StPetePolls 2020 State President September22 U5GDL

9887 4th St. N.
, Suite 200
St. Petersburg, FL 33702
Phone: (727) 245-1962
Fax: (727) 577-7470
Email: info@stpetepolls.org
Website: www.stpetepolls.org
Matt Florell, President
Subject: Florida Statewide survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com
Date: September 22, 2020
Executive Summary:
This poll of 2,906 likely Florida voters was conducted from September 21 to September 22, 2020.
This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of August 4th 2020. The
sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters within the
boundaries of the state of Florida.
The issues surveyed included questions related to the 2020 General Election in Florida.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting demographics
used were: political party, race, age, gender and media market.
Respondents who stated they were not likely to vote in the election were excluded from the
results.
The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 2,906 and a 1.8%
Margin of Error at a 95% confidence level.
© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

Respondents' Demographics:
Summary of the demographic breakdown of the Likely voters who responded to this survey:
Political Party:
Democratic 1113 = 38.3%
Republican 1118 = 38.5%
Independent 675 = 23.2%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1893 = 65.1%
Black, Not Hispanic 374 = 12.9%
Asian or Pacific Islander 55= 1.9%
Hispanic 459 = 15.8%
Other or Unknown 125 = 4.3%
Gender Breakdown:
Female 1585 = 54.5%
Male 1277 = 43.9%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 320 = 11.0%
30 to 49 789 = 27.2%
50 to 69 1090 = 37.5%
70 and up 707 = 24.3%
Media Market Breakdown:

Pensacola 123 = 4.2%
Panama City 63 = 2.2%
Tallahassee 55 = 1.9%
Jacksonville 230 = 7.9%
Gainesville 58 = 2.0%
Orlando 613 = 21.1%
Tampa 728 = 25.1%
West Palm Beach 304 = 10.5%
Fort Myers 195 = 6.7%
Miami 537 = 18.5%
Highest Education Level:

Non High School graduate = 3.3%
High School graduate = 25.0%
Some college = 31.5%
College graduate = 23.2%
Post-graduate = 17.0%
Hispanic repondents self-identity:

Cuban = 27.1%
Puerto Rican = 29.9%
Mexican = 7.5%
South American = 18.3%
Central American = 8.0%
Caribbean = 3.4%
Other = 5.9%
State of Florida Registered Voter Demographics
Here are the demographics for all registered voters, the active voters and the difference between the
two. For this poll, we weighted based upon the demographics of the active voters. An “active” voter is
considered active if they have voted in an election in the last 4 years. All percentages are rounded.
Registered Voters Active Voters Difference

Political Party-
Democrat: 37.1% 38.6% +1.5%
Republican: 35.0% 38.8% +3.8%
Independent: 27.9% 22.5% -5.3%
Race-
White: 62.0% 65.3% +3.4%
Black: 13.5% 13.0% -0.5%
Hispanic: 17.0% 15.5% -1.5%
Asian: 2.0% 1.8% -0.2%
Other: 5.5% 4.4% -1.1%
Gender-
Female: 52.1% 54.1% +2.0%
Male: 45.0% 43.8% -1.2%
Age-
18-29: 16.2% 10.6% -5.6%
30-49: 29.9% 27.5% -2.4%
50-69: 33.3% 37.1% +3.8%
70+: 20.1% 24.2% +4.1%
Media Market-
Pensacola: 3.8% 3.6% -0.2%
Panama City: 1.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Tallahassee: 2.0% 2.1% +0.1%
Jacksonville: 8.6% 8.7% +0.1%
Gainesville: 1.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Orlando: 21.1% 21.1% 0.0%
Tampa: 24.4% 24.4% 0.0%
West Palm Beach: 10.3% 10.4% +0.1%
Fort Myers: 6.5% 6.6% +0.2%
Miami: 19.7% 19.5% -0.2%

Here are the demographic changes from 2016 to 2020 for all registered Florida voters:
2016 All Voters 2020 All Voters Change

Political Party-
Democrat: 37.9% 37.1% -0.7%
Republican: 34.9% 35.0% +0.1%
Independent: 27.3% 27.9% +0.6%
Race-
White: 63.9% 62.0% -1.9%
Black: 13.5% 13.5% 0.0%
Hispanic: 15.9% 17.0% +1.1%
Asian: 1.8% 2.0% +0.2%
Other: 4.9% 5.5% +0.6%
Gender-
Female: 52.5% 52.1% -0.4%
Male: 44.9% 45.0% +0.1%
Age-
18-29: 18.3% 16.2% -2.1%
30-49: 29.6% 29.9% +0.3%
50-69: 33.7% 33.3% -0.4%
70+: 17.9% 20.1% +2.2%
Media Market-
Pensacola: 3.7% 3.8% +0.1%
Panama City: 2.0% 1.9% -0.1%
Tallahassee: 2.0% 2.0% -0.1%
Jacksonville: 8.4% 8.6% +0.2%
Gainesville: 1.8% 1.7% -0.1%
Orlando: 20.6% 21.1% +0.6%
Tampa: 24.1% 24.4% +0.3%
West Palm Beach: 10.6% 10.3% -0.3%
Fort Myers: 6.5% 6.5% 0.0%
Miami: 20.3% 19.7% -0.6%
State of Florida Statewide Recent Voting History
Here are the election results for the last two general elections within this state:
2018 Florida Governor Election:

Ron DeSantis(R): 49.6%
Andrew Gillum(D): 49.2%
All other candidates: 1.2%
2018 Florida U.S. Senator Election:

Rick Scott(R): 50.1%
Bill Nelson(D): 49.9%
2016 Presidential Election:

Donald Trump(R): 49.0%
Hillary Clinton(D): 47.8%
2016 Florida U.S. Senator Election:

Marco Rubio(R): 52.0%
Patrick Murphy(D): 44.3%

Summary of Scientific Results:
Do you plan to vote by mail, vote in person or not vote in the November
General Election?
Vote by mail: 50.4%
Vote in person: 49.6%
If the Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were
Donald Trump and Joe Biden, who would you vote for?
Donald Trump: 46.5%
Joe Biden: 49.7%
Third party: 1.6%
Undecided: 2.3%
Should the U.S. Senate vote to confirm a judge to the vacant seat on the
Supreme Court before the inauguration in January?
Yes: 44.8%
No: 48.1%
Unsure: 7.1%
Would you support a state Constitutional Amendment that would raise the
minimum wage to 10 dollars per hour with one dollar increases for each of
the next five years?
Yes: 64.8%
No: 22.6%
Unsure: 12.6%
Would you support a state Constitutional Amendment that would require

that new state constitutional amendments be approved by voters in two
separate elections before going into effect?
Yes: 44.3%
No: 30.8%
Unsure: 24.9%
Would you support the proposed All Voters Vote Open Primaries state
Constitutional Amendment that would allow all voters of any party
registration to vote in open primaries, and have primary elections changed
to be all candidates from all parties together on the same ballot, and then
move only the top two candidates on to the general election?
Yes: 46.1%
No: 35.1%
Unsure: 18.8%
Detailed Results with Demographic Breakdowns for Each Question:
Do you plan to vote by mail, vote in person or not vote in the November
General Election?
Vote by mail: 50.4%
Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:
Vote by mail: 50.4%

Political Party Breakdown:

Democratic Party 1113 responses
Vote by mail: 62.5% Vote in person: 37.5%
Republican Party 1118 responses
Independent Voter 675 responses
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1893 responses
Black, Not Hispanic 374 responses
Asian or Pacific Islander 55 responses
Hispanic 459 responses
Other or Unknown 125 responses
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1277 responses
Female 1585 responses
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 320 responses
70 and up 707 responses
Pensacola 123 responses
Panama City 63 responses
Tallahassee 55 responses
Jacksonville 230 responses
Gainesville 58 responses
Orlando 613 responses
Tampa 728 responses
West Palm Beach 304 responses
Fort Myers 195 responses
Miami 537 responses

If the Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were
Donald Trump and Joe Biden, who would you vote for?
Donald Trump: 46.5%
Joe Biden: 49.7%
Third party: 1.6%
Undecided: 2.3%

Trump: 46.5%
Biden: 49.6%
Third party: 1.6%
Undecided: 2.3%

Trump: 15.8% Biden: 80.3% Third party: 1.5% Undecided: 2.3%
Race Breakdown:
Trump: 50.9% Biden: 47.3% Third party: 0% Undecided: 1.8%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1277 responses
Age Breakdown:
Trump: 49.1% Biden: 47.3% Third party: 3.6% Undecided: 0%
Tampa 728 responses
Miami 537 responses
Should the U.S. Senate vote to confirm a judge to the vacant seat on the
Supreme Court before the inauguration in January?
Yes: 44.8%
No: 48.1%
Unsure: 7.1%
Yes: 44.8%
No: 48.1%
Unsure: 7.1%

Yes: 15.4% No: 77.5% Unsure: 7.1%
Yes: 74.8% No: 18.8% Unsure: 6.4%
Yes: 43.9% No: 48.0% Unsure: 8.1%
Race Breakdown:
Yes: 53.1% No: 41.6% Unsure: 5.3%
Yes: 11.8% No: 73.3% Unsure: 15.0%
Yes: 38.2% No: 47.3% Unsure: 14.5%
Yes: 39.9% No: 53.2% Unsure: 7.0%
Yes: 39.2% No: 52.8% Unsure: 8.0%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1277 responses
Yes: 45.7% No: 47.4% Unsure: 6.9%
Yes: 44.4% No: 48.5% Unsure: 7.1%
Age Breakdown:
Yes: 38.8% No: 52.8% Unsure: 8.4%
Yes: 39.4% No: 51.3% Unsure: 9.3%
Yes: 47.6% No: 46.8% Unsure: 5.6%
Yes: 49.4% No: 44.3% Unsure: 6.4%
Yes: 54.5% No: 34.1% Unsure: 11.4%
Yes: 57.1% No: 34.9% Unsure: 7.9%
Yes: 47.3% No: 45.5% Unsure: 7.3%
Yes: 49.1% No: 43.0% Unsure: 7.8%
Yes: 43.1% No: 51.7% Unsure: 5.2%
Yes: 47.3% No: 47.0% Unsure: 5.7%
Tampa 728 responses
Yes: 47.5% No: 46.3% Unsure: 6.2%
Yes: 44.4% No: 51.3% Unsure: 4.3%
Yes: 47.2% No: 47.2% Unsure: 5.6%
Miami 537 responses
Yes: 32.2% No: 57.0% Unsure: 10.8%

Would you support a state Constitutional Amendment that would raise the
minimum wage to 10 dollars per hour with one dollar increases for each of
the next five years?
Yes: 64.8%
No: 22.6%
Unsure: 12.6%
Yes: 64.8%
No: 22.6%
Unsure: 12.6%

Yes: 80.0% No: 9.7% Unsure: 10.3%
Yes: 49.1% No: 35.8% Unsure: 15.1%
Yes: 65.6% No: 22.1% Unsure: 12.3%
Race Breakdown:
Yes: 60.4% No: 27.2% Unsure: 12.4%
Yes: 79.7% No: 7.8% Unsure: 12.6%
Yes: 58.2% No: 25.5% Unsure: 16.4%
Yes: 69.7% No: 17.0% Unsure: 13.3%
Yes: 71.2% No: 16.8% Unsure: 12.0%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1277 responses
Yes: 63.9% No: 23.8% Unsure: 12.3%
Yes: 65.6% No: 21.6% Unsure: 12.9%
Age Breakdown:
Yes: 62.8% No: 26.9% Unsure: 10.3%
Yes: 64.1% No: 22.8% Unsure: 13.1%
Yes: 64.8% No: 22.7% Unsure: 12.6%
Yes: 66.3% No: 20.4% Unsure: 13.3%
Yes: 62.6% No: 21.1% Unsure: 16.3%
Yes: 58.7% No: 25.4% Unsure: 15.9%
Yes: 63.6% No: 29.1% Unsure: 7.3%
Yes: 59.6% No: 25.7% Unsure: 14.8%
Yes: 53.4% No: 34.5% Unsure: 12.1%
Yes: 62.5% No: 24.5% Unsure: 13.1%
Tampa 728 responses
Yes: 64.7% No: 22.8% Unsure: 12.5%
Yes: 65.1% No: 23.0% Unsure: 11.8%
Yes: 64.1% No: 24.6% Unsure: 11.3%
Miami 537 responses
Yes: 72.3% No: 16.0% Unsure: 11.7%
Would you support a state Constitutional Amendment that would require
that new state constitutional amendments be approved by voters in two
separate elections before going into effect?
Yes: 44.3%
No: 30.8%
Unsure: 24.9%
Yes: 44.3%
No: 30.8%
Unsure: 24.8%

Yes: 40.5% No: 34.2% Unsure: 25.2%
Yes: 48.3% No: 26.7% Unsure: 25.0%
Yes: 44.0% No: 32.0% Unsure: 24.0%
Race Breakdown:
Yes: 44.5% No: 32.2% Unsure: 23.3%
Yes: 44.4% No: 25.7% Unsure: 29.9%
Yes: 40.0% No: 30.9% Unsure: 29.1%
Yes: 45.3% No: 29.4% Unsure: 25.3%
Yes: 39.2% No: 31.2% Unsure: 29.6%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1277 responses
Yes: 46.8% No: 30.7% Unsure: 22.6%
Yes: 42.4% No: 30.9% Unsure: 26.8%
Age Breakdown:
Yes: 46.2% No: 31.9% Unsure: 21.9%
Yes: 41.1% No: 31.6% Unsure: 27.4%
Yes: 45.0% No: 31.0% Unsure: 23.9%
Yes: 46.0% No: 29.3% Unsure: 24.8%
Yes: 43.9% No: 31.7% Unsure: 24.4%
Yes: 49.2% No: 28.6% Unsure: 22.2%
Yes: 40.0% No: 41.8% Unsure: 18.2%
Yes: 52.6% No: 23.0% Unsure: 24.3%
Yes: 46.6% No: 34.5% Unsure: 19.0%
Yes: 41.8% No: 35.7% Unsure: 22.5%
Tampa 728 responses
Yes: 46.3% No: 30.9% Unsure: 22.8%
Yes: 41.8% No: 29.6% Unsure: 28.6%
Yes: 48.7% No: 30.3% Unsure: 21.0%
Miami 537 responses
Yes: 40.6% No: 27.9% Unsure: 31.5%

Would you support the proposed All Voters Vote Open Primaries state Constitutional
Amendment that would allow all voters of any party registration to vote in open
primaries, and have primary elections changed to be all candidates from all parties
together on the same ballot, and then move only the top two candidates on to the
general election?
Yes: 46.1%
No: 35.1%
Unsure: 18.8%
Yes: 46.1% No: 35.1% Unsure: 18.8%

Yes: 51.8% No: 29.8% Unsure: 18.4%
Yes: 36.6% No: 44.7% Unsure: 18.7%
Yes: 52.4% No: 28.0% Unsure: 19.6%
Race Breakdown:
Yes: 43.8% No: 39.2% Unsure: 17.0%
Yes: 51.1% No: 23.3% Unsure: 25.7%
Yes: 47.3% No: 25.5% Unsure: 27.3%
Yes: 51.2% No: 29.8% Unsure: 19.0%
Yes: 45.6% No: 32.8% Unsure: 21.6%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1277 responses
Yes: 47.4% No: 35.9% Unsure: 16.8%
Yes: 44.9% No: 34.8% Unsure: 20.3%
Age Breakdown:
Yes: 46.2% No: 37.2% Unsure: 16.6%
Yes: 48.8% No: 31.6% Unsure: 19.6%
Yes: 44.5% No: 37.9% Unsure: 17.6%
Yes: 45.4% No: 33.9% Unsure: 20.7%
Yes: 46.3% No: 29.3% Unsure: 24.4%
Yes: 34.9% No: 41.3% Unsure: 23.8%
Yes: 43.6% No: 40.0% Unsure: 16.4%
Yes: 48.7% No: 35.2% Unsure: 16.1%
Yes: 41.4% No: 34.5% Unsure: 24.1%
Yes: 46.0% No: 35.7% Unsure: 18.3%
Tampa 728 responses
Yes: 49.9% No: 34.6% Unsure: 15.5%
Yes: 39.1% No: 35.2% Unsure: 25.7%
Yes: 47.2% No: 38.5% Unsure: 14.4%
Miami 537 responses
Yes: 45.4% No: 34.1% Unsure: 20.5%

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9887 4th St. N.

Subject: Florida Statewide survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com

Date: September 22, 2020

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

Media Market Breakdown:

Highest Education Level:

Hispanic repondents self-identity:

Registered Voters Active Voters Difference

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

2016 All Voters 2020 All Voters Change

2018 Florida Governor Election:

2018 Florida U.S. Senator Election:

2016 Presidential Election:

2016 Florida U.S. Senator Election:

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

Would you support a state Constitutional Amendment that would require

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Vote by mail: 50.4%

Political Party Breakdown:

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Political Party Breakdown:

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Political Party Breakdown:

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Political Party Breakdown:

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Political Party Breakdown:

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Yes: 46.1% No: 35.1% Unsure: 18.8%

Political Party Breakdown:

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