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Received: 5 October 2018 | Accepted: 20 January 2019

DOI: 10.1002/ppul.24275

ORIGINAL ARTICLE: OUTCOMES

Oxygen saturations and neurodevelopmental outcomes in


single ventricle heart disease

Kelly R. Wolfe PhD1 | John Brinton PhD2 | Michael V. Di Maria MD3 |


Maxene Meier MS2 | Deborah R. Liptzin MD4

1 Pediatric
Neurology, University of Colorado
School of Medicine and Children's Hospital, Abstract
Aurora, Colorado
Objectives: To evaluate whether the degree of hypoxemia following stage-I and stage-
2 Department of Biostatistics and Informatics,
Colorado School of Public Health, University
II palliative surgeries predicts neurodevelopmental outcomes at 14 months of age in
of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado children with single ventricle congenital heart disease (SVCHD).
3 HeartInstitute, University of Colorado
Design: We analyzed longitudinal data from two Pediatric Heart Network (PHN)
School of Medicine and Children's Hospital
Colorado, Aurora, Colorado randomized controlled trials, with a total of 328 subjects. Oxygen saturations,
4 Pediatric
Pulmonary Medicine, University of measured via pulse oximetry, at time of discharge from stage-I and stage-II surgeries
Colorado School of Medicine and Children's
were the primary predictors of interest, and Bayley Scales of Infant Development-II
Hospital Colorado, Aurora, Colorado
(BSID-II) scores at 14 months old were the primary outcome measure. Relevant
Correspondence
Kelly R. Wolfe, PhD, Assistant Professor of
covariates from previously-published PHN studies were also included in regression
Pediatrics, Children's Hospital Colorado and models.
University of Colorado School of Medicine,
13123 East 16th Avenue, Box 395, Aurora,
Results: Oxygen saturations at time of discharge from stage-I and stage-II surgeries
CO 80045. were not related to BSID-II scores. Having one or more oxygen saturation
Email: kelly.wolfe@childrenscolorado.org
measurements below 80% was also not associated with BSID-II scores, and neither
Funding information was change in oxygen saturations over time. These relationships were not altered by
Children's Hospital Colorado Neurosciences
Administrative Research Team
inclusion of relevant covariates.
Conclusions: In this large cohort of children with SVCHD, oxygen saturations post-
stage-I and post-stage-II palliation surgeries as measured via pulse oximetry were not
associated with neurodevelopmental outcomes at 14 months of age. The relationship
between oxygen saturations and neurodevelopment in SVCHD is likely complex, and
neurodevelopment is known to be affected by a number of factors. Pulse oximetry may
also be an insufficient proxy for cerebral oxygen delivery. Clinically, pulse oximetry
readings during the interstage and post-stage-II surgery periods are not a reliable
predictor of future neurodevelopmental risk.

KEYWORDS
blood oxygenation, neurodevelopment, pulse oximetry, pediatric heart network, single
ventricle

Abbreviations: BSID-II, Bayley Scales of Infant Development-Second Edition; ISV, Infant Single Ventricle trial; NHLBI, National Heart Lung and Blood Institute; PHN, Pediatric Heart
Network; SAS, Statistical Analysis Software; SPO2, venous blood oxygen saturation levels; SVCHD, single ventricle congenital heart disease; SVR, Single Ventricle Reconstruction trial.

Pediatric Pulmonology. 2019;1–6. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/ppul © 2019 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. | 1


2 | WOLFE ET AL.

1 | INTRODUCTION via pulse oximetry at two time points: hospital discharge following
stage-I and stage-II surgeries. The patient would typically be around 1
Survival rates for children with single ventricle congenital heart disease month of age at the time discharge from Stage I surgery, and around
(SVCHD) have improved dramatically over recent decades, related to four to 6 months of age at the time of discharge from Stage II surgery.
advances in surgical care and medical management.1–3 As a result, The primary outcomes of interest were the Bayley Scales of Infant
increased attention has been given to outcomes such as quality of life, and Toddler Development-Second Edition (BSID-II) Mental Develop-
end organ function, and neurodevelopment.4 ment Index (MDI) and the Psychomotor Development Index (PDI),
Various predictors of neurodevelopmental outcomes in SVCHD obtained at 14 months of age.17 These scores are standardized according
have been established, including sociodemographic variables, disease to the child's age. The primary predictor (SpO2) was summarized in three
5–7
characteristics, and aspects of the child's clinical course. One such ways based on longitudinal measures: (1) mean SpO2 levels between the
clinical characteristic hypothesized to relate to subtle brain injury and two hospital discharge time points; (2) An SpO2 level below 80% at either
associated neurodevelopmental abnormalities is the lower blood time point; and (3) Change in oxygen saturations of more than 2%
oxygen saturations that children with SVCHD experience from the between the two time points. These three methods for summarizing
prenatal period until the time of their Fontan operation and often, SpO2 were chosen from a clinical rationale, as we sought to understand
beyond.8 Hypoxemia is hypothesized to slow the pace of brain growth, the relative importance of a patient's general SpO2 level over time, having
particularly with regards to white matter, during gestation in one or more SpO2 measurements below the clinical cutoff for concern,
SVCHD9,10 and contribute to increased inflammation and apoptosis and variability versus stability in SpO2 levels.
11
as the brain develops during infancy, childhood, and adolescence. A priori, investigators identified covariates of interest for
While hypoxemia during the stage-I palliation perioperative period has adjustment in regression models. Covariates were considered if they
been shown to relate to poorer neurodevelopment in SVCHD12–14 the were found to be significant predictors in the regression analyses
unique contribution of chronic hypoxemia to altered neurodevelop- predicting BSID-II scores in manuscripts published from the two
ment has been understudied in SVCHD. As a result, practitioners lack original trials.6,7,18–22 The final model used to estimate the association
empirical guidelines to guide clinical management of chronic hypox- of SpO2 with neurodevelopment was adjusted for maternal education
emia during the pre-Fontan period. The present study aims to address level, days on ventilator post-stage-I surgery, birthweight, total stage-I
this gap in the literature. surgery length of stay and total number of complications during stage-I
The Pediatric Heart Network (PHN) is a consortium of clinical and stage-II surgery admissions.
research sites established in 2001 by the National Heart Lung and
Blood Institute (NHLBI). The present study combines data from two 2.3 | Statistical analysis
PHN randomized controlled trials to investigate the effects of oxygen
saturation (SpO2) measured at the time of discharge following stage I The frequencies of missing data, as well as potential differences in key

and stage II palliative surgeries, on neurodevelopment at 14 months of characteristics due to exclusion and missing covariate information were

age. We hypothesized that higher SpO2 Levels during the interstage examined using Fisher's exact, Chi-square, and t-tests. The distributions

and post-stage-II surgery periods would be related to higher neuro- of the primary outcome of interest (BSID-II scores at 14 months old)

developmental scores at 14 months of age in the SVCHD population. were examined via histograms, and tests of the normality assumption
were conducted using the Shapiro-Wilks test statistics.
Multiple linear regression models examined the association
2 | M ATERIA LS AN D METH ODS between SpO2 and neurodevelopment. Assumptions of linear
regression including Gaussian distribution of the outcome and
2.1 | Study design homoscedasticity were assessed using residual plots and Levine's

The study was designed as a retrospective cohort study of de- Test respectively. Type 3 F-tests were used to assess statistical

identified data from two previous randomized controlled trials: (1) The significance of the association between SpO2 and neurodevelopment

NHLBI Single Ventricle Reconstruction (SVR) Trial conducted by the in a series of nested models. Model 1 was a univariate model, with

PHN at 15 centers from 2005 to 2009 15


and (2) the NHLBI Infant BSID-II scores at 14 months old as the outcome, and SpO2 as the

Single Ventricle (ISV) Trial conducted by the PHN at 10 centers in the predictor. Model 2 was a multivariable model adjusting for covariates,

United States and Canada, enrolling patients from 2003 to 2007. 16


The reported above. Significance was set at the alpha = 0.05 level. All

data from both trials are de-identified and publicly available for re- analyses were conducted using R version 3.3.1 software.23 Post hoc

analysis. The University of Colorado Institutional Review Board analysis examined the interaction between SpO2 and all of the

approved this retrospective study. covariates, reported above.

3 | RESULTS
2.2 | Data collection
Statistical Analysis Software (SAS) datasets from each study were A combined total of 2165 participant records came from the data
merged. The primary predictors of interest were SpO2 levels measured consolidation. After excluding participants with missing data for the
WOLFE ET AL.
| 3

predictors, outcomes, or a priori covariates, a total of 328 participants previously-published studies with the PHN cohorts, predictors of
(35 from the ISV Trial and 293 from the SVR Trial) were included in the higher BSID-II MDI scores included higher maternal education level,
analytic cohort. Excluded participants tended to have a lower higher birthweight, fewer days on the ventilator post-stage-I surgery,
birthweight, fewer diagnoses of HLHS, and more complications and shorter length of stay post-stage-I surgery (all ps <.05). Predictors
(ps <.05); however, they did not differ from included participants on of higher BSID-II PDI scores included higher birthweight and fewer
SpO2 levels. Basic summary statistics describing the analytic cohort in days on the ventilator post-stage-I surgery (all ps <.05).
terms of demographic and clinical variables are presented in Table 1. The post hoc analysis indicated a statistically significant interac-
Overall, the cohort's mean SpO2 levels were around 81-82% at both tion between average SpO2 level and site and average SpO2 level and
time points. BSID-II index mean scores were generally in the low- length of stay when predicting BSID-II MDI score (P < .05). No other
average to below-average range (BSID-II Mental Development Index interactions were significant.
SS mean = 89.38; Psychomotor Development Index SS mean = 75.10),
but with substantial variability (SDs of 17.56 and 19.61, respectively,
as opposed to SDs of 15 in the normative distribution). 4 | DISCUSSION
Results from the regression analyses are presented in Tables 2
and 3 and Figure 1. SpO2 levels were not directly related to BSID-II SpO2 levels at the time of discharge from stage-I and stage-II palliation
MDI or PDI scores, whether examined via mean SpO2 level over time, surgeries were not related to neurodevelopment at 14 months of age
the presence of an SpO2 level below 80% (a dichotomous variable; in children with SVCHD. This was surprising, considering previous
yes/no) or whether SpO2 was consistent (within +/− 2%) between the studies documenting relationships between stage-I palliation surgery
two time points. Inclusion of covariates in the models with SpO2 levels perioperative oxygen saturation levels with neurodevelopmental
did not change the non-significance of SpO2 as a predictor of outcomes in SVCHD; however, these studies used more direct
neurodevelopmental outcomes. Regarding the covariates, as in methods of monitoring hemodynamics, such as SaO2 during cardiac

TABLE 1 Descriptive data for analytic cohort


N = 329
Sex (Male) 207 (63%)
Ethnicity (Hispanic) 60 (18%)
Race
White 278 (85%)
Black or African American 37 (11%)
Asian 3 (1%)
Other Race 8 (2%)
Birth Weight (g) 3171.56 ± 518.41
Maternal Education
<High School 43 (13%)
High School/GED 63 (19%)
Some College/2-year Degree 102 (31%)
4-year College Degree 83 (25%)
Graduate Degree 38 (12%)
Diagnosis of HLHS 284 (86%)
a
Stage-I Surgery Length of Stay (days) 24 (17, 37)
Number of Complications (Stage I and Stage II Surgeries)a 0 (0, 1)
SpO2 post stage-I surgery 82.33 ± 4.64 (Range: 67–92)
SpO2 post stage-II surgery 81.21 ± 4.59 (Range: 67–92)
SpO2 average level across timepoints>80 178/329 (54%)
SpO2 Level consistent (within +/−2 across timepoints) 217/329 (66%)
BSID-II Mental Development Index SS 89.38 ± 17.56 (Range: 50-122)
BSID-II Psychomotor Development Index SS 75.10 ± 19.61 (Range: 50-120)

g, grams; GED, general education diploma; SpO2, oxygen saturation measured via pulse oximetry; SS, standard score (mean = 100; standard deviation = 15).
a
Median and interquartile range.
4 | WOLFE ET AL.

TABLE 2 Univariate analysis predicting BSID-II mental development index


Model estimate 95%CI P-value
Mean SpO2 Level Post-Stage-I and Post-Stage-II Surgeries 0.36 −0.19, 0.91 0.2019
Any SpO2 Level under 80% 2.25 −1.55, 6.06 0.2471
SpO2 Change of more than 2% between Post-Stage-I and Post-Stage-II Surgeries −3.12 −7.11, 0.88 0.1273

Model estimates are Beta values. BSID, Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development-Second Edition; SpO2, oxygen saturations via pulse oximetry.

catheterization12 and monitoring regional cerebral oxygen delivery and the BSID-II is generally considered to be a more specific, but less
directly with near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) during and immedi- sensitive, instrument for predicting long-term neurodevelopmental
ately after surgeries with cardiopulmonary bypass.14,24 Post hoc impairment.32 Indeed, BSID-II scores at 14 months old did not predict
analyses suggested that the effect of average SpO2 level on mental parent-reported neurodevelopment at 3 years of age in the PHN SVR
development may be moderated by site and length of stay. This finding follow-up trial,18 and in the extremely low birthweight population,
should be interpreted cautiously in light of several factors including the BSID-II scores at 20 months old were not found to predict cognitive
high number and exploratory nature of post hoc comparisons, the functioning at eight years old.33 Neurodevelopmental assessments of
substantial variability of sample sizes across sites, and the present infants and toddlers provide broad estimates of neurodevelopment in a
study's inability to investigate site differences (eg, in standard care) few domains, and can be complicated by factors such as stranger
that might contribute to this interaction effect. anxiety, fatigue (eg, testing during nap time) and unfamiliarity with the
Pulse oximetry, as was utilized in the present studies, is less testing setting, which tends to be school-like in nature. As children get
reliable compared to other methods of assessing oxygen saturations, older, these potential confounds are reduced; additionally, neuropsy-
particularly for saturation levels below 80% or under conditions of chological assessments can evaluate more specific areas of cognition
lower cardiac output.25–28 Pulse oximetry is also vulnerable to (eg, executive functions) once children reach school-age, and the
additional sources of error, including motion artifacts, irregular heart results become more predictive of long-term functioning. Follow-up
rhythms, skin pigmentation, and calibration assumptions.26 Arterial studies using multiple methods of assessing oxygen saturations will be
oxygen saturation (SaO2) is less susceptible than SpO2 to confounders helpful in clarifying whether systemic oxygen levels during the
like motion, skin pigmentation, nail polish, etc.; however, it still interstage and post-stage-II palliation surgery period are related to
depends on calculations using the oxyhemoglobin dissociation curve. long-term neurodevelopment in SVCHD. It is conceivable that chronic
Patients with congenital heart disease may have altered oxyhemoglo- hypoxia may specifically affect certain aspects of neurocognitive
bin dissociation curves that would affect how oxygen saturation (both functioning, such as executive functioning, processing speed, or long-
SaO2 and SpO2) reflects oxygen content.29,30 Oxygen content term memory, which develop and can be better assessed over the
evaluates the amount of oxygen in the blood and is related to the course of childhood and adolescence.
partial pressure of oxygen, hemoglobin, and saturation. As patients A limitation that may influence the generalizability of our study is
with CHD are typically polycythemic to increase their oxygen carrying that only 328 of 2165 original study participants had complete data
capacity,31 their oxygen content may be higher than suspected by available, and when we compared the groups of participants who had
SpO2. Therefore, monitoring SpO2 may underestimate oxygen complete data versus those who did not, a number of clinical
content and cerebral oxygen delivery and help explain the lack of characteristics differed between the two groups, including mean
relationship between SpO2 and neurodevelopmental outcomes. BSID-II MDI and PDI scores, with the excluded participant group
Direct monitoring of systemic oxygen levels may be more important retaining slightly higher BSID-II MDI (mean SS = 94.66, SD = 14.58)
than SpO2 measurements for predicting an infant with SVCHD's level and PDI (mean SS = 79.64, SD = 17.86) scores (Supplemental Table S1,
of future neurodevelopmental risk. online only). Mean SpO2 levels did not differ between include and
Another potential avenue of inquiry into our surprising findings excluded participant groups, and the BSID-II MDI and PDI scores from
lies with the method of neurodevelopmental assessment. Evaluating the subjects used in our analyses demonstrated relationships in
neurodevelopment in infants and toddlers is notoriously challenging, expected directions with most of the demographic and medical

TABLE 3 Univariate analysis predicting BSID-II psychomotor development index


Model estimate 95%CI P-value
Mean SpO2 Level Post-Stage-I and Post-Stage-II Surgeries 0.45 −0.17, 1.06 0.1557
Any SpO2 Level under 80% 1.91 −2.36, 6.17 0.3815
SpO2 Change of more than 2% between Post-Stage-I and Post-Stage-II Surgeries 0.52 −3.98, 5.01 0.8223

Model estimates are Beta values. BSID, Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development-Second Edition; SpO2, oxygen saturations via pulse oximetry.
WOLFE ET AL.
| 5

FIGURE 1 Scatterplots of SpO2 levels and neurodevelopmental outcomes. SpO2 Levels by BSID-II Mental Development B. SpO2 Levels
by BSID-II Psychomotor Development. Index (MDI) Standard Scores Index (PDI) Standard Scores. SpO2, oxygen saturations via pulse
oximetry; BSID-II, Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development-Second Edition

covariates that were significantly related to these variables in studies ORCID


using the larger cohort6,7,18–22 (Tables 2 and 3). Additionally, Figure 1
Kelly R. Wolfe http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4754-4577
demonstrates that our study cohort still retained a wide range of BSID-
Deborah R. Liptzin http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3667-1856
II scores for both MDI and PDI indices, and the distributions show the
expected “leftward shift” (ie, the mean scores for our cohorts are below
normative means). As such, it appears our sample was adequately
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