Professional Documents
Culture Documents
O o o O: Subsections
O o o O: Subsections
O o o O: Subsections
Preparatory Investigation: The Water Resource, Land and and Buildings, Market
and Prices
o The Entrepeneurs
o Natural resources
o Buildings
o The Market
A young couple in Iceland, Johann and Rosa, have taken over Johann's parents' farm.
Traditional husbandry of cattle and sheep for production of meat and dairy products has
gone through a rough time so they have been looking for new opportunities in their
farming. Johann believes that arctic charr might suit them well. Before making up their
mind they inspect their water resources, the features of their land and other factors that
might support or rule against their hopes. They also study the basics of fish farming,
collect information on what facilities are required, prices of material and equipment they
would have to buy and, of course, look into the market situation. At the end of the year
they have - aside their regular work on the farm - spent on preparatory inspection and
calculations, they now know:
Natural resources
The stream running through their land has waterflow of 120 liters per second. The
temperature of the water varies along with the seasons, from 4°C in winter up to 9°C in
the summer, average temperature being around 7°C. The source of the stream is by the
roots of a mountain in their land, at about 15 meters height above the possible location
of the tanks and at 0.75 km distance. The declination is therefore 1:50 meters. The
declination of the land is fairly even. In the land there is a small spring of geothermal
water, as in many places in Iceland, but at this point they are considering a simple flow
through of the stream water.
Buildings
As they have decided that farming sheep doesn't pay anymore, they consider putting
the tanks up under roof as well as facilities for bleeding fish in the quite big sheepcote.
The house is a solid concrete building with corrugated iron roof with room, originally
built to house 400 sheep. Feed and packaging could be stored there as well.
The Market
They have contacted a wholesale distributor of fish who is prepared to take on their
product for sale both to the grocery chains on home market and abroad. The price the
distributor is prepared to pay is 5.10 ECU's (FOB) - and they have verified as being the
present market price -, has been stable for quite a while and for the time being nothing
indicates it will fall in the nearest future. The distributor runs a factory for slaughtering
and packaging some 20 km away from Johann's and Rosa's farm, the roads are cleared
of snow all the winter because of the milk transport from all the farms to the dairy
factory. Now the couple decides to proceed and prepare a business plan for making
sure all relevant matters are accounted with.
The business idea so far is to produce at full capacity of their stream water resource
and sell their product fresh ten months a year. They intend to buy fry at 10 g, grow the
fish to 1 kg and sell all their product to a single distributor. They will bleed the fish at the
farm, then transport it iced in fish-tubs in trucks to the distributor's factory for gutting and
packaging. The business plan they will finally present is based on the facts and
opportunities they discover through their investigations and calculations before making
the final decision. After studying the options and costs of getting the final product to the
market as shown in table below , and customer demand, they decide that 40% of their
product should be sold as fresh fillets and 60% as fresh, gutted fish. The average return
price/kg live fish will be 4.18 ECU/kg (see table).
Variable cost,
fixed cost,
contribution margin,
variable unit cost and
break-even point.
The variable cost is the cost which changes with alterations in the level of production. The fixed
cost is the cost that remains independent of the level of production. Examples of fixed cost:
house rental, depreciation, cleaning, etc. Examples of variable cost: feed, medicine, fry and
production labour cost. Sometimes it is not obvious whether cost in question is fixed or variable.
Contribution margin is defined as the sales price minus the variable cost. Therefore the
contribution margin is the amount which will pay the fixed cost and give the profit. In calculation
of the cost and in estimation of the grounds for the business, it is often best to find the variable
cost per unit produced. That cost is then named variable unit cost (VUC). The break-even point
is where the sales income is equal to the cost. Such the break-even point tells the farmer how
much he has to produce and sell to cover all variable and fixed cost.
In the table variable cost per kg (VUC) is shown as constant. As a matter of fact there
will be a somewhat higher cost pr. kg produced at the lowest temperature as the fish will
grow slower but still need some care (it eats little during winter time so the feed cost will
not be much higher, but it still needs to be feed and the farm looked after).
To find out how much tank space is needed for the 17 tons biomass needed, Johann and Rosa
calculate with 1/27 of the biomass being small fish, 8/27 average fish and 18/27 big fish. It is
also expected that the density is 20 kg/m3 of the smallest fish, 40 kg/m3 of the middle sized fish
and 60 kg/m3 of the biggest fish. The total space of the tanks is calculated as follows:
3/11m3
Rosa has made an inventory of available types and sizes of tanks. Her findings show that earth
ponds and corrugated steel tanks are the cheapest choices. The disadvantage of earth ponds,
however, is that they will demand more cleaning work than tanks, which would be designed for
self-cleaning. Therefore the couple decides that corrugated steel tanks would be a better option.
According to the production plan, they need tank space of 340 m3 at maximum production. It is
cheaper to buy two big tanks, 170 m3 each, than to buy more and smaller tanks. However, there
are two important reasons for taking the more expensive choice:
1. It allows better size grading and therefore prevent that fast growing fish takes all the food
from the smaller ones and thus still increase the difference in size.
2. In case of infection, it can be confined to one tank. One tank must be used as starvation
tank before slaughtering.
A suitable choice would be two tanks of 15 m 3 for the smallest fish, two 60 m3 tanks for
middle size and three more 60m3 for the bigger fish. A start-up cost plan for Johann's
and Rosa's simple flow-through farm could be as in table below:
Others 12.000
Total 178.650
The results of these calculation depend a bit on their own contributed capital, the
interest rate and the payback time of the loan. The same loan at e.g. 8% interest and 10
year payback time leaves them with 13.000 ECU more per year. Still, this preliminary
estimation of investment and operation cost measured against the calculated income of
the simple flow through farm doesn't look too promising, if considered as a sole income
source for Johann and Rosa. Our farmers decide then to work on an alternative plan, a
thorough-use system.
The amount of water which flows through the tank decides mostly the production capacity, as
long as others components like tank space do not limit the use of the water. The production
capacity increases with increased water flow.
The growth rate of the charr depends primarily on two components: water temperature
and amount of feed. If the fish is properly fed, then the charr grows like shown in figure
A. With 7°C average temperature, the charr grows from 10 grams to 800 grams in about
20 months and to 1000 grams in 22 months. With 5°C average temperature, the growth
takes 23 and 25 months for same weights.
Figure A: Increase in weight of 10 gram fry at different temperatures.
The water temperature affecting the growth rate (warmer water speeds up the growth)
affects the biomass required to yield the harvest intended. The total weight of living fish
at all age stages in the tank is called biomass. When temperature starts limiting the
production capacity by affecting the oxygen saturation level, the farmer could respond
by limiting the biomass accordingly, but then the harvest would inevitably become less
than it would have been with the same biomass and sufficient oxygen. Thus what the
farmer would strive after in a thorough use system is to keep the balance between water
temperature, biomass and oxygen level at perfection in order to optimize the yield of the
farm.
The oxygen saturation level of the tank water can be controlled by an oxygenation
system (see chapter 3). The calculations of the investment and operational costs of
Johann's and Rosa's aquaculture change considerably with warmer water and an
oxygenation system. When oxygen is added into water, then other restrictive
components affect the product capacity. The factors that come into play and affect the
conditions in the system and call for certain actions to ensure fish health and optimal
yield are discussed in chapter 3.
So now they calculate again their production capacity and possible sales income, using
the worksheet fish2water, given average water temperature at 10°C, water flow at 120
L/sec, liquid oxygen added and 4.5 mg/liter of suspended solids as a limit should be
quite safe. The results of calculated annual production can be seen in table A .
As you see the variable costs have gone up due to the oxygen addition, pumping of
water and use of Ca(OH)2 to lower the amount of CO2 and to balance the pH. The
benefit is, however, considerable; the increased product capacity gives higher total
contribution margin, than without oxygen addition. Harnessing the geothermal sources
in the vicinity of their farm and adding oxygen appears so far to be a good choice. An
example of Rosa's calculation of the contribution margin may be seen in table B.
Packaging 0,31
Electricity 0,03
Oxygen 0,08
CaO 0,04
Medicine 0,02
Tank space
1100m3
They calculate with using two 50 m3 tanks for the smallest fish and three 140 m3 tanks
for middle size fish and three 200 m3 tanks for the biggest fish.
Others 30.000
Total 200.860
Start-up cost other than investment cost must also be counted with. The start-up
expenses add up to our need for working cash during the 16-20 first months.
Feed 170.500
Insurances 5.000
Maintenance 10.000
Miscellaneous 5.000
Total 614.800
The couple would take a loan as before. With a similar capital as before of 50.000 ECU,
the total borrowing would amount to perhaps 600.000 ECU. If we assume 12.5%
interest rates and payback time of 10 years the annual mortgage + interest will be
around 108.000 ECU a year. Their calculations show a contribution margin of 164.000
ECU a year, giving a 56.000 ECU return from the business. With 40.000 ECU own
salary for work at the farm leaves them with a sum of 96.000 ECU/year, to sustain the
farm and the family. The financing plan has to be further elaborated and so called cash-
flow plan must be made before further discussion on the pay-load.
Ground work needs to be done in the spring and summer. The pipeline and the tanks to
receive the fry must be ready in September. During the winter Johann has ample time to
prepare the ordering of material, find and hire help for the summer's work and make the
alterations of the sheepcote and clean it. He will start with the house in order to be able
to put the material and equipment bought under roof when it arrives. He figures out they
will need to hire two people for 10 days to build a dam and a covered channel at the
water source and lay the pipeline, but with his father's and neighbour's help he intends
to take care of preparing the ground for the tanks and put them in place. In Appendix I a
time/work schedule for preparing and building the aquaculture system may be seen.
The cash flow plan shows the economy of the farm month by month. In the plan of
Johann and Rosa it is assumed that, at 3 month intervals every year, 40.000 new fry are
bought, each weighing about 10 gr. Slaughtering will be done every month of the year. It
is estimated that 0.5% of the fry will die each month. The harvest starts in the 16th
month after the business starts. Each month 9.5 tons of fish is slaughtered. The use of
feed increases steadily during the first 15 months, but then evens to a steady amount.
The calculation is based on oxygen addition farming. Income from sales will start about
16-20 months after the initial incurring of preparation costs.
In the cash flow plan they see from month to month how the farm will be doing, and,
they can see how the initial investment cost will be distributed in the initial phase and
when they will need to borrow to cover their expenses. The status of the cash fund can
be negative, due to payments of loans, although there is profit from the operation. But
the status of the cash fund is clear in the cash flow plan. Initially they assumed that
preparation and construction started in April first year and were carried out in the
following months. From the cash flow plan they see that to reduce the financial cost as
much as possible, they could start with half the number of tanks at the end of year one,
and install the remaining tanks the next year, this without much effect on the production
capacity. They see that this way they will have to borrow 225.000 ECU in the first year
and 275.000 ECU the next and they see the need for cash input from month to month.
Purchase planning
Along with projecting the start-up cost and work schedule, Johann has made a purchase plan of
the initial investments. But regular purchases of the the farm also require some planning.
A rule of thumb for production companies is that annual supply cost is around 25-35%
of the total value of the average supplies. The main cost terms are:
Some of the above terms do not apply to Johann's and Rosa's operation. The buildings used
belonged to the sheep farm Johann has given up so he will not calculate a house rental as a
cost. Unsaleble goods do not have to be taken into account in a raw material stock. Johann
doesn't want to take the personnel management as a cost, because the extra work involved with
supplies is minimal. The annual supply cost according to his estimation will only be around 15%
of the value of the average supplies. Johann and Rosa deem it important to maintain their
supplies minimal by buying in small amounts. But less supplies in stock inevitably means
increased transport cost and in some cases loss of quantity discount, besides more ordering
cost (phone, fax and work). A truck to Johann costs 182 ECU, whether he transports 4 or 10
tons. To find the most efficient ordering amount, the Wilson's equation can be used.
Q=
According to the Wilson's equation, the most efficient ordering amount is about 12 tons,
after the fish farm has reached the maximum production level. If a quantity discount is
offered, then it is possible to buy a little bit more each time. Common size of trucks,
takes 10 to 15 tons. Johann is less than 3 months to use 12 tons of feed. Therefore he
would have to buy feed 4 times a year. If the transport cost were lower or e.g. 78 ECU
for each trip, it would be normal to buy about 8 tons each time. Comparable calculations
can be done for the packaging.
Income
Cost
Variable cost
Fixed cost
Insurance 4.000
Depreciation (5
Maintenance 7.500
Others 2.500
In the income statement above neither payments of the loans nor the financial cost were
included. Note that paying back a loan is not a cost, only the interest expense is. In a
complete income statement the financial cost is included but often the result is given as
above to show how the operation itself is doing. It has to be mentioned, that the
calculations do not include all management cost although salaries for the couple are
included.
Break-even
To find out what the income has to be to support the variable cost of the operation, Rosa
calculates the contribution margin for each unit and divides that number into the fixed cost
(ECU/(ECU/kg)). There she has found the kilograms which have to be produced so that the
business will be operated at break-even. Using the fixed cost above and the contribution margin
of 1.14 ECU calculated previously, we get that break-even for the operation is 31 ton fish
production. This does not mean that 31 ton is sufficient for the company, this is a break-even for
the operation itself without financing costs. More production is needed to cover the financing
costs also.
Balance sheet
The balance sheet gives information about position of the company's assets and liabilities at a
certain time, usually at the end of the year. The total assets of the company should always be
equal to its debts and owner's equity. The name balance sheet comes about because there is
always balance between assets on the one hand and debts and owner's equity on the other
hand (assets = debts + owner's equity). Accordingly, if the company is in no debt, then the total
assets are equal to the owner's equity. A simplified example of a balance sheet for the fish
farming may be seen in table F.
Cash 1.000
Owners'equity
Usually income statement and balance sheet are prepared by a professional accountant
and are a lot more complex and detailed than shown above. But the main features of a
balance statement are as in the table. Assets are divided into current and fixed assets,
fixed assets being land, buildings, equipment and such things, current assets on the
other hand are accounts receivable, inventories (e.g. production in stock), cash etc., i.e.
everything that can be readily converted into cash. The liabilities are in a similar way
divided into current and long-term liabilities, current being accounts payable, this year's
payment off long-term debt and tax due within a year. The so-called net working capital
of a company is the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Owners'
equity and accumulated surplus round off the liability side of the balance sheet. The
term earnings employed (in the business) represents the accumulated surplus and is
the sum of the net profit made from the operation. In Johann's and Rosa's case the
operation has been yielding a profit both years and this profit is mostly represented by
the accumulated biomass, the fish has been growing, as it well should.