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WORLD NEWS
IRAN
Continued from Page One
lizing behavior,” Mr. Mnuchin
said.
The Joint Comprehensive
Plan of Action, as the 2015 nu-
clear agreement is formally
known, was championed by
the Obama administration as a
way to obtain Iran’s agree-
ment to significantly cut back
its nuclear program in ex-
change for relief from interna-
tional sanctions.
President Donald Trump
criticized the deal during his
presidential campaign and has
threatened to rip it up. For
now, however, his administra-
tion is continuing a review of
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Stanley, Goldman’s rival his-
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, July 19, 2017 | A3
WORLD NEWS
China’s Online Censors Lift Their Game
BY EVA DOU There were disruptions on by using new data-driven tech-
Tuesday to another popular nologies. Security cameras
BEIJING—China’s already messaging app, Facebook with facial recognition soft-
formidable internet censors Inc.’s WhatsApp, with many ware are being deployed to
have demonstrated a new China-based users saying they catch jaywalkers and track
strength—the ability to delete were unable to send photos criminal suspects. Local gov-
images in one-on-one chats as and videos without the use of ernments are rolling out “so-
they are being transmitted, software that circumvents Chi- cial credit” systems that cata-
making them disappear before nese internet controls. Text log the digital lives of its
receivers see them. messages appeared to be citizens, ranging from their in-
The ability is part of a push largely unaffected. ternet history to bill pay-
by censors to step up surveil- WhatsApp, which employs ments.
lance and get ahead of activ- encryption that allows users A leadership shuffle in the
ists and others communicating to have secure conversations, fall that is likely to see Chi-
online in China. is one of the few foreign mes- nese President Xi Jinping fur-
Displays of this new image- saging apps that has gone un- ther consolidate his power
filtering capability kicked into blocked in China. Supporters could also help explain the
high gear last week as Chi- of Mr. Liu had been using it to evolution in censorship. Inter-
JASON LEE/REUTERS
nese dissident Liu Xiaobo lay exchange information and im- net controls tend to tighten in
dying from liver cancer and ages of the Nobel laureate in the run-up to major political
politically minded Chinese recent days. events in China.
tried to pay tribute to him, WhatsApp made no techni- These capabilities are clos-
according to activists and a cal changes that would limit ing a censorship gap that Chi-
new research report. its service in China, a person Researchers are probing how Tencent’s WeChat is able to block images as they are sent. nese activists and ordinary in-
Wu Yangwei, a friend of the familiar with the matter said. ternet users have counted on
long-jailed Nobel Peace Prize Chinese internet censorship observed that WeChat ex- Though activists said they a front-line defense that is aug- —that the sheer mass of
laureate, said he used popular first concentrated on word- panded its image censorship to noticed image censoring over mented by police forces dedi- messages was too much for
messaging app WeChat to screening software to root out one-to-one chats for the first the past year, Ms. Ruan said cated to internet monitoring. censors to handle.
send friends a photo of a hag- politically objectionable con- time, in the wake of Mr. Liu’s Citizen Lab didn’t detect this Because WhatsApp is a for- “If you hire a million net-
gard Mr. Liu embracing his tent. As a result, internet us- death on Thursday. kind of targeted, person-to-per- eign service, China can’t order work police, it still wouldn’t be
wife. Mr. Wu believed the ers turned to sending photos Citizen Lab said it is investi- son image blocking when it was it to implement fine-toothed enough to filter 1.4 billion peo-
transmissions were successful, to evade police. In response, gating how WeChat is able to investigating Chinese censor- censorship. Instead, to stop ple’s messages,” said Bao Pu, a
but he said his friends never censors upped their game by filter the images. Since the im- ship in the spring. the transmission of certain im- Hong Kong-based publisher of
saw them. “Sometimes you demonstrating the ability to ages are blocked mid-transit, Tencent Holdings Ltd., the ages on WhatsApp, they have political books that are banned
can get around censors by ro- purge images from group the speed is too fast for human Chinese internet company that to disrupt the sending of im- on the mainland. “But if you
tating the photo,” said Mr. Wu, chats and public posts. intervention. The rapid block- operates WeChat, didn’t re- ages for all users in China. have a machine doing it, it can
a writer better known by his In a new report, researchers ing suggests an algorithm is at spond to requests to comment. The use of enhanced image instantly block everything. It
pen name, Ye Du. “But that from the University of To- work, Citizen Lab researcher Companies are required to filtering comes as authorities doesn’t matter if it’s a billion
doesn’t always work.” ronto’s Citizen Lab said they Lotus Ruan said. strictly censor their platforms, move to step up surveillance messages or 10 billion.”
told executives in Washington up with extraordinary mea- seeker Lee Eun-Byeol, right, reviews her résumé at a coffee shop.
on Tuesday at a luncheon. sures to address this prob-
But Mr. Trump has since lem, youth unemployment be unsustainable because of That doesn’t help college
dropped his threats to impose will increase to the level of underlying economic chal- graduates, who generally
drastic penalties against Chi- a national disaster,” Mr. lenges. To boost employ- aren’t looking for minimum-
nese imports—an across-the- Moon told parliament on ment, Mr. Lee said, South wage-level jobs.
board tariff, or a formal charge June 12, one month after he Korea needs to foster com- The president said he
of currency manipulation—and took office. petition against the chae- would meet with the heads
has so far focused on small Slowing economic growth bols, the large, family-run of the chaebols to spur them
market-opening agreements has left a job shortage for business empires such as to help create more jobs. He
instead. recent college graduates Samsung and Hyundai that has appointed a critic of the
That will be the likely focus whose parents were virtually dominate the economy and conglomerates to head an
of Wednesday’s economic dia- guaranteed work by the were vital to the country’s antitrust watchdog in a bid,
logue between Mr. Wang, and country’s rapid 20th-century reinvention as an industrial among other things, to im-
two top Trump economic transformation into an in- force. prove transparency and cre-
aides: Commerce Secretary dustrial powerhouse. Sim- During his campaign, Mr. ate a level playing field for role of large conglomerates pore-based DBS Bank econo-
Wilbur Ross and Treasury Sec- mering discontent helped Moon proposed increasing smaller companies. in job creation. mist. South Korea needs to
retary Steven Mnuchin. drive mass protests against taxes to help the state pay “There’s a limit to how Young South Koreans are move up the value chain in
“Our economic teams have former President Park Geun- for new hiring. His govern- many jobs can be created by among the most educated in manufacturing and services
built mutual trust… featuring hye, who was forced from of- ment has since said it large companies alone,” said the developed world, when to tackle the structural prob-
mutual respect and win-win fice in March, and powered would do so gradually to Lee Gyoung-sang, head of ranked by percentage of col- lem, she said.
cooperation,” Mr. Wang said. Mr. Moon’s election. avoid stifling private-sector the research division at the lege graduates. But as South The jobless rate for South
U.S. business groups—which About one million people job creation. Korea Chamber of Commerce Korea’s economic growth has Koreans between 15 and 29
had originally braced for hos- are out of work in South Ko- Mr. Moon did get a small and Industry, the country’s slowed—to 2.8% in 2016, years old reached more than
tilities Mr. Wang referred to— rea, half of them between 15 win over the weekend when largest private business or- down from an annual aver- 10% this year, more than
are now growing worried the and 29 years old. Many frus- the independent Minimum ganization. “They need to age of 8.6% in the 1980s—the double the overall rate.
Trump administration may not trated young job seekers can Wage Commission said it support small and medium private sector is no longer Less than 3 of every 100
press China hard enough for be found in Noryangjin, a would raise the benchmark companies that they’ve part- creating enough jobs for col- applicants to South Korea’s
broad reforms they consider Seoul neighborhood known by 16.4% at the start of 2018, nered with to help them to lege-educated youth. large conglomerates get
necessary to pry China’s econ- for its fish market and a con- the largest annual rise since grow and create more jobs.” “High youth unemploy- hired, while around 17 of
omy open. centration of shabby low- 2001. Mr. Moon wants the A spokeswoman for the ment is reflective of a struc- 100 get jobs they apply for
“Much more needs to be rises housing government- wage to go even higher, de- Federation of Korean Indus- tural, supply-demand mis- at small and medium-size
done,” Thomas Donohue, pres- exam cram schools. spite pushback from small tries, a chaebol lobby group, match in the labor market,” companies this year, accord-
ident of the U.S. Chamber of “It’s a gloomy place,” said businesses. declined to comment on the said Tieying Ma, a Singa- ing to the Korea Employers
Commerce, said at the outset a 29-year-old civil servant Federation.
of the luncheon his organiza- who took four years to pass The bleak jobs picture
tion hosted. the exam, failing 17 times. Not Working forced as many as 17,000 col-
In advance of this week’s Students there obsess Youth unemployment in South Korea is rising as the country's economic lege seniors to delay gradua-
talks, the chamber submitted a over the lack of options if growth slows, but it isn’t as serious as in some other developed nations. tion this year and remain en-
report to Trump officials they don’t pass—and many rolled to avoid the stigma of
praising them for “a good don’t. “It’s like you’re at the Youth unemployment Gross domestic product Youth unemployment rate a gap on their résumés.
start,” but adding “additional edge of a cliff,” he said. rate in South Korea* growth rate in South Korea for OECD countries in 2016** “I feel comfortable when I
near-term outcomes need to Mr. Moon is promoting his 11% 2016 10% introduce myself as being at
be more far-reaching in scope five-year plan to create jobs, 9.8% Japan 5.2% school, rather than jobless,”
and benefit...” spur companies to convert Iceland 6.5 said Lee Eun-byeol, a 24-
10 8
The meeting comes after temporary contract workers Germany 7.1 year-old who was due to
the Trump administration in into full-timers and increase Mexico
graduate in August 2016.
7.7
May said it had agreed with the minimum wage. 9 6 She said she has made 20
Switzerland 8.4
Beijing on a broad range of Lawmakers have yet to 2016 fruitless applications to con-
measures aimed at improving approve spending to pay for U.S. 10.4 glomerates.
8 4 2.8%
the access of American beef the plan, an early obstacle at South Korea 10.7 For law graduate Ms.
producers, electronic-pay- home for a president who France 24.6 Choi, a 26-year-old Seoul na-
ments providers and natural- must also deal with an in- 7 2 Portugal 27.9 tive, to become a police offi-
gas exporters, among others. creasingly fraught military Italy 37.8 cer, she will need to pass a
Some items address long- crisis with North Korea. Spain series of exams, a physical
6 0 44.5
standing irritants between the Lee Phil-sang, a professor and an interview.
2000 2010 2000 2010 Greece 47.4
two countries, as both govern- of economics at Seoul Na- “If I gave up on this, I
ments strive to show warming tional University, said Mr. *15-29 age group **15-24 age group wouldn’t know what to do,”
ties. Moon’s hiring splurge would Sources: South Korea’s Statistical Office (South Korea youth unemployment, GDP); OECD (OECD countries) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. she said.
A4 | Wednesday, July 19, 2017 HK JP KO ML SI IN UK FR MN PR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
Nafta shows the White House from cutting corners by mov- The Obama administration, measures against the U.S. dip-
trying to navigate the shoals of ing abroad. in response to Russia’s alleged lomatic mission in Moscow.
striking a deal with its closest In Monday’s road map, the meddling in the election, late Ahead of the Washington
trading partners that can pass Trump administration backed last year expelled 35 Russians it meeting, Russian state televi-
in U.S. Congress. It contains much stronger labor standards said were intelligence operatives sion gave heavy play to the
nods to Mr. Trump’s base of in the new Nafta than the pre- serving under diplomatic cover. subject of the diplomatic com-
voters fearful and angry over vious ones, which were added The State Department also de- pounds, with legal commenta-
lost U.S. manufacturing jobs— late in negotiations as a side nied Russian diplomats access tor Gasan Mirzoyev telling
including the broad objective Trucks wait to enter the U.S. from Tijuana, Mexico, in February. agreement to win congressio- to two Russian government- state TV broadcaster Rossiya
for reducing the U.S. trade defi- nal approval of the original owned compounds in the U.S. 24 that he was “absolutely
cit with Nafta countries and an welcomed the U.S. guidelines, Democratic lawmakers, pact in 1993. Speaking to reporters Mon- sure that our side will take ad-
effort to retain rules that favor and said it expects the three meanwhile, attacked the blue- Mr. Trump’s proposed day in Minsk, Russian Foreign equate steps in response” if
U.S. firms in government pro- partners to be ready to begin print as vague and insufficient, strengthening of those provi- Minister Sergei Lavrov called the Russians aren’t granted
curement. formal negotiations by Aug. 16. indicating the challenge Mr. sions wasn’t enough to draw the closing of the compounds access to the compounds.
The plan also backs an un- The blueprint “will help set out Trump faces in winning sup- the immediate support of Dem- “theft in broad daylight, just Earlier this month, three
specified mechanism to prevent more clearly the subjects to be port across party lines. And ocrats, including those who highway robbery.” U.S. senators—two Republi-
countries from manipulating negotiated and the timing of some of the Nafta objectives supported Mr. Obama’s policy The accusation came just cans and one Democrat—sent
their currencies for trade ad- the modernization process,” the laid out in the document could and the Pacific pact. before talks between Deputy a letter to President Donald
vantage, an issue of increasing economy ministry said in a alienate officials in Mexico City Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Ore.), Russian Foreign Minister Ser- Trump urging the White
concern among lawmakers and statement. and Ottawa, including a goal of the top Democrat on the Senate gei Ryabkov and U.S. Under- House not to return the com-
some economists, though one Canada Foreign Minister eliminating a dispute settle- committee that oversees trade, secretary of State Thomas pounds to Russia.
less central to U.S. trade ties Chrystia Freeland said the ment system that allows trad- called the blueprint “hopelessly Shannon. The State Depart- “The return of these two fa-
with Mexico and Canada. It also country welcomed the opportu- ing partners to challenge duties vague both in explaining how ment didn’t comment on the cilities to Russia while the
includes provisions meant to nity to improve the existing imposed by Washington on the administration’s specific outcome of the meeting. The Kremlin refuses to address its
challenge Mexico on labor and Nafta framework. The govern- goods allegedly dumped at be- objectives will benefit the White House declined to com- influence campaign against
environmental issues. ment would do so “while de- low market costs. United States on key topics ment. the United States would em-
In the 2016 campaign Mr. fending Canada’s national inter- The criticism underscores ranging from intellectual prop- Russian-U.S. relations have bolden President Vladimir Pu-
Trump repeatedly threatened est and standing for our the challenge Mr. Trump—or erty rights and investment, to been in an abysmal state since tin and invite a dangerous es-
to withdraw from Nafta, calling values,” she said. any president—faces in negoti- currency manipulation and gov- Moscow’s seizure of Crimea in calation in the Kremlin’s
it the “worst trade deal maybe The plan drew a muted re- ating a new deal in a heated ernment procurement.” 2014 from Ukraine. But Mr. destabilizing actions against
ever signed anywhere.” The sponse from wary business political environment. —Jacob M. Schlesinger in Lavrov on Monday extended democracies world-wide,”
plan released Monday didn’t groups and Republican lawmak- Less than two years ago, Ba- Washington, Anthony Harrup an olive branch to the Trump wrote Sens. Marco Rubio (R.,
deviate substantially from es- ers, whose votes will be needed rack Obama hammered out the in Mexico City and Paul White House, blaming the re- Fla.), Jeanne Shaheen (D.,
tablished U.S. trade policy. to pass any agreement signed Trans-Pacific Partnership with Vieira in Ottawa taliatory diplomatic measures N.H.) and Johnny Isakson (R.,
The Mexican government by Canada and Mexico. 11 Pacific nations but couldn’t contributed to this article. on the Obama administration, Ga.).
WORLD NEWS
Amid Curbs,
Sudan Minds
Its Business
BY MATINA STEVIS cially after 2011, when the oil-
rich south seceded to become
KHARTOUM, Sudan—In the independent South Sudan, tak-
capital of a country widely ing most of the country’s reve-
deemed a pariah state, the nue with it.
to end a bloody battle in the high approval ratings. A Pulse infrastructure. Nearly half a
southern city of Marawi, Asia survey in June found million people have been af-
where Islamic militants who that 82% of Filipinos ap- fected by the fighting, many
occupied the city eight weeks proved of his performance, displaced and dependent on
ago are still in a standoff with 5% disapproving and the government shelter.
with government forces. The rest undecided. Mr. Duterte has repeatedly
uprising has been described Those who do oppose the said he intends to win in
by government officials as an President Rodrigo Duterte wants to extend martial law to end an Islamist insurgency in the south. president have argued that Marawi, even if it means
attempt by armed groups to martial law has been unnec- some loss of life. He told re-
declare an Islamic caliphate weekend, according to a let- officials to end the siege have itary to search and arrest essarily imposed upon the is- porters on Monday that pro-
in a small Muslim-majority ter to Congress read to re- passed. Nearly 550 people suspects without the usual land of Mindanao, home to 22 tecting civilians is a priority
part of Mindanao. porters on Tuesday by presi- have died since a failed at- need for a warrant. Philippine million people and the city of but that the militants would
Mr. Duterte is seeking an dential spokesman Ernesto tempt to arrest a militant law allows the president to Marawi. Many Filipinos re- be targeted ruthlessly. “If
extension to martial law be- Abella. Mr. Abella didn’t pro- leader triggered the battle. At declare martial law for up to main wary of martial law, need be, you can bomb the
cause he has come to the con- vide an explanation for why least 45 of the dead are civil- 60 days but requires congres- which is remembered for its whole place,” he said. “I don’t
clusion that the fighting in such a long extension is re- ians, some of whom were be- sional approval for an exten- use by former dictator Ferdi- mind. But skip the thing
Marawi won’t be subdued by quired. headed by the militants. sion. It isn’t clear whether nand Marcos, who was ousted about, you know, hurting the
the time its term expires this Several deadlines set by Martial law allows the mil- Mr. Duterte’s request for by popular revolt in 1986. children and women.’
WORLD WATCH
UNITED KINGDOM of analysts polled by The Wall statisticians said. However, the TURKEY armed terror group—making them four other activists from custody
Street Journal, who expected it core inflation rate—which ex- the latest suspects in a massive pending the outcome of a trial,
Inflation Eased to hold steady at May’s 2.9%, its cludes the most volatile products Court Imprisons Six government crackdown initially but barred them from traveling
Unexpectedly in June highest since mid-2013. such as food, alcohol and gaso- Rights Activists launched against alleged support- abroad. They will have to report
The June slowdown in infla- line—also saw a visible annual ers of last year’s failed coup. regularly to police.
U.K. consumer inflation tion was driven largely by falling drop, to 2.4%, 0.2 percentage A Turkish court jailed Amnesty In a decision Amnesty Interna- —Associated Press
slowed unexpectedly in June, gasoline and diesel prices, and point below the May reading. International’s Turkey director and tional called a “crushing blow for
new figures showed, offering a the rate remained higher than in —Wiktor Szary five other human-rights activists rights in Turkey,” the court in Is- SAUDI ARABIA
tentative sign that a squeeze on the recent past, government and Jason Douglas pending trial for allegedly aiding an tanbul also decided to release
households evident since last Woman in Miniskirt
year’s Brexit vote may soon be- Sparks Debate
gin to ease.
The slowdown in the rate of Saudi Arabia’s police detained
inflation from the near-four-year a woman for appearing in public
high the previous month will be in a miniskirt and a cropped top,
welcomed by the U.K.’s Conser- a violation of the country’s strict
vative government, which has dress code, state media said.
come under pressure over declin- A video of the woman walk-
ing living standards just as it be- ing around the historic town of
gins to negotiate Britain’s exit Ushayqir, which first surfaced on
from the European Union. Snapchat, went viral on Saudi
The data will also cast doubt social media over the weekend,
over the prospect of an interest- sparking debate in the kingdom,
rate rise, which some Bank of with some speaking out in her
England officials have signaled defense and others calling for
might be needed this year to her swift punishment.
bring inflation back to the bank’s The woman, who hasn’t been
2% goal. officially named, was detained
MARCOS BRINDICCI/REUTERS
U.S. NEWS
Republicans Set Stage for Tax Rewrite
Fiscal proposal faces The potential targets in this
round of deficit reduction are
some of same hurdles unlikely to include changes to
that blocked the party’s Medicare that are included in
the 10-year budget outline.
health-care legislation But other so-called mandatory
spending programs could be
BY RICHARD RUBIN affected.
AND KATE DAVIDSON The Judiciary Committee,
for example, has a $45 billion
WASHINGTON—House Re- target, while the Oversight
publicans unveiled an ambi- and Government Reform
tious fiscal plan on Tuesday to Committee has a $32 billion
rewrite the tax code, revamp number.
medical malpractice laws, The committees will decide
change federal employees’ re- exactly which policies to pur-
tirement benefits and partially sue, but agenda items could
repeal the Dodd-Frank finan- include medical malpractice
cial regulations—all in one bill and Dodd-Frank bills favored
that wouldn’t require any by House Republicans, though
U.S. NEWS
U.S. WATCH
CINCINNATI would be different from state dents’ unpaid lunch money.
charges already pursued. The U.S. Agriculture Depart-
Ex-Police Officer Mr. Tensing’s first trial started ment, which sets school-meal
Won’t Face Retrial in November 2016, but the jury guidelines and provides cash
was unable to reach a unani- subsidies and foods to public
Prosecutors Tuesday said they mous verdict after 25 hours of schools nationwide, set July as a
won’t retry a former University deliberation, resulting in a mis- deadline for states or districts to
of Cincinnati police officer after a trial. A second mistrial was de- have a “written and clearly com-
jury last month for the second clared this June, after a jury de- municated meal charge policy”
time failed to come to a unani- liberated for nearly 30 hours and to notify parents annually on
mous decision on the officer’s was similarly stuck. how delinquent meal accounts
guilt in a 2015 fatal shooting. Before the news conference could affect their children.
“After discussing this matter Tuesday, Mr. Deters delivered his Some schools withhold report
with multiple jurors, both black decision to the family of Mr. Du- cards or ban students from
and white, they have said to us Bose, whom he said were devas- graduation exercises; others
that we will never get a convic- tated and “very upset” with the withhold meals entirely or give
tion in this case,” Hamilton County decision not to charge Mr. Tensing children of delinquent parents a
prosecutor Joe Deters said in a for the third time. “My heart cheese sandwich in place of a
JOEL BISSELL/MUSKEGON CHRONICLE/ASSOCIATED PRESS
news conference Tuesday. breaks for the DuBose family. I un- hot lunch. Other districts are
Ray Tensing, who is white, derstand what they are feeling. I planning similar actions. Many
was charged with murder and would feel the same way,” he said. other districts simply let stu-
voluntary manslaughter over the —Shibani Mahtani dents slide, using general funds
shooting of Sam DuBose, a 43- and Quint Forgey at the end of the year to pay off
year-old black man, who he shot any meal debt.
at close range, after pulling him EDUCATION USDA officials say the re-
over for having a missing front quirement ensures consistency
license plate. Mr. Tensing was Schools Get Serious and transparency. School dis-
fired from his job shortly after About Lunch Money tricts must tell their states what
he was indicted over the shoot- they plan to do, unless there is a
ing in 2015. School districts across the statewide policy. The mandate
Prosecutors will now be work- country will be alerting parents affects only students who pay
ing with the U.S. attorney’s office this fall how they plan to tackle full or reduced prices for lunch,
to file charges of civil-rights vio- a long-thorny problem: collecting not the millions of children who TOPPLED: One of two smoke stacks at former Sappi paper mill property, standing over 200 feet tall,
lations against Mr. Tensing. what can add up to hundreds of qualify for free lunch. crumples to the ground after it was imploded on Tuesday in Muskegon, Mich. City officials were
These charges, prosecutors said, thousands of dollars in stu- —Tawnell D. Hobbs concerned that the ‘Power House Stack No. 1’ was a safety risk after large cracks developed in the stack.
A8 | Wednesday, July 19, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
IN DEPTH
on the air. Before 1860, golf at the the name in other countries the Open is.”
But Johnny Miller, the long- highest level was a competi- where the R&A does business. Mr. Booth said the R&A has
time NBC analyst and 1976 tion between private clubs Alastair Johnston, the long- seen progress, both among
Open champion, has had to rather than individuals, said time IMG executive who has players and fans, in part be-
correct himself repeatedly. “I Tony Parker, historian at the represented the R&A in media cause of the influence of its
have trouble with it,” he said. World Golf Hall of Fame. The rights, licensing and sponsor- social-media channels. The
Getting other networks to start of the Open Champion- ships since the 1990s, said the previous broadcast partner,
follow suit has been even Henrik Stenson, left, the 2016 Open champion, returns the Claret ship in 1860—at Prestwick B word has complicated some ESPN, was also contractually
more difficult. Moments be- Jug to R&A chief executive Martin Slumbers. Golf Club in Scotland—wasn’t licensing negotiations in Asia. obliged to use the proper
fore play-by-play voice Dan just a new tournament. It was “Business partners in Japan name, Mr. Johnston said. A na-
Hicks made a recent promo- name for the tournament will many opens, from the U.S. the birth of modern golf com- are saying, ‘Please call it the tive Scotsman, Mr. Johnston
tional appearance on CNBC, an prompt stateside fans to use Open to the Houston Open to petition. British Open because it will added that he doesn’t have to
NBC Sports publicist reminded the proper reference. But most the Shriners Hospitals for “There are some jingoistic mean more to people here,’ ” correct Americans in conver-
the anchors of the tourna- U.S. news organizations con- Children Open. For clarity’s Americans that say, ‘Well, we Mr. Johnston said. “We’re not sation as often as he used to.
ment’s proper name. tinue to call it the British sake, some still use the B word would have done it, but we able to give them the name But there remains some
When the cameras went on, Open, as has been their cus- for this one. had a Civil War,’ ” Mr. Parker that they want.” confusion both in the U.S. and
Mr. Hicks said, “First thing out tom for more than a century. “We all fall into that trap,” said. “Well, yeah, but we did For the R&A, it is a circular abroad. Contrary to what the
of their mouth: ‘The British Players who qualify for the said Ernie Els, a two-time have a Civil War, and that kept problem: Because most people R&A said, Englishman Nick
Open is coming our way!’ ” tournament receive a placard Open champion. Speaking to a golf off the playing field for a in the U.S. know it as the Brit- Faldo, a three-time Open
The publicist sighed, “Oh, the in the mail that emphasizes its reporters after the final round while.” ish Open, even those who champion, said it is no longer
R&A is not going to be happy singular place in golf. “Wel- of last month’s U.S. Open, Mr. The first U.S. Open was know better still call it the correct to call it the Open
about this.” come to The Open,” it reads in Els confessed, “I do call it the played in 1895. Officially, the British Open, which only adds Championship.
Likewise, the R&A last year large, bold lettering. The bot- British Open, but…” Open Championship retained to the popular notion that it is “Now it’s ‘The Open,’ ” Mr.
appealed to American print tom of the card reads: “The A British journalist stand- its name. But by 1903, Parker the British Open. Faldo said. “In another five
media outlets in the hope that One. The Open.” ing nearby interjected: “Booo!” said, American newspapers American golfer Stewart years, it will just be called
a change in the published But players compete in The R&A notes that while were calling it the British Cink, the 2009 Open cham- ‘The.’ ”
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, July 19, 2017 | A9
LIFE&ARTS
YOUR HEALTH | By Sumathi Reddy
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK
For the Love
The Trumps and the Truth Of Charlie Gard
E
ven Donald Trump might agree that a operative and White House aide to disclose ev-
major reason he won the 2016 election ery detail that might be relevant to the Rus- So Charlie Gard’s fate those pushing to overrule Charlie’s par-
now comes down to ents, and, of course, the complexity of
is because voters couldn’t abide Hillary sian investigations.
this: whether an Ameri- the situation.
Clinton’s legacy of scandal, That means every meeting can doctor can per- Still, the deck has been stacked from
deception and stonewalling. The best defense against with any Russian or any Amer- suade a British judge the beginning. The giveaway is the ap-
Yet on the story of Russia’s future revelations is ican with Russian business that little Charlie’s life pointment of a guardian to represent
meddling in the 2016 election, ties. Every phone call or email. is worth living. Charlie’s interests, even as the court rul-
Mr. Trump and his family are radical transparency. And every Trump business re- MAIN
The child cannot see, ings concede it would be difficult to find
STREET
repeating the mistakes that lationship with Russians going By William
cannot hear, and suffers a more devoted mother and father. Now
doomed Mrs. Clinton. back years. This should in- from a genetic disorder we learn that the lawyer who represents
McGurn
That’s the lesson the Trumps should draw clude every relevant part of Mr. Trump’s tax re- for which there is no Charlie in court runs a charity with con-
from the fiasco over Don Jr.’s June 2016 turns, which the President will resist but Mr. cure—yet he has ex- nections—surprise!—to a sister organi-
meeting with Russians peddling dirt on Mrs. Mueller is sure to seek anyway. posed the great fault line between the zation that promotes assisted suicide
post-Christian West and its past. For and until 2006 called itself the Volun-
Clinton. First Don Jr. let news of the meeting Then release it all to the public. Whatever
most of history, men and women have tary Euthanasia Society.
leak without getting ahead of it. Then the short-term political damage this might cause regarded suffering as part of life. But as
White House tried to explain it away as a couldn’t be worse than the death by a thousand medicine tames once-deadly afflictions
“nothingburger” that focused on adoptions cuts of selective leaks, often out of context, and the idea of some larger meaning to His case is the latest
from Russia. from political opponents in Congress or the the cosmos wanes, suffering comes to
When that was exposed as incomplete, Don special counsel’s office. If there really is noth- appear less a part of the natural order example of a once
Jr. released his emails that showed the Russian ing to the Russia collusion allegations, trans- than an intolerable anomaly. unthinkable practice
lure about Mrs. Clinton and Don Jr. all ex- parency will prove it. Americans will give Mr. Follow this logic to the end and you
cited—“I love it.” Oh, and son-in-law Jared Trump credit for trusting their ability to make will arrive at London’s Great Ormond becoming acceptable.
Kushner and Beltway bagman Paul Manafort a fair judgment. Pre-emptive disclosure is the Street Hospital for Children. The hospi-
tal dates to 1852, when it was founded
were also at the meeting. Don Jr. told Sean only chance to contain the political harm from
by a doctor hoping to relieve “the shock- The Great Ormond Street Hospital
Hannity this was the full story. But then news future revelations. ingly high level of infant mortality.” How even wants the last word on love: “In
leaked that a Russian-American lobbyist was This is the opposite of the Clinton stonewall curious that this same hospital now ar- one respect, Charlie is immensely fortu-
also at the meeting. strategy, which should be instructive. That gues for infant mortality, or at least for nate” to have such loving parents. Be-
Even if the ultimate truth of this tale is strategy saved Bill Clinton’s Presidency in the the mortality of one particular infant. cause in this context “in one respect” re-
merely that Don Jr. is a political dunce who 1990s at a fearsome price and only because the Hospital experts say it’s in Charlie’s ally means, “not in the sense that has to
took a meeting that went nowhere—the best media and Democrats in Congress rallied be- “best interests” that he be denied the do with decisions about their son’s life.”
case—the Trumps made it appear as if they hind him. Mr. Trump can’t count on the same experimental treatments because he In other words, the parents’ love dis-
have something to hide. They have created the from Republicans and most of the media want “has no quality of life.” Better for him to qualifies them. In choosing a guardian to
appearance of a conspiracy that on the evi- him run out of office. die, they say, than risk suffering. Never represent Charlie against his parents,
dence Don Jr. lacks the wit to concoct. And they If Mr. Trump’s approval rating stays under mind the judge’s original admission that the courts sided with the doctor who
“no one can be certain whether or not characterized Charlie’s mom and dad as
handed their opponents another of the swords 40% into next year, Republicans will begin to
Charlie feels pain.” a “spanner in the works.”
that by now could arm a Roman legion. separate themselves from an unpopular Presi- Let us stipulate a distinction between It wasn’t long ago that people wor-
i i i dent in a (probably forlorn) attempt to save removing someone from life support, as ried about the cheapening of human life
Don’t you get it, guys? Special counsel Rob- their majorities in Congress. If Democrats win the hospital proposes, and taking active were predicting practices such as legal
ert Mueller and the House and Senate intelli- the House, the investigations into every aspect measures to induce death. Put another abortion would lead to the acceptance of
gence committees are investigating the Russia of the Trump business empire, the 2016 cam- way, if Connie Yates and Chris Gard— things once thought unthinkable. Eutha-
story. Everything that is potentially damaging paign and the Administration will multiply. Im- Charlie’s parents—decided to remove nasia, for example, or the weeding out of
to the Trumps will come out, one way or an- peachment will be a constant undercurrent if their son from his ventilator and allow na- children deemed not perfect enough.
other. Everything. Denouncing leaks as “fake not an active threat. His supporters will be- ture to take its course, it would be a diffi- These people were dismissed as Cassan-
news” won’t wash as a counterstrategy beyond come demoralized. cult but eminently defensible position. dras. They now look like prophets.
the President’s base, as Mr. Trump’s latest 36% i i i But the claim asserted by the repre- Charlie Gard’s story comes after a
sentatives of Britain’s state-run health- case in the Netherlands where an elderly
approval rating shows. Mr. Trump will probably ignore this advice,
care system is more sweeping and insid- women suffering from dementia woke
Mr. Trump seems to realize he has a prob- as he has most of what these columns have sug- ious: This is our call, they say. Such is up and resisted as she was about to be
lem because the White House has announced gested. Had he replaced James Comey at the the Great Ormond Street Hospital’s euthanized—only to have the doctor or-
the hiring of white-collar Washington lawyer FBI shortly after taking office in January, for sense of dominion, says Ms. Yates, that der her family to hold her down for the
Ty Cobb to manage its Russia defense. He’ll example, he might not now have a special coun- it refused to allow Charlie to come home fatal injection. Meanwhile, how many
presumably supersede the White House coun- sel threatening him and his family. to die, wrapped in the loving arms of his moms and dads of children with Down
sel, whom Mr. Trump ignores, and New York Mr. Trump somehow seems to believe that mom and dad. syndrome have had complete strangers
outside counsel Marc Kasowitz, who is out of his outsize personality and social-media fol- In the Book of Exodus the Israelites come up to ask, “Didn’t you have a
his political depth. lowing make him larger than the Presidency. were warned that theirs is a “jealous test?” Translation: Surely you wouldn’t
Mr. Cobb has an opening to change the He’s wrong. He and his family seem oblivious God,” but there is no god more jealous have had this child had you known.
Trump strategy to one with the best chance to the brutal realities of Washington politics. than single-payer health care. For at the The essence of civilization is that the
heart of single payer is single authority. strong protect the weak. But Charlie
of saving his Presidency: radical transparency. Those realities will destroy Mr. Trump, his fam- Isn’t it striking how resentful the legal Gard shows that the barbarian no longer
Release everything to the public ahead of the ily and their business reputation unless they and health-care authorities are that Char- comes wielding a club and grunting in
inevitable leaks. Mr. Cobb and his team should change their strategy toward the Russia probe. lie’s family has raised $1.7 million, thus some undecipherable tongue. These days
tell every Trump family member, campaign They don’t have much more time to do it. taking money off the table as an excuse the barbarian comes as an expert, pos-
to deny him the offered treatments? sessed of all the requisite certification—
Against the emotional outbursts of and an unquestioned faith in his abso-
Lula and Brazil’s Progress the parents, the official pronouncements
all aim to convey a sense of reasonable-
lute right to impose final judgments
about the “quality of life” of other peo-
T
he forever-developing nation of Brazil Mr. Moro’s willingness to follow the case ness, with soothing references to the ple’s loved ones.
has been putting its legal system to an where it led, including to a popular former law, the selflessness and expertise of Write to mcgurn@wsj.com.
extreme stress test, impeaching one head of state, that breaks new ground for the
former president, indicting young democracy. “It’s lam- LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
the current one, and late last The former president’s entable that a president of
week convicting former Presi- conviction is a victory the republic is criminally
dent Lula da Silva of corrup- convicted,” Mr. Moro said.
Mission Investing Helps Our Charitable Goals
tion even as he plans to run for the rule of law. “No matter how important Regarding James Piereson and Na- ity to backstop failing government ser-
for the office again. you are, no one is above the omi Schaefer Riley’s “Big Foundations vices is equally limited: that $800 bil-
So far the rule of law is law.” Investors voted on the Double Down on Government Mistakes” lion equals about 14 months of the
winning, but Lula may be its sternest test. The Lula verdict by bidding up stocks and Brazil’s (op-ed, July 10): Heron invests all its nation’s K-12 public-school budget.
champion of Brazil’s left who served two terms currency on the news. assets to help people and communities Businesses and nonprofits alike de-
as president from 2003 to 2011 was convicted This is real progress for South America’s help themselves out of poverty. We’re pend on both private and government
unapologetic in our belief that this revenue, along with various subsidies.
for money laundering and corruption and sen- largest economy and a cause for optimism de-
complex work requires the muscle, All nonprofits, including those the
tenced to nearly 10 years in prison. Judge Ser- spite the immediate turmoil. The great flaw scale and “can-do” spirit of large public nonprofit William E. Simon Founda-
gio Moro ruled that Lula had steered govern- most developing countries share is a weak rule and private enterprises too. tion supports, get government tax
ment contracts to the Brazilian construction of law. Brazil has spent lavishly trying to be- A foundation’s fiduciary duty of subsidies. Investments are bets, not
firm OAS in exchange for roughly $1.2 million come an industrial giant by subsidizing and obedience to mission is relevant to all guarantees or subsidies. Investing in
in bribes in the form of a refurbished beach- sheltering from competition large state-owned our assets. We invest our capital in en- companies like Tesla no more distorts
front apartment. enterprises like Petrobras. But it has been slow terprises we believe are making a “net the market than investing in nuclear
Lula’s Workers Party allies are howling that to nurture an independent judiciary, and Mr. contribution” to society. The authors power or oil.
he was framed by his political enemies, but ev- Moro’s determination to pursue political cor- are entitled to reject mission investing, Mission investing is already far big-
erything about the decision suggests the oppo- ruption is encouraging. but they get the math wrong when ger than foundations. Insurance giant
they say “mission-based investing also Swiss Re has moved its $130 billion in
site. Mr. Moro’s prosecutors have spent three Lula says he is innocent and will appeal, and
can create serious distortions in the assets to “ethical investments,” while
years in a painstaking investigation that has in the meantime he is free and expected to market.” Would that we foundations BlackRock’s recent renewable-energy
uncovered a vast network of government graft launch a new bid for the presidency. Should he had that kind of money. fund is oversubscribed. The market is
emanating from the giant government-owned win next year before the appeal is concluded, But we don’t, not even close. The to- speaking: Impact investing is the fu-
oil company Petrobras, whose contracts were the sentence and legal appeal would be sus- tal assets of foundations in the U.S. is ture of capitalism.
steered by Lula. pended until he finished his four-year term. around $800 billion, less than the near CLARA MILLER
Scores of Brazilian businessmen and politi- Brazil’s political maturity will be tested as $1 trillion annual revenue of the top President, Heron Foundation
cians have been caught in the net. And it is much as its rule of law. three Fortune 500 companies. Our abil- New York
America’s Summer Labor Shortage Should the Press Get a Pass on Antitrust Law?
U
David Chavern (“How Antitrust Un- tive or cheaper price. Attempting to
.S. employers from Cape Cod bed-and- and the labor shortage was exacerbated after dermines Press Freedom” (op-ed, July prop up an industry on the backs of
breakfasts to Alaskan fisheries have been Congress last year refused to extend a provision 11) cleverly argues for an antitrust ex- unwilling consumers by creating a
begging the Trump Administration for in the law that allowed foreigners who had pre- emption for the U.S. news media to cartel isn’t the answer.
more seasonal guest-worker vi- viously worked on H-2Bs to gain leverage against the advertising DYLAN NAEGELE
sas. Summer is nearly half over, Trump’s 15,000 extra count toward the limit. But the power of Facebook and Google. But Arlington, Va.
and on Monday the Depart- guest-worker visas omnibus budget that Congress Mr. Chavern misses a key point. Amer-
ment of Homeland Security fi- passed in May let Homeland ican antitrust law exists to protect How sorry we all feel for Mr. Chav-
nally agreed to issue 15,000 ad- aren’t nearly enough. Security Secretary John Kelly consumers, not existing competitors ern and his mourning of the end of
ditional H-2B visas. increase the number of visas from new competition. press freedom, the latter meaning the
The H-2B visa program cov- in consultation with Labor Google and Facebook have chal- end of the dominance of the left’s
lenged newspapers by providing a ser- stranglehold over what we read and
ers a myriad of industries that rely on seasonal Secretary Alexander Acosta.
vice (advertising sales) at a lower cost hear in “the news.” The rise of the in-
labor, including seafood, construction, skiing, While the 15,000 additional visas will no and in a superior fashion than news- ternet, controlled by moguls firmly
tourism and landscaping. These jobs typically doubt be welcomed by employers, they won’t papers, their competition. Mr. Chavern committed to the left and the Demo-
pay well, though they can be grueling and their satisfy the growing demand for labor. More than proposes creating a cartel as a solu- cratic Party, is ironically crushing the
temporary nature deters native-born Americans 120,000 seasonal visas were requested this year, tion, which would effectively raise old media which had given us only one
from applying. Some summer jobs in tourism so tens of thousands of summer positions in ho- prices for consumers (advertising buy- voice—that of the Democratic Party.
used to be filled by teens who now spend their tels, fisheries and elsewhere will go unfilled. ers). This is expressly what antitrust What an irony.
summers studying or volunteering. Businesses in disparate industries will be com- laws exist to prevent. NICK CHICKERING
Foreign workers have become even more cru- peting for too few foreign workers. And because Facebook and Google aren’t engaging Whitefish, Mont.
cial as labor markets have tightened amid near the government usually requires between 30 to in anticompetitive conduct. They pro-
record-low unemployment in many states. Un- 60 days to process visas, workers may not arrive vide vast amounts of valuable services Letters intended for publication should
free to billions of people, and their paid be addressed to: The Editor, 1211 Avenue
employment is a mere 2.3% in Colorado, 2.7% in in time to benefit some employers. The result services are cheaper and superior than of the Americas, New York, NY 10036,
Hawaii and 3.2% in Maine. According to the Bu- will be reduced economic output and perhaps those offered by their competitors. or emailed to wsj.ltrs@wsj.com. Please
reau of Labor Statistics, there were 755,000 job shorter vacations for U.S. workers. If Mr. Chavern doesn’t like that, his include your city and state. All letters
openings in food services and accommodations The decision to grant the new visas is a de industry is free to compete with them are subject to editing, and unpublished
in May, up 12% from a year ago. facto admission that the U.S. has a labor short- the old-fashioned way by seeking to letters can be neither acknowledged nor
returned.
H-2B visas are capped annually at 66,000, age. Why hurt the economy by providing so few? provide a better product at a competi-
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, July 19, 2017 | A11
OPINION
T
coal” rules and its standards for only one of the 83 recommenda-
he Trump administration in ground-level ozone—possibly the tions. While no one objected to Mr.
May began the process of re- most expensive EPA rule ever is- Honeycutt’s nomination, Sen.
placing the small army of sued—depend on the same scientifi- James Inhofe (R., Okla.) lodged an
outside science advisers at the U.S. cally unsupported notion that the objection to Ms. Kenski’s nomina-
Environmental Protection Agency. fine particles of soot emitted by tion, claiming she had exhibited
In June, 38 additional EPA advisers smokestacks and tailpipes are le- partisanship during an earlier term
were notified that their appoint- thal. The EPA claims that such par- on the committee.
ments wouldn’t be renewed in Au- ticles kill hundreds of thousands of Congress has also tried to reform
gust. To Mr. Trump’s critics, this is Americans annually. the EPA’s science-advisory process.
another manifestation of his admin- The EPA first considered regulat- During the three most recent Con-
GETTY IMAGES/ISTOCK
istration’s “war on science.” Histri- ing fine particles in the mid-1990s. gresses, the House passed bills to
onics aside, the administration’s ac- But when the agency ran its claims provide explicit conflict-of-interest
tions are long overdue. past CASAC in 1996, the board con- rules for EPA science advisers, in-
The most prominent of the EPA’s cluded that the scientific evidence cluding bans on receiving EPA
myriad boards of outside advisers didn’t support the agency’s regula- grants for three years before and
are the Science Advisory Board and tory conclusion. Ignoring the after service on an advisory panel.
the Clean Air Scientific Advisory panel’s advice, the EPA’s leadership The bills went nowhere in the Sen-
chose to regulate fine particles any- has tightened its grip on CASAC. In fellow, sued the agency. We alleged ate, where the threat of a Demo-
way, and resolved to figure out a effect, EPA-funded researchers are that the CASAC fine-particulate crat-led filibuster loomed. Had they
Scott Pruitt sweeps way to avoid future troublesome empowered to review and approve subcommittee was biased—a clear passed, President Obama surely
opposition from CASAC. their own work in order to rubber- violation of the Federal Advisory would have vetoed them.
out Obama-era science In 1996 two-thirds of the CASAC stamp the EPA’s regulatory agenda. Committee Act. We found a plaintiff President Trump and his EPA ad-
advisers. The agency needs panel had no financial connection to This is all done under the guise of who had been refused CASAC mem- ministrator have ample statutory au-
the EPA. By the mid-2000s, the “independence.” bership because of his beliefs about thority to rectify the problem. As
truly independent ones. agency had entirely flipped the Another “independent” CASAC fine particles. Oklahoma’s attorney general, Scott
composition of the advisory board committee conducted the most re- Unfortunately, that individual Pruitt spent years familiarizing him-
so two-thirds of its members were cent review of the Obama EPA’s wasn’t willing to take a hostile pub- self with the EPA’s unlawful ways.
Committee, or CASAC. Mostly agency grantees. Lo and behold, ground-level ozone standards. Of lic stand against the EPA for fear of He is in the process of reaffirming
made up of university professors, CASAC suddenly agreed with the that panel’s 20 members, 70% were professional retribution. We ulti- the independence of the agency’s
these boards also frequently draw EPA’s leadership that fine particu- EPA grantees who’d hauled in more mately withdrew the suit. science advisory committees. This
members from consulting firms lates in outdoor air kill. than $192 million from the agency The EPA’s opaque selection pro- won’t mean that committee mem-
and activist groups. Only rarely do During the Obama years, the EPA over the years. These EPA panels cess for membership on its advi- bers can’t have a point of view. But
members have backgrounds in in- packed the CASAC panel. Twenty- make decisions by consensus, which sory boards has opened the agency a committee as a whole must be bal-
dustry. All EPA boards are gov- four of its 26 members are now has lately been easy enough to to charges of bias. In 2016 Michael anced and unbiased. Mr. Pruitt’s goal
erned by the Federal Advisory agency grantees, with some listed achieve considering they are usually Honeycutt, chief toxicologist of the is the one intended by Congress—
Committee Act, which requires that as principal investigators on EPA chaired by an EPA grantee. Texas Commission on Environmen- peer review, not pal review.
they be balanced and unbiased. research grants worth more than Would-be reformers have so far tal Quality, was recommended in
While the EPA is required by law to $220 million. had no luck changing the culture at 60 of the 83 nominations to the Mr. Milloy served on the Trump
convene the SAB and CASAC, the Although the scientific case these EPA advisory committees. In EPA for CASAC membership. The EPA transition team and is the au-
agency isn’t bound by law to heed against particulate matter hasn’t 2016 the Energy and Environment EPA instead selected Donna Kenski thor of “Scare Pollution: Why and
their advice. improved since the 1990s, the EPA Legal Institute, where I am a senior of the Lake Michigan Air Directors How to Fix the EPA.”
T
stuck between 2% and 5% of gross government like to exaggerate the fire wall. Be the result high inflation or a fi-
he Group of 20 leaders’ com- domestic product. effect of higher public-works spend- The combination of conditional- nancial crisis, things would be very
muniqué out of Hamburg ear- As a result, little progress with ing, while their opponents tend to ity and support may have been an bad indeed.
lier this month promises it: debt reduction can be expected. trump up the supply-side effects of uncomfortable one for some coun- Where does this leave us? We
Public debt is to be put on a sus- This could lead to some really big lower taxes. Neither is a solution to tries, but in almost all cases it has can’t expect long-term stability and
tainable path. High debt is a mort- dominoes toppling in the next ma- high debt. also been quite successful. resilience from more spending, mon-
gage on the future. Even the larger jor crisis. Nor would the sale of Euro- etization and bond issuances. Gov-
European countries, such as Italy Three arguments are commonly bonds and other debt instruments ernments must make credible com-
and Spain, can be pushed to the offered as to why governments and As economies perk up, lead to less debt or lower deficits. mitments to reducing the public
brink, leading to the fiscal crises policy advisors may take a relaxed Quite the opposite: It would be a debt. This requires a revival of rules-
and widespread panics of only a few approach to public debt. None of governments should be recipe for greater collective irre- based fiscal policy making.
years ago. With the global economy them holds up to scrutiny. balancing their budgets, sponsibility thanks to increased In Europe, the Stability and
strengthening, there’s no reason to The first is that a country can moral hazard. Growth Pact must be properly im-
delay focusing on this important grow itself out of public debt. How- not abandoning discipline. It might also destabilize the eu- plemented. At the national level,
longer-term issue. The challenge ever, with working-age populations rozone. What proponents call pro- the fiscal compact must be adhered
now is to shift away from compla- shrinking, it’s unlikely that growth European would actually prove to to, no matter what the expansion-
cency and inaction. will pick up again. In advanced The second argument reflects the be anti-European. Nor is there any ists claim. Without these, any grand
Today the debt situation appears economies, it certainly won’t exceed hope that somebody else will pay, guarantee that it would work, given new schemes from a eurozone bud-
stable. But the truth is it remains 1% by much over the next decades. especially in Europe. Debt relief—as Europe’s spotty history of keeping get and finance minister would only
precarious: Gross government debt Strong reformers and countries try- demanded, for example, by Greece— fiscal-discipline promises. result in more broken promises and
for the Group of Seven countries is ing to catch up may do a little is one facet. A new European debt The third illusion refers to the an inherently unstable debt union.
now at broadly the same level as it more. But with the current deficits facility, or the hope that Europe role of monetary policy. The hope In the U.S. and Japan, mechanisms
was after World War II. And it this won’t be enough to bring down turns its national debts into a com- is to deflate the real value of gov- for debt reduction must also be put
shows no sign of coming down. the debt. mon responsibility, is another. ernment debt through a combina- in place.
Debt exceeds 100% of gross do- Some claim that expansionary The EU budget already transfers tion of inflation and low interest Debt reduction requires hard and
mestic product in the U.S., Italy and fiscal policies can have such a several percent of GDP each year to rates. But to think this can keep smart choices. The right time to
Japan. And it isn’t far below in strong effect on growth that debts the poorer countries. Claims be- governments from piling on more start is now.
France and the U.K. Germany still will come down despite temporarily tween eurozone central banks ex- debt and fool today’s savvy inves-
shows debt well above the reason- higher deficits. Although growth- ceed €1.2 trillion ($1.376 trillion). tors is a long shot. Instead, it could Mr. Schuknecht is chief econo-
ably safe level of 60%. And even in friendly fiscal reforms are certainly And the European rescue fund, well induce a vicious circle of capi- mist of the German federal ministry
today’s relatively good times, many needed, self-financing fiscal expan- known as the European Stability tal flight, higher interest rates, of finance.
C
chains and so forth. investment, which has been re- ulations, killing the profits of low- policies similar to the special eco-
hina’s growth rate of 6.9% in One example is Li-Ning, a pri- corded in Chinese statistics since end manufacturers. Some headed nomic zones on the coast.
the second quarter beat the vately owned athletics-goods com- the 1980s. overseas, while others moved in- As a result, central and western
expectations of analysts, pany founded by former Chinese The scale of interprovince invest- land. In central China, labor costs provinces are now in the midst of
who expected the economy to con- Olympian Li Ning in Guangdong ment is impressive. In 2015, the an “investment frenzy.” Belatedly
tinue to slow. Equally surprising is province. In 2008, Li-Ning invested value in five central provinces mimicking the practices of coastal
the rebound in manufacturing sen- 10 billion yuan ($1.48 billion) in a alone—Anhui, Henan, Hubei, Hunan Rising production costs on governments in the 1980s and
timent. The Caixin purchasing large production facility in Hubei and Jiangxi—was 2.5 times that of 1990s, inland governments are mo-
managers index for June edged province’s Jingmen city. The factory FDI throughout China. In 2011, Hubei the coasts have caused the bilizing their civil servants to at-
above 50 into expansionary terri- produces 30 million pairs of shoes received 333 investment projects Chinese manufacturing tract domestic investors using at-
tory last week. and 67 million athletic suits annu- from the coast, of which 70% were tractive benefits.
The recent resurgence is likely ally, most of which are sold to Chi- in manufacturing. landscape to shift inward. Li-Ning, the sporting goods com-
more than a temporary blip. In part nese consumers. Industrial transfer injects new pany, was fiercely courted by sev-
it reflects better global demand for Industrial transfer is hard to growth opportunities into poor in- eral competing cities. It ultimately
Chinese products. But it’s also the measure because, unlike industrial land regions, but it also frees up re- are less than a quarter of those in chose Jingmen for its “dedicated
result of longer-term shifts in output, it is dynamic and multifac- sources for high-end manufacturing Shanghai, and enforcement of regu- services.” The Jingmen government
China’s manufacturing landscape eted. Even officials at the National and services on the coast. Chinese lations is also lax. took care of the company’s every
that will increase productivity. Development and Reform Commis- policy makers term this dual struc- China’s cabinet, the State Council, need, from land and labor supply to
Chinese industrialists began to sion, China’s top economic-plan- tural shift “emptying the cage to reacted belatedly to the bottom-up electricity.
move production to poorer interior ning agency, acknowledge that change the bird.” surge of industrial transfer, making it If the interior takes over low-
regions, away from the more devel- they lack systematic measures of But Beijing didn’t predict, let a top priority in 2010. Earlier policies cost, labor-intensive manufacturing
oped coastal cities, in the early the migration. alone plan, this wave of industrial of regional development centered while the coast advances techno-
2000s. This process, known as in- One commonly used estimate of migration. It occurred spontaneously only on providing financial assistance logically, China will command both
dustrial transfer, is now in full industrial transfer is interprovince among coastal producers, primarily to and building infrastructure in the the low and high ends of produc-
swing. It encompasses not only the investment, a term that first ap- in the private sector and in response poor interior. After 2010, the leader- tion within a single market. That
physical relocation of factories, but peared in some provincial-govern- to market pressures. ship actively encouraged industrial would give it a formidable competi-
also investment in inland busi- ment reports in the 2000s. It is a During the 2000s, labor and land transfer, primarily by creating “spe- tive advantage.
costs rapidly rose and local govern- cial recipient zones” throughout cen- Yet China’s process of industrial
transfer faces some obstacles.
Coastal investors run into corrup-
DOMINIC BUGATTO
executive-search company. “I
deeply regretted saying anything.”
Many bosses don’t want to hear
such complaints. “I ask them, ‘Why
are you telling me? Why aren’t you
telling the person who’s causing the
issue?’ ” says Ed Mitzen, founder of by having employees do anony- coping with role conflicts, misun- author of “Insight,” a book on self- deadline, which isn’t like you. Is
Fingerpaint Marketing, a Saratoga mous peer reviews semiannually derstandings and disagreements awareness. If your friend thinks everything OK?”
Springs, N.Y., marketing agency. that are edited and delivered by with friends on the job can be she’s already nearly perfect and Avoid throwing around labels.
But few employees feel safe giv- managers. More than 95% of Plex emotionally draining, says a 2016 belittles others who give her feed- Declaring that your friend has a
ing or receiving criticism from employees give the process high study in the journal Personnel Psy- back, she’s not likely to pay much poor work ethic or is too aggres-
teammates, says Robert S. Rubin, a ratings, he says. chology. If conflicts over serious attention, Dr. Eurich says. If she sive will only put him on the de-
management professor at DePaul Friends may be more able than ethical or legal issues arise and knows she’s performing poorly but fensive, says Dana Brownlee, an
University. Employers encourage others to deliver criticism kindly. can’t be resolved by talking it over, doesn’t care, you’ll have to per- Atlanta corporate trainer. Cite spe-
teams to collaborate but expect Chris Bryant took aside a friend on it’s best to end the friendship, says suade her that she’s actually caus- cific behaviors, such as leaving
employees to compete for raises a team he led at a previous em- Eileen Habelow, managing partner ing problems for herself or others. early during rush periods.
and promotions, fostering mixed ployer to tell him he wasn’t pulling of Learning-Link, a Cambridge, It’s more likely that your friend Finally, affirm your support for
motives that undermine co-work- his weight. “It was difficult, be- Mass., corporate-training firm. is open to change but doesn’t real- your friend and ask how you can
ers’ willingness to help each other. cause we had a good time going to Bosses should get involved if an ize it’s needed, Dr. Eurich says. help. Human-resources executive
Keith Valory hated seeing col- each other’s barbecues” outside employee’s behavior crosses legal One way to start the conversation Eileen Timmins of Chicago was in
leagues on a previous job hurt by work, says Mr. Bryant, principal at or ethical boundaries, or if a is to wait for an opening. If your a bind when a teammate years ago
teammates’ harsh critiques. The Empire Studios, a New York video friend’s performance continues to friend expresses disappointment procrastinated on his part of a
climate was so competitive that a production company. Facing the cause problems after repeated at- about a performance review, ask if deadline project. To avoid com-
friend who was actually perform- performance problems early moti- tempts by teammates to help. it would be OK to share your plaining to their boss, she re-
ing well quit the company, says vated his friend to move to a job It’s wise to figure out before thoughts, then describe problem searched his role and completed
Mr. Valory, chief executive officer that was a better fit before he raising performance problems behaviors you’ve seen. part of his work herself, so she
of Plex, a Los Gatos, Calif., maker damaged his track record. whether your friend is likely to lis- Another option is to open with could meet her deadline. Her
of a streaming media app. He tries Workplace friendships are linked ten, says Tasha Eurich, a Denver a question, Dr. Rubin says, such as, friend was grateful, she says, and
to create a kinder culture at Plex to improved job performance, but organizational psychologist and “I noticed that you missed a major his performance soon improved.
Follow Today,
Lead Tomorrow.
© 2017 Dow Jones & Co. Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ5620
TECHNOLOGY: DEAL COULD PROVIDE AD BUYERS WITH ALTERNATIVES TO GOOGLE, FACEBOOK B4
Euro vs. Dollar 1.1579 À 0.87% FTSE 100 7390.22 g 0.19% Gold 1241.10 À 0.67% WTI crude 46.40 À 0.83% German Bund yield 0.557% 10-Year Treasury yield 2.263%
homespun yarns and Face- sourced directly from manu- The product’s previous ver- how to direct them, according
book ad campaigns. But they facturers, and getting sav- sion cost $1,500. The price of to Google.
face an uphill struggle as a ings from scale. the new product will vary based The new glasses will be sold
third, even more formidable, But now the big European on the needed software cus- through a network of “Glass
source of competition gath- discounters are expanding in tomization, customer support Partners,” firms that provide
ers steam: Wal-Mart Stores, the U.S. Lidl launched on and training, the company said. training, integration and cus-
Aldi and Amazon.com house Please see HEARD page B2 The Wall Street Journal The first version of the head-worn computer failed to catch on. tomer support to businesses.
B2 | Wednesday, July 19, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
INDEX TO PEOPLE
A F N
al-Qahtani, Ayed.........B1 Farstrup, Adam.........B10 Noreika, Keith.............B6 Labor union tries August. The 82-year-old union receive some of the best wages The UAW has said Nissan is
B Fowler, Mark...............B5 P has attempted to organize and benefits in the state. violating workers’ rights by
G
again to organize workers at foreign-owned as- “It is ultimately up to the blocking organizing efforts
Bird, Nancy..................B9 Petersen, Ryan ........... B4
Bittles, Bruce..............B7 Greenberg, Maurice R. workers in U.S. at sembly plants for decades, but employees to decide,” Rodney and has criticized the auto
R largely struck out. Francis, the plant’s human-re- maker for what the UAW says
Blankfein, Lloyd..........A1
“Hank” ...................... B6
Rose, Jonathan...........B9
foreign-owned plant The UAW won a deal with sources director, said. “Given is a liberal use of temporary
Booth, Malcolm..........A1 H
Rudderow, Tim..........B10 Nissan this week that allows the UAW’s history of strikes, workers that don’t get the
Buffett, Warren..........B6 Hutchison, Jay............B9 BY CHRISTINA ROGERS about 4,000 full-time plant layoffs and plant closures, it is same benefits and job security
S
C J workers to participate in the clear that their presence could of permanent employment.
Schorr, Glenn .............. B1 The United Auto Workers vote. It needs a majority of be harmful.” “The company is running
Carter, Chris................B9 Johnston, Alastair......A8
Segal, Jonathan..........B5 union is stepping up efforts to those casting ballots to win The UAW represents hun- one of the most aggressive
Chavez, Martin ......... B10 L
Cordray, Richard..........B6
Suttmeier, Stephen....B7 represent workers at a Japa- representation. dreds of thousands of auto anti-worker campaigns that
Leonard, Patrick..........B9
W nese auto factory in Missis- Union officials have unsuc- workers, including the bulk of we’ve seen in modern U.S. his-
D-E M sippi, its most visible organiz- cessfully targeted Nissan in the assembly workers at U.S. tory,” the UAW Secretary-Trea-
Wang, Jianlin..............B4
Dagit, Deb...................B5 Ma, Zhixia...................B4 ing drive since President past, including the company’s plants run by Ford Motor Co., surer Gary Casteel said.
Donofrio, Paul.............B2 Moen, Marc.................B9 Z Donald Trump won the elec- facility in Tennessee that cur- General Motors Co. and Fiat While the UAW has largely
Ermilio, James............B6 Musk, Elon..................B3 Zlotnikov, Vadim.......B10 tion and breathed new life in rently operates as the largest Chrysler Automobile NV. Once supported Democratic candi-
the Buy American movement. assembly plant in the U.S. in far surpassing a million mem- dates, including endorsing Hil-
The UAW, long pushing terms of output, according to bers, the union has shrunk as lary Clinton in last year’s U.S.
else’s,” was the primary whittle down suppliers’ fat- subsequent turnaround of
piece of advice from consul- ter margins. Volvo Cars, previously an un-
tants at Bain in a recent note Some companies look less profitable unit of Ford Motor
on the discounter challenge exposed than others. Those Co., is often cited as the most
for U.S. grocery executives. with big overseas operations, successful example of a Chi-
such as Nestlé, Unilever and nese auto acquisition to date:
Mondelez International, or As well as reviving the Swed-
must-have brands, like Kraft ish brand, Geely used Volvo’s
Amazon and Whole Heinz, stand a better chance technology to upgrade its own
Foods will speed the of seeing off the new compe- product lines. A vehicle under the Geely-owned Lynk car brand on display at Shanghai’s auto show in April.
tition than those with U.S.- Geely’s absorption of for-
push into private- centric portfolios or lots of eign technology and know-how to auto makers, Wanxiang starter-motor division to of Key Systems and Takata will
label goods. third- or fourth-placed has put it “in a class by itself” Group, is also a significant Zhengzhou Coal Mining Ma- make it a top-three global
brands. among Chinese auto makers, competitor, claiming a 12% chinery Group Co. in May. player in the vehicle-safety
Bernstein analysts think according to Mr. Dunne, vindi- share of the international car- Ningbo Joyson, however, is segment, provided it can suc-
Campbell Soup, Conagra cating acquisitions that indus- parts market outside China. investing in cutting-edge tech- cessfully stitch its various
Wal-Mart doesn’t disclose Brands, General Mills, Kel- try analysts initially ques- Mr. Chen of Ningbo Joyson nology rather than assets that units together, he said, while
the share of total sales com- logg and J.M. Smucker are tioned. said Chinese auto suppliers are Western rivals no longer want, auto-glass maker Fuyao, car-
ing from its own brands, but all at risk. Other Chinese buyers have still closing the gap on world but is still playing catch-up, trim maker Minth Group Ltd.
executives say it is rising. European groups are rush- preferred to take strategic leaders such as Germany’s Mr. Chen said. “China does not and vehicle-interior supplier
The company knows the ing for the exit: Nestlé’s U.S. stakes in foreign vehicle mak- Robert Bosch GmbH and yet have one single world- Yanfeng are among the other
trend well: Its subsidiary candy bars, Unilever’s marga- ers rather than make outright Japan’s Denso Corp., some of class auto company,” he said. Chinese suppliers in growing
ASDA has been one of the rines and Reckitt Benck- purchases, as when Tencent which have been offloading Chinese companies that are command of their specialties.
chief victims of the U.K. in- iser’s U.S. food brands, in- spent $1.8 billion on a 5% surplus units to Chinese buy- doubling down on specific sub- Yet even as China’s auto in-
dustry rout. cluding French’s mustard, are stake in Tesla in March. ers as they themselves move sectors of the auto-parts mar- dustry racks up overseas pur-
The more upscale team of all up for sale. China National Chemical into more high-tech fields ket might have a better chance chases, it remains behind
Amazon and Whole Foods Shifting consumer tastes Corp.’s $7.86 billion purchase thought to represent the fu- of securing global dominance overall, Mr. Zhu said: “I don’t
Market will speed the push caught U.S. food companies of Italian tire maker Pirelli in ture of the car business, such than those aiming to diversify, think we’ll see a Chinese Bosch
into private-label goods. The off guard. The rise of pri- 2015 remains the biggest Chi- as automation and connectiv- said Robin Zhu, an auto ana- anytime soon.”
tech giant has been plowing vate-label goods will make it nese auto-sector foray to date. ity. lyst at Bernstein Research. —Lilian Lin contributed to
resources into its Amazon- hard for them to fight back. The nation’s largest supplier Bosch, for example, sold its Ningbo Joyson’s acquisition this article.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, July 19, 2017 | B3
BUSINESS NEWS
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
Freight Startup
Adds Warehouse
BY ERICA E. PHILLIPS on technology of their own,
however. They also own ware-
Freight-services startup houses and other physical as-
Flexport Inc. is stepping off sets around the world that
the cloud and into the real provide storage and speed the
world. movement of cargo through
The San Francisco-based ports and onto the next legs of
company, which helps custom- their journeys. Startups like
ers arrange freight shipments Flexport account for less than
JOHN LAMPARSKI/GETTY IMAGES FOR ADVERTISING WEEK NEW YORK
BUSINESS NEWS
On Tuesday, such worries didn’t go through. cial-property sales for the full
spilled into the open with a 7% “We gave up Kaisa just be- year, she added. “I understand
drop in Sunac’s share price in cause we found it isn’t worth that some people have con-
Hong Kong trading. buying,” Mr. Sun said at the cerns about Sunac’s cash flow
In an unusual arrangement, time, without elaborating. over the deals but the pressure
Wanda will extend a loan to Su- China’s property boom has on our capital isn’t really too
nac for about half the purchase long boosted Sunac’s finances, big,” Ms. Ma said.
price of the Wanda assets, with Property tycoon Sun Hongbin, right, with Dalian Wanda Chairman Wang Jianlin in Beijing on July 10. though its debt buildup and ag- Fitch Ratings last week cut
a bank acting as middleman. gressive acquisitions have Sunac’s corporate credit rating
Sunac acknowledged that The Wanda deal marks the deals because he likes to take Wang resting his hand on Mr. steadily weakened its credit to double-B-minus from dou-
banks have been checking second time this year that Mr. the credit for helping others, Sun’s shoulder. “We both are profile, analysts say. Sunac said ble-B, saying that the Wanda
whether loans made to Sunac Sun has swooped in on a com- according to people who are fa- more handsome than the pic- last year’s profit declined be- deal would cause a rise in Su-
carry potential risks, but it said pany facing trouble. In January, miliar with his thinking. ture shows,” Mr. Sun joked. cause of an increase in interest nac’s debt.
it is telling all that Wanda’s as- Mr. Sun pumped $2.22 billion Days after the Wanda deal, People close to him describe expenses as it took on more Mr. Sun has described him-
sets are “quality” and there is into online-video platform Mr. Sun posted a picture on him as talkative and funny, yet debt. self as a rational thinker who
no need for worry about Su- LeEco, saving the company the WeChat social-media plat- potentially volatile. With Mr. Based on net debt compared drives slowly and hates risk. “I
nac’s cash flow. from a cash crunch after it ex- form of a magazine cover of Sun, huge decisions can be to equity, Sunac is one of do things, which I’ve thought
“It’s normal that the banks panded too quickly into prod- him and Wang Jianlin, made on short notice, the peo- China’s most indebted property through, boldly and resolutely,”
are examining us because this is ucts as diverse as smartphones Wanda’s founder and one of ple said. developers. he wrote on social media.
such a big deal,” said Ma Zhixia, and smart cars. the richest men in China. They It took just four days for The debt buildup over the —Dominique Fong
Sunac’s executive president. Mr. Sun goes after such big are side by side, with Mr. Messrs. Sun and Wang to agree past two years was largely to and Yang Jie
Dalian Wanda Group for the AMC, the Kansas City, Mo., reviewed by The Wall Street financial assistance from
acquisitions of four cinema theater chain said, adding Journal. Wanda or Chinese banks for
chains in the U.S. and Europe. that Wanda never gave finan- Among the six were AMC’s any of the deals.
The movie exhibitor said in cial guarantees or provided deals for Odeon, Carmike and Wanda bought AMC for
a written statement that its credit enhancements. Nordic, which had already $2.6 billion in 2012. Since
acquisitions of Starplex Cine- AMC’s statement comes af- been completed, according to then, the U.S. theater chain
mas, Odeon & UCI Cinemas ter Chinese regulators met the document and a person fa- has been growing mainly
Holdings Ltd., Carmike Cine- with executives at China’s big miliar with the matter. AMC through acquisitions and is
mas Inc. and Nordic Cinema state-owned lenders June 20 paid a combined $2.5 billion, now the world’s largest the-
China’s Dalian Wanda bought U.S. theater chain AMC in 2012. Group Holding AB over the and advised them that six of including debt, for the three ater chain.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, July 19, 2017 | B5
MANAGEMENT
Interns
Get Lesson
Balancing Religion and the Office
Broader array of faiths emerges in U.S. workforce, creating challenges for managers and employees
In Earning BY FRANCESCA FONTANA
BUSINESS WATCH
sociation of Colleges and Em-
ployers.
Over the same period,
wages remained flat at around
$13 an hour for students FIAT vertising videos for the new the auto maker to showcase its facturer said Tuesday that wants to add 2 million new rid-
studying communications and Chrysler Pacifica minivan, Fiat latest minivan in family-oriented world-wide retail sales fell 7% in ers in the U.S. over the next de-
humanities, who are also more Sesame Street Adds Chrysler said. That will be the media, including sponsorship of the second quarter. Sales fell 9% cade, as well as grow its inter-
likely to take unpaid positions, Another Sponsor first use of Sesame Street char- recent children’s programming in the U.S., Harley’s largest mar- national business to 50% of its
according to the survey pub- acters in a branded vehicle since events on Viacom Inc.’s Nickel- ket. In afternoon trading, Harley’s total annual volume.
lished by the research insti- Fiat Chrysler Automobiles Big Bird appeared in public ser- odeon network and Walt Disney stock was down 5.7%. Retail sales in the U.S. fell 9%
tute at Michigan State. NV is joining the letters of the vice advertisements alongside a Co.’s Radio Disney. Executives said strong com- to 49,668 bikes sold in the sec-
Things may improve once alphabet as a sponsor of Ses- Ford minivan in the late 1990s, —Chester Dawson petition from their own used ond quarter. International sales
those interns take full-time ame Street. The auto maker said according to Sesame Workshop. motorcycles were partly to declined 2% to 31,720 bikes. In
jobs. College graduates who Monday it was joining Sesame “This is the beginning. We’re HARLEY-DAVIDSON blame, as U.S. market share for all for the quarter, Harley topped
accept regular full-time jobs Workshop, the nonprofit that talking to them about other new Harley bikes declined a per- per-share forecasts by a dime,
this year are earning an aver- owns the long-running children’s ways they can expand” their Retail Sales Slip 7% centage point to 48.5% in the but revenue came up short. T
age starting salary of television show, in a year-long sponsorship, Steve Youngwood, For Iconic Brand quarter from that period a year The company posted a profit
$49,785—the highest in at sponsorship deal. Financial terms Sesame Workshop’s chief oper- earlier. of $258.9 million, or $1.48 a
least a decade, according to an weren’t disclosed, but Fiat ating officer, said. He declined to Harley-Davidson Inc. shares Harley’s disappointing mid- share, down from $280.4 million,
analysis released in May of Chrysler will join two other ex- provide details, but said that fell on plans to make and ship year results highlight the chal- or $1.55 a share, in the year-ear-
about 145,000 entry-level posi- isting corporate sponsors. could include some form of com- fewer motorcycles this year lenge facing the iconic American lier quarter. Revenue fell 5.6% to
tions by executive-search firm Muppets from Sesame Street munity-based collaboration. amid a sharp drop in retail sales. brand as it tries to grow its cus- $1.57 billion.
Korn/Ferry International. will be featured in 10 online ad- It comes as part of a push by The Milwaukee-based manu- tomer base. Harley has said it —Andrew Tangel
© 2017 Dow Jones & Co. Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ5549
B6 | Wednesday, July 19, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
highlight the tension between premiums. Financial terms ments’ Two Sigma Ventures
elevated valuations and sturdy weren’t disclosed. division.
economic growth. CoverWallet, launched last Among other insurers using
Extreme bond bears are year, focuses largely on the predictive analysis to issue
nonexistent. Zero survey re- market of online issuance of policies to small businesses is
spondents claimed to be “sig- policies and related services to American International
nificantly underweight,” the small businesses. Group Inc., which Mr. Green-
most pessimistic description Historically, many large in- berg used to run. Last year,
available, either high-grade or surers avoided small busi- Maurice R. ‘Hank’ Greenberg’s investment is the latest in a hot corner of the ‘insure tech’ sector. AIG entered a joint venture
high-yield bonds. nesses because of the costs of with Two Sigma, a hedge fund
And yet 60% of survey re- dealing with them individually. “Change is inevitable,” Mr. related backgrounds say the gorithms can draw on publicly that is a leader in quantitative
spondents see investment- But quantitative analysis is Greenberg, 92 years old, said insurance industry is particu- available data such as con- analysis.
grade bond spreads as over- changing that and suddenly a in an interview. “There is no larly ripe for innovation be- struction features of a busi- In earlier moves, Warren
valued, the most since 2014 lot of big-name insurers want stopping that.” cause of its heavy reliance on ness’s premises, proximity to Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway
and up from 44% in May’s sur- to sell to local retailers, coffee Last year, $1.7 billion was traditional ways of doing busi- fire hydrants and code viola- Inc. began biBerk to sell prop-
vey. Another 61% of high-yield shops, contractors and other invested in 179 insure tech ness even as consumers in- tions. erty and liability policies to
investors see junk-bond small businesses. deals of various sorts, accord- creasingly favor online finan- James Ermilio, CoverWal- small businesses. Travelers
spreads as overvalued. That These firms believe that al- ing to CB Insights, a firm with cial transactions. let’s president of insurance, Cos. in March bought U.K.-
reading is down from 78% in gorithms work well for stan- a venture-capital database. Scientists can feed millions said the firm’s goal is using based Simply Business, as it
May, when falling crude prices dardized policies used by Entrepreneurs with engi- of data points into computers “data analytics, data science seeks to expand in the digital
briefly renewed concerns many small businesses. neering and other computer- to find patterns. In general, al- and predictive modeling to small-business area.
about oil company debt.
The extra yield demanded
pect spreads to remain in this ments between financial firms In its next rollout of retail tion plan in January, Ms. Mack
tight range for the months and customers. shifts, Wells Fargo is aiming to said there would be further
ahead but are wary about the Acting Comptroller of the solve more problems for shifts that affect how employ-
next year. Currency Keith Noreika asked branch customers during their ees interact with customers.
Half of high-grade investors CFPB Director Richard Cordray visits, rather than referring is- Many of the latest changes
said they are overweight, to halt the rule, which could sues to call centers, said Lau- are based off of feedback from
down from 67% in May. Some ease the way for class-action rey Cosentino, head of Wells employees, including sessions
8% of junk-bond investors litigation against companies, Richard Cordray, head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Fargo’s retail bank customer led by Ms. Mack with more
claimed overweight positions, until his office can assess the and branch experience. than 4,000 employees across
up from May, when 19% of in- data behind the rule and verify the acting comptroller last Cordray in contempt for not The San Francisco bank un- 29 cities. For instance, the
vestors were underweight it won’t put banks in financial week, saying he was “sur- complying with information veiled other consumer-unit bank will roll out a new proto-
junk. risk. The letter is the third be- prised” by the OCC’s letter. requests related to the rule. changes affecting personnel, col to handle fee disputes with
While defaults are low and tween Mr. Noreika and Mr. “At no time during the [two- Mr. Cordray, who was ap- employee compensation and customers who visit a branch,
a slow-but-steady U.S. econ- Cordray since the CFPB an- year process of preparing the pointed by former President sales practices after it agreed aiming to get closure on the is-
omy should limit any upswing nounced its arbitration rule rule] did anyone from the OCC Barack Obama, is serving a last September to pay a $185 sue at that session rather than
in the foreseeable future, last week. express any suggestion that term that ends in July 2018. million settlement over open- referring it to another office.
these narrow spreads are mak- “The OCC should be the rule that was under devel- Mr. Noreika and Mr. ing as many as 2.1 million ac- “Our customers expect to
ing investors wary that credit granted the opportunity to opment could threaten the Cordray are members of the counts using fictitious or unau- have a good experience when
spreads can narrow much conduct an independent re- safety and soundness of the Financial Stability Oversight thorized customer information. they come into our branches,”
more from current levels. view of the CFPB data to de- banking system,” Mr. Cordray Council, a government body The newest round of Ms. Mack said in an interview.
Hints of pessimism appear termine the safety and sound- said in the July 12 letter. consisting of top regulators changes, which include efforts “They expect us to take care of
over the longer term. Some ness implications of the Final Mr. Noreika’s Monday re- that has the authority to delay to reduce wait times and edu- their problems and address
78% of survey respondents Rule,” Mr. Noreika wrote. sponse said Mr. Cordray con- proposed rules by the CFPB. cate customers about new their questions.”
said they expect wider high- CFPB spokesman David tinues to ignore his request for
grade spreads a year from Mayorga said the bureau re- data despite “prior telephonic
now, the highest proportion
on record. Some 74% of junk-
ceived the letter and is re-
viewing it.
and in-person assurances that
we would have access.”
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bond investors see wider Mr. Noreika raised concerns The back-and-forth between
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Morningstar, Ltd. or this publication. Funds shown aren’t registered with the
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Rock Inc., “not from further costs for consumers. publicans are looking into U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and aren’t available for sale to United
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, July 19, 2017 | B7
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©2017 Dow Jones & Co. Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ5164
B8 | Wednesday, July 19, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS DIGEST
Nikkei 225 Index STOXX 600 Index S&P 500 Index Data as of 4 p.m. New York time
Last Year ago
19999.91 t 118.95, or 0.59% Year-to-date s 4.63% 382.58 t 4.28, or 1.11% Year-to-date s 5.85% 2460.61 s 1.47, or 0.06% Trailing P/E ratio 24.29 24.85
High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 20230.41 16083.11 High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 396.45 328.80 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 18.80 18.37
trading day of the past three months. All-time high 38915.87 12/29/89 trading day of the past three months. All-time high 414.06 4/15/15 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 1.99 2.13
All-time high: 2460.61, 07/18/17
Weekly P/E data based on as-reported earnings from Birinyi Associates Inc.
International Stock Indexes Data as of 4 p.m. New York time Global government bonds
Latest 52-Week Range YTD Latest, month-ago and year-ago yields and spreads over or under U.S. Treasurys on benchmark two-year
Region/Country Index Close NetChg % chg Low Close High % chg and 10-year government bonds around the world. Data as of 3 p.m. ET
World The Global Dow 2825.32 –6.32 –0.22 2383.44 • 2836.30 11.8 Country/ Spread Over Treasurys, in basis points Yield
MSCI EAFE 1918.57 –1.68 –0.09 1471.88 • 1956.39 11.8 Coupon Maturity, in years Yield Latest Previous Month Ago Year ago Previous Month ago Year ago
MSCI EM USD 1053.54 1.99 0.19 691.21 • 1053.58 32.7 2.750 Australia 2 1.906 54.6 49.5 36.6 93.0 1.855 1.681 1.624
2.750 10 2.754 48.9 42.3 26.3 41.3 2.739 2.417 1.999
Americas DJ Americas 592.41 0.29 0.05 503.44 • 593.10 9.6
3.000 Belgium 2 -185.7 -187.8 -127.3 -0.501 -0.563 -0.579
-0.497 -186.0
Brazil Sao Paulo Bovespa 65269.06 56.75 0.09 55695.52 • 69487.58 8.4
0.800 10 0.843 -142.2 -146.4 -154.5 -134.7 0.852 0.608 0.239
Canada S&P/TSX Comp 15153.92 –11.44 –0.08 14319.11 • 15943.09 –0.9
0.000 France 2 -0.398 -175.8 -175.6 -179.7 -122.1 -0.396 -0.482 -0.527
Mexico IPC All-Share 51094.42 –237.87 –0.46 43998.98 • 51364.19 11.9
1.000 10 0.829 -143.6 -147.0 -151.4 -137.1 0.846 0.639 0.215
Chile Santiago IPSA 3822.73 –11.71 –0.31 3120.87 • 3837.15 18.6
0.000 Germany 2 -0.640 -200.0 -197.3 -198.0 -133.4 -0.613 -0.665 -0.641
U.S. DJIA 21574.73 –54.99 –0.25 17883.56 • 21681.53 9.2
0.500 10 0.557 -170.7 -173.2 -187.8 -159.9 0.584 0.276 -0.014
Nasdaq Composite 6344.31 29.87 0.47 5028.24 • 6344.55 17.9
0.050 Italy 2 0.054 -130.6 -128.6 -161.3 -74.9 0.074 -0.298 -0.055
S&P 500 2460.61 1.47 0.06 2083.79 • 2463.54 9.9
2.200 10 2.193 -7.1 -8.1 -17.7 -33.2 2.236 1.976 1.253
CBOE Volatility 9.92 0.10 1.02 9.37 • 23.01 –29.3
0.100 Japan 2 -0.106 -146.6 -146.6 -143.0 -102.5 -0.107 -0.115 -0.332
EMEA Stoxx Europe 600 382.58 –4.28 –1.11 328.80 • 396.45 5.9 0.100 10 0.069 -219.5 -223.6 -209.8 -181.6 0.080 0.055 -0.230
Stoxx Europe 50 3128.83 –35.70 –1.13 2720.66 • 3279.71 3.9 4.000 Netherlands 2 -0.613 -197.3 -195.8 -196.7 -129.1 -0.598 -0.652 -0.597
Austria ATX 3192.10 –7.50 –0.23 2166.58 • 3212.50 21.9 0.750 10 0.681 -158.4 -161.6 -167.1 -149.1 0.700 0.482 0.095
Belgium Bel-20 3872.44 –36.79 –0.94 3362.71 • 4055.96 7.4 4.750 Portugal 2 0.068 -129.2 -130.5 -126.8 -0.7 0.054 0.047 0.687
France CAC 40 5173.27 –56.90 –1.09 4293.34 • 5442.10 6.4 4.125 10 3.043 77.8 78.0 75.0 153.8 3.097 2.904 3.124
Germany DAX 12430.39 –156.77 –1.25 9923.64 • 12951.54 8.3 2.750 Spain 2 -0.293 -165.3 -163.5 -161.1 -84.6 -0.275 -0.296 -0.153
Greece ATG 848.07 –10.01 –1.17 546.95 • 859.78 31.8 1.500 10 1.546 -71.9 -72.0 -69.8 -34.2 1.596 1.456 1.243
Hungary BUX 35904.22 –236.43 –0.65 27001.48 • 36280.07 12.2 4.250 Sweden 2 -0.683 -204.3 -201.7 -202.2 -132.9 -0.657 -0.707 -0.635
Israel Tel Aviv 1452.97 –3.89 –0.27 1372.23 • 1490.23 –1.2 1.000 10 0.658 -160.6 -161.6 -169.0 -141.1 0.700 0.463 0.175
Italy FTSE MIB 21358.20 –126.64 –0.59 15923.11 • 21828.77 11.0 1.750 U.K. 2 0.264 -109.6 -105.0 -115.6 -51.8 0.310 0.159 0.175
Netherlands AEX 518.17 –3.33 –0.64 436.28 • 537.84 7.2 4.250 10 1.208 -105.6 -104.1 -113.5 -75.9 1.275 1.018 0.827
Poland WIG 62331.50 –206.24 –0.33 45958.40 • 62761.44 20.4 1.250 U.S. 2 1.360 ... ... ... ... 1.360 1.315 0.694
Russia RTS Index 1038.45 –0.89 –0.09 898.05 • 1196.99 –9.9 2.375 10 2.265 ... ... ... ... 2.316 2.153 1.585
Spain IBEX 35 10524.50 –126.70 –1.19 8229.40 • 11184.40 12.5
Sweden SX All Share 577.64 –9.47 –1.61 483.91 • 598.42 8.1 Commodities Prices of futures contracts with the most open interest 3:30 p.m. New York time
Switzerland Swiss Market 8977.98 –60.67 –0.67 7585.56 • 9148.61 9.2 EXCHANGE LEGEND: CBOT: Chicago Board of Trade; CME: Chicago Mercantile Exchange; ICE-US: ICE Futures U.S.; MDEX: Bursa Malaysia
South Africa Johannesburg All Share 53261.64 –565.77 –1.05 48935.90 • 54716.53 5.1 Derivatives Berhad; TCE: Tokyo Commodity Exchange; COMEX: Commodity Exchange; LME: London Metal Exchange;
NYMEX: New York Mercantile Exchange; ICE-EU: ICE Futures Europe. *Data as of 7/17/2017
Turkey BIST 100 105718.31 –498.69 –0.47 70426.16 •106402.15 35.3
One-Day Change Year Year
U.K. FTSE 100 7390.22 –13.91 –0.19 6615.83 • 7598.99 3.5 Commodity Exchange Last price Net Percentage high low
377.00 2.00 0.53% 404.75 364.50
Asia-Pacific DJ Asia-Pacific TSM 1657.38 4.94 0.30 1405.52 • 1659.54 16.5 Corn (cents/bu.) CBOT
Soybeans (cents/bu.) 1002.00 4.50 0.45 1,047.00 907.00
Australia S&P/ASX 200 5687.40 –68.10 –1.18 5156.60 • 5956.50 0.4
Wheat (cents/bu.)
CBOT
CBOT 504.25 -1.75 -0.35% 574.50 430.75
China Shanghai Composite 3187.57 11.10 0.35 2953.39 • 3288.97 2.7
Live cattle (cents/lb.) CME 116.950 -1.675 -1.41 122.850 99.125
Hong Kong Hang Seng 26524.94 54.36 0.21 21574.76 • 26524.94 20.6
Cocoa ($/ton) ICE-US 1,900 -10 -0.52 2,281 1,767
India S&P BSE Sensex 31710.99 –363.79 –1.13 25765.14 • 32074.78 19.1
Coffee (cents/lb.) ICE-US 134.65 1.10 0.82 163.75 115.50
Japan Nikkei Stock Avg 19999.91 –118.95 –0.59 16083.11 • 20230.41 4.6
Sugar (cents/lb.) ICE-US 14.15 0.06 0.43 20.50 12.74
Singapore Straits Times 3306.08 7.84 0.24 2787.27 • 3306.08 14.8
Cotton (cents/lb.) ICE-US 68.16 0.40 0.59 75.72 66.15
South Korea Kospi 2426.04 0.94 0.04 1958.38 • 2426.04 19.7 Robusta coffee ($/ton) ICE-EU 2132.00 6.00 0.28 2,286.00 1,885.00
Taiwan Weighted 10481.26 23.72 0.23 8902.30 • 10513.96 13.3
Copper ($/lb.) COMEX 2.7270 0.0030 0.11 2.8495 2.4850
Source: SIX Financial Information;WSJ Market Data Group Gold ($/troy oz.) COMEX 1242.50 8.80 0.71 1,300.30 1,155.00
Silver ($/troy oz.) COMEX 16.260 0.161 1.00 18.780 14.340
Currencies London close on July 18 Aluminum ($/mt)* LME 1,925.00 4.00 0.21 1,972.00 1,688.50
Tin ($/mt)* LME 19,980.00 130.00 0.65 21,225.00 18,760.00
Yen, euro vs. dollar; dollar vs. major U.S. trading partners US$vs,
Tue YTDchg Copper ($/mt)* LME 5,985.00 104.50 1.78 6,156.00 5,491.00
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Lead ($/mt)* LME 2,326.00 43.00 1.88 2,445.00 2,022.00
10% s Europe Zinc ($/mt)* LME 2,823.00 51.00 1.84 2,958.50 2,450.50
WSJ Dollar index Bulgaria lev 0.5919 1.6896 –9.1 Nickel ($/mt)* LME 9,645.00 225.00 2.39 11,095.00 8,780.00
Croatia kuna 0.1561 6.405 –10.7 Rubber (Y.01/ton) TCE 201.50 -0.10 -0.05 n.a. n.a.
0
Euro
s Euro zone euro 1.1579 0.8637 –9.1
Czech Rep. koruna-b 0.0443 22.559 –12.2 Palm oil (MYR/mt) MDEX 2527.00 -30.00 -1.17 2966.00 2390.00
–10 Yen s Denmark krone 0.1557 6.4231 –9.1 Crude oil ($/bbl.) NYMEX 46.61 0.38 0.82 58.36 42.29
Hungary forint 0.003784 264.24 –10.2 NY Harbor ULSD ($/gal.) NYMEX 1.5133 0.0093 0.62 1.8065 1.3703
Iceland krona 0.009482 105.46 –6.6 RBOB gasoline ($/gal.) NYMEX 1.5403 0.0144 0.94 1.8366 1.3805
–20 Norway krone 0.1240 8.0662 –6.7
0.2758 3.6260 –13.4
Natural gas ($/mmBtu) NYMEX 3.056 0.049 1.63 3.5490 2.8300
2016 2017 Poland zloty
Russia ruble-d 0.01693 59.084 –3.6 Brent crude ($/bbl.) ICE-EU 48.86 0.44 0.91 60.18 44.60
US$vs, US$vs,
YTDchg YTDchg Sweden krona 0.1208 8.2763 –9.1 Gas oil ($/ton) ICE-EU 447.25 -2.00 -0.45 532.25 405.50
Tue Tue
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Switzerland franc 1.0495 0.9528 –6.5
Turkey lira 0.2839 3.5219 –0.0 Sources: SIX Financial Information; WSJ Market Data Group
Americas Hong Kong dollar 0.1281 7.8049 0.6
Ukraine hryvnia 0.0386 25.9200 –4.3
Argentina peso-a 0.0587 17.0475 7.4
India rupee
Indonesia rupiah
0.0155
0.0000751
64.3400
13309
–5.3
–1.6
U.K. pound 1.3051 0.7662 –5.4 Cross rates London close on Jul 18
Brazil real 0.3168 3.1565 –3.0 Middle East/Africa
Japan yen 0.008939 111.86 –4.4
Canada dollar 0.7903 1.2654 –5.9 USD GBP CHF JPY HKD EUR CDN AUD
Kazakhstan tenge 0.003069 325.84 –2.4 Bahrain dinar 2.6515 0.3772 –0.01
Chile peso 0.001527 655.00 –2.2 Australia 1.2620 1.6472 1.3249 0.0113 0.1617 1.4614 0.9978 ...
Macau pataca 0.1246 8.0284 1.4 Egypt pound-a 0.0557 17.9510 –1.0
Colombia peso 0.0003321 3011.11 0.3 Canada 1.2654 1.6512 1.3278 0.0113 0.1621 1.4649 ... 1.0023
Malaysia ringgit-c 0.2333 4.2870 –4.4 Israel shekel 0.2805 3.5649 –7.4
Ecuador US dollar-f 1 1 unch
New Zealand dollar 0.7364 1.3580 –6.0 Kuwait dinar 3.3044 0.3026 –1.0 Euro 0.8637 1.1272 0.9065 0.0077 0.1107 ... 0.6826 0.6843
Mexico peso-a 0.0572 17.4978 –15.6
Pakistan rupee 0.0095 105.250 0.8 Oman sul rial 2.5970 0.3851 0.02 Hong Kong 7.8049 10.1847 8.1907 0.0698 ... 9.0370 6.1686 6.1839
Peru sol 0.3080 3.2470 –3.2
Philippines peso 0.0197 50.716 2.2 Qatar rial 0.2714 3.685 1.2 Japan 111.8640 146.0000 117.4000 ... 14.3330 129.5200 88.4200 88.6200
Uruguay peso-e 0.0349 28.620 –2.5
Singapore dollar 0.7321 1.3659 –5.6 Saudi Arabia riyal 0.2666 3.7503 –0.01 0.9528 1.2435 ... 0.0085 0.1221 1.1032 0.7531 0.7549
Venezuela bolivar 0.100060 9.99 –0.01 Switzerland
South Korea won 0.0008891 1124.79 –6.9 South Africa rand 0.0775 12.8999 –5.8
U.K. 0.7662 ... 0.8042 0.0068 0.0982 0.8872 0.6057 0.6071
Asia-Pacific Sri Lanka rupee 0.0065024 153.79 3.6 Close Net Chg % Chg YTD % Chg
0.7924 1.2620 –9.1 Taiwan dollar 0.03294 30.358 –6.5 U.S. ... 1.3051 1.0495 0.0089 0.1281 1.1579 0.7903 0.7924
Australia dollar WSJ Dollar Index 86.83 –0.54 –0.62 –6.57
China yuan 0.1482 6.7464 –2.9 Thailand baht 0.02977 33.590 –6.2 Sources: Tullett Prebon, WSJ Market Data Group Source: Tullett Prebon
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MARKETS
Investors Dig for Value as Market Rises
BY IRA IOSEBASHVILI
Bargain Hunting
Some investors are search- Investors are seeking out-of-favor assets at a time when many say the run-up in stocks and bonds has stretched valuations.
ing globally for out-of-favor as-
sets, concerned that a looming
Some are selling companies that have outperformed the market and buying shares of beaten-up retailers or auto makers.
wind down of central banks’ 12-month trailing price/earnings ratio
easy-money policies will hit
the markets’ top performers. 40 times
That goes beyond moving
money into less-loved areas of 35
the stock market, such as Alphabet (Google)
shares of auto makers or re- 30
tailers. Some are swapping
U.S. Treasurys for currencies 25
such as the Japanese yen or
Swiss franc, or betting on in- 20 S&P 500
vestments that will benefit if
inflation picks up again after a 15
yearslong hiatus.
For money managers, such Kohl’s
10
trades are a way to stay in-
vested while cutting exposure
5 General Motors
to assets they believe may have
become too expensive during
nearly a decade of ultraloose 0
monetary policy from the 2014 ’15 ’16 ’17
world’s central banks. Signals
that policy makers around the One popular valuation measure that seeks to S&P 500 firms appear richly valued by their Some say a junk-bond rally that has
world are preparing to dial filter out economic cycles is at its highest book value multiples, though some investors narrowed the yield premium over
back stimulus efforts amid evi- level since 2002. see bargains in energy. Treasurys makes stocks look less pricey.
dence of broad improvement in
the global economy sparked Cyclically Adjusted Price/Earnings (CAPE) ratio Price-to-book-value ratio*
selling in government bonds,
utilities shares and the U.S. 50 6 times 9 percentage points
dollar in recent weeks.
40 5
The yield on the benchmark
U.S. 10-year Treasury note is a 4 6
yardstick money managers use 30
to value other assets, so a 3 S&P 500
rapid climb in yields could rat- 20
tle other markets. At the same 2 3
time, the cyclically adjusted 10 1
price/earnings ratio for the S&P 500 energy sector
S&P 500, a popular metric pio- 0 0 0
neered by Nobel Prize-winning
2000 ’05 ’10 ’15 2000 ’05 ’10 ’15 2014 ’15 ’16 ’17
economist Robert Shiller,
*Book value is a measure of reported net worth.
shows valuations are at their Sources: FactSet (P/E ratio, book value); Robert Shiller (CAPE); Bloomberg Barclays (yield premium) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
highest levels since 2002.
“In 2009, you didn’t have to
dig too deep for value, once where yields remain near his- Other investors are mining Management LP, owns Gen- While GM has benefited that have performed more
you concluded the world toric lows despite the recent the stock market for compa- eral Motors, which traded last from a rise in U.S. auto sales modestly. “This hugely bifur-
wasn’t coming to an end,” said global bond selloff. Yields fall nies with shares trading at rel- week at 5.6 times its past 12 since the U.S. financial crisis, cated market is creating big
Adam Farstrup, head of mul- as bond prices rise. atively low multiples of earn- months of earnings, and re- some analysts said threats value,” Mr. Rudderow said.
tiasset product, Americas at Schroders has also cut posi- ings or book value, the total tailer Kohl’s, whose stock from rivals such as Tesla have Vadim Zlotnikov, chief mar-
Schroders. “Now…there are no tions in economically sensitive value of their assets outside price is down roughly 50% hurt its shares. Kohl’s shares ket strategist and co-head of
obvious places to hide.” stock sectors such as financials what they owe. The average from its 2015 high and was have been stung as retailers multiasset solutions at Alli-
To protect against sharp and increased allocations to S&P 500 stock now trades at trading around 11.7 times compete with e-commerce anceBernstein, is buying de-
declines in the stock market, shares of health-care compa- about 3.1 times book value, ac- earnings, according to FactSet. firms such as Amazon. rivatives that are linked to the
the firm prefers a basket of nies, which it believes have cording to FactSet, the highest By comparison, Amazon.com Mr. Rudderow believes mo- consumer-price index and
haven currencies such as the been depressed by months of multiple in a decade. was trading around 190.1 mentum will shift from tech- would rise in value if U.S. in-
Swiss franc and Japanese yen political wrangling over a re- Tim Rudderow, chief invest- times earnings, and Netflix, nology stocks that have led flation broke out of its
to U.S. government bonds, peal of the Affordable Care Act. ment officer at Mount Lucas 211.1 times earnings. markets higher to equities monthslong slump.
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
Why a Weaker Dollar Can Be a Source of Market Strength was quickly scuttled after
three Republican Senators
said on Tuesday that they
The pendulum has swung range it has been in since stead it is the eurozone that weaker dollar should add to would oppose such a mea-
a long way in the foreign-ex- the start of 2015 under the has delivered consistently On the Up the attraction of local-cur- sure.
change market. The dyna- influence of monetary-policy positive surprises on growth. Performance against the U.S. dollar rency emerging-market as- Yet congressional ap-
mism of the dollar at the divergence between Europe And it was Europe that was sets. The Mexican peso, Bra- proval may not be necessary
end of 2016 has given way to and the U.S. supposed to face political 10% zilian real and South African to frustrate investors.
Euro
enthusiasm for the euro. The transformation in the headaches. But it is the U.S. rand all have risen against Much of what the Senate
That shift could yet support relative fortunes of the dol- where the challenges are ris- 5 Pound the dollar in July. bill aim-ed to achieve also
appetite for riskier assets lar and euro in 2017 has ing The collapse of the Yen The important thing for can be accomplished admin-
such as emerging-market been remarkable. The focus health-care bill delivered a 0 risk appetite is the reason istratively, according to ana-
stocks and bonds. at the start of the year was fresh blow to the dollar. for dollar weakness. As long lysts at Hedgeye Risk Man-
The WSJ Dollar Index has on the U.S. Federal Reserve True, a lot of these factors as it reflects other parts of agement.
–5
now unwound the boost it and its efforts to raise inter- may now be in the euro-dol- the world, such as the euro- None of this means a bad
got from the election of Don- est rates. Now the European lar exchange rate. Europe 2017 zone, faring better than ex- outcome for investors is as-
ald Trump in November and Central Bank has stolen the faces a higher bar to provide Source: FactSet pected relative to the U.S., sured. But with the S&P
is down about 6.5% this year. spotlight as it tacks gently new positive surprises than THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. rather than fears for the U.S. Health Care Select Sector
The greenback’s key counter- away from ultraloose policy the U.S. A further sharp rise economy in particular, then Index up more than 15% so
part, the euro, is up close to settings. in the euro might cause Eu- yet be that the Fed raises emerging markets should far this year, it might not
10% in 2017. Early Tuesday, Hopes for growth were ropean policy makers to feel rates more than the market have continued support. be the worst idea for inves-
the euro rose above $1.15 for centered on U.S. spending the currency is doing the thinks is likely. Seen like that, a weaker dol- tors to hedge some bets to-
the first time since May and tax reform under the tightening work on its own. But the ramifications of lar is a source of strength. day.
2016, reaching the top of the Trump administration. In- Conversely, the risk might this shift are broad. A —Richard Barley —Charley Grant