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2 Classification and Comparison: Normative Approach of Research
2 Classification and Comparison: Normative Approach of Research
2 Classification and Comparison: Normative Approach of Research
An Example
• An example: Democracy and comparative politics
• Is democracy desirable?
• What are the causes and consequences of democracy (the correlates of inequality)?
Empirical Findings
• Are democracies more “equal” in terms of income distribution than other
forms of government?
• ANSWER: No
Outline
• Classification:
• Comparative methods
Classification
Classification of What?
• Typology of political regime
• Typology of government
• Monarchies
• Despotic
• Non-despotic
• Republics
Montesquieu
After 1917:
• Democracy
• Authoritarianism
• Totalitarianism
’
The mid-1990s: Linz s new typology
• Democratic regime
• Authoritarian regime
• Totalitarian regime
• Post-totalitarian regime
• Sultanistic regime
Linz’s Typology
• Similarities and differences along four dimensions
Democratic Regime
• A form of government in which the right to make political decisions is exercised directly
by the whole body of citizens, acting under procedures of majority rule, usually known as direct
democracy.
• A form of government in which the citizens exercise the same right not in person but
through representatives chosen by and responsible to them, known as representative democracy.
• Liberal constitutional, democracy refers to political systems in which there are attempts
to defend and increase civil liberties against the encroachment of governments, institutions and
powerful forces in society
Totalitarian Regime
• A form of government that theoretically permits no individual freedom and that seeks to
subordinate all aspects of the individual's life to the authority of the government.
• Dominant leader using a mass party and ideology to mobilize people to achieve state objectives
• Examples: the former Soviet Union under Stalin, Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy and Maoist
China
Authoritarian Regime
Post-totalitarian Regime
• Post-totalitarianism refers to a type of non-democratic regime
before the transition to democracy.
• Pluralism
• Ideology
• Mobilization
• Leadership
Sultanist Regimes
• This is a system based on personal rulership, but loyalty to the ruler is motivated not by
his embodying or articulating an ideology, nor by a unique personal mission, nor by any
charismatic qualities, but by a mixture of fear and rewards to his collaborators.
• Characteristics
• Personalism
• Constitutional hypocrisy
• Distorted capitalism
Examples of Sultanism
• No Representation
• Territorial representation
• Majorotarian democracy
• Consensus democracy
• Unitary system
• Federal system
• Parliamentary system
• Presidential systems
• Mixed systems
• Capitalism
• Liberal capitalism
• Corporatist capitalism
• Welfare capitalism
• Socialism
• State socialism
• Market socialism
• First world
• Second world
• Third world
• Formulation of hypothesis
• Form theories
Variables
• An empirically observable characteristic of some phenomenon that can take on more than
one value
• Types of variables?
• Geographic
• Demographic
• Institutions
• Public Policies
• Legitimacy
Dependent Variable
• What we are trying to explain—they depends on others for its outcome)
• Examples?
• Fragile states
Independent Variables
• Factors that explain the outcome we observe—why does it happen?
• Examples?
Hypothesis
• A statement of what we believe to be factual
• Example
Observations
• Large countries are not more likely to become fragile
Experimental Method
• The archetype of scientific research is the experimental method, which involves
manipulation of variables
• Control all inputs except one in two "test groups" and see if there is a different outcome.
• If there is difference in outcome, assumed to result from this one input or variable.
• We can experiment presidential system for 12 years and then try parliamentary system for another 12 years
• Given that we cannot put countries in the lab and see how they behave, we rely on
indirect ways of collecting observations and controlling for external interferences.
• Case study
• Comparative study
• Quantitative study
Case Study
Case Study
• Investigator selects a single case and studies it intensively
• Ideal to examine “deviant cases” (black swan) to generate hypotheses, to develop new
classifications.
• Interpretive
• Theory-confirming
• Disadvantages
Comparative Methods
A Few Cases
• Two or more case studies put together
• Focus on a particular structure or behavior and put it in
comparative context
• Area studies
Causes of Revolution
• "Revolution is caused by the combination of three factors: 1. High
income inequality, 2. conflict within the governing group, 3. defeat in war.“
Method of Agreement
Method of Difference
Two Approaches of Comparison
• Most similar systems design (MSSD):
• Compares like-with-like to ‘control’ for shared factors such as culture, history, social or economic
structure
• Seeks to identify key features that are different among similar countries, which
account for the observed political outcome.
• Focuses on similarities in outcome among cases that differ from each other in most aspects (culture, history,
social or economic structure)
• Seek to identify key features that are similar among different countries, which account for the observed
political outcome.
An Example
• In Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation, Linz &
Stepan use MSSD to examine democratic consolidation within regions
(South America, Southern Europe, and Eastern Europe), and then use
MDSD to compare democratic consolidation across regions.
• Advantages
• Disadvantages
Quantitative Method
Why Quantitative Method?
• The comparative method is ill prepared to deal with a large number of cases
and to tackle the issue of plural or conjunctural causation.
• Because of some of these and other good reasons, the statistical method is
also used in comparative politics.
• Data requirement
• Statistical method
An Example
• The higher the level of economic development, the greater the likelihood of
democratic development
• Collect information on a number of variables related to those factors for 100 or more
cases
• Use multivariate regression to see which factors explain most of the variation in your
dependent variable, the level of democracy.
• Look for statistical relationships among the variables that support or challenge your
assumption about the relationship among them.
A Research Design I
• Question:
• What are the electoral institutions that have contributed to the advancement of women in
politics the most?
• Task: Compare numbers: the relative number of women to men in political
assemblies around the world.
• Data collection:
• Collection of information about the proportion of women in parliaments and congresses around the world.
• Tested theory:
• A prominent theory in the field was that the electoral institution that have a large effect on the proportion of
women in parliaments was the electoral formula: how votes are translated into seats.
A Research Design II
• Procedure:
• Then compared the mean value of the proportion of women in each group.
• Finding:
• The value of the proportion of women in all countries that have quotas was 2 standards
deviations above the mean!
• Exclude the countries with quotas from the sample and compared the mean of their
proportions again:
• New finding:
“ ’ ”
Source: Gomez Albarello, Juan Gabriel. 2002. What s Wrong with This Picture , available at
http://artsci.wustl.edu/%7Ejggomeza/papers/picture.pdf
• Advantages
• Comprehensive generalizations
• Disadvantages?
• Too abstract and too far removed from context and processes to facilitate policy
interventions
• Why?
Common Problems
What would you do to overcome these difficulties?
• Income quintiles
• Selection bias
Common Problems
• Value bias
• Omitted variables
• Ecological fallacy
• Individualist fallacy
• Political Science is scientific in the sense that the study of the subject is
pursued in a scientific manner, with reliance on evidence, testing of hypotheses