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Cities and Happiness: A Global Ranking and Analysis
Cities and Happiness: A Global Ranking and Analysis
Chapter 3 47
Christian Krekel
Assistant Professor, London School of Economics
actually doing when it comes to their citizens’ and ten the best possible life.17 While life evaluation
subjective well-being and, in doing so, by casting is our primary measure of subjective well-being,
an anchor for continuous future benchmarking. we also take into account well-being measures of
how people experience their lives on a day-to-
In what follows, we first describe the
day basis.18 To do so, we turn again – in line with
methodology behind our ranking and present
the methodology applied in the World Happiness
our findings on cities’ happiness around the
Reports – to the Gallup World Poll and the Gallup
world. Then, we analyse whether and how cities’
US Poll, which include items on positive and
happiness has changed during the past decade,
negative affect, constructed from batteries of
whether there exist significant differences
yes-no questions that ask respondents about
between cities and their countries, and whether
their emotional experiences on the previous
there are substantial happiness inequalities
day. For positive affect, we include whether
within cities relative to countries.
respondents experienced enjoyment and whether
they smiled or laughed a lot.19 For negative
affect, we include whether respondents often
Ranking Cities’ Happiness
experienced feeling sadness, worry, and anger
Around the World (apart from the US where we do not have data
on anger for 2014 onwards).20 Indices are then
Methodology
created by averaging across items, and are
As is the case for the ranking of countries in this bound between zero and one. Finally, to elicit
World Happiness Report, our ranking of cities’ respondents’ expectations about their future,
happiness around the world relies on the Gallup we look at future life evaluation, which is a
World Poll, an annual survey that started in 2005 future- oriented Cantril ladder survey item
and that is conducted in more than 160 countries asking respondents where they think that they
covering 99 per cent of the world’s population. It will stand in terms of their quality of life in five
includes at least 1,000 observations per country years from now.
per year, covering both urban and rural areas,
We restrict our analysis to the period 2014 to
with a tendency to oversample major cities. The
2018 and in order to reduce statistical noise, to
survey is nationally representative of the resident
cities with at least 300 observations recorded
population aged 15 and above in each country. To
during this five-year span. Leveraging the US
increase sample size for the US, we complement
Poll, we added the ten largest American cities.
the data with the Gallup US Poll, a survey which
Our definition of what constitutes a city (for the
sampled US adults aged 18 and above nationwide
US) is based on the notion of functional urban
between 2008 and 2017.15 It included at least
areas: territorial and functional units with a
500 observations per day and, importantly,
population of a particular size in which people
asked respondents a similar set of questions as
live, work, access amenities, and interact socially.
does the Gallup World Poll. To ensure that it is
It is preferable over definitions of cities based on,
appropriate to merge the data coming from
say, administrative boundaries, in that it is much
different surveys, we calculated the 2014-2018
more representative of the life realities of most
average current life evaluation score for the
people living in a city. Taken together, our meth-
Gallup US Poll and the World Poll, and found
odological approach leads our ranking of cities’
them to be almost identical: 6.96 for the US
happiness to cover 186 cities across the globe.
Poll and 6.97 for the World Poll. This and other
checks make it possible to integrate the Gallup
US Poll data without the need for re-scaling.16
Figures
Figure 3.1: Global Ranking of Cities — Current Life Evaluation (Part 1)
19
Figure 3.1: Global Ranking of Cities — Current Life Evaluation (Part 2)
20
World Happiness Report 2020
Notes: The scatterplot takes into account all cities worldwide with at least 300 observations in the Gallup World Poll
during the period 2014-2018 as well as the ten largest cities in the US using data from the Gallup US Poll.
21
(bordering Syria) is ranked fourth from the these scores may come as a surprise, given the
bottom. As with current life evaluation, New difficult economic situations in the countries in
Delhi (India) scores rather low when it comes to which these cities are located. Yet to some
the optimistic outlook of its inhabitants (ranked extent this finding mirrors our finding on expected
fifth from the bottom). Likewise, cities in Egypt future life evaluation: city dwellers in the Latin
(here Alexandria, which is ranked eighth from the American and Caribbean region are not only
bottom) are quite pessimistic places when it looking more optimistically into the future than
comes to the future, and so are cities located in their current levels of life evaluation would predict,
Iran (Tehran, the capital, is ranked ninth and but also report higher levels of momentary
Mashhad is ranked tenth from the bottom). happiness and joy. The generally high level
These are places that have seen economically of affective well-being in the region is well-
difficult times recently. The only European city documented in the literature22 and may be due 54
in the bottom ten cities of how positively their to, for example, stronger family relationships,
55
inhabitants evaluate their future lives is Athens social capital, and culture-related factors. Note
in Greece, which may be explained by the recent that since the Gallup World Poll is nationally
economic crisis in the country. representative, it is unlikely that self-selection
of survey respondents who are exceptionally
Is there predictive power from these self-predicted
happy are driving our results.
future scores? To check this, we regress current
life evaluation on life evaluation scores pre-2014 We find cities in areas that are in current or past
and expected life evaluation scores pre-2014. In conflict zones at the bottom in terms of positive
this multivariate regression, we find that life affect. Somewhat surprising is the large number
evaluation scores pre-2014 are highly significant, of Turkish city dwellers reporting low positive
while expected future life evaluation scores affect, including people living in Ankara, Istanbul,
pre-2014 are not significant. Even when doing a and Izmir. Perhaps less surprising, most cities
univariate regression of current life evaluation that score low on positive affect also score high
scores on expected life evaluation only, we find on negative affect, as seen in Figure A3.
that it is not significant. This perhaps shows that
people are not quite able to accurately predict
their future life evaluation and the best indicator Further Analysis
of the future is current life evaluation.
Changes Over Time
Positive and Negative Affect
So far, our global ranking of cities’ happiness has
Whereas life evaluation is a cognitive-evaluative looked at a snapshot of happiness, taken as the
measure of subjective well-being that asks average happiness across the period 2014 to
respondents to evaluate their lives relative to 2018. Naturally, the question arises how cities’
an ideal life, positive and negative affect are happiness has changed over the years. To answer
experiential measures that ask respondents to this question, in Figure 3.2 we calculate the
report on their emotional experiences on the change in life evaluation for each city against its
previous day. They are thus less prone to social average life evaluation in the period 2005 to
narratives, comparisons, or issues of adaptation 2013. The Gallup World Poll was initiated in
and anticipation. Contrary to life evaluation, they 2005, which is the earliest possible measurement
also take into account the duration of experiences, we can use for our purposes.
arguably an important dimension when it comes
Some cities have experienced significant positive
to people’s overall quality of life. Figure A2 in the
changes in their citizens’ happiness over the past
Appendix replicates our global ranking of city
decade: changes above 0.5 points in life evaluation,
happiness for positive affect, Figure A3 for
which is measured on a zero-to-ten scale, can be
negative affect.
considered very large changes; a change of 0.5
When it comes to the worldwide top ten in points is approximately the change when finding
terms of positive affect, we find that six out of gainful employment after a period of unemploy-
ten cities originate from the Latin America and ment.23 The top ten cities in our global ranking in
Caribbean region. For some of these places, terms of change have experienced changes of
World Happiness Report 2020
Figure 3.2: Global Ranking of Cities — Changes in Current Life Evaluation (Part 1)
22
Figure 3.2: Global Ranking of Cities — Changes in Current Life Evaluation (Part 2)
(Figure 3.2 Continued)
Change in Subjective
Change Well-Being
in Subjective Well-Being (2)
72. Boston — USA (0.056)
73. Auckland — New Zealand (0.052)
74. Antananarivo — Madagascar (0.051)
75. Philadelphia — USA (0.049)
76. Port-Louis — Mauritius (0.049)
77. Lima Metro — Peru (0.048)
78. New York — USA (0.042)
79. Houston — USA (0.041)
80. Montevideo — Uruguay (0.036) 56
81. Brussels — Belgium (0.033)
82. Athens — Greece (0.023)
83. Washington — USA (0.022) 57
84. Atlanta — USA (0.013)
85. Santo Domingo — Dominican Republic (0.013)
86. Colombo — Sri Lanka (0.011)
87. Phnom Penh — Cambodia (0.009)
88. Metro Bangkok — Thailand (0.005)
89. Santa Cruz — Bolivia (-0.001)
90. Hong Kong (-0.002)
91. Managua — Nicaragua (-0.010)
92. Asuncion Metro — Paraguay (-0.013)
93. Nouakchott — Mauritania (-0.036)
94. Ljubljana — Slovenia (-0.038)
95. Toronto Metro — Canada (-0.044)
96. Port-au-Prince — Haiti (-0.048)
97. Sarajevo — Bosnia and Herzegovina (-0.049)
98. Singapore (-0.055)
99. Melbourne — Australia (-0.063)
100. Stockholm — Sweden (-0.063)
101. Tbilisi — Georgia (-0.086)
102. Cape Town — South Africa (-0.087)
103. Baghdad — Iraq (-0.091)
104. Casablanca — Morocco (-0.092)
105. Barcelona — Spain (-0.095)
106. Ankara — Turkey (-0.096)
107. Paris — France (-0.096)
108. Moscow — Russia (-0.097)
109. Dar es Salaam — Tanzania (-0.104)
110. Sydney — Australia (-0.130)
111. Copenhagen — Denmark (-0.131)
112. Cairo — Egypt (-0.135)
113. Limassol — Cyprus (-0.138)
114. Oslo — Norway (-0.158)
115. Lusaka — Zambia (-0.161)
116. Gaborone — Botswana (-0.166)
117. Prague — Czech Republic (-0.166)
118. Yangon — Myanmar (-0.174)
119. Monrovia — Liberia (-0.177)
120. Hanoi — Vietnam (-0.195)
121. Johannesburg — South Africa (-0.210)
122. La Paz — Bolivia (-0.219)
123. Accra — Ghana (-0.230)
124. Algiers — Algeria (-0.237)
125. Vienna — Austria (-0.238)
126. Tokyo — Japan (-0.244)
127. Amman — Jordan (-0.245)
128. Dubai — UAE (-0.263)
129. Seoul — South Korea (-0.263)
130. Riyadh — Saudi Arabia (-0.264)
131. Buenos Aires — Argentina (-0.283)
132. Cork — Ireland (-0.287)
133. Reykjavik — Iceland (-0.314)
134. Jerusalem — Israel (-0.326)
135. Zurich — Switzerland (-0.344)
136. Vientiane/Vianchan — Laos (-0.359)
137. Beijing — China (-0.366)
138. Ho Chi Minh — Vietnam (-0.380)
139. Kiev — Ukraine (-0.396)
140. Kuwait City — Kuwait (-0.398)
-3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5
23
World Happiness Report 2020
Figure 3.2: Global Ranking of Cities — Changes in Current Life Evaluation (Part 3)
(Figure 3.2 Continued)
Change in Subjective Well-Being
Change in Subjective Well-Being (3)
141. Bogota — Colombia (-0.399)
142. Bangui — CAR (-0.401)
143. Ashgabat — Turkmenistan (-0.406)
144. Daegu — South Korea (-0.426)
145. Doha — Qatar (-0.427)
146. Beirut — Lebanon (-0.469)
147. Goteborg — Sweden (-0.484)
148. Kinshasa — Congo DR (Kinshasa) (-0.524)
149. Khartoum — Sudan (-0.546)
150. Pointe-Noire — Congo Brazzaville (-0.559)
151. Zagreb — Croatia (-0.565)
152. Incheon — South Korea (-0.575)
153. Sao Paulo — Brazil (-0.583)
154. Nicosia — Cyprus (-0.585)
155. Busan — South Korea (-0.589)
156. Panama City — Panama (-0.606)
157. San Miguelito — Panama (-0.612)
158. Tunis — Tunisia (-0.672)
159. Manama — Bahrain (-0.702)
160. Abu Dhabi — UAE (-0.704)
161. Harare — Zimbabwe (-0.735)
162. Jeddah — Saudi Arabia (-0.746)
163. Gaza — Palestine (-0.966)
164. Mexico City — Mexico (-0.978)
165. Delhi — India (-1.020)
166. Kabul — Afghanistan (-1.027)
167. Larnaka — Cyprus (-1.195)
168. Sanaa — Yemen (-1.428)
169. Prishtine — Kosovo (-1.498)
170. Kumasi — Ghana (-1.662)
171. Caracas — Venezuela (-1.706)
172. Maracaibo — Venezuela (-1.797)
173. Maseru — Lesotho (-2.196)
-3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5
Notes: The list takes into account all cities worldwide with at least 300 observations in the Gallup World Poll during
Notes:
the period The list
2014-2018 takes
as well as into account
the ten largest all cities
cities worldwide
in the withfrom
US using data at least 300 observations
the Gallup in the
US Poll. The outcome
measure is the change in current life evaluation from 2005-2013 to 2014-2018 on a zero-to-ten scale. Figures are raw
Gallup World Poll during the period 2014-2018 as well as the ten largest cities in the US us-
means. Confidence bands are 95%.
ing data from the Gallup US Daily Poll. The outcome measure is the change in current life
Sources:evaluation from
Gallup World Poll,2005-2013 to 2014-2018
Gallup US Poll. on a zero-to-ten scale. Figures are raw means. Con-
fidence bands are 95%.
Sources: Gallup World Poll, Gallup US Daily Poll.
0.75 points or more. They are predominantly in ments are also found in Vilnius (Lithuania) and
Africa, Eastern Europe, or Central Asia. The city Sofia (Bulgaria), two capital cities in countries
with the largest positive change is Abidjan (Ivory that are now part of the European Union. Other
Coast). Other cities that have experienced large cities in or at the fringes of the European Union
positive changes in Africa are Cotonou (Benin), that have made substantial progress (of 0.5 or
Dakar (Senegal), Conakry (Guinea), Niamey more points on the zero-to-ten life evaluation
(Niger), and Brazzaville (Congo), which are ranked scale) are Riga (Latvia), ranked 13, Belgrade
fifth, seventh, eighth, ninth, and tenth in our (Serbia), ranked 17, Bucharest (Romania), ranked
global ranking of changes. Dushanbe (Tajikistan) 22, and Budapest (Hungary), ranked 23.
and Almaty (Kazakhstan) – two former Soviet
While some cities have experienced large
republics located in Central Asia – are ranked 24
increases in their citizens’ happiness over
second and fourth, respectively. Strong improve-
the past decade, others have experienced
tremendous reductions, often by more than an In sum, there have been winners and losers in
entire point on the zero-to-ten life evaluation terms of changes in cities’ happiness over the
scale. The strongest reduction is found in Maseru, past decade. On a global scale, has happiness in
the capital of Lesotho, which has seen current cities increased or decreased? On average, there
life evaluation decrease by more than two points. has been a decrease in mean city happiness over
Maracaibo and Caracas, the second largest city the past decade. However, this decrease is driven
and the capital of Venezuela, are placed second by very strong reductions in city happiness at
and third from the bottom, respectively. Other the very bottom of our global ranking. If we were
cities that have seen large decreases are Pristina to exclude Maseru (Lesotho), Maracaibo and
(Kosovo), Sanaa (Yemen), and Kabul (Afghanistan), Caracas (both Venezuela), Sanaa (Yemen), Kabul
which come fifth, sixth, and seventh from the (Afghanistan), and Gaza (Palestine) – cities
bottom, respectively. Perhaps less surprising, which have been facing exceptional challenges 58
most of these cities – together with New Delhi – from our global ranking, we could say that
59
(India), ranked ninth, and Mexico City (Mexico), happiness in cities worldwide has increased in
ranked tenth from the bottom – also score low recent years.
when it comes to expected future life evaluation.
People living in these cities are not optimistic City-Country Differences
about their future. Somewhat new on the
Another interesting question is whether or not
radar are Kumasi (Ghana) and Larnaka
our global ranking of cities is determined by
(Cyprus), which have also experienced strong
something different than the mean happiness of
reductions in happiness over the past decade.
the counties in which they are located. One way
6
City Well-being Score
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Country Well-being Score
Notes: The scatterplot takes into account all cities worldwide with at least 300 observations in the Gallup World Poll
during the period 2014-2018 as well as the ten largest cities in the US using data from the Gallup US Poll.
of testing this is to use country mean happiness the relationship between city residents’ happiness
scores to predict city rankings, and then to look and their respective country average happiness.25
for significant outliers. As Figure 3.3 suggests, Figures 3.4 and Figure 3.5 illustrate these different
residents of cities are somewhat happier than slopes at different levels of economic develop-
the mean happiness of their respective country ment: for low-income city-country pairs we can
populations suggests. This global difference confidently reject the hypothesis that the line of
amounts to, on average, 0.2 points on the zero- best fit shown in Figure 3.4 is the same as the
to-ten life evaluation scale. What stands out from 45-degree line (F-test = 35.72). The same is not
this analysis, however, is that this difference is the case for the line of best fit in Figure 3.5,
greater for city residents at the lower end of the which relates to high-income city-country pairs.
well-being scale before it diminishes and often Here, we cannot statistically distinguish it from
reverses at the top-end: residents of cities at the the 45-degree line (F-test = 3.59). These results
lower end are about 0.5 points happier than the imply that the average country happiness is a
average populations in their respective countries. very strong predictor of city happiness at higher
This observation appears to corroborate Morrison’s levels of well-being and economic development.
model, which suggests such a skewed relationship However, this is somewhat less the case for
for reasons that are considered in more detail in countries at lower levels. In fact, while the general
chapter 4 of this report.24 correlation coefficient between country-city
pairs stands at 0.96, the correlation coefficient is
Following Morrison, we split the sample into
slightly lower at 0.90 for the low-income group.
high-income and low-income countries in order
to get a better sense for the different slopes in
6
City Well-being Score
3
3 4 5 6 7 8
Country Well-being Score
Notes: The scatterplot takes into account all cities worldwide with at least 300 observations in the Gallup World Poll
during the period 2014-2018 as well as the ten largest cities in the US using data from the Gallup US Poll.
60
6 61
City Well-being Score
3
3 4 5 6 7 8
Country Well-being Score
Notes: The scatterplot takes into account all cities worldwide with at least 300 observations in the Gallup World Poll
during the period 2014-2018 as well as the ten largest cities in the US using data from the Gallup US Poll.
Generally, we find that the average happiness of Well-being Inequality in Cities and Countries
city residents is more often than not higher than
A related question asks not so much whether
the average happiness of the general country
cities are, on average, happier places than their
population, especially at the lower end of the
surrounding countries, but rather whether
well-being and national income scales. Thus, when
happiness inequality is different within cities as
contrasting the positive agglomeration and produc-
compared to countries. In other words: is the
tivity benefits of urbanisation and urban amenities
difference between the least happy and the
with its disadvantages due to disamenities such as
happiest person, on average, greater or smaller
congestion or pollution, it seems that, on balance,
in cities than in their respective countries?
city dwellers fare slightly better than the remainder
of the population, at least when it comes to current Figure 3.6 sheds light on this question by plotting
life evaluation as our measure of comparison. Of the standard deviation of city happiness relative
course, this does not mean that moving into a city to the standard deviation of country happiness,
makes everybody happier: people living in cities both measured in terms of current life evaluation.
differ in important observable and unobservable The standard deviation is a measure of how
characteristics from their rural counterparts, which dispersed a set of numbers is and can hence
could very well explain the difference in happiness serve as a simple measure of inequality in this
that we observe. Our analysis is purely descriptive case. As before, the 45-degree line indicates the
and cannot make causal claims about the effects points at which there is no difference between
of urbanisation itself on happiness. the standard deviation in country and city
World Happiness Report 2020
2.5
City Standard Deviation
1.5
0.5
0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5
Country Standard Deviation
Notes: The scatterplot takes into account all cities worldwide with at least 300 observations in the Gallup World Poll
during the period 2014-2018 as well as the ten largest cities in the US using data from the Gallup US Poll. This analysis
did not use the weighted data.
Endnotes
1 See The World Bank (2019a). 17 If not stated otherwise, we use the terms life evaluation, life
satisfaction, and happiness inter-changeably.
2 See United Nations (2018).
18 See Dolan (2014) and Dolan and Kudrna (2016).
3 See The World Bank (2019a).
19 Note that the ‘happiness’ survey item is no longer available
4 See Kilroy et al. (2015).
after 2012 so that the index is comprised of ‘enjoyment’ and
5 See United Nations (2019). ‘smile or laugh’ from 2012 onwards.
6 See The World Bank (2019b). 20 For the US cities, we use the Gallup US Poll in exactly the
same way as the Gallup World Poll, with the sole exception
7 See European Commission (2013).
of not including ‘anger’ as part of the negative affect index
8 In psychology, there is a large and growing stream of because it is unavailable in the US Poll.
literature looking at how our environment affects our brain
21 For example, see Frey et al. (2007, 2009), van Praag et al.
structure and function, suggesting that more ‘enriched’
(2010), and Metcalfe et al. (2011)
environments that are more complex and provide more
stimulation facilitate brain plasticity (see Kuehn et al. (2017) 22 See Graham and Lora (2009) and Rojas (2016)
on urban land use). While urban ‘richness’ may promote
23 For example, see De Neve and Ward (2017), Clark et al.
brain development, several studies suggest that living in
(2018), and Krekel et al. (2018)
denser urban environments is associated with lower mental
health and certain mental health conditions (Tost et al., 24 See Morrison (2018)
2015; van Os et al., 2010).
25 We split our sample into low-income and high-income
9 See The Economist Intelligence Unit (2019). countries based on the World Bank’s categorization of low,
lower middle, upper middle, and high-income countries.
10 See, for example Stutzer and Frey (2008), Dickerson et al.
High-income countries are considered those with a GNI
(2014), and Loschiavo (2019).
per capita of $12,376 or more (World Bank, 2020).
11 See, for example Luechinger (2009), Levinson (2012),
Ferreira et al. (2013), Ambrey et al. (2014a), and Zhang
et al. (2017).
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