Professional Documents
Culture Documents
7 Manzana PDF
7 Manzana PDF
7 Manzana PDF
7
Manzana Insurance
Fall 2019 Module 1
Krannert School of Management
Professor Pengyi SHI
Outline
• Recap on waiting time calculation
• Manzana Case discussion
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
Inflow Inventory waiting Outflow
Iq
Entry to Begin
Departure
system Service
Variability effect
CV CV
2(m1)1 2 2
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
p u
Tq a p
m (1 u) 2
Utilization effect
4
Recap: Call Center Staffing
• Average time between calls: 11.39 seconds/call; (a)
• Average time to service a call: 90 seconds/call; (p)
• CVa = 1, CVp = 1.33
Calls per hour:
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
3600/11.39 = 316 calls
Capacity of 1 operator:
3600/90 = 40 calls per hour
• Question: At least how many operators do we need to achieve a
stable queue?
ROUNDUP(316/40) = 8
5
How many operators to hire?
• For given target on waiting time
• e.g. Tq < 10 seconds
• How many operators do you need then?
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
Number of
Utilization p/(a*m) Tq (in second)
Operators
8 0.988 1221.23
9 0.878 72.43
10 0.790 24.98
11 0.718 11.11
12 0.658 5.50
13 0.608 2.89
14 0.564 1.58
6
Cost analysis
• Flow rate = arrival rate = 316 calls per hour
• Labor cost: $10/hr, Cost of a line: $.05 per minute when a call is
waiting or in service
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
• Assume we hire 8 operators Tq = 1221.23 second
• What is direct labor cost per call?
$10*8 / 316 = $0.2531 per call
• What are the line charges per call?
$0.05* (1221.23+90)/60= $1.09
7
How many operators to hire?
• Cost approach
• Labor cost: $10/hr, Cost of a line: $.05 per minute
Line
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
# of Labor cost Total Cost
Utilization charges
operators per call Per call
Per call
8 0.988 0.2531 1.0927 1.3458
9 0.878 0.2848 0.1354 0.4201
10 0.790 0.3164 0.0958 0.4122
8
Outline
• Recap on waiting time calculation
• Manzana Case discussion
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
Problem
• What are the performance problems of the Fruitvale Branch?
‐ Liability policies are increasingly unprofitable
‐ Prioritization system is not right
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
‐ Long TAT: increase from 3 days to 6 in ’91
‐ Cannot match up with competition
‐ Late and Lost Renewals: late renewals increased from 20% to
45 %, lost renewals increased from 33% to 47%
‐ Golden gate 15% loss rate
‐ Incentives are not aligned
Manzana: Process Flow
Underwriters
Distribution
Clerks (4) 3 Teams
14.6
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
39 26.3
13.2
11.2
39
Policy
Writers
Raters (8)
(5)
Manzana: Capacity Analysis
• Underwritten Teams
UnderTeam 1 UnderTeam 2 UnderTeam 3
• Waiting time linearly increases in utilization?
Waiting time v.s. utilization in
single‐server queue
• The average waiting time grows exponentially fast when
utilization gets closer to 100%
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
• How can you improve the process?
• Pool the 3 underwriting teams, form a common queue
• Utilization = 82.04%
• Tq = 36.7 min after pooling
• Change the prioritization system
• Adjust incentives
Balanced Workload
• Two underwriting teams
Team 1,
12 req/day
15 req/day
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
Team 2,
12 req/day
15 req/day
• What is the average wait time?
• Team 1 or Team 2:
• Utilization u = 0.8
• p=1/15 day/req = 30 min/req
• Tq = 0.26 day or 120 min
Pooled System
• After pooling
Team 1,
30 min/req
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
24 req/day
Team 2,
30 min/req
• Process Utilization = 0.8 (unchanged)
• Wait time:
30
54.27 min
Compare systems
System Team 1 Team 2 System
Balanced 120 min 120 min 120 min
(avg)
Pooled 54.27 min
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
Why?
In a non-pooled system, line stoppers (“elephant
jobs”) can block the server and increase the wait
time for all customers behind the line stopper
In a pooled system, line stopper will block only one
server and the customers behind the line stopper
can still be serviced by m-1 servers.
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
Manzana: Lessons learned
• The sources and impact of variability in a service sector setting
• The benefits of pooling resources
• The importance of response times (lead‐times) in a
MGMT660
Introduction to Operations Management
competitive environment
• Managing operations can determine market competitiveness