Ecuación de crecimiento o decrecimiento de una población

𝑃(𝑡) = 𝑃𝑜𝑏𝑙𝑎𝑐𝑖ó𝑛

𝑁 = 𝑇𝑎𝑠𝑎 𝑑𝑒 𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑

𝑀 = 𝑇𝑎𝑠𝑎 𝑑𝑒 𝑚𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑

∆𝑡 = 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑚𝑝𝑜

𝑃(𝑡 + ∆𝑡) = 𝑃(𝑡) + 𝑁𝑃(𝑡)∆𝑡 − 𝑀𝑃(𝑡)∆𝑡

𝑃(𝑡 + ∆𝑡) − 𝑃(𝑡) = (𝑁 − 𝑀)𝑃(𝑡)∆𝑡

𝑃(𝑡 + ∆𝑡) − 𝑃(𝑡)

= 𝑘𝑃(𝑡)
∆𝑡

𝑃(𝑡 + ∆𝑡) − 𝑃(𝑡)

lim = 𝑘𝑃(𝑡)
𝑡∆→0 ∆𝑡

𝑃′ (𝑡) = 𝑘𝑃(𝑡)

𝑑𝑃
= 𝑘𝑃
𝑑𝑡

𝑑𝑃
= 𝑘𝑑𝑡
𝑃

𝑙𝑛𝑃 = 𝑘𝑡

𝑃 = 𝑐𝑒 𝑘𝑡
𝑃𝑡=0 = 𝑃0
𝑃0 = 𝑐𝑒 0 ∴ 𝑃0 = 𝑐
 ABEJAS

𝑃0 = 𝑐 = 1,858,000
𝑃𝑡=1 = 1,853,807

1,853,807
= 0.9977432723
1,858,000

0.9977432723𝑁0 = 𝑁0 𝑒 1𝑘

1𝑘
ln(0.9977432723) = 𝑙𝑛𝑒

ln(0.9977432723)
=𝑘
1

𝑘 = −0.002259277947
 JAGUAR

𝑃0 = 𝑐 = 4000
𝑃𝑡=8 = 4800
4800
= 1.2
4000

1.2𝑃0 = 𝑃0 𝑒 8𝑘

8𝑘
ln(1.2) = 𝑙𝑛𝑒

ln(1.2)
=𝑘
8

𝑘 = 0.0227901946
 HUMANOS

𝑃0 = 𝑐 = 112,336,538
𝑃𝑡=5 = 119,938,473

119,938,473
= 1.067671081
112,336,538

1.067671081𝑃0 = 𝑃0 𝑒 5𝑘

5𝑘
ln(1.067671081) = 𝑙𝑛𝑒

ln(1.067671081)
=𝑘
5

𝑘 = 0.0130959433