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Analysis About The Natural Disaster Occurrence in Sri Lanka
Analysis About The Natural Disaster Occurrence in Sri Lanka
T.M.R.N. Thennakoon
Undergraduates
University of Ruhuna
abstract
Table of Contents
1. Introduction....................................................................................................................................1
2. Methodology..................................................................................................................................1
3. Analysis of significant data gathered from databases....................................................................2
3.1. 2013........................................................................................................................................2
3.2. 2014........................................................................................................................................5
3.3. 2015........................................................................................................................................9
3.4. 2016......................................................................................................................................11
3.5. 2017......................................................................................................................................14
3.6. 2018......................................................................................................................................16
3.7. 2019......................................................................................................................................19
Table of Figures
2. Methodology
The required data were collected from Disaster Management Center (DMC) and the Ministry of
Disaster Management in Sri Lanka (MDM). The database managed by the Disaster Management
center (www.DesInventar.lk) provides information on disaster affected losses since 1974 Island-
wide. The trends studied in this paper is from 2013 to 2019. Data analysis was made using statistical
software and simple descriptive methods. The data which were collected have been studied under
several topics such as trends in rates according to disasters, according to provinces, and annual
trends of occurring disasters.
As there are many methods of analyzing data, the main focus has been given to a qualitative survey
which indeed was a result of prevailing circumstances due to the Covid-19 pandemic. After
gathering the data, they were analyzed for an advantageous outcome.
3. Analysis of significant data gathered from databases
3.1. 2013
In the year 2013 Strong winds, Lightning and Heavy rains have been the major highlighted
disasters which caused many casualties with 86% of the overall deaths occurred due to natural
disasters. The South-western monsoon prevailing from May to September have been the major
cause for the casualties due to Strong winds, where major part of affected people was recorded
from Western province where a sum of 9026 with a percentage of 40.58. The second and third
highest numbers have been recorded from Southern and North-Central provinces respectively.
The total number of deaths occurred due to lightning have been recorded as 16, and they were
reported as one from Central province, two each from North-Western and Western provinces, 3
from Uva province and 4 each from North-Central and Southern Provinces. Also, the analyzed
data about time period of occurrence showed a strong resemblance with first Inter-monsoon
period and South-Western monsoon periods.
Considering about the casualties due to heavy rains the researchers were to identify that highest
number of people were affected from Eastern province within the Second Inter-monsoon period,
which was recorded as a 58.8% from the total affected population. Though this was the highest
affected population, it was able to observe that Central province had been enduring the heavy
rains for six months from June to December.
Most number of houses were damaged due to strong winds and they were mostly recorded from
Eastern, Western and Central provinces. Most number of houses destroyed was observed from
Western and Southern provinces. As an overall it was possible to observe that most of the houses
were damaged or destroyed due to strong winds and respectively, they were 6459 and 292.
As an overall situation the highest affected people were from Western province with a
percentage of 35.95 and Central and Southern provinces were in second and third places
respectively with calculated percentages of 26.75 and 24.98
Frequency of occurring Disasters
4 1 1 13
1 ANIMAL ATTACK
9
BOAT CAPSIZE
32 Chemical
CUTTING FAILURE
6
DROWNING
8
FIRE
12 FLASH FLOOD
FLOOD
FOREST FIRE
161 HEAVY RAINS
LANDSLIDE
48 LIGHTNING
ROCK FALL
STRONG WIND
TORNADO
25 TREE FALLEN
16
3.2. 2014
Year 2014 shows a significant increment of natural disasters in comparison to the previous year
(2013), nearly that is an increment of 236.1% which implies that is as almost as double the
number of cases recorded in the previous year, Moreover the total of affected people has been
increased in a larger percentage with a value of 9610.96% according to statistical data retrieved.
Thus, it is quite evident that the year 2014 has caused many casualties to the country.
According to statics droughts have been the major disaster which affected the greatest number of
people, with an approximation of 55.24% of the total impacted people. Drought have been
affecting only in the month of August which is indeed the Dry season of the country.
Furthermore, most people affected were in the Eastern province while Northern and North-
Central provinces rank in the next two places respectively according to the number of people
affected. Though nine cases were reported from Uva province, no one had been severely
affected by droughts in that province.
Gathered data implemented that the second highest number of people were affected by floods,
and the greatest number of deaths (35 deaths) were also reported due to floods. 5001 houses
were destroyed and 15279 houses were damaged by flood conditions according to the data
provided by MDM database which makes the floods the most drastic and destructive natural
disaster occurred in the year 2014. According to statics it was able to observe that floods has
caused most damages to Western and Eastern provinces. Within the Eastern province 3990
houses have been destroyed (79.78%) and 8273 houses have been damaged (54.15%) and 2
deaths have been reported within the South-Eastern and North-Western monsoon periods.
Western province on the other hand has suffered the greatest number of deaths with a count of
21 (60%) and the crisis was reported within June and December months during monsoon
periods.
Landslides have also caused many casualties in this year which is comparatively a larger
increment when contrasting to the previous year. 30 deaths have been reported due to landslides
within the country and 27 (90%) of them are reported from Uva province. The most tragic
landslide was reported in October at Koslanda-Meeriyabedda which caused 13 deaths, 24
missing people and destroyed 66 houses. Although Uva province suffered two severe landslides,
Central province had to prevail 6 months in land sliding precautionary conditions due to heavy
rainfall.
Hazards of lightning were mainly caused by the ignorance and carelessness of the general public
but the resulting conditions were still severe which ultimately caused 21 deaths ranking
Northern, Sabaragamuwa and Southern provinces in the first three ranks.
Strong wind conditions have also caused some severe disastrous conditions affecting 13907
people which is less than 1% of the total affected population due to natural disasters, but the
damages to properties are not to be taken lightly, have winds damaged 3648 houses (18.65%)
while destroying 206 of them (17.5%) and caused 2 deaths. Strong wind conditions have
affected Uva province the most because they have been continuously prevailing in the area from
April to December. 104 houses have been destroyed and 5947 people were affected by the wind
conditions. The month of July has been recorded as the month which caused most number of
casualties. Northern Province ranks second according to people affected by strong winds and
being in the upcountry central province have endured the losses due to winds ranking in the third
place. 1862 houses have been damaged in the Uva province and 591 and 449 houses have been
damaged in Northern and Central provinces respectively. Wind conditions had been prevailing
in the central province for 9 months and the collateral damage is significantly low which proves
the protection provided by the hills surrounding the Central province.
Occurrence of disaters according to province Ampara
Anuradhapura
3% 4% Badulla
4%
5% Batticaloa
3%
Colombo
5% Galle
3%
Gampaha
2% Hambantota
4%
Jaffna
Kalutara
3% Kandy
10% Kegalle
3% Kilinochchi
Kurunegala
Mannar
3%
Matale
3% Matara
4% Moneragala
4% Mullaitivu
Nuwara Eliya
3%
Polonnaruwa
4%
Puttalam
2%
Ratnapura
3%
Trincomalee
2% 7% Vavuniya
(blank)
9% 6%
2%
FLOOD
FLASH FLOOD
FIRE
DROWNING
DROUGHT
CUTTING FAILURE
COASTLINE
ANIMAL ATTACK
ACCIDENT
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
TREE FALLEN
STRONG WIND
ROCK FALL
LIGHTNING
LANDSLIDE
HEAVY RAINS
FLOOD
FLASH FLOOD
FIRE
DROWNING
DROUGHT
CUTTING FAILURE
COASTLINE
ANIMAL ATTACK
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
l n l n n a n a rn
nt
ra
st
er tra er t er uw er Uv te
e n th es th es
Ce Ea -C
r am u
th No -W ag So W
r th ar
No No
r
ab
S
3.4. 2016
There is a distinct increase in the population who were affected by the natural disasters Sri
Lanka in 2016 in comparison to 2015. From the studies, Landslides and cut slope failures can be
recognized as the most drastic hazards that occurred in 2016 causing 67 deaths and 117
disappearances. Low pressure which was originated at the Bay of Bengal and the severe storms
that hit on Sri Lanka on 15th May 2016 caused the heavy rain across the country causing severe
floods and frequent landslides. So that it can be observed, most of the incidents regard to severe
weather conditions were reported in the month of May with the impact of Southwest monsoon.
Whilst, 153681 people were endured by the droughts which are about 67% of total affected
people from natural disasters. Apart from droughts a significant amount of people of 29% of the
total were impacted by the floods. The western province ranks the highest population 477,947
that impacted by the natural hazards in 2016, which is 477,947 which is 31.5% of the entire
affected population.
However, most of the casualties, around 53% of the whole incidents were reported from
Sabaragamuwa province due to landslides and floods. According to the statistics, the death toll
was 74 with 117 missing and 38 injuries in Sabaragamuwa province. In comparison, in 2015
most of the losses were reported because of lightning, and in 2016 lightning and strong wind can
be considered minor disasters due to the minimum impact. In addition, Western province ranks
the second-highest number of casualties following these disasters.
Significant damage to the residences was stated in the western province and Sabaragamuwa
province due to floods and landslides. In the above case, 2240 and 2214 houses were completely
damaged respectively. Yet, the total damage to the public and private properties are relatively
increased in 2016 than in 2015.
Central 53 654
Eastern 13 72
North-Central 15 174
Northern 142 861
North-Western 44 369
Sabaragamuwa 323 2214
Southern 39 301
Uva 4 45
Western 158 2240
Grand Total 791 6930
Affected Population
1200000
1000000
800000
600000
Total
400000
200000
0
CK IZE ion E T G on IRE OD TIO INS IDE ING WF IND LEN PS E
TA PS ros L UR UGH NIN uti F O A A L L A
A T
CA al e F
I
A RO W troc FL IBR Y R NDS HTN ING G W FA LL
L O c V V A G N N E O
A AT st ING D
DR Ele A L LI TAI RO E C
IM BO coa T ND HE E T TR ALL
A N T OU R S W
CU GR
3.5. 2017
In the year 2017 it can be seen a dramatic increment of the natural hazards compared to the year
2016. As an overall, 1035 disasters have been reported with an increment of 51.75%with respect
to the previous year and a total of 3707248 people have been affected in this year with an
increment of 144.92%. 356 deaths have been reported throughout the Island with 153 people
missing.
According to the statics provided by the database of Ministry of Disaster Management Droughts,
Floods, Landslides and Strong winds have been the major highlighted disasters in this year and
caused the most destruction to properties and lives of people.
666244 people have been affected due to flooding situations (17.97%) and 118 deaths have been
reported (33.15%) with a recorded total of 115 injured persons. Sum of 10379 houses or
residencies have been damaged due to floods while 1370 have been destroyed in this drastic
hazard. According to statistical data collected, the researchers were able to identify that Southern
province was mostly affected by floods in 2017, in the end of the first inter-monsoon periods and
in the beginning of the South-western monsoon period. The most destructive event which caused
26 deaths and affected 351967 people was recorded in 26 th of May 2017 in Kadduwa, Gingaga
and Holuwagoda areas. Floods also affected Western province in a very greater extent causing
67 deaths and affecting 230388 of the general public of the area. The very same date
(26/05/2017) affected Hettigeoya cultivated scheme in Western province in a very drastic way
causing all 67 deaths and destroying 340 houses.
Landslides ranks at the second as the natural disaster which caused most number of deaths. Sum
of 129949 people have been affected with 301 houses completely destroyed and 1308
residencies damaged. Statics shows that Sabaragamuwa has been affected hugely due to
landslides in contrast to other provinces. 94.61% of the total affected population were recorded
from Sabaragamuwa province. All of these landslides have been recorded in the month of May
when the heavy rains prevailed.
When considering about the number of residencies damaged Strong winds ranks at the first place
by affecting 128653 people with 13 deaths and injuring 83 persons, and also Strong winds can
be considered as the most frequently occurred hazardous event. Western province has been
affected mostly due to strong winds occurred during the South-Western monsoon period.
Southern province also has suffered due to strong winds up to a great extent throughout the
monsoon period.
As an overall, statics were able to show that Southern and Western provinces were the most
suffered provinces due to multiple disasters caused in the year 2017. Most frequently recorded
disaster was Strong winds and Droughts, though droughts did not cause much casualties, statics
shows that it has affected many people in various ways
Table 3.5.3:Damages to properties and lives
Uva
Southern
Sabaragamuwa
Sum of Houses Damaged
Sum of Houses Destroyed
North-Western
Northern
North-Central
Eastern
Central
3.6. 2018
There is an obvious decrement of natural disasters and the total number of affected people in
2018 associated with the previous year 2017. Even though, there is a considerable growth of the
casualties which were reported in 2018 relative to 2017. The highest number of injuries and
deaths were reported in 2018 since 2013.
The annual southwest monsoon which started from the end of May highly caused the heavy rains
and floods around the island 452798 people in Sabaragamuwa, Central, Northern, Southern and
western provinces are severely affected by the flood in 2018. The majority of people were died
due to drowning which is a significant increase. 107 people died due to drowning and 9 were
injured. The highest percentage of 25.2 from whole casualties, 147 deaths, and 64 injuries were
reported from Western province due to floods, landslides, and accidents. Relatively, a large
number of people were killed by electric shock due to lightning.
Almost 65.44% of the total affected people had to experience droughts due to the dry weather
condition which continued across the island. The worst affected provinces from the droughts
were stated as Northern and North-Central and Northwest while reporting zero casualties. Yet
damages to the crops and cultivation lands are high especially in Northern province.
According to the gathered data, statistics illustrate that around 50% of the damaged houses are
due to floods. However, the number of damaged and destroyed houses were significantly
decreased concerning the year 2017 but comparatively higher than in 2016. 7334 houses were
partially damaged a 200 were completely damaged due to String Wind which affected 30633
people in Uva, Sabaragamuwa Central, Southern and Western provinces during the East-west
monsoon with heavy rain. Floods and landslides have caused extreme damage to the public and
private properties in 2018. Northern and Western provinces record the highest numbers of
partially damaged houses.
But comparatively, it’s distinctively evident that the number of natural disasters and affected
population is lower than in 2017 but still the number of incidents which caused deaths and
disappearances is above all years.
CYCLONE DROUGHT
HEAVY RAINS LANDSLIDE LIGHTNING ROCK FALL STRONG WIND TORNADO ACCIDENT ANIMAL ATTACK
1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0%DROWNING
0% 0% Electrocution
FIRE FLASH FLOOD
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
l rn l n rn a n a rn
ra te ra er te uw er Uv te
e nt s e nt rth es th es
C Ea -C No am So
u
W
rth -W ag
N o orth bar
N S a
3.7. 2019
In the year 2019 there can be seen a slight decrement in the total number of hazards reported in
comparison to the previous tear, as a percentage it can be represented as a decrement of 5.1%
and also the reported number of deaths have dropped by 409.4%. According to the statics, this
year has also been hugely impacted by floods which caused 13 deaths affecting 579904
(36.63%) of the total affected public, also floods have damaged 6886 houses while completely
destroying 147 of them. Statistical data also well shows that Eastern province was hugely
impacted due to flooding condition in the North-Eastern monsoon periods. Although not hugely
impacted, Central province had endured the flooding conditions throughout June to December
for six months. Uva province ranks higher according to the number of casualties caused due to
flooding in the month of December.
Strong wind conditions rank first when considering about the most frequently occurred natural
hazard, which in turn caused 26 deaths damaging 12046 houses and destroying 174. 1024
encounters (51.2%) have been reported in this year. Sabaragamuwa, Southern and Central
provinces rank at the first three spots. All 3 provinces have evidently endured the hazardous
situations for at least 6 months.
Lightning can also be depicted as a hazard which caused serious casualties, during the rainy
season in the country. 17 deaths have been reported and 2 houses have been destroyed
completely due to lightning. Due to the geographical positioning of the Sabaragamuwa province,
it had to prevail eleven months in a hazardous situation due to lightning.
Statics illustrate that drowning is the single hazard which caused most number of deaths, and
43.17% of them have been reported from Southern province. Though it has not caused any
casualties or property damages. Droughts have affected 935098 (59.06%) people. Northern,
Eastern and North-Western provinces rank at the top 3 places according to the number of people
affected. As an overall, Eastern province has been severely affected by multiple drastic hazards
in this year and Central and Southern provinces has endured the greatest number of casualties.
HEAVY RAINS LANDSLIDE LIGHTNING STRONG WIND TREE FALLEN ANIMAL CUTTING
ANIMAL ATTACK
0% 0% 0% 3% 0% ATTACK FAILURE
CUTTING FAILURE
0% 0%
DROUGHT
DROWNING
FIRE
FLOOD FLASH FLOOD
37% FLOOD
DROUGHT HEAVY RAINS
59% LANDSLIDE
FLASH FLOOD LIGHTNING
1% STRONG WIND
FIRE TREE FALLEN
0%
DROWNING
0%
Deaths missing