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Coca Cola Investors Presentation
Coca Cola Investors Presentation
2 2 M AY 2 0 1 8 , L O N D O N
ACCELERATING QUALITY
GROWTH
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, statements regarding Coca-Cola İçecek’s
(“CCI”) plans, objectives, expectations and intentions and other statements that are not historical facts.
Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,”
“anticipate,” “plan,” “target,” “believe” or other words of similar meaning. These forward-looking statements reflect the current
views and assumptions of management and are inherently subject to significant business, economic and other risks and
uncertainties. Although management believes the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, at
this time, you should not place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from CCI’s expectations include, without limitation: changes
in CCI’s relationship with The Coca-Cola Company and its exercise of its rights under our bottler's agreements; CCI’s ability to
maintain and improve its competitive position in its markets; CCI’s ability to obtain raw materials and packaging materials at
reasonable prices; changes in CCI’s relationship with its significant shareholders; the level of demand for its products in its
markets; fluctuations in the value of the Turkish Lira or the level of inflation in Turkey; other changes in the political or economic
environment in Turkey or CCI’s other markets; adverse weather conditions during the summer months; changes in the level of
tourism in Turkey; CCI’s ability to successfully implement its strategy; and other factors. Should any of these risks and
uncertainties materialize, or should any of management’s underlying assumptions prove to be incorrect, CCI’s actual results
from operations or financial conditions could differ materially from those described herein as anticipated, believed, estimated or
expected.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of this date and CCI has no obligation to update those statements to reflect
changes that may occur after that date.
PUBLIC
Agenda
Burak Başarır Accelerating Quality Growth
09:30
CEO
Michael Coombs
10:15 Driving Value for Our Stakeholders
CFO
Ebru Özgen
11:00 Investing in Our People
Group Human Resources Director
Tugay Keskin
11:30 Delivering Quality Growth
Turkey General Manager
Orhun Köstem
13:00 Pakistan and ME Turnaround
Middle East & Pakistan Region Director
Lisani Atasayan
13:30
Central Asia Region Director
Return of Central Asia
14:30 Q&A
BURAK BAŞARIR
Chief Executive Officer
9 thousand employees
(1)
Turkmenistan
Turkey
Tajikistan
Annual production capacity of
1.5 billion UC
Syria
PakistanPakistan
4x
12% 7x
18% 7x 18%
CAGR 2005-2017 CAGR 2005-2017 CAGR 2005-2017
Single country in 2005… Expanding into Central Asia and Iraq in 2006-2007… Pakistan in 2008... A regional bottler today…
PUBLIC 9
Strong Performance in 2017…
Fastest
growing bottler in
729 the Coca-Cola
million TL System*
Record
high
26.2%
FCF
33.9% 34.0%
15.5% 16.2%
9.1% 10.3%
4.9%
3.2% 4.1% 3.9%
45.7% 32.9%
30.9%
15.1%
19.9%
12.4%
12.4% 7.9%
4.5%
PUBLIC 11
With the Contribution of all Regions
50 37 13
% % %
PUBLIC 12
Quality Growth
NET
EBITDA
> REVENUE > TRANSAC-
TIONS(1) > VOLUME(1)
273
NARTD servings
52 %
urban % 2017
Low Increasing
per caps urbanization
~60 %
below age 30 20 MN
Young Faster
population population growth
1,172
1,082
1,027
881
762
686 686 681
624 621
546
510
476 468 452 436 416 404 CCI weighted average: 273
326 320
212 204 195 194
139 76 50
CCI’s share
* NARTD includes sparkling soft drinks, ready-to-drink tea, energy drinks, juices, packaged water
* NARTD per cap per year in terms of number of 8 ounce servings, data as of 2017
PUBLIC 15
NARTD Value Growth Opportunity
TOTAL NARTD INDUSTRY IN CCI COUNTRIES: $12BN (2017)
INDUSTRY
NARTD 28% VALUE GROWTH
SPARKLING 51%
STILLS 9%
+$3bn
8% CAGR
2017- 2020E
WATER 8%
1mn
COOLERS
73%
COVERAGE
44%
61% Monthly** ~50%
OCCASIONAL USERS
Outlet
Penetration* GENERATING
18% OF
VOLUME**
800K HOUSEHOLD
OUTLETS PENETRATION
*Number of outlets where we are available divided by total outlets in our 10 countries
** Source: Ipsos as of 2018 YTD, B3/BGS as of 2017 data for Turkey
PUBLIC 17
More Room to Grow…
Share of Immediate Consumption (IC)
Packages in Sparkling
Young Population
58% in CCI countries
50% ~60%
40% Teen Recruitment Opportunity!
35%
28%
25%
PUBLIC 18
Quality Growth Requires…
Sustainable Value
Strategy Creation
Execution People
PUBLIC 19
Clear Strategic Framework
Vision Values
customers, offering our consumers a wide
choice of products fit for every lifestyle and
occasion
Be the Best FMCG
Company Across CREATE
our Markets VALUE
Community People
Being a good Great place
corporate citizen to work
PUBLIC 20
Strategic Priorities to Create Value
Accelerate Win at the Exercise Financial
Win with People
Growth Point of Sale Discipline
• Full-beverage portfolio • Increase outlet coverage • Productivity savings • Integrated Talent Strategy
• Revenue Growth • Increase cooler penetration • Working capital • Leadership Development
Management (RGM) improvements
• Right Execution Daily • High Performing Team
• Expand Sparkling & Stills • Healthy FCF
• Increase frequency • E-commerce • Optimum leverage • Transformation to
• Regional strategies • Future-proof RTM • Effective FX management “OnePeople”
ONE CCI
PUBLIC 21
ONE CCI to Drive Business Excellence to Achieve
Vision 2025
Business Excellence
- Operating Model Governance
- Prescriptive Analytics & Insights
- Business Services Delivery
- Centers of Expertise (CoEs)
Fix Foundation for Real Value Creation Build New (CCI 3.0) Operating Model
PUBLIC 22
Medium-term Outlook
Medium-Term
2017
2018-2020
*Comparable
** Organic and FX-neutral
PUBLIC 23
What You Should Take Away from Today
Michael Coombs
Driving Value for Our Stakeholders
CFO
Ebru Özgen
Investing in Our People
Group Human Resources Director
Tugay Keskin
Delivering Quality Growth
Turkey General Manager
Orhun Köstem
Pakistan and ME Turnaround
Middle East & Pakistan Region Director
Lisani Atasayan
Return of Central Asia
Central Asia Region Director
PUBLIC 24
THANK YOU
MICHAEL COOMBS
Chief Financial Officer
PUBLIC 27
What Do High Quality Financials Look Like?
PUBLIC 28
Navigating Profitable Growth
PUBLIC 29
I. Quality Growth
NET
EBITDA
> REVENUE > TRANSAC-
TIONS(1) > VOLUME(1)
46
2015 2016 2017 2018E
PUBLIC 31
II(a) FCF - Expanding EBITDA margin
EBITDA Margin
6%
15% 3.0% 3.7% (4.4%)
CAGR in 6%
(4.6%)
2015-2017 1.5% 1.4%
1,379
4%
-2%
EBITDA 15 Volume Revenue FX & input FY16 Volume Revenue FX & input FY17
2015 2016 2017 Leverage Leverage costs Leverage Leverage costs
PUBLIC 32
II(b) FCF - Prudent Capital Expenditure
CapEx Breakdown (2017) Faisalabad Greenfield Plant CapEx/NSR*
8.5%
18% 12.3% on
average
34%
12%
7.3%
5.9%
5%
31%
PUBLIC 33
II(c) FCF - Improving Working Capital Efficiency
Net Working Capital/NSR*
7.4%
5.7%
4%
2015 33 Days 55 Days 49 Days
PUBLIC 34
III(a) Effective Cost Management - Input Costs
Breakdown of COGS
~ 30% Packaging
Other
15% • Aluminum
• PET Resin
~ 30% Sugar & Sweetener
Raw material
85%
Sugar Prices* Resin Prices** Aluminium Prices**
~ 30% Concentrate
PUBLIC 35
III(b) Cost Management - Disciplined Opex
Operating Expenses/NSR*
25.2%
24.8%
23.8%
Sales & Distribution General Administrative Warehouse
Expenses/NSR* Expenses/NSR* Expenses/NSR*
708
• USD 500m Eurobond due in Oct’18
USD 100m USPP will be repaid using
excess cash at the end of May 2018 successfully refinanced in Sep’17
499
• Eurobond proceeds held in hard currency,
USD 500m Eurobond refinanced early with negligible negative carry
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2018 USD 500 m Eurobond)
47% 2% 7% 1% 1% 9% 33%
PUBLIC 38
IV(c) Financial Strength - Refinancing Eurobond
USD 500m
5 Years 4.75% 8X oversubscription
Eurobond (2013)
USD 500m
7 Years 4.215% 9X oversubscription
Eurobond (2017)
CCI was
LONGER DURATION WITH LOWER FINANCING COST awarded the
International
Bond Deal
• More diversified investor base
of the Year
• ~USD 3.5m p.a interest cost improvement vs. outgoing bond
PUBLIC 39
IV(d) Financial Strength – Balance Sheet Hedging
Breakdown of Financial Debt Hedging Transaction for USD 150 mn
(1Q18)
• Participating cross-currency swap
PUBLIC 40
V. Improving Return Metrics
ROIC ROE ROA
12.0%
10.2%
9.1% 8.3%
3.5% 2.2%
1.5%
2015 2016 2017 2018E 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2015 2016 2017 2018E
-0.7% -0.3%
PUBLIC 41
VI(a) Disciplined Capital Allocation
ORGANIC GROWTH INORGANIC GROWTH DELEVERAGING SHAREHOLDER RETURN
CapEx/Sales ~7% - 8%* Bolt-on acquisitions Optimum debt repayment Sustainable dividend policy
•Capacity Expansion Geographical expansion •Solid balance sheet •Increasing payout ratio
•Cold drink equipment •Strategic fit
•Maintenance •Value creation •Improving leverage •Higher dividend yield
•Reasonable proximity metrics
PUBLIC 42
VI(b) Dividends - Enhancing Shareholder Return
Dividend per Share (TL per 100 shares)
0.20
0.12
2015 2016 2017
PUBLIC 43
Prudent Financial Framework…
PUBLIC 44
Prudent Financial Framework
PUBLIC 45
THANK YOU
EBRU ÖZGEN
Group Human Resources Director
PUBLIC 48
CCI at a Glance
9K employees
10 countries 34% Commercial
headcount 43% Blue
collar
15 languages
12% 24% of top management are women;
PUBLIC 50
Integrated Talent Management Approach
Linking Talent
Strategy to Right
business needs Right Right Right develop-
talent job time ment
Engaging &
plan
Connecting
PUBLIC 51
CCI People Development Programs
LEADERSHIP FUNCTIONAL COMPETENCY BUILDING
Top Management
Senior
Management
KEY ACCOUNTS
SCHOOL OF HR MANAGERS
Middle Managers
Management Excellence AREA SALES
MANAGERS
Supervisor Supervisor AE
On-Board
PUBLIC 52
Efficiency is the Key
18.3%
141
15.5% 15.5% 15.2%
127
13.7%
113
104
98
89 89
78 76 9.2%
66
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2014 2015 2016 2017
Bottler1 Bottler2 Bottler3 Bottler4 Bottler5 CCI
Volume Per HC EBITDA Per HC Lost Time Cases Safety Maturity Index
PUBLIC 53
THANK YOU
TUGAY KESKİN
Turkey General Manager
80 MN 72 %
urban % 2017
Sizeable Increasing
population urbanization
+1 mn new people/year
~50 %
below age 30
510
NARTD servings
Young Low
population per caps
1,172
1,082
1,027
881
762
686 686 681
624 621
546
510
476 468 452 436 416 404
326
CCI weighted average: 273
320
212 204 195 194
139 76 50
CCI’s share
* NARTD includes sparkling soft drinks, ready-to-drink tea, energy drinks, juices, packaged water
* NARTD per cap per year in terms of number of 8 ounce servings, data as of 2017
PUBLIC 57
Turkey NARTD Value Growth Opportunity
INDUSTRY
NARTD 37% VALUE GROWTH
SPARKLING 71%
50%
~1.5x Investing in
higher
Gross Margin Coolers
40% vs. FC
35%
Package
28% Innovation
22%
Successful Market
Asia North World EMEA Latin CCI Turkey Execution
Pacific America Average America
8%
6%
PUBLIC 60
Delivering Quality Growth…
Accelerate Superior
Growth RGM* Execution
1 2 3
PUBLIC 62
Revenue Growth Management
Revenue Growth
PUBLIC 63
Superior Execution: Route-to-Market
Turkey RTM Model Overview
• Customer ownership is always with CCI
• Strategic regions’ (hot-spots) sales operations
managed by CCI
• 225 Distributors are:
- Unique distributor model
- Cost efficient, local, agile and flexible
PUBLIC 64
Superior Execution: Win at Point of Sale
Be Cold Be Visible
Be Available
Connect with
Increase presence of More coolers with
shoppers at each
key categories and targeted placement
strategy stage of their
SKUs journey
PUBLIC 65
Accelerating for 5 Consecutive Quarters and Q1'18
was No Exception
Accelerate Superior
RGM*
Growth Execution
15 MN 45 %
urban % 2017
Faster Increasing
population growth urbanization
62 %
below age 30
194
NARTD servings
Young Low
population per caps
SPARKLING 40%
STILLS 1%
+$2.2bn
10% CAGR
2017- 2020E
WATER 7%
881
762
686 686 681
624 621
546
510
476 468 452 436 416 404 CCI weighted average: 273
326 320
212 204 195 194
139 76 50
CCI’s share
* NARTD includes sparkling soft drinks, ready-to-drink tea, energy drinks, juices, packaged water
* NARTD per cap per year in terms of number of 8 ounce servings, data as of 2017
PUBLIC 71
Pakistan is Our Biggest Opportunity
207 MN ~63%
6th Biggest Young People Offer
Population in the Huge Demographic
World Dividend
139
NARTD servings
27% NARTD share
51%AVAILABILITY
PUBLIC 73
Accelerating
Growth
Grow Sparkling
#2
THREE BRAND Global Contibutor to
STRATEGY
Coke System Growth
PUBLIC 74
Accelerating
Drive Recruitment and Household
Growth
Penetration
#1 #1 50%
Global Global
Brand Teen Significant room to
Love Score Recruitment increase frequency
PUBLIC 75
Accelerating
Growth
Expand NARTD Portfolio
ENERGY WATER
Premium
Mainstream
PUBLIC 76
Improve
RTM &
Trade Spend
RTM 2.0
OPTIMIZE ENHANCE TRADE
CHANNEL SPEND
DISTRIBUTION EFFECTIVENESS
OPTIMIZE OPTIMIZE
TRADE SPEND DISTRIBUTORS
INCREASE DISTRIBUTOR
RETAIL REFORMATION
SPREAD OF
VOLUME
PUBLIC 77
Drive
Execution &
Portfolio
IC Opportunity and Right Execution
Be Available
51% Be Visible 65pts
Numeric Red
21% Increase Outlet
Coverage
Distribution
Improve
Execution Score
IC share Score
Be Cold
68%
Cooler
Significant Potential to Grow IC Invest in Coolers
Coverage
PUBLIC 78
Invest
for Future
Growth
Invest for Future Growth
PUBLIC 79
Iraq is Back on Track for Growth
38 MN 67% 69%
+1 million new Young people offer Increasing
people/year huge demographic urbanization
dividend
Accelerating growth through...
74% 82%
Kazakhstan 78%
4th Oil & Gas
Proven Natural % of
Largest Gas Reserves Azerbaijan 94%
Exports
Turkmenistan 95%
PUBLIC 83
Kazakhstan Story 2008-2017
360
340 333
Sales Volume
Oil Price (USD/barrel)
USD/KZT
181
150 150
120
110
85 80
64
40 50 40
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q18
PUBLIC 84
We Were Well Prepared
+6,000 New outlets
• Smart price increases
+12 pts. Execution score
• Magic price points
+10K Coolers placed
EXECUTION RGM • Discount management
+100K Racks placed
• Opex Management
• Empowerment
• Sales Force Discipline
• Capability Development
• Cooler efficiency PEOPLE
PRODUCTIVITY • Training
• Cooler verification
PUBLIC 85
Central Asia has Abundant Opportunities
278
NARTD servings
45 %
urban % 2017
~55 %
below age 30
2 MN
High share of Faster
young population population growth
1,172
1,082
1,027
881
762
686 686 681
624 621
546
510
476 468 452 436 416 404 CCI weighted average: 273
326 320
212 204 195 194
139 76 50
CCI’s share
* NARTD includes sparkling soft drinks, ready-to-drink tea, energy drinks, juices, packaged water
* NARTD per cap per year in terms of number of 8 ounce servings, data as of 2017
PUBLIC 87
NARTD Value Growth Opportunity
INDUSTRY
NARTD 34% VALUE GROWTH
SPARKLING 62%
+370 mio
STILLS 13% 6% CAGR
2017- 2020E
WATER 12%
PUBLIC 89
Low Per Caps
Increase
Household Increase Increase
Penetration & Flavored Stills
Frequency Sparkling Share
Share
PUBLIC 90
Young Population
PUBLIC 91
With Superior Execution
Be
• Increase outlet penetration 78%
78% Outlet
Available • Increase SKU penetration via Penetration
segmentation
1.3
Coolers
• Additional cooler placement per
Be Outlet
Cold • Best place cooler 80%
placement in outlet Cooler
Coverage
PUBLIC 92
THANK YOU
BURAK BAŞARIR
Chief Executive Officer
Closing Remarks
What You Heard Today