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Financial Modelling
Financial Modelling
Steps Criteria
1 Company Size
3 Earnings Stability
4 Dividend Record
5 Earnings Growth
8 Margin of Safety
Description
Company Size:
Market Capitalisation (Rs. Crores)
a. Current Ratio:
Current Assets (Rs. Crores)
Current Liabilities (Rs. Crores)
Current Ratio
Earnings Stability:
Positive Earnings per Share over last 10 years?
Dividend Record:
Uninterrupted dividend payments over last 10 years?
Earnings Growth:
Minimum increase of at least 33% in earnings per share over the last 10 years?
Margin of Safety:
Earnings Yield
10 Year Indian (Bunds) Government Bond Yields
Margin of Safety
Earnings Yield greater than 10 year govt bonds?
Figures Comments
54.35 Sufficient Market Cap over USD 1Bn
71.58
69.05
1.04 Current Ratio less than desired 1.2x
53.5
2.53 Long-term debt not less than Net Current Assets
94.6
54.5 Total Debt less than 2x Shareholders Equity
YES Positive earnings per share each year over the last 10 years
77.71
9.7
10.45
13.12
11.09
7.01
YES P/E Ratio of 7.01x is below 12x
77.71
54.5
9.5
45
601,995,196
0.60
74.75
1.04
YES P/B Ratio of 1.04x is less than 1.5x
14%
0.40%
13.87%
YES Significant margin of safety
Date: 1st October 2018
Steps Criteria
1 Earnings Yield
2 Dividend Yield
4 Return on Equity
Description Figures
Earnings Yield:
3 Year Average Earnings Per Share 11.09
Share price (Rs.) 77.71
Earnings Yield 14.27%
Dividend Yield:
Share price (Rs) 77.71
2017 Dividend Per Share (Rs) 3.20
2018 Dividend Per Share (Rs) 3.50
2019 Dividend Per Share (Rs) 4.00
3 Year Average Dividend Per Share 3.57
Dividend Yield 4.59%
a. Owners' Earnings:
Net Profit (Rs. Crores) 8.71
Depreciation & Amortisation 4.82
Cost of Stock Options Issuance 0
CAPEX Spend (Average over last 10 years) 0.80
Oversized pension return income 0
Owners' Earnings (Rs. Crores) 12.73
b. Invested Capital:
Total Assets (Rs. Crores) 193.48
Cash and cash equivalents (Rs. Crores) 9.04
Past Accounting Changes (Rs. Crores) 0
Invested Capital (Rs. Crores) 184.44
Return on Equity:
Net Income (Rs. Crores) 8.71
Shareholders' Equity (Rs. Crores) 54.5
Return on Equity 15.98%
Comments
EURs Year Earnings per Share (Fully diluted on common stock) Annual Growth
2010 0.49
2011 0.31 -37%
2012 4.93 1490%
2013 7.45 51%
2014 7.75 4%
2015 8.1 5%
2016 8.83 9%
2017 9.7 10%
2018 10.45 8%
2019 13.12 26%
93 1%
42 0%
258 2%
1656 14%
1772 13%
2069 14%
577 3%
201 1%
511 3%