CHAPTER-4 PLANNING (PERT&CPM ANALYSICS)

PERT ANALYSIS

For doing any project sufficient amount of planning is required, The PERT (Project

Evaluation Review Technique) is a method used by the project planner for estimating the shortest possible time,

i.e. most optimistic time. Each activity will take (the most likely length of time), and the longest time (most

pessimistic time) that might be taken if the activity takes longer than expected

Where,

 Most Optimistic time=to

 Most Optimistic time=tm

 Most pessimistic time=tp

Thus,

Mean of thus time(t)= to+4 tm+ tp/6

2
Variance of time= ((tp- to)/6)

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CONSTRUCTION OF A NETWORK DIAGRAM

Activity Activity Description Immediate Most Most Most

Identification Predecessors Optimistic Likely Pessimistic

Time to Time tm Time tp

a Concept design &3D 6 8 12

-
modelling

b Material procurement a 1 2 3

c Nesting plan of Block a 1 2 3

1&2

d Cutting of parts for Block b, c 2 3 4

e Cutting of parts for Block b, c 4 5 6

f Pre-fabrication of Block 1 d 1 2 3

g Pre-fabrication of Block 2 e 3 4 6

h Sub Assembly of Block 1 f 3 4 6

I Sub Assembly of Block 2 g 3 4 6

j Block Assembly of Block h 4 6 8

k Block Assembly of Block I 4 6 8

l Painting of Block 1 j 1 2 3

m Painting of Block 2 k 1 2 3

n Final finishing l,m 1 2 3

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NETWORK DIAGRAM

MEAN DURATION

DURATION
Most Optimistic Most
ACTIVITY Most MEAN VARIANCE
Time to Likely Pessimistic
Time tm Time tp

A 6 8 12 4.33 1.00
B 1 2 3 1.00 0.11
C 1 2 3 1.00 0.11
D 2 3 4 1.50 0.11
E 4 5 6 2.50 0.11
F 1 2 3 1.00 0.11
G 3 4 6 2.17 0.25
H 3 4 6 2.17 0.25
I 3 4 6 2.17 0.25
J 4 6 8 3.00 0.44
K 4 6 8 3.00 0.44
L 1 2 3 1.00 0.11
M 1 2 3 1.00 0.11
N 1 2 3 1.00 0.11

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MEAN VARIANCE DIAGRAM

CRITICAL PATH ANALYSIS

 Conditions:

 Earliest Start Time = Latest Ending Time of each node

 Earliest Starting Time of last node – Earliest Start time of first node = Duration

 Forward Pass – Earliest Start Time. (EST)

 Backward Pass – Latest Ending Time. (LET) = LET/EST

EST – Maximum Time

LET – Minimum Time

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CRITICAL PATH DIAGRAM

According to Condition – 1

Critical Path:

A → C →E → G → I → K → M →N

4.3+1+2.5+2.2+2.2+3+2

=17.2 weeks

Project Completion Duration = 17.2 weeks