warren Buffett
6
Know When to Exit When You Are BOTH Winning and Losing
“Always remember; you can win a horse race, but you can’t beat the races. You can win on a stock, but you
cannot beat Wall Street all the time. Nobody can.”
Jesse Livermore
One of the worst feelings in the market occurs when we see the price of our investment (stock, future, or
commodity) go down right after we buy it, or bounce back up right after we sell.
Many people get frustrated when the securities they invest in turn out to be a winners…only for the first
few minutes before the price reverses and the profit-loss number turns red.
On the other side of the equation, many people get equally frustrated when they decide to cut their losses
and sell only to watch in horror as the price skyrockets within minutes after they clicked the ”Sell” button.
It is frustrating when we are right about the direction of the security but still get punished for it.
Unfortunately, the market never cares about us. It is up to us to enter the market at the right time.
If you are right about the direction of your investment but you enter it at the wrong time, then you will still
lose money.
Profitable Speculation (Both Investing and Trading) Requires Your Picks AND Timing to
Be Correct
We should not treat trading as gambling, albeit it would be easy to do so. I am a student of both the market
and the casino (I have spent hours playing Texas Hold’em). Unfortunately, the lingos I have heard at both
venues have been sadly similar most of the time.
By now you probably could have guessed what lingo I am talking about.
“I feel the Ace of spades is coming next!”
“It has been RED in the past five rounds. I am betting big on BLACK now. It is about
time.”
“I just beat the dealer with Black Jack twice in a row. Time to bet bigger. I have the
momentum. I am unbeatable.”
How are they be different from:
“I feel Google is undervalued. It will go up next week.”
“Facebook has been down five days in a row. It is too cheap at the moment. It is about
time the stock bounces. I am going to spend my savings to buy FB.”
“I just made a lot of money trading Apple two weeks in a row. I have to trade with more
size since I am getting good at reading the stock movement. I am invincible.”
They do not seem that different to me.
The “regret-filled” statements below are also quite popular.
”I should know Apple stock will keep going up!”
“I should have bought US Dollars when it was weak a few months ago!”
“Had I known the housing price would bounce like this, I would have purchased that
house few years ago.”
Have you ever felt, in whatever market you are investing in, that you are buying at the top and selling at
the bottom?
Or have you ever felt like you are buying too early or selling too late?
Have you ever felt that it is impossible to consistently make profits in the stock, futures, forex,
commodities, or pretty much ANY market?
Timing is inevitably important in investing whether you are investing in stocks, bonds, futures, forex, real
estate, mutual funds, or anything else.
Without the right timing, small investors like us are unconsciously gambling when we invest by “hoping”
or “guessing” instead of "calculating”. This is where this guide will be an eye opener. The message is
clear. We should approach investing with positive expectation and proper risk management instead of
“Oh, I just knew that stock would go up!”
This guide might just be what you need as an eye opener on how to make money in the market more
consistently.
Remember that the house, the casino, always wins in the long run. So does the market.
We are never trying to beat the market all the time. The only way to beat the casino is by “betting big
when the perfect hand comes” (to quote the line by George Clooney in Ocean’s 11).
That is not the intention of this book.
There is no bad investing method, but there are impractical and practical ones. My goal is to share the
latter to the world so there will be less statements like “I feel the price will go up” uttered.
Investing is not a roulette table. Investing should be methodical and measureable.
If you had a restaurant, a boutique, or any other physical business, you wouldn’t make any decisions based
on “feelings”, would you? In other words, you would not gamble with your business.
Why not extend the same courtesy when you are investing and trading?
We are not trying to act as if we know which direction the stock, or the market, will move to. All we care
about is exploiting all of the edges we have.
Combining the right time, which is one of the biggest advantages we have as private traders or investors,
with prudent risk management will go a long way.
“Let's not be part of the 85% of people who quit the market after less than 2 years.”
Steve Ryan
7
Always Start with WHY. Why are You Trading This?
“Trading is very competitive and you have to be able to handle getting your butt kicked.”
Let’s go over the investing and trading definitions again (one last ride, I promise).
***********
Investing is buying an asset (it can be a company stock, a house, or an obligation, etc.) and keeping it for
an extended time (that is usually undefined) with the hope that the price of the asset will go up in the
future, hopefully the near future.
Trading, on the other hand, is purchasing an asset (it can be a company stock, a house, or an obligation,
etc.) and keeping it for a shorter time (that is usually predefined) with the expectation that the price of
the asset will go up within the predefined time.
***********
The two definitions above, although they might sound similar, are really quite different.
Does it sound too good to be true? That’s because…it is.
Now that we know, in depth, the difference between investing and trading, we also understand how
combining the two will yield the best results for small investors like us.
Investing can give us the maximum returns on our money, but trading gives us the sense of timing. Trading
allows us to enter when the market provides us with an edge.
Even if we can get in and out as many times and as quick as we could, we still need to know when to get
in and out of a trade or investment—just like a poker player senses when to hold or to fold.
“Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take
$800 and go to Las Vegas.”
Paul Samuelson
Jesse Livermore
But our ability to control our emotions and control our thoughts comes from the understanding of our
personalities, goals, tolerance, degrees of insecurity and more.
We will not turn this section into a psychology lesson. That is for another time and another book.
For now, however, understand that there is one problem bigger than the market.
Ourselves.
“We have found the enemy. And it is us.”
Pogo
Investors give up smaller gains now for bigger gains in the future. Traders do not care about the bigger
gains as they are looking to cash in their profit targets.
Thus, in investing, the potential amount of profits that can be made is higher, but so is the potential amount
of risk when entering the investment at the wrong time.
While in trading, the potential amount of profits is lower because traders do not give the opportunity for
the investment to maximize its potential. However, the timing to enter can be controlled to lower the risk
incurred with the investment.
The example below can give more clarity on the statement.
Most people who bought houses during that time were hoping the price would go up. Most of them did not
have plans on when to sell it, how much monetary risk they were willing to take, or even how much
monetary reward they were going to settle for.
We are going back to the definition of investing. The bold, italicized, and underlined keywords there are
extended time, undefined and hope.
When the bubble burst, what followed were severe declines in housing prices which caused many people,
who had thought that they had made wise investments, to be left with mortgages that far exceeded the
house price. Defaults and foreclosures followed automatically.
We are using this example to illustrate that, contrary to what most people believe, buying and holding an
asset for a long term is NOT ALWAYS the safest way to invest.
Without a proper investing plan and without knowing how much risk and reward one is willing to take, as
well as top execution abilities, investing can really ruin someone’s financial situation.
“The four most dangerous words in investing are: This. Time. It’s. Different.”
Sir John Templeton
You realized that a good earnings report usually was followed by an increase in the stock price. However,
instead of jumping in to buy the stock when the market opened later in the morning (and the stock gapped
up), you took the time to login to your StockCharts.com and learned more about the FB stock chart.
You wanted to know where the Support and Resistance were, what the current Average True Range of
the stock was, whether the stock was currently Oversold or Overbought, where the 10-Day Simple
Moving Average and 50-Day Simple Moving Average of the stock were, and the Relative Strength Index.
This is practically trading. In this Facebook example, you were expecting instead of hoping.
We are going back to the definition of trading. The bold, italicized, and underlined keywords there are
shorter time, predefined, and expectation.
With the information you now had, you devised a plan to enter the trade (long the stock), determined how
much money you were willing to lose (potential risk), and defined how much money you would
potentially make (expected reward). You also decided that if within 3 months the price did not move in
the direction you wanted it to be, you would exit the trade and find another opportunity to invest.
Every action and reaction can be put into numbers and calculated. It is more than just “I have a feeling
Facebook will keep going up.” Or “I think Facebook is undervalued. It’s so cheap that we should buy it
now.”
Thus, trading is the practically the essence of entering an investment at the right time.
Now, let’s not get ahead of ourselves here. The sentence above does not mean we can time the market
perfectly. No one can unless he owns inside information or he is simply a liar.
Instead, trading complements investing because we are able to define the potential risk and optimal
reward associated with the investment at that particular moment.
“You don’t need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy
with the 130 IQ.”
Warren Buffett
CONCLUSION
“If you do not change direction, you may end up where you are heading.”
Lao Tzu
If you are reading this book, then you are probably either a seasoned or rookie trader or investor.
There is no such thing as guarantee in this profession. As I quote above, 85% of people fail to be
consistently profitable traders.
***********
In summary, investing can yield life-changing profits when done correctly. What I mean by
“correctly” is by knowing the best time to enter and exit the investment.
This is where trading comes into the equation. Trading, on the other hand, requires closer control of
the risks by determining the optimal entry and exit points, calculating the potential profits, as well
as potential risks, and cutting losses quickly.
***********
Most people do not want to take the time to learn how to do trading and investing properly. They can read
all the books on the topic, yet I bet most of them will still lose money at the end of the day.
Because trading is personal. You might have heard that 90% of trading is mental. The statement is correct
because what seems to be a good trade for me can be a crappy one for you.
If that is the case, then it is only logical that one has to spend time and energy to find one trading style that
fits him and his personality.
This is the very definition of “trading done correctly”.
Most people just want to take the shortcuts. They feel that they know whether a stock’s direction will be
up or down. They happen to know a popular product, a prominent brand that is the leader in the industry,
or a company whose executives are well-known and competent and they suddenly become the expert of
that particular company’s stock.
Well, guess what. At the end of the day, though, they, you, or I…. We know nothing.
Being an investor requires extensive fundamental research. Being a trader requires extensive technical
research. Neither of these will provide a “get rich quick” scheme.
I do hope you find this book is helpful and applicable. The 2-Hour Trading System applies and executes
all the strategies outlined.
For you who are interested to learn more, let’s go to the next book:
PREVIEW
Charts Don’t Lie: 23 Untold Chart Trading Shortcuts: How to Make Profits Quickly and Safely in the Market
4
Defense Wins Games in Trading
“I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong…I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.”
George Soros
In sports and war, there is a philosophy that states “Good offense is the best defense.”
In trading, that very similar philosophy will get us killed.
No offense to the people who believe in the philosophy. I myself am a firm believer of such philosophy.
Just not in trading or investing.
I dare to say this because I am the prime example of how that philosophy will get traders slaughtered.
First, this “aggressive attacking” philosophy caused me to trade ahead of the market. For instance, I saw Facebook was nearing its support
level, and without waiting for bottoming formation (or confirmation of reversal), I purchased the stock.
The price went down further 1 point (remember that supports and resistances are NOT exact numbers but they are AREAS instead) and
I got stopped out, few moments before the price bounced.
Second, the philosophy caused me to trade in oversize amounts. Once I reached certain confidence level, I entered trades with more size and
sometimes, the bigger size deteriorated the Reward to Risk Ratio. Instead of scaling my position, I purchased the whole size when the price
action was still choppy.
They did sound like good offensive moves, didn’t they?
Perhaps, but let me tell you. Even the most beautiful offense will not make you feel better if your bank account stays in the red zone.
The philosophy also caused me to be prone to overtrading. I might trade the right size but I did not trade optimally, which meant I took
“mediocre” trades with not-good-enough or even bad Reward to Risk Ratio.
Market requires us to focus on our “defense” instead of worrying about our “offense”. None of us know where exactly the market will be in
the future. Up, down, or sideways.
Not even the Great Phil Jackson, Gregg Popovich, Bill Belichek, Vince Lombardi, Bobby Knight, Sir Alex Ferguson, Jose Mourinho, Coach K,
or John Wooden.
The best we can do is entering a trade that allows us to take a minimum risk while taking maximum reward.
Preserve your capital as fierce as you can possibly imagine. Defense wins games in trading.
Do you like the excerpt? If you do, please feel free to check the book
along with some other good trading books.
Charts Don't Lie: 3 Gambling-Proof Trading Actions...That You Should Master and Prepare Before You Even Start Trading
***Forever FREE***
Zero to Trading 100: Good to Great Trading: 7 Secret Insights to Make Money Consistently In The Stock Market
Zero to Trading 101: Disciplined Trading: 21 Secrets on How to Trade with Confidence in the Stock Market
Zero to Trading 102: Leverage Trading: How to Own (or Sell) Expensive Stocks for Less…and Make Money with One Simple
Strategy
Charts Don’t Lie: 4 Untold Trading Indicators: How Everyone Can Make Money In The Market With Technical
Analysis
Charts Don’t Lie: 7 Secrets Of Trading System That Works: How Everyone Now Can Make Money In The Market
Charts Don’t Lie: 10 Most Enigmatic Trading Price Actions: How To Exploit Market Price Action Anomalies When Day Trading
And Swing Trading
Charts Don’t Lie: 23 Untold Chart Trading Shortcuts: How to Make Profits Quickly and Safely in the Market
Rich Traders Poor Traders: 17 Secrets Why Only Few Traders and Investors Can Make Money
Think and Trade Rich: 12 Untold Insights On Fundamental & Technical Analysis to Make You Money in the Market
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I APPPRECIATE YOU
Thank you for downloading and reading this book. I appreciate your time and money you spent, and more
importantly, I appreciate you as a person.
If there is anything I can do for you, please let me know. Send me an email or tweet me if you have
questions on trading. Maybe you want to see how I read certain stock charts?
I will do my best to respond and to help.
It is my sole intention to help traders and investors to unshackle themselves from trading fears, remove (or
at least, reduce) their trading stress, and (hopefully) make more profits.
I am only a small trader in the enormous pond full of great market players. It means the world to me if you
can kindly leave a review for the book you just read.
Review
If you don’t like the book or don’t feel that the book is helpful, please contact me at
mailto:steve.ryan@zero2trading.com
I would be happy to take any suggestion you have for me.
If you are an investor and/or trader, and happen to enjoy readings on business and money, the website
Zero2Trading.com will come handy for you as I guarantee the stuff you find will add values.
Let’s keep in touch via Twitter (@zero2trading) or StockTwits (@zero2trading). If you have financial thoughts,
market opinions or stock opinions, shoot me a tweet.
Thank you for downloading and reading the book.
ABOUT
“An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.”
Benjamin Franklin
The writer of this book is just a normal guy like everyone else with high interests towards the world of
personal finance.
Steve Ryan is a private trader and investor, with US stocks and ETFs as his primary focus. He believes in
diversification based on asset classes. Hence his investment in properties and his current vocation of
establishing his own business.
Ryan invests in stocks, bonds, real estate, and mutual funds. He, however, believes his best investments
are in his work-in-progress business and his knowledge on actively trading the market. Knowledge is
power, and in the world of investing and trading, that is THE truism.
When trading, Ryan focuses on trending and momentum stocks. After wasting close to $13,000 in
commission during Ryan’s early years trading, he trades only liquid stocks nowadays.
His main method is scanning 250 stocks every night to find out the potential opportunities the next day.
Ryan then looks for the best setups that would allow him to go for the maximum profits.
It took him exactly five years to be a consistently profitable trader.
When he is not working on his new business, writing, or trading, Ryan can be found reading books about
business and money, drinking coffee and/or a little bit of alcohol, traveling, playing basketball or football,
watching sports, working out, and hanging out with his old and new buddies.
Table of Contents
PREFACE
GET THIS BOOK FOR $3.49 $0
THE 2-HOUR TRADING
1
A Person can be Smart, but People are Generally Stupid
2
Some Trading Rules Are Meant to Be Broken
3
Repeat This Again and Again Investing is NOT Trading
4
Strive for Opportunities with Disproportionate Reward to Risk
5
Buy and Hold Strategy can be Hell Sugarcoated as Hope
6
Know When to Exit When You Are BOTH Winning and Losing
7
Always Start with WHY. Why are You Trading This?
CONCLUSION
PREVIEW
FREE 3-DAY TRADING-INVESTING COURSE
I APPPRECIATE YOU
ABOUT