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Wallstreetjournaleurope 20170504 The Wall Street Journal Europe
Wallstreetjournaleurope 20170504 The Wall Street Journal Europe
Wallstreetjournaleurope 20170504 The Wall Street Journal Europe
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World-Wide
World of Difference
More U.S. business schools are
reporting a drop in international
DRUG-PRICE FUROR PRODS INSIDE
May accused EU politi-
cians and officials of issu-
applications to full-time
two-year programs. B3
A PIONEER TO CASH OUT
AFP/GETTY IMAGES
tigated for seeking to over- Council (GMAC) Application Trends Survey employees have said they large clinical trials to test its
40
throw the government. A4 and the Association to Advance Collegiate now expect him to shut safety and effectiveness,
Schools of Business down the company. 30 which might have cost tens
The Fed held rates
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. His deflated ambition is a of millions of dollars, Mara-
steady and indicated it 20
sign of the increasingly hos- thon spent about $370,000
would stick with its plans
tile reaction to drug compa- 10 +8.35% to license data produced in
to proceed with gradual
rate increases this year. A5
nies that specialize in
sharply raising the prices of
earlier clinical trials.
It took only a month for
FED STAYS ON
The House passed a $1.1 Puerto Rico old medications. Mr. Aronin
0
’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 sticker shock to cascade into TRACK FOR
trillion spending bill that did that over and over again Note: Price changes are based on the Producer criticism from families of pa-
RATE RISES
funds the U.S. government
through September and
Bankruptcy for 15 years, most recently
after Marathon won ap-
Price Index. 2016 data are preliminary.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
tients with Duchenne muscu-
lar dystrophy, a rare and fa-
averts a shutdown. WSJ.com U.S. NEWS, A5
House Republicans are
Kicks Off proval in February to sell a THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Please see DRUGS page A8
working on changes to
their health-care bill, hop- A Showdown Fidget Spinners Confound Teachers,
Oracle #1
ing to bring the measure
up for a vote this week. A5
BY ANDREW SCURRIA
And...Sorry, I Got Distracted
FBI chief Comey de- Federal officials placed i i i
fended his decision to alert Puerto Rico under bankruptcy
Congress about a Clinton protection, setting up a show- Toy meant to help pupils focus spins out
email probe less than two
weeks before the election. A5
down with Wall Street firms
owed billions of dollars in the of control in classrooms; ‘mesmerizing’ SaaS Enterprise
Clinton took the blame for
her election defeat but said
largest-ever U.S. municipal
debt restructuring and further BY ANNE MARIE CHAKER in the palm. The user typically Applications Revenue
complicating the U.S. terri- pinches a fidget spinner at its
sexism, Russian interference
tory’s efforts to pull itself out Well-meaning adults de- central bearing, then sets it
and Comey’s letter helped
of a financial mess. cided a good prescription for spinning in a fast, smooth and
sink her candidacy. A5
A federal oversight board schoolchildren with attention oddly satisfying way—some-
Venezuela’s district at-
torney condemned state vio-
lence against protesters and
installed by Congress invoked
a special type of bankruptcy
that puts Puerto Rico’s stand-
issues was a toy that prom-
ised to divert nervous energy.
They called it the
times releasing it on its gyro-
scopic force like a classic top.
“It started with #1
praised the constitution. A4 off with creditors before a fed-
eral judge in San Juan.
“fidget spinner.”
What they never
two or three kids in
class,” Mr. Mosher
#2
CONTENTS Markets...................... B8 The decision marks the imagined is that says. “Now a third of
Business News...... B3 Middle Seat.......... A12
start to what could be a these spinners the class has them.”
Capital Account.... A2 Opinion.............. A10-11
lengthy legal fight as Wall would become hot His pupils used them
Oracle Salesforce
Crossword.............. A12 Technology............... B4
Finance & Mkts... B5,7 U.S. News............. A5-6 Street watches to see how items in American for a bit more than Cloud Cloud
Heard on Street.... B8 Weather................... A12 other indebted municipal gov- classrooms, and that Fidget spinner self-focus—showing 14.5% 12.4%
Life & Arts......... A9,12 World News....... A2-4
ernments may fare in confron- all the fidgeting them off, passing
€3.20; CHF5.50; £2.00; tations with investors. with them would someday them around, “holding it up
U.S. Military (Eur.) $2.20
Puerto Rico and its agencies create an epidemic of mass and letting it ‘tap-tap-tap’ to 1,000+ Employees Segment, 2015
owe $73 billion to creditors, distraction. a pencil.”
dwarfing the roughly $18 bil- Bill Mosher, a fifth-grade He wrote to parents saying
lion owed by Detroit when it teacher at Spring Hill Elemen- he supported the toys’ use if
entered what was previously tary in McLean, Va., says he it helped children focus on
the largest municipal bank- started seeing fidget spinners lessons. “We have had a few oracle.com/applications
ruptcy in 2013. The territory in class a few weeks ago, after instances already where Source: IDC “Worldwide SaaS Enterprise Applications Market Shares, 2015: The Top 15 by Buyer Size,”
s Copyright 2017 Dow Jones & racked up its tremendous debt spring break. these toys have become more doc #US41913816, Dec. 2016; Table 4. For the purposes of this report, SaaS enterprise applications include
the following application markets: CRM, engineering, ERP, operations and manufacturing, and SCM.
Company. All Rights Reserved
load during a decadelong re- They were flat two-headed of a distraction than an aid,” Copyright © 2017, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Please see DEBTS page A6 or three-headed tops that fit Please see FIDGET page A8
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A2 | Thursday, May 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
CAPITAL ACCOUNT | By Greg Ip
B
creases, expectations of ut the reversal rate, if 2008 ’10 ’12 ’14 ’16 2016 ’17 2016 ’17 the health of commercial
more, and confidence the it does exist, casts a *For nonfinancial businesses Sources: Riksbank; WSJ Market Data Group (bond yield, index) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. banks. Nonetheless, they
European Central Bank large shadow over the may need to keep the un-
won’t push rates further into future. Structural forces, fall found some evidence dropped, but not as much, found that in 2009 and 2010, usual dynamics that occur at
negative territory or expand such as weak productivity that they do. and their deposit rates, falling interest rates bol- low rates in mind.
bond buying. growth and a glut of global Precisely why is unclear, which were already at zero, stered bank profits, but from The longer the ECB keeps
That is the opposite of savings, likely mean central but the likeliest culprit is the barely fell at all. 2011 to 2014 they had the rates negative, the harder it
the usual relationship. Ris- banks will have to push rates impact on commercial banks. This also affects bank opposite effect. The BIS also will be for commercial banks
ing rates typically hurt close to zero more often They profit from the margin profits. A study by two Chi- looked at 108 global banks to recover.
banks by raising their cost than in the past. There may between what they charge cago Fed economists found and found that as interest For its part, the Fed,
of funds and damping de- be circumstances when this on loans and what they pay that lower interest rates rates drop, lending rises— which is debating when to
mand for loans. does more harm than good. depositors for the funds they tend to depress banks’ re- until rates reach very low start shrinking its balance
The inversion of this his- Standard economics says lend out. When central banks turns on assets. levels, when lending starts sheet, may want to consider
toric relationship is omi- that as interest rates drop, push their policy rates below That study did find that to shrink. the effect on banks. Selling
nous. It suggests that central they increase the demand for zero, commercial banks are this effect was more than some of its $4 trillion in
W
banks’ use of interest rates credit and investment, raise reluctant to impose that on offset by stronger loan hen interest rates bonds should push up long-
near or below zero to revive stock prices and thus wealth, their depositors by charging growth, more fee income and dropped to zero, term rates, which would re-
stagnant economies can and weaken the currency ex- them a negative rate on lower loan-loss provisions. central banks turn strain growth, but in the
backfire by undermining change rate, which is good their accounts. Moreover, the value of to another tool for stimulat- other direction it would
bank profits and capital and, for exports. For example, between banks’ bondholdings rises as ing demand: buying bonds, steepen the yield curve and
thus, their ability to lend. In theory, interest rates early 2015 and mid-2016 rates drop. which reduces long-term bolster banks’ incentives to
Two Princeton University shouldn’t lose their potency Sweden’s Riksbank pushed But those offsets may di- rates. This compresses the lend. That should provide
economists, Markus Brun- as they fall below zero. Yet a its policy rate from zero to minish over time. Research spread between long-term some comfort as the Fed
nermeier and Yann Koby, study presented at the Inter- minus 0.5%. Loan rates by by the Swiss-based Bank for and short-term interest slowly returns monetary pol-
have coined the term the national Monetary Fund last commercial banks also International Settlements rates, i.e. the yield curve. Be- icy to normal.
three key issues the EU wants nearly $100 million in dis- Advertising through Dow Jones Advertising
settled upfront in the Brexit closed compensation for 2016. U.S. taxpayers can itemize Sales: Hong Kong: 852-2831 2504; Singapore:
65-6415 4300; Tokyo: 81-3 6269-2701;
talks: EU citizens’ rights, a That brought his total payday deductions even if the total is Frankfurt: 49 69 29725390; London: 44 207
British payment to cover past to just shy of $157 million. A less than the standard deduc- 842 9600; Paris: 33 1 40 17 17 01;
New York: 1-212-659-2176
EU financial commitments Business & Finance article tion of $6,350 for individuals
Printers: France: POP La Courneuve; Germany:
and the status of the North- Wednesday incorrectly gave and $12,700 for married cou- Dogan Media Group/Hürriyet A.S. Branch; Italy:
ern Ireland border. They spe- the amount for the retirement ples filing jointly. A Page One Qualiprinters s.r.l.; United Kingdom: Newsprinters
(Broxbourne) Limited, Great Cambridge Road,
cifically avoid giving Mr. benefits and other pay as article in the Friday-Monday Waltham Cross, EN8 8DY
Barnier a mandate to discuss $66.3 million, and the article edition about a Trump admin-
GONG BING/XINHUA/ZUMA PRESS
WORLD NEWS
Top French Candidates Trade EU Barbs
BY WILLIAM HOROBIN
PARIS—Emmanuel Macron
and Marine Le Pen squared
off Wednesday in the only
live head-to-head debate of
the French presidential elec-
tion, pitting a staunch de-
fender of the European
Union against a nationalist
who wants to unravel it.
Seeking to close a 20-per-
centage-point gap in the polls
before Sunday’s vote, Ms. Le
Pen went on the offensive in
the prime-time show, saying
Mr. Macron, a former inves-
tor banker, is the candidate
of globalization.
“You are the France that
submits to European de-
mands,” Ms. Le Pen said.
For Mr. Macron, who is
running for elected office for
the first time, the debate was
a test of whether he can hold
his footing under pressure
from a battle-hardened Na-
tional Front candidate who
is tapping into deep resent-
ment of globalization and the
WORLD WATCH
Left and Far-Right Vie for German Workers MIDDLE EAST
BY ANTON TROIANOVSKI “We simply want to show that working-class voters forge new low 10% overall. the city council, he represents
we are normal people.” allegiances. In March, the But here in the Ruhr region, Essen’s hardscrabble north Trump, Abbas Meet
ESSEN, Germany—Guido A protester right behind Dutch Labor Party withered in dotted with the relics of coal end, where opposition to im- In Washington
Reil, a foreman in a coal mine him held aloft a sign: “Voting national elections, drawing mines and steel plants that migration is driving people
and longtime union member, AfD is so 1933.” less than 6% of the vote and once provided hundreds of away from the center-left. President Donald Trump met
has been marching on May Day In Germany, exit polls from coming in fourth. Last month, thousands of jobs, the center- “I want all this scum that’s with Palestinian leader Mah-
for better pay and working recent state elections show left is being challenged. washing up here to flow back moud Abbas, saying the U.S.
conditions for three decades. that working-class voters are On May 14, the Ruhr will out,” said one 61-year-old elec- would take part in the pursuit of
But as soon as he arrived at more likely than the rest of the vote in North Rhine-Westpha- trician who used to vote for peace between Israelis and Pal-
this week’s parade, dozens of population to vote for the AfD,
Disappointed blue- lia’s regional election, where the Social Democrats but now estinians and vowing, “We’ll get
fellow marchers surrounded mirroring the preferences of collar voters are Mr. Reil is a candidate. Ahead backs the AfD. “The foreigners it done.”
him to try to separate him their peers in America’s Rust of the vote, seen as a preview bother me. That’s it, really.” The meeting Wednesday
from the column, chanting Belt for President Donald
looking to forge new of the Sept. 24 national elec- Social Democratic officials was the first Mr. Trump has had
“Shut up!” and “Get out!” Trump and in France for na- political allegiances. tion, the AfD is targeting blue- acknowledge concern about with Mr. Abbas, although the
The reason: Mr. Reil, for tionalist Marine Le Pen. collar workers disappointed their working-class base drift- two have spoken previously. Mr.
years a member of the labor- “We must recognize that we with the center-left’s past sup- ing to the AfD but say they are Trump, standing alongside the
aligned Social Democrats, quit have AfD sympathizers and AfD port for pro-business reforms confident their chancellor can- Palestinian leader at the White
the party last year to join the voters in our own ranks in 39% of factory workers in and immigration. didate, former European Par- House, stressed that his admin-
anti-immigrant Alternative for rather large numbers,” said Al- France sided with Ms. Le Pen “He represents the interests liament President Martin istration wants to be involved as
Germany. As elections ap- fons Rüther, secretary for Essen in the first-round presidential of the little people rather than Schulz, will minimize those a mediator in talks but wouldn’t
proach here, he and others like of Germany’s main metalwork- election, compared with 21% of betraying them,” Mr. Reil’s losses. Mr. Schulz has pledged seek to impose a solution.
him are at the focal point of an ers union, IG Metall. “We aren’t all voters, according to pollster campaign poster says. to address “unfairness” in the Mr. Abbas said he favors a
intensifying battle between reaching them…. The fear of Ifop. Mr. Reil, a foreman in the economy and to fight “for the two-state solution, and com-
left and right for the votes of losing one’s job and the fear of For now the phenomenon region’s last operating coal Germany of the hardworking plained that the Palestinians are
the German working class. foreigners are more powerful.” has been more muted in Ger- mine, is at the forefront of the people rather than the Ger- the world’s only people living un-
“We do not want to pro- Much of the recent political many, with the Social Demo- AfD’s drive for working-class many of the self-appointed der occupation. Mr. Trump has
voke,” Mr. Reil said, referring upheaval in Western Europe crats—the traditional party of votes, having switched to the elites.” He promises improved said he would favor a two-state
to himself and a handful of has stemmed from the weak- the working class—still near party last year after 26 years retirement benefits and new solution if that were the out-
other AfD backers with him. ness of the center-left as 30% support and the AfD be- with the Social Democrats. In labor protections. come chosen by Israelis and Pal-
estinians as part of a settle-
ment.
Race Scraps a Descent Prize; Change Too Steep Under Mr. Trump, the U.S.
has smoothed strained ties in
the relationship with Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netan-
BY JOSHUA ROBINSON after he caught a guardrail on yahu, who visited Mr. Trump at
a descent while going more the White House in February.
The organizers of the Giro than 40 mph. And in 2015, Do- —Carol E. Lee
d’Italia, one of the most fa- menico Pozzovivo had to quit
mous bike races in the world, the race after a gruesome EUROPEAN UNION
have always known that keep- crash while aggressively
ing fans interested for all rounding a corner. Bloc Won’t Require
three weeks can be tricky. So Giro organizers knew from Visas of Americans
for more than 80 years, they the start that the award would
have included secondary be a tricky sell, according to a The EU won’t impose visas
prizes to spice up the action. person familiar with their on American travelers in retalia-
Like the Tour de France, the thinking. tion for the U.S. continuing to
Giro crowns the best climber, That is why it was intro- exclude five EU countries from
the fiercest sprinter and the duced without a major an- its no-visa program, the bloc’s
TIM DE WAELE/CORBIS/GETTY IMAGES
WORLD NEWS
MINGJING NEWS
sought to stave off pressure
from Beijing on its nuclear and publications, the People’s Daily U.S.,” and that China was exer- the North Korean weapons
missile programs. and the Global Times, that ap- cising “big-power chauvinism” programs, citing the two coun-
“China should no longer try parently alluded to the possi- that meant “the dignity and tries’ close economic and his-
to test the limits of the DPRK’s bility of Beijing confronting vital rights of the DPRK should torical ties. Beijing in return Guo Wengui appears in an online interview with Mingjing News.
patience,” North Korea said in North Korea militarily, or end- be sacrificed for the interests has said its leverage is limited
Maduro wants to eliminate. official, particularly one like ernment as a legal adviser for abuses and corruption.
Attorney General Luisa Or- Ms. Ortega, who has long when he won the presidency Many of Ms. Ortega’s critics
tega’s comments to The Wall drawn the ire of rights groups and redrafted the constitution say she is looking to clean up
Street Journal, in a rare inter- for using what they considered in 1999 and has since married her image in case of a change
view, appeared to confirm her kangaroo courts to lock away a ruling party lawmaker. of government in Caracas. “I
break with the hard-line leftist political foes and for allegedly A pocket-size copy of the don’t trust her. She can’t just
regime, which expects unques- helping the government bury Chief prosecutor Luisa Ortega speaking to the media last month. constitution adorns her other- change her mask that easily,”
tioned loyalty as it wrestles charges of rampant corruption. wise bare desk, and her gov- said street protester Marta
with a growing surge of public The government appears to While Mr. Maduro has in- and due process guaranteed, ernment office is devoid of im- Corrales at a recent rally.
unrest. be trying to shunt her aside in tensified the government’s complaining of hundreds of ar- ages of Mr. Maduro. “This Others say her intentions
With the oil-rich nation en- the face of her displays of inde- crackdown on protests and bitrary detentions by National constitution is unbeatable,” are sincere. In a polarized na-
trenched in a punishing eco- pendence. Her speeches no lon- civil unrest that have cost at Guard and intelligence police. Ms. Ortega said. “This is tion, said Nizar El Fakih, a
nomic crisis and a bitter power ger get live coverage from state least 31 lives in recent weeks, Her comments undercut the Chávez’s constitution.” lawyer who has defended a
struggle between the govern- TV, she has lost her bodyguards Ms. Ortega has denounced the government’s argument that That same constitution is host of high-profile Venezue-
ment and the opposition, Ms. and the Maduro government use of armed civilian groups the street violence embroiling what Mr. Maduro now says lan political prisoners. “she’s
Ortega’s carefully couched crit- has ramped up the use of mili- that do the government’s bid- the nation stems exclusively needs redoing. Rights groups trying to carve out a third
icisms of Mr. Maduro’s slide tary tribunals to circumvent ding. She has urged that the from right-wing agitators. have slammed that initiative way, looking for a way to sep-
into authoritarianism have the public prosecutor’s office. right of protest be respected “We can’t demand peaceful as the unpopular leader’s last- arate herself from Maduro.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, May 4, 2017 | A5
U.S. NEWS
Health-Bill Changes Lure Holdouts Fed Stays
On Track
New amendment adds view Wednesday. “That would
$8 billion over five
years to offset costs
be like my saying for you to
take the train to New York, I’m
going to give you $3.”
For 2 Rate
for high-risk patients
Sen. Chuck Schumer of New
York, the chamber’s Democratic
leader, said, “The proposed Up-
Increases
WASHINGTON—House Re- ton amendment is like adminis- BY NICK TIMIRAOS
publicans are working on al- tering cough medicine to some-
Mr. Flynn for his resignation. hour questions about her Trump’s failure to repeal Pres- said. “I was the candidate. I
The general outlines of Ms. email practices combined to ident Barack Obama’s Afford- was the person who was on
Yates’ account have been re- sink her candidacy. able Care Act, Mrs. Clinton the ballot.”
ported, but Monday will be the The former first lady and said that she, by contrast, Still, Mrs. Clinton said her
first time she airs her version secretary of state described “wasn’t going to appeal to campaign was ultimately un-
of events in public. herself to an interviewer on people’s emotions in the same done by outside forces. She
Ms. Yates, who couldn’t be Tuesday at the Women for way my opponent did, which I said she was “on the way to
reached for comment on Women International confer- think is frankly what is getting winning” until the campaign
Wednesday, has been called to ence in New York as a “citi- him into all kinds of difficul- was upended by Mr. Comey’s Hillary Clinton said misogyny was a factor in the election.
testify at a Monday hearing of zen” who is now “part of the ties now in trying to fulfill actions and other develop-
the Senate Judiciary Commit- resistance” arrayed against those promises he made.” ments she deemed unfair. The dent Vladimir Putin, Mrs. Clin- hurt me and help my oppo-
tee’s subcommittee on crime President Donald Trump. Since the campaign, Mrs. FBI declined to comment on ton said he “certainly inter- nent.” Mr. Putin on Tues-
and terrorism, headed by Sen. Mrs. Clinton took a few Clinton has been selective in Mrs. Clinton’s assertion. fered in our election, and it day denied his government
Lindsey Graham (R., S.C.). swipes at Mr. Trump, who won her public appearances. She Referring to Russian Presi- was clear that he interfered to meddled in the race.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A6 | Thursday, May 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
Hotel California
Inspires a Lawsuit,
But Not a Hit Song
Eagles say band never visited Mexico
getaway, sue over trademark rights
BY JACOB GERSHMAN and, among other things,
served as the inspiration for
The hotel has been de- the lyrics in ‘Hotel Califor-
scribed as a “lovely place” to nia,’ which is false,” states
stay the night. And there is the complaint.
plenty of room—provided Representatives for Hotel
you make a reservation California weren’t available
weeks in advance. to comment on Tuesday.
For years, the Hotel Cali- The hotel’s marketing ma- PAUL NATKIN/GETTY IMAGES
fornia in the sleepy coastal terials are coy about its Ea-
getaway of Todos Santos, gles ties. “Many visitors are
Mexico, has reminded people mesmerized by the ‘coinci-
of the indelible Eagles song dences’ between the lyrics of
that shares its name. And for the hit song and the physi-
years, the Eagles have de- cality of the hotel and its
nied that the sunset-hued surroundings,” its website The Eagles, performing with Jackson Browne (second from left) in 1979 in Chicago, say a Baja hotel is cashing in on their 1976 hit.
boutique property has any says. But there is also a dis-
connection to their 1976 claimer saying its owners modeled it and resurrected foot in that hotel,” the lawsuit on merchandise the tune is played through-
soft-rock hit. don’t “have any affiliation the original Hotel Califor- band’s manager told The sales, alleging the hotel is out the hotel.
But this week, the Eagles with the Eagles, nor do they nia name. Wall Street Journal in a hawking memorabilia that The lawsuit comes more
sued the operators of the promote any association.” The lawsuit filed Monday 2001 interview. trades on the song’s en- than a year after the Mexi-
hotel in Los Angeles federal Hotel California opened in alleges that some hotel The Todos Santos estab- trenched familiarity. can hotel sought a “Hotel
court, accusing them and the Baja peninsula in 1950, guests really believe they lishment isn’t the only Ho- The band claims rights California” trademark cover-
others of unlawfully cashing more than a quarter-century are sleeping in music his- tel California in operation. over merchandise bearing ing jewelry, bedsheets and
in on their song and in- before the Eagles song per- tory. “THE Hotel California There is a hotel by that the song title, including T- clothing. Last year, the Ea-
fringing on the band’s vaded pop culture. The suit of Eagles fame,” reads one name in Santa Monica, Ca- shirts, posters, bathrobes, gles objected to the registra-
trademark rights. alleges it was later known as TripAdvisor review cited in lif., too. But the Eagles key chains, playing cards, tion in a filing with the U.S.
The hotel leads “U.S. con- Todos Santos Hotel. an exhibit accompanying don’t have trademark rights mugs, guitar picks and re- Patent and Trademark Office.
sumers to believe that [it] is In 2001, a Canadian cou- the complaint. over hotel names. So they frigerator magnets. Those proceedings are cur-
associated with the Eagles ple bought the hotel, re- “No Eagle has ever set are basing much of their The lawsuit also alleges rently on hold.
U.S. WATCH
DEBTS Reckoning Approaches
Puerto Rico general-obligation bond prices have tumbled in recent
years as the island’s fiscal straits grew more dire. Investors are
tors for the next decade, less
than a quarter of what they
are owed. Creditors called it a
slap in the face, saying the ECONOMY sonnel were conducting water
Continued from page A1 now bracing for a long-awaited restructuring. board wasn’t trying in good rescues in the town of Pocahon-
cession, beginning when tax faith to reach a consensus. Service-Sector Activity tas in northeast Arkansas, where
100 cents per dollar of par value
credits that had built up its The Title III request, while Accelerated in April a levee had been breached and
manufacturing base expired. unprecedented, isn’t unex- floodwaters were rising.
Hedge-fund creditors 90 pected. U.S. service-sector activity ac- Rivers were still cresting in
holding defaulted general-ob- The board has signaled in celerated in April, a sign of mo- Missouri, where officials had
ligation bonds were on the Puerto Rico
negotiations that it wouldn’t mentum for a broad swath of closed Interstate 44 near St. Louis
verge of a consensual agree- 80 Federal plan slashes consider paying creditors the economy heading into the and volunteers were busy topping
sells its Puerto Rico’s debt
ment Tuesday before the last general payment by a third. more than the plan allowed, second quarter of the year. levees with sandbags to keep the
oversight board intervened obligation bond. according to people familiar The Institute for Supply Man- swollen rivers from pouring into
to stop negotiations, accord- 70 with the matter. agement on Wednesday said its cities along the Meramec River.
Congress creates
ing to people familiar with restructuring process
A legal stay protecting index of nonmanufacturing activ- More rain began to fall on
the matter. for Puerto Rico. Puerto Rico from lawsuits ex- ity—which tracks industries in- Wednesday, with up to four more
60
The slide into bankruptcy pired Monday night. cluding health care, finance, agri- inches forecast, and the three
marks a new low in Wall 2014 ’15 ’16 ’17 The board is pushing a culture and construction—rose to states were bracing for additional
Street’s relations with Gov. Ri- Source: Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. combination of debt restruc- 57.5 in April from 55.2 in March. river crests and flooding.
cardo Rosselló, a newcomer turing and spending cuts in a A number above 50 indicates ex- —Kris Maher
who pledged as a candidate to Puerto Rico, such as spiraling bid to revive an economy pansion. Economic activity in the
repay the territory’s debts, pension obligations and out- scarred by a 45% poverty rate nonmanufacturing sector grew EMPLOYMENT
shrink the government and dated infrastructure. and a population decline. for the 88th consecutive month.
strengthen ties with the U.S. But the strain is acute in Puerto Rico, the board de- One dark spot was the em- ADP Reports Rise
Creditors clashed with the Puerto Rico, where retired cided last week, will raise wa- ployment index, which declined In Private Payrolls
previous administration of teachers and police in Puerto ter rates on consumers, liqui- to 51.4 from 51.6. The Labor De-
Alejandro Garcia Padilla but Rico don’t participate in Social date its decades-old industrial partment will release payrolls Private U.S. employers contin-
saw Gov. Rosselló as a likely Security, making big cuts to development bank and seek data for April on Friday. ued to hire solidly in April, but
ally in their fight to be repaid, pensions a virtual impossibil- concessions from creditors of “Despite this report, we con- the growth slowed from recent
CARLOS GIUSTI/ASSOCIATED PRESS
said Chas Tyson, vice presi- ity. additional government agen- tinue to expect a bounce-back in months as the economy returns
dent at Keefe, Bruyette & The action by the board, cies. services employment growth in to full employment.
Woods Inc. “Now it seems like which creditors lobbied Con- But the governor remains in the April employment report, a Firms across the country
the honeymoon’s over,” Mr. gress to create, could mean a difficult position, trying to source of data we believe gives added 177,000 workers to their
Tyson said. deeper losses on bonds than balance fiscal belt-tightening a superior read on service-sector ranks last month, according to
Puerto Rico’s day of reckon- investors and analysts have with the demands of residents activity,” Rob Martin of Barclays payroll processor Automatic
ing has been years in the mak- anticipated. Puerto Rico will and placating the federal over- said in a note to clients. Data Processing Inc. and fore-
ing. face off against angry hedge sight board while campaigning —Sarah Chaney casting firm Moody’s Analytics.
For more than a decade, funds, mutual funds and bond for U.S. statehood ahead of a and Jeffrey Sparshott Economists surveyed by The
the government and its munic- insurers in the court-super- Puerto Rico Gov. Ricardo Rosselló plebiscite on Puerto Rico’s po- Wall Street Journal expected an
ipal corporations borrowed vised proceeding known as Ti- litical status. WEATHER increase of 175,000. Mark Zandi,
more to buy time to stave off tle III, a legal mechanism cre- Any write-downs also Creditors, meanwhile, are chief economist of Moody’s Ana-
deeper economic overhauls. ated by Congress to would impact bond insurers likely to dispute whether Rain-Soaked Middle lytics, said job growth slowed
With government payrolls restructure debts by force Assured Guaranty Ltd., MBIA Puerto Rico has met the legal States Brace for More primarily due to a pullback in
down over the past decade, when negotiations break Inc. and Ambac Financial requirements to invoke Title construction and retail jobs.
pension funds have fewer down. Group, which have guaranteed III when the board spent less Several Midwestern states March’s jobs gain, initially re-
workers contributing and are An initial round of restruc- billions of dollars of Puerto than a month negotiating to were bracing for more rain after ported at 263,000, was cut to
now underfunded by an esti- turing talks failed to deliver Rico’s bonds. restructure a complex pile of days of heavy storms caused at 255,000. The ADP report is
mated $45 billion. an accord between creditors, Negotiations revolved claims, people familiar with least 12 deaths and swamped based on private payroll data in
State and local govern- including rival groups of around a board-approved fis- the matter said. towns and shut highways in parts addition to lagged-behind gov-
ments across the U.S. face hedge funds who are battling cal plan that allocates about —Matthieu Wirz of Missouri, Arkansas and Illinois. ernment data.
some of the same pressures as for priority. $787 million a year to credi- contributed to this article. On Wednesday, emergency per- —Imani Moise
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, May 4, 2017 | A7
TECH’S MOST
AMBITIOUS MINDS,
ON STAGE AND
ON THE RECORD.
JUNE 8–9, 2017
HONG KONG & SHENZHEN
The Wall Street Journal’s premier technology event is coming to Asia for the first time.
D.LIVE Asia will assemble an elite group of global executives, founders and innovators
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The exciting Hong Kong program features CEOs and founders of some of the most
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A8 | Thursday, May 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
IN DEPTH
FIDGET “mesmerizing.”
She was at a friend’s house
recently when one came in the
mail. “She started spinning it,
that gives spinners a bad
name. Fidget spinners are on
this week’s faculty-meeting
agenda at Newtown Friends
Minico, chief executive.
One of her suppliers is Top
Trenz Inc., a Bay Shore, N.Y.,
manufacturer and distributor
Continued from Page One and I thought it was awe- School in Newtown, Pa., says of leggings, hair accessories
he wrote, warning he might some.” At school, groups of Sarah Hensley, who teaches and socks for teenage girls. Its
have to “temporarily confis- children gathered to watch seventh- and eighth-grade spinners, made in China, are
cate the toys.” spinning sessions. English there. patterned with designs such
Fidget spinners have in When Avery sought one of Ms. Hensley says the school as gumballs and sprinkles.
short order become school- her own, “every store was out has long let students use “We get about 200 orders per
yard currency, traded among of it,” she says, which added stress balls and other devices hour,” says Jamie Glassberg,
students seeking them in their to the allure. She finally to help with attention issues co-partner.
various colors and patterns— found a glow-in-the-dark vari- or anxiety. But many students Playing with them is “like
WONDER WORKS TOYS
after they scour store shelves ety at a local T-shirt store. say they play with fidget spin- smoking cigarettes.” he says.
for them. “Sometimes I balance it on ners in class for fun, she says, “You just want to play with it
“Yesterday I received 72 of my head.” not to help concentrate. and it gives you a relaxed,
them and when school let out At school, she plays with “This new style of fidget soothing feeling.”
I felt like Willy Wonka in the spinners only during recess, toys,” she says, “really falls At Toys “R” Us, spinners
chocolate factory,” says Tony she says. She heard one into a gray area.” are “landing right now” at the
Windle, owner of T.W. Bon- teacher banned them from The spinners are part of a A group of fidget spinners at Wonder Works toy stores. giant retailer, says Richard
kers, a toy store in Placerville, class. broader category of toys Barry, global chief merchan-
Calif. “Kids lined up in my It isn’t clear how the fidget meant to offer focus, including that some students become anybody would pay $20 for dising officer. “While the
store. One kid was so excited spinner came to life. The idea “fidget cubes,” “thinking completely focused on them. these.” They sold in two days. trend is hot,” he says, “we are
he was shaking.” is widely credited to an ex- putty” and “fidget controllers” The American pupil’s desire “I have been through super focused on making sure
The gadgets, small enough pired 1997 patent describing with buttons and switches. to fidget with them spun up Beanie Babies, Webkinz, Silly the product we are getting is
to sneak into a pocket and “a toy which is spun on the The spinning “can be very so quickly as to make retailers Bandz and Rainbow Looms,” coming from the best, most
costing $5 to $25 or more, finger for the amusement of stimulating, very captivating,” like Rob Placer dizzy. says Christine Osborne, owner reputable sources and tested
started as tools learning spe- children and adults.” Manufac- says Jacqueline Sperling, re- “Seven weeks ago, we of Wonder Works chain of toy through our robust safety
cialists and school counselors turers have been feverishly search director at the McLean started getting three or four stores in Charleston, S.C. standards.”
prescribed for children to help filling orders. Anxiety Mastery Program in calls a day for fidget spin- “We’ve never seen a craze hit Avery’s father, Jason Gour-
them focus their fidgeting en- Children began posting vid- Cambridge, Mass. ners,” says Mr. Placer, owner this quick, this fast.” vitz, says he would rather his
ergy on a sideline activity, al- eos of themselves doing tricks Such tools, she says, when of Family Fun Hobbies in Revenues from fidget spin- daughter played with a fidget
lowing them—the argument with spinning spinners— geared to students with atten- Hamilton, N.J. “I had no idea ners totaled $2.6 million in spinner than her cellphone.
went—to keep eyes on the catching them midair, tossing tion deficit or anxiety, can what they were.” April, up from $300,000 the “She is texting and Instagram-
teacher. them hand-to-hand and bal- provide brain stimulation to He found three suppliers, month before, at Learning ming and watching other peo-
Avery Gourvitz, an 11- ancing them on noses. help focus or a soothing outlet and the first batch of 24 spin- Express Inc., a franchise ple’s blogs and that kind of
year-old fifth-grader in Liv- Which is the kind of activ- for excess energy. The prob- ners came April 4. “My man- chain of 120 toy stores na- nonsense,” he says. “I prefer
ingston, N.J., calls them ity, done in the classroom, lem with spinners, she says, is ager thought it was crazy that tionwide, says Sharon Di- an analog toy to a digital toy.”
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, May 4, 2017 | A9
LIFE&ARTS
a cosmic being named Ego—not
Anton Ego the carnivorous food
critic from “Ratatouille” but just
plain Ego, played by Kurt Rus-
sell—announces himself to be Pe-
ter’s father, and not just his fa-
FILM REVIEW | By Joe Morgenstern ther but the father that Peter’s
human mother would have wanted
him to be. This leads quickly to a
BICYCLING
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK
Climate Editors
Keeping Greece Afloat Have a Meltdown
I
n a year filled with European elections, no 3.5%, or somewhere in between—and whether
one wants another debt crisis—even if this Greece’s debt should be forgiven or restruc- I’ll admit it: I would the beat’s originators are mostly gone.
have found it fasci- The job has passed into hands of re-
requires pretending that Greek politicians tured more than it already has been.
nating to be party to porters who don’t even bother to feign
will implement pro-growth re- Investors know these argu- the discussions ear- interest in science—who think the
forms they’ve repeatedly Athens and its creditors ments don’t matter unless lier this year that led magic word “consensus” is all the sup-
shunned. move to avoid a debt Greece begins making itself an to oscillating head- port they need for any climate claim
That’s the meaning of this attractive place to do busi- lines on the New York they care to make.
week’s tentative agreement crisis before elections. ness. Greece hasn’t been able BUSINESS
Times home page re- Take Inside Climate News, an online
WORLD
between Greece’s creditors to tap bond markets since By Holman W.
ferring to the new publication, lately accruing degraded
and Prime Minister Alexis Prime Minister Tsipras’s far- EPA chief Scott Pruitt journalism prizes, whose title echoes a
Jenkins, Jr.
Tsipras’s government. Though the details aren’t left Syriza Party won power in January 2015. alternately as a “de- successful series of specialist newslet-
public, Athens has agreed to make certain re- A government that wants to reinstate collective nier” or “skeptic.” At ters like Inside EPA and Inside the
forms in exchange for an approximately €7 bil- bargaining to make it harder to hire and fire least it would have been fascinating Pentagon that charge fancy prices for
for 20 minutes. detailed, crunchy, reliable information
lion disbursement from a 2015 bailout package workers isn’t serious about reform.
Ditto the hysterical discussions un- about the U.S. government.
so Greece can meet July debt repayments. Tuesday’s deal doesn’t require Greece to doubtedly now arising from an ano- Inside Climate News might sound
We’re told the pact includes lowering the in- start to meet its new pension and tax commit- dyne piece of climate heterodoxy by like it’s doing the same but it isn’t.
dividual income-tax threshold, more pension ments until 2019, a year after its current bailout the paper’s newest columnist, a former Search its website and the term “cli-
payment cuts, the sale of 40% of the national expires. Athens also secured a provision to dole Journal colleague who shall remain mate sensitivity,” the central preoccu-
power company, the transfer of other assets to out rent subsidies, child support and other nameless, in which he advises, some- pation of climate science, appears zero
a privatization agency (with no guarantees any- goodies if it meets certain fiscal targets. By the what obscurely, less “certainty” about times. Any reporter who is truly curi-
thing will actually be sold), and minor labor way, Greece’s debt is 179% of GDP and growth “data.” ous about what scientists know and
market reforms, such as allowing more shops this year is projected at an anemic 1.5%. Whether or not this represents how they know it would not be work-
to open on Sundays. This is supposed to reduce But the details matter far less than the poli- progress in how the U.S. media cover ing there. Asking such questions would
the climate debate, a trip down mem- only get him or her suspected of deni-
the deficit by 2% of GDP. tics of timing. Prime Minister Tzipras, with a
ory lane seems called for. In the 1980s, alism.
Implicit here is the idea that balancing the slim parliamentary majority and facing a 2019 when climate alarms were first being
fisc with tax hikes, spending cuts and regula- election, wants to avoid a July default and Ger- widely sounded, reporters understood
tory tinkering is more important than institut- many wants to avoid a debt crisis before its own the speculative basis of computer How did science reporting
ing reforms that will stimulate the economic September election. Tuesday’s deal must be ap- models. We all said to ourselves: Well,
growth Greece needs, and which is the coun- proved by the Greek parliament and eurozone in 30 years we’ll certainly have the
get so detached from the
try’s only hope of escaping its debt trap. Ger- finance ministers before money can be dis- data to know for sure which model underlying science?
many, the Netherlands and other European persed. Assuming the parties agree before forecasts are valid.
Union creditors nonetheless continue to haggle Greece defaults, the one certainty is that Greece Thirty years later, the data haven’t
with the International Monetary Fund over and its creditors will be back at the same stand answered the question. The 2014 re- But not even the EPA’s Mr. Pruitt or
whether Greece’s fiscal surplus should be 1.5%, a year from now. port of the Intergovernmental Panel on the New York Times’s newest recruit
Climate Change, voice of climate or- exhibits the ill grace to phrase the “so
thodoxy, is cited for its claim, with what” question.
B
between 1951 and 2010. tivity is causing some measure of cli-
ritain’s media establishment is having consumer spending, but there are conflicting Look closely. This is an estimate of mate change if voters and politicians
fun lampooning Prime Minister The- signals. Manufacturing expanded a mere 0.5% the reliability of an estimate. It lacks are unwilling to assume the costs
resa May’s repeated promise of “strong in the three months to March 31, down from the most important conjunction in sci- (possibly hugely disproportionate to
and stable leadership” as she 1.2% in the fourth quarter, ence: “because”—as in “We believe X any benefit) of altering the outcome of
campaigns ahead of a na- The British economy while a new purchasing man- because of Y.” the normal evolution of energy mar-
tional election in June. But ager’s index released Tuesday Not that the IPCC fails to offer a kets and energy technology.
the latest numbers under-
is slowing amid indicates stronger growth. As “because” in footnotes. It turns out Even liberals have noticed that cli-
Brexit uncertainty. this estimate is largely an estimate of mate advocacy has morphed into a re-
score that her biggest prob- Japan has long demonstrated,
how much man-made warming should ligion, unwilling to deal honestly with
lem is a weakening economy. currency depreciation isn’t have taken place if the models used to uncertainty or questions of cost and
The Office for National the key to economic competi- forecast future warming are broadly benefit. Climate apoplexy, like many
Statistics reported Friday that British growth tiveness and rising prosperity. That requires correct. single-issue obsessions, is now a form
in the first quarter decelerated to 0.3% from supply-side policies that boost investment and The IPCC has a bad reputation of entertainment for exercised minori-
0.7% the prior quarter, the worst performance labor productivity. among conservatives for some of its ties, allowing them to vent personal
in a year. On an annual basis growth slowed Little of this appears to be on the Prime press-release activities, but the reports qualities that in most contexts they
to 1.2% from 2.7%, which is a rate only a conti- Minister’s agenda even as difficult Brexit ne- themselves are basically numbing tes- would be required to suppress.
nental European could love. The slowdown gotiations make such policies more impor- timonies to how seriously scientists Whether apocryphal or even a joke,
was particularly pronounced tant. On Sunday she promised not to raise take their work. “If our models are re- who did not delight in the story of
in service industries sensi- liable, then X is true” is a perfectly “Zach,” the young Democratic staffer
Britain’s 20% value-added tax, but she left
valid scientific statement. Only leaving who supposedly stormed out of a post-
tive to consumer spending, open the possibility of raising other taxes. out the prefix, as the media routinely election meeting after cursing the
such as retail. She’s said little about paring back Britain’s does, makes it deceptive. party’s incompetent elders because,
As in the United States regulatory state or reforming the National We don’t know what the IPCC’s next thanks to Hillary Clinton’s defeat, “I’m
and other developed coun- Health Service. Her government has also assessment report, due in 2021, will going to die from climate change.”
tries, consumption powers floated energy price controls as a sop to be- say on this vital point, known as cli- For the record, Zach, an estimate
much of the British economy. leaguered consumers. mate sensitivity. But in 2013 it wid- recently touted by the Washington
The pound has depreciated Mrs. May’s approach has opened up the ened the range of uncertainty, and in Post precisely because it was five or
since Britons voted to leave Tory Party to criticism that its economic the direction of less warming. Its cur- 10 times worse than previous esti-
the European Union in June, stewardship represents a “threat to living rent estimate is now identical to that mates had this to say about the conse-
raising import prices and standards,” as the Labor Party’s shadow of the 1979 Charney Report. On the quences of climate change. If unad-
key question, then, there has been no dressed, they would reduce economic
helping to fuel inflation, Theresa May chancellor John McDonnell recently put it.
progress in 38 years. growth by one-fifth over the next 85
which hit 2.3% in March. Mrs. May is lucky that Labour’s prescriptions For journalists, the climate beat has years.
Prices are rising faster than wages, squeezing for higher taxes, more spending and more been singularly unrewarding. It has In other words, under the worst
disposable income. The British Bankers Asso- regulation would be worse, and the Tories consisted of waiting for an answer scenario, Zach’s grandchildren’s world
ciation recently reported a dip in consumer have a large lead in the election polls. But that doesn’t come. By now, thanks to would be only nine times richer than
borrowing, a further signal that Britons are Mrs. May’s main political vulnerability is retirements and the mortality tables, ours today.
tightening their belts. slow growth amid the uncertainty of Brexit,
Keynesians claim the falling pound will and her election manifesto needs proposals
boost exports and compensate for reduced to do better.
James Buchanan Was
Not Draining the Swamp No Andrew Jackson
R
epublicans and Democrats are jousting $45 million to fund three more years of Wash- By James S. Robbins ory still had been in charge. As the
over who won the battle over this ington, D.C.’s popular school voucher program,
P
crisis broke, the pro-Union Louisville
week’s omnibus spending bill, and we’ll as well as money for western wildfire fighting resident Trump delved into (Ky.) Journal asked: “Will James Bu-
give the call to Democrats be- and disaster-related repairs speculative history this week chanan, who occupies the chair of
cause they fought to a draw The latest U.S. budget at NASA. when he asserted that “had An- Andrew Jackson, emulate the energy
while in the minority. Repub- drew Jackson been a little bit later of the great Tennessean, or will he
licans will be hard pressed to
deal is mostly a win for outConversely, the bill zeroes
dollars to the interna- you wouldn’t have had the Civil War.” like a craven, cower before . . . the
use the power of the purse to government as usual. tional Green Climate Fund Mr. Trump’s critics pounced, calling mad antics of those over excited fa-
his conjecture puzzling, ignorant and natics?” Unfortunately, we know the
set priorities until they re- (set up as part of the Paris
bizarre. But the president has a answer.
turn to regular budget order. climate accord), and it re- point. Buchanan’s secretary of state, Lewis
The $1 trillion agreement to fund the gov- scinds, consolidates or terminates more than President Jackson’s able handling Cass, had a front-row seat for both
ernment through the end of this fiscal year on 150 federal programs or initiatives, including of the Nullification Crisis in 1832-33 crises. A former Army general, Cass
Sept. 30 is essentially a modest trade: Republi- such high priorities as the Christopher Co- was a common topic of discussion was Jackson’s secretary of war during
cans got a boost in defense spending and a few lumbus Fellowship Foundation or the Na- when South Carolina seceded from the Nullification Crisis and oversaw
policy riders, while Democrats got money for tional Foreclosure Mitigation Counseling Pro- the U.S. in December 1860. Jackson, military preparations in case things
some domestic priorities. The agreement pro- gram. The bill cuts $81 million from the through a combination of threats and
vides $15 billion in supplemental defense Environmental Protection Agency, returning persuasion, had convinced South Car-
spending, which is overdue, even if that is only it to 2009 levels. olina to retract a law that purport- Trump has a point about Old
half of President Trump’s military request. The The bill also continues the GOP deregula- edly allowed the state to nullify fed-
eral laws—in particular protective Hickory and the Civil War.
deal does not include Mr. Trump’s proposed tion drive. In particular, the bill forbids the IRS
tariffs. The New York Times noted in
cuts to the federal bureaucracy. from spending to issue regulations that would 1860 that those who had been alive
Republicans are right that the bill finally change political standards for nonprofit social- then “cannot fail to be impressed went south in South Carolina. In 1860
breaks the Obama-era rule that every defense welfare organizations, and it bars the Securi- with the various points in common, he advised Buchanan to do exactly
dollar be matched by a domestic-spending dol- ties and Exchange Commission from issuing and points of contrast, between the what Jackson had readied to do: beef
lar. Mr. Obama held the military hostage to his rules that require corporations to disclose po- events of that period and those of the up the presence of federal troops,
domestic agenda, and some Democrats wanted litical contributions. It also ends the federal present day.” move customs collection to the off-
this damaging parity to continue as a price of attempt to regulate lead in ammunition or The critical contrast was the man shore forts, and send in warships to
their votes in the Senate. The GOP made clear fishing tackle—a particular sore point with in the White House. Jackson was a make the point. After Buchanan re-
this was a nonstarter, which is at least a down hunters and rural Americans. daring military hero and frontiers- jected his counsel, Cass resigned
payment against military decline. Republicans could accomplish more if they man, brave and indomitable. When rather than see the Union dissolve on
South Carolina fomented the Nullifi- his watch. He probably wished he had
Democrats are crowing that they killed were united, but too many conservative mem-
cation Crisis mere weeks after his his old boss back.
scores of Republican policy and spending “poi- bers refuse to vote for any spending bills. This landslide re-election, Jackson swore When Lincoln took office, he tried
son pills” and also won money for their priori- means the GOP must rely on Democrats for to hold the Union together at any to reverse Buchanan’s disastrous
ties. They blocked funding for Mr. Trump’s passage, which means accepting some of their cost. course. He consulted Jackson’s procla-
border wall, though Republicans included priorities. The Senate filibuster rule also gives President James Buchanan, on the mation against nullification when
some $12 billion for border and customs secu- the minority the whip hand unless Republicans other hand, was a mild-mannered writing his inaugural address, which
rity. Democrats got an increase in National In- want to risk a government shutdown. lawyer and diplomat. The secession pleaded for patience and invoked the
stitutes of Health spending, though many Re- Republicans need to get back to the busi- crisis came when he was a lame “mystic chords of memory” in hopes
publicans also supported that. Despite their ness of passing the 12 separate appropriations duck, waiting for Abraham Lincoln to of swelling affection for the Union and
claims, Democrats did not “preserve” funding bills, so Congress can debate programs and set take office. Buchanan triangulated, avoiding civil war. But at that point
saying secession was illegal but he conflict was inevitable. The crisis
for Planned Parenthood. The bill contains no priorities with more deliberation than a giant
was powerless to stop it. Conse- might not have gotten so far had
direct dollars for that group, but rather funds catch-all bill that no one has time to read. If quently, six other states followed James Buchanan been a tough leader
grants that will be issued by Health and Hu- Democrats balk, Majority Leader Mitch South Carolina in leaving the Union like Andrew Jackson.
man Services, which is unlikely to approve any McConnell should consider ditching the fili- before Lincoln’s inauguration on
for the controversial abortion provider. buster for appropriations. These giant spend- March 4, 1861. Mr. Robbins is author of “The Real
Most of the domestic funding increases and ing bills are a favor to those who want giant Some believed this could have Custer: From Boy General to Tragic
decreases are GOP priorities. The bill contains government. been nipped in the bud if Old Hick- Hero.”
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, May 4, 2017 | A11
OPINION
D
opted “globalization” as a newly dis- tional economy remains by far the
onald Trump’s frequent covered menace. Yet there’s nothing world’s dominant one, it has grown
cries of “America First!” new about globalization. It got going less so over that period.
raised fears that he was five centuries ago when Europeans in- One big reason is that “though the
launching a war against vented large, square-rigged ships that United States once had among the
global trade in a mis- could travel long distances on the lowest corporate tax rates in the in-
guided effort to “save” American jobs. open ocean without reprovisioning. dustrialized world it now has the
Those fears are subsiding, as recent To what purpose? A bright fourth- highest.” As the study confirms and
Journal articles have noted. grader will most likely give the right Republican tax reformers in Con-
The Trump threat to tear up the answer: to expand trade. gress understand, those high rates
North American Free Trade Agree- The Dutch, English, Portuguese are not big revenue producers be-
ment awakened the farm lobby: Hey, and Spanish sailed with goods from cause multinationals choose not to
wait a minute, we sell a lot of food to Europe to trade for the silks of China, bring home their overseas earnings
Mexico! Nafta will now be treated the spices of Java or the gold of the for the IRS to grab.
more carefully. Congress is in no Andes, though the last they mostly The CFR report cites two other
hurry to finance the Great Wall of stole. Trade gained momentum with reasons why capital investment in
the Rio Grande, and certainly Mexico new goods yielded by the Industrial the U.S., both domestic and foreign,
won’t. Mr. Trump’s nativist in chief, Revolution. A merchant class grew has suffered: the explosion of busi-
and began to match the power of the ness regulation, and soaring national
landed aristocracy. A middle class debt and entitlement obligations.
Advice for Trump: Tell was born and has expanded enor- These burdens cast doubt on the U.S.
mously, world-wide, ever since. capacity for further growth. The U.S.
Bannon to hit the showers, Today’s world is “globalized” like continues to “underperform” in ex-
revive TPP, and undo never before. In the space of 38 ports relative to other advanced
years, China has become a great economies, the study says.
Obama’s economic legacy. trading nation again, lifting millions What are the lessons for the
DAVID KLEIN
out of poverty. India is shedding the Trump team? Tell Mr. Bannon to hit
post-1947 socialist torpor inflicted the showers. Revive the Trans-Pacific
Steve Bannon, is being trumped by on its people by English academics. Partnership trade negotiations with
wiser heads, at least sometimes. The Trade barriers have vanished in Eu- Japan and 10 other Pacific Rim coun-
president ended his announcement rope along with its history of bloody $80 trillion economy exceeds 3% an- competition, but also to domestic tries, which Mr. Trump injudiciously
of the strike on Syria with a globalist warfare. With the steady evolution of nually, outpacing U.S. growth thanks competition and, most important, to scuttled. Also pursue the Trans-Atlan-
touch: “God bless the world.” an educated middle class and more- to the burgeoning of places like automation and technological ad- tic Trade and Investment Partnership
But Mr. Trump turns a friendly enlightened leadership—and despite China and India. A rising tide of vancement as old industries disap- negotiation with Europe. Trade agree-
ear to the everlasting protectionist the atavistic forces always in play— trade lifts all boats. pear and new ones form. There’s ments are not only good economic
demands of the softwood-lumber more people than ever enjoy new so- In the post-World War II era, Re- dislocation, but today, despite ev- policy but good foreign policy.
and steel industries. So it’s not a cial and economic opportunities. publicans and Democrats alike knew erything, unemployment is 4.5% of Most important, devote full atten-
bad time for Washington to get a Economist Robert Mundell, who that the road to economic recovery the workforce, close to the 4% sta- tion to what Barack Obama and the
refresher course in market econom- helped create the euro, has long ar- was paved with trade. The Kennedy tistical definition of full employ- progressives broke. Make a new start
ics and what does and doesn’t cre- gued that there is only one economy, Round lowering of trade barriers in ment. on ObamaCare reform. Accelerate
ate jobs. Politicians are constantly the one created by the peoples of the 1960s was an enormous success. The slow economic growth in the the scrapping of antibusiness regula-
tempted to go to war with markets this planet. Multinational corpora- The U.S. promoted a borderless Eu- U.S. over the past decade has resulted tion. And press ahead with tax re-
in a bid to win votes. When they do, tions like IBM, Toyota and BASF may ropean economic union and created not from what the world has done to form. If those efforts succeed, Ameri-
they and their constituencies al- have national identities, but their NATO to protect its members from America but what America has done can business can hold its own in
ways lose. Markets are a force of factories, supply chains, sales offices stifling Soviet imperialism. Ameri- to itself, according to a Council on competition with anyone in the
nature, and attempts to use the and investors are networks that cans were enthused by Deng Xiao- Foreign Relations study “How Amer- world.
state’s police powers to crush them blanket the globe. Private bankers ping’s 1979 decision to open up ica Stacks Up.” It says that the U.S.
invariably end in misery. Ask the and government central banks ex- China to trade and were soon invest- “depends far more on the global econ- Mr. Melloan, a former deputy edi-
Russians—or, for that matter, the change currencies at the rate of $5 ing in this massive and highly suc- omy than it did two decades ago, and tor of the Journal editorial page, is
survivors of 1970s price controls in trillion a day to provide the global cessful enterprise. international trade and foreign invest- author of “When the New Deal Came
the U.S. economy with money. Growth of that Americans lose jobs to global ment are increasingly vital to U.S.” to Town” (Threshold Editions, 2016).
L
newspaper ran an editorial called “A ObamaCare. My campaign’s internal average of 25% this year. next year. I can’t—and won’t—be
ast week I had the honor of be- Warning in Wichita.” Here was the polling showed that health care was During the 2008 presidential idle in Congress while people in my
ing sworn in at the House of Journal’s conclusion: “The real les- a turning point. campaign, Barack Obama promised district suffer.
Representatives, where I’ll rep- son is that Republicans need to unite In the spirit of heeding this warn- to lower annual health-care premi- The AHCA isn’t perfect, but the
resent Kansas’ Fourth Congressional to demonstrate a record of accom- ing—and, far more important, doing ums by $2,500 per family. Instead bill has been improved over the past
District. I’m brand new and eager to plishment going into 2018. If they the right thing for the country—I’m the cost of employer-sponsored fam- month. Besides, it’s only the first
learn. But I do have a perspective can’t bridge their differences, they’re announcing my support for the ily coverage increased by $4,372 be- step in what will be multistage pro-
none of my colleagues share. I know in trouble.” AHCA. I urge my colleagues to do tween 2010 and 2016, according to cess of reform. Health care is a com-
firsthand what it’s like to campaign in That’s exactly right. When Repub- the same. the Kaiser Family Foundation. That plex topic, but the AHCA’s principles
an environment that many found un- licans pulled the American Health means the cost of ObamaCare’s bro- are simple. The bill focuses on low-
imaginable only a few months ago—a Care Act, or AHCA, on March 24, the ken promise is now $6,872 per fam- ering costs and emphasizes the
country in which Donald Trump occu- frustration among Kansas voters, When the health-care bill ily—enough to cover the mortgage ABCs—access, benefits and choices.
pies the White House and Republi- particularly Republicans and inde- for months, buy a second car, or pur- Most important, it’s based on a be-
cans have majorities in both cham- pendents, was palpable. Enthusiasm was pulled, my House chase any number of things more lief that the best way to provide care
bers of Congress. The message from for the campaign waned and anxiety campaign’s polling found valuable than paying exorbitant pre- for all is to create a health system
Kansas voters during last month’s soared. A district that is typically miums and deductibles for inaccessi- focused on patients instead of cen-
special election was crystal clear: very favorable for Republicans sud- voters demoralized. ble health coverage. tered around the government.
Produce results or go home. denly became much less favorable. The ObamaCare debacle has also As a fiscal hawk and former state
The campaign to fill the House Voters expected results and it looked proved yet again that access to gov- treasurer, I plan on spending a lot of
seat vacated by Mike Pompeo, now like we weren’t delivering. Put simply, failing to act would be ernment health-care programs does my time in Washington blocking
director of the CIA, was closer than No other explanation adds up. It is unconscionable. Republicans can im- not guarantee access to health care. wasteful spending and working to-
many had anticipated. In November, true that special elections are unique prove the status quo—and we must. As costs skyrocket, choices are dis- ward a balanced budget. But finding
Mr. Pompeo won re-election by 31 and turnout is traditionally low. But This isn’t about politics or process. appearing. Nearly one-third of U.S. the courage to get to “yes” on the
points. Mr. Trump carried the dis- that doesn’t explain the 15-point It’s about people. ObamaCare is un- counties have only one insurer offer- AHCA is far better for the country—
trict by 27 points. I won by seven. swing in the Republican candidate’s questionably hurting more people ing plans on ObamaCare’s ex- and more threatening to Demo-
The power of incumbency may have margin of victory from 2010 to 2017. than it is helping. It is forcing Ameri- changes. Kansas is lucky. We have crats—than being stuck on “no.”
played a role, but the last time the The race tightened in large part be- cans to buy insurance they don’t like, two. But Blue Cross Blue Shield, the
seat was open, in 2010, Mr. Pompeo cause voters became worried that don’t need, and can’t afford. The company that covers the most peo- Mr. Estes, a Republican, represents
won by 22 points. Republicans were going to renege on benchmark premium on the federal ple, has suffered significant losses Kansas’ Fourth Congressional District.
A
ate its ships’ nuclear reactors, and military’s access to talent. This model lot, for example, costs $11 million. ing satisfaction and retention.
board the Navy’s newest air- all branches have struggled to build would reward experience and perfor- To ensure the military does not lose Serving in the military will always
craft carrier in early March, new cyber units. mance without unduly burdening access to trained people who have require sacrifice. On the battlefield
President Trump vowed that These examples portend larger military families. and back home, service members
the United States “will have the finest difficulties ahead. Even with the U.S. Since the draft ended in 1973, all place what’s best for the military
equipment in the world—planes, ships being threatened by enemies near new enlistees must be recruited. But A rigid, bureaucratic ahead of their personal desires. Ca-
and everything else.” But what good and far who are evolving strategically the recruiting process—primarily reer service members typically will
will this equipment do if the military and technologically, our military still geared toward young adults—is personnel system made move nearly a dozen times—usually
lacks the personnel to use it? operates with a personnel system de- trapped in the past. The future force sense in 1947. Now it’s with a family in tow. This can help
People are the vital ingredient to signed in 1947 to fight the Soviet will also require experienced profes- produce well-rounded troops. But it
America’s military edge, but increas- Union. Unchanged since then, this sionals with highly valuable skills dangerously out of date. also results in stress and instability
ingly they are in short supply. “The one-size-fits-all system for recruit- such as engineering, cybersecurity for military families. We recommend
Air Force has a shortfall of almost ing, retaining and promoting troops, and foreign languages. We recom- giving service members more influ-
1,500 pilots,” Joint Chiefs Chairman treats nearly every service member mend discarding policies that pro- already volunteered to serve, it ence over when and where they
Gen. Joseph Dunford testified before as an interchangeable cog. hibit experienced individuals from must make it easier to make the move. They should not have to make
a House committee in March. Simi- That is why we led a Bipartisan entering the military at higher ranks transition from active duty to the the untenable choice between serving
larly, the Army is offering bonuses Policy Center task force focused on so that the military can entice tal- reserve or National Guard. their nation or their family’s best in-
to convince soldiers to extend their modernizing how the military man- ented recruits. The military could encourage terests.
enlistments, the Marines cannot ages its personnel. We recommend Once troops are recruited, the troops to continue serving by allow- Uniformed service is not a calling
ing them to compete for promotion. for every American, nor does it need
Military promotions today are largely to be. But to build a strong force ca-
Notable & Quotable a seniority-based system governed by
predetermined timelines. Those not
pable of succeeding against future
threats, the military must be attrac-
PUBLISHED SINCE 1889 BY DOW JONES & COMPANY
Rupert Murdoch Robert Thomson Sahar Omer reporting in the Har- promoted on schedule are kicked out. tive to Americans with the skills and
Executive Chairman, News Corp Chief Executive Officer, News Corp vard Crimson, May 1: We recommend placing increased talents that are necessary to keep
Gerard Baker William Lewis emphasis on merit and allowing indi- America safe. As an all-volunteer
Editor in Chief Chief Executive Officer and Publisher Harvard libraries will no longer viduals to seek promotion when force, the U.S. military competes for
Matthew J. Murray DOW JONES MANAGEMENT: charge 50 cent per day fees on ready. This will allow troops in criti- talent with the world’s top compa-
Deputy Editor in Chief Mark Musgrave, Chief People Officer; overdue books. cal specialties, like cyber, to master nies, best universities and highest-
Edward Roussel, Innovation & Communications;
DEPUTY MANAGING EDITORS:
Anna Sedgley, Chief Operating Officer & CFO;
The change, one of several de- their skill sets without racing to meet performing organizations. The mili-
Michael W. Miller, Senior Deputy;
Thorold Barker, Europe; Paul Beckett, Katie Vanneck-Smith, President tailed in a post on the Harvard Li- arbitrary promotion cutoffs. Con- tary must work to make its offer
Washington; Andrew Dowell, Asia; OPERATING EXECUTIVES: brary system’s website, went into versely, high-performing service more competitive.
Christine Glancey, Operations; Ramin Beheshti, Product & Technology; effect on April 1. . . . members, ready for greater responsi- As Congress considers a military
Jennifer J. Hicks, Digital; Jason P. Conti, General Counsel;
Neal Lipschutz, Standards; Alex Martin, News; Frank Filippo, Print Products & Services; “The goals of these changes are bility, could be promoted more buildup, it should include in its
Shazna Nessa, Visuals; Ann Podd, Initiatives; Steve Grycuk, Customer Service; to improve the student experience quickly. agenda bipartisan defense personnel
Matthew Rose, Enterprise; Kristin Heitmann, Transformation; and embrace a ‘One Harvard’ ap- Some people would prefer to keep reform to create a 21st century force.
Stephen Wisnefski, Professional News Nancy McNeill, Advertising & Corporate Sales;
Jonathan Wright, International proach for borrowing material flying than have a desk job or be- To strengthen our military, we must
Paul A. Gigot, Editor of the Editorial Page;
Daniel Henninger, Deputy Editor, Editorial Page
DJ Media Group: across Harvard Library,” wrote Ste- come chairman of the Joint Chiefs of focus not only on new ships, planes
Almar Latour, Publisher; ven Beardsley, Harvard’s associate Staff. The military must recognize and tanks, but also on those who sail,
WALL STREET JOURNAL MANAGEMENT: Kenneth Breen, Commercial
Suzi Watford, Marketing and Circulation; Professional Information Business: director for access services admin- this. We recommend creating new fly and drive them.
Joseph B. Vincent, Operations; Christopher Lloyd, Head; istrative operations and special career paths for those who want to
Larry L. Hoffman, Production Ingrid Verschuren, Deputy Head projects, in an email. devote their military service to a par- Mr. Panetta, a Democrat, served
EDITORIAL AND CORPORATE HEADQUARTERS: “We have witnessed firsthand the ticular specialty instead of pursuing as defense secretary, 2011-13. Mr.
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y., 10036 stress that overdue fines can cause senior ranking command. Allowing Talent, a Republican, was a U.S. sen-
Telephone 1-800-DOWJONES
for students,” Beardsley continued. service members more say in their ator from Missouri, 2002-07.
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A12 | Thursday, May 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
JIM LO SCALZO/EPA
tions fiasco, unaware of the as- size of the crew-tracking team and
signment. add phone lines for them by June.
A recovery that should have And by the end of August execu-
taken the airline a day or two tives hope to have a system to
stretched into the following week. send crews information about
In Atlanta, flights were canceled Delta experienced a weeklong meltdown after a series of storms revealed shortcomings in trying to reschedule crews. their trips electronically.
well after midnight, after under- Mr. West says Delta’s crew-
ground airport trains had shut season. Delta says it is ready to What’s more, back-office issues sengers and flights. Trouble in At- tracking system, which he said is
down. That forced dazed vacation- handle summer crowds and storms have proven to be big problems at lanta cascades world-wide. old but has received a 50% capac-
ers to walk more than a mile and is already making changes in Delta and other carriers. Last Au- Delta says it, and Atlanta, aren’t ity improvement over the past
through corridors littered with its operation based on findings gust, a power failure at its control too big to handle storms. But the year, can send automated voice
sleeping bodies like a zombie apoc- from last month’s mess. But the center crippled Delta. A computer airline has learned where it needs mails or emails to crews in typical
alypse. (The airport says it did episode is a reminder for travelers glitch in January led to canceled to spend on more capacity. Delta storm recovery situations.
keep trains and concessions operat- of the hazards of airline reliability flights. Southwest Airlines also had created a task force of nine differ- But this time there were too
ing late some nights and provided when booking flights too close to a computer failure in 2016 that led ent work groups to autopsy the many questions that required
water, blankets and amenity kits.) big events like weddings or cruise- to major disruption for travelers. meltdown. phone calls, such as queries about
“Our infrastructure was over- ship departures. Delta says there was nothing Mr. West and CEO Ed Bastian particular assignments or lack of
whelmed,” says Gil West, Delta’s Thunderstorms are more diffi- routine about the triple whammy sent a memo to employees assignment. When crew members
chief operating officer. “We know cult for airlines to handle than of storms it weathered the first Wednesday with results of the called in, they got busy signals.
we can’t control the weather, but blizzards or hurricanes because week of April. The airline says its task force investigation and Part of the problem was too few
we definitely own the recovery.” their timing and location are hard crew-tracking system had handled changes that were being made. people to answer calls.
The Delta collapse, somewhat to predict. the load in the past, but this time “Thanks for pulling Delta out of Now Delta has decided to add
overlooked while attention was fo- The concern for travelers is found its limits. the ditch,” the memo said. They more full-time people to that job
cused on the violent dragging of a whether bigger consolidated air- Atlanta is the thick trunk on noted that one problem was many and train others who could be
United passenger off a plane in lines are now less nimble and Delta’s flight-schedule tree. About positions were short-staffed for pulled in from other duty in a se-
Chicago on April 9, has significant more complex, and thus more 60% of Delta’s 1,250 airplanes go holiday crowds because so many vere weather situation. In the fu-
implications for travelers in the prone to major disruption from through Atlanta each day. It’s the Delta employees had themselves ture, communications will include
spring and summer thunderstorm routine storms. world’s largest airport in both pas- taken spring-break vacation. They mobile phones.
© 2017 Dow Jones & Co., Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ4877
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Euro vs. Dollar 1.0921 g 0.10% FTSE 100 7234.53 g 0.21% Gold 1246.40 g 0.69% WTI crude 47.82 À 0.34% German Bund yield 0.327% 10-Year Treasury yield 2.309%
On Rebound uneconomic.”
Most small- and medium-
size shale producers rely exten-
Volks- sively on debt, borrowing
wagen’s amounts double or triple their
namesake annual earnings primarily
brand, tar- through high-yield bond issu-
nished by ance to finance drilling opera-
fraudulent tions across the country. Their
SPENCER PLATT/GETTY IMAGES
There will no doubt be the advisory committee’s cool at the end of 2016. testing ad breaks—ads that
bumps in the road, but the response, the Treasury would The jump in revenue was a appear in the middle of a
long anticipated VW-brand re- “continue to study” longer- sign of how marketers are in- video—in both live broadcasts
covery does seem under way. term bonds and seek input creasingly embracing Face- and on-demand videos.
from a “broad community” be- book and its Instagram photo-
VW posts sharp rise in Construction of the Panama Canal in 1915. The U.S. Treasury yond just those on the com- sharing app, where Facebook bolsters its
quarterly profit.......................... B3 issued 50-year bonds to fund the building of the canal. Please see BONDS page B2 Facebook’s users are spending content-review staff.............. B4
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B2 | Thursday, May 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
A
Abbott Laboratories...A8
Allianz ......................... B7
Ally Financial..............B1
H. Lundbeck................A8
HNA Group..................B1
Horizon Pharma..........A8
I
1Malaysia Development
.....................................B7
P
Peugeot-Citroen..........B4
Crown Trial Draws Closer
Amazon.com ............... B3 Imperial Brands .......... B3 PTC Therapeutics........A8 China assigns cases
Apple...........................B3
AT&T............................B3
International Business
Machines .................. A8
R against 18 employees
B Iskandar Waterfront
Range Resources........B2
of the casino operator
Holdings Sdn ............ B7 S
BlackRock...............B1,B2
ITV...............................B3 Santander Consumer
to district-level court
BNP Paribas...........B7,B8
J USA Holdings ........... B1
C Simpson Thacher & Chinese authorities have
Cabot Oil & Gas..........B2 Johnson & Johnson....A8 Bartlett.....................B5 handed over the criminal
Carlyle Group..............B7 JPMorgan Chase.........B1 SolarCity......................B4 cases of 18 employees of Aus-
China Railway J.P. Morgan Chase......B5 SSR..............................A8 tralian casino operator Crown
Engineering...............B7 K SunRun........................B4 Resorts Ltd. to a district-level
ConocoPhillips.............B1 Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha T
Covington & Burling...B5 By Wayne Ma
BUSINESS NEWS
DENNIS GALLETTA
M.B.A. pro- in the U.S. to perform high- Recruiters from University brand. Adjusted operating
grams in the U.S. through the skilled jobs. Critics say the of Pittsburgh’s Katz Graduate profit, which strips out one-
end of February, according to current rules displace Ameri- School of Business traveled to time items, increased 27% to
a survey by the Graduate can workers. India in 2012 amid a shift in €4.4 billion. Revenue rose 10%
Management Admission Coun- Only 31% of the 324 Ameri- The University of Pittsburgh’s Katz Graduate School of Business strategy to focus more heavily to €56.2 billion. The numbers
cil. Interest from interna- can M.B.A. programs surveyed attributes a drop in applications largely to cooling foreign interest. on foreign students, according are in line with preliminary fig-
tional students has weakened reported gains in international to director of admissions Tom ures released last month.
in recent years as programs student applications from the icans due to an improving job sociation to Advance Collegiate Keller. The trip generated a The company’s robust earn-
overseas have become more same time in 2016, the small- market and increasing under- Schools of Business. In the surge of interest from the ings come as it continues to
competitive, according to est share in 12 years. For the graduate student debt bur- same period, the share of inter- country, and applications for grapple with the emissions
GMAC. But the trend has ac- 2015-16 application cycle, 39% dens. In response, U.S. busi- national students grew from its M.B.A. ballooned from a scandal—where it admitted to
celerated since the fall. of programs reported gains in ness programs have amplified 22% to 27%, the survey said. low of roughly 430 that year installing software in millions
The latest declines come as such applications. Two years their sales pitch overseas to University of Rochester’s to over 700 in 2015. of cars over a decade that al-
many foreign students ex- prior, nearly two-thirds of pro- fill their classrooms. Those ef- Simon Business School had a This year, applications have lowed vehicles to cheat on
press uncertainty about the grams reported gains. The forts have helped contain single-digit percentage drop in fallen 16%, a drop Mr. Keller emissions testing. The revela-
Trump administration’s immi- council declined to share more broader enrollment declines. international applications this attributes largely to cooling tion plunged the company into
gration and work visa poli- detailed application numbers. Overall enrollment in two- year, according to Dean An- foreign interest. Mr. Keller crisis in 2015 and led to penal-
cies, according to deans, ad- The souring foreign senti- year full-time M.B.A. programs drew Ainslie, a development said he expects around 25 stu- ties, fines and compensation
missions officers, recruiters ment comes at a difficult time fell by more than a third from that raised concerns about a dents in next fall’s incoming payments of nearly $25 billion.
and GMAC, which administers for business schools. Demand 2010 to 2016, according to a longer-term decline in enroll- Class of 2019 will come from The scandal still lingers,
the entrance exam most appli- for the pricey M.B.A. has survey of 352 U.S. schools by ment. A prolonged drop in in- outside the U.S., three or four with the company as recently
cants take. weakened among young Amer- business-school accreditor As- ternational applications would fewer than the class before. as last month ordered by a
U.S. federal judge to pay a
$2.8 billion criminal fine.
Britain’s largest commercial to the state-supported British size and quality of its content- Griffiths will lead the company flows of €2.6 billion in the
television network loses a Broadcasting Corp., ITV was production business, which has in the interim while also add- automotive division. As a re-
leader who has shown it is pos- navigating an advertising-mar- made shows including soap op- ing chief operating officer to sult, the division’s cash flow
sible for traditional broadcast- ket slump when Mr. Crozier era “Coronation Street.” his existing role. Mr. Crozier, declined by about €3.9 billion
ers to combat the viewership took over in 2010. That year The telecommunications 53 years old and the former from the previous year. Net
shift to online competitors the company reported £2.1 bil- and media industries have head of England’s soccer gov- cash on the company’s bal-
such as Netflix Inc. and Ama- lion ($2.7 billion) in revenue been exploring mergers as erning body, said in a state- ance sheet remained strong
zon.com Inc. and £408 million in earnings wireless carriers and cable op- ment that he would explore at roughly €23.6 billion at the
ITV, with its production before interest, taxes and erators covet content they can roles in the private sector. Adam Crozier, in July 2016. end of March.
BUSINESS WATCH
APPLE terioration from the 3.1% decline and the early days of Donald
in the same period a year earlier. Trump’s administration. In the
Quarterly Revenue Tobacco net revenue climbed recently completed quarter, New
Drops Again in China 9.3%, but dropped 5.5% at con- York Times reported a 5.1% in-
stant currency. crease in revenue to $398.8 mil-
China continues to be a weak Overall, Imperial, which makes lion, from a year earlier. In all,
spot for Apple Inc., with quar- the JPS and Gauloises brands, the company reported a profit of
terly revenue in the country fall- said net profit rose to £675 mil- $13.2 million, compared with a
ing again despite growth in all lion ($871 million) for the six year-earlier loss of $8.3 million.
other regions. months ended March 31 from —Austen Hufford
Apple said Tuesday that reve- £290 million a year earlier. Reve-
nue in China, Hong Kong and nue rose to £14.3 billion from SHIPPING
Taiwan fell 14% to $10.7 billion £12.81 billion.
for the quarter ended April 1, —Saabira Chaudhuri U.S. Regulator
the fifth consecutive quarter of Rejects Application
decline in the region. That com- NEW YORK TIMES
pared with 5% growth globally. The U.S. maritime regulator
—Eva Dou Subscriber Growth has rejected an application by
Gets a Big Boost Japan’s three biggest shipping
IMPERIAL BRANDS companies to operate as a
New York Times Co. said it merged company while their
Caffeine Gets Jolt had the best quarter for sub- transaction is being completed.
As Smoking Slumps scriber growth in its history, An approval would have given
though it warned the pace of container operators Nippon
Imperial Brands PLC on growth would slow in the sec- Yusen K.K., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines
Wednesday reported lower half- ond quarter. Ltd. and Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha
year operating profit and said it The media company said paid Ltd. the right to share ships and
is investing in a caffeine-based, digital subscriptions reached 2.2 port calls, and to negotiate with
low-calorie product designed to million in its first quarter, an in- third-party service providers as a
give users a boost of energy as crease of 348,000 from the prior single company, while their $2.7
part of an effort to diversify. quarter. Overall, the New York billion merger is months away
The remarks come as Impe- Times reported 3.2 million total from being approved by Japa-
rial—the least diversified of ma- subscribers. nese regulators. Slim d’Hermès, L’heure impatiente
jor tobacco companies—works to The boost in subscribers Kawasaki declined to com- For the moments to come.
combat the impact of declining comes as many media compa- ment. NYK didn’t return re-
cigarette volumes. Imperial on nies, from cable-news outlets to quests for comment and Mitsui
Wednesday reported total to- newspapers, have enjoyed audi- OSK couldn’t be reached for
bacco volume fell 5.7% in the pe- ence growth as a result of inter- comment.
riod to 126.3 billion sticks, a de- est in the 2016 presidential race —Costas Paris
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B4 | Thursday, May 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
30% PeugeotDrawsonSelf-DriveStartup
Book your 3 day pass off on your
pass
BY TIM HIGGINS
IDEAS COLLIDE
The two companies plan to
vivatechnology.com
AND JOSHUA JAMERSON its site from being used to dis- to 7,500. Most reviewers are
play such content. The Cleve- contractors, not full-time em-
Facebook Inc. said it would land video was up for roughly ployees, and burnout is high,
hire 3,000 more staffers to re- two hours; the Thailand video experts and former workers
“Something big “Entrepreneur “France and its vibrant ecosystem view content in an attempt to stayed up for 24 hours. say. A small subset of workers
is a French of startups will be the Silicon curb violent or sensitive vid- “If we’re going to build a manage live videos.
is happening
eos on its site without scaling safe community, we need to “It’s an incredible commit-
in France” word” Valley of Europe”
back its live-streaming tools. respond quickly,” Mr. Zucker- ment of resources. It took
Mike Butcher, Eric Schmidt, John Chambers, The planned hires, an- berg wrote, adding that videos them almost 10 years to de-
TechCrunch Alphabet Inc Cisco nounced by Chief Executive posted on Facebook of people vote 4,500 jobs to doing this,”
Mark Zuckerberg in a post hurting themselves and others said Kate Klonick, resident fel-
Wednesday, are in response to in the past few weeks has low at Yale Law School’s Infor-
the Facebook posting of such been “heartbreaking.” mation Society Project and au-
ORGANIZERS PLATINUM PARTNERS violent videos as one last Mr. Zuckerberg said Face- thor of a recent paper on
JUNE 15-16-17 / PARIS 2017
month showing a Cleveland book would make it easier for content moderation at tech-
man fatally shooting another users to report problems to the nology companies. “The only
man. A week later, a man in company so reviewers can thing I question is being able
Thailand killed his 11-month- more quickly determine if a to maintain quality on content
old daughter in a live video. post violates its standards. The moderation review as they
Mr. Zuckerberg’s proposed company is also investing in ar- take on, train and update a
fix, which would increase tificial intelligence, in hopes system for this huge number
Facebook’s roster of 4,500 re- that AI can one day detect vio- of new workers.”
viewers by two-thirds over the lence as it is unfolding, but that A Facebook spokeswoman
next year, addresses the technology is a long way off. declined to say if the new
amount of time it takes Face- Meanwhile, it could be a hires would be contractors or
book to remove graphic con- challenge for Facebook to ramp employees.
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To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * Thursday, May 4, 2017 | B5
Interim
Chief Is
Fiduciary Rule Is Tough to Kill
Trump’s effort to end Congress has invoked fre-
Appointed retirement-savings
regulation is foiled by
quently in recent months to kill
other Obama-era regulations.
Regulations that have already
JONATHAN ERNST/REUTERS
be succeeded on Friday by tough to quash. “It’s the very reason that made
Keith Noreika, who will serve It’s not for lack of trying. it difficult for Trump to just kill
as the acting comptroller. Mr. Shortly after his inauguration, this by executive order.”
Noreika is a banking lawyer Mr. Trump ordered the Labor Other channels to killing or
who worked for years at Cov- Department to review the “fi- watering down the rule remain
ington & Burling LLP and duciary” rule’s economic im- open, however. Labor Secre-
more recently headed the fi- pact on retirement savers and tary Alexander Acosta, who
nancial regulatory practice at the financial-services industry, Phyllis Borzi, ex-assistant labor secretary: ‘We knew from day one that we were going to be sued.’ has pledged to reconsider
Simpson Thacher & Bartlett with an eye toward revising or Obama-era rules, could choose
LLP. rescinding it. The department ically changed,” said a person can families $17 billion a year to withstand legal scrutiny and not to meaningfully enforce
The Trump administration is in the midst of that process, familiar with the Labor De- and reduces annual returns on industry objections. And the the regulation. Experts, how-
is said to be considering Jo- a spokeswoman said, with partment’s process. More retirement savings by a per- rule’s staying power has been ever, say this tack might invite
seph Otting, a former chief ex- both career civil servants and likely, the person said, is a re- centage point. bolstered as consumer aware- lawsuits. Congress could over-
ecutive of OneWest Bank, as political appointees cooperat- laxation of certain elements, Critics dispute those figures ness has grown in the year turn the regulation, but other
its eventual nominee for full- ing to comply with the presi- such as client disclosure re- and have argued for years that since it was approved and as efforts to do so have proved
time comptroller, which re- dent’s memorandum. quirements, while preserving smaller investors would be cut some of the biggest financial unsuccessful and a new legis-
quires Senate confirmation. Yet people on both sides of the heart of the rule. “This is a off from advisory services. firms, including Merrill Lynch lative push likely wouldn’t
The move to replace Mr. the debate say the rule, which pretty damn good compro- Part of the annuities industry and Morgan Stanley, have start until after the Labor De-
Curry, reported by The Wall requires stewards of tax-ad- mise,” the person said. said it faced extinction with- spent heavily on compliance partment completes its re-
Street Journal on Monday, will vantaged retirement savings The fiduciary rule, which out looser exemptions. preparation and marketing. view. The rule could also be
give the administration its to act in clients’ best interests was approved last spring, was The rule has been bul- Protocol and legislative tim- indefinitely postponed as part
first major imprint on a U.S. rather than their own, may the centerpiece of President warked in large part by the ing have provided additional of a broader plan by congres-
bank regulatory agency. survive both a 60-day delay in Barack Obama’s efforts to help Obama administration’s de- road bumps for opponents. sional Republicans to roll back
Mr. Curry’s five-year term the compliance deadline and middle-class families build re- sign. The original economic re- Technically approved last June, Obama-era financial rules, said
ended in early April, but he the regulatory review process tirement savings. The former view and rule-making process the rule falls outside the 60- Arjun Saxena, a partner at
continued to serve in the job. relatively unscathed. administration said conflicted were meticulous, people famil- legislative-day limit of the Con- consultancy Pricewater-
Mr. Otting would be the “It’s unlikely to get dramat- financial advice costs Ameri- iar with the matter say, meant gressional Review Act, a law houseCoopers LLP.
first former banker to serve as
controller since the 1990s and
would be expected to carry
out the Trump administra-
tion’s promise to encourage
more bank lending. That could
J.P. Morgan Plans Initial Shift of Jobs Out of U.K.
represent a shift in tone from BY MAX COLCHESTER Union after the U.K. quits the could reach 1,000 over months, if the U.K. is cut off from the of the people said.
Mr. Curry’s tenure, during AND EMILY GLAZER trading bloc. The job moves one of the people said. bloc. U.S. banks previously J.P. Morgan staffers have
which the OCC has at times wouldn’t necessarily go just to The move underscores how concentrated large chunks of begun compiling paperwork to
criticized bankers for making J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. those three cities but could be bank relocations out of the their investment-banking ac- apply for licenses. The bank
loans the agency viewed as will move between 500 and spread across a range of Euro- U.K. are becoming a reality as tivities in London to build had already been perusing of-
overly risky. 1,000 jobs out of London as pean hubs that J.P. Morgan op- Brexit negotiations get under economies of scale. Now they fices in Dublin and Frankfurt
Mr. Trump has ordered a the bank begins to implement erates across the Continent, way. Estimates of how many have to find ways to partially to increase scale. It remains
broad review of financial regu- its post-Brexit plans, accord- the people said. U.K. financial-industry jobs are unwind them. unclear exactly how many jobs
lations, but appointees of for- ing to people familiar with the After the two-year Brexit ne- at stake vary from a few hun- In J.P. Morgan’s case that will ultimately be moved to
mer President Barack Obama matter. gotiating period ends, the bank dred to 75,000. will mean running its EU cus- the EU. J.P. Morgan Chief Ex-
still run all the major bank The U.S. bank plans to bulk will re-evaluate its plans and Banks have been putting tody business out of Dublin, ecutive James Dimon has said
regulators, including the Fed- up operations in Dublin, Lux- move further jobs if necessary. finishing touches to backup treasury services from Luxem- up to a quarter of the bank’s
eral Reserve, Consumer Finan- embourg and Frankfurt to At first, a few hundred employ- plans to ensure they can still bourg and European invest- 16,000 staff in the U.K. may
cial Protection Bureau and serve clients in the European ees are expected to move, but it sell products into the EU even ment bank from Frankfurt, one have to move.
Federal Deposit Insurance
Corp. The comptroller’s office
appointment gives the admin-
istration its own ally in charge
of the chief regulator of large,
New SEC Head Gains
federally chartered banks.
Treasury Secretary Steven
Mnuchin said Wednesday that
Clearance From Senate
the administration will shortly BY DAVE MICHAELS “We’ve gone a long time
name someone to the vacant since there has been a top-to-
post job of Federal Reserve WASHINGTON—The Senate bottom review of all the rules TI M E , A H E RMÈ S OB J ECT.
vice chairman in charge of late Tuesday approved Presi- the SEC imposes on the public
bank oversight, and that nomi- dent Donald Trump’s choice to markets,” said Richard
nee wouldn’t necessarily be lead the Securities and Ex- Breeden, a former Republican
paired with choices for two change Commission, elevating SEC chairman who sits on the
other vacancies on the Fed’s a Wall Street lawyer who board of Steris PLC, an infec-
governing board. hopes to turn around the de- tion prevention company.
One candidate under con- cline in the number of public “Will he succeed? Not com-
sideration for the Fed vice companies over the past 20 pletely and fully, because no
chairman job is former Trea- years. one can do that. But can he
sury official and private-equity Jay Clayton’s agenda could move the needle? Absolutely.”
executive Randal Quarles. be aided by an unusual align- The Senate vote to approve
Mr. Mnuchin said Mr. Nor- ment of political forces that Mr. Clayton, 61 to 37, included
eika “has deep experience in escaped the SEC’s most recent tough criticism from top Dem-
helping banks operate in a leaders. He will enter office ocrats, including Sens. Sherrod
safe and sound manner, pro- without a checklist of regula- Brown of Ohio and Elizabeth
vide fair access to financial tions mandated by Congress, Warren of Massachusetts. The
services, and provide credit which passed sweeping legis- pushback included criticism of
needed for business expansion lation in 2010 that pinned Mr. Clayton’s legal ties to
and job growth.” down the SEC with an abun- Goldman Sachs Group Inc.,
Mr. Mnuchin also praised dance of directives both auda- forged during his career as a
Mr. Curry, thanking him for cious and picayune. partner at Sullivan & Crom-
his service and saying that Mr. Clayton said it was a well LLP. And it underscores
during his tenure, “the OCC “distinct honor” to take helm the resistance to any deregula-
has effectively worked to ad- of the agency. “I look forward tory moves he makes.
vance its mission to ensure to working closely with my Mr. Clayton’s ties to Gold-
that national banks and fed- fellow commissioners and the man will prevent him from
eral savings associations oper- dedicated career staff at the voting on matters that directly
ate in a safe and sound man- SEC to serve the American affect the bank. But they won’t
ner.” public and advance the SEC’s impair his work on regulations
important mission,” he said. or his use of the SEC’s bully
For now, his most pressing pulpit to shape what the regu-
commitment will be finding lator expects from companies.
ways to reverse a two-decade Michael Piwowar, the SEC’s
trend of the government layer- acting chairman, has already
ing new regulations on public given firms leeway to skirt
companies. Some constraints some expensive requirements,
were reactions to marketwide including a rule that forces
PATRICK T. FALLON/BLOOMBERG NEWS
MARKETS DIGEST
Nikkei 225 Index STOXX 600 Index S&P 500 Index Data as of 4 p.m. New York time
Last Year ago
19445.70 Market Closed Year-to-date s 1.73% 389.37 t 0.16, or 0.04% Year-to-date s 7.73% 2388.13 t 3.04, or 0.13% Trailing P/E ratio * 24.17 24.12
High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 19633.75 14952.02 High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 389.53 308.75 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 18.42 17.65
trading day of the past three months. All-time high 38915.87 12/29/89 trading day of the past three months. All-time high 414.06 4/15/15 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 1.97 2.19
All-time high: 2395.96, 03/01/17
International Stock Indexes Data as of 4 p.m. New York time Global government bonds
Latest 52-Week Range YTD Latest, month-ago and year-ago yields and spreads over or under U.S. Treasurys on benchmark two-year
Region/Country Index Close NetChg % chg Low Close High % chg and 10-year government bonds around the world. Data as of 3 p.m. ET
World The Global Dow 2732.88 –6.31 –0.23 2193.75 • 2741.83 8.1 Country/ Spread Over Treasurys, in basis points Yield
MSCI EAFE 1839.92 –6.59 –0.36 1471.88 • 1956.39 7.2 Coupon Maturity, in years Yield Latest Previous Month Ago Year ago Previous Month ago Year ago
MSCI EM USD 984.46 –3.73 –0.38 691.21 • 1044.05 24.0 5.250 Australia 2 1.678 38.0 41.9 52.2 99.4 1.681 1.752 1.752
4.750 10 2.601 29.2 32.9 36.4 67.1 2.610 2.687 2.471
Americas DJ Americas 574.18 –1.27 –0.22 480.90 • 577.99 6.3
3.000 Belgium 2 -184.4 -181.7 -178.5 -122.4 -0.555 -0.555 -0.466
-0.546
Brazil Sao Paulo Bovespa 66154.26 –567.49 –0.85 48066.67 • 69487.58 9.8
0.800 10 0.762 -154.7 -152.3 -150.4 -136.2 0.757 0.820 0.438
Canada S&P/TSX Comp 15551.63 –68.02 –0.44 13535.54 • 15943.09 1.7
0.000 France 2 -0.456 -175.4 -171.6 -173.4 -115.7 -0.454 -0.504 -0.399
Mexico IPC All-Share 49096.39 –492.45 –0.99 43902.25 • 50147.04 7.6
1.000 10 0.808 -150.1 -146.3 -137.2 -124.0 0.817 0.951 0.560
Chile Santiago IPSA 3728.27 –23.29 –0.62 2998.64 • 3786.05 15.7
0.000 Germany 2 -0.723 -202.1 -198.3 -203.3 -124.2 -0.721 -0.803 -0.484
U.S. DJIA 20957.90 8.01 0.04 17063.08 • 21169.11 6.0
0.250 10 0.327 -198.2 -195.0 -204.5 -159.7 0.330 0.278 0.203
Nasdaq Composite 6072.55 –22.82 –0.37 4574.25 • 6102.72 12.8
0.300 Italy 2 -0.096 -139.4 -134.5 -130.7 -80.2 -0.083 -0.077 -0.044
S&P 500 2388.13 –3.04 –0.13 1991.68 • 2400.98 6.7
2.200 10 2.266 -4.4 1.8 -18.0 -32.8 2.299 2.144 1.472
CBOE Volatility 10.54 –0.05 –0.47 9.90 • 26.72 –24.9
0.100 Japan 2 -0.201 -149.9 -146.3 -139.7 -99.8 -0.201 -0.167 -0.240
EMEA Stoxx Europe 600 389.37 –0.16 –0.04 308.75 • 389.53 7.7 0.100 10 0.020 -229.0 -226.1 -224.8 -191.0 0.020 0.075 -0.110
Stoxx Europe 50 3204.84 6.97 0.22 2626.52 • 3205.17 6.5 4.000 Netherlands 2 -0.623 -192.1 -189.5 -198.9 -123.1 -0.633 -0.759 -0.474
Austria ATX 2997.41 –15.17 –0.50 1981.93 • 3017.21 14.5 0.750 10 0.552 -175.7 -173.3 -178.4 -149.9 0.547 0.539 0.302
Belgium Bel-20 3932.86 22.98 0.59 3127.94 • 3933.64 9.1 4.750 Portugal 2 0.383 -91.5 -90.6 -139.6 -44.7 0.356 -0.166 0.311
France CAC 40 5301.00 –3.15 –0.06 3955.98 • 5305.95 9.0 4.125 10 3.461 115.2 127.1 124.2 109.0 3.551 3.565 2.890
Germany DAX 12527.84 19.94 0.16 9214.10 • 12532.25 9.1 2.750 Spain 2 -0.279 -157.7 -153.5 -144.9 -83.0 -0.273 -0.219 -0.072
Greece ATG 748.61 14.68 2.00 517.10 • 748.72 16.3 1.500 10 1.612 -69.8 -63.4 -68.6 -22.7 1.646 1.637 1.573
Hungary BUX 32077.72 –824.90 –2.51 25126.36 • 34334.92 0.2 4.250 Sweden 2 -0.653 -195.1 -191.7 -183.6 -118.5 -0.655 -0.606 -0.427
Israel Tel Aviv 1403.50 4.75 0.34 1372.23 • 1490.23 –4.6 1.000 10 0.577 -173.3 -168.8 -173.0 -98.7 0.593 0.593 0.813
Italy FTSE MIB 20759.31 26.06 0.13 15017.42 • 20883.66 7.9 1.750 U.K. 2 0.074 -122.4 -118.1 -112.1 -27.2 0.081 0.109 0.486
Netherlands AEX 525.20 –0.28 –0.05 409.23 • 526.25 8.7 4.250 10 1.075 -123.4 -118.9 -125.7 -26.9 1.091 1.066 1.532
Poland WIG 62066.66 … Closed 42812.99 • 62214.81 19.9 1.250 U.S. 2 1.298 ... ... ... ... 1.262 1.230 0.758
Russia RTS Index 1096.35 –23.87 –2.13 873.58 • 1196.99 –4.9 2.250 10 2.309 ... ... ... ... 2.281 2.323 1.800
Spain IBEX 35 10837.00 16.70 0.15 7579.80 • 10841.10 15.9
Sweden SX All Share 585.40 –1.15 –0.20 443.66 • 586.55 9.5 Commodities Prices of futures contracts with the most open interest 3:30 p.m. New York time
Switzerland Swiss Market 8891.89 23.33 0.26 7475.54 • 8899.45 8.2 EXCHANGE LEGEND: CBOT: Chicago Board of Trade; CME: Chicago Mercantile Exchange; ICE-US: ICE Futures U.S.; MDEX: Bursa Malaysia
South Africa Johannesburg All Share 53586.63 –329.01 –0.61 48935.90 • 54704.22 5.8 Derivatives Berhad; TCE: Tokyo Commodity Exchange; COMEX: Commodity Exchange; LME: London Metal Exchange;
NYMEX: New York Mercantile Exchange; ICE-EU: ICE Futures Europe. *Data as of 5/2/2017
Turkey BIST 100 93862.74 –493.17 –0.52 70426.16 • 95358.76 20.1
One-Day Change Year Year
U.K. FTSE 100 7234.53 –15.52 –0.21 5788.74 • 7447.00 1.3 Commodity Exchange Last price Net Percentage high low
374.50 2.25 0.60% 393.75 360.75
Asia-Pacific DJ Asia-Pacific TSM 1570.51 –7.63 –0.48 1308.52 • 1580.18 10.4 Corn (cents/bu.) CBOT
Soybeans (cents/bu.) 974.75 6.00 0.62 1,092.50 941.25
Australia S&P/ASX 200 5892.30 –58.10 –0.98 5103.30 • 5956.50 4.0
Wheat (cents/bu.)
CBOT
CBOT 453.75 -0.25 -0.06% 488.75 416.00
China Shanghai Composite 3135.35 –8.37 –0.27 2806.91 • 3288.97 1.0
Live cattle (cents/lb.) CME 130.050 3.000 2.36 130.050 103.150
Hong Kong Hang Seng 24696.13 … Closed 19694.33 • 24698.48 12.3
Cocoa ($/ton) ICE-US 1,783 -22 -1.22 2,270 1,756
India S&P BSE Sensex 29894.80 –26.38 –0.09 25101.73 • 30133.35 12.3
Coffee (cents/lb.) ICE-US 137.10 0.85 0.62 161.55 128.65
Japan Nikkei Stock Avg 19445.70 … Closed 14952.02 • 19633.75 1.7
Sugar (cents/lb.) ICE-US 15.78 -0.10 -0.63 20.81 15.35
Singapore Straits Times 3237.81 26.70 0.83 2729.85 • 3237.81 12.4
Cotton (cents/lb.) ICE-US 78.80 -0.57 -0.72 80.27 71.86
South Korea Kospi 2219.67 … Closed 1925.24 • 2219.67 9.5 Robusta coffee ($/ton) ICE-EU 2025.00 30.00 1.50 2,283.00 1,871.00
Taiwan Weighted 9955.33 14.06 0.14 8053.69 • 9972.49 7.6
Copper ($/lb.) COMEX 2.5270 -0.1085 -4.12 2.8400 2.4905
Source: SIX Financial Information;WSJ Market Data Group Gold ($/troy oz.) COMEX 1246.20 -10.80 -0.86 1,297.40 1,152.20
Silver ($/troy oz.) COMEX 16.560 -0.271 -1.61 18.725 16.100
Currencies London close on May 3 Aluminum ($/mt)* LME 1,917.50 -20.50 -1.06 1,972.00 1,688.50
Tin ($/mt)* LME 19,975.00 195.00 0.99 21,225.00 18,760.00
Yen, euro vs. dollar; dollar vs. major U.S. trading partners US$vs,
Wed YTDchg Copper ($/mt)* LME 5,780.00 66.00 1.16 6,156.00 5,518.00
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Lead ($/mt)* LME 2,230.00 -15.00 -0.67 2,445.00 2,022.00
20%
Europe Zinc ($/mt)* LME 2,642.00 17.00 0.65 2,958.50 2,555.00
Yen Bulgaria lev 0.5583 1.7912 –3.6 Nickel ($/mt)* LME 9,505.00 -25.00 -0.26 11,095.00 9,225.00
10 s Croatia kuna 0.1465 6.824 –4.9 Rubber (Y.01/ton)* TCE 221.70 6.10 2.83 n.a. n.a.
s
WSJ Dollar index Euro zone euro 1.0921 0.9157 –3.7
0 Palm oil (MYR/mt) MDEX 2521.00 -27.00 -1.06 3,004.00 2,450.00
Czech Rep. koruna-b 0.0408 24.506 –4.6
Denmark krone 0.1468 6.8102 –3.7 Crude oil ($/bbl.) NYMEX 47.81 0.15 0.31 57.95 47.30
–10 s Euro
Hungary forint 0.003501 285.66 –2.9 NY Harbor ULSD ($/gal.) NYMEX 1.4734 0.0054 0.37 1.7833 1.4587
Iceland krona 0.009418 106.18 –6.0 RBOB gasoline ($/gal.) NYMEX 1.5294 0.0158 1.04 1.9012 1.5075
–20 Norway krone 0.1159 8.6246 –0.2
Poland zloty 0.2598 3.8488 –8.1
Natural gas ($/mmBtu) NYMEX 3.217 0.022 0.69 3.5410 2.8170
2016 2017
Russia ruble-d 0.01746 57.259 –6.5 Brent crude ($/bbl.) ICE-EU 50.77 0.31 0.61 60.09 50.14
US$vs, US$vs,
YTDchg YTDchg Sweden krona 0.1134 8.8161 –3.2 Gas oil ($/ton) ICE-EU 443.75 -4.75 -1.06 526.50 439.25
Wed Wed
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Switzerland franc 1.0089 0.9912 –2.7
Turkey lira 0.2828 3.5360 0.4 Sources: SIX Financial Information; WSJ Market Data Group
Americas Hong Kong dollar 0.1285 7.7813 0.3
Ukraine hryvnia 0.0377 26.5290 –2.0
Argentina peso-a 0.0656 15.2342 –4.0
India rupee
Indonesia rupiah
0.0156
0.0000751
64.1717
13320
–5.6
–1.5
U.K. pound 1.2915 0.7743 –4.4 Cross rates London close on May 3
Brazil real 0.3179 3.1458 –3.4 Middle East/Africa
Japan yen 0.008901 112.34 –4.0
Canada dollar 0.7293 1.3712 2.0 USD GBP CHF JPY HKD EUR CDN AUD
Kazakhstan tenge 0.003169 315.54 –5.4 Bahrain dinar 2.6520 0.3771 –0.03
Chile peso 0.001496 668.30 –0.2 Australia 1.3417 1.7329 1.3539 0.0119 0.1724 1.4654 0.9786 ...
Macau pataca 0.1250 8.0008 1.1 Egypt pound-a 0.0552 18.1213 –0.1
Colombia peso 0.0003413 2930.18 –2.4 Canada 1.3712 1.7706 1.3831 0.0122 0.1762 1.4970 ... 1.0217
Malaysia ringgit-c 0.2315 4.3190 –3.7 Israel shekel 0.2768 3.6121 –6.1
Ecuador US dollar-f 1 1 unch
New Zealand dollar 0.6912 1.4468 0.2 Kuwait dinar 3.2853 0.3044 –0.4 Euro 0.9157 1.1826 0.9238 0.0082 0.1177 ... 0.6679 0.6825
Mexico peso-a 0.0532 18.7841 –9.4
Pakistan rupee 0.0096 104.600 0.2 Oman sul rial 2.5974 0.3850 0.01 Hong Kong 7.7813 10.0481 7.8496 0.0693 ... 8.4968 5.6750 5.7994
Peru sol 0.3076 3.2510 –3.0
Philippines peso 0.0200 49.957 0.7 Qatar rial 0.2746 3.642 0.04 Japan 112.3440 145.1000 113.3600 ... 14.4370 122.6900 81.9400 83.7100
Uruguay peso-e 0.0358 27.970 –4.7
Singapore dollar 0.7168 1.3950 –3.6 Saudi Arabia riyal 0.2666 3.7505 –0.01 0.9912 1.2799 ... 0.0088 0.1274 1.0825 0.7230 0.7386
Venezuela bolivar 0.099564 10.04 0.5 Switzerland
South Korea won 0.0008832 1132.25 –6.3 South Africa rand 0.0749 13.3579 –2.4
U.K. 0.7743 ... 0.7813 0.0069 0.0995 0.8456 0.5648 0.5772
Asia-Pacific Sri Lanka rupee 0.0065608 152.42 2.7 Close Net Chg % Chg YTD % Chg
0.7453 1.3417 –3.4 Taiwan dollar 0.03327 30.061 U.S. ... 1.2915 1.0089 0.0089 0.1285 1.0921 0.7293 0.7453
Australia dollar –7.4 WSJ Dollar Index 89.84 0.20 0.23 –3.33
China yuan 0.1451 6.8919 –0.8 Thailand baht 0.02897 34.520 –3.6 Sources: Tullett Prebon, WSJ Market Data Group Source: Tullett Prebon
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MARKETS
Economy’s Vital Signs Start to Flag Shares
Steady
Weak GDP data and the April-to-June period. The
poor auto sales cast Stalling Out Investors are scrutinizing gauges of monetary and economic conditions
that suggest a further slowdown following a weak first quarter.
economy could well get a
boost if the White House and After Rate
doubt on expectations Gross domestic GDP quarterly growth, annualized
Congress pass a tax-overhaul
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
BNP Paribas
Again Shows
It’s Springtime for Europe’s Stocks OVERHEARD
The U.S. led the reflation best reading on record with To misquote an Aesop fa-
Steady Progress
Reliability mania in markets at the end
of last year. But Europe, de-
spite persistent fears about
Quarterly change in eurozone
data going back to 2003.
Some of this improvement
is already priced in. The for-
ble, slow and steady can keep
you in the race.
That is what Valeant
gross domestic product
France’s biggest bank is political turmoil, is the econ- ward price/earnings multiple Pharmaceuticals Interna-
polishing its reputation as omy that is surprising inves- 0.8% for the Stoxx Europe 600 has tional investors seem to be-
one of Europe’s most reli- tors this year. Stronger nom- risen to 15.3, according to lieve.
able. BNP Paribas said inal global growth should 0.6 FactSet, from 14.8 at the start The company said Tues-
Wednesday that first-quarter give European stocks a fur- of the year. But earnings are day that it expects to launch
profit rose 4%, driven partly ther lift. 0.4 still depressed, and flows into about 50 products in 2017
by the best recovery in in- On growth, Europe is out- Europe are only starting to amounting to about $100 mil-
vestment-banking and secu- shining the U.S. Eurozone turn around. U.S. investors lion in annualized sales, send-
0.2
rities-trading revenue seen data released Wednesday sold European equities for 11 ing shares higher.
among European banks. showed eurozone gross do- straight months in 2016, but Valeant could use every
BNP Paribas almost dou- mestic product in the first 0 in March inflows picked up to dollar to continue servicing its
bled pretax profit in its cor- quarter grew 0.5% from a 2015 ’16 ’17 the fastest pace since Octo- massive debts.
porate and investment bank- quarter earlier. That equated Note: Adjusted for inflation and seasonality ber 2015, UBS notes. Analysts expect the com-
ing arm despite higher costs. to an annualized growth rate Sources: Eurostat; Associated Press (photo) The European Central Bank European political risk is pany to record $8.8 billion in
Its domestic retail and inter- of 1.8%, versus the 0.7% re- THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. headquarters last month fading, and should dissipate revenue this year, a 9% de-
national retail and commer- corded in the U.S. in the first further if the second round cline from a year earlier, so
cial businesses also saw de- quarter. Monetary policy but that hasn’t been much and energy. European profit of France’s presidential elec- those launches are a drop in
cent revenue growth. looks set to remain ex- help to stocks—until now. margins have tended to track tions Sunday results in a vic- the bucket.
Other big European banks tremely loose, further sup- A number of headwinds developed-market inflation tory for centrist Emmanuel Valeant would need to
have reported a good reve- porting the economy. appear to have abated with closely, Barclays notes. Macron over euroskeptic Ma- launch an extra 436 products
nue recovery in their invest- The bigger factor for in- the recovery of commodity Europe could thus look rine Le Pen. The chance of a at that sales rate merely to
ment bank and markets busi- vestors in Europe may well prices, a turnaround in brighter yet. There are some flare-up in the Greek debt ensure flat sales.
nesses in their local be the recovery in inflation, emerging markets and a signs of this already: A Mor- crisis has fallen, too, with Luckily, the beleaguered
currencies. However, the and hence the better outlook global recovery in inflation. gan Stanley analysis of first- this week’s deal with the drug company still has an ace
strengthening dollar over the for nominal growth, which The latter area hit the euro- quarter results from 113 Euro- country’s creditors. That to play.
past year has meant their translates into higher top- zone hard, as it was at the pean companies showed a net leaves investors focusing on The company’s CEO said it
numbers looked less impres- line growth for companies. center of the deflation scare, 23% beating earnings esti- the reflation in European is considering changing its
sive in dollar terms. After all, real GDP has been and European stocks looked mates by 5% or more, and 41% earnings. It’s springtime for name to counter “negative
BNP Paribas now leads the growing steadily in the euro- particularly vulnerable, with beating revenue estimates by European stocks. press.”
European pack with 15% rev- zone over the past few years, big exposures to financials 1% or more. The latter is the —Richard Barley
enue growth across its in-
vestment banking businesses
compared with the first
quarter of 2016 in dollar
terms, ahead of Credit Su-
China’s Debt Crisis Will Ripen When Borrowers Get Pinched
isse Group at slightly more Rising Chinese bond and in 2005, but the Federal Re- trial revenues were up 14%. ter of 2016.
than 10%. BNP Paribas’s money-market yields—both of Reflation Game serve kept raising interest This can’t last forever. Al- Chinese firms are still bor-
bond, rates and currencies which have touched their Chinese producer-price-adjusted rates for more than a year af- ready, a big rebound in rowing heavily and the Chi-
trading revenue recovery highest levels in more than a borrowing costs terward—pushing mortgage “shadow finance,” primarily nese banks backing them con-
was in line with the Swiss year over the past six weeks— Interbank high-yield borrowers ever deeper into bank-mediated company-to- tinue to rely heavily on risky
bank, but it did better in are haunting Western inves- 15% bond index the hole until the weakening company loans, is papering interbank funding. Eventually,
other areas. tors with memories of crises 1-year bank loans labor market finally pushed over the cracks in China, both firms and banks will
10
This is promising because past. debtors over the edge. blunting the impact of the need to pay the piper, or Bei-
the bank has pledged to Such trends in China and 5 In China, the central bank tighter corporate-bond mar- jing will need to absorb much
boost revenue and take mar- the continuing debt pileup are began tightening policy rela- ket. While corporate bond more debt itself.
0
ket share in investment worrying. Still, China is at a tively recently. Meanwhile, debt outstanding fell by 58 But as in the U.S., the
banking to hit higher return different place in the eco- –5 factory-gate inflation is at a billion yuan ($8.4 billion) in breaking point is more likely
targets in this business un- nomic cycle than the U.S. was ’10 ’12 ’14 ’16 six-year high, which means the first quarter of 2017, to come when borrowers start
der its strategic plan set out back in 2007. For now, China’s Sources: CEIC, Central Depositary and Clearing real borrowing rates have shadow finance ballooned by feeling the pinch from slowing
in February. corporate sector, where the THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. fallen rapidly. Producer-price- more than 2 trillion yuan, incomes and higher real bor-
With France’s next presi- country’s debt problem is con- adjusted one-year lending nearly twice as much as in rowing costs. If the Chinese
dent looking likely to be less centrated, is seeing revenues U.S. mortgage debt had built rates, which were as high as the fourth quarter of 2016. real-estate sector and inflation
disruptive than feared, BNP grow at their fastest pace up for years in the mid-2000s, 10% early in 2016, have now Growth in total financing for surprise on the downside later
Paribas’s share-price re- since 2011, while real borrow- but mortgage-backed securi- fallen below zero. Listed mate- firms and households, in- in 2017, or the dollar and rapid
bound should eliminate more ing costs are falling. ties didn’t start torpedoing rials firms’ average earnings cluding local-government capital outflows bounce back,
of its 14% discount to for- The U.S. economy was at a the financial system until more than doubled in the first bonds, has barely slowed—it the piper could come knocking
ward book value. different point when the mid-2007. Employee income quarter of 2017 according to rose 16% in early 2017, ver- quicker than expected.
—Paul J. Davies global financial crisis struck. growth had peaked cyclically Wind Info, while overall indus- sus 16.8% in the fourth quar- —Nathaniel Taplin