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標題＊ Decrease in Cost of Solar by 50% can Increase Solar
1
Title Penetration by Eight Times: NITI Aayog
國家區域＊ India
2
Country
說明：此為後臺分類選項，請勾選商情之資訊類別：
This is the Back-End category of Green Trade website,
資訊類別＊ please kindly select the closest classification of the
3 Info article provided.
Category □綠色認證資訊/Green Products Certification.
□綠色技術新知/Latest Green Technology.
□企業綠色資訊/Info of Green Enterprises.
商品類別＊ □能源與再生能源 Energy / Renewable Energy
4
Industry
新聞日期＊ 09/10/2018
5
Date
6 商情內容＊ Continued policy support to promote renewable energy is
Content essential to achieve the target, the report stated

Solar penetration in India is highly cost sensitive, says

a recent working paper released by the National Institute
of Transforming India (NITI) Aayog.

The study is based on India’s energy and emissions

outlook. By analyzing alternative renewable energy
technology cost developments in the future, it was found
that a decrease in solar cost by 50 percent can increase
solar penetration by more than eight times as compared to
the baseline scenario.

This shows that penetration of renewable energy is highly

cost elastic in the Indian market and therefore continued
policy support to promote renewable energy is essential
to achieve the target.

The paper utilizes a bottom- up energy systems model and

presents a modeling-based approach to understand the
future development of India’s energy system and look at
how India’s commitments on climate change will affect
its future energy and emissions scenarios.

Per the paper, as far as solar and wind capacity is

concerned, without any significant improvement in cost,
capacity addition of these renewables in baseline
scenario is limited. This is reflected in the renewable
share of total electricity generation, as without
improvement in technical efficiency capacity addition in
solar and wind translates into a lesser than
proportionate increase in generation from these sources.

Lower the cost of installing and maintaining the

services, higher the chances of newer capacity addition
of renewable energy in the system.

The paper points out that by achieving its targets for

increasing renewable capacity as per the nationally
determined contribution (NDC) commitments, India can
increase the share of renewables in power generation to
22 percent in 2032 as compared to almost 16 percent in
the baseline scenario. In this scenario (NDC scenario),
the share of non-fossil sources in installed capacity is
45 percent in 2030, as compared to 35 percent in the
baseline scenario.
 The working paper also notes that by increasing the
installed capacity of renewables to 175 GW by 2022, India
will be able to surpass its target of achieving 40
percent non-fossil capacity by 2022. With a 45 percent
installed capacity from non-fossil sources by 2030, power
sector emissions will consequently decline by 11 percent
from a business-as-usual development, depicted as a
baseline scenario, and thermal generation will continue
to be the major source of power supply in the country.”

Per Mercom’s India Solar Project Tracker, India

currently has an installed solar capacity of over 25 GW.
Per Mercom’s India Wind Tracker, India’s installed wind
capacity is 34.5 GW.

NITI Aayog is an advisory body of the government of

India. Recently, NITI Aayog issued a draft concession
agreement for public private partnership (PPP) for
operation and maintenance of electric buses in Indian
cities.
資料來源＊ https://mercomindia.com/decrease-solar-cost-increase-solar-
7
Resources penetration/

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