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12 - Leon Roose
12 - Leon Roose
12 - Leon Roose
On Island Systems
The Hawaii Experience
Leon R. Roose
Hawaii Natural Energy Institute
University of Hawaii at Manoa
Hawaii Today
Primary energy: 90% fossil fuel, all
imported, most of it is crude oil refined:
Energy Insecurity
2
In 2008, energy accounted for 13%
of Hawaii’s Gross State Product
Electricity price volatility makes it difficult for users to plan and budget
4
A Paradigm Shift Is
Required
Energy insecurity > Energy security
Economic drain > Economic engine
Price volatility > Price stability
Environmental harm > Environmental
compatibility
5
The Opportunity
6
Kauai (80 MW)
This image cannot currently be
display ed.
Lanai (5MW)
Solar Biomass/
Biofuel
DSM/Energy
OTEC/
Efficiency
Wave
Hydro/
MSW Pumped
7
Hawaii Clean Energy Initiative (HCEI)
The most petroleum‐dependent state in the US is on track to increase its clean energy
Hawaii (efficiency and renewables) to 70% by 2030 and will have the greatest penetration of
variable renewables on a grid in the US
Objectives
The State of Hawaii, US DOE, and local utility launched HCEI in January 2008
to transform Hawaii to a 70% clean energy economy by 2030:
• Increasing Hawaii’s economic and energy security
• Fostering and demonstrating Hawaii’s innovation
• Developing Hawaii’s workforce of the future
• Becoming a clean energy model for the U.S. and the world
8
New Regulatory Compact
Renewable & Energy Efficiency Portfolio Standards
Net Energy Metering
Feed in Tariff
Financially sound utility
– Utility is the off-taker for energy sales from IPPs
– Decoupling utility rates from energy sales
– Grid investment
10
Where Are We Now?
2010 RPS Goal Was Met
20% Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency
(~50% / 50%)
11
Rapid Development of
Renewable Resources Today
Wind Solar
12
How We Can Move Ahead
Technical Innovation
Renewable resource technology deployment
Grid transformation and systems integration
Inter-island connections
Liquid fuels substitute
13
Framework for Goal Reliably and cost effectively
integrate renewable energy
Analyses and Acceptable System
Performance Metrics
What’s Available?
What Befits the System?
Suite of Options What’s the Cost to Customers?
Timing of Solutions?
Value Benefit vs.
Data/Models/Analytics Costs/Risks?
Near and Long-term
Impacts?
Resource
Near‐ Longer‐
Mid‐term Planning
term term
Solutions
Solutions Solutions
Voltage
Governor
Support
Response Governor
Inertia
Response Governor
Governor
Response
Response Automatic
AGC
Generation
Regulation
Control Economic
Economic
Dispatch
Dispatch Planning
Arbitrage
30 30 50
Interval = 1min
0% percentile (1 0min) = -0.14 99.9% percentile (10min) = 0.1 0% percentile (1 0min) = -0.14 99.9% percentile (10min) = 0.1
Interval = 5min
0% percentile (6 0min) = -0.45 99.9% percentile (60min) = 0.3 0% percentile (6 0min) = -0.45 99.9% percentile (60min) = 0.3 45
20 20 Interval = 10min
0.1% percentile (10min) = -0.09 100% percentile (10min) = 0.1 0.1% percentile (10min) = -0.09 100% percentile (10min) = 0.1
0.1% percentile (60min) = -0.27 100% percentile (60min) = 0.4 0.1% percentile (60min) = -0.27 100% percentile (60min) = 0.4 40
10 10
35
0 0
-0.25 -0.2 -0.15 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 -0.25 -0.2 -0.15 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25
30 0.1% percentile (1min) = -12.27 99.9% percentile (1min) = 11.7685
0.1% percentile (5min) = -31.336 99.9% percentile (5min) = 33.0615
50 50
Interval = 10min Interval = 10min
25 0.1% percentile (10min) = -49.305 99.9% percentile (10min) = 54.0865
Interval = 60min Interval = 60min Negative most (1min) = -22.479 Positive most (1min) = 22.5425
40 40
20 Negative most (5min) = -54.9215 Positive most (5min) = 65.0885
Negative most (10min) = -90.258 Positive most (10min) = 95.845
30 30 15
0% percentile (1 0min) = -82.85 99.9% percentile (10min) = 60 0% percentile (1 0min) = -82.85 99.9% percentile (10min) = 60
0% percentile (6 0min) = -269.05 99.9% percentile (60min) = 18 0% percentile (6 0min) = -269.05 99.9% percentile (60min) = 18
20 20 10
0.1% percentile (10min) = -54.90 100% percentile (10min) = 105 0.1% percentile (10min) = -54.90 100% percentile (10min) = 105
0.1% percentile (60min) = -163.16 100% percentile (60min) = 289 0.1% percentile (60min) = -163.16 100% percentile (60min) = 289
10 10 5
0 0 0
-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 -150 -10 0 -50 0 50 100 150 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50
16
Transitioning to High Renewable Energy
50% of Peak Load met by Renewables (25% annual energy)
Baseline High Renewables
No Wind or Solar 500MW Wind & 100 MW Solar
Largest Wind Drop Highest Curtailment
Week of Dec 19
7 days 7 days
Thermal units are backed down, wind energy is sometimes curtailed at light load,
17 and wind power changes are managed by ramping the thermal units.
Frequency Maintained During Wind Events
Fast Wind Power Variability Sustained Wind Power Drop
Aug 30th 10am (995MW Load) Oct 12th 2pm (1160MW Load)
Large and fast wind power Largest wind forecast error. Largest
variability over the 5-10min hourly wind drop (311MW; 27% of gen.)
timeframe in both directions All fast-start units dispatched
Cable trip caused loss of 140MW load rejection. Low load and
200MW of wind power at high high wind (357MW, 50% load).
wind conditions (363MW) and Thermal units near min power;
low up reserve (267MW) carrying 89MW of down reserve.
Wind Plant Wind Plant
21
The Maui island Experience
72 MW of Wind Power
KWP
(30MW 2006)
KWP II
(21MW 2012)
AWE
(21MW 2013)
22
Rapid PV Market Growth
Island of Maui
14000
12000
Installed PV in 2011 exceeded the
PV installed over the previous 10
10000 (Source: Maui Electric Company, Ltd.)
8000
kW
6000
4000
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
EMS EVECC
Rapid EV chargers to be
Wind Farms provided by Hitachi via
NEDO funded project
Kihei area
Substation
(Distribute)
Wind Farm
μDMS
Wailea area
EV energy
control
center
24
Electrify Transportation
1/3 of oil imported for ground
transportation
Driving electric vehicles are …
– a good fit for Hawaii
– cleaner (less CO2)
– cheaper
• Mitsubishi “i” @ 9 cents/mile
(30 cents/KWh electricity)
• Avg. Gas Car @ 20 cents/mile
($4/gal gas; 20 mi/gal)
OKINAWA
EV Charging spot 25
Hawaii-Okinawa Clean Energy Collaboration
The Molokai Opportunity
Partners
Hawaiian Electric / Maui Electric
Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, Univ. of Hawaii
Okinawa Enetech
Phase 1 Phase 2
Address current and near Expand energy production from
term stability issues local renewable resources
Partner staff exchange Reduce/stabilize energy costs for
residents
Create green job opportunities
5.5 MW Peak Load Palaau Power Plant
~2000 Customers Energy Source: Oil
Firm Generation: 12 MW
Five major 12kV & 34.7kV “Transmission”
Three 2,200 kW Diesel Generators
One 2,220 kW Gas Turbine
Six Smaller Diesel Generators
~1200 kW Distributed PV 26
MOLOKAI
Bottom Line
Paradigm shift - energy insecurity energy security
Total energy cost (electricity & transportation) lowered
and stabilized using renewable energy in place of oil
Hawaii is an ideal working ‘lab’ to prove concepts and
learn lessons about advanced energy technologies
Hawaii as an island leader is well on its way
– Increasing energy independence
– Reducing fossil-fuel use
– Limiting greenhouse gases
Mahalo
(Thank you)
Leon R. Roose
Hawaii Natural Energy Institute
School of Ocean & Earth Science & Technology
University of Hawaii at Manoa
1680 East-West Road, POST 109
Honolulu, Hawaii 96822