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TRAVEL & TOURISM

RECOVERY SCENARIOS 2020 & ECONOMIC IMPACT FROM COVID-19


AFRICA DATA

BEST CASE SCENARIO Worst-case scenario can be avoided if


countries follow WTTC´s five-point
Travel & Tourism jobs 2019: Travel & Tourism jobs: Travel & Tourism GDP: Visitor Arrivals: plan for recovery:

24.6 MILLION 7.6 $53


MILLION BILLION 1. Immediate removal and replacement of any
job losses loss  36% international quarantine measures, with ‘air corridors’ to
countries with similar circumstances, as well as
 31% vs 2019  31% vs 2019  22% domestic the removal of travel advisories and bans on
non- essential international travel, which pre-
BASELINE SCENARIO
vent insurance protection cover for travellers.
Travel & Tourism GDP 2019: Travel & Tourism jobs: Travel & Tourism GDP: Visitor Arrivals: 2. Adoption of global health and safety proto-
cols to provide assurance to travellers that it is
10.9 MILLION
$75 BILLION

$168 BILLION job losses

 44% vs 2019
loss

 45% vs 2019
 50% international
 35% domestic
safe to travel again.

3. Implementation of a rapid test and trace


strategy to help contain the spread of the virus.
2.2% GROWTH WORST CASE SCENARIO
4. Greater collaboration between the public &
Travel & Tourism jobs: Travel & Tourism GDP: Visitor Arrivals: private sectors to ensure a standardised, global
approach to the crisis.
17.4 MILLION
job losses $120 BILLION
loss  71% international
5. Continued government support for the
 71% vs 2019  71% vs 2019  66% domestic sector in terms of fiscal and liquidity incentives
Source: WTTC and Oxford Economics. All values are in constant 2019 prices & exchange rates. All data as of June 2020 as well as measures to protect workers.

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