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Digital Transformation in Energy: Achieving Escape Velocity
Digital Transformation in Energy: Achieving Escape Velocity
Digital transformation
in energy: Achieving
escape velocity
The need for digital value is greater and the barriers to change are
lower—yet inertia persists. Three practical lessons can help energy
companies break through.
August 2020
For energy companies, achieving value from digital
technologies has become the great white whale: It is truly important that energy companies realize
anxiously hunted, dimly perceived, enormous, and the promise of digital innovation at scale, on a
elusive. For the past two years, energy companies global basis. It matters to the world: over the next
of every stripe have probed digital possibilities— two to three decades, more than five billion people
running pilots in analytics, process digitization, and across the developing world will seek a path
automation. They assumed that, as engineering- out of poverty. Unlocking the magnitude of energy
savvy organizations with a history of ingenuity, they resources required to improve their lives, in a
could easily find the value from digital. Reality has way that does not choke the environment, cannot
proved more difficult. be done without the power of digital to improve
efficiency and manage complexity.
Energy companies have failed to achieve
substantial business value from digital because And it matters to energy companies because they
their approaches do not account for the unique face unprecedented changes across the energy
challenges of being an energy company, which system: more competition, more complexity, and less
create extraordinary inertia. Breaking that predictability. Profit margins are under pressure, and
inertia will require far bolder action than energy the margin of error for survival is shrinking.
companies have been comfortable taking to date.
They must commit to transformation. These changes affect every player:
To be sure, COVID-19 has scrambled the outlook — oil and gas operators that face price volatility,
for digital in energy. Some companies, especially potential peak demand, and the dynamism
independent producers and suppliers in oil and of shale versus OPEC
gas, must focus urgently on cash and survival—
digital can come later. But for energy companies — utilities that face distributed generation,
with the resources to weather the storm, the more complex grids, and evolving customer
disruption of COVID-19 has done two things: first, expectations
it has underlined that survival requires getting to
— refineries that must adapt to global
the next level on cost and adaptability, and that
uncertainty over new sources of feedstock and
requires digital; and second, by forcing companies
new patterns of demand
to abandon business as usual, it has lowered the
barriers to change that typically impede digital — renewables developers that must survive
transformation. and grow amid intensifying competition and
potential commoditization
Digital transformations have been tragically
overhyped, but we believe they are both possible — service companies that must remake their
and necessary. Here, we describe a perspective on delivery models to meet customers’ new
what it will take to achieve one in energy. We draw expectations about digital efficiencies
on lessons from early experiences in energy as well
— engineering, procurement, and construction
as earlier movers in high tech, finance, healthcare,
companies that struggle to deliver the types of
and mining. These lessons were true pre-COVID and
capital projects that matter for the future
we believe they remain true now. Energy companies
that harness them will have the wherewithal to
Digital innovation is one of the few means that can
invest for future leadership.
contend with these profound changes—by using
predictive analytics to better anticipate the future,
data to better inform current decisions in the here
Why enabling digital in energy matters and now, and digitization and automation to take
So far, the adoption of new technologies in energy
advantage of every increment of cost and speed
has been more hype than reality. Does it warrant so
that can be found.
much attention?
Exhibit 1
0.11 50
47
0.10
33
30
25
0.05 23
0.04 0.04 0.035 38
0.07
24
19
0.03 0.03
1
Assumes US average figures for all operating plants, and midrange capex from listed sources for new build.
² Per boe cost estimates based on assets that came online 2010-19; opex and government take based on 2019 spend and production; capex per boe for deepwater
based on total investment spend from start of development to two years after start-up divided by total resources; capex per boe for Permian is based on well capex
divided by estimated EUR; deepwater assets defined as having water depth of more than 1,000 feet.
Source: DOE 2018 US Wind Technologies report; Berkeley 2019 Utility Scale Solar report; Lazard levelized cost of energy v13; EIA; Rystad Ucube; McKinsey analysis
What makes digital value difficult to achieve in the scrutiny for more than a century, energy
energy industry? companies are averse to risk and try to control
for it through detailed and rigorous processes.
— physical orientation. The energy business This makes them slow to change.
is sensitive to the laws of physics—whether
the geophysics of an oil and gas reservoir, — engineer-driven culture. In a physically oriented,
quantum physics of solar power, fluid dynamics highly regulated sector, the engineer is king. Oil
of wind, thermodynamics of fossil power, or and gas and power companies are dominated
electromagnetics of power transmission. by current and former engineers who have
Moreover, it is embodied in heavy capital risen to the executive ranks. As such, these
such as power plants, offshore platforms, or organizations are enmeshed in an engineering
LNG terminals or pipelines. This physicality mindset: a love of large, comprehensive
makes energy operations, and therefore profit projects, a premium on finding the perfect
generation, fundamentally difficult. In energy, solution up front, detailed planning to the
digital applications must contend with the laws highest degree, and a preference for rigorous
of nature and be done in a way that safeguards analysis and process over fast judgments and
asset health and frontline capability. And flexibility.
proposed technology investments must meet
— heavy dependence on third parties. The work
a high bar of proof that they are worthy of
of energy companies depends on an extensive
integrating into these difficult operations.
and fragmented supply chain. Industries
— health and safety risk. Energy is a powerful such as airlines and automotive also depend
commodity: it supports our everyday lives, but on a complex supply base, but the energy
without care, it is potentially dangerous. The industry puts supplier collaboration at the
industry pays enormous attention to safety, heart of operations. For example, a shale play
but incidents still occur—sometimes deadly, requires a huge cascade of parties—owner
such as the Deepwater Horizon and San Bruno companies that provide funding and regulatory
explosions. Given the inherent risks, energy engagement, third parties that drill, others that
companies must navigate a web of regulations, haul water and sand, others that build surface
which span every level of government. For facilities, and others that integrate all these
example, local rules about land use; state rules activities—just to produce a barrel of oil.
about water, safety, energy mix, or consumer
— long careers, narrow exposure. Many energy
service requirements; federal rules about
executives have been at the same company
interstate projects and operations; even
for at least 30 years—unusual for today—rising
international treaties governing the energy
through the ranks by running a well-worn
trade. As a result of living under regulatory
playbook. Such discipline makes sense given
Other industries contend with one or two of the Don’t just sponsor—own
issues above; the energy industry deals with them Most energy companies have a matrix of business
all. Each factor encumbers movement. Taken units, which run the operation, and functions (such
together, these challenges create massive inertia as IT, engineering, or procurement), which provide
when it comes to digital adoption. services to the businesses. Usually, businesses, not
functions, have the power. Digital transformation
can only happen if businesses take responsibility for
transforming themselves.
How to break the inertia: Digital
fortune favors the bold
Almost invariably, they don’t. The mindset of
The only way to overcome an organization’s inertia
business executives has evolved over the years,
is to apply enough force. Small steps such as pilots
but still not enough. Two years ago, business
and proofs of concept are too weak, and large
leaders relegated digital to the sidelines as a quirky
technology programs run the risk of creating the
IT project. Today, they recognize the value of digital
wrong kind of force. The business must commit to
but still treat it as a visionary experiment from on
digital transformation—fundamentally changing
high. Indeed, corporate leaders hail the promise
how the organization works, beyond technology
of digital technology and fund it lavishly, but they
alone—and then go after it.
make it the purview of new digital incubators or
centers of excellence rather than line operations.
COVID-19 creates a window to drive transformative
change, in small part because companies and
Business units will not commit to digital
workers have been forced to accelerate their use
transformation unless they have skin in the game.
of basic digital tools for remote work, in large part
What does that look like?
because the status quo has already been disrupted.
Exhibit 2
Value unlock Define the Reimagine future Rapidly deploy Harden the MVPs Realize full vision Establish a
end-to-end workflows to get initial products to to make sure they by expanding sustained digital
workflows that the most value users to deliver will work in live beyond MVPs, factory that is an
drive the most value value fast, generate operation at scale reusing across engine of enabling
in the business learnings, and business units, digital for the
(“needle movers”) create a and building new enterprise
springboard products
Data and Conduct rapid gap Inventory key Institute basic best Clean the code, Create code Create an API
technology analysis of tools systems of record practices, including enabling scale-up libraries for marketplace that
and infrastructure and field, pilot, or API-first approach, common needs, makes the
planned rationalized tech Institutionalize and instrument the reusable building
technologies stack across tech enablers (eg, code to enable blocks available to
business units, site reliability performance all for continuous
automated security engineering) analytics innovation
approvals
Culture and Conduct rapid gap Engage the most Catalyze frontline Establish user Demonstrate the Formalize the
capabilities analysis of digital courageous, buy-in from support process value of sharing, digital factory’s
and nondigital informed, creative business units and and capabilities standardization, operating model
capabilities leaders to own and create a forcing to ensure and scale and replicate it
shape the vision mechanism to manageable
simplify IT policies scale-up Expand in-house
talent base
Timeframe 4–12 weeks 4–12 weeks 8–12 weeks 4–6 weeks 2–8 weeks for After 12–18
reuse; expansions months
span 12–18 months
Being a sponsor and providing funds signals interest, creating value from digital. On the other hand, that
but it does not generate a psychological sense of accountability also gives the business the power to
accountability. If all a business does is fund a digital shape digital initiatives to reflect true priorities, not
service that another group must deliver, it can remain the fanciful dreams of technologists.
at arm’s length as a dispassionate judge of someone
else’s work. Second, business units should commit the time and
talent of their star operators. Typically, business
Beyond funding, business units should first integrate leaders who view digital innovation as a sideshow
digital technologies into their formal business and shield their stars from digital efforts and refocus
operational targets. This has a dual benefit. On one them on the traditional moneymakers: drilling wells,
hand, it forces the business to take accountability for signing power purchase agreements, operating the
Exhibit 3
End-to-end workflows have value greater than the sum of their parts.
Maintenance optimization example
Workflow segments Determine Dispatch and route crews Execute maintenance Log and track
maintenance needs
Challenges • Preventing asset failures • Low crew utilization • Rework • Limited, poor-quality data
• Knowing where and when • Unnecessary trips • Jobs take longer than • Manual entry takes time
failure might happen needed away from work,
• Knowing where and how to
introduces error
direct crews • Quality variance
Point solutions alone Predictive maintenance Remote restart attempts to Mobility tools provide crews Sensor records and easy
Useful but limited algorithm identifies assets solve issue automatically with live access to data and manual entry ensure
nearing failure remote support accurate record of work done
Routing optimization and asset status
algorithm matches the right
crews with the right place,
routes them efficiently
Solutions connected Predictive algorithm Routing optimizer feeds into Site-level data seamlessly
across a workflow informs how route optimizer intuitive user interface so feeds back to the center to
Powerful sets priorities crews easily know where create better analysis
to be, when, why, and with
what tools
Predictive algorithm feeds diagnostics into mobility tool
Adrian Booth is a senior partner in McKinsey’s San Francisco office, Nikhil Patel is a partner in the Houston office, and Micah
Smith is a senior partner in the Dallas office.
The authors wish to thank Claudio Brasca, Collin Cole, Eelco de Jong, Travis Dziubla, Brennan Gudmundson, Spencer Holmes,
Bharat Kejriwal, Ling Lau, Murali Natarajan, Thomas Newton, Jesse Noffsinger, Craig Poeppelman, Abhay Prasanna, Michael
Rix, Naveen Sastry, Lois Schonberger, Thomas Seitz, Chhavi Sharma, Anjan Siddharth, Meera Chidambaram Sivakumar, Kyler
Tebbutt, and Liangliang Zhang for their contributions to this article.