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Chapter 5 - Decision - Tree - Homework
Chapter 5 - Decision - Tree - Homework
Chapter 5 - Decision - Tree - Homework
Chapter 5 Homework
5.14 The product design group of Iyengar Electric Supplies, Inc., has determined that it needs to
design a new series of switches. It must decide on one of three design strategies. The market
forecast is for 200,000 units. The better and more sophisticated the design strategy and the more
time spent on value engineering, the less will be the variable cost. The chief of engineering
design, Dr. W. L. Berry, has decided that the following costs are a good estimate of the initial and
variable costs connected with each of the three strategies:
5.15 MacDonald Products, Inc., of Clarkson, New York, has the option of
(a) proceeding immediately with production of a new top-of-the-line stereo TV that has just
completed prototype testing or
(b) having the value analysis team complete a study.
If Ed Lusk, VP for operations, proceeds with the existing prototype (option a), the firm can
expect sales to be 100,000 units at $550 each, with a probability of .6, and a .4 probability of
75,000 at $550. If, however, he uses the value analysis team (option b), the firm expects sales of
MGMT 3370
75,000 units at $750, with a probability of .7, and a .3 probability of 70,000 units at $750. Value
analysis, at a cost of $100,000, is only used in option b. Which option has the highest expected
monetary value (EMV)?
Option A- .6(100,000*550) + .4(75,000*550)= 49,500,000
Option B- .7(75,000*750) + .3(70,000*750)= 55,125,000
Option B has the highest expected monetary value between the two options.