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Optimization of Ships in Shallow Water With Viscous Flow Computations and Surrogate Modeling
Optimization of Ships in Shallow Water With Viscous Flow Computations and Surrogate Modeling
Optimization of ships in shallow water with viscous flow computations and surrogate
modeling
Publication date
2016
Document Version
Final published version
Published in
Proceedings of the 13th International Symposium on Practical Design of Ships and Other Floating
Structures
Citation (APA)
Rotteveel, E., van der Ploeg, A., & Hekkenberg, R. (2016). Optimization of ships in shallow water with
viscous flow computations and surrogate modeling. In U. D. Nielsen, & J. J. Jensen et al (Eds.),
Proceedings of the 13th International Symposium on Practical Design of Ships and Other Floating
Structures (pp. 1 - 8 ). Copenhagen, Denmark: PRADS Organising Committee.
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Based on the results, response surfaces are generated in Figure 5. Cross-validation between observations and re-
three ways: Kriging, quadratic and universal Kriging. sponse surface predictions for h/T = 3.0
The quality of these surfaces is analyzed using cross-
validation, where a surface is constructed based on
1 results, while the value of the N-th result that has
been left out is compared to the prediction at the same
location. This same approach has been used by (Kim et
al, 2011) and gives a quick view of the response surface
quality. Furthermore, the Root Mean Squared Error can
be estimated. Based on these evaluations, we will make
a choice for a response surface that will be used for
further steps in the present study.
Table 4. Relative error values for response methods
Response surface type RMSE Value
Quadratic 0.0881
Kriging 0.1194
Universal Kriging 0.0891
Figure 6. Cross-validation for h/T = 2.0 and 1.5
RMSE values are shown in Table 4, and cross-
validations are presented in Figure 5. The quadratic
response surface shows the best behavior, although the
universal Kriging method is close. Therefore, the quad-
ratic response surface is used for further analysis. Both
methods involving Kriging are relatively sensitive to
small distortions in the data, resulting in locally large
deviations between observations and predictions. In
addition to Figure 5, Figure 6 shows the quadratic re-
sponse surface cross-validation for h/T = 2.0 and 1.5,
providing a similar pattern as that for h/T = 3.0. Since
the general trends are linear, it is concluded that the
response surface approximates the real response suffi-
ciently accurate.
Conclusions