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CE-16002 - Q1 Assignment 02
CE-16002 - Q1 Assignment 02
45
40
Rainfall Intensity (mm/hr)
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
0 5 10
Return Per
0
0 5 10
Return Per
Empirical Plotting Position Approach
Return Period (T) Rainfall intensity Year 1 hr Descending Rank
1/p mm/hr 1 hr order m
22 39.6 1985 13.7 21.2 1
11 32.4 1986 8.6 13.7 2
7 30.4 1987 9.9 10.8 3
6 26 1988 6.8 10.8 4
4 22.4 1989 9.3 10.7 5
4 20.8 1990 10.5 10.5 6
3 19.2 1991 10.7 10.5 7
3 19.2 1992 9.1 10.2 8
2 18 1993 10.8 10.1 9
2 17.6 1994 10.1 9.9 10
2 17.2 1995 9.4 9.8 11
2 16.8 1996 21.2 9.4 12
2 16.8 1997 10.5 9.3 13
2 16.4 1998 8.8 9.3 14
1 16 1999 10.8 9.1 15
1 14.4 2000 8.7 8.8 16
1 14 2001 7.8 8.7 17
1 14 2002 9.3 8.7 18
1 12.8 2003 8.7 8.6 19
1 12.4 2004 10.2 7.8 20
1 11.6 2005 9.8 6.8 21
5 10 15 20 25
Return Period
5 10 15 20 25
Return Period
Empirical Plotting Position Approach
Exceedance probabilty Return Period (T) Rainfall intensity Year 24 hr Descending
p = m/(n +1) 1/p mm/hr 24 hr order
0.045454545454546 22 21.2 1985 30.4 100.9
0.090909090909091 11 13.7 1986 84.7 84.7
0.136363636363636 7 10.8 1987 65.3 82.6
0.181818181818182 6 10.8 1988 51.8 78.6
0.227272727272727 4 10.7 1989 50.9 72.6
0.272727272727273 4 10.5 1990 78.6 65.3
0.318181818181818 3 10.5 1991 100.9 65.2
0.363636363636364 3 10.2 1992 54.4 64.9
0.409090909090909 2 10.1 1993 64.9 64.9
0.454545454545455 2 9.9 1994 60.6 60.9
0.5 2 9.8 1995 82.6 60.6
0.545454545454545 2 9.4 1996 60.9 59.4
0.590909090909091 2 9.3 1997 65.2 54.4
0.636363636363636 2 9.3 1998 48.5 51.8
0.681818181818182 1 9.1 1999 59.4 50.9
0.727272727272727 1 8.8 2000 47.6 48.5
0.772727272727273 1 8.7 2001 45.6 47.6
0.818181818181818 1 8.7 2002 64.9 45.6
0.863636363636364 1 8.6 2003 72.6 42.7
0.909090909090909 1 7.8 2004 41 41
0.954545454545455 1 6.8 2005 42.7 30.4
m/hr
m/hr
m/hr
Rank Exceedance probabilty Return Period (T) Rainfall intensity
m p = m/(n +1) 1/p mm/hr
1 0.045454545454546 22 4.20416666666667
2 0.090909090909091 11 3.52916666666667
3 0.136363636363636 7 3.44166666666667
4 0.181818181818182 6 3.275
5 0.227272727272727 4 3.025
6 0.272727272727273 4 2.72083333333333
7 0.318181818181818 3 2.71666666666667
8 0.363636363636364 3 2.70416666666667
9 0.409090909090909 2 2.70416666666667
10 0.454545454545455 2 2.5375
11 0.5 2 2.525
12 0.545454545454545 2 2.475
13 0.590909090909091 2 2.26666666666667
14 0.636363636363636 2 2.15833333333333
15 0.681818181818182 1 2.12083333333333
16 0.727272727272727 1 2.02083333333333
17 0.772727272727273 1 1.98333333333333
18 0.818181818181818 1 1.9
19 0.863636363636364 1 1.77916666666667
20 0.909090909090909 1 1.70833333333333
21 0.954545454545455 1 1.26666666666667
Theoretical Extreme Value (EV) Distribution Approach
Year 5min 10min 15 min 30 min 1 hr 2 hr 6 hr 12 hr 24 hr
0.08 hr 0.17 hr 0.25 hr 0.50 hr 1 hr 2 hr 6 hr 12 hr 24 hr
1985 2.8 5.3 8.1 10.9 13.7 14.4 24.2 28 30.4
1986 2.5 3.9 4.4 5.9 8.6 14.6 36.8 56.3 84.7
1987 1.5 2.5 3.2 5.5 9.9 17.7 33.8 43.2 65.3
1988 2 3.2 4.2 5.3 6.8 11.1 27.7 45 51.8
1989 3 4.3 5.2 6.9 9.3 15.2 30 45.6 50.9
1990 2.4 2.9 3.5 6.2 10.5 17.7 41.4 52.1 78.6
1991 2.6 3.6 4.8 6.4 10.7 17.4 36 66.4 100.9
1992 1.7 2 3.1 5.3 9.1 15.3 26.1 43.9 54.4
1993 2.8 4 4.5 7.4 10.8 15.8 27.2 38.2 64.9
1994 1.8 2.7 3.6 5.8 10.1 15 30.9 40.1 60.6
1995 2.5 3.2 4.1 5.9 9.4 14.4 33.7 50.7 82.6
1996 4.4 6.9 9.9 15.9 21.2 24 46.7 50.3 60.9
1997 3.1 3.6 4.3 6.7 10.5 15.9 38.8 54.8 65.2
1998 1.9 2.3 2.9 5.3 8.8 14.4 33.5 44.3 48.5
1999 2 2.5 3.5 6 10.8 17.4 35.9 48 59.4
2000 2 3.5 4 5.9 8.7 15 30.1 45.2 47.6
2001 2.9 4 4.2 5.5 7.8 13.2 23.2 36.2 45.6
2002 4.4 4.8 4.8 5.7 9.3 14.5 30 38 64.9
2003 2.3 4.2 5.6 8.1 8.7 11.8 29.1 45.5 72.6
2004 3.9 6.3 7.6 9.2 10.2 15.2 27.7 33 41
2005 3.2 5 6.5 8.5 9.8 13.8 24.1 34.5 42.7
Mean (x̄) 2.65 3.84 4.86 7.06 10.2 15.42 31.76 44.73 60.64
Std.Dev. (S) 0.82 1.28 1.80 2.50 2.87 2.61 6.04 8.79 16.74
Theoretical Extreme Value (EV) Distribution Approach
FREQUENCY FACTORS = − 6/ π [0.5772 + ln(ln( T/ T −1 ))]