NO war with China

No US-China War – Economics

Thomas Barnett, 2004, a former Professor and senior military analyst at the U.S. Naval War College,
and a top advisor to SecDef Donald Rumsfeld, 2004, ("The Pentagon's New Map: War and Peace In The
Twenty-First Century," Why China will never Risk War with the US over Taiwan...
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1361719/posts accessed 7/3/2011)

(the following excerpt shows why war in the Taiwan strait is highly improbable if not impossible ): "Three key
pillars control the vast bulk of long-term investments. Not surprisingly, these three constitute the Old Core of Globalization II: the United
States, the (now) European Union, and Japan. This relatively small slice of the global population (approximately one-eighth) controls
over four-fifths of the money. If you want to join the Core, you must be able to access that money-plain and simple. That fundamental reality
of the global economy explains why we won't be going to war with China . The Pentagon can plan for
it all it wants, but it does so purely within the sterile logic of war , and not with and logical
reference to the larger flows of globalization. Simply put, those flows continue to reshape the international security
environment that the Defense Department often imagines it manages all by its lonesome. Let me paint you the same basic picture I love to draw each
time I give my brief to Pentagon strategists and, by doing so, give you a realistic sense of what China would be up against if it chose to challenge the
United States-led globalization process wing military means. China has to double its energy consumption in a generation if all the
growth it is planning is actually going to occur. We know where the Chinese have to go for the energy: Russia, Central Asia, and the Gulf. That's
a lot of new friends to make and one significant past enemy to romance (Moscow). But Beijing will pull it off, because they have no choice. To make all
that energy happen, China has to build an amazing amount of infrastructure to import it, process it, generate the needed energy products, and deliver it
to buildings and wehicles all over the country (though mostly along the coast). That infrastructure will cost a lot, and it's common when talking to
development experts to hear the "T" word-as in "trillions"-casually tossed around. Where is China going to go for all that money?
when it really wants to tap the big sources of money, there
Certainly it will tap its biggest trade partner, Japan, for all it can. But
are only two financial communities that can handle that sort of a request: Wall Street and the European Union.
So when you add it all up, for China to get its way on development, it needs to be friends with the Americans,
the Europeans, the Muslims, and the Slavs. Doesn't exactly leave a lot of civilizations to clash with, does it

Peaceful Reunification Now – no risk of conflict

Robert S. Ross, 2006, Professor of Political Science at Boston College and an Associate at the John King
Fairbank Center for East Asian Research at Harvard University, March/April 2006, (Foreign Affairs, Taiwan's
Fading Independence Movement, p. Lexis)

Political developments in Taiwan over the past year have effectively ended the independence movement there.
What had been a major source of regional instability – and the most likely source of a great-power war anywhere
in the world -- has become increasingly irrelevant . The peaceful transformation of relations between China
and Taiwan will help stabilize eastern Asia, reduce the likelihood of conflict between China and the U nited S tates,
and present an opportunity for Beijing, Taipei, and Washington to adjust their defense postures -- all without
hurting Taiwan's security or threatening U.S. interests.